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PUR

Purdue 14 at Auburn 63

AUB
2018 · Franklin American Mortgage Music City Bowl · Dec 28, 2018 · Nissan Stadium
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Win probability · AUB
modelAUB aheadPUR aheadconfidence bandkey playAUB scorePUR score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 10:27 · Joe Schopper punt for 31 yds, downed at the Aub 35
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginPregame priorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsGarbage-time factor
+36.5+18.30−18.3−36.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 66Home team on offense+19.6Score differential+14.2Blowout margin+7.2Pregame prior+7.8Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+3.1Garbage-time factor+3.3
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 8:18: JaTarvious Whitlow run for 2 yds for a TD (Anders Carlson KICK) — AUB win probability +3.1 pts (now 67%) (top driver: AUB has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 6:59: JaTarvious Whitlow run for 1 yd for a TD (Anders Carlson KICK) — AUB win probability +3.7 pts (now 72%) (top driver: AUB has the ball).
  3. TD · Q1 3:25: Rondale Moore run for 7 yds for a TD, (Spencer Evans KICK) — PUR win probability +4.9 pts (now 32%) (top driver: PUR has the ball).
  4. TD · Q1 2:48: Jarrett Stidham pass complete to Darius Slayton for 74 yds for a TD (Anders Carlson KICK) — AUB win probability +4.9 pts (now 75%) (top driver: AUB has the ball).
  5. TD · Q2 12:54: Jarrett Stidham pass complete to Darius Slayton for 52 yds for a TD (Anders Carlson KICK) — AUB win probability +5.2 pts (now 89%) (top driver: AUB has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
AUB made the numbers' call on 4 of 6PUR made the numbers' call on 7 of 9
  1. Q1 10:28PUR 4th & 11 at AUB 47, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 37.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.6%−0.1
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    37.7%
    average punt
  2. Q1 0:43PUR 4th & 1 at PUR 34, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 21.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    22.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    21.8%−0.6
    average punt
  3. Q2 13:35PUR 4th & 1 at PUR 44, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 19.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    20.1%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    19.0%−1.1
    average punt
  4. Q2 10:27PUR 4th & 1 at PUR 34, down 35
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.3 ptsPunted · 8.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.4%−1.3
    average punt
  5. Q2 8:50AUB 4th & 3 at PUR 38, up 35
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 90.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    90.1%
    53% to convert
    Field goal
    89.3%−0.8
    38% to make
    Punt
    89.3%−0.8
    average punt
  6. Q2 7:29AUB 4th & 1 at PUR 13, up 35
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 94.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    94.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    93.4%−0.9
    85% to make
    Punt
    90.9%−3.4
    average punt
  7. Q2 3:04PUR 4th & 28 at PUR 18, down 42
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.3%−0.2
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.5%
    average punt
  8. Q2 0:07PUR 4th & 10 at AUB 45, down 49
    Close callWent for it · 1.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.6%−<0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    1.7%
    25% to make
    Punt
    1.6%−<0.1
    average punt
  9. Q3 13:44PUR 4th & 13 at PUR 35, down 49
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.0%−0.1
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.2%
    average punt
  10. Q3 3:12AUB 4th & 11 at AUB 25, up 49
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.5%−0.1
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.6%
    average punt
  11. Q3 1:33PUR 4th & 8 at PUR 39, down 49
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−<0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  12. Q4 10:04AUB 4th & 12 at PUR 12, up 49
    Close callWent for it · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.7%−0.1
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    99.8%
    86% to make
    Punt
    99.4%−0.4
    average punt
  13. Q4 7:57PUR 4th & 5 at PUR 14, down 49
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  14. Q4 4:31AUB 4th & 2 at PUR 26, up 49
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.9%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    99.9%−0.1
    64% to make
    Punt
    99.5%−0.4
    average punt
  15. Q4 2:16AUB 4th & 11 at PUR 21, up 49
    Close callWent for it · 100.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.8%−0.1
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    99.9%
    74% to make
    Punt
    99.6%−0.3
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
AUB made the numbers' call on 9 of 9PUR made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 13:57AUB Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    61.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    61.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 8:18AUB Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    65.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    65.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 6:59AUB Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    72.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    72.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q1 3:25PUR Touchdown, down 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    30.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    30.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q1 2:48AUB Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    77.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    77.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 12:54AUB Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    91.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    91.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q2 12:29AUB Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    91.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    91.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q2 5:36AUB Touchdown, up 41 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q2 2:01AUB Touchdown, up 48 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  10. Q3 7:16AUB Touchdown, up 55 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  11. Q3 5:29PUR Touchdown, down 50 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
AUBDrive 1TD
4 plays · 75 yds · 0:5762% → 62%
Q1 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
61.6%
Jarrett Stidham pass complete to Ryan Davis for 6 yds to the Aub 31Similar
Q1 14:34
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+3
61.6%
Kam Martin run for 3 yds to the Aub 34Similar
Q1 13:57
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+66
62.0%
Jarrett Stidham pass complete to JaTarvious Whitlow for 66 yds for a TD (Anders Carlson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 2PUNT
9 plays · 29 yds · 3:1738% → 37%
Q1 13:45
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+2
62.0%
Rondale Moore run for 2 yds to the Prdue 26Similar
Q1 13:23
2ND & 8
OWN 26
0
62.1%
David Blough pass incomplete to Terry WrightSimilar
Q1 13:15
3RD & 8
OWN 26
+16
62.2%
David Blough pass complete to Isaac Zico for 16 yds to the Prdue 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:57
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+12
62.2%
David Blough pass complete to Rondale Moore for 12 yds to the Aub 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:28
1ST & 10
OPP 46
-6
62.2%
David Blough sacked by Javaris Davis for a loss of 6 yards to the Prdue 48Similar
Q1 11:55
2ND & 16
OWN 48
-5
62.5%
David Blough pass complete to Rondale Moore for a loss of 5 yards to the Prdue 43Similar
Q1 11:06
3RD & 21
OWN 43
+10
62.9%
David Blough run for 10 yds to the Aub 47Similar
Q1 10:28
4TH & 11
OPP 47
0
63.1%
Joe Schopper punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Ryan Davis at the Aub 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 3TD
9 plays · 87 yds · 2:0463% → 67%
Q1 10:22
1ST & 10
OWN 13
0
63.2%
Jarrett Stidham pass incomplete to Seth WilliamsSimilar
Q1 10:18
2ND & 10
OWN 13
+15
63.2%
Kam Martin run for 15 yds to the Aub 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:04
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
63.4%
Jarrett Stidham pass incomplete to Darius SlaytonSimilar
Q1 9:56
2ND & 10
OWN 28
+13
63.4%
Kam Martin run for 13 yds to the Aub 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:38
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+40
63.9%
Jarrett Stidham pass complete to Seth Williams for 40 yds to the Prdue 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:30
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+2
64.2%
Kam Martin run for 2 yds to the Prdue 17Similar
Q1 9:02
2ND & 8
OPP 17
+12
64.4%
Jarrett Stidham pass complete to Anthony Schwartz for 12 yds to the Prdue 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:45
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+3
64.3%
Kam Martin run for 3 yds to the Prdue 2Similar
Q1 8:18
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
67.4%
JaTarvious Whitlow run for 2 yds for a TD (Anders Carlson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 4INT
3 plays · 2 yds · 0:4134% → 33%
Q1 8:08
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+2
66.3%
Markell Jones run for 2 yds to the Prdue 25Similar
Q1 7:27
2ND & 8
OWN 25
+15
66.8%
David Blough pass intercepted Javaris Davis return for 15 yds to the Prdue 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 5TD
2 plays · 18 yds · 0:2168% → 72%
Q1 7:20
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+11
68.1%
Anthony Schwartz run for 11 yds to the Prdue 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:59
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
71.8%
JaTarvious Whitlow run for 1 yd for a TD (Anders Carlson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 6TD
14 plays · 78 yds · 3:2129% → 32%
Q1 6:46
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+6
71.3%
David Blough pass complete to Isaac Zico for 6 yds to the Prdue 28Similar
Q1 6:30
2ND & 4
OWN 28
+14
71.3%
David Blough pass complete to Rondale Moore for 14 yds to the Prdue 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:43
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+6
72.0%
Markell Jones run for 6 yds to the Prdue 48Similar
Q1 5:25
2ND & 4
OWN 48
0
71.9%
Rondale Moore pass incomplete to Isaac ZicoSimilar
Q1 5:20
3RD & 4
OWN 48
+6
72.1%
David Blough pass complete to Rondale Moore for 6 yds to the Aub 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:59
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
72.4%
David Blough pass incomplete to Markell JonesSimilar
Q1 4:54
2ND & 10
OPP 46
0
72.8%
David Blough pass incomplete to Cole HerdmanSimilar
Q1 4:47
3RD & 10
OPP 46
+15
73.1%
Blough, David pass incomplete to Wright, Terry, PENALTY AUBURN pass interference (Igbinoghene, Noah) 15 yards to the AUBURN31, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN PURDUE.Similar
Q1 4:41
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+10
71.9%
David Blough pass complete to Rondale Moore for 10 yds to the Aub 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:16
1ST & 10
OPP 21
0
72.6%
David Blough pass incomplete to Isaac ZicoSimilar
Q1 4:11
2ND & 10
OPP 21
0
72.2%
David Blough pass incomplete to Rondale MooreSimilar
Q1 4:01
3RD & 10
OPP 21
+14
72.9%
David Blough pass complete to Brycen Hopkins for 14 yds to the Aub 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:25
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
68.0%
Rondale Moore run for 7 yds for a TD, (Spencer Evans KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 7TD
3 plays · 75 yds · 0:3170% → 75%
Q1 3:19
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
70.3%
Kam Martin run for 1 yd to the Aub 26Similar
Q1 2:48
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+74
75.1%
Jarrett Stidham pass complete to Darius Slayton for 74 yds for a TD (Anders Carlson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 8DOWNS
11 plays · 19 yds · 4:0224% → 19%
Q1 2:37
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
76.5%
D.J. Knox run for 1 yd to the Prdue 26Similar
Q1 2:05
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+5
77.2%
David Blough pass complete to Brycen Hopkins for 5 yds to the Prdue 31Similar
Q1 1:22
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+3
77.7%
David Blough run for 3 yds to the Prdue 34Similar
Q1 0:43
4TH & 1
OWN 34
+1
78.7%
D.J. Knox run for 1 yd to the Prdue 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:13
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-2
79.1%
D.J. Knox run for a loss of 2 yards to the Prdue 33Similar
Q2 14:55
2ND & 12
OWN 33
+2
80.0%
David Blough pass complete to Markell Jones for 2 yds to the Prdue 35Similar
Q2 14:14
3RD & 10
OWN 35
+9
80.7%
David Blough pass complete to Markell Jones for 9 yds to the Prdue 44Similar
Q2 13:35
4TH & 1
OWN 44
0
80.7%
Markell Jones run for no gain to the Prdue 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 9TD
2 plays · 44 yds · 0:3484% → 89%
Q2 13:28
1ST & 10
OPP 44
-8
83.5%
Anthony Schwartz run for a loss of 8 yards to the Aub 48Similar
Q2 12:54
2ND & 18
OWN 48
+52
88.8%
Jarrett Stidham pass complete to Darius Slayton for 52 yds for a TD (Anders Carlson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 10INT TD
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:2510% → 9%
Q2 12:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
89.7%
PURDUE Penalty, Delay of Game (David Blough) to the Prdue 20Similar
Q2 12:48
1ST & 15
OWN 20
+9
89.9%
David Blough pass complete to Rondale Moore for 9 yds to the Prdue 29Similar
Q2 12:29
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+20
91.0%
David Blough pass intercepted for a TD Big Kat Bryant return for 20 yds for a TD (Anders Carlson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 11PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 1:538% → 7%
Q2 12:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
91.7%
D.J. Knox run for 1 yd to the Prdue 26Similar
Q2 11:48
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+1
92.2%
D.J. Knox run for 1 yd to the Prdue 27Similar
Q2 11:05
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+7
93.0%
David Blough pass complete to Cole Herdman for 7 yds to the Prdue 34Similar
Q2 10:27
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
92.6%
Joe Schopper punt for 31 yds, downed at the Aub 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 12TD
12 plays · 65 yds · 4:4490% → 97%
Q2 10:20
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+20
89.8%
Jarrett Stidham pass complete to Ryan Davis for 5 yds to the Prdue 40 for a 1ST down PURDUE Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (Markus Bailey) to the Prdue 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:03
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+3
90.1%
Kam Martin run for 3 yds to the Prdue 42Similar
Q2 9:35
2ND & 7
OPP 42
+4
92.4%
JaTarvious Whitlow run for 4 yds to the Prdue 38Similar
Q2 8:57
3RD & 3
OPP 38
0
92.6%
Jarrett Stidham pass incomplete to Darius SlaytonSimilar
Q2 8:50
4TH & 3
OPP 38
+16
92.3%
Jarrett Stidham pass complete to Sal Cannella for 16 yds to the Prdue 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:38
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
90.1%
Jarrett Stidham pass incomplete to Darius SlaytonSimilar
Q2 8:29
2ND & 10
OPP 22
+1
91.3%
JaTarvious Whitlow run for 1 yd to the Prdue 21Similar
Q2 7:49
3RD & 9
OPP 21
+8
94.4%
Jarrett Stidham pass complete to Griffin King for 8 yds to the Prdue 13Similar
Q2 7:29
4TH & 1
OPP 13
+4
94.6%
JaTarvious Whitlow run for 4 yds to the Prdue 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:47
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
-4
95.2%
JaTarvious Whitlow run for a loss of 4 yards to the Prdue 13Similar
Q2 6:10
2ND & GOAL
OPP 13
+7
95.5%
Jarrett Stidham pass complete to Ryan Davis for 7 yds to the Prdue 6Similar
Q2 5:36
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
96.5%
Anthony Schwartz run for 6 yds for a TD (Anders Carlson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 13PUNT
10 plays · -4 yds · 2:143% → 2%
Q2 5:18
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+9
97.0%
David Blough pass complete to Isaac Zico for 9 yds to the Prdue 31Similar
Q2 5:01
2ND & 1
OWN 31
+5
97.0%
Markell Jones run for 5 yds to the Prdue 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:43
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-5
97.1%
PURDUE Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Prdue 31Similar
Q2 4:12
1ST & 15
OWN 31
-10
97.4%
David Blough sacked by Derrick Brown for a loss of 10 yards to the Prdue 21Similar
Q2 3:40
2ND & 25
OWN 21
+12
97.7%
David Blough pass complete to Markell Jones for 12 yds to the Prdue 33Similar
Q2 3:12
3RD & 13
OWN 33
0
97.8%
David Blough pass incomplete to Markell JonesSimilar
Q2 3:12
4TH & 13
OWN 33
-15
97.8%
PURDUE Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Markell Jones) to the Prdue 18Similar
Q2 3:04
4TH & 28
OWN 18
+4
97.9%
Joe Schopper punt for 35 yds , Ryan Davis returns for 4 yds to the Prdue 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 14TD
4 plays · 49 yds · 0:5898% → 98%
Q2 2:59
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
97.8%
Jarrett Stidham pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:30
2ND & 10
OPP 49
0
97.9%
Jarrett Stidham pass complete to Ryan Davis for no gain to the Prdue 49Similar
Q2 2:21
3RD & 10
OPP 49
+15
97.9%
Jarrett Stidham pass complete to Seth Williams for 15 yds to the Prdue 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:01
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+34
98.1%
Jarrett Stidham pass complete to Darius Slayton for 34 yds for a TD (Anders Carlson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 15DOWNS
12 plays · 38 yds · 1:432% → 1%
Q2 1:50
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+5
98.5%
Knox, D.J. rush for 1 yard to the PURDUE18, PENALTY AUBURN offside (Moultry, T.D.) 5 yards to the PURDUE22, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 1:45
1ST & 5
OWN 22
+8
98.3%
Markell Jones run for 8 yds to the Prdue 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:38
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+9
98.5%
Markell Jones run for 9 yds to the Prdue 39Similar
Q2 1:17
2ND & 1
OWN 39
+6
98.2%
David Blough pass complete to Rondale Moore for 6 yds to the Prdue 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:58
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+5
98.7%
David Blough pass complete to Cole Herdman for 5 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 0:42
2ND & 5
50
+5
98.5%
David Blough pass complete to Cole Herdman for 5 yds to the Aub 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:22
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+8
98.5%
David Blough run for 8 yds to the Aub 37Similar
Q2 0:12
3RD & 10
OPP 45
0
98.7%
David Blough pass incomplete to Terry WrightSimilar
Q2 0:07
4TH & 10
OPP 45
0
98.7%
David Blough pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 16END OF HALF
1 play · -1 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 45
-1
98.6%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Aub 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 17PUNT
6 plays · 10 yds · 1:101% → 1%
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+13
98.7%
D.J. Knox run for 13 yds to the Prdue 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:36
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
98.8%
David Blough pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 14:24
2ND & 10
OWN 38
-3
98.8%
David Blough pass complete to Rondale Moore for a loss of 3 yards to the Prdue 35Similar
Q3 13:53
3RD & 13
OWN 35
0
98.9%
David Blough pass incomplete to Isaac ZicoSimilar
Q3 13:44
4TH & 13
OWN 35
0
99.0%
Joe Schopper punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Ryan Davis at the Aub 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 18TD
12 plays · 78 yds · 6:2199% → 100%
Q3 13:37
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+11
98.7%
Kam Martin run for 11 yds to the Aub 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:08
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+2
98.8%
Kam Martin run for 2 yds to the Aub 35Similar
Q3 12:30
2ND & 8
OWN 35
0
98.9%
Jarrett Stidham pass incomplete to Ryan DavisSimilar
Q3 12:23
3RD & 8
OWN 35
+33
98.9%
Jarrett Stidham pass complete to Anthony Schwartz for 33 yds to the Prdue 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:00
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+2
99.0%
Malik Miller run for 2 yds to the Prdue 30Similar
Q3 11:05
2ND & 8
OPP 30
+7
99.1%
Shaun Shivers run for 7 yds to the Prdue 23Similar
Q3 10:28
3RD & 1
OPP 23
+2
99.2%
JaTarvious Whitlow run for 2 yds to the Prdue 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:45
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+1
99.3%
Shaun Shivers run for 1 yd to the Prdue 20Similar
Q3 9:10
2ND & 9
OPP 20
+8
99.3%
Shaun Shivers run for 8 yds to the Prdue 12Similar
Q3 8:32
3RD & 1
OPP 12
+2
99.4%
Malik Miller run for 2 yds to the Prdue 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:59
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+5
99.4%
Shaun Shivers run for 5 yds to the Prdue 5Similar
Q3 7:16
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
99.5%
Jarrett Stidham pass complete to Ryan Davis for 5 yds for a TD, (Anders Carlson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 19TD
8 plays · 65 yds · 1:420% → 0%
Q3 7:11
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
99.6%
Markell Jones run for no gain to the Prdue 35Similar
Q3 6:44
2ND & 10
OWN 35
0
99.6%
David Blough pass incomplete to Brycen HopkinsSimilar
Q3 6:38
3RD & 10
OWN 35
+27
99.6%
David Blough pass complete to Rondale Moore for 27 yds to the Aub 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:17
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+15
99.6%
Blough, David pass incomplete to Moore, Rondale, PENALTY AUBURN pass interference (Dean, Jamel) 15 yards to the AUBURN23, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN PURDUE.Similar
Q3 6:08
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+1
99.6%
Rondale Moore run for 1 yd to the Aub 22Similar
Q3 5:36
2ND & 9
OPP 22
0
99.6%
David Blough pass incomplete to Markell JonesSimilar
Q3 5:29
3RD & 9
OPP 22
+22
99.6%
David Blough run for 22 yds for a TD (Spencer Evans KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 20PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 2:05100% → 100%
Q3 5:17
1ST & 10
OWN 26
-1
99.5%
Kam Martin run for a loss of 1 yard to the Aub 25Similar
Q3 4:30
2ND & 11
OWN 25
+6
99.6%
Kam Martin run for 6 yds to the Aub 31Similar
Q3 3:51
3RD & 5
OWN 31
-6
99.6%
Shaun Shivers run for a loss of 6 yards to the Aub 25Similar
Q3 3:12
4TH & 11
OWN 25
0
99.6%
Arryn Siposs punt for 49 yds , Rondale Moore returns for no gain to the Prdue 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 21PUNT
6 plays · 13 yds · 1:330% → 0%
Q3 3:06
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+11
99.7%
David Blough pass complete to Rondale Moore for 11 yds to the Prdue 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:55
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+7
99.7%
David Blough pass complete to Rondale Moore for 7 yds to the Prdue 44Similar
Q3 2:23
2ND & 3
OWN 44
0
99.7%
D.J. Knox run for no gain to the Prdue 44Similar
Q3 2:03
3RD & 3
OWN 44
-5
99.8%
PURDUE Penalty, False Start (Terry Wright) to the Prdue 39Similar
Q3 1:46
3RD & 8
OWN 39
0
99.8%
David Blough pass incomplete to D.J. KnoxSimilar
Q3 1:33
4TH & 8
OWN 39
0
99.8%
Joe Schopper punt for 48 yds, downed at the Aub 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 22DOWNS
12 plays · 78 yds · 6:21100% → 100%
Q3 1:25
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+12
99.7%
Malik Willis run for 12 yds to the Aub 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:42
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
99.7%
Shaun Shivers run for a loss of 1 yard to the Aub 24Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+5
99.7%
Malik Willis pass complete to Anthony Schwartz for 5 yds to the Aub 29Similar
Q4 14:51
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+10
99.7%
Malik Willis run for 10 yds to the Aub 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:11
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+9
99.8%
Shaun Shivers run for 9 yds to the Aub 48Similar
Q4 13:30
2ND & 1
OWN 48
+30
99.8%
Malik Willis run for 30 yds to the Prdue 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:58
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+13
99.8%
Shaun Shivers run for 13 yds to the Prdue 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:19
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
0
99.9%
Shaun Shivers run for no gain to the Prdue 9Similar
Q4 11:28
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
-5
99.9%
Shaun Shivers run for a loss of 5 yards to the Prdue 14Similar
Q4 10:52
3RD & GOAL
OPP 14
+2
99.9%
Shaun Shivers run for 2 yds to the Prdue 12Similar
Q4 10:04
4TH & GOAL
OPP 12
+3
99.9%
Anthony Schwartz run for 3 yds to the Prdue 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 23PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 2:040% → 0%
Q4 10:01
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+6
99.9%
Markell Jones run for 6 yds to the Prdue 15Similar
Q4 9:20
2ND & 4
OWN 15
-3
99.9%
Markell Jones run for a loss of 3 yards to the Prdue 12Similar
Q4 8:40
3RD & 7
OWN 12
+2
99.9%
Markell Jones run for 2 yds to the Prdue 14Similar
Q4 7:57
4TH & 5
OWN 14
0
99.9%
Joe Schopper punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Ryan Davis at the Aub 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 24END OF 4TH QUARTER
14 plays · 49 yds · 7:20100% → 100%
Q4 7:50
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+1
99.9%
C.J. Tolbert run for 1 yd to the Aub 49Similar
Q4 7:12
2ND & 9
OPP 49
+17
99.9%
Joey Gatewood run for 2 yds to the AUBURN 49 for a 1ST down PURDUE Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (15 Yards) to the Prdue 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:34
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+4
99.9%
C.J. Tolbert run for 4 yds to the Prdue 30Similar
Q4 6:07
2ND & 6
OPP 30
+4
99.9%
C.J. Tolbert run for 4 yds to the Prdue 26Similar
Q4 5:05
3RD & 2
OPP 26
0
99.9%
C.J. Tolbert run for no gain to the Prdue 26Similar
Q4 4:31
4TH & 2
OPP 26
+6
99.9%
Joey Gatewood run for 6 yds to the Prdue 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:46
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
99.9%
Joey Gatewood pass incomplete to Matthew HillSimilar
Q4 3:29
2ND & 10
OPP 20
-1
100.0%
Matthew Hill run for a loss of 1 yard to the Prdue 21Similar
Q4 2:53
3RD & 11
OPP 21
0
100.0%
C.J. Tolbert run for no gain to the Prdue 21Similar
Q4 2:16
4TH & 11
OPP 21
+20
100.0%
Joey Gatewood run for 20 yds to the Prdue 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
100.0%
C.J. Tolbert run for no gain to the Prdue 1Similar
Q4 0:55
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
-1
100.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Prdue 2Similar
Q4 0:30
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
-1
100.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Prdue 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 12:54
Jarrett Stidham pass complete to Darius Slayton for 52 yds for a TD (Anders Carlson KICK)
+5.2
TD · Q1 3:25
Rondale Moore run for 7 yds for a TD, (Spencer Evans KICK)
-4.9
TD · Q1 2:48
Jarrett Stidham pass complete to Darius Slayton for 74 yds for a TD (Anders Carlson KICK)
+4.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com