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South Carolina 0 at Virginia 28

UVA
2018 · Postseason · Dec 29, 2018 · Bank of America Stadium
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Win probability · UVA
modelUVA aheadSC aheadconfidence bandkey playUVA scoreSC score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 14:47 · Parker White 45 yd FG MISSED
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsGarbage-time factorBlowout margin
+36.5+18.30−18.3−36.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 43Home team on offense+1.9Pregame prior−16.9Score differential+0.5Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.6Garbage-time factor−0.2Blowout margin+0.3
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 3:30: B. Perkins pass,to O. Zaccheaus for 6 yds for a TD, (B. Delaney KICK) — UVA win probability +4.2 pts (now 38%) (top driver: UVA has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 0:42: Jordan Ellis run for 9 yds for a TD (Brian Delaney KICK) — UVA win probability +11.9 pts (now 69%) (top driver: UVA has the ball).
  3. KEY PLAY · Q2 0:30: Timeout VIRGINIA, clock 00:30 — SC win probability +5.7 pts (now 38%) (top driver: SC has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q2 0:06: Jake Bentley pass complete to Chavis Dawkins for 13 yds to the Virg 35 — UVA win probability +3.5 pts (now 68%) (top driver: SC has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 7:14: Bryce Perkins pass complete to Olamide Zaccheaus for 10 yds for a TD (Brian Delaney KICK) — UVA win probability +14.7 pts (now 94%) (top driver: UVA has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UVA made the numbers' call on 4 of 6SC made the numbers' call on 7 of 10
  1. Q1 11:22UVA 4th & 5 at SC 41, tied
    Close callPunted · 38.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.7%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    38.6%−0.1
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    38.7%−<0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:01SC 4th & 1 at SC 29, tied
    Close callPunted · 60.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    61.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    60.7%−0.2
    average punt
  3. Q1 3:30UVA 4th & 2 at SC 6, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 41.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    41.7%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    41.3%−0.4
    91% to make
    Punt
    39.4%−2.3
    average punt
  4. Q1 1:55SC 4th & 1 at UVA 44, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 54.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    54.3%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    52.6%−1.7
    27% to make
    Punt
    53.2%−1.2
    average punt
  5. Q2 14:47SC 4th & 7 at UVA 28, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 52.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.5%−0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    52.6%
    60% to make
    Punt
    49.8%−2.8
    average punt
  6. Q2 10:18UVA 4th & 11 at SC 44, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 51.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.4%−0.6
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    50.0%−1.0
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    51.0%
    average punt
  7. Q2 8:52SC 4th & 7 at SC 41, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 46.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.4%−0.9
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    47.4%
    average punt
  8. Q2 0:01SC 4th & 1 at UVA 35, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 30.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    32.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    29.5%−2.5
    45% to make
    Punt
    29.1%−2.8
    average punt
  9. Q3 13:37UVA 4th & 4 at SC 49, up 14
    Close callPunted · 74.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    74.7%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    74.3%−0.3
    average punt
  10. Q3 11:39SC 4th & 13 at SC 13, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 23.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.7%−2.7
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    24.4%
    average punt
  11. Q3 5:31SC 4th & 15 at SC 31, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.3%−1.8
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.2%
    average punt
  12. Q3 3:36UVA 4th & 15 at UVA 26, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 94.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.9%−1.7
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    95.6%
    average punt
  13. Q3 1:57SC 4th & 11 at UVA 11, down 21
    Close callWent for it · 4.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.1%−0.9
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    3.9%
    87% to make
    Punt
    -0.4%−4.4
    average punt
  14. Q4 12:22UVA 4th & 5 at SC 16, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 98.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.7%−0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    97.8%
    81% to make
    Punt
    96.3%−1.5
    average punt
  15. Q4 11:54SC 4th & 10 at SC 20, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.5%−0.3
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.8%
    average punt
  16. Q4 6:10SC 4th & 20 at UVA 48, down 28
    Close callWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%−0.1
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.1%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UVA made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 3:30UVA Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    45.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    45.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 0:42UVA Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    71.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    71.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 7:14UVA Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 6:54UVA Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
SCDrive 1DOWNS
8 plays · 22 yds · 1:5471% → 71%
Q1 14:39
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
28.6%
Jake Bentley run for 4 yds to the SCaro 39Similar
Q1 14:10
2ND & 6
OWN 39
+4
28.8%
Rico Dowdle run for 4 yds to the SCaro 43Similar
Q1 14:00
3RD & 2
OWN 43
+5
28.8%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Shi Smith for 5 yds to the SCaro 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:43
1ST & 10
OWN 48
-5
28.9%
SOUTH CAROLINA Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the SCaro 43Similar
Q1 13:20
1ST & 15
OWN 43
+3
29.1%
Rico Dowdle run for 3 yds to the SCaro 46Similar
Q1 13:19
2ND & 12
OWN 46
+2
29.1%
Rico Dowdle run for 2 yds to the SCaro 48Similar
Q1 12:45
3RD & 10
OWN 48
+9
29.4%
Jake Bentley run for 9 yds to the Virg 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 2PUNT
5 plays · 16 yds · 0:4730% → 30%
Q1 12:09
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+11
30.0%
Bryce Perkins pass complete to Evan Butts for 11 yds to the SCaro 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:04
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
30.2%
Bryce Perkins pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:41
2ND & 10
OPP 46
+5
30.3%
Jordan Ellis run for 5 yds to the SCaro 41Similar
Q1 11:32
3RD & 5
OPP 41
0
30.4%
Bryce Perkins pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:22
4TH & 5
OPP 41
0
30.3%
Lester Coleman punt for 41 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 1:1370% → 69%
Q1 11:14
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
30.1%
Ty'Son Williams run for 3 yds to the SCaro 23Similar
Q1 10:49
2ND & 7
OWN 23
+6
30.3%
Ty'Son Williams run for 6 yds to the SCaro 29Similar
Q1 10:42
3RD & 1
OWN 29
0
30.3%
Ty'Son Williams run for no gain to the SCaro 29Similar
Q1 10:01
4TH & 1
OWN 29
+11
30.9%
Joseph Charlton punt for 59 yds , Billy Kemp returns for 11 yds to the Virg 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 4TD
13 plays · 77 yds · 5:5931% → 38%
Q1 9:29
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+13
31.1%
Bryce Perkins run for 13 yds to the Virg 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:15
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+10
31.3%
Olamide Zaccheaus run for 10 yds to the Virg 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:40
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+8
31.8%
Bryce Perkins pass complete to Olamide Zaccheaus for 8 yds to the SCaro 46Similar
Q1 8:20
2ND & 2
OPP 46
+3
32.2%
Jordan Ellis run for 3 yds to the SCaro 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:55
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
32.4%
PK Kier run for no gain to the SCaro 43Similar
Q1 7:11
2ND & 10
OPP 43
+6
32.7%
Bryce Perkins pass complete to Olamide Zaccheaus for 6 yds to the SCaro 37Similar
Q1 6:37
3RD & 4
OPP 37
+4
33.0%
Jordan Ellis run for 4 yds to the SCaro 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:46
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+9
33.8%
Jordan Ellis run for 9 yds to the SCaro 24Similar
Q1 5:24
2ND & 1
OPP 24
+10
34.0%
Bryce Perkins pass complete to Olamide Zaccheaus for 10 yds to the SCaro 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:48
1ST & 10
OPP 14
-5
34.4%
Bryce Perkins run for a loss of 5 yards to the SCaro 19Similar
Q1 4:09
2ND & 15
OPP 19
0
34.5%
Bryce Perkins pass incomplete to Hasise DuboisSimilar
Q1 3:41
3RD & 15
OPP 19
+13
34.0%
Bryce Perkins run for 13 yds to the SCaro 6Similar
Q1 3:30
4TH & 2
OPP 6
+6
38.2%
B. Perkins pass,to O. Zaccheaus for 6 yds for a TD, (B. Delaney KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 5MISSED FG
13 plays · 47 yds · 3:2962% → 60%
Q1 3:16
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+22
37.9%
Jake Bentley pass complete to K.C. Crosby for 22 yds to the SCaro 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:51
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+3
37.2%
Rico Dowdle run for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 2:37
2ND & 7
50
0
36.9%
Jake Bentley pass incomplete to Josh VannSimilar
Q1 2:22
3RD & 7
50
+6
37.5%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Shi Smith for 6 yds to the Virg 44Similar
Q1 1:55
4TH & 1
OPP 44
+2
38.1%
Jake Bentley run for 2 yds to the Virg 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:22
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+7
37.8%
Rico Dowdle run for 7 yds to the Virg 35Similar
Q1 0:58
2ND & 3
OPP 35
+2
37.3%
Rico Dowdle run for 2 yds to the Virg 33Similar
Q1 0:23
3RD & 1
OPP 33
+2
38.4%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Bryan Edwards for 2 yds to the Virg 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:04
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+3
38.1%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Jacob August for 3 yds to the Virg 28Similar
Q2 14:57
2ND & 7
OPP 28
0
38.0%
Jake Bentley pass incomplete to Jacob AugustSimilar
Q2 14:52
3RD & 7
OPP 28
0
39.1%
Jake Bentley pass incomplete to Bryan EdwardsSimilar
Q2 14:47
4TH & 7
OPP 28
+45
39.9%
Parker White 45 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 6PUNT
9 plays · 28 yds · 4:0042% → 44%
Q2 14:18
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+3
41.5%
Jordan Ellis run for 3 yds to the Virg 31Similar
Q2 13:53
2ND & 7
OWN 31
+12
41.9%
Bryce Perkins pass complete to Olamide Zaccheaus for 12 yds to the Virg 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:42
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
43.1%
Bryce Perkins pass incomplete to Olamide ZaccheausSimilar
Q2 13:13
2ND & 10
OWN 43
+6
43.2%
Jordan Ellis run for 6 yds to the Virg 49Similar
Q2 12:26
3RD & 4
OWN 49
+8
43.9%
Bryce Perkins pass complete to Hasise Dubois for 8 yds to the SCaro 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:58
1ST & 10
OPP 43
-4
45.2%
Tavares Kelly run for a loss of 4 yards to the SCaro 47Similar
Q2 11:13
2ND & 14
OPP 47
+1
45.0%
Bryce Perkins pass complete to Jordan Ellis for 1 yd to the SCaro 46Similar
Q2 10:38
3RD & 13
OPP 46
+2
44.8%
Bryce Perkins run for 2 yds to the SCaro 44Similar
Q2 10:18
4TH & 11
OPP 44
0
44.2%
Lester Coleman punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Bryan Edwards at the SCaro 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 7PUNT
7 plays · 34 yds · 1:1355% → 53%
Q2 10:05
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+15
44.9%
Mon Denson run for 15 yds to the SCaro 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:01
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+3
44.6%
Mon Denson run for 3 yds to the SCaro 25Similar
Q2 9:27
2ND & 7
OWN 25
+13
45.2%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Shi Smith for 13 yds to the SCaro 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:15
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+3
44.6%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Shi Smith for 3 yds to the SCaro 41Similar
Q2 9:07
2ND & 7
OWN 41
0
44.4%
Jake Bentley pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:00
3RD & 7
OWN 41
0
45.3%
Jake Bentley pass incomplete to Josh VannSimilar
Q2 8:52
4TH & 7
OWN 41
+49
46.6%
Joseph Charlton punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Billy Kemp at the VIRGINIA 20 VIRGINIA Penalty, Personal Foul (Elliott Brown) to the Virg 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 8TD
15 plays · 90 yds · 7:5447% → 69%
Q2 8:36
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+2
46.6%
Jordan Ellis run for 2 yds to the Virg 12Similar
Q2 7:33
2ND & 8
OWN 12
+7
48.3%
Bryce Perkins pass complete to Hasise Dubois for 7 yds to the Virg 19Similar
Q2 7:21
3RD & 1
OWN 19
+4
47.8%
Jordan Ellis run for 4 yds to the Virg 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:49
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+15
49.3%
SOUTH CAROLINA Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Rashad Fenton) to the Virg 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:25
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+9
50.8%
Bryce Perkins pass complete to Hasise Dubois for 9 yds to the Virg 47Similar
Q2 5:54
2ND & 1
OWN 47
+3
52.2%
Bryce Perkins pass complete to Olamide Zaccheaus for 3 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:14
1ST & 10
50
+4
52.9%
Bryce Perkins run for 4 yds to the SCaro 46Similar
Q2 4:45
2ND & 6
OPP 46
+7
53.5%
Bryce Perkins pass complete to Olamide Zaccheaus for 7 yds to the SCaro 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:56
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+3
54.4%
Jordan Ellis run for 3 yds to the SCaro 36Similar
Q2 3:17
2ND & 7
OPP 36
+5
55.1%
Jordan Ellis run for 5 yds to the SCaro 31Similar
Q2 2:46
3RD & 2
OPP 31
+2
54.5%
Jordan Ellis run for 2 yds to the SCaro 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:04
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+3
56.3%
Jordan Ellis run for 3 yds to the SCaro 26Similar
Q2 1:51
2ND & 7
OPP 26
+13
56.7%
Bryce Perkins pass complete to Olamide Zaccheaus for 13 yds to the SCaro 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:13
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+4
57.4%
Bryce Perkins run for 4 yds to the SCaro 9Similar
Q2 0:42
2ND & 6
OPP 9
+9
69.3%
Jordan Ellis run for 9 yds for a TD (Brian Delaney KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 9DOWNS
11 plays · 33 yds · 0:3733% → 34%
Q2 0:38
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
67.5%
Jake Bentley pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:30
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+31
67.8%
Jake Bentley pass complete to K.C. Crosby for 31 yds to the Virg 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:26
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+6
61.8%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Rico Dowdle for 6 yds to the Virg 38Similar
Q2 0:21
2ND & 4
OPP 38
0
63.8%
Jake Bentley pass incomplete to Chavis DawkinsSimilar
Q2 0:14
3RD & 4
OPP 38
-10
64.6%
SOUTH CAROLINA Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Virg 48Similar
Q2 0:06
3RD & 14
OPP 48
+13
68.1%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Chavis Dawkins for 13 yds to the Virg 35Similar
Q2 0:01
4TH & 1
OPP 35
-7
65.7%
Jake Bentley sacked by Matt Gahm and Chris Peace for a loss of 7 yards to the Virg 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 10PUNT
6 plays · 16 yds · 0:5370% → 70%
Q3 14:30
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+10
69.9%
Bryce Perkins pass complete to Joe Reed for 10 yds to the Virg 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:06
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+6
71.4%
Bryce Perkins run for 6 yds to the SCaro 49Similar
Q3 13:50
2ND & 4
OPP 49
0
71.9%
Bryce Perkins pass incomplete to Olamide ZaccheausSimilar
Q3 13:46
3RD & 4
OPP 49
0
70.9%
Bryce Perkins pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 13:37
4TH & 4
OPP 49
0
69.9%
Lester Coleman punt for 33 yds, downed at the SCaro 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 11PUNT
4 plays · -3 yds · 1:2130% → 27%
Q3 13:00
1ST & 10
OWN 16
-5
70.5%
Jake Bentley pass complete to K.C. Crosby for a loss of 5 yards K.C. Crosby fumbled, forced by Joey Blount, recovered by SCaro K.C. CrosbySimilar
Q3 12:45
2ND & 15
OWN 11
+12
71.3%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Shi Smith for 12 yds to the SCaro 23Similar
Q3 12:15
3RD & 3
OWN 23
-10
71.3%
Jake Bentley sacked by Jordan Mack for a loss of 10 yards to the SCaro 13Similar
Q3 11:39
4TH & 13
OWN 13
+11
73.4%
Joseph Charlton punt for 37 yds , Billy Kemp returns for 11 yds to the SCaro 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 12TD
11 plays · 39 yds · 3:5775% → 94%
Q3 11:11
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+3
75.3%
Jordan Ellis run for 3 yds to the SCaro 36Similar
Q3 10:55
2ND & 7
OPP 36
0
75.5%
Bryce Perkins pass incomplete to Billy KempSimilar
Q3 10:33
3RD & 7
OPP 36
+8
75.1%
Bryce Perkins run for 8 yds to the SCaro 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:10
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+10
76.9%
Bryce Perkins pass complete to Chris Sharp for 10 yds to the SCaro 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:20
1ST & 10
OPP 18
-2
75.3%
Bryce Perkins sacked by Jaycee Horn for a loss of 2 yards to the SCaro 20Similar
Q3 8:46
2ND & 12
OPP 20
+6
75.8%
Bryce Perkins pass complete to Olamide Zaccheaus for 6 yds to the SCaro 14Similar
Q3 8:13
3RD & 6
OPP 14
+9
77.5%
Bryce Perkins run for 9 yds to the SCaro 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:37
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
-5
79.4%
VIRGINIA Penalty, Illegal Formation (-5 Yards) to the SCaro 10Similar
Q3 7:14
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+10
94.1%
Bryce Perkins pass complete to Olamide Zaccheaus for 10 yds for a TD (Brian Delaney KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 13PUNT
7 plays · 6 yds · 1:349% → 8%
Q3 7:05
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
90.8%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Bryan Edwards for 11 yds to the SCaro 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:42
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
90.6%
Ty'Son Williams run for no gain to the SCaro 36Similar
Q3 6:28
2ND & 10
OWN 36
0
90.8%
Jake Bentley pass incomplete to Chavis DawkinsSimilar
Q3 5:45
3RD & 10
OWN 36
0
91.9%
Jake Bentley run for no gain to the SCaro 36Similar
Q3 5:39
4TH & 10
OWN 36
-5
92.0%
SOUTH CAROLINA Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the SCaro 31Similar
Q3 5:31
4TH & 15
OWN 31
0
92.2%
Joseph Charlton punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Billy Kemp at the Virg 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 14PUNT
5 plays · -5 yds · 1:3995% → 96%
Q3 5:15
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+3
94.9%
Jordan Ellis run for 3 yds to the Virg 34Similar
Q3 4:37
2ND & 7
OWN 34
0
95.2%
Bryce Perkins pass incomplete to Billy KempSimilar
Q3 4:31
3RD & 7
OWN 34
-15
94.3%
VIRGINIA Penalty, Offensive Pass Interference (Ben Hogg) to the Virg 19Similar
Q3 4:00
3RD & 22
OWN 19
+7
94.6%
Bryce Perkins pass complete to Olamide Zaccheaus for 7 yds to the Virg 26Similar
Q3 3:36
4TH & 15
OWN 26
0
95.9%
Lester Coleman punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Bryan Edwards at the SCaro 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 15DOWNS
8 plays · 57 yds · 1:347% → 5%
Q3 3:31
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
93.5%
Jake Bentley pass incomplete to Chavis DawkinsSimilar
Q3 3:22
2ND & 10
OWN 32
+23
93.8%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Mon Denson for 23 yds to the Virg 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:55
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+37
93.7%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Shi Smith for 37 yds to the Virg 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:45
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
-3
93.0%
Mon Denson run for a loss of 3 yards to the Virg 11Similar
Q3 2:09
2ND & GOAL
OPP 11
0
94.4%
Jake Bentley pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 2:02
3RD & GOAL
OPP 11
0
95.0%
Jake Bentley pass incomplete to Bryan EdwardsSimilar
Q3 1:57
4TH & GOAL
OPP 11
0
95.1%
Jake Bentley pass incomplete to Jesus GibbsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 16FUMBLE
5 plays · 43 yds · 1:5898% → 99%
Q3 1:50
1ST & 10
OWN 11
0
98.1%
Bryce Perkins pass incomplete to Hasise DuboisSimilar
Q3 1:23
2ND & 10
OWN 11
+14
98.2%
Bryce Perkins pass complete to Hasise Dubois for 14 yds to the Virg 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:32
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
98.3%
Jordan Ellis run for 3 yds to the Virg 28Similar
Q3 0:18
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+7
98.4%
Bryce Perkins run for 7 yds to the Virg 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+19
98.5%
Bryce Perkins pass complete to Hasise Dubois for 19 yds Hasise Dubois fumbled, recovered by SCaroSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 17INT
3 plays · 12 yds · 0:343% → 3%
Q4 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+12
97.0%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Mon Denson for 12 yds to the Virg 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:24
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
97.0%
Jake Bentley pass incomplete to T.J. BrunsonSimilar
Q4 14:11
2ND & 10
OPP 42
+54
97.3%
Jake Bentley pass intercepted Juan Thornhill return for 54 yds to the SCaro 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 18MISSED FG
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:3899% → 99%
Q4 14:00
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+4
98.8%
Jordan Ellis run for 4 yds to the SCaro 17Similar
Q4 13:23
2ND & 6
OPP 17
+4
98.9%
Jordan Ellis run for 4 yds to the SCaro 13Similar
Q4 12:32
3RD & 2
OPP 13
-3
99.0%
Bryce Perkins run for a loss of 3 yards to the SCaro 16Similar
Q4 12:22
4TH & 5
OPP 16
+33
99.0%
Brian Delaney 33 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 19PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:232% → 2%
Q4 12:17
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
98.0%
Jake Bentley pass incomplete to Kiel PollardSimilar
Q4 12:12
2ND & 10
OWN 20
0
98.0%
Jake Bentley pass incomplete to Josh VannSimilar
Q4 12:04
3RD & 10
OWN 20
0
98.1%
Jake Bentley pass incomplete to Josh VannSimilar
Q4 11:54
4TH & 10
OWN 20
+9
98.1%
Joseph Charlton punt for 53 yds , Billy Kemp returns for 9 yds to the Virg 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 20TD
8 plays · 64 yds · 4:34100% → 100%
Q4 11:28
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+4
99.5%
Jordan Ellis run for 4 yds to the Virg 40Similar
Q4 10:39
2ND & 6
OWN 40
+4
99.5%
Jordan Ellis run for 4 yds to the Virg 44Similar
Q4 10:04
3RD & 2
OWN 44
+18
99.6%
Bryce Perkins pass complete to Ben Hogg for 18 yds to the SCaro 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:36
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+4
99.6%
Jordan Ellis run for 4 yds to the SCaro 34Similar
Q4 8:29
2ND & 6
OPP 34
-3
99.5%
Bryce Perkins sacked by Jabari Ellis for a loss of 3 yards to the SCaro 37Similar
Q4 7:56
3RD & 9
OPP 37
+19
99.6%
Bryce Perkins run for 19 yds to the SCaro 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:37
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+6
99.6%
Jordan Ellis run for 6 yds to the SCaro 12Similar
Q4 6:54
2ND & 4
OPP 12
+12
99.9%
Bryce Perkins pass complete to Olamide Zaccheaus for 12 yds for a TD (Brian Delaney KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 21INT
7 plays · 14 yds · 0:570% → 0%
Q4 6:36
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
99.9%
Jake Bentley pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 6:25
2ND & 10
OPP 38
-10
99.9%
SOUTH CAROLINA Penalty, Ineligible Downfield on Pass (-10 Yards) to the Virg 48Similar
Q4 6:20
3RD & 20
OPP 48
0
99.9%
Jake Bentley pass incomplete to Shi SmithSimilar
Q4 6:10
4TH & 20
OPP 48
+24
99.9%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Bryan Edwards for 24 yds to the Virg 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:55
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
99.9%
Jake Bentley pass incomplete to T.J. BrunsonSimilar
Q4 5:39
2ND & 10
OPP 24
+6
99.9%
Jake Bentley pass intercepted Tim Harris return for 6 yds to the Virg 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 22Uncategorized
8 plays · 30 yds · 4:28100% → 100%
Q4 5:15
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+5
99.9%
Jordan Ellis run for 5 yds to the Virg 22Similar
Q4 4:30
2ND & 5
OWN 22
+3
99.9%
Jordan Ellis run for 3 yds to the Virg 25Similar
Q4 3:42
3RD & 2
OWN 25
+3
99.9%
Jordan Ellis run for 3 yds to the Virg 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:30
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+2
99.9%
Jordan Ellis run for 2 yds to the Virg 30Similar
Q4 2:19
2ND & 8
OWN 30
0
100.0%
PK Kier run for no gain to the Virg 30Similar
Q4 1:44
3RD & 8
OWN 30
+9
99.9%
Bryce Perkins run for 9 yds to the Virg 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:23
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+5
100.0%
PK Kier run for 5 yds to the Virg 44Similar
Q4 0:47
2ND & 5
OWN 44
+3
100.0%
PK Kier run for 3 yds to the Virg 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 7:14
Bryce Perkins pass complete to Olamide Zaccheaus for 10 yds for a TD (Brian Delaney KICK)
+14.7
TD · Q2 0:42
Jordan Ellis run for 9 yds for a TD (Brian Delaney KICK)
+11.9
KEY PLAY · Q2 0:30
Timeout VIRGINIA, clock 00:30
-5.7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com