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STAN

Stanford 14 at Pittsburgh 13

PITT
2018 · Postseason · Dec 31, 2018 · Sun Bowl
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Win probability · PITT
modelPITT aheadSTAN aheadconfidence bandkey playPITT scoreSTAN score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDFGTDEnd of GameFG+4.1PITT 61.6%Alex Kessman 28 yd FG GOODAWAY 7 - HOME 13 · Q3 8:13
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 8:13 · Alex Kessman 28 yd FG GOOD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsGarbage-time factor
+35.5+17.80−17.8−35.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 93Pregame prior−7.2Home team on offense+8.2Score differential+1.4Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+1.5Garbage-time factor+1.9
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 7:39: Cameron Scarlett run for 1 yd for a TD (Jet Toner KICK) — STAN win probability +7.3 pts (now 67%) (top driver: STAN has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 2:32: Darrin Hall run for 6 yds for a TD (Alex Kessman KICK) — PITT win probability +9.6 pts (now 51%) (top driver: PITT has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 11:28: K.J. Costello run for 1 yd K.J. Costello fumbled, forced by Dewayne Hendrix, recovered by Stanf Cameron Scarlett for a TD (Jet Toner KICK) — STAN win probability +24.1 pts (now 64%) (top driver: STAN has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q4 3:35: Darrin Hall run for a loss of 1 yard to the Pitt 3 — PITT win probability +9.2 pts (now 44%) (top driver: PITT has the ball).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q4 1:33: Cameron Scarlett run for 3 yds to the Pitt 22 — STAN win probability +19.0 pts (now 80%) (top driver: STAN has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
PITT made the numbers' call on 8 of 9STAN made the numbers' call on 5 of 6
  1. Q2 14:14PITT 4th & 11 at STAN 11, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 43.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.7%−0.5
    22% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    43.1%
    87% to make
    Punt
    40.8%−2.4
    average punt
  2. Q2 13:17STAN 4th & 8 at STAN 27, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 53.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    53.6%−0.7
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    54.3%
    average punt
  3. Q2 11:39PITT 4th & 6 at PITT 26, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 43.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.9%−0.5
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    44.4%
    average punt
  4. Q2 1:21STAN 4th & 10 at STAN 40, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 48.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.8%−0.7
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    47.5%
    average punt
  5. Q3 13:25PITT 4th & 5 at PITT 30, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 51.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    51.8%−0.6
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    52.4%
    average punt
  6. Q3 11:17STAN 4th & 7 at STAN 40, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 45.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.2%−0.7
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    45.9%
    average punt
  7. Q3 8:13PITT 4th & 10 at STAN 10, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 57.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.1%−1.5
    24% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    56.7%
    88% to make
    Punt
    47.2%−9.5
    average punt
  8. Q3 5:57STAN 4th & 22 at STAN 13, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 35.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.2%−6.3
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    37.6%
    average punt
  9. Q3 4:46PITT 4th & 5 at PITT 35, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 64.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    64.8%−1.2
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    66.0%
    average punt
  10. Q3 3:03STAN 4th & 10 at STAN 40, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 34.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.5%−2.0
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    35.5%
    average punt
  11. Q3 0:21PITT 4th & 8 at PITT 17, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 69.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.0%−3.4
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    70.4%
    average punt
  12. Q4 8:13PITT 4th & 12 at STAN 37, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 45.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.8%−3.1
    24% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    47.0%
    40% to make
    Punt
    43.2%−3.7
    average punt
  13. Q4 3:49STAN 4th & 8 at PITT 41, up 1
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.8 ptsPunted · 61.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    61.1%
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    57.8%−3.3
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    58.4%−2.8
    average punt
  14. Q4 2:42PITT 4th & 11 at PITT 3, down 1
    Numbers favored punt by 1.9 ptsWent for it · 40.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    31.5%−1.9
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    33.4%
    average punt
  15. Q4 1:40PITT 4th & 3 at PITT 25, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 42.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    36.4%
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    31.0%−5.4
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
PITT made the numbers' call on 1 of 1STAN made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q2 7:39STAN Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    60.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    60.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 2:32PITT Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    51.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    51.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
STANDrive 1PUNT
3 plays · 0 yds · 0:1968% → 68%
Q1 14:40
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
32.1%
Cameron Scarlett run for no gain to the Stanf 30Similar
Q1 14:25
2ND & 10
OWN 30
0
32.2%
K.J. Costello pass incomplete to Cameron ScarlettSimilar
Q1 14:21
3RD & 10
OWN 30
0
32.3%
K.J. Costello pass incomplete to Colby ParkinsonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 2PUNT
7 plays · 16 yds · 2:4433% → 34%
Q1 13:45
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+5
32.7%
Qadree Ollison run for 5 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 13:25
2ND & 5
50
+4
32.9%
Kenny Pickett pass complete to Maurice Ffrench for 4 yds to the Stanf 46Similar
Q1 13:00
3RD & 1
OPP 46
+3
33.1%
Qadree Ollison run for 3 yds to the Stanf 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:20
1ST & 10
OPP 43
-10
33.5%
Pickett, Kenny pass incomplete to Ffrench, Maurice, PENALTY PITTSBURGH holding 10 yards to the PITTSBURGH47, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 12:05
1ST & 20
OWN 47
+7
33.4%
Darrin Hall run for 7 yds to the Stanf 46Similar
Q1 11:36
2ND & 13
OPP 46
+7
33.7%
Kenny Pickett run for 7 yds to the Stanf 39Similar
Q1 11:01
3RD & 6
OPP 39
0
34.1%
Kenny Pickett pass incomplete to Maurice FfrenchSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 3PUNT
3 plays · 5 yds · 0:4266% → 66%
Q1 10:45
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
33.8%
K.J. Costello pass incomplete to JJ Arcega-WhitesideSimilar
Q1 10:35
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+5
33.9%
Cameron Scarlett run for 5 yds to the Stanf 25Similar
Q1 10:03
3RD & 5
OWN 25
0
34.2%
K.J. Costello pass incomplete to Colby ParkinsonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 4PUNT
10 plays · 27 yds · 4:2535% → 37%
Q1 9:35
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+15
34.5%
Darrin Hall run for 15 yds to the Pitt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:06
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+6
35.2%
Kenny Pickett pass complete to Darrin Hall for 6 yds to the Stanf 46Similar
Q1 8:35
2ND & 4
OPP 46
+1
35.3%
Qadree Ollison run for 1 yd to the Stanf 45Similar
Q1 8:00
3RD & 3
OPP 45
+4
35.6%
Qadree Ollison run for 4 yds to the Stanf 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:28
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
35.9%
Kenny Pickett pass incomplete to Taysir MackSimilar
Q1 7:22
2ND & 10
OPP 41
0
36.0%
Kenny Pickett pass incomplete to George AstonSimilar
Q1 7:11
3RD & 10
OPP 41
+10
35.7%
Qadree Ollison run for 10 yds to the Stanf 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:19
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+3
36.8%
V'Lique Carter run for 3 yds to the Stanf 28Similar
Q1 5:50
2ND & 7
OPP 28
-2
37.0%
Darrin Hall run for a loss of 2 yards to the Stanf 30Similar
Q1 5:10
3RD & 9
OPP 30
-10
37.0%
Kenny Pickett sacked by Bobby Okereke for a loss of 10 yards to the Stanf 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 5PUNT
3 plays · -4 yds · 1:3564% → 63%
Q1 4:25
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+2
36.3%
Cameron Scarlett run for 2 yds to the Stanf 12Similar
Q1 4:10
2ND & 8
OWN 12
+2
36.5%
K.J. Costello pass complete to Michael Wilson for 2 yds to the Stanf 14Similar
Q1 2:50
3RD & 6
OWN 14
-8
37.4%
K.J. Costello sacked by Oluwaseun Idowu for a loss of 8 yards to the Stanf 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 6FG
6 plays · 54 yds · 2:3638% → 40%
Q1 1:50
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+8
37.9%
Kenny Pickett pass complete to Taysir Mack for 8 yds to the Pitt 43Similar
Q1 1:35
2ND & 2
OWN 43
+47
39.1%
Darrin Hall run for 47 yds to the Stanf 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:45
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+1
40.1%
A.J. Davis run for 1 yd to the Stanf 9Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+5
40.6%
A.J. Davis run for 5 yds to the Stanf 4Similar
Q2 14:45
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
-7
40.1%
Kenny Pickett sacked by Jordan Fox for a loss of 7 yards to the Stanf 11Similar
Q2 14:14
4TH & GOAL
OPP 11
+29
40.1%
Alex Kessman 29 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:4560% → 58%
Q2 14:02
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
40.4%
Cameron Scarlett run for 2 yds to the Stanf 27Similar
Q2 13:30
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
40.6%
K.J. Costello pass incomplete to Michael WilsonSimilar
Q2 13:25
3RD & 8
OWN 27
0
41.3%
K.J. Costello pass incomplete to Colby ParkinsonSimilar
Q2 13:17
4TH & 8
OWN 27
0
42.1%
Jake Bailey punt for 51 yds, fair catch by Rafael Araujo-Lopes at the Pitt 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 8PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 1:2641% → 40%
Q2 13:05
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+5
40.6%
Darrin Hall run for 5 yds to the Pitt 27Similar
Q2 12:50
2ND & 5
OWN 27
-1
40.9%
Darrin Hall run for a loss of 1 yard to the Pitt 26Similar
Q2 11:51
3RD & 6
OWN 26
0
40.5%
Kenny Pickett pass incomplete to Maurice FfrenchSimilar
Q2 11:39
4TH & 6
OWN 26
+2
40.0%
Kirk Christodoulou punt for 40 yds , Michael Wilson returns for 2 yds to the Stanf 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 9TD
7 plays · 64 yds · 3:5159% → 67%
Q2 11:30
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+9
41.2%
K.J. Costello pass complete to Colby Parkinson for 9 yds to the Stanf 45Similar
Q2 11:15
2ND & 1
OWN 45
+4
40.1%
K.J. Costello pass complete to Michael Wilson for 4 yds to the Stanf 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:15
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+15
40.6%
Dorian Maddox run for 15 yds to the Pitt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:10
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+2
40.6%
Dorian Maddox run for 2 yds to the Pitt 34Similar
Q2 8:45
2ND & 8
OPP 34
+29
40.1%
K.J. Costello pass complete to JJ Arcega-Whiteside for 29 yds to the Pitt 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:10
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+4
40.5%
Cameron Scarlett run for 4 yds to the Pitt 1Similar
Q2 7:39
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
33.2%
Cameron Scarlett run for 1 yd for a TD (Jet Toner KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 10TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 4:5336% → 51%
Q2 7:25
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+14
36.2%
Kenny Pickett pass complete to Taysir Mack for 14 yds to the Pitt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:00
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+14
37.2%
Kenny Pickett run for 14 yds to the Stanf 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:19
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+12
39.1%
A.J. Davis run for 12 yds to the Stanf 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:35
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+5
40.2%
Kenny Pickett run for 5 yds to the Stanf 30Similar
Q2 5:06
2ND & 5
OPP 30
0
40.4%
Kenny Pickett run for no gain to the Stanf 30Similar
Q2 4:30
3RD & 5
OPP 30
+10
39.4%
Kenny Pickett pass complete to Maurice Ffrench for 10 yds to the Stanf 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:58
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+11
40.8%
Kenny Pickett run for 11 yds to the Stanf 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:10
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+3
41.1%
Darrin Hall run for 3 yds to the Stanf 6Similar
Q2 2:32
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
50.7%
Darrin Hall run for 6 yds for a TD (Alex Kessman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 11PUNT
7 plays · 13 yds · 0:5453% → 52%
Q2 2:15
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+13
46.7%
Cameron Scarlett run for 13 yds to the Stanf 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+5
45.1%
K.J. Costello run for 5 yds to the Stanf 45Similar
Q2 1:34
2ND & 5
OWN 45
0
44.4%
K.J. Costello pass incomplete to Cameron ScarlettSimilar
Q2 1:34
3RD & 5
OWN 45
-5
44.9%
STANFORD Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Stanf 40Similar
Q2 1:29
3RD & 10
OWN 40
0
47.0%
K.J. Costello pass incomplete to JJ Arcega-WhitesideSimilar
Q2 1:21
4TH & 10
OWN 40
0
48.5%
Jake Bailey punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Rafael Araujo-Lopes at the Pitt 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 12END OF HALF
12 plays · 45 yds · 1:1148% → 48%
Q2 1:11
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+9
47.6%
Darrin Hall run for 9 yds to the Pitt 22Similar
Q2 1:07
2ND & 1
OWN 22
+4
47.5%
Darrin Hall run for 4 yds to the Pitt 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:36
1ST & 10
OWN 26
-2
47.8%
Kenny Pickett run for a loss of 2 yards to the Pitt 24Similar
Q2 0:34
2ND & 12
OWN 24
+10
47.2%
Pickett, Kenny pass incomplete to Mack, Taysir, PENALTY STANFORD pass interference 10 yards to the PITTSBURGH34, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN PITTSBURGH.Similar
Q2 0:25
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
48.0%
Kenny Pickett pass incomplete to Shocky Jacques-LouisSimilar
Q2 0:19
2ND & 10
OWN 34
+16
47.8%
Kenny Pickett pass complete to Maurice Ffrench for 16 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:08
1ST & 10
50
0
51.1%
Kenny Pickett pass incomplete to Shocky Jacques-LouisSimilar
Q2 0:01
2ND & 10
50
0
50.6%
Kenny Pickett pass incomplete to Taysir MackSimilar
Q2 0:01
3RD & 10
50
-5
49.3%
PITTSBURGH Penalty, Substitution Infraction (-5 Yards) to the Pitt 45Similar
Q2 0:00
3RD & 15
OWN 45
+13
48.3%
Kenny Pickett pass complete to Rafael Araujo-Lopes for 13 yds to the Stanf 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 13PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 1:2150% → 49%
Q3 14:46
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
50.3%
Kenny Pickett pass complete to Maurice Ffrench for 4 yds to the Pitt 29Similar
Q3 14:30
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+1
50.7%
Darrin Hall run for 1 yd to the Pitt 30Similar
Q3 13:38
3RD & 5
OWN 30
0
50.1%
Kenny Pickett pass incomplete to Taysir MackSimilar
Q3 13:25
4TH & 5
OWN 30
+5
48.9%
Kirk Christodoulou punt for 38 yds , Michael Wilson returns for 5 yds to the Stanf 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 14PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 1:5352% → 48%
Q3 13:10
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-7
48.2%
K.J. Costello sacked by Rashad Weaver for a loss of 7 yards to the Stanf 30Similar
Q3 12:45
2ND & 17
OWN 30
-1
50.0%
Cameron Scarlett run for a loss of 1 yard to the Stanf 29Similar
Q3 12:20
3RD & 18
OWN 29
+16
51.6%
Cameron Scarlett run for 16 yds to the Stanf 45Similar
Q3 11:24
4TH & 2
OWN 45
-5
49.7%
STANFORD Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the Stanf 40Similar
Q3 11:17
4TH & 7
OWN 40
0
51.6%
Jake Bailey punt for 16 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Pitt 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 15FG
6 plays · 46 yds · 2:5254% → 62%
Q3 11:05
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+6
54.4%
A.J. Davis run for 6 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 10:28
2ND & 4
50
+41
55.6%
Kenny Pickett pass complete to Taysir Mack for 41 yds to the Stanf 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:45
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+3
58.0%
A.J. Davis run for 3 yds to the Stanf 6Similar
Q3 9:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
-4
58.5%
Darrin Hall run for a loss of 4 yards to the Stanf 10Similar
Q3 8:18
3RD & GOAL
OPP 10
0
57.4%
Kenny Pickett pass incomplete to Darrin HallSimilar
Q3 8:13
4TH & GOAL
OPP 10
+28
61.6%
Alex Kessman 28 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 16PUNT
5 plays · -12 yds · 2:0342% → 37%
Q3 8:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
58.5%
Cameron Scarlett run for 1 yd to the Stanf 26Similar
Q3 7:10
2ND & 9
OWN 26
-11
59.1%
K.J. Costello sacked by Patrick Jones II for a loss of 11 yards to the Stanf 15 K.J. Costello fumbled, forced by Patrick Jones II, recovered by StanfSimilar
Q3 6:30
3RD & 20
OWN 15
-2
61.6%
Cameron Scarlett run for a loss of 2 yards to the Stanf 13Similar
Q3 5:57
4TH & 22
OWN 13
0
62.9%
Jake Bailey punt for 57 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Pitt 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 17PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:0563% → 62%
Q3 5:51
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
63.4%
Kenny Pickett run for no gain to the Pitt 30Similar
Q3 5:30
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+5
63.2%
Kenny Pickett pass complete to Taysir Mack for 5 yds to the Pitt 35Similar
Q3 4:54
3RD & 5
OWN 35
0
63.9%
Kenny Pickett pass incomplete to Rafael Araujo-LopesSimilar
Q3 4:46
4TH & 5
OWN 35
+40
62.3%
Kirk Christodoulou punt for 30 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the PITTSBURGH 35 STANFORD Penalty, Offensive Holding (10 Yards) to the Stanf 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 18PUNT
5 plays · 15 yds · 1:3540% → 37%
Q3 4:38
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
60.5%
Cameron Scarlett run for 15 yds to the Stanf 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:58
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
58.6%
K.J. Costello pass incomplete to Cameron ScarlettSimilar
Q3 3:40
2ND & 10
OWN 40
0
59.6%
Cameron Scarlett run for no gain to the Stanf 40Similar
Q3 3:10
3RD & 10
OWN 40
0
61.4%
K.J. Costello pass incomplete to JJ Arcega-WhitesideSimilar
Q3 3:03
4TH & 10
OWN 40
0
63.5%
Jake Bailey punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Rafael Araujo-Lopes at the Pitt 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 19PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 2:3268% → 68%
Q3 2:53
1ST & 10
OWN 15
-7
67.6%
Davis, A.J. rush for loss of 1 yard to the PITTSBURGH15, PENALTY PITTSBURGH holding 7 yards to the PITTSBURGH8, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 2:30
1ST & 18
OWN 8
0
67.4%
A.J. Davis run for no gain to the Pitt 8Similar
Q3 1:30
2ND & 17
OWN 8
+1
69.5%
V'Lique Carter run for 1 yd to the Pitt 9Similar
Q3 1:00
3RD & 16
OWN 9
+8
68.6%
Kenny Pickett run for 8 yds to the Pitt 17Similar
Q3 0:21
4TH & 8
OWN 17
-3
68.2%
Kirk Christodoulou punt for 58 yds , Michael Wilson returns for a loss of 3 yards to the Stanf 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 20TD
9 plays · 78 yds · 3:3236% → 64%
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+5
63.7%
Cameron Scarlett run for 5 yds to the Stanf 27Similar
Q4 14:50
2ND & 5
OWN 27
+4
62.7%
Cameron Scarlett run for 4 yds to the Stanf 31Similar
Q4 14:10
3RD & 1
OWN 31
+2
63.2%
Cameron Scarlett run for 2 yds to the Stanf 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:30
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+3
63.9%
Cameron Scarlett run for 3 yds to the Stanf 36Similar
Q4 13:00
2ND & 7
OWN 36
+12
63.3%
K.J. Costello pass complete to JJ Arcega-Whiteside for 12 yds to the Stanf 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:15
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+49
63.8%
K.J. Costello pass complete to JJ Arcega-Whiteside for 49 yds to the Pitt 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:39
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
0
60.2%
K.J. Costello pass incomplete to Scooter HarringtonSimilar
Q4 11:34
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+1
60.3%
Costello, K.J. pass incomplete to Arcega-Whiteside, JJ, PENALTY PITTSBURGH pass interference 1 yards to the PITTSBURGH2, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN STANFORD.Similar
Q4 11:28
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
0
36.2%
K.J. Costello run for 1 yd K.J. Costello fumbled, forced by Dewayne Hendrix, recovered by Stanf Cameron Scarlett for a TD (Jet Toner KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 21MISSED FG
10 plays · 38 yds · 3:1245% → 44%
Q4 11:25
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
44.5%
Pickett, Kenny pass incomplete to Ffrench, Maurice, PENALTY STANFORD pass interference 6 yards to the PITTSBURGH31, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN PITTSBURGH.Similar
Q4 11:10
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+19
45.2%
Darrin Hall run for 19 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:37
1ST & 10
50
0
50.3%
Kenny Pickett pass incomplete to Taysir MackSimilar
Q4 10:10
2ND & 10
50
+7
49.8%
Darrin Hall run for 7 yds to the Stanf 43Similar
Q4 9:50
3RD & 3
OPP 43
+8
50.8%
Darrin Hall run for 8 yds to the Stanf 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:06
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
53.8%
Kenny Pickett pass incomplete to A.J. DavisSimilar
Q4 9:03
2ND & 10
OPP 35
0
53.8%
Kenny Pickett pass incomplete to Taysir MackSimilar
Q4 8:25
3RD & 10
OPP 35
-2
50.5%
Kenny Pickett run for a loss of 2 yards to the Stanf 37 Kenny Pickett fumbled, recovered by Pitt Kenny PickettSimilar
Q4 8:13
4TH & 12
OPP 37
+55
44.3%
Alex Kessman 55 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 22PUNT
9 plays · 22 yds · 4:0662% → 66%
Q4 7:55
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+5
38.4%
Cameron Scarlett run for 5 yds to the Stanf 42Similar
Q4 7:05
2ND & 5
OWN 42
+5
35.4%
Cameron Scarlett run for 5 yds to the Stanf 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:15
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+11
34.1%
Cameron Scarlett run for 11 yds to the Pitt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:30
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+4
33.6%
Dorian Maddox run for 4 yds to the Pitt 38Similar
Q4 4:45
2ND & 6
OPP 38
+2
32.5%
Dorian Maddox run for 2 yds to the Pitt 36Similar
Q4 4:10
3RD & 4
OPP 36
0
33.0%
Cameron Scarlett run for no gain to the Pitt 36Similar
Q4 3:59
4TH & 3
OPP 36
-5
33.4%
STANFORD Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Pitt 41Similar
Q4 3:49
4TH & 8
OPP 41
0
34.2%
Jake Bailey punt for 37 yds, downed at the Pitt 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 23DOWNS
9 plays · 21 yds · 1:5544% → 39%
Q4 3:35
1ST & 10
OWN 4
-1
43.5%
Darrin Hall run for a loss of 1 yard to the Pitt 3Similar
Q4 2:54
2ND & 11
OWN 3
0
41.6%
Kenny Pickett pass incomplete to Maurice FfrenchSimilar
Q4 2:47
3RD & 11
OWN 3
0
39.3%
Kenny Pickett pass incomplete to Maurice FfrenchSimilar
Q4 2:42
4TH & 11
OWN 3
+15
37.6%
Kenny Pickett pass complete to Maurice Ffrench for 15 yds to the Pitt 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:10
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+6
44.1%
Maurice Ffrench run for 6 yds to the Pitt 24Similar
Q4 1:51
2ND & 4
OWN 24
0
45.1%
Kenny Pickett pass incomplete to Shocky Jacques-LouisSimilar
Q4 1:44
3RD & 4
OWN 24
+1
42.4%
Kenny Pickett run for 1 yd to the Pitt 25Similar
Q4 1:40
4TH & 3
OWN 25
0
38.7%
Kenny Pickett pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 24END OF 4TH QUARTER
6 plays · 8 yds · 1:3380% → 95%
Q4 1:33
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+3
19.7%
Cameron Scarlett run for 3 yds to the Pitt 22Similar
Q4 1:00
2ND & 7
OPP 22
+9
15.2%
Michael Wilson run for 9 yds to the Pitt 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:30
1ST & 10
OPP 13
-2
12.2%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Pitt 15Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 12
OPP 15
-2
4.9%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Pitt 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 11:28
K.J. Costello run for 1 yd K.J. Costello fumbled, forced by Dewayne Hendrix, recovered by Stanf Cameron Scarlett for a TD (Jet Toner KICK)
-24.1
KEY PLAY · Q4 1:33
Cameron Scarlett run for 3 yds to the Pitt 22
-19
TD · Q2 2:32
Darrin Hall run for 6 yds for a TD (Alex Kessman KICK)
+9.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com