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CLEM

Clemson 44 at Alabama 16

ALA
2018 · CFP National Championship · Jan 7, 2019 · Levi's Stadium
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Win probability · ALA
modelALA aheadCLEM aheadconfidence bandkey playALA scoreCLEM score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDFGTDTDFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 2:45 · Adam Choice run for 7 yds to the Alab 5 for a 1ST down
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialPregame priorGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+56.0+28.00−28.0−56.0Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 11:38: Travis Etienne run for 1 yd for a TD, (Greg Huegel KICK) — CLEM win probability +5.5 pts (now 43%) (top driver: CLEM has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 4:38: Trevor Lawrence pass complete to Travis Etienne for 5 yds for a TD, (Greg Huegel KICK) — CLEM win probability +11.0 pts (now 57%) (top driver: CLEM has the ball).
  3. FG · Q2 0:45: Greg Huegel 36 yd FG GOOD — CLEM win probability +5.0 pts (now 70%) (top driver: CLEM has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 8:26: Trevor Lawrence pass complete to Justyn Ross for 74 yds for a TD (Greg Huegel PAT MISSED) — CLEM win probability +12.1 pts (now 89%) (top driver: CLEM has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 0:21: Trevor Lawrence pass complete to Tee Higgins for 5 yds for a TD (Greg Huegel KICK) — CLEM win probability +3.5 pts (now 99%) (top driver: CLEM has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ALA made the numbers' call on 8 of 9CLEM made the numbers' call on 4 of 5
  1. Q1 15:00CLEM 4th & 7 at CLEM 28, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 34.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.3%−0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    34.3%
    average punt
  2. Q1 6:23CLEM 4th & 14 at CLEM 21, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 34.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.4%−0.8
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    35.2%
    average punt
  3. Q1 5:25ALA 4th & 1 at CLEM 6, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 64.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    64.5%
    69% to convert
    Field goal
    63.8%−0.7
    91% to make
    Punt
    61.9%−2.6
    average punt
  4. Q2 14:18ALA 4th & 7 at CLEM 7, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 63.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    63.2%−0.2
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    63.4%
    91% to make
    Punt
    60.6%−2.8
    average punt
  5. Q2 11:38ALA 4th & 1 at ALA 34, down 5
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 59.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    60.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    59.0%−1.0
    average punt
  6. Q2 2:10ALA 4th & 17 at ALA 34, down 12
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 41.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.7%−1.8
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    41.5%
    average punt
  7. Q2 0:45CLEM 4th & 12 at ALA 18, up 12
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 60.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.1%−2.4
    21% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    61.5%
    79% to make
    Punt
    54.2%−7.3
    average punt
  8. Q3 15:00ALA 4th & 1 at CLEM 40, down 15
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 36.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    36.5%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    32.5%−4.0
    34% to make
    Punt
    33.3%−3.2
    average punt
  9. Q3 15:00ALA 4th & 6 at CLEM 22, down 15
    Close callWent for it · 36.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    35.7%−0.3
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    36.0%
    72% to make
    Punt
    29.3%−6.8
    average punt
  10. Q3 5:54ALA 4th & 4 at CLEM 14, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 11.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    10.9%
    46% to convert
    Field goal
    10.8%−0.1
    84% to make
    Punt
    2.4%−8.5
    average punt
  11. Q4 15:00ALA 4th & 2 at CLEM 2, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 1.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.6%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    1.5%−0.1
    94% to make
    Punt
    1.1%−0.6
    average punt
  12. Q4 12:17CLEM 4th & 11 at CLEM 8, up 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.9%−0.1
    24% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.1%
    average punt
  13. Q4 11:12ALA 4th & 14 at ALA 44, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.5%−0.1
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.6%
    average punt
  14. Q4 2:45CLEM 4th & 5 at ALA 12, up 28
    Close callWent for it · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.7%−<0.1
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    99.7%
    86% to make
    Punt
    99.4%−0.4
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ALA made the numbers' call on 2 of 2CLEM made the numbers' call on 6 of 6
  1. Q1 13:20CLEM Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    34.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    34.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 12:05ALA Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    65.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    65.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 10:35CLEM Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    35.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    35.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q1 6:23ALA Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    64.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    64.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 11:38CLEM Touchdown, up 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    40.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    40.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 4:38CLEM Touchdown, up 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    56.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    56.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 8:26CLEM Touchdown, up 21 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    87.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    87.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 0:21CLEM Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
CLEMDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:0036% → 36%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
64.3%
Trevor Lawrence pass incomplete to Travis Etienne, broken up by Anfernee JenningsSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+3
64.3%
Travis Etienne run for 3 yds to the Clem 28Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 7
OWN 28
0
64.3%
Trevor Lawrence pass incomplete to Hunter RenfrowSimilar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 7
OWN 28
0
64.3%
Will Spiers punt for 51 yds, fair catch by Jaylen Waddle at the Alab 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 2INT TD
3 plays · 20 yds · 1:0064% → 64%
Q1 14:20
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+8
64.3%
Tua Tagovailoa pass complete to Irv Smith Jr. for 8 yds to the Alab 29Similar
Q1 14:20
2ND & 2
OWN 29
+12
64.3%
Tua Tagovailoa pass complete to DeVonta Smith for 12 yds to the Alab 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:20
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+44
63.8%
Tua Tagovailoa pass intercepted for a TD A.J. Terrell return for 44 yds for a TD, (Greg Huegel KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 3TD
4 plays · 75 yds · 1:1564% → 64%
Q1 13:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
63.7%
Damien Harris run for 3 yds to the Alab 28Similar
Q1 13:20
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+10
63.7%
Damien Harris run for 10 yds to the Alab 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:05
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+62
64.3%
Tua Tagovailoa pass complete to Jerry Jeudy for 62 yds for a TD, (Joseph Bulovas KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 4TD
6 plays · 75 yds · 1:3036% → 38%
Q1 12:05
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
64.1%
Trevor Lawrence pass incomplete to Justyn RossSimilar
Q1 12:05
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-12
64.1%
Lawrence,T. pass complete to Ross for 6 yards to the CU31, out-of-bounds (Surtain,Patrick), PENALTY CU personal foul (Simpson) 12 yards to the CU13, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 12:05
2ND & 22
OWN 13
+8
64.1%
Trevor Lawrence pass complete to Trevion Thompson for 8 yds to the Clem 21Similar
Q1 12:05
3RD & 14
OWN 21
+62
64.2%
Trevor Lawrence pass complete to Tee Higgins for 62 yds to the Alab 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:35
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+17
61.9%
Travis Etienne run for 17 yds for a TD, (Greg Huegel KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 5TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 4:1262% → 65%
Q1 10:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
62.4%
Josh Jacobs run for 7 yds to the Alab 32Similar
Q1 10:35
2ND & 3
OWN 32
0
62.7%
Tua Tagovailoa pass complete to Irv Smith Jr. for no gain to the Alab 32Similar
Q1 10:35
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+15
62.4%
Tua Tagovailoa pass complete to DeVonta Smith for 15 yds to the Alab 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:35
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+11
62.8%
Tua Tagovailoa pass complete to DeVonta Smith for 11 yds to the Clem 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:28
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+21
62.4%
Tua Tagovailoa pass complete to Irv Smith Jr. for 21 yds to the Clem 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:28
1ST & 10
OPP 21
0
62.7%
Tua Tagovailoa pass incomplete to Josh JacobsSimilar
Q1 8:28
2ND & 10
OPP 21
+9
62.7%
Najee Harris run for 9 yds to the Clem 12Similar
Q1 8:28
3RD & 1
OPP 12
+3
62.4%
Najee Harris run for 3 yds to the Clem 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:28
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+8
62.7%
Najee Harris run for 8 yds to the Clem 1Similar
Q1 6:23
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
64.5%
Tua Tagovailoa pass complete to Hale Hentges for 1 yd for a TD, (Joseph Bulovas PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · -4 yds · 0:0037% → 36%
Q1 6:23
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
63.5%
Trevor Lawrence pass incomplete to Hunter Renfrow, broken up by Xavier McKinneySimilar
Q1 6:23
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-4
63.5%
Travis Etienne run for a loss of 4 yards to the Clem 21Similar
Q1 6:23
3RD & 14
OWN 21
0
63.8%
Trevor Lawrence pass incomplete to Hunter RenfrowSimilar
Q1 6:23
4TH & 14
OWN 21
+7
64.1%
Will Spiers punt for 38 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Alab 48 , Jaylen Waddle returns for 7 yds to the Alab 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 7FG
12 plays · 45 yds · 6:0764% → 66%
Q1 5:25
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+12
63.9%
Tua Tagovailoa pass complete to Jerry Jeudy for 12 yds to the Clem 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:25
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+13
64.0%
Najee Harris run for 13 yds to the Clem 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:25
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+12
64.5%
Tua Tagovailoa pass complete to Jerry Jeudy for 12 yds to the Clem 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:25
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+6
64.5%
Damien Harris run for 6 yds to the Clem 9Similar
Q1 5:25
2ND & 4
OPP 9
+1
64.5%
Damien Harris run for 1 yd to the Clem 8Similar
Q1 5:25
3RD & 3
OPP 8
+2
64.0%
Damien Harris run for 2 yds to the Clem 6Similar
Q1 5:25
4TH & 1
OPP 6
+4
63.7%
Josh Jacobs run for 4 yds to the Clem 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:25
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
64.5%
Damien Harris run for 1 yd to the Clem 1Similar
Q1 5:25
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
-5
64.5%
ALABAMA Penalty, false start (Jedrick Wills Jr.) to the Clem 6Similar
Q1 5:25
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+3
64.5%
Tua Tagovailoa pass complete to Henry Ruggs III for 3 yds to the Clem 3Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
-4
64.0%
Tua Tagovailoa pass complete to Damien Harris for a loss of 4 yards to the Clem 7Similar
Q2 14:18
4TH & GOAL
OPP 7
+25
65.5%
Joseph Bulovas 25 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 8TD
8 plays · 65 yds · 2:4036% → 43%
Q2 14:18
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+15
64.0%
Lawrence,T. pass incomplete to Higgins, PENALTY UA pass interference (Smith,Saivion) 15 yards to the 50 yardline, 1ST DOWN CU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 14:18
1ST & 10
50
+26
62.7%
Trevor Lawrence pass complete to Tavien Feaster for 26 yds to the Alab 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:18
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+1
62.1%
Trevor Lawrence run for 1 yd to the Alab 23Similar
Q2 14:18
2ND & 9
OPP 23
+4
62.1%
Tavien Feaster run for 4 yds to the Alab 19Similar
Q2 14:18
3RD & 5
OPP 19
+14
62.7%
Trevor Lawrence pass complete to Tee Higgins for 14 yds to the Alab 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:18
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+4
62.1%
Travis Etienne run for 4 yds to the Alab 1Similar
Q2 11:38
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
56.6%
Travis Etienne run for 1 yd for a TD, (Greg Huegel KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 9INT
8 plays · 31 yds · 0:0059% → 61%
Q2 11:38
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
59.2%
Josh Jacobs run for 7 yds to the Alab 32Similar
Q2 11:38
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+2
60.5%
Josh Jacobs run for 2 yds to the Alab 34Similar
Q2 11:38
3RD & 1
OWN 34
0
59.8%
Josh Jacobs run for no gain to the Alab 34Similar
Q2 11:38
4TH & 1
OWN 34
+3
58.8%
Josh Jacobs run for 3 yds to the Alab 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:38
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+8
59.7%
Josh Jacobs run for 8 yds to the Alab 45Similar
Q2 11:38
2ND & 2
OWN 45
+11
61.0%
Josh Jacobs run for 11 yds to the Clem 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:38
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+46
61.4%
Tua Tagovailoa pass intercepted Trayvon Mullen return for 46 yds to the Alab 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 10TD
8 plays · 47 yds · 3:2746% → 57%
Q2 8:05
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+3
54.3%
Travis Etienne run for 3 yds to the Alab 44Similar
Q2 8:05
2ND & 7
OPP 44
+5
54.2%
Trevor Lawrence pass complete to Hunter Renfrow for 5 yds to the Alab 39Similar
Q2 8:05
3RD & 2
OPP 39
+5
54.3%
Trevor Lawrence pass complete to Hunter Renfrow for 5 yds to the Alab 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:05
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
53.9%
Trevor Lawrence pass incomplete to Justyn Ross, broken up by Patrick Surtain IISimilar
Q2 8:05
2ND & 10
OPP 34
+3
54.0%
Trevor Lawrence pass complete to Tavien Feaster for 3 yds to the Alab 31Similar
Q2 8:05
3RD & 7
OPP 31
+26
54.4%
Trevor Lawrence pass complete to Amari Rodgers for 26 yds to the Alab 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:05
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
0
53.9%
Travis Etienne run for no gain to the Alab 5Similar
Q2 4:38
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
42.9%
Trevor Lawrence pass complete to Travis Etienne for 5 yds for a TD, (Greg Huegel KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 11PUNT
8 plays · 9 yds · 2:2845% → 43%
Q2 4:38
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
44.9%
Tua Tagovailoa pass complete to Jerry Jeudy for 5 yds to the Alab 30Similar
Q2 4:38
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+11
45.4%
Najee Harris run for 11 yds to the Alab 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:38
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-3
45.9%
Najee Harris run for a loss of 3 yards to the Alab 38Similar
Q2 4:38
2ND & 13
OWN 38
+7
45.1%
Najee Harris run for 7 yds to the Alab 45Similar
Q2 4:38
3RD & 6
OWN 45
-11
45.3%
Tua Tagovailoa sacked by Trayvon Mullen for a loss of 11 yards to the Alab 34 Tua Tagovailoa fumbled, recovered by Alab Ross Pierschbacher , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q2 2:10
4TH & 17
OWN 34
0
42.7%
Mike Bernier punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Amari Rodgers at the Clem 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 12FG
10 plays · 61 yds · 1:1958% → 70%
Q2 2:04
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+19
41.6%
Trevor Lawrence pass complete to Trevion Thompson for 19 yds to the Clem 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:57
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
38.5%
Trevor Lawrence pass incomplete to Amari RodgersSimilar
Q2 1:53
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+27
38.4%
Trevor Lawrence pass complete to Justyn Ross for 12 yds to the ALABAMA 48 for a 1ST down ALABAMA Penalty, personal foul (Xavier McKinney) to the Alab 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:48
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+5
37.2%
Clock 01:48, Lawrence,T. pass incomplete to Renfrow,H., PENALTY UA offside defense (Jennings,A.) 5 yards to the UA28, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 1:44
1ST & 5
OPP 28
+12
35.1%
Trevor Lawrence pass complete to Justyn Ross for 12 yds to the Alab 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:25
1ST & 10
OPP 16
-2
34.5%
Adam Choice run for a loss of 2 yards to the Alab 18Similar
Q2 0:57
2ND & 12
OPP 18
0
35.0%
Trevor Lawrence pass incomplete to Tee HigginsSimilar
Q2 0:53
3RD & 12
OPP 18
0
35.4%
Trevor Lawrence pass incomplete to Adam ChoiceSimilar
Q2 0:45
4TH & 12
OPP 18
+36
30.4%
Greg Huegel 36 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 13END OF HALF
3 plays · 6 yds · 0:0435% → 35%
Q2 0:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
35.2%
Tua Tagovailoa pass incomplete to Damien HarrisSimilar
Q2 0:41
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+6
34.9%
Tua Tagovailoa run for 6 yds to the Alab 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 14DOWNS
15 plays · 51 yds · 0:0034% → 35%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
33.5%
Damien Harris run for 15 yds to the Alab 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+11
35.0%
Damien Harris run for 11 yds to the Clem 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 49
-5
36.0%
Tagovailoa,Tua pass complete to Smith,DeVonta for 12 yards to the CU37, out-of-bounds (Terrell), PENALTY UA ineligible downfield on pass (Williams,Jonah) 5 yards to the UA46, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 15
OWN 46
+14
34.7%
Tua Tagovailoa pass complete to Irv Smith Jr. for 14 yds to the Clem 40Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 1
OPP 40
0
36.3%
Tua Tagovailoa pass incomplete to DeVonta SmithSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 40
0
36.2%
Josh Jacobs run for no gain to the Clem 40Similar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 1
OPP 40
+2
35.3%
Josh Jacobs run for 2 yds to the Clem 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
36.0%
Tua Tagovailoa pass incomplete to DeVonta SmithSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 38
+9
35.9%
Damien Harris run for 9 yds to the Clem 29Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 29
+3
36.2%
Josh Jacobs run for 3 yds to the Clem 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+4
36.9%
Tua Tagovailoa pass complete to DeVonta Smith for 4 yds to the Clem 22Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 22
+3
36.9%
Tua Tagovailoa pass complete to DeVonta Smith for 3 yds DeVonta Smith fumbled, forced by A.J. Terrell, recovered by Alab DeVonta SmithSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 6
OPP 22
0
36.1%
Tua Tagovailoa pass incomplete to Irv Smith Jr., broken up by Mark FieldsSimilar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 6
OPP 22
-2
35.1%
Mac Jones run for a loss of 2 yards to the Clem 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 15TD
3 plays · 76 yds · 1:2177% → 89%
Q3 9:47
1ST & 10
OWN 24
-2
22.9%
Trevor Lawrence run for a loss of 2 yards to the Clem 22Similar
Q3 9:47
2ND & 12
OWN 22
+4
23.2%
Trevor Lawrence pass complete to Amari Rodgers for 4 yds to the Clem 26Similar
Q3 8:26
3RD & 8
OWN 26
+74
11.1%
Trevor Lawrence pass complete to Justyn Ross for 74 yds for a TD (Greg Huegel PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 16DOWNS
10 plays · 59 yds · 2:2514% → 11%
Q3 8:19
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+11
14.3%
Najee Harris run for 11 yds to the Alab 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:19
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+23
15.2%
Tua Tagovailoa pass complete to DeVonta Smith for 23 yds to the Clem 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:19
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
15.9%
Najee Harris run for no gain to the Clem 36Similar
Q3 8:19
2ND & 10
OPP 36
+16
15.9%
Tua Tagovailoa pass complete to Josh Jacobs for 16 yds to the Clem 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:19
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+6
17.2%
Tua Tagovailoa pass complete to Jaylen Waddle for 6 yds to the Clem 14Similar
Q3 8:19
2ND & 4
OPP 14
0
17.3%
Tua Tagovailoa pass incomplete to Henry Ruggs IIISimilar
Q3 5:54
3RD & 4
OPP 14
0
11.6%
Tua Tagovailoa pass incomplete to Jerry JeudySimilar
Q3 5:54
4TH & 4
OPP 14
+3
11.3%
Tua Tagovailoa run for 3 yds to the Clem 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 17TD
12 plays · 89 yds · 5:2195% → 99%
Q3 5:42
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+4
5.3%
Travis Etienne run for 4 yds to the Clem 15Similar
Q3 5:42
2ND & 6
OWN 15
+12
5.3%
Trevor Lawrence pass complete to Diondre Overton for 12 yds to the Clem 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:42
1ST & 10
OWN 27
-2
5.1%
Travis Etienne run for a loss of 2 yards to the Clem 25Similar
Q3 5:42
2ND & 12
OWN 25
0
5.1%
Trevor Lawrence pass incomplete to Justyn RossSimilar
Q3 5:42
3RD & 12
OWN 25
+37
5.3%
Trevor Lawrence pass complete to Justyn Ross for 37 yds to the Alab 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:42
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
4.8%
Adam Choice run for no gain to the Alab 38Similar
Q3 5:42
2ND & 10
OPP 38
+1
4.8%
Trevor Lawrence pass complete to Justyn Ross for 1 yd to the Alab 37Similar
Q3 5:42
3RD & 9
OPP 37
+17
4.9%
Trevor Lawrence pass complete to Justyn Ross for 17 yds to the Alab 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:42
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+11
4.6%
Travis Etienne run for 11 yds to the Alab 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:42
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+3
4.6%
Tavien Feaster run for 3 yds to the Alab 6Similar
Q3 5:42
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+1
4.5%
Trevor Lawrence run for 1 yd to the Alab 5Similar
Q3 0:21
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
1.0%
Trevor Lawrence pass complete to Tee Higgins for 5 yds for a TD (Greg Huegel KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 18DOWNS
10 plays · 66 yds · 0:212% → 2%
Q3 0:21
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
2.0%
Tua Tagovailoa pass incomplete to DeVonta SmithSimilar
Q3 0:21
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
1.9%
Tua Tagovailoa pass incomplete to Henry Ruggs III, broken up by Tanner MuseSimilar
Q3 0:21
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+48
1.9%
Tua Tagovailoa pass complete to Jerry Jeudy for 48 yds to the Clem 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
2.4%
Tua Tagovailoa pass incomplete to DeVonta Smith, broken up by Mark FieldsSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 27
+19
2.3%
Tua Tagovailoa pass complete to Jaylen Waddle for 19 yds to the Clem 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+7
2.7%
Tua Tagovailoa pass complete to Damien Harris for 7 yds to the Clem 1Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
2.3%
Damien Harris run for no gain to the Clem 1Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
-1
2.3%
Damien Harris run for a loss of 1 yard to the Clem 2Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & GOAL
OPP 2
-7
2.3%
Tua Tagovailoa run for a loss of 7 yards to the Clem 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 19PUNT
4 plays · -1 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q4 12:17
1ST & 10
OWN 9
-1
0.7%
Adam Choice run for a loss of 1 yard to the Clem 8Similar
Q4 12:17
2ND & 11
OWN 8
0
0.7%
Trevor Lawrence pass incomplete to Derion KendrickSimilar
Q4 12:17
3RD & 11
OWN 8
0
0.7%
Trevor Lawrence pass incomplete to Justyn Ross, broken up by Josh JobeSimilar
Q4 12:17
4TH & 11
OWN 8
0
0.8%
Will Spiers punt for 44 yds, downed at the Alab 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 20PUNT
4 plays · -4 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q4 11:12
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
0.7%
Jalen Hurts pass incomplete to Josh JacobsSimilar
Q4 11:12
2ND & 10
OWN 48
-4
0.6%
Jalen Hurts sacked by Christian Wilkins and Xavier Thomas for a loss of 4 yards to the Alab 44Similar
Q4 11:12
3RD & 14
OWN 44
0
0.6%
Jalen Hurts pass incomplete to Henry Ruggs IIISimilar
Q4 11:12
4TH & 14
OWN 44
0
0.6%
Mike Bernier punt for 55 yds, downed at the Clem 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 21Uncategorized
15 plays · 94 yds · 7:17100% → 100%
Q4 10:02
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+2
0.5%
Travis Etienne run for 2 yds to the Clem 3Similar
Q4 10:02
2ND & 8
OWN 3
+7
0.5%
Trevor Lawrence run for 7 yds to the Clem 10Similar
Q4 10:02
3RD & 1
OWN 10
+7
0.5%
Travis Etienne run for 7 yds to the Clem 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:02
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+2
0.4%
Travis Etienne run for 2 yds to the Clem 19Similar
Q4 10:02
2ND & 8
OWN 19
+38
0.4%
Travis Etienne run for 38 yds to the Alab 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:02
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+4
0.4%
Tavien Feaster run for 4 yds to the Alab 39Similar
Q4 10:02
2ND & 6
OPP 39
0
0.4%
Trevor Lawrence pass complete to T.J. Chase for no gain to the Alab 39Similar
Q4 10:02
3RD & 6
OPP 39
+8
0.4%
Trevor Lawrence run for 8 yds to the Alab 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:02
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+2
0.4%
Adam Choice run for 2 yds to the Alab 29Similar
Q4 10:02
2ND & 8
OPP 29
+12
0.4%
Trevor Lawrence run for 12 yds to the Alab 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:45
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+4
0.1%
Adam Choice run for 4 yds to the Alab 13Similar
Q4 2:45
2ND & 6
OPP 13
+2
0.1%
Adam Choice run for 2 yds to the Alab 11Similar
Q4 2:45
3RD & 4
OPP 11
-1
0.1%
Chase Brice run for a loss of 1 yard to the Alab 12Similar
Q4 2:45
4TH & 5
OPP 12
+7
0.2%
Adam Choice run for 7 yds to the Alab 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 8:26
Trevor Lawrence pass complete to Justyn Ross for 74 yds for a TD (Greg Huegel PAT MISSED)
-12.1
TD · Q2 4:38
Trevor Lawrence pass complete to Travis Etienne for 5 yds for a TD, (Greg Huegel KICK)
-11
TD · Q2 11:38
Travis Etienne run for 1 yd for a TD, (Greg Huegel KICK)
-5.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com