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NU

Northwestern 31 at Utah 20

UTAH
2018 · Postseason · Dec 31, 2018 · Qualcomm Stadium
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Win probability · UTAH
modelUTAH aheadNU aheadconfidence bandkey playUTAH scoreNU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGFGFGTDTDTDTDEnd of GameFG+2.8UTAH 84.7%Matt Gay 20 Yd Field GoalAWAY 3 - HOME 20 · Q2 0:05
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 0:05 · Matt Gay 20 Yd Field Goal
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+40.0+20.00−20.0−40.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 95Home team on offense+16.1Pregame prior+10.1Score differential+6.9Garbage-time factor+4.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+6.2Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−1.0
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 1:40: Jake Jackson 4 Yd pass from Jason Shelley (Matt Gay Kick) — UTAH win probability +4.6 pts (now 78%) (top driver: UTAH has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 13:13: Riley Lees 4 Yd pass from Clayton Thorson (Charlie Kuhbander Kick) — NU win probability +10.4 pts (now 24%) (top driver: NU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 6:40: Jared McGee 82 Yd Fumble Return (Charlie Kuhbander Kick) — NU win probability +9.3 pts (now 27%) (top driver: UTAH has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 4:39: Trey Klock 20 Yd pass from Clayton Thorson (Charlie Kuhbander Kick) — NU win probability +18.9 pts (now 57%) (top driver: NU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 1:40: Riley Lees 8 Yd Run (Charlie Kuhbander Kick) — NU win probability +12.7 pts (now 76%) (top driver: NU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UTAH made the numbers' call on 4 of 8NU made the numbers' call on 7 of 11
  1. Q1 11:04NU 4th & 7 at UTAH 38, tied
    Close callPunted · 31.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.5%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    31.4%−0.1
    38% to make
    PuntTheir call
    31.4%−<0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:24UTAH 4th & 2 at UTAH 38, tied
    Close callPunted · 68.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    68.2%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    68.1%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 7:42NU 4th & 4 at NU 25, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 31.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.7%−<0.1
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    31.7%
    average punt
  4. Q1 3:19NU 4th & 1 at NU 45, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 29.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    29.3%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    28.7%−0.6
    average punt
  5. Q2 14:54NU 4th & 15 at NU 20, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 23.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.8%−1.4
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    24.1%
    average punt
  6. Q2 13:27NU 4th & 18 at midfield, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 23.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.3%−1.3
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    23.6%
    average punt
  7. Q2 11:44UTAH 4th & 1 at UTAH 20, up 14
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.7 ptsPunted · 78.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    78.6%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    76.9%−1.7
    average punt
  8. Q2 8:42NU 4th & 3 at UTAH 3, down 14
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.0 ptsKicked a field goal · 22.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.7%
    44% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    21.7%−1.0
    93% to make
    Punt
    16.5%−6.3
    average punt
  9. Q2 3:57UTAH 4th & 5 at NU 14, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 78.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    77.9%−0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    78.0%
    84% to make
    Punt
    74.3%−3.7
    average punt
  10. Q2 0:05UTAH 4th & 2 at NU 2, up 14
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.6 ptsKicked a field goal · 84.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.0%
    48% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    83.4%−1.6
    94% to make
    Punt
    79.0%−5.9
    average punt
  11. Q3 11:44UTAH 4th & 14 at UTAH 26, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 78.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    76.6%−2.9
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    79.5%
    average punt
  12. Q3 10:47NU 4th & 13 at NU 28, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 18.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.6%−2.2
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    19.8%
    average punt
  13. Q3 4:14UTAH 4th & 10 at UTAH 30, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 46.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.4%−2.0
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    47.4%
    average punt
  14. Q4 11:19NU 4th & 18 at UTAH 42, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 81.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    79.9%−2.0
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    81.0%−0.9
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    81.8%
    average punt
  15. Q4 9:57UTAH 4th & 4 at UTAH 28, down 11
    Close callPunted · 15.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.7%
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    15.5%−0.2
    average punt
  16. Q4 4:12NU 4th & 4 at NU 38, up 11
    Close callPunted · 90.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.0%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    89.9%−0.1
    average punt
  17. Q4 3:08UTAH 4th & 4 at UTAH 30, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 6.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    7.0%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    6.7%−0.3
    average punt
  18. Q4 2:52NU 4th & 2 at UTAH 22, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 93.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    93.0%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    92.7%−0.3
    72% to make
    Punt
    90.5%−2.5
    average punt
  19. Q4 0:38NU 4th & 14 at UTAH 28, up 11
    Close callWent for it · 94.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    94.5%−0.6
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    95.1%
    60% to make
    Punt
    93.7%−1.4
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UTAH made the numbers' call on 2 of 2NU made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 5:48UTAH Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    70.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    70.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 1:40UTAH Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    75.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    75.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 13:13NU Touchdown, down 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    19.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    19.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 6:40NU Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    30.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    30.1%−0.2
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 4:39NU Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    49.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    49.5%−0.2
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 1:40NU Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    73.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    73.2%−0.2
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
NUDrive 1PUNT
9 plays · 37 yds · 3:5630% → 31%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
70.1%
Clayton Thorson pass complete to Cameron Green for 4 yds to the Nwest 29Similar
Q1 14:29
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+1
70.0%
Isaiah Bowser run for 1 yd to the Nwest 30Similar
Q1 13:46
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+18
69.9%
Clayton Thorson pass complete to Flynn Nagel for 18 yds to the Nwest 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:24
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+11
69.7%
Clayton Thorson pass complete to Kyric McGowan for 11 yds to the Utah 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:59
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
69.6%
Isaiah Bowser run for no gain to the Utah 41Similar
Q1 12:28
2ND & 10
OPP 41
+1
69.4%
John Moten IV run for 1 yd to the Utah 40Similar
Q1 11:53
3RD & 9
OPP 40
+2
69.3%
Chad Hanaoka run for 2 yds to the Utah 38Similar
Q1 11:04
4TH & 7
OPP 38
0
69.3%
Jake Collins punt for 34 yds, downed at the Utah 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 2PUNT
7 plays · 34 yds · 2:4070% → 69%
Q1 11:04
1ST & 10
OWN 4
0
69.5%
Jason Shelley pass incomplete to Jaylen DixonSimilar
Q1 10:56
2ND & 10
OWN 4
+4
69.4%
Armand Shyne run for 4 yds to the Utah 8Similar
Q1 10:18
3RD & 6
OWN 8
+22
69.1%
Jason Shelley pass complete to Jaylen Dixon for 22 yds to the Utah 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:04
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+5
69.4%
Jason Shelley pass complete to Jaylen Dixon for 5 yds to the Utah 35Similar
Q1 9:37
2ND & 5
OWN 35
+3
69.5%
Armand Shyne run for 3 yds to the Utah 38Similar
Q1 9:04
3RD & 2
OWN 38
0
69.4%
Armand Shyne run for no gain to the Utah 38Similar
Q1 8:24
4TH & 2
OWN 38
0
68.9%
Mitch Wishnowsky punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Riley Lees at the Nwest 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:4231% → 31%
Q1 8:24
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+6
68.9%
Clayton Thorson pass complete to Bennett Skowronek for 6 yds to the Nwest 25Similar
Q1 7:58
2ND & 4
OWN 25
0
68.7%
Clayton Thorson pass incomplete to John Moten IVSimilar
Q1 7:52
3RD & 4
OWN 25
0
68.9%
Clayton Thorson pass incomplete to Riley LeesSimilar
Q1 7:42
4TH & 4
OWN 25
0
69.1%
Jake Collins punt for 37 yds , Demari Simpkins returns for no gain to the Utah 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 4TD
6 plays · 62 yds · 1:5469% → 72%
Q1 7:42
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
69.1%
Jason Shelley pass incomplete to TJ GreenSimilar
Q1 7:35
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+4
69.0%
Armand Shyne run for 4 yds to the Utah 42Similar
Q1 7:01
3RD & 6
OWN 42
+19
68.9%
Jason Shelley pass complete to Solomon Enis for 19 yds to the Nwest 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:26
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
69.5%
Jason Shelley pass incomplete to Siaosi MarinerSimilar
Q1 6:19
2ND & 10
OPP 39
+12
69.4%
Jason Shelley run for 12 yds to the Nwest 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:48
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+27
72.4%
Jaylen Dixon 27 Yd pass from Jason Shelley (Matt Gay Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 5DOWNS
7 plays · 20 yds · 2:2829% → 29%
Q1 5:47
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
71.5%
Isaiah Bowser run for 4 yds to the Nwest 29Similar
Q1 5:22
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+7
71.3%
Clayton Thorson pass complete to Cameron Green for 7 yds to the Nwest 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:59
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
71.3%
Clayton Thorson pass incomplete to Kyric McGowanSimilar
Q1 4:52
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+3
71.5%
Clayton Thorson pass complete to Flynn Nagel for 3 yds to the Nwest 39Similar
Q1 4:12
3RD & 7
OWN 39
+6
71.5%
Clayton Thorson pass complete to Riley Lees for 6 yds to the Nwest 45Similar
Q1 3:19
4TH & 1
OWN 45
0
71.5%
Isaiah Bowser run for no gain to the Nwest 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 6TD
5 plays · 45 yds · 1:3873% → 78%
Q1 3:18
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+15
73.0%
Jason Shelley run for 15 yds to the Nwest 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:51
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+4
73.1%
TJ Green run for 4 yds to the Nwest 26Similar
Q1 2:29
2ND & 6
OPP 26
+21
72.9%
Jason Shelley pass complete to Jake Jackson for 21 yds to the Nwest 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:10
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+1
73.0%
Armand Shyne run for 1 yd to the Nwest 4Similar
Q1 1:40
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
77.6%
Jake Jackson 4 Yd pass from Jason Shelley (Matt Gay Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 7PUNT
6 plays · -5 yds · 1:4524% → 23%
Q1 1:39
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-10
75.7%
Clayton Thorson sacked by Cody Barton and Javelin K. Guidry for a loss of 10 yards to the Nwest 15Similar
Q1 1:05
2ND & 20
OWN 15
-5
76.1%
NORTHWESTERN Penalty, False Start (Rashawn Slater) to the Nwest 10Similar
Q1 0:41
2ND & 25
OWN 10
+5
76.3%
Clayton Thorson pass complete to Cameron Green for 5 yds to the Nwest 15Similar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 20
OWN 15
+5
76.7%
Clayton Thorson pass complete to Chad Hanaoka for 5 yds to the Nwest 20Similar
Q2 14:54
4TH & 15
OWN 20
0
76.7%
Jake Collins punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Demari Simpkins at the Utah 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 8FUMBLE
1 play · 6 yds · 0:0078% → 78%
Q2 14:43
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+6
78.0%
Jason Shelley pass complete to Jaylen Dixon for 6 yds Jaylen Dixon fumbled, forced by Paddy Fisher, recovered by Nwest Chris BerginSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 9PUNT
4 plays · -8 yds · 1:1524% → 23%
Q2 14:42
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
75.6%
Clayton Thorson run for no gain to the Utah 42Similar
Q2 14:13
2ND & 10
OPP 42
0
75.8%
Clayton Thorson pass incomplete to Jelani RobertsSimilar
Q2 13:57
3RD & 10
OPP 42
-8
76.6%
Clayton Thorson sacked by Corrion Ballard for a loss of 8 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 13:27
4TH & 18
50
0
77.4%
Jake Collins punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Demari Simpkins at the Utah 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 10PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 1:4278% → 78%
Q2 13:26
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+9
78.3%
Jason Shelley pass complete to Siaosi Mariner for 9 yds to the Utah 20Similar
Q2 12:59
2ND & 1
OWN 20
0
78.6%
Jason Shelley run for no gain to the Utah 20Similar
Q2 12:28
3RD & 1
OWN 20
0
78.3%
Armand Shyne run for no gain to the Utah 20Similar
Q2 11:44
4TH & 1
OWN 20
0
78.2%
Mitch Wishnowsky punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Riley Lees at the Nwest 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 11FG
8 plays · 62 yds · 3:0123% → 25%
Q2 11:43
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
77.4%
Isaiah Bowser run for 2 yds to the Nwest 37Similar
Q2 11:19
2ND & 8
OWN 37
+4
77.4%
Clayton Thorson pass complete to Cameron Green for 4 yds to the Nwest 41Similar
Q2 10:36
3RD & 4
OWN 41
+24
77.4%
Clayton Thorson pass complete to Berkeley Holman for 24 yds to the Utah 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:14
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+32
76.6%
Clayton Thorson pass complete to Kyric McGowan for 32 yds to the Utah 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:47
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+1
76.6%
Isaiah Bowser run for 1 yd to the Utah 2Similar
Q2 9:17
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
-1
76.8%
Isaiah Bowser run for a loss of 1 yard to the Utah 3Similar
Q2 8:53
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
0
77.6%
Clayton Thorson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:42
4TH & GOAL
OPP 3
+21
75.2%
Charlie Kuhbander 21 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 12FG
12 plays · 57 yds · 4:3977% → 81%
Q2 8:36
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+8
76.9%
Jason Shelley pass complete to Jake Jackson for 8 yds to the Utah 37Similar
Q2 8:11
2ND & 2
OWN 37
+17
77.0%
Jason Shelley run for 17 yds to the Nwest 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:34
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+2
78.2%
Jason Shelley run for 2 yds to the Nwest 44Similar
Q2 7:02
2ND & 8
OPP 44
+9
78.3%
Jason Shelley pass complete to Jaylen Dixon for 9 yds to the Nwest 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:38
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+3
78.5%
Armand Shyne run for 3 yds to the Nwest 32Similar
Q2 5:59
2ND & 7
OPP 32
+6
78.7%
Jason Shelley pass complete to Solomon Enis for 6 yds to the Nwest 26Similar
Q2 5:30
3RD & 1
OPP 26
+7
78.3%
Armand Shyne run for 7 yds to the Nwest 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:12
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+5
79.0%
Armand Shyne run for 5 yds to the Nwest 14Similar
Q2 4:40
2ND & 5
OPP 14
0
79.0%
Jason Shelley run for no gain to the Nwest 14Similar
Q2 4:07
3RD & 5
OPP 14
0
79.1%
Jason Shelley pass incomplete to Jaylen DixonSimilar
Q2 3:57
4TH & 5
OPP 14
+32
81.2%
Matt Gay 32 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 13INT
6 plays · 20 yds · 1:2719% → 19%
Q2 3:56
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+3
80.9%
Isaiah Bowser run for 3 yds to the Nwest 16Similar
Q2 3:18
2ND & 7
OWN 16
0
81.2%
Clayton Thorson pass incomplete to Cameron GreenSimilar
Q2 3:13
3RD & 7
OWN 16
+10
81.5%
Thorson, Clayton pass incomplete to Green, Cameron, PENALTY UTAH holding (Tupai, Maxs) 10 yards to the NORTHWSTRN26, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN NORTHWSTRN.Similar
Q2 2:54
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+7
81.4%
Clayton Thorson pass complete to Cameron Green for 7 yds to the Nwest 33Similar
Q2 2:29
2ND & 3
OWN 33
+5
81.0%
Clayton Thorson pass intercepted Marquise Blair return for 5 yds to the Nwest 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 14FG
16 plays · 33 yds · 2:2384% → 85%
Q2 2:28
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+5
83.5%
Armand Shyne run for 5 yds to the Nwest 30Similar
Q2 1:57
2ND & 5
OPP 30
-5
84.3%
Shelley, Jason pass incomplete to Mariner, Siaosi, PENALTY UTAH ineligible downfield on pass 5 yards to the NORTHWSTRN35, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 1:49
2ND & 10
OPP 35
+10
84.3%
Jason Shelley pass complete to Brant Kuithe for 10 yds to the Nwest 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:12
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+6
84.6%
Jason Shelley run for 6 yds to the Nwest 19Similar
Q2 0:44
2ND & 4
OPP 19
+9
84.8%
Jason Shelley pass complete to Jaylen Dixon for 9 yds to the Nwest 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:32
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
0
83.5%
Jason Shelley pass incomplete to Samson NacuaSimilar
Q2 0:27
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
0
83.4%
Jason Shelley pass incomplete to Cole FotheringhamSimilar
Q2 0:22
3RD & GOAL
OPP 10
+8
82.7%
Shelley, Jason pass incomplete to Mariner, Siaosi, PENALTY NORTHWSTRN pass interference (Newsome II, Greg) 8 yards to the NORTHWSTRN2, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN UTAH.Similar
Q2 0:21
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
83.4%
Armand Shyne run for 1 yd to the Nwest 1Similar
Q2 0:16
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
83.8%
Jason Shelley pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:15
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
-1
82.4%
Armand Shyne run for a loss of 1 yard to the Nwest 2Similar
Q2 0:05
4TH & GOAL
OPP 2
+20
84.7%
Matt Gay 20 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 15END OF HALF
2 plays · -1 yds · 0:0014% → 14%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 11
-1
85.7%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Nwest 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 16INT
5 plays · 12 yds · 1:0587% → 87%
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+5
86.8%
Jason Shelley pass complete to Samson Nacua for 5 yds to the Utah 34Similar
Q3 14:24
2ND & 5
OWN 34
+7
87.1%
Jason Shelley pass complete to Siaosi Mariner for 7 yds to the Utah 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:59
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
87.7%
Jason Shelley pass incomplete to Jameson FieldSimilar
Q3 13:49
2ND & 10
OWN 41
0
87.2%
Jason Shelley pass intercepted Blake Gallagher return for no gain to the Nwest 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 17TD
2 plays · 56 yds · 0:3614% → 24%
Q3 13:49
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+52
86.3%
Clayton Thorson pass complete to Ramaud Chiaokhiao-Bowman for 52 yds to the Utah 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:13
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
75.9%
Riley Lees 4 Yd pass from Clayton Thorson (Charlie Kuhbander Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 18PUNT
5 plays · -4 yds · 1:2480% → 78%
Q3 13:08
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-1
79.9%
TJ Green run for a loss of 1 yard to the Utah 29Similar
Q3 12:33
2ND & 11
OWN 29
-3
79.7%
Jaylen Dixon run for a loss of 3 yards to the Utah 26Similar
Q3 11:59
3RD & 14
OWN 26
0
78.7%
Jason Shelley pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 11:44
4TH & 14
OWN 26
0
78.1%
Mitch Wishnowsky punt for 43 yds, downed at the Nwest 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 19PUNT
4 plays · -3 yds · 0:5321% → 19%
Q3 11:40
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
79.1%
Clayton Thorson pass incomplete to Cameron GreenSimilar
Q3 11:28
2ND & 10
OWN 31
-3
79.5%
Clayton Thorson pass complete to Kyric McGowan for a loss of 3 yards to the Nwest 28Similar
Q3 11:04
3RD & 13
OWN 28
0
80.8%
Clayton Thorson pass incomplete to Chad HanaokaSimilar
Q3 10:47
4TH & 13
OWN 28
+6
81.3%
Jake Collins punt for 47 yds , Demari Simpkins returns for 6 yds to the Utah 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 20FUMBLE RETURN TD
8 plays · 51 yds · 4:0581% → 73%
Q3 10:45
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
80.6%
Armand Shyne run for no gain to the Utah 31Similar
Q3 10:16
2ND & 10
OWN 31
+31
80.5%
Jason Shelley pass complete to Bryan Thompson for 31 yds to the Nwest 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:51
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+4
82.3%
Jason Shelley pass complete to TJ Green for 4 yds to the Nwest 34Similar
Q3 9:07
2ND & 6
OPP 34
+7
82.7%
Jason Shelley pass complete to Jameson Field for 7 yds to the Nwest 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:42
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+6
82.9%
Jason Shelley run for 6 yds to the Nwest 21Similar
Q3 8:04
2ND & 4
OPP 21
+1
83.0%
Armand Shyne run for 1 yd to the Nwest 20Similar
Q3 7:36
3RD & 3
OPP 20
+14
82.2%
Jason Shelley pass complete to Brant Kuithe for 14 yds to the Nwest 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:40
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
-82
73.0%
Jared McGee 82 Yd Fumble Return (Charlie Kuhbander Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 21FUMBLE
4 plays · 29 yds · 1:2470% → 69%
Q3 6:34
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+6
69.8%
Jason Shelley pass complete to Siaosi Mariner for 6 yds to the Utah 42Similar
Q3 6:00
2ND & 4
OWN 42
-2
71.3%
Jason Shelley run for a loss of 2 yards to the Utah 40Similar
Q3 5:10
3RD & 6
OWN 40
+34
69.0%
Jason Shelley pass complete to Jaylen Dixon for 25 yds Jaylen Dixon fumbled, forced by Trae Williams, recovered by Nwest JR Pace , return for 34 yds to the Utah 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 22TD
2 plays · 31 yds · 0:3039% → 57%
Q3 5:09
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+11
61.5%
Isaiah Bowser run for 11 yds to the Utah 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:39
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+20
42.6%
Trey Klock 20 Yd pass from Clayton Thorson (Charlie Kuhbander Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 23PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:1949% → 46%
Q3 4:33
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
49.3%
Jason Shelley pass incomplete to Demari SimpkinsSimilar
Q3 4:30
2ND & 10
OWN 30
0
48.7%
Jason Shelley pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 4:26
3RD & 10
OWN 30
0
47.0%
Jason Shelley pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 4:14
4TH & 10
OWN 30
0
45.9%
Mitch Wishnowsky punt for 37 yds, downed at the Nwest 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 24TD
8 plays · 67 yds · 2:3356% → 76%
Q3 4:13
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+23
44.5%
Isaiah Bowser run for 23 yds to the Utah 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:41
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+2
41.5%
Isaiah Bowser run for 2 yds to the Utah 42Similar
Q3 3:12
2ND & 8
OPP 42
+5
40.7%
Thorson, Clayton pass complete to Green, Cameron for 7 yards to the UTAH35, PENALTY UTAH offside (Tafua, Mika) 5 yards to the UTAH37, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 2:51
2ND & 3
OPP 37
+4
40.0%
Isaiah Bowser run for 4 yds to the Utah 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:30
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+3
38.1%
Isaiah Bowser run for 3 yds to the Utah 30Similar
Q3 1:58
2ND & 7
OPP 30
+7
37.3%
Clayton Thorson pass complete to Cameron Green for 7 yds to the Utah 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:49
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+15
37.2%
Thorson, Clayton pass incomplete to McGowan, Kyric, PENALTY UTAH pass interference (Guidry, Javelin K.) 15 yards to the UTAH8, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN NORTHWSTRN.Similar
Q3 1:40
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
24.5%
Riley Lees 8 Yd Run (Charlie Kuhbander Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 25INT
4 plays · 17 yds · 0:5528% → 28%
Q3 1:36
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+16
27.6%
Jason Shelley pass complete to Siaosi Mariner for 16 yds to the Utah 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:01
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+1
28.4%
Devin Brumfield run for 1 yd to the Utah 45Similar
Q3 0:41
2ND & 9
OWN 45
0
27.8%
Jason Shelley pass intercepted JR Pace return for no gain to the Nwest 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 26PUNT
9 plays · 20 yds · 3:4177% → 82%
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+6
22.6%
Isaiah Bowser run for 6 yds to the Nwest 44Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 44
+12
22.2%
Clayton Thorson pass complete to Ramaud Chiaokhiao-Bowman for 12 yds to the Utah 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:36
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+3
22.4%
Isaiah Bowser run for 3 yds to the Utah 41Similar
Q4 14:07
2ND & 7
OPP 41
+7
21.5%
Isaiah Bowser run for 7 yds to the Utah 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:46
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
20.8%
John Moten IV run for no gain to the Utah 34Similar
Q4 13:21
2ND & 10
OPP 34
-15
19.5%
Thorson, Clayton pass complete to McGowan, Kyric for 29 yards to the UTAH5, PENALTY NORTHWSTRN pass interference (McGowan, Kyric) 15 yards to the UTAH49, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 12:49
2ND & 25
OPP 49
+2
19.8%
Clayton Thorson run for 2 yds to the Utah 47Similar
Q4 12:08
3RD & 23
OPP 47
+5
19.7%
Clayton Thorson pass complete to Kyric McGowan for 5 yds to the Utah 42Similar
Q4 11:19
4TH & 18
OPP 42
0
18.1%
Jake Collins punt for 20 yds, fair catch by Demari Simpkins at the Utah 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 27PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:2220% → 15%
Q4 11:19
1ST & 10
OWN 22
-5
20.2%
Jason Shelley sacked by Travis Whillock for a loss of 5 yards to the Utah 17Similar
Q4 10:38
2ND & 15
OWN 17
0
16.6%
Jason Shelley pass complete to Jaylen Dixon for no gain to the Utah 17Similar
Q4 10:14
3RD & 15
OWN 17
+11
15.3%
Jason Shelley pass complete to Jaylen Dixon for 11 yds to the Utah 28Similar
Q4 9:57
4TH & 4
OWN 28
0
14.8%
Mitch Wishnowsky punt for 63 yds, downed at the Nwest 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 28PUNT
10 plays · 29 yds · 5:4084% → 92%
Q4 9:52
1ST & 10
OWN 9
0
16.3%
Isaiah Bowser run for no gain to the Nwest 9Similar
Q4 9:10
2ND & 10
OWN 9
0
15.3%
Isaiah Bowser run for no gain to the Nwest 9Similar
Q4 8:34
3RD & 10
OWN 9
+12
15.3%
Clayton Thorson pass complete to Cameron Green for 12 yds to the Nwest 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:52
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+1
13.0%
Isaiah Bowser run for 1 yd to the Nwest 22Similar
Q4 7:18
2ND & 9
OWN 22
+10
12.0%
Clayton Thorson run for 10 yds to the Nwest 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:34
1ST & 10
OWN 32
-12
11.4%
Isaiah Bowser run for a loss of 12 yards to the Nwest 20 Isaiah Bowser fumbled, forced by Bradlee Anae, recovered by Nwest Isaiah BowserSimilar
Q4 5:57
2ND & 22
OWN 20
+7
10.7%
TJ Green run for 7 yds to the Nwest 27Similar
Q4 5:01
3RD & 15
OWN 27
+11
10.8%
Isaiah Bowser run for 11 yds to the Nwest 38Similar
Q4 4:12
4TH & 4
OWN 38
-6
8.5%
Jake Collins punt for 47 yds , Demari Simpkins returns for a loss of 6 yards to the Utah 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 29DOWNS
7 plays · 21 yds · 1:049% → 6%
Q4 4:12
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+6
9.4%
Jason Shelley pass complete to Brant Kuithe for 6 yds to the Utah 15Similar
Q4 3:51
2ND & 4
OWN 15
0
9.6%
Jason Shelley pass incomplete to Derrick VickersSimilar
Q4 3:44
3RD & 4
OWN 15
+9
8.4%
Jason Shelley pass complete to Solomon Enis for 9 yds to the Utah 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:37
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+6
9.0%
Jason Shelley pass complete to Brant Kuithe for 6 yds to the Utah 30Similar
Q4 3:26
2ND & 4
OWN 30
0
7.5%
Jason Shelley pass incomplete to Brant KuitheSimilar
Q4 3:18
3RD & 4
OWN 30
0
6.9%
Jason Shelley pass incomplete to Demari SimpkinsSimilar
Q4 3:08
4TH & 4
OWN 30
0
6.3%
Jason Shelley pass incomplete to Derrick VickersSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 30DOWNS
7 plays · 6 yds · 0:1694% → 95%
Q4 3:08
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
6.1%
Isaiah Bowser run for no gain to the Utah 30Similar
Q4 3:03
2ND & 10
OPP 30
+1
5.0%
Isaiah Bowser run for 1 yd to the Utah 29Similar
Q4 3:00
3RD & 9
OPP 29
+7
4.7%
Jelani Roberts run for 7 yds to the Utah 22Similar
Q4 2:52
4TH & 2
OPP 22
-2
4.8%
Riley Lees run for a loss of 2 yards to the Utah 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 31FUMBLE
1 play · 0 yds · 0:004% → 4%
Q4 2:44
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
3.9%
Jason Shelley sacked by Earnest Brown IV for 0 yards to the Utah 24 Jason Shelley fumbled, forced by Earnest Brown IV, recovered by Nwest Joe Spivak , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 32DOWNS
4 plays · -5 yds · 2:0696% → 96%
Q4 2:44
1ST & 10
OPP 24
-2
4.3%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Utah 26Similar
Q4 2:00
2ND & 12
OPP 26
-1
3.4%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Utah 27Similar
Q4 1:21
3RD & 13
OPP 27
-1
3.4%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Utah 28Similar
Q4 0:38
4TH & 14
OPP 28
-1
3.6%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Utah 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 33Uncategorized
1 play · 13 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q4 0:38
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+13
2.8%
Devin Brumfield run for 13 yds to the Utah 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 4:39
Trey Klock 20 Yd pass from Clayton Thorson (Charlie Kuhbander Kick)
-18.9
TD · Q3 1:40
Riley Lees 8 Yd Run (Charlie Kuhbander Kick)
-12.7
TD · Q3 13:13
Riley Lees 4 Yd pass from Clayton Thorson (Charlie Kuhbander Kick)
-10.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com