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MIZ

Missouri 33 at Oklahoma State 38

OKST
2018 · Postseason · Dec 31, 2018 · Simmons Bank Liberty Stadium
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Win probability · OKST
modelOKST aheadMIZ aheadconfidence bandkey playOKST scoreMIZ score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDFGTDTDTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 0:41 · Drew Lock pass incomplete to Kam Scott
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+24.5+12.30−12.3−24.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 146Pregame prior−6.8Home team on offense+17.5Garbage-time factor+5.5Score differential+7.4Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+6.0Blowout margin+0.7
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 11:49: Taylor Cornelius pass complete to Tylan Wallace for 9 yds for a TD, (Matt Ammendola KICK) — OKST win probability +12.6 pts (now 55%) (top driver: OKST has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 10:21: Chuba Hubbard run for 4 yds for a TD, (Matt Ammendola KICK) — OKST win probability +15.1 pts (now 73%) (top driver: OKST has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 3:08: Taylor Cornelius pass complete to Tyron Johnson for 46 yds for a TD (Matt Ammendola KICK) — OKST win probability +16.4 pts (now 89%) (top driver: OKST has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 14:41: Drew Lock pass complete to Johnathon Johnson for 86 yds for a TD (Tucker McCann KICK) — MIZ win probability +14.7 pts (now 24%) (top driver: MIZ has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 11:50: Larry Rountree III run for 55 yds for a TD, (Tucker McCann KICK) — MIZ win probability +27.2 pts (now 48%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
OKST made the numbers' call on 2 of 5MIZ made the numbers' call on 5 of 9
  1. Q1 13:22MIZ 4th & 4 at MIZ 31, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 69.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    69.2%−0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    69.2%
    average punt
  2. Q1 6:46MIZ 4th & 7 at OKST 7, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 63.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    63.5%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    63.6%
    91% to make
    Punt
    62.3%−1.3
    average punt
  3. Q1 5:10OKST 4th & 14 at OKST 21, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 35.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.6%−1.0
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    35.5%
    average punt
  4. Q1 2:22MIZ 4th & 3 at OKST 46, down 4
    Close callPunted · 63.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    63.6%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    62.7%−0.9
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    63.2%−0.4
    average punt
  5. Q2 13:37OKST 4th & 10 at MIZ 38, up 4
    Close callPunted · 39.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.9%
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    38.8%−0.1
    38% to make
    PuntTheir call
    38.8%−0.1
    average punt
  6. Q2 2:31OKST 4th & 9 at OKST 26, down 2
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 36.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.3%−1.3
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    36.6%
    average punt
  7. Q2 0:07MIZ 4th & 2 at MIZ 47, up 2
    Close callPunted · 62.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.0%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    62.0%−0.1
    average punt
  8. Q3 4:20MIZ 4th & 4 at OKST 8, down 12
    Close callKicked a field goal · 23.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.4%
    42% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    22.8%−0.6
    90% to make
    Punt
    15.6%−7.7
    average punt
  9. Q3 0:41MIZ 4th & 6 at OKST 48, down 16
    Close callWent for it · 12.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    13.0%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    13.0%
    average punt
  10. Q4 10:36OKST 4th & 8 at OKST 27, up 2
    Numbers favored punt by 3.0 ptsWent for it · 58.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    56.2%−3.0
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    59.3%
    average punt
  11. Q4 9:22MIZ 4th & 2 at OKST 24, down 2
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 43.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.6%−0.6
    57% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    44.2%
    68% to make
    Punt
    30.9%−13.3
    average punt
  12. Q4 5:54OKST 4th & 3 at MIZ 10, up 2
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.8 ptsKicked a field goal · 69.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    70.1%
    49% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    67.3%−2.8
    88% to make
    Punt
    43.1%−27.0
    average punt
  13. Q4 2:27MIZ 4th & 3 at OKST 25, down 5
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 28.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    23.6%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    21.5%−2.1
    66% to make
    Punt
    11.1%−12.6
    average punt
  14. Q4 1:01MIZ 4th & 1 at OKST 9, down 5
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 28.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    26.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    12.7%−13.6
    89% to make
    Punt
    7.0%−19.4
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
OKST made the numbers' call on 4 of 4MIZ made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q2 7:49MIZ Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    63.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    63.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 5:31OKST Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    45.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    45.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 3:35MIZ Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    63.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    63.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 11:49OKST Touchdown, up 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    52.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    52.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 10:21OKST Touchdown, up 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    70.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    69.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 3:08OKST Touchdown, up 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    86.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    85.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 14:41MIZ Touchdown, down 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    22.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    21.9%−0.2
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 11:50MIZ Touchdown, down 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    39.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    38.5%−0.5
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
MIZDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 1:2774% → 73%
Q1 14:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
25.8%
Larry Rountree III run for 2 yds to the Misso 27Similar
Q1 14:20
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+4
26.0%
Larry Rountree III run for 4 yds to the Misso 31Similar
Q1 13:48
3RD & 4
OWN 31
0
26.3%
Drew Lock pass incomplete to Johnathon JohnsonSimilar
Q1 13:22
4TH & 4
OWN 31
0
26.6%
Corey Fatony punt for 69 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 2TD
9 plays · 80 yds · 3:1227% → 30%
Q1 13:10
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-5
26.6%
Taylor Cornelius sacked by Terry Beckner Jr. for a loss of 5 yards to the OKSt 15 Taylor Cornelius fumbled, forced by Terry Beckner Jr., recovered by OKSt Marcus Keyes , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q1 12:45
3RD & 6
OWN 24
+14
26.7%
Taylor Cornelius pass complete to Chuba Hubbard for 14 yds to the OKSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:26
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+4
27.1%
Taylor Cornelius pass complete to Landon Wolf for 4 yds to the OKSt 42Similar
Q1 12:10
2ND & 6
OWN 42
+8
27.3%
Taylor Cornelius pass complete to Tylan Wallace for 8 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:50
1ST & 10
50
+1
27.6%
Taylor Cornelius run for 1 yd to the Misso 49Similar
Q1 11:22
2ND & 9
OPP 49
0
27.8%
Taylor Cornelius pass incomplete to Landon WolfSimilar
Q1 10:47
3RD & 9
OPP 49
+19
27.9%
Taylor Cornelius pass complete to Tylan Wallace for 19 yds to the Misso 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:18
1ST & 10
OPP 30
-1
28.6%
Chuba Hubbard run for a loss of 1 yard to the Misso 31Similar
Q1 9:58
2ND & 11
OPP 31
+1
30.3%
Taylor Cornelius run for 1 yd to the Misso 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 3FG
10 plays · 74 yds · 6:1373% → 69%
Q1 12:59
2ND & 15
OWN 15
+9
27.3%
Taylor Cornelius run for 9 yds to the OKSt 24Similar
Q1 9:27
3RD & 10
OPP 30
+30
30.6%
Dillon Stoner 30 Yd pass from Taylor Cornelius (Matt Ammendola Kick)Similar
Q1 9:17
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+2
30.3%
Tyler Badie run for 2 yds to the Misso 21Similar
Q1 8:45
2ND & 8
OWN 21
+15
30.7%
Lock, Drew pass incomplete to Badie, Tyler, PENALTY OKLAST personal foul (Williams, Rodarius) 15 yards to the MISSOURI36, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN MISSOURI.Similar
Q1 8:25
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+58
30.8%
Drew Lock pass complete to Emanuel Hall for 58 yds to the OKSt 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:17
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
-1
30.3%
Larry Rountree III run for a loss of 1 yard to the OKSt 7Similar
Q1 7:46
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
0
30.6%
Larry Rountree III run for no gain to the OKSt 7Similar
Q1 6:50
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
0
31.7%
Drew Lock pass incomplete to Jalen KnoxSimilar
Q1 6:46
4TH & GOAL
OPP 7
+24
31.2%
Tucker McCann 24 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 4PUNT
7 plays · -4 yds · 1:2031% → 32%
Q1 6:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-3
31.2%
Taylor Cornelius run for a loss of 3 yards to the OKSt 22Similar
Q1 6:02
2ND & 13
OWN 22
+4
31.4%
Chuba Hubbard run for 4 yds to the OKSt 26Similar
Q1 5:24
3RD & 9
OWN 26
0
31.6%
Taylor Cornelius pass incomplete to Dillon StonerSimilar
Q1 5:24
4TH & 9
OWN 26
-5
31.4%
OKLAHOMA ST Penalty, False Start (Kemah Siverand) to the OKSt 21Similar
Q1 5:10
4TH & 14
OWN 21
0
31.5%
Matt Hockett punt for 54 yds , Johnathon Johnson returns for no gain to the Misso 25 MISSOURI Penalty, Offensive Holding (10 Yards) to the Misso 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 5PUNT
6 plays · 39 yds · 2:3967% → 66%
Q1 5:01
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+18
32.7%
Tyler Badie run for 18 yds to the Misso 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:35
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+14
32.8%
Drew Lock pass complete to Emanuel Hall for 14 yds to the Misso 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:11
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+3
32.4%
Tyler Badie run for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 3:45
2ND & 7
50
+1
32.5%
Tyler Badie run for 1 yd to the OKSt 49Similar
Q1 2:57
3RD & 6
OPP 49
+3
33.2%
Drew Lock run for 3 yds to the OKSt 46Similar
Q1 2:22
4TH & 3
OPP 46
0
33.8%
Corey Fatony punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Dillon Stoner at the OKSt 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 6PUNT
12 plays · 54 yds · 3:3934% → 36%
Q1 2:16
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+10
33.8%
Taylor Cornelius pass complete to Dillon Stoner for 10 yds to the OKSt 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:55
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+2
34.2%
Chuba Hubbard run for 2 yds to the OKSt 20Similar
Q1 1:11
2ND & 8
OWN 20
+2
34.6%
Taylor Cornelius pass complete to Dillon Stoner for 2 yds to the OKSt 22Similar
Q1 0:57
3RD & 6
OWN 22
+9
34.3%
Taylor Cornelius pass complete to Dillon Stoner for 9 yds to the OKSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:40
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+5
35.2%
Taylor Cornelius pass complete to Tylan Wallace for 5 yds to the OKSt 36Similar
Q1 0:24
2ND & 5
OWN 36
+5
36.0%
Taylor Cornelius run for 5 yds to the OKSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+3
36.4%
LD Brown run for 3 yds to the OKSt 44Similar
Q2 14:14
2ND & 7
OWN 44
+18
37.1%
Taylor Cornelius pass complete to Tyron Johnson for 18 yds to the Misso 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:04
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
37.6%
LD Brown run for no gain to the Misso 38Similar
Q2 13:48
2ND & 10
OPP 38
0
37.7%
Taylor Cornelius pass incomplete to Tyron JohnsonSimilar
Q2 13:43
3RD & 10
OPP 38
0
37.3%
Taylor Cornelius pass incomplete to Tyron JohnsonSimilar
Q2 13:37
4TH & 10
OPP 38
0
36.2%
Matt Hockett punt for 35 yds, downed at the Misso 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 7TD
16 plays · 97 yds · 5:4362% → 69%
Q2 13:32
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+2
37.6%
Larry Rountree III run for 2 yds to the Misso 5Similar
Q2 12:59
2ND & 8
OWN 5
+30
38.1%
Larry Rountree III run for 30 yds to the Misso 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:45
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
37.2%
Drew Lock pass complete to Larry Rountree III for 3 yds to the Misso 38Similar
Q2 12:09
2ND & 7
OWN 38
+9
36.9%
Larry Rountree III run for 9 yds to the Misso 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:02
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+2
36.6%
Drew Lock pass complete to Kendall Blanton for 2 yds to the Misso 49Similar
Q2 11:43
2ND & 8
OWN 49
+6
36.7%
Tyler Badie run for 6 yds to the OKSt 45Similar
Q2 10:40
3RD & 2
OPP 45
+6
37.5%
Drew Lock pass complete to Kendall Blanton for 6 yds to the OKSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:11
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+5
37.6%
Drew Lock run for 5 yds to the OKSt 34Similar
Q2 10:00
2ND & 5
OPP 34
0
36.9%
Drew Lock pass incomplete to Kam ScottSimilar
Q2 9:50
3RD & 5
OPP 34
+10
37.8%
Larry Rountree III run for 10 yds to the OKSt 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:35
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
36.8%
Drew Lock pass incomplete to Johnathon JohnsonSimilar
Q2 9:26
2ND & 10
OPP 24
+8
37.0%
Larry Rountree III run for 8 yds to the OKSt 16Similar
Q2 9:10
3RD & 2
OPP 16
+5
38.1%
Larry Rountree III run for 5 yds to the OKSt 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:57
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+4
37.2%
Larry Rountree III run for 4 yds to the OKSt 7Similar
Q2 8:19
2ND & 6
OPP 7
+2
37.6%
Larry Rountree III run for 2 yds to the OKSt 5Similar
Q2 7:49
3RD & 4
OPP 5
+5
31.0%
Drew Lock pass complete to Dominic Gicinto for 5 yds for a TD, (Tucker McCann KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 8TD
11 plays · 65 yds · 2:1234% → 47%
Q2 7:43
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+21
33.8%
Chuba Hubbard run for 21 yds to the Misso 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:23
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+4
36.1%
Chuba Hubbard run for 4 yds to the Misso 40Similar
Q2 6:50
2ND & 6
OPP 40
0
36.5%
Taylor Cornelius pass incomplete to Tylan WallaceSimilar
Q2 6:40
3RD & 6
OPP 40
+8
36.2%
Taylor Cornelius pass complete to Landon Wolf for 8 yds to the Misso 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:24
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+3
37.7%
Taylor Cornelius pass complete to Dillon Stoner for 3 yds to the Misso 29Similar
Q2 6:05
2ND & 7
OPP 29
0
37.9%
Taylor Cornelius pass incomplete to Landon WolfSimilar
Q2 6:00
3RD & 7
OPP 29
+10
36.6%
Cornelius, Taylor pass incomplete to Wallace, Tylan, PENALTY MISSOURI holding (Acy, DeMarkus) 10 yards to the MISSOURI19, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN OKLAST.Similar
Q2 5:54
1ST & 10
OPP 19
0
38.0%
Taylor Cornelius pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:42
2ND & 10
OPP 19
+12
38.1%
Taylor Cornelius run for 12 yds to the Misso 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:31
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
46.5%
Taylor Cornelius pass complete to Tyron Johnson for 7 yds for a TD (Matt Ammendola KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 9TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 1:4757% → 68%
Q2 5:22
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
43.5%
Larry Rountree III run for 4 yds to the Misso 29Similar
Q2 4:59
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+2
43.3%
Drew Lock pass complete to Johnathon Johnson for 2 yds to the Misso 31Similar
Q2 4:21
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+25
44.3%
Drew Lock pass complete to Dominic Gicinto for 25 yds to the OKSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:58
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+23
41.9%
Larry Rountree III run for 23 yds to the OKSt 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:40
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+5
41.0%
Lock, Drew pass incomplete to Scott, Kam, PENALTY OKLAST offside (Brailford, Jordan) 5 yards to the OKLAST16, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 3:35
1ST & 5
OPP 16
+16
32.2%
Drew Lock pass complete to Kendall Blanton for 16 yds for a TD, (Tucker McCann PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 10FUMBLE
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:5937% → 35%
Q2 3:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
36.6%
Taylor Cornelius pass incomplete to Tylan WallaceSimilar
Q2 3:22
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+1
36.5%
Chuba Hubbard run for 1 yd to the OKSt 26Similar
Q2 2:43
3RD & 9
OWN 26
0
35.5%
Taylor Cornelius pass incomplete to Tyron JohnsonSimilar
Q2 2:31
4TH & 9
OWN 26
-7
35.2%
Matt Hockett punt for 54 yds , Richaud Floyd returns for a loss of 7 yards to the Misso 13 Richaud Floyd fumbled, recovered by Misso Jarvis WareSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 11PUNT
11 plays · 34 yds · 2:1764% → 65%
Q2 2:24
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+1
35.8%
Tyler Badie run for 1 yd to the Misso 14Similar
Q2 2:10
2ND & 9
OWN 14
+13
36.0%
Lock, Drew pass incomplete to Scott, Kam, PENALTY OKLAST pass interference (Green, A.J.) 13 yards to the MISSOURI27, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN MISSOURI.Similar
Q2 1:44
1ST & 10
OWN 27
-1
35.7%
Tyler Badie run for a loss of 1 yard to the Misso 26Similar
Q2 1:17
2ND & 11
OWN 26
+13
36.1%
Drew Lock pass complete to Johnathon Johnson for 13 yds to the Misso 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:58
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
34.4%
Drew Lock pass incomplete to Jalen KnoxSimilar
Q2 0:52
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+3
34.8%
Tyler Badie run for 3 yds to the Misso 42Similar
Q2 0:32
3RD & 7
OWN 42
+5
35.4%
Drew Lock pass complete to Tyler Badie for 5 yds to the Misso 47Similar
Q2 0:07
4TH & 2
OWN 47
0
35.3%
Corey Fatony punt for 49 yds, downed at the OKSt 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 12END OF HALF
1 play · 1 yds · 0:0034% → 34%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+1
33.7%
Taylor Cornelius run for 1 yd to the OKSt 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 13TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 3:0637% → 55%
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
37.0%
Taylor Cornelius pass incomplete to Tylan WallaceSimilar
Q3 14:48
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+14
36.9%
Taylor Cornelius pass complete to Chuba Hubbard for 14 yds to the OKSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:33
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+5
38.5%
Taylor Cornelius pass complete to Tyron Johnson for 5 yds to the OKSt 44Similar
Q3 14:11
2ND & 5
OWN 44
+12
40.3%
Taylor Cornelius pass complete to Tylan Wallace for 12 yds to the Misso 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:55
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+11
41.1%
Taylor Cornelius pass complete to Tylan Wallace for 11 yds to the Misso 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:19
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+4
42.5%
Chuba Hubbard run for 4 yds to the Misso 29Similar
Q3 12:45
2ND & 6
OPP 29
+19
42.6%
Taylor Cornelius pass complete to Tylan Wallace for 19 yds to the Misso 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:32
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
0
42.6%
Taylor Cornelius pass incomplete to Tylan WallaceSimilar
Q3 12:27
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
+1
42.7%
Chuba Hubbard run for 1 yd to the Misso 9Similar
Q3 11:49
3RD & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
55.3%
Taylor Cornelius pass complete to Tylan Wallace for 9 yds for a TD, (Matt Ammendola KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 14FUMBLE
2 plays · 6 yds · 0:0050% → 50%
Q3 11:35
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+6
50.2%
Drew Lock pass complete to Jalen Knox for 6 yds Jalen Knox fumbled, forced by Kenneth Edison-McGruder, recovered by OKSt Justin PhillipsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 15TD
3 plays · 26 yds · 1:0957% → 73%
Q3 11:30
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+10
56.9%
Chuba Hubbard run for 10 yds to the Misso 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:54
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+12
57.5%
Chuba Hubbard run for 12 yds to the Misso 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:21
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
72.6%
Chuba Hubbard run for 4 yds for a TD, (Matt Ammendola KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 16FG
15 plays · 67 yds · 5:5532% → 30%
Q3 10:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
68.1%
Larry Rountree III run for 8 yds to the Misso 33Similar
Q3 9:56
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+11
67.0%
Drew Lock pass complete to Kendall Blanton for 11 yds to the Misso 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:14
1ST & 10
OWN 44
-15
68.1%
Rountree III, Larry rush for 6 yards to the 50 yardline, PENALTY MISSOURI face mask (Pendleton, Kevin) 15 yards to the MISSOURI29, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 8:50
1ST & 25
OWN 29
+5
70.1%
Drew Lock pass complete to Barrett Banister for 5 yds to the Misso 34Similar
Q3 8:19
2ND & 20
OWN 34
+4
71.3%
Larry Rountree III run for 4 yds to the Misso 38Similar
Q3 8:02
3RD & 16
OWN 38
+30
71.9%
Drew Lock pass complete to Barrett Banister for 30 yds to the OKSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:22
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+6
69.3%
Larry Rountree III run for 6 yds to the OKSt 26Similar
Q3 6:48
2ND & 4
OPP 26
-10
69.4%
Lock, Drew pass complete to Knox, Jalen for 26 yards to the OKLAST0, PENALTY MISSOURI holding (Pendleton, Kevin) 10 yards to the OKLAST36, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 6:39
2ND & 14
OPP 36
+2
72.7%
Drew Lock pass complete to Barrett Banister for 2 yds to the OKSt 34Similar
Q3 5:55
3RD & 12
OPP 34
+20
73.7%
Drew Lock pass complete to Johnathon Johnson for 20 yds to the OKSt 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:37
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+4
70.7%
Larry Rountree III run for 4 yds to the OKSt 10Similar
Q3 5:08
2ND & 6
OPP 10
+2
71.2%
Larry Rountree III run for 2 yds to the OKSt 8Similar
Q3 4:23
3RD & 4
OPP 8
0
73.8%
Drew Lock pass incomplete to Jalen KnoxSimilar
Q3 4:20
4TH & 4
OPP 8
+26
69.8%
Tucker McCann 26 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 17TD
5 plays · 75 yds · 1:0472% → 89%
Q3 4:12
1ST & 10
OWN 26
-12
72.2%
Taylor Cornelius run for 1 yd to the OKSt 26 OKLAHOMA ST Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Arlington Hambright) to the OKSt 13Similar
Q3 3:46
1ST & 22
OWN 13
+9
72.2%
Taylor Cornelius pass complete to Chuba Hubbard for 9 yds to the OKSt 22Similar
Q3 3:33
2ND & 13
OWN 22
+32
72.2%
Taylor Cornelius pass complete to Tyron Johnson for 32 yds to the Misso 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:08
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+46
88.6%
Taylor Cornelius pass complete to Tyron Johnson for 46 yds for a TD (Matt Ammendola KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 18DOWNS
10 plays · 27 yds · 2:1915% → 14%
Q3 3:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-3
85.1%
Tyler Badie run for a loss of 3 yards to the Misso 22 Tyler Badie fumbled, forced by Jarrell Owens, recovered by MissoSimilar
Q3 2:47
2ND & 13
OWN 22
+12
85.6%
Drew Lock run for 12 yds to the Misso 34Similar
Q3 2:15
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+2
85.0%
Larry Rountree III run for 2 yds to the Misso 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
85.0%
Drew Lock pass incomplete to Jalen KnoxSimilar
Q3 1:49
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+12
85.4%
Drew Lock pass complete to Johnathon Johnson for 12 yds to the Misso 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:27
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
85.4%
Drew Lock pass incomplete to Jalen KnoxSimilar
Q3 1:16
2ND & 10
OWN 48
+4
85.6%
Drew Lock pass complete to Johnathon Johnson for 4 yds to the OKSt 48Similar
Q3 0:46
3RD & 6
OPP 48
0
86.1%
Drew Lock pass incomplete to Johnathon JohnsonSimilar
Q3 0:41
4TH & 6
OPP 48
0
86.5%
Drew Lock pass incomplete to Kam ScottSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 19INT
5 plays · 24 yds · 0:4391% → 91%
Q3 0:34
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
90.6%
Taylor Cornelius pass incomplete to Tylan WallaceSimilar
Q3 0:25
2ND & 10
OWN 48
+12
90.6%
Chuba Hubbard run for 12 yds to the Misso 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:04
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+15
91.0%
Cornelius, Taylor pass incomplete to Wallace, Tylan, PENALTY MISSOURI pass interference (Acy, DeMarkus) 15 yards to the MISSOURI25, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN OKLAST.Similar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
-3
91.1%
Tylan Wallace pass complete to Taylor Cornelius for a loss of 3 yards to the Misso 28Similar
Q4 14:51
2ND & 13
OPP 28
+2
91.1%
Taylor Cornelius pass intercepted Cam Hilton return for 2 yds to the Misso 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 20TD
1 play · 86 yds · 0:0024% → 24%
Q4 14:41
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+86
76.4%
Drew Lock pass complete to Johnathon Johnson for 86 yds for a TD (Tucker McCann KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 21INT
6 plays · 44 yds · 2:1476% → 83%
Q4 14:32
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
76.3%
Chuba Hubbard run for 9 yds to the OKSt 34Similar
Q4 14:02
2ND & 1
OWN 34
0
77.7%
Taylor Cornelius run for no gain to the OKSt 34Similar
Q4 13:41
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+2
77.7%
Taylor Cornelius run for 2 yds to the OKSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:05
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+33
79.4%
Chuba Hubbard run for 33 yds to the Misso 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:18
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
82.5%
Taylor Cornelius pass intercepted, touchback. Cam Hilton return for no gainSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 22TD
4 plays · 80 yds · 0:2219% → 48%
Q4 12:12
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
80.8%
Drew Lock pass incomplete to Johnathon JohnsonSimilar
Q4 12:07
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+15
81.1%
Lock, Drew pass incomplete to Gicinto, Dominic, PENALTY OKLAST personal foul (Siverand, Kemah) 15 yards to the MISSOURI35, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN MISSOURI.Similar
Q4 12:02
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+10
79.6%
Lock, Drew pass incomplete to Knox, Jalen, PENALTY OKLAST holding (Balous, Bryce) 10 yards to the MISSOURI45, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN MISSOURI.Similar
Q4 11:50
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+55
52.4%
Larry Rountree III run for 55 yds for a TD, (Tucker McCann KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 23DOWNS
6 plays · 7 yds · 1:0660% → 56%
Q4 11:42
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
59.5%
Taylor Cornelius pass complete to Dillon Stoner for 5 yds to the OKSt 30Similar
Q4 11:19
2ND & 5
OWN 30
0
60.5%
Taylor Cornelius pass incomplete to Tylan WallaceSimilar
Q4 11:01
3RD & 5
OWN 30
-3
58.8%
Taylor Cornelius sacked by Terry Beckner Jr. and Nick Bolton for a loss of 3 yards to the OKSt 27Similar
Q4 10:36
4TH & 8
OWN 27
+5
55.7%
Matt Hockett run for 5 yds to the OKSt 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 24MISSED FG
4 plays · 8 yds · 1:1052% → 48%
Q4 10:32
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
48.3%
Drew Lock pass incomplete to Johnathon JohnsonSimilar
Q4 10:16
2ND & 10
OPP 32
+9
48.7%
Drew Lock pass complete to Johnathon Johnson for 9 yds to the OKSt 23Similar
Q4 10:04
3RD & 1
OPP 23
-1
50.0%
Larry Rountree III run for a loss of 1 yard to the OKSt 24Similar
Q4 9:22
4TH & 2
OPP 24
+42
52.4%
Tucker McCann 42 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by Mike ScottSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 25FG
11 plays · 66 yds · 3:0860% → 82%
Q4 9:02
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+9
60.1%
Chuba Hubbard run for 9 yds to the OKSt 33Similar
Q4 8:40
2ND & 1
OWN 33
+4
62.7%
Chuba Hubbard run for 4 yds to the OKSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:13
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+4
62.6%
Chuba Hubbard run for 4 yds to the OKSt 41Similar
Q4 7:25
2ND & 6
OWN 41
0
65.0%
Taylor Cornelius pass incomplete to Chuba HubbardSimilar
Q4 7:20
3RD & 6
OWN 41
+12
62.4%
Chuba Hubbard run for 12 yds to the Misso 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:53
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+4
66.8%
Taylor Cornelius pass complete to Landon Wolf for 4 yds to the Misso 43Similar
Q4 6:36
2ND & 6
OPP 43
+26
67.0%
Taylor Cornelius pass complete to Tyron Johnson for 26 yds to the Misso 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:20
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+7
72.7%
Taylor Cornelius pass complete to Tyron Johnson for 7 yds to the Misso 10Similar
Q4 6:01
2ND & 3
OPP 10
0
72.9%
Taylor Cornelius pass incomplete to Tylan WallaceSimilar
Q4 5:58
3RD & 3
OPP 10
0
71.1%
Taylor Cornelius pass incomplete to Chuba HubbardSimilar
Q4 5:54
4TH & 3
OPP 10
+27
82.4%
Matt Ammendola 27 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 26DOWNS
17 plays · 66 yds · 4:4830% → 34%
Q4 5:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
69.8%
Drew Lock pass incomplete to Jalen KnoxSimilar
Q4 5:33
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+32
70.5%
Drew Lock pass complete to Johnathon Johnson for 32 yds to the OKSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:16
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+8
63.0%
Larry Rountree III run for 8 yds to the OKSt 35Similar
Q4 5:01
2ND & 2
OPP 35
-5
59.9%
MISSOURI Penalty, False Start (Trystan Colon-Castillo) to the OKSt 40Similar
Q4 4:33
2ND & 7
OPP 40
+5
63.8%
Larry Rountree III run for 5 yds to the OKSt 35Similar
Q4 3:48
3RD & 2
OPP 35
+3
64.3%
Drew Lock run for 3 yds to the OKSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:12
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
63.4%
Drew Lock pass incomplete to Jalen KnoxSimilar
Q4 3:03
2ND & 10
OPP 32
+7
64.3%
Drew Lock run for 7 yds to the OKSt 25Similar
Q4 2:31
3RD & 3
OPP 25
0
64.8%
Drew Lock pass incomplete to Johnathon JohnsonSimilar
Q4 2:27
4TH & 3
OPP 25
+7
68.9%
Drew Lock pass complete to Johnathon Johnson for 7 yds to the OKSt 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:17
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+7
63.4%
Larry Rountree III run for 7 yds to the OKSt 11Similar
Q4 2:06
2ND & 3
OPP 11
+2
61.9%
Larry Rountree III run for 2 yds to the OKSt 9Similar
Q4 1:24
3RD & 1
OPP 9
0
61.9%
Larry Rountree III run for no gain to the OKSt 9Similar
Q4 1:01
4TH & 1
OPP 9
0
66.4%
Drew Lock run for no gain to the OKSt 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 27END OF GAME
2 plays · -5 yds · 0:3489% → 86%
Q4 0:58
1ST & 10
OWN 9
-2
89.4%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the OKSt 7Similar
Q4 0:24
2ND & 12
OWN 7
-3
85.7%
TEAM run for a loss of 3 yards to the OKSt 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 11:50
Larry Rountree III run for 55 yds for a TD, (Tucker McCann KICK)
-27.2
TD · Q3 3:08
Taylor Cornelius pass complete to Tyron Johnson for 46 yds for a TD (Matt Ammendola KICK)
+16.4
TD · Q3 10:21
Chuba Hubbard run for 4 yds for a TD, (Matt Ammendola KICK)
+15.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com