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TULN

Tulane 41 at Louisiana 24

UL
2018 · AutoNation Cure Bowl · Dec 15, 2018 · Camping World Stadium
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Win probability · UL
modelUL aheadTULN aheadconfidence bandkey playUL scoreTULN score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDFGFGTDFGTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 7:49 · Rhys Byrns punt for 45 yds, downed at the Tulan 18
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorPregame priorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+47.0+23.50−23.5−47.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 102Home team on offense−8.4Score differential−2.6Garbage-time factor−3.8Pregame prior−3.6Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.5Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−1.8
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 0:48: Amare Jones run for 1 yd for a TD (Merek Glover KICK) — TULN win probability +4.9 pts (now 68%) (top driver: TULN has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 9:46: Elijah Mitchell run for 3 yds for a TD (Kyle Pfau KICK) — UL win probability +16.1 pts (now 39%) (top driver: UL has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 10:16: Andre Nunez pass complete to Jarrod Jackson for 13 yds for a TD (Kyle Pfau KICK) — UL win probability +22.5 pts (now 42%) (top driver: Game still competitive relative to time left).
  4. TD · Q4 3:49: Darius Bradwell run for 4 yds for a TD (Merek Glover KICK) — TULN win probability +12.1 pts (now 91%) (top driver: TULN has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 3:06: Justin McMillan run for 16 yds for a TD (Merek Glover KICK) — TULN win probability +5.0 pts (now 98%) (top driver: TULN has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UL made the numbers' call on 8 of 9TULN made the numbers' call on 5 of 7
  1. Q1 8:20UL 4th & 12 at UL 13, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 44.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.6%−0.4
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    45.0%
    average punt
  2. Q1 3:24UL 4th & 12 at UL 34, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 41.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.0%−0.9
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    42.0%
    average punt
  3. Q2 14:46UL 4th & 7 at UL 28, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 35.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.7%−0.6
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    36.3%
    average punt
  4. Q2 10:14TULN 4th & 12 at UL 21, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 68.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.2%−1.6
    22% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    67.8%
    74% to make
    Punt
    61.8%−6.0
    average punt
  5. Q2 8:17UL 4th & 2 at UL 34, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 28.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    28.8%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    28.5%−0.3
    average punt
  6. Q2 7:09UL 4th & 8 at UL 42, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 28.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.6%−0.6
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    29.2%
    average punt
  7. Q3 11:36TULN 4th & 2 at UL 34, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 77.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    77.9%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    75.8%−2.1
    47% to make
    Punt
    74.9%−3.0
    average punt
  8. Q3 7:49UL 4th & 22 at UL 37, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 32.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.2%−4.8
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    34.0%
    average punt
  9. Q3 2:58TULN 4th & 6 at UL 9, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 71.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    70.8%−0.5
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    71.2%
    89% to make
    Punt
    62.4%−8.9
    average punt
  10. Q3 1:41UL 4th & 7 at UL 28, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 21.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.5%−1.2
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    22.7%
    average punt
  11. Q4 14:55TULN 4th & 20 at TULN 22, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 74.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    70.8%−6.2
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    77.0%
    average punt
  12. Q4 13:24UL 4th & 8 at midfield, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 21.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.1%−0.3
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    21.4%
    average punt
  13. Q4 11:20TULN 4th & 4 at TULN 15, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 78.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    77.9%−0.2
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    78.2%
    average punt
  14. Q4 5:45TULN 4th & 7 at UL 30, up 3
    Close callWent for it · 71.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    71.0%−0.4
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    71.4%
    56% to make
    Punt
    66.7%−4.7
    average punt
  15. Q4 3:28UL 4th & 10 at UL 25, down 10
    Close callWent for it · 7.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    7.9%−0.7
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    8.6%
    average punt
  16. Q4 3:06TULN 4th & 7 at UL 16, up 10
    Close callWent for it · 91.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    90.0%−0.3
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    90.3%
    81% to make
    Punt
    85.0%−5.4
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UL made the numbers' call on 3 of 3TULN made the numbers' call on 5 of 5
  1. Q1 12:25UL Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    45.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    45.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 9:49TULN Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    55.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    55.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 5:21TULN Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    56.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    56.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q1 0:48TULN Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    62.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    62.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 9:46UL Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    31.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    31.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 10:16UL Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    35.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    35.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 3:49TULN Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    90.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    89.9%−0.5
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 3:06TULN Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.0%−0.2
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
ULDrive 1TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 2:2541% → 43%
Q1 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+14
40.5%
Trey Ragas run for 14 yds to the LaLaf 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:30
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+3
40.7%
Trey Ragas run for 3 yds to the LaLaf 42Similar
Q1 14:00
2ND & 7
OWN 42
+4
40.9%
Elijah Mitchell run for 4 yds to the LaLaf 46Similar
Q1 13:18
3RD & 3
OWN 46
+10
41.2%
Andre Nunez pass complete to Ryheem Malone for 10 yds to the Tulan 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:45
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+6
41.5%
Andre Nunez pass complete to Matt Barnes for 6 yds to the Tulan 38Similar
Q1 12:25
2ND & 4
OPP 38
+38
42.6%
Raymond Calais run for 38 yds for a TD (Kyle Pfau KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 2TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 2:2058% → 58%
Q1 12:09
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
42.4%
Corey Dauphine run for 5 yds to the Tulan 30Similar
Q1 11:39
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+5
42.6%
Corey Dauphine run for 5 yds to the Tulan 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:09
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+9
43.0%
Justin McMillan pass complete to Jabril Clewis for 9 yds to the Tulan 44Similar
Q1 10:32
2ND & 1
OWN 44
+33
43.0%
Amare Jones run for 33 yds to the LaLaf 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:12
1ST & 10
OPP 23
0
42.9%
Justin McMillan pass incomplete to Amare JonesSimilar
Q1 10:05
2ND & 10
OPP 23
+8
43.1%
Justin McMillan pass complete to Jabril Clewis for 8 yds to the LaLaf 15Similar
Q1 9:49
3RD & 2
OPP 15
+15
41.6%
Darius Bradwell run for 15 yds for a TD (Merek Glover KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · -2 yds · 1:1342% → 42%
Q1 9:33
1ST & 10
OWN 15
0
42.3%
Trey Ragas run for no gain to the LaLaf 15Similar
Q1 9:00
2ND & 10
OWN 15
-2
42.3%
Andre Nunez sacked by Lawrence Graham for a loss of 2 yards to the LaLaf 13Similar
Q1 8:30
3RD & 12
OWN 13
0
42.1%
Andre Nunez pass incomplete to Jarrod JacksonSimilar
Q1 8:20
4TH & 12
OWN 13
+1
42.0%
Rhys Byrns punt for 43 yds , Amare Jones returns for 1 yd to the Tulan 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 4TD
6 plays · 55 yds · 2:4858% → 61%
Q1 8:09
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+4
42.0%
Corey Dauphine run for 4 yds to the Tulan 49Similar
Q1 7:21
2ND & 6
OWN 49
+5
41.9%
Corey Dauphine run for 5 yds to the LaLaf 46Similar
Q1 7:00
3RD & 1
OPP 46
+1
41.9%
Corey Dauphine run for 1 yd to the LaLaf 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:33
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+2
42.1%
Justin McMillan run for 2 yds to the LaLaf 43Similar
Q1 5:58
2ND & 8
OPP 43
+5
42.2%
Stephon Huderson run for 5 yds to the LaLaf 38Similar
Q1 5:21
3RD & 3
OPP 38
+38
38.8%
Justin McMillan pass complete to Terren Encalade for 38 yds for a TD (Merek Glover KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · -2 yds · 1:3640% → 39%
Q1 5:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+4
40.0%
Andre Nunez run for 4 yds to the LaLaf 40Similar
Q1 4:25
2ND & 6
OWN 40
+3
40.5%
Elijah Mitchell run for 3 yds to the LaLaf 43Similar
Q1 4:00
3RD & 3
OWN 43
-9
40.4%
Andre Nunez sacked by Zachery Harris and Patrick Johnson for a loss of 9 yards to the LaLaf 34Similar
Q1 3:24
4TH & 12
OWN 34
0
39.0%
Rhys Byrns punt for 29 yds, downed at the Tulan 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 6TD
8 plays · 63 yds · 2:1961% → 68%
Q1 3:07
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+2
38.8%
Darius Bradwell run for 2 yds to the Tulan 39Similar
Q1 2:59
2ND & 8
OWN 39
0
38.4%
Justin McMillan pass incomplete to Jabril ClewisSimilar
Q1 2:34
3RD & 8
OWN 39
+26
38.6%
Justin McMillan run for 26 yds to the LaLaf 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:20
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
37.8%
Justin McMillan pass incomplete to Darius BradwellSimilar
Q1 2:13
2ND & 10
OPP 35
+14
37.8%
Justin McMillan run for 14 yds to the LaLaf 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:38
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+2
37.5%
Darius Bradwell run for 2 yds to the LaLaf 19Similar
Q1 1:00
2ND & 8
OPP 19
+18
37.3%
Justin McMillan pass complete to Terren Encalade for 18 yds to the LaLaf 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:48
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
32.5%
Amare Jones run for 1 yd for a TD (Merek Glover KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:5134% → 34%
Q1 0:37
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
34.0%
Raymond Calais run for a loss of 1 yard to the LaLaf 24Similar
Q1 0:01
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+4
33.7%
Raymond Calais run for 4 yds to the LaLaf 28Similar
Q2 14:58
3RD & 7
OWN 28
0
33.5%
Levi Lewis pass incomplete to Ja'Marcus BradleySimilar
Q2 14:46
4TH & 7
OWN 28
+8
33.5%
Rhys Byrns punt for 36 yds , Amare Jones returns for 8 yds to the Tulan 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 8FG
9 plays · 35 yds · 4:0168% → 75%
Q2 14:15
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+3
31.7%
Darius Bradwell run for 3 yds to the Tulan 47Similar
Q2 14:07
2ND & 7
OWN 47
+9
31.7%
Darius Bradwell run for 9 yds to the LaLaf 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:36
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+4
31.0%
Corey Dauphine run for 4 yds to the LaLaf 40Similar
Q2 13:05
2ND & 6
OPP 40
+5
30.7%
Corey Dauphine run for 5 yds to the LaLaf 35Similar
Q2 12:25
3RD & 1
OPP 35
+16
30.6%
Darius Bradwell run for 16 yds to the LaLaf 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:58
1ST & 10
OPP 19
0
30.1%
Darius Bradwell run for no gain to the LaLaf 19Similar
Q2 11:17
2ND & 10
OPP 19
+1
29.4%
Darius Bradwell run for 1 yd to the LaLaf 18Similar
Q2 11:00
3RD & 9
OPP 18
-3
29.5%
Justin McMillan run for a loss of 3 yards to the LaLaf 21Similar
Q2 10:14
4TH & 12
OPP 21
+38
25.2%
Merek Glover 38 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 9PUNT
11 plays · 16 yds · 2:4228% → 27%
Q2 9:51
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+3
27.7%
Andre Nunez run for 3 yds to the LaLaf 29Similar
Q2 9:15
2ND & 7
OWN 29
+3
27.2%
Trey Ragas run for 3 yds to the LaLaf 32Similar
Q2 8:35
3RD & 4
OWN 32
+2
27.1%
Andre Nunez pass complete to Ryheem Malone for 2 yds to the LaLaf 34Similar
Q2 8:17
4TH & 2
OWN 34
+6
26.8%
Elijah Mitchell run for 6 yds to the LaLaf 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:59
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+2
28.4%
Trey Ragas run for 2 yds to the LaLaf 42Similar
Q2 7:17
2ND & 8
OWN 42
0
28.0%
Andre Nunez pass incomplete to Ja'Marcus BradleySimilar
Q2 7:14
3RD & 8
OWN 42
0
27.6%
Andre Nunez pass incomplete to Raymond CalaisSimilar
Q2 7:09
4TH & 8
OWN 42
0
27.1%
Rhys Byrns punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Amare Jones at the Tulan 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 10INT
12 plays · 66 yds · 6:3577% → 83%
Q2 6:58
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+5
23.5%
Darius Bradwell run for 5 yds to the Tulan 16Similar
Q2 6:22
2ND & 5
OWN 16
+5
23.1%
Darius Bradwell run for 5 yds to the Tulan 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:45
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+1
22.7%
Darius Bradwell run for 1 yd to the Tulan 22Similar
Q2 4:49
2ND & 9
OWN 22
+4
22.2%
Darius Bradwell run for 4 yds to the Tulan 26Similar
Q2 4:40
3RD & 5
OWN 26
+13
22.2%
Justin McMillan pass complete to Terren Encalade for 13 yds to the Tulan 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:11
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+8
20.9%
Stephon Huderson run for 8 yds to the Tulan 47Similar
Q2 3:30
2ND & 2
OWN 47
+5
20.2%
Stephon Huderson run for 5 yds to the LaLaf 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:50
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+4
20.0%
Stephon Huderson run for 4 yds to the LaLaf 44Similar
Q2 2:02
2ND & 6
OPP 44
+10
18.7%
Justin McMillan run for 10 yds to the LaLaf 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:11
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+2
16.1%
Amare Jones run for 2 yds to the LaLaf 32Similar
Q2 0:45
2ND & 8
OPP 32
+9
15.8%
Amare Jones run for 9 yds to the LaLaf 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:23
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+63
17.4%
Justin McMillan pass intercepted Bralen Trahan return for 63 yds to the Tulan 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 11END OF HALF
6 plays · 11 yds · 0:1423% → 27%
Q2 0:14
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+6
23.3%
Andre Nunez run for 6 yds to the Tulan 31Similar
Q2 0:09
2ND & 4
OPP 31
+5
23.6%
Elijah Mitchell run for 5 yds to the Tulan 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:06
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
23.6%
TEAM pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 26
+43
27.4%
Kyle Pfau 43 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 12DOWNS
7 plays · 14 yds · 3:0278% → 79%
Q3 14:38
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+4
21.8%
Darius Bradwell run for 4 yds to the LaLaf 48Similar
Q3 14:25
2ND & 6
OPP 48
+6
21.5%
Darius Bradwell run for 6 yds to the LaLaf 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:30
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+1
20.8%
Darius Bradwell run for 1 yd to the LaLaf 41Similar
Q3 12:50
2ND & 9
OPP 41
+2
20.1%
Corey Dauphine run for 2 yds to the LaLaf 39Similar
Q3 12:05
3RD & 7
OPP 39
+5
20.0%
Justin McMillan pass complete to Will Wallace for 5 yds to the LaLaf 34Similar
Q3 11:36
4TH & 2
OPP 34
-4
21.0%
Darius Bradwell run for a loss of 4 yards to the LaLaf 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 13TD
6 plays · 62 yds · 1:3623% → 39%
Q3 11:22
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+4
23.1%
Trey Ragas run for 4 yds to the LaLaf 42Similar
Q3 11:00
2ND & 6
OWN 42
+26
23.3%
Andre Nunez pass complete to Ja'Marcus Bradley for 26 yds to the Tulan 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:42
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
24.2%
Andre Nunez pass incomplete to Ja'Marcus BradleySimilar
Q3 10:31
2ND & 10
OPP 32
+4
24.0%
Trey Ragas run for 4 yds to the Tulan 28Similar
Q3 10:00
3RD & 6
OPP 28
+25
22.9%
Andre Nunez pass complete to Ja'Marcus Bradley for 25 yds to the Tulan 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:46
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
39.0%
Elijah Mitchell run for 3 yds for a TD (Kyle Pfau KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 14FUMBLE
3 plays · 26 yds · 0:3168% → 70%
Q3 9:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+14
32.0%
Justin McMillan pass complete to Terren Encalade for 14 yds to the Tulan 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:09
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+12
29.9%
Amare Jones run for 12 yds to the LaLaf 49 Amare Jones fumbled, forced by Bralen Trahan, recovered by LaLaf Ja'len JohnsonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 15PUNT
4 plays · -12 yds · 1:1037% → 31%
Q3 8:59
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+4
36.5%
Trey Ragas run for 4 yds to the Tulan 47Similar
Q3 8:30
2ND & 6
OPP 47
-4
37.3%
Trey Ragas run for a loss of 4 yards to the LaLaf 49Similar
Q3 8:01
3RD & 10
OWN 49
-12
33.8%
Levi Lewis sacked by Lawrence Graham for a loss of 12 yards to the LaLaf 37Similar
Q3 7:49
4TH & 22
OWN 37
0
31.1%
Rhys Byrns punt for 45 yds, downed at the Tulan 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 16FG
12 plays · 73 yds · 4:4669% → 76%
Q3 7:44
1ST & 10
OWN 18
0
30.8%
Justin McMillan pass incomplete to Terren EncaladeSimilar
Q3 7:30
2ND & 10
OWN 18
+13
31.1%
Darius Bradwell run for 13 yds to the Tulan 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:19
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+10
29.8%
Justin McMillan pass complete to Terren Encalade for 10 yds to the Tulan 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:51
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+16
28.3%
Darius Bradwell run for 16 yds to the LaLaf 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:28
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+8
27.6%
Darius Bradwell run for 8 yds to the LaLaf 35Similar
Q3 6:13
2ND & 2
OPP 35
+5
26.9%
Darius Bradwell run for 5 yds to the LaLaf 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:45
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+2
26.7%
Stephon Huderson run for 2 yds to the LaLaf 28Similar
Q3 5:06
2ND & 8
OPP 28
+15
26.4%
Justin McMillan run for 15 yds to the LaLaf 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:40
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+2
25.9%
Stephon Huderson run for 2 yds to the LaLaf 11Similar
Q3 4:04
2ND & 8
OPP 11
+5
25.7%
Darius Bradwell run for 5 yds to the LaLaf 6Similar
Q3 3:25
3RD & 3
OPP 6
-3
25.7%
Darius Bradwell run for a loss of 3 yards to the LaLaf 9Similar
Q3 2:58
4TH & 6
OPP 9
+26
23.8%
Merek Glover 26 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 1:0423% → 20%
Q3 2:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
22.9%
Elijah Mitchell run for 5 yds to the LaLaf 30Similar
Q3 2:14
2ND & 5
OWN 30
0
23.4%
Levi Lewis pass incomplete to Ja'Marcus BradleySimilar
Q3 2:00
3RD & 5
OWN 30
-2
22.3%
Andre Nunez sacked by Davon Wright for a loss of 2 yards to the LaLaf 28Similar
Q3 1:41
4TH & 7
OWN 28
0
20.4%
Rhys Byrns punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Amare Jones at the Tulan 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 18PUNT
5 plays · -10 yds · 1:4277% → 75%
Q3 1:37
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
22.7%
Justin McMillan pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 1:27
2ND & 10
OWN 32
+4
22.9%
Darius Bradwell run for 4 yds to the Tulan 36Similar
Q3 0:51
3RD & 6
OWN 36
-5
22.4%
TULANE Penalty, False Start (Corey Dublin) to the Tulan 31Similar
Q3 0:05
3RD & 11
OWN 31
-9
23.7%
Justin McMillan sacked by Deuce Wallace for a loss of 9 yards to the Tulan 22Similar
Q4 14:55
4TH & 20
OWN 22
+9
24.7%
Ryan Wright punt for 39 yds , Earnest Patterson returns for 9 yds to the LaLaf 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 19PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 1:0624% → 20%
Q4 14:30
1ST & 10
OWN 48
-8
23.9%
Andre Nunez sacked by Zachery Harris for a loss of 8 yards to the LaLaf 40Similar
Q4 14:01
2ND & 18
OWN 40
+10
21.3%
Trey Ragas run for 10 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 13:45
3RD & 8
50
0
22.0%
Levi Lewis pass incomplete to Ryheem MaloneSimilar
Q4 13:24
4TH & 8
50
0
20.1%
Rhys Byrns punt for 41 yds, downed at the Tulan 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 20PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:4177% → 79%
Q4 13:01
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+2
22.8%
Darius Bradwell run for 2 yds to the Tulan 11Similar
Q4 12:20
2ND & 8
OWN 11
+6
20.1%
Amare Jones run for 6 yds to the Tulan 17Similar
Q4 12:00
3RD & 2
OWN 17
-2
20.7%
Darius Bradwell run for a loss of 2 yards to the Tulan 15Similar
Q4 11:20
4TH & 4
OWN 15
+3
21.0%
Ryan Wright punt for 44 yds , Earnest Patterson returns for 3 yds to the LaLaf 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 21TD
4 plays · 56 yds · 0:5920% → 42%
Q4 11:15
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+47
20.3%
Andre Nunez pass complete to Ryheem Malone for 47 yds to the Tulan 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:55
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
-4
23.8%
Andre Nunez run for a loss of 4 yards to the Tulan 13Similar
Q4 10:21
2ND & GOAL
OPP 13
0
19.8%
Andre Nunez pass incomplete to Ryheem MaloneSimilar
Q4 10:16
3RD & GOAL
OPP 13
+13
42.3%
Andre Nunez pass complete to Jarrod Jackson for 13 yds for a TD (Kyle Pfau KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 22TD
15 plays · 75 yds · 6:1866% → 91%
Q4 10:07
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
33.9%
Darius Bradwell run for 1 yd to the Tulan 26Similar
Q4 9:45
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+9
33.4%
Justin McMillan pass complete to Will Wallace for 9 yds to the Tulan 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:01
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
31.9%
Darius Bradwell run for 4 yds to the Tulan 39Similar
Q4 8:37
2ND & 6
OWN 39
+12
29.9%
Darius Bradwell run for 12 yds to the LaLaf 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:08
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+1
28.4%
Darius Bradwell run for 1 yd to the LaLaf 48Similar
Q4 7:45
2ND & 9
OPP 48
+15
28.4%
McMillan, Justin pass incomplete to Mooney, Darnell, PENALTY ULLAFAYTTE pass interference (Jacquet III, Michael) 15 yards to the ULLAFAYTTE33, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN TULANE.Similar
Q4 7:25
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+4
26.9%
Darius Bradwell run for 4 yds to the LaLaf 29Similar
Q4 7:00
2ND & 6
OPP 29
0
25.0%
Justin McMillan pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 6:30
3RD & 6
OPP 29
-1
26.8%
Justin McMillan sacked by Chaiziere Malbrue for a loss of 1 yard to the LaLaf 30Similar
Q4 5:45
4TH & 7
OPP 30
+15
27.5%
Justin McMillan pass complete to Charles Jones II for 15 yds to the LaLaf 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:10
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+3
21.6%
Darius Bradwell run for 3 yds to the LaLaf 12Similar
Q4 4:50
2ND & 7
OPP 12
+2
20.9%
Darius Bradwell run for 2 yds to the LaLaf 10Similar
Q4 4:07
3RD & 5
OPP 10
+6
21.3%
Justin McMillan pass complete to Darnell Mooney for 6 yds to the LaLaf 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:49
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
9.2%
Darius Bradwell run for 4 yds for a TD (Merek Glover KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 23DOWNS
5 plays · -6 yds · 0:1510% → 8%
Q4 3:43
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
9.6%
Andre Nunez pass incomplete to Ja'Marcus BradleySimilar
Q4 3:38
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
9.4%
Andre Nunez pass incomplete to Elijah MitchellSimilar
Q4 3:34
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
8.8%
Andre Nunez pass incomplete to Matt BarnesSimilar
Q4 3:28
4TH & 10
OWN 25
-6
7.7%
Andre Nunez sacked by Cameron Sample for a loss of 6 yards to the LaLaf 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 24TD
7 plays · 19 yds · 0:1792% → 98%
Q4 3:23
1ST & 10
OPP 19
-1
7.6%
Darius Bradwell run for a loss of 1 yard to the LaLaf 20Similar
Q4 3:19
2ND & 11
OPP 20
+2
6.9%
Justin McMillan run for 2 yds to the LaLaf 18Similar
Q4 3:13
3RD & 9
OPP 18
+2
6.9%
Darius Bradwell run for 2 yds to the LaLaf 16Similar
Q4 3:06
4TH & 7
OPP 16
+16
2.2%
Justin McMillan run for 16 yds for a TD (Merek Glover KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 25INT
8 plays · 52 yds · 1:191% → 1%
Q4 2:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
1.1%
Andre Nunez pass complete to Elijah Mitchell for 7 yds to the LaLaf 32Similar
Q4 2:40
2ND & 3
OWN 32
0
1.2%
Andre Nunez pass incomplete to Matt BarnesSimilar
Q4 2:31
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+18
1.1%
Levi Lewis pass complete to Matt Barnes for 18 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:15
1ST & 10
50
+15
1.1%
Levi Lewis pass complete to Trey Ragas for 15 yds to the Tulan 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:55
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+5
1.1%
Levi Lewis pass complete to Matt Barnes for 5 yds to the Tulan 30Similar
Q4 1:38
2ND & 5
OPP 30
+7
1.2%
Levi Lewis run for 7 yds to the Tulan 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:31
1ST & 10
OPP 23
0
1.1%
Levi Lewis pass intercepted, touchback. Chris Joyce return for no gainSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 26END OF 4TH QUARTER
3 plays · -5 yds · 1:1098% → 98%
Q4 1:10
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-2
1.6%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Tulan 18Similar
Q4 0:44
2ND & 12
OWN 18
-2
1.6%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Tulan 16Similar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 14
OWN 16
-1
1.6%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Tulan 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 10:16
Andre Nunez pass complete to Jarrod Jackson for 13 yds for a TD (Kyle Pfau KICK)
+22.5
TD · Q3 9:46
Elijah Mitchell run for 3 yds for a TD (Kyle Pfau KICK)
+16.1
TD · Q4 3:49
Darius Bradwell run for 4 yds for a TD (Merek Glover KICK)
-12.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com