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ND

Notre Dame 3 at Clemson 30

CLEM
2018 · Goodyear Cotton Bowl Classic - CFP Semifinal · Dec 29, 2018 · AT&T Stadium
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Win probability · CLEM
modelCLEM aheadND aheadconfidence bandkey playCLEM scoreND score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGFGTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 4:48 · Will Spiers punt for 49 yds , Chris Finke returns for 1 yd to the NDame 11
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+36.5+18.30−18.3−36.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 174Pregame prior+2.5Home team on offense+35.7Score differential+28.0Garbage-time factor+13.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+11.7Blowout margin+11.6
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 12:50: Justyn Ross 52 Yd pass from Trevor Lawrence (Greg Huegel PAT blocked) — CLEM win probability +3.6 pts (now 79%) (top driver: CLEM has the ball).
  2. MISSED FG · Q2 6:50: Greg Huegel 49 yd FG MISSED — ND win probability +2.0 pts (now 22%) (top driver: CLEM has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 1:44: Justyn Ross 42 Yd pass from Trevor Lawrence (Greg Huegel Kick) — CLEM win probability +6.5 pts (now 86%) (top driver: CLEM has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 0:02: Tee Higgins 19 Yd pass from Trevor Lawrence (Greg Huegel Kick) — CLEM win probability +8.0 pts (now 95%) (top driver: CLEM has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 2:04: Travis Etienne 62 Yd Run (Greg Huegel Kick) — CLEM win probability +2.6 pts (now 100%) (top driver: CLEM has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
CLEM made the numbers' call on 7 of 7ND made the numbers' call on 8 of 11
  1. Q1 12:57ND 4th & 10 at ND 36, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 22.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.8%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    22.9%
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:35CLEM 4th & 7 at ND 22, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 76.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    76.1%−0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    76.1%
    72% to make
    Punt
    75.5%−0.7
    average punt
  3. Q1 4:31ND 4th & 2 at CLEM 9, down 3
    Close callKicked a field goal · 24.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.5%
    54% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    24.2%−0.3
    89% to make
    Punt
    22.6%−1.9
    average punt
  4. Q1 2:05CLEM 4th & 10 at CLEM 26, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 73.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    73.3%−0.4
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    73.7%
    average punt
  5. Q2 13:54ND 4th & 3 at CLEM 34, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 27.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    28.0%
    53% to convert
    Field goal
    27.5%−0.5
    47% to make
    Punt
    27.2%−0.8
    average punt
  6. Q2 11:23ND 4th & 2 at ND 33, down 6
    Close callPunted · 23.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.0%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    23.8%−0.2
    average punt
  7. Q2 6:50CLEM 4th & 14 at ND 31, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 76.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    75.6%−0.9
    19% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    76.5%
    54% to make
    Punt
    75.6%−0.9
    average punt
  8. Q2 4:56ND 4th & 17 at ND 48, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 23.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.8%−1.3
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    23.1%
    average punt
  9. Q2 0:48ND 4th & 7 at ND 41, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 14.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.4%−0.4
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    14.8%
    average punt
  10. Q3 12:56CLEM 4th & 8 at ND 45, up 20
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 94.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.9%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    94.2%−0.9
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    95.1%
    average punt
  11. Q3 8:15ND 4th & 9 at CLEM 37, down 20
    Close callPunted · 4.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.3%
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    4.1%−0.1
    40% to make
    PuntTheir call
    4.0%−0.3
    average punt
  12. Q3 5:49CLEM 4th & 17 at CLEM 18, up 20
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 96.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.9%−1.0
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    96.9%
    average punt
  13. Q4 14:47ND 4th & 10 at ND 39, down 27
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−0.2
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  14. Q4 10:24CLEM 4th & 1 at ND 18, up 27
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.8%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    99.6%−0.3
    79% to make
    Punt
    98.8%−1.0
    average punt
  15. Q4 7:55ND 4th & 1 at ND 21, down 27
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.1%−<0.1
    average punt
  16. Q4 6:49ND 4th & 8 at ND 25, down 27
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−<0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  17. Q4 4:48CLEM 4th & 13 at CLEM 41, up 27
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%−0.1
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
  18. Q4 3:35ND 4th & 12 at ND 24, down 27
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
CLEM made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q2 12:50CLEM Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    76.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    76.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 1:44CLEM Touchdown, up 12 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    85.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    84.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 0:02CLEM Touchdown, up 19 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    91.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    91.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 2:04CLEM Touchdown, up 26 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
NDDrive 1PUNT
7 plays · 11 yds · 1:5321% → 21%
Q1 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
79.3%
Dexter Williams run for 11 yds to the NDame 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:36
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-5
79.2%
Book, Ian pass complete to Mack, Alize for 4 yards to the NOTREDAME40, PENALTY NOTREDAME false start (Williams, Dexter) 5 yards to the NOTREDAME31, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 14:12
1ST & 15
OWN 31
0
79.1%
Dexter Williams run for no gain to the NDame 31 Dexter Williams fumbled, recovered by NDame Dexter WilliamsSimilar
Q1 13:39
2ND & 15
OWN 31
+5
79.0%
Ian Book run for 5 yds to the NDame 36Similar
Q1 13:05
3RD & 10
OWN 36
0
78.9%
Ian Book pass incomplete to Chase ClaypoolSimilar
Q1 12:57
4TH & 10
OWN 36
0
78.9%
Tyler Newsome punt for 50 yds, fair catch by Amari Rodgers at the Clem 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 2PUNT
3 plays · 1 yds · 0:3779% → 79%
Q1 12:48
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+1
78.8%
Travis Etienne run for 1 yd to the Clem 15Similar
Q1 12:16
2ND & 9
OWN 15
0
78.6%
Trevor Lawrence pass incomplete to Garrett Williams, broken up by Alohi GilmanSimilar
Q1 12:11
3RD & 9
OWN 15
0
78.5%
Trevor Lawrence pass incomplete to Tee HigginsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 3FUMBLE
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0022% → 22%
Q1 11:50
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+2
78.2%
Ian Book run for 2 yds to the Clem 47 Ian Book fumbled, forced by Clelin Ferrell, recovered by Clem Clelin FerrellSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 4FG
9 plays · 31 yds · 3:0279% → 78%
Q1 11:37
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+7
78.7%
Trevor Lawrence pass complete to Tee Higgins for 7 yds to the NDame 46Similar
Q1 11:17
2ND & 3
OPP 46
+5
78.7%
Trevor Lawrence pass complete to Amari Rodgers for 5 yds to the NDame 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:48
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+8
78.6%
Travis Etienne run for 8 yds to the NDame 33Similar
Q1 10:19
2ND & 2
OPP 33
0
78.6%
Trevor Lawrence pass incomplete to Hunter RenfrowSimilar
Q1 10:12
3RD & 2
OPP 33
+8
78.5%
Trevor Lawrence pass complete to Travis Etienne for 8 yds to the NDame 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:42
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+3
78.5%
Tavien Feaster run for 3 yds to the NDame 22Similar
Q1 9:10
2ND & 7
OPP 22
0
78.5%
Trevor Lawrence pass complete to Amari Rodgers for no gain to the NDame 22Similar
Q1 8:39
3RD & 7
OPP 22
0
78.0%
Trevor Lawrence pass incomplete to Justyn RossSimilar
Q1 8:35
4TH & 7
OPP 22
+40
78.2%
Greg Huegel 40 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 5FG
12 plays · 66 yds · 3:5622% → 24%
Q1 8:27
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
78.2%
Dexter Williams run for no gain to the NDame 25Similar
Q1 7:58
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
78.2%
Dexter Williams run for no gain to the NDame 25Similar
Q1 7:27
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+16
78.2%
Ian Book pass complete to Dexter Williams for 16 yds to the NDame 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:14
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+15
77.6%
Book, Ian pass incomplete to Boykin, Miles, PENALTY CLEMSON pass interference (Mullen, Trayvon) 15 yards to the CLEMSON44, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN NOTREDAME.Similar
Q1 7:04
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+6
77.3%
Ian Book pass complete to Dexter Williams for 6 yds to the Clem 38Similar
Q1 6:40
2ND & 4
OPP 38
+11
77.2%
Ian Book pass complete to Chris Finke for 11 yds to the Clem 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:12
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+10
76.8%
Ian Book run for 10 yds to the Clem 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:50
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+4
76.7%
Dexter Williams run for 4 yds to the Clem 13Similar
Q1 5:18
2ND & 6
OPP 13
0
76.5%
Ian Book pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:09
3RD & 6
OPP 13
+4
76.8%
Ian Book pass complete to Jafar Armstrong for 4 yds to the Clem 9Similar
Q1 4:31
4TH & 2
OPP 9
+28
75.8%
Justin Yoon 28 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 6PUNT
8 plays · 13 yds · 2:1476% → 75%
Q1 4:19
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+3
76.2%
Trevor Lawrence run for 3 yds to the Clem 16Similar
Q1 3:59
2ND & 7
OWN 16
0
76.2%
Trevor Lawrence pass incomplete to Hunter Renfrow, broken up by Jalen ElliottSimilar
Q1 3:52
3RD & 7
OWN 16
+10
75.7%
Trevor Lawrence pass complete to Hunter Renfrow for 10 yds to the Clem 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:28
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+5
76.1%
Trevor Lawrence pass complete to Amari Rodgers for 5 yds to the Clem 31Similar
Q1 3:14
2ND & 5
OWN 31
0
76.2%
Travis Etienne run for no gain to the Clem 31Similar
Q1 2:34
3RD & 5
OWN 31
-5
75.7%
Trevor Lawrence sacked by Julian Okwara for a loss of 5 yards to the Clem 26Similar
Q1 2:05
4TH & 10
OWN 26
0
75.0%
Will Spiers punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Chris Finke at the NDame 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 7DOWNS
10 plays · 34 yds · 3:0325% → 27%
Q1 1:57
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+6
74.8%
Jafar Armstrong run for 6 yds to the NDame 38Similar
Q1 1:33
2ND & 4
OWN 38
0
74.1%
Ian Book run for no gain to the NDame 38Similar
Q1 1:09
3RD & 4
OWN 38
+6
74.3%
Ian Book pass complete to Chase Claypool for 6 yds to the NDame 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:54
1ST & 10
OWN 44
-4
73.8%
Ian Book sacked by Clelin Ferrell for a loss of 4 yards to the NDame 40Similar
Q1 0:03
2ND & 14
OWN 40
+8
74.2%
Ian Book pass complete to Alize Mack for 8 yds to the NDame 48Similar
Q2 14:54
3RD & 6
OWN 48
+11
73.5%
Ian Book pass complete to Cole Kmet for 11 yds to the Clem 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:32
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
72.9%
Ian Book pass incomplete to Miles BoykinSimilar
Q2 14:24
2ND & 10
OPP 41
+7
72.9%
Ian Book pass complete to Miles Boykin for 7 yds to the Clem 34Similar
Q2 14:00
3RD & 3
OPP 34
0
72.7%
Ian Book pass incomplete to Chris FinkeSimilar
Q2 13:54
4TH & 3
OPP 34
0
73.5%
Ian Book pass incomplete to Miles Boykin, broken up by Isaiah SimmonsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 8TD
3 plays · 65 yds · 0:5575% → 79%
Q2 13:45
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+7
75.0%
Adam Choice run for 7 yds to the Clem 42Similar
Q2 13:20
2ND & 3
OWN 42
+6
75.8%
Trevor Lawrence pass complete to Trevion Thompson for 6 yds to the Clem 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:50
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+52
79.4%
Justyn Ross 52 Yd pass from Trevor Lawrence (Greg Huegel PAT blocked)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 1:2223% → 23%
Q2 12:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
77.4%
Dexter Williams run for 5 yds to the NDame 30Similar
Q2 12:13
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+3
76.9%
Dexter Williams run for 3 yds to the NDame 33Similar
Q2 11:36
3RD & 2
OWN 33
0
77.0%
Ian Book pass incomplete to Miles BoykinSimilar
Q2 11:23
4TH & 2
OWN 33
+10
77.5%
Tyler Newsome punt for 54 yds , Amari Rodgers returns for 10 yds to the Clem 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 10MISSED FG
12 plays · 46 yds · 4:2579% → 78%
Q2 11:15
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+3
78.5%
Travis Etienne run for 3 yds to the Clem 26Similar
Q2 10:44
2ND & 7
OWN 26
+3
78.4%
Trevor Lawrence pass complete to Tee Higgins for 3 yds to the Clem 29Similar
Q2 10:00
3RD & 4
OWN 29
+7
77.7%
Trevor Lawrence pass complete to Amari Rodgers for 7 yds to the Clem 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:42
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+3
78.7%
Travis Etienne run for 3 yds to the Clem 39Similar
Q2 9:08
2ND & 7
OWN 39
0
79.2%
Trevor Lawrence pass incomplete to Amari Rodgers, broken up by Jonathan BonnerSimilar
Q2 8:56
3RD & 7
OWN 39
+34
78.2%
Trevor Lawrence pass complete to Justyn Ross for 34 yds to the NDame 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:34
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+3
79.7%
Trevor Lawrence pass complete to Justyn Ross for 3 yds to the NDame 24Similar
Q2 8:04
2ND & 7
OPP 24
-10
80.2%
Lawrence, Trevor pass incomplete to Higgins, Tee, PENALTY CLEMSON holding (Pollard, Sean) 10 yards to the NOTREDAME34, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 7:52
2ND & 17
OPP 34
+10
79.6%
Trevor Lawrence run for 10 yds to the NDame 24Similar
Q2 7:40
3RD & 7
OPP 24
-7
79.8%
Trevor Lawrence sacked by Adetokunbo Ogundeji for a loss of 7 yards to the NDame 31Similar
Q2 6:50
4TH & 14
OPP 31
+49
77.7%
Greg Huegel 49 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 11PUNT
6 plays · 16 yds · 1:4524% → 23%
Q2 6:41
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
76.2%
Ian Book pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:32
2ND & 10
OWN 32
+23
76.6%
Ian Book pass complete to Miles Boykin for 23 yds to the Clem 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:21
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
74.7%
Dexter Williams run for no gain to the Clem 45Similar
Q2 5:57
2ND & 10
OPP 45
0
74.8%
Ian Book pass incomplete to Alize Mack, broken up by Isaiah SimmonsSimilar
Q2 5:38
3RD & 10
OPP 45
-7
75.8%
Dexter Williams run for a loss of 7 yards to the NDame 48Similar
Q2 4:56
4TH & 17
OWN 48
0
77.5%
Tyler Newsome punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Amari Rodgers at the Clem 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 12TD
10 plays · 85 yds · 3:0478% → 86%
Q2 4:48
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+3
78.4%
Travis Etienne run for 3 yds to the Clem 18Similar
Q2 4:07
2ND & 7
OWN 18
+6
78.3%
Trevor Lawrence pass complete to Justyn Ross for 6 yds to the Clem 24Similar
Q2 3:23
3RD & 1
OWN 24
+1
78.0%
Trevor Lawrence run for 1 yd to the Clem 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+16
78.5%
Trevor Lawrence pass complete to Hunter Renfrow for 16 yds to the Clem 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:40
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+11
79.8%
Trevor Lawrence run for 11 yds to the NDame 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:24
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+10
80.2%
Lawrence, Trevor pass incomplete to Renfrow, Hunter, PENALTY NOTREDAME holding (Vaughn, Donte) 10 yards to the NOTREDAME38, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN CLEMSON.Similar
Q2 2:15
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+1
80.2%
Travis Etienne run for 1 yd to the NDame 37Similar
Q2 1:51
2ND & 9
OPP 37
0
80.1%
Trevor Lawrence pass incomplete to Garrett Williams, broken up by Drue TranquillSimilar
Q2 1:51
3RD & 9
OPP 37
-5
79.4%
CLEMSON Penalty, False Start (Tremayne Anchrum) to the NDame 42Similar
Q2 1:44
3RD & 14
OPP 42
+42
85.8%
Justyn Ross 42 Yd pass from Trevor Lawrence (Greg Huegel Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 13PUNT
7 plays · 16 yds · 0:5015% → 15%
Q2 1:38
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+13
84.6%
Ian Book pass complete to Chris Finke for 13 yds to the NDame 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:24
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+1
84.0%
Ian Book run for 1 yd to the NDame 39Similar
Q2 1:04
2ND & 9
OWN 39
0
84.1%
Ian Book pass incomplete to Tony Jones Jr.Similar
Q2 0:58
3RD & 9
OWN 39
+2
84.4%
Ian Book pass complete to Chase Claypool for 2 yds to the NDame 41Similar
Q2 0:48
4TH & 7
OWN 41
0
84.7%
Tyler Newsome punt for 59 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 14TD
6 plays · 80 yds · 0:3785% → 95%
Q2 0:39
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
85.1%
Trevor Lawrence pass complete to Amari Rodgers for 2 yds to the Clem 22Similar
Q2 0:23
2ND & 8
OWN 22
+5
84.8%
NOTRE DAME Penalty, Defensive Offside (Khalid Kareem) to the Clem 27Similar
Q2 0:17
2ND & 3
OWN 27
+7
85.0%
Trevor Lawrence pass complete to Amari Rodgers for 7 yds to the Clem 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:10
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+47
86.2%
Trevor Lawrence pass complete to Hunter Renfrow for 32 yds to the CLEMSON 34 for a 1ST down NOTRE DAME Penalty, Roughing Passer (Jerry Tillery) to the NDame 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:02
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+19
95.0%
Tee Higgins 19 Yd pass from Trevor Lawrence (Greg Huegel Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 15END OF HALF
2 plays · -2 yds · 0:007% → 7%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 34
-2
93.3%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the NDame 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 16PUNT
7 plays · 30 yds · 1:5296% → 96%
Q3 14:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
95.5%
Trevor Lawrence pass complete to Hunter Renfrow for 4 yds to the Clem 29Similar
Q3 14:15
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+24
95.7%
Trevor Lawrence pass complete to Tee Higgins for 24 yds to the NDame 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:53
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
96.0%
Trevor Lawrence pass incomplete to Justyn Ross, broken up by Jonathan BonnerSimilar
Q3 13:37
2ND & 10
OPP 47
+2
95.9%
Travis Etienne run for 2 yds to the NDame 45Similar
Q3 13:05
3RD & 8
OPP 45
0
96.0%
Trevor Lawrence pass incomplete to Tee Higgins, broken up by Troy Pride Jr.Similar
Q3 12:56
4TH & 8
OPP 45
0
95.7%
Will Spiers punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Chris Finke at the NDame 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 17PUNT
14 plays · 50 yds · 4:345% → 5%
Q3 12:49
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+2
94.6%
Ian Book run for 2 yds to the NDame 15Similar
Q3 12:18
2ND & 8
OWN 15
+3
94.7%
Ian Book pass complete to Miles Boykin for 3 yds to the NDame 18Similar
Q3 11:37
3RD & 5
OWN 18
+6
94.6%
Ian Book run for 6 yds to the NDame 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:18
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+8
94.5%
Ian Book run for 8 yds to the NDame 32Similar
Q3 11:03
2ND & 2
OWN 32
+15
94.3%
Book, Ian pass incomplete to Boykin, Miles, PENALTY CLEMSON pass interference (Terrell, A.J.) 15 yards to the NOTREDAME47, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN NOTREDAME.Similar
Q3 10:54
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+8
94.3%
Dexter Williams run for 8 yds to the Clem 45Similar
Q3 10:34
2ND & 2
OPP 45
+7
94.5%
Ian Book run for 7 yds to the Clem 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:14
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
95.0%
Ian Book pass incomplete to Miles Boykin, broken up by A.J. TerrellSimilar
Q3 10:05
2ND & 10
OPP 38
+5
95.0%
Book, Ian pass complete to Williams, Dexter for loss of 6 yards to the CLEMSON44, PENALTY CLEMSON offside (Bryant, Austin) 5 yards to the CLEMSON33, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 9:43
2ND & 5
OPP 33
+3
94.7%
Ian Book pass complete to Alize Mack for 3 yds to the Clem 30Similar
Q3 9:18
3RD & 2
OPP 30
-5
95.2%
NOTRE DAME Penalty, False Start (Aaron Banks) to the Clem 35Similar
Q3 8:40
3RD & 7
OPP 35
-2
95.5%
Ian Book sacked by Isaiah Simmons and Christian Wilkins for a loss of 2 yards to the Clem 37Similar
Q3 8:15
4TH & 9
OPP 37
0
95.4%
Tyler Newsome punt for 35 yds, downed at the Clem 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 18PUNT
7 plays · 16 yds · 2:2096% → 96%
Q3 8:09
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+2
96.1%
Travis Etienne run for 2 yds to the Clem 4Similar
Q3 7:34
2ND & 8
OWN 4
+11
96.3%
Trevor Lawrence pass complete to Justyn Ross for 11 yds to the Clem 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:06
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+10
96.6%
Travis Etienne run for 10 yds to the Clem 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-7
96.7%
Trevor Lawrence sacked by Jayson Ademilola and Te'von Coney for a loss of 7 yards to the Clem 18Similar
Q3 6:05
2ND & 17
OWN 18
0
96.6%
Trevor Lawrence pass incomplete to Milan RichardSimilar
Q3 5:57
3RD & 17
OWN 18
0
96.6%
Trevor Lawrence pass incomplete to Milan RichardSimilar
Q3 5:49
4TH & 17
OWN 18
0
96.4%
Will Spiers punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Chris Finke at the NDame 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 19INT
8 plays · 22 yds · 2:444% → 3%
Q3 5:49
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-5
96.0%
NOTRE DAME Penalty, False Start (Liam Eichenberg) to the NDame 35Similar
Q3 5:40
1ST & 15
OWN 35
+11
96.3%
Dexter Williams run for 11 yds to the NDame 46Similar
Q3 5:09
2ND & 4
OWN 46
0
96.1%
Ian Book pass incomplete to Dexter WilliamsSimilar
Q3 4:50
3RD & 4
OWN 46
+7
96.3%
Dexter Williams run for 7 yds to the Clem 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:35
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+21
96.2%
Ian Book pass complete to Miles Boykin for 21 yds to the Clem 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:19
1ST & 10
OPP 26
-2
95.7%
Ian Book sacked by Austin Bryant for a loss of 2 yards to the Clem 28Similar
Q3 3:32
2ND & 12
OPP 28
-10
96.0%
Ian Book sacked by Austin Bryant for a loss of 10 yards to the Clem 38Similar
Q3 3:05
3RD & 22
OPP 44
+39
97.1%
Ian Book pass intercepted Nolan Turner return for 24 yds to the Clem 14 CLEMSON Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Austin Bryant) to the Clem 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 20TD
3 plays · 71 yds · 0:4897% → 100%
Q3 2:52
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+6
97.0%
Travis Etienne run for 6 yds to the Clem 35Similar
Q3 2:29
2ND & 4
OWN 35
+3
97.1%
Diondre Overton run for 3 yds to the Clem 38Similar
Q3 2:04
3RD & 1
OWN 38
+62
99.7%
Travis Etienne 62 Yd Run (Greg Huegel Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 21PUNT
7 plays · 14 yds · 2:100% → 0%
Q3 1:57
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
99.8%
Dexter Williams run for 6 yds to the NDame 31Similar
Q3 1:36
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+8
99.7%
Dexter Williams run for 8 yds to the NDame 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:16
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
99.8%
Ian Book pass incomplete to Alize MackSimilar
Q3 0:50
2ND & 10
OWN 39
-4
99.8%
Dexter Williams run for a loss of 4 yards to the NDame 35Similar
Q3 0:07
3RD & 14
OWN 35
+4
99.8%
Ian Book pass complete to Jafar Armstrong for 4 yds to the NDame 39Similar
Q4 14:47
4TH & 10
OWN 39
0
99.8%
Tyler Newsome punt for 61 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 22FUMBLE
12 plays · 72 yds · 5:26100% → 100%
Q4 14:39
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+23
99.8%
Adam Choice run for 23 yds to the Clem 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:15
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
99.8%
Trevor Lawrence pass incomplete to Derion KendrickSimilar
Q4 14:09
2ND & 10
OWN 43
+13
99.8%
Trevor Lawrence pass complete to T.J. Chase for 13 yds to the NDame 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:41
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+2
99.8%
Tavien Feaster run for 2 yds to the NDame 42Similar
Q4 13:12
2ND & 8
OPP 42
+6
99.8%
Tavien Feaster run for 6 yds to the NDame 36Similar
Q4 12:47
3RD & 2
OPP 36
+9
99.8%
Tavien Feaster run for 9 yds to the NDame 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:10
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+4
99.8%
Trevor Lawrence pass complete to T.J. Chase for 4 yds to the NDame 23Similar
Q4 11:38
2ND & 6
OPP 23
+3
99.8%
Trevor Lawrence pass complete to Tavien Feaster for 3 yds to the NDame 20Similar
Q4 10:58
3RD & 3
OPP 20
+2
99.8%
Trevor Lawrence pass complete to Trevion Thompson for 2 yds to the NDame 18Similar
Q4 10:24
4TH & 1
OPP 18
+4
99.8%
Travis Etienne run for 4 yds to the NDame 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:45
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+2
99.9%
Trevor Lawrence pass complete to Will Swinney for 2 yds to the NDame 12Similar
Q4 9:13
2ND & 8
OPP 12
+4
99.9%
Travis Etienne run for 4 yds to the NDame 12 Travis Etienne fumbled, recovered by NDame Asmar Bilal , return for 4 yds to the NDame 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 23PUNT
9 plays · 13 yds · 2:160% → 0%
Q4 9:05
1ST & 10
OWN 12
-6
99.9%
Ian Book sacked by Shaq Smith for a loss of 6 yards to the NDame 6Similar
Q4 8:36
2ND & 16
OWN 6
+11
99.9%
Ian Book run for 11 yds to the NDame 17Similar
Q4 8:07
3RD & 5
OWN 17
+4
99.9%
Ian Book run for 4 yds to the NDame 21Similar
Q4 7:55
4TH & 1
OWN 21
+2
99.9%
Dexter Williams run for 2 yds to the NDame 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:31
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+7
99.9%
Ian Book pass complete to Dexter Williams for 7 yds to the NDame 30Similar
Q4 7:08
2ND & 3
OWN 30
0
99.9%
Ian Book pass incomplete to Ian BookSimilar
Q4 7:04
3RD & 3
OWN 30
0
99.9%
Ian Book pass incomplete to Chase ClaypoolSimilar
Q4 6:59
4TH & 3
OWN 30
-5
99.9%
NOTRE DAME Penalty, False Start (Jalen Elliott) to the NDame 25Similar
Q4 6:49
4TH & 8
OWN 25
0
99.9%
Tyler Newsome punt for 46 yds , Amari Rodgers returns for no gain to the Clem 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 24PUNT
6 plays · 12 yds · 1:48100% → 100%
Q4 6:36
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+5
99.9%
Lyn-J Dixon run for 5 yds to the Clem 34Similar
Q4 6:14
2ND & 5
OWN 34
+10
99.9%
Lyn-J Dixon run for 10 yds to the Clem 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:40
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
99.9%
Chase Brice pass incomplete to Diondre Overton, broken up by Julian LoveSimilar
Q4 5:34
2ND & 10
OWN 44
-3
99.9%
Lyn-J Dixon run for a loss of 3 yards to the Clem 41Similar
Q4 4:57
3RD & 13
OWN 41
0
99.9%
Chase Brice pass incomplete to Diondre Overton, broken up by Alohi GilmanSimilar
Q4 4:48
4TH & 13
OWN 41
+1
99.9%
Will Spiers punt for 49 yds , Chris Finke returns for 1 yd to the NDame 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 25PUNT
5 plays · 13 yds · 1:050% → 0%
Q4 4:40
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+15
99.9%
Ian Book pass complete to Miles Boykin for 15 yds to the NDame 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:11
1ST & 10
OWN 26
-2
99.9%
Ian Book sacked by Justin Foster for a loss of 2 yards to the NDame 24Similar
Q4 3:47
2ND & 12
OWN 24
0
99.9%
Ian Book pass incomplete to Nic Weishar, broken up by Nolan TurnerSimilar
Q4 3:42
3RD & 12
OWN 24
0
99.9%
Ian Book pass incomplete to Dexter WilliamsSimilar
Q4 3:35
4TH & 12
OWN 24
0
99.9%
Tyler Newsome punt for 25 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the NDame 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 26Uncategorized
6 plays · 31 yds · 2:58100% → 100%
Q4 3:25
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+1
99.9%
Darien Rencher run for 1 yd to the NDame 48Similar
Q4 2:50
2ND & 9
OPP 48
+2
99.9%
Lyn-J Dixon run for 2 yds to the NDame 46Similar
Q4 2:15
3RD & 7
OPP 46
+23
99.9%
Chase Brice run for 23 yds to the NDame 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:30
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+8
99.9%
Chase Brice run for 8 yds to the NDame 15Similar
Q4 0:55
2ND & 2
OPP 15
-2
100.0%
Lyn-J Dixon run for a loss of 2 yards to the NDame 17Similar
Q4 0:27
3RD & 4
OPP 17
-1
100.0%
Lyn-J Dixon run for a loss of 1 yard to the NDame 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 0:02
Tee Higgins 19 Yd pass from Trevor Lawrence (Greg Huegel Kick)
+8
TD · Q2 1:44
Justyn Ross 42 Yd pass from Trevor Lawrence (Greg Huegel Kick)
+6.5
TD · Q2 12:50
Justyn Ross 52 Yd pass from Trevor Lawrence (Greg Huegel PAT blocked)
+3.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com