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ISU

Iowa State 26 at Washington State 28

WSU
2018 · Valero Alamo Bowl · Dec 28, 2018 · Alamodome
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Win probability · WSU
modelWSU aheadISU aheadconfidence bandkey playWSU scoreISU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDFGTDFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 1:08 · TEAM run for a loss of 4 yards to the IowSt 46
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsGarbage-time factorScore differentialBlowout margin
+21.5+10.80−10.8−21.5Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 1:02: Dezmon Patmon 9 Yd pass from Gardner Minshew (Blake Mazza Kick) — WSU win probability +9.3 pts (now 80%) (top driver: WSU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 12:11: David Montgomery 8 Yd Run (Connor Assalley Kick) — ISU win probability +14.9 pts (now 43%) (top driver: ISU has the ball).
  3. FG · Q3 1:04: Connor Assalley 23 Yd Field Goal — ISU win probability +9.6 pts (now 40%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  4. TD · Q4 10:24: Max Borghi run for 10 yds for a TD (Blake Mazza KICK) — WSU win probability +22.0 pts (now 90%) (top driver: WSU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 4:02: Brock Purdy run for 1 yd for a TD IOWA ST Penalty, False Start (Bryce Meeker) to the WshSt 8 (Two-Point Conversion failed ) — ISU win probability +16.0 pts (now 25%) (top driver: ISU hurrying with no timeouts left).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
WSU made the numbers' call on 3 of 6ISU made the numbers' call on 2 of 6
  1. Q1 11:36WSU 4th & 4 at WSU 46, tied
    Close callPunted · 59.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.6%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    59.6%−<0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 3:12ISU 4th & 3 at ISU 43, down 7
    Close callPunted · 36.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.6%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    36.5%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 0:06WSU 4th & 8 at WSU 34, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 63.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    63.6%−0.6
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    64.3%
    average punt
  4. Q2 12:03ISU 4th & 18 at WSU 38, down 7
    Close callPunted · 34.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.4%−0.7
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    34.1%
    38% to make
    PuntTheir call
    34.1%−<0.1
    average punt
  5. Q3 7:40WSU 4th & 15 at ISU 47, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 66.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    65.7%−2.7
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    68.3%
    average punt
  6. Q3 3:36ISU 4th & 1 at WSU 19, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 35.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    36.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    33.4%−2.7
    77% to make
    Punt
    25.0%−11.1
    average punt
  7. Q3 1:04ISU 4th & 2 at WSU 6, down 4
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.2 ptsKicked a field goal · 35.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.2%
    52% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    32.9%−2.2
    91% to make
    Punt
    22.0%−13.2
    average punt
  8. Q3 0:28WSU 4th & 10 at WSU 27, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 60.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.7%−3.3
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    62.0%
    average punt
  9. Q4 13:15ISU 4th & 5 at WSU 32, down 1
    Close callKicked a field goal · 39.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.2%
    42% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    38.7%−0.5
    51% to make
    Punt
    35.8%−3.4
    average punt
  10. Q4 11:46WSU 4th & 2 at WSU 40, up 1
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.3 ptsPunted · 63.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    64.3%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    62.0%−2.3
    average punt
  11. Q4 9:28ISU 4th & 4 at ISU 31, down 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 12.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.8%−0.7
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    13.5%
    average punt
  12. Q4 6:48WSU 4th & 1 at WSU 27, up 8
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.1 ptsPunted · 89.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    88.0%−2.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
WSU made the numbers' call on 4 of 4ISU made the numbers' call on 2 of 3
  1. Q1 6:55WSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    62.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    62.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 6:08WSU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    76.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    76.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 4:26ISU Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    30.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    30.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 1:02WSU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    79.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    79.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 12:11ISU Touchdown, down 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    34.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    34.2%−0.2
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 10:24WSU Touchdown, up 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    84.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    83.9%−0.5
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 4:02ISU Touchdown, down 2 before the try
    Numbers favored kick by 1.2 ptsWent for two · failed
    Kick
    33.8%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    32.5%−1.2
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
WSUDrive 1FUMBLE
4 plays · 34 yds · 1:1858% → 58%
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+2
58.2%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to James Williams for 2 yds to the WshSt 23Similar
Q1 14:08
2ND & 8
OWN 23
+13
58.3%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to Dezmon Patmon for 13 yds to the WshSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:37
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+19
58.4%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to James Williams for 19 yds James Williams fumbled, forced by Brian Peavy, recovered by IowSt Brian PeavySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 2INT
2 plays · 2 yds · 0:3042% → 42%
Q1 13:30
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+2
58.2%
David Montgomery run for 2 yds to the IowSt 47Similar
Q1 13:00
2ND & 8
OWN 47
0
58.1%
Brock Purdy pass intercepted Jalen Thompson return for no gain to the WshSt 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:1959% → 58%
Q1 12:55
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+6
58.5%
Max Borghi run for 6 yds to the WshSt 46Similar
Q1 12:20
2ND & 4
OWN 46
0
58.7%
Gardner Minshew pass incomplete to Easop WinstonSimilar
Q1 12:10
3RD & 4
OWN 46
0
58.6%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to Max Borghi for no gain to the WshSt 46Similar
Q1 11:36
4TH & 4
OWN 46
0
58.4%
Oscar Draguicevich punt for 51 yds, downed at the IowSt 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 4INT
9 plays · 64 yds · 3:3642% → 41%
Q1 11:24
1ST & 10
OWN 3
-1
58.4%
David Montgomery run for a loss of 1 yard to the IowSt 2Similar
Q1 10:42
2ND & 11
OWN 2
0
58.4%
David Montgomery run for no gain to the IowSt 2Similar
Q1 9:59
3RD & 11
OWN 2
+15
58.7%
Purdy, Brock pass incomplete to Eaton, Matthew, PENALTY WASHST pass interference (Thompson, Jalen) 15 yards to the IOWAST17, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN IOWAST.Similar
Q1 9:53
1ST & 10
OWN 17
0
58.3%
Brock Purdy pass incomplete to Hakeem ButlerSimilar
Q1 9:46
2ND & 10
OWN 17
+11
58.4%
David Montgomery run for 11 yds to the IowSt 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:31
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+34
58.3%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Hakeem Butler for 34 yds to the WshSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:18
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+3
57.8%
David Montgomery run for 3 yds to the WshSt 35Similar
Q1 9:00
2ND & 7
OPP 35
+2
57.4%
Sheldon Croney Jr. run for 2 yds to the WshSt 33Similar
Q1 7:48
3RD & 5
OWN 5
+81
58.6%
Brock Purdy pass intercepted Marcus Strong return for 66 yds to the IowSt 0 WASHINGTON ST Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Marcus Strong) to the IowSt 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 5TD
3 plays · 20 yds · 0:3559% → 62%
Q1 7:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 20
-2
59.3%
Max Borghi run for a loss of 2 yards to the IowSt 22Similar
Q1 7:02
2ND & GOAL
OPP 22
0
59.2%
Gardner Minshew pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:55
3RD & GOAL
OPP 22
+22
61.7%
Renard Bell 22 Yd pass from Gardner Minshew (Blake Mazza Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 6PUNT
10 plays · 18 yds · 3:4339% → 37%
Q1 6:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
61.4%
IOWA ST Penalty, False Start (Charlie Kolar) to the IowSt 20Similar
Q1 6:46
1ST & 15
OWN 20
+2
61.5%
David Montgomery run for 2 yds to the IowSt 22Similar
Q1 6:04
2ND & 13
OWN 22
+5
61.8%
David Montgomery run for 5 yds to the IowSt 27Similar
Q1 5:32
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+9
62.2%
Brock Purdy run for 9 yds to the IowSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:52
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-2
61.8%
Brock Purdy sacked by Misiona Aiolupotea-Pei for a loss of 2 yards to the IowSt 34Similar
Q1 4:40
2ND & 12
OWN 34
-4
62.3%
Brock Purdy pass complete to David Montgomery for a loss of 4 yards to the IowSt 30Similar
Q1 3:57
3RD & 16
OWN 30
+13
62.9%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Hakeem Butler for 13 yds to the IowSt 43Similar
Q1 3:12
4TH & 3
OWN 43
0
62.8%
Corey Dunn punt for 40 yds, downed at the WshSt 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 7PUNT
6 plays · 17 yds · 2:5764% → 64%
Q1 3:03
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+9
63.5%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to James Williams for 9 yds to the WshSt 26Similar
Q1 2:55
2ND & 1
OWN 26
+6
64.0%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to Travell Harris for 6 yds to the WshSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:05
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+5
63.9%
Gardner Minshew run for 5 yds to the WshSt 37Similar
Q1 1:55
2ND & 5
OWN 37
+1
64.5%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to Max Borghi for 1 yd to the WshSt 38Similar
Q1 0:21
3RD & 4
OWN 38
-4
64.9%
Gardner Minshew sacked by Willie Harvey and JaQuan Bailey for a loss of 4 yards to the WshSt 34Similar
Q1 0:06
4TH & 8
OWN 34
0
63.6%
Oscar Draguicevich punt for 42 yds, downed at the IowSt 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 8PUNT
9 plays · 38 yds · 2:5736% → 34%
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+14
64.2%
Kene Nwangwu run for 14 yds to the IowSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+9
63.6%
Brock Purdy run for 9 yds to the IowSt 47Similar
Q2 14:31
2ND & 1
OWN 47
+7
63.0%
David Montgomery run for 7 yds to the WshSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:58
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+16
63.0%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Hakeem Butler for 16 yds to the WshSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:40
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+7
62.4%
David Montgomery run for 7 yds to the WshSt 23Similar
Q2 13:26
2ND & 3
OPP 23
-5
62.3%
IOWA ST Penalty, False Start (Bryce Meeker) to the WshSt 28Similar
Q2 12:52
2ND & 8
OPP 28
-10
62.5%
Brock Purdy sacked by Marcus Strong for a loss of 10 yards to the WshSt 38Similar
Q2 12:11
3RD & 18
OPP 38
0
65.1%
Brock Purdy pass incomplete to Deshaunte JonesSimilar
Q2 12:03
4TH & 18
OPP 38
0
65.9%
Corey Dunn punt for 26 yds, fair catch by Kyle Sweet at the WshSt 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 9TD
13 plays · 88 yds · 5:4766% → 78%
Q2 11:55
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+23
65.7%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to Dezmon Patmon for 23 yds to the WshSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:26
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-1
66.2%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to Max Borghi for a loss of 1 yard to the WshSt 34Similar
Q2 10:52
2ND & 11
OWN 34
0
66.4%
Gardner Minshew pass incomplete to Dezmon PatmonSimilar
Q2 10:44
3RD & 11
OWN 41
+22
66.1%
Gardner Minshew run for 7 yds to the IowSt 41 for a 1ST down IOWA ST Penalty, Personal Foul (Willie Harvey) to the IowSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:19
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+7
68.0%
James Williams run for 7 yds to the IowSt 37Similar
Q2 9:51
2ND & 3
OPP 37
+4
68.4%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to Jamire Calvin for 4 yds to the IowSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:17
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+7
68.9%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to Calvin Jackson Jr. for 7 yds to the IowSt 26Similar
Q2 8:30
2ND & 3
OPP 26
+5
69.3%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to Jamire Calvin for 5 yds to the IowSt 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:13
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+7
70.1%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to James Williams for 7 yds to the IowSt 14Similar
Q2 7:39
2ND & 3
OPP 14
0
70.4%
Gardner Minshew pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:29
3RD & 3
OPP 14
+5
69.8%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to Dezmon Patmon for 5 yds to the IowSt 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:51
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+2
70.8%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to James Williams for 2 yds to the IowSt 7Similar
Q2 6:08
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
77.9%
Gardner Minshew 7 Yd Run (Blake Mazza Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 10TD
6 plays · 69 yds · 1:2624% → 35%
Q2 5:52
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+25
75.8%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Hakeem Butler for 25 yds to the WshSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:39
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+36
74.8%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Hakeem Butler for 36 yds to the WshSt 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
-5
73.9%
IOWA ST Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the WshSt 13Similar
Q2 5:03
1ST & GOAL
OPP 13
+4
74.4%
David Montgomery run for 4 yds to the WshSt 9Similar
Q2 4:26
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
65.2%
Brock Purdy 9 Yd Run (Connor Assalley Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 11TD
12 plays · 62 yds · 3:0571% → 80%
Q2 4:07
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+13
71.4%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to Max Borghi for 13 yds to the IowSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:33
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+8
71.9%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to Max Borghi for 8 yds to the IowSt 33Similar
Q2 3:02
2ND & 2
OPP 33
+4
72.5%
Gardner Minshew run for 4 yds to the IowSt 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:27
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
72.5%
Gardner Minshew pass incomplete to Jamire CalvinSimilar
Q2 2:19
2ND & 10
OPP 29
+12
72.5%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to Jamire Calvin for 12 yds to the IowSt 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:57
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+14
72.9%
Minshew, Gardner rush for loss of 5 yards to the IOWAST22, PENALTY IOWAST personal foul (Uwazurike, Eyioma) 14 yards to the IOWAST8, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN WASHST.Similar
Q2 1:57
1ST & 8
OPP 11
+7
72.9%
IOWA ST Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (7 Yards) to the IowSt 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:50
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
-2
73.0%
Max Borghi run for a loss of 2 yards to the IowSt 6Similar
Q2 1:15
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
-3
73.3%
Gardner Minshew sacked by Marcel Spears Jr. and JaQuan Bailey for a loss of 3 yards to the IowSt 9Similar
Q2 1:02
3RD & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
80.3%
Dezmon Patmon 9 Yd pass from Gardner Minshew (Blake Mazza Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 12END OF HALF
8 plays · 42 yds · 0:5621% → 26%
Q2 0:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
79.0%
Brock Purdy pass complete to David Montgomery for 7 yds to the IowSt 32Similar
Q2 0:47
2ND & 3
OWN 32
-1
78.3%
Brock Purdy pass complete to David Montgomery for a loss of 1 yard to the IowSt 31Similar
Q2 0:19
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+18
79.6%
David Montgomery run for 18 yds to the IowSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:04
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+18
78.5%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Sam Seonbuchner for 18 yds to the WshSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+50
73.8%
Connor Assalley 50 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 13TD
9 plays · 73 yds · 2:4425% → 43%
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+14
75.3%
David Montgomery run for 14 yds to the IowSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:32
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+11
74.7%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Matthew Eaton for 11 yds to the WshSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:03
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+28
74.0%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Hakeem Butler for 28 yds to the WshSt 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:50
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
72.5%
David Montgomery run for no gain to the WshSt 20Similar
Q3 13:18
2ND & 10
OPP 20
+11
72.1%
David Montgomery run for 11 yds to the WshSt 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:45
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+1
71.8%
David Montgomery run for 1 yd to the WshSt 8Similar
Q3 12:11
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
56.9%
David Montgomery 8 Yd Run (Connor Assalley Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 14PUNT
11 plays · 41 yds · 4:2063% → 66%
Q3 12:00
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+11
63.3%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to Easop Winston for 11 yds to the WshSt 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:27
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+1
63.7%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to Max Borghi for 1 yd to the WshSt 24Similar
Q3 10:47
2ND & 9
OWN 24
+12
66.4%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to Jamire Calvin for 12 yds to the WshSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:15
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
68.0%
Gardner Minshew pass incomplete to Calvin Jackson Jr.Similar
Q3 10:07
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+22
67.5%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to Easop Winston for 22 yds to the IowSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:38
1ST & 10
OPP 40
-13
70.4%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to Jamire Calvin for 2 yds to the WshSt 40 WASHINGTON ST Penalty, Personal Foul (James Williams) to the WshSt 45Similar
Q3 8:52
1ST & 23
OWN 45
+1
68.8%
James Williams run for 1 yd to the WshSt 46Similar
Q3 8:30
2ND & 22
OWN 46
+7
68.3%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to Easop Winston for 7 yds to the IowSt 47Similar
Q3 7:51
3RD & 15
OPP 47
0
67.6%
Gardner Minshew pass incomplete to Kyle SweetSimilar
Q3 7:40
4TH & 15
OPP 47
0
66.3%
Oscar Draguicevich punt for 47 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 15FG
17 plays · 74 yds · 6:2535% → 40%
Q3 7:29
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+6
65.2%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Hakeem Butler for 6 yds to the IowSt 26Similar
Q3 7:02
2ND & 4
OWN 26
+2
64.2%
David Montgomery run for 2 yds to the IowSt 28Similar
Q3 6:26
3RD & 2
OWN 28
+4
65.1%
David Montgomery run for 4 yds to the IowSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:52
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+28
64.2%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Hakeem Butler for 28 yds to the WshSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:45
1ST & 10
OPP 40
-2
60.7%
David Montgomery run for a loss of 2 yards to the WshSt 42Similar
Q3 5:01
2ND & 12
OPP 42
+14
62.0%
Sheldon Croney Jr. run for 14 yds to the WshSt 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:47
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
58.2%
Brock Purdy pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 4:40
2ND & 10
OPP 28
0
58.9%
David Montgomery run for no gain to the WshSt 28Similar
Q3 3:55
3RD & 10
OPP 28
+9
60.8%
Brock Purdy run for 9 yds to the WshSt 19Similar
Q3 3:36
4TH & 1
OPP 19
+5
65.6%
David Montgomery run for 5 yds to the WshSt 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:00
1ST & 10
OPP 14
0
61.7%
Brock Purdy pass incomplete to Hakeem ButlerSimilar
Q3 2:47
2ND & 10
OPP 14
+8
61.7%
David Montgomery run for 8 yds to the WshSt 6Similar
Q3 2:06
3RD & 2
OPP 6
-5
64.0%
IOWA ST Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the WshSt 11Similar
Q3 1:44
3RD & 7
OPP 11
+5
69.5%
David Montgomery run for 5 yds to the WshSt 6Similar
Q3 1:04
4TH & 2
OPP 6
+23
59.9%
Connor Assalley 23 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 16PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:2666% → 63%
Q3 0:54
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
65.6%
Gardner Minshew pass incomplete to Renard BellSimilar
Q3 0:43
2ND & 10
OWN 27
0
64.9%
Gardner Minshew pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 0:36
3RD & 10
OWN 27
0
63.7%
Gardner Minshew pass incomplete to Davontavean MartinSimilar
Q3 0:28
4TH & 10
OWN 27
0
62.7%
Oscar Draguicevich punt for 34 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the IowSt 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 17MISSED FG
6 plays · 29 yds · 1:4540% → 39%
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+6
60.0%
Brock Purdy run for 6 yds to the IowSt 45Similar
Q4 14:55
2ND & 4
OWN 45
+18
58.5%
Brock Purdy run for 18 yds to the WshSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:17
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+6
57.0%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Deshaunte Jones for 6 yds to the WshSt 31Similar
Q4 13:34
2ND & 4
OPP 31
-1
54.8%
David Montgomery run for a loss of 1 yard to the WshSt 32Similar
Q4 13:21
3RD & 5
OPP 32
0
57.0%
Brock Purdy pass incomplete to Deshaunte JonesSimilar
Q4 13:15
4TH & 5
OPP 32
+49
61.0%
Connor Assalley 49 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 18PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 1:1666% → 66%
Q4 13:02
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+5
66.2%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to James Williams for 5 yds to the WshSt 37Similar
Q4 12:29
2ND & 5
OWN 37
+3
68.6%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to Easop Winston for 3 yds to the WshSt 40Similar
Q4 11:55
3RD & 2
OWN 40
0
68.0%
Gardner Minshew pass incomplete to Jamire CalvinSimilar
Q4 11:46
4TH & 2
OWN 40
0
66.3%
Oscar Draguicevich punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Tarique Milton at the IowSt 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 19FUMBLE
3 plays · 11 yds · 0:2237% → 38%
Q4 11:39
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+5
63.3%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Landen Akers for 5 yds to the IowSt 24Similar
Q4 11:17
2ND & 5
OWN 24
+6
61.6%
David Montgomery run for 6 yds to the IowSt 30 David Montgomery fumbled, forced by Peyton Pelluer, recovered by WshSt Peyton PelluerSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 20TD
4 plays · 30 yds · 0:4771% → 90%
Q4 11:11
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
70.5%
Gardner Minshew pass incomplete to Max BorghiSimilar
Q4 11:02
2ND & 10
OPP 30
0
70.4%
Gardner Minshew pass incomplete to Dezmon PatmonSimilar
Q4 10:52
3RD & 10
OPP 30
+20
68.3%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to Davontavean Martin for 20 yds to the IowSt 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:24
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+10
90.3%
Max Borghi run for 10 yds for a TD (Blake Mazza KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 21PUNT
6 plays · 6 yds · 0:4613% → 10%
Q4 10:14
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
86.8%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Hakeem Butler for 6 yds to the IowSt 31Similar
Q4 9:52
2ND & 4
OWN 31
0
87.3%
Brock Purdy pass incomplete to Hakeem ButlerSimilar
Q4 9:42
3RD & 4
OWN 31
0
88.0%
Brock Purdy pass incomplete to Matthew EatonSimilar
Q4 9:28
4TH & 4
OWN 31
+4
90.1%
Corey Dunn punt for 62 yds , Travell Harris returns for 4 yds to the WshSt 35 WASHINGTON ST Penalty, Illegal Block (Halid Djibril) to the WshSt 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 22PUNT
6 plays · 21 yds · 2:0990% → 91%
Q4 8:57
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+9
90.3%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to James Williams for 9 yds to the WshSt 15Similar
Q4 8:30
2ND & 1
OWN 15
+3
90.4%
James Williams run for 3 yds to the WshSt 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:15
1ST & 10
OWN 18
0
90.9%
Gardner Minshew pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:55
2ND & 10
OWN 18
+8
91.3%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to Dezmon Patmon for 8 yds to the WshSt 26Similar
Q4 7:00
3RD & 2
OWN 26
+1
91.2%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to Davontavean Martin for 1 yd to the WshSt 27Similar
Q4 6:48
4TH & 1
OWN 27
0
90.9%
Oscar Draguicevich punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Tarique Milton at the IowSt 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 23TD
7 plays · 74 yds · 2:138% → 25%
Q4 6:15
1ST & 10
OWN 26
-3
91.7%
Brock Purdy sacked by Peyton Pelluer for a loss of 3 yards to the IowSt 23Similar
Q4 5:54
2ND & 13
OWN 23
+28
92.5%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Chase Allen for 28 yds to the WshSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:30
1ST & 10
OPP 49
-5
89.9%
IOWA ST Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the IowSt 46Similar
Q4 4:58
1ST & 15
OWN 46
+53
94.5%
Brock Purdy pass complete to David Montgomery for 53 yds to the WshSt 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:49
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
-5
91.1%
IOWA ST Penalty, False Start (Colin Newell) to the WshSt 6Similar
Q4 4:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+5
91.5%
David Montgomery run for 5 yds to the WshSt 1Similar
Q4 4:02
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
75.5%
Brock Purdy run for 1 yd for a TD IOWA ST Penalty, False Start (Bryce Meeker) to the WshSt 8 (Two-Point Conversion failed )Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 24Uncategorized
6 plays · 29 yds · 2:4377% → 90%
Q4 3:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
76.8%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to Davontavean Martin for 9 yds to the WshSt 34Similar
Q4 3:12
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+5
79.7%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to Davontavean Martin for 5 yds to the WshSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:15
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+1
79.9%
Max Borghi run for 1 yd to the WshSt 40Similar
Q4 1:30
2ND & 9
OWN 40
+18
84.5%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to Dezmon Patmon for 18 yds to the IowSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:08
1ST & 10
OPP 42
-4
89.7%
TEAM run for a loss of 4 yards to the IowSt 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 10:24
Max Borghi run for 10 yds for a TD (Blake Mazza KICK)
+22
TD · Q4 4:02
Brock Purdy run for 1 yd for a TD IOWA ST Penalty, False Start (Bryce Meeker) to the WshSt 8 (Two-Point Conversion failed )
-16
TD · Q3 12:11
David Montgomery 8 Yd Run (Connor Assalley Kick)
-14.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com