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TEM

Temple 27 at Duke 56

DUKE
2018 · Walk-On's Independence Bowl · Dec 27, 2018 · Independence Stadium
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Win probability · DUKE
modelDUKE aheadTEM aheadconfidence bandkey playDUKE scoreTEM score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 8:13 · Connor Bowler punt for 60 yds, downed at the Duke 17
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsPregame prior
+36.5+18.30−18.3−36.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 118Home team on offense+1.5Score differential+0.2Garbage-time factor+0.1Blowout margin+0.6Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−1.5Pregame prior−2.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 7:42: Daniel Jones pass complete to Chris Taylor for 34 yds for a TD (Collin Wareham KICK) — DUKE win probability +8.7 pts (now 45%) (top driver: Game still competitive relative to time left).
  2. TD · Q2 1:11: Daniel Jones pass complete to T.J. Rahming for 22 yds for a TD (Collin Wareham KICK) — DUKE win probability +11.2 pts (now 45%) (top driver: Game still competitive relative to time left).
  3. TD · Q3 11:06: Daniel Jones run for 1 yd for a TD (Collin Wareham KICK) — DUKE win probability +15.0 pts (now 59%) (top driver: DUKE has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 7:28: Daniel Jones pass complete to T.J. Rahming for 85 yds for a TD (Collin Wareham KICK) — DUKE win probability +15.3 pts (now 73%) (top driver: DUKE has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 2:49: Daniel Jones pass complete to Jake Bobo for 7 yds for a TD (Collin Wareham KICK) — DUKE win probability +8.9 pts (now 91%) (top driver: DUKE has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
DUKE made the numbers' call on 5 of 6TEM made the numbers' call on 5 of 8
  1. Q1 13:05TEM 4th & 1 at TEM 34, tied
    Close callPunted · 57.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    57.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    57.1%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 4:38DUKE 4th & 16 at DUKE 18, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 42.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.6%−0.6
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    42.2%
    average punt
  3. Q1 1:47DUKE 4th & 6 at DUKE 44, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 42.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.2%−0.2
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    42.4%
    average punt
  4. Q2 14:43TEM 4th & 4 at TEM 30, up 6
    Close callPunted · 57.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    57.9%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    57.8%−0.1
    average punt
  5. Q2 3:15DUKE 4th & 1 at DUKE 34, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 30.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    30.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    30.2%−0.7
    average punt
  6. Q3 8:13TEM 4th & 21 at TEM 23, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 41.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.9%−5.9
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    43.9%
    average punt
  7. Q3 5:50TEM 4th & 6 at DUKE 32, down 8
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 28.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    28.1%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    27.6%−0.5
    51% to make
    Punt
    25.7%−2.4
    average punt
  8. Q3 1:17TEM 4th & 4 at TEM 30, down 15
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 10.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    11.6%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    11.3%−0.3
    average punt
  9. Q4 13:12TEM 4th & 20 at TEM 27, down 22
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.2%−0.9
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.1%
    average punt
  10. Q4 9:09TEM 4th & 10 at TEM 42, down 29
    Close callWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.2%
    average punt
  11. Q4 6:33DUKE 4th & 6 at TEM 37, up 29
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.9%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    99.8%−0.1
    40% to make
    Punt
    99.8%−0.1
    average punt
  12. Q4 6:05TEM 4th & 10 at TEM 37, down 29
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−<0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  13. Q4 3:41DUKE 4th & 1 at DUKE 43, up 29
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    100.0%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    99.9%−0.1
    average punt
  14. Q4 1:13DUKE 4th & 4 at TEM 49, up 29
    Close callPunted · 100.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%−<0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
DUKE made the numbers' call on 8 of 8TEM made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 10:36DUKE Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    45.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    44.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 8:43TEM Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    56.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    56.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 5:42TEM Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    57.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    57.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 10:25TEM Touchdown, up 12 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    66.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    66.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 7:42DUKE Touchdown, down 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    38.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    38.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 4:26TEM Touchdown, up 12 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    69.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    69.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q2 1:11DUKE Touchdown, down 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    35.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    35.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 11:06DUKE Touchdown, tied before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    50.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    50.3%−0.2
    45% to convert
  9. Q3 7:28DUKE Touchdown, up 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    69.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    68.8%−0.2
    45% to convert
  10. Q3 2:49DUKE Touchdown, up 14 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    87.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    87.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  11. Q4 14:55DUKE Touchdown, up 21 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  12. Q4 10:16DUKE Touchdown, up 28 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
TEMDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 1:3056% → 55%
Q1 14:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
44.4%
Anthony Russo pass complete to Jager Gardner for 3 yds to the Temp 28Similar
Q1 14:15
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+5
44.5%
Jager Gardner run for 5 yds to the Temp 33Similar
Q1 13:39
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+1
44.6%
Rob Ritrovato run for 1 yd to the Temp 34Similar
Q1 13:05
4TH & 1
OWN 34
+3
44.8%
Connor Bowler punt for 46 yds , T.J. Rahming returns for 3 yds to the Duke 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUKEDrive 2TD
6 plays · 77 yds · 2:1445% → 48%
Q1 12:50
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+5
44.9%
Deon Jackson run for 5 yds to the Duke 28Similar
Q1 12:23
2ND & 5
OWN 28
+7
45.1%
Deon Jackson run for 7 yds to the Duke 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:52
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+62
45.2%
Daniel Jones pass complete to T.J. Rahming for 62 yds to the Temp 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:15
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
45.9%
Deon Jackson run for 2 yds to the Temp 1Similar
Q1 11:03
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
-1
46.0%
Deon Jackson run for a loss of 1 yard to the Temp 2Similar
Q1 10:36
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
47.5%
Quentin Harris run for 2 yds for a TD (Collin Wareham KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 3TD
6 plays · 26 yds · 1:3654% → 55%
Q1 10:19
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
46.4%
Anthony Russo pass incomplete to Branden MackSimilar
Q1 10:01
2ND & 10
OPP 26
+3
46.6%
Jager Gardner run for 3 yds to the Duke 23Similar
Q1 9:35
3RD & 7
OPP 23
+8
47.1%
Anthony Russo pass complete to Brodrick Yancy for 8 yds to the Duke 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:09
1ST & 10
OPP 15
0
47.1%
Anthony Russo pass complete to Brodrick Yancy for no gain to the Duke 15Similar
Q1 8:43
2ND & 10
OPP 15
+15
44.8%
Anthony Russo run for 15 yds for a TD (Will Mobley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUKEDrive 4INT TD
9 plays · 32 yds · 2:3946% → 45%
Q1 8:21
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
46.0%
Daniel Jones pass complete to Daniel Helm for 5 yds to the Duke 25Similar
Q1 8:10
2ND & 5
OWN 25
0
46.1%
Daniel Jones pass incomplete to Chris TaylorSimilar
Q1 8:05
3RD & 5
OWN 25
+13
45.8%
Quentin Harris pass complete to Daniel Helm for 13 yds to the Duke 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:35
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+4
46.4%
Quentin Harris pass complete to Deon Jackson for 4 yds to the Duke 42Similar
Q1 7:12
2ND & 6
OWN 42
0
46.9%
Deon Jackson run for no gain to the Duke 42Similar
Q1 6:41
3RD & 6
OWN 42
+11
46.7%
Quentin Harris run for 11 yds to the Temp 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:15
1ST & 10
OPP 47
-1
47.4%
Brittain Brown run for a loss of 1 yard to the Temp 48Similar
Q1 5:42
2ND & 11
OPP 48
+52
45.3%
Quentin Harris pass intercepted for a TD Delvon Randall return for 52 yds for a TD (Will Mobley PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUKEDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · -6 yds · 0:5444% → 44%
Q1 5:32
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
44.3%
Daniel Jones pass incomplete to Johnathan LloydSimilar
Q1 5:26
2ND & 10
OWN 24
0
44.3%
Daniel Jones pass incomplete to T.J. RahmingSimilar
Q1 4:55
3RD & 10
OWN 24
-6
43.9%
Daniel Jones sacked by Quincy Roche for a loss of 6 yards to the Duke 18Similar
Q1 4:38
4TH & 16
OWN 18
-2
43.6%
Austin Parker punt for 40 yds , Isaiah Wright returns for a loss of 2 yards to the Temp 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 6FUMBLE
4 plays · 12 yds · 1:1957% → 57%
Q1 4:25
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+5
42.9%
Jager Gardner run for 5 yds to the Temp 45Similar
Q1 3:48
2ND & 5
OWN 45
+3
42.9%
Jager Gardner run for 3 yds to the Temp 48Similar
Q1 3:22
3RD & 2
OWN 48
+4
43.0%
Jager Gardner run for 4 yds to the Duke 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:06
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+8
42.6%
Anthony Russo pass intercepted Brandon Feamster return for 8 yds to the Duke 40 Brandon Feamster fumbled, recovered by Duke Brandon HillSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUKEDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 1:0945% → 44%
Q1 2:56
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
45.3%
Daniel Jones pass complete to T.J. Rahming for no gain to the Duke 40Similar
Q1 2:08
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+4
44.4%
Daniel Jones pass complete to Johnathan Lloyd for 4 yds to the Duke 44Similar
Q1 1:54
3RD & 6
OWN 44
0
44.6%
Daniel Jones pass incomplete to T.J. RahmingSimilar
Q1 1:47
4TH & 6
OWN 44
0
43.7%
Austin Parker punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Isaiah Wright at the Temp 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 8PUNT
6 plays · 17 yds · 1:4356% → 56%
Q1 1:26
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+2
43.6%
Jeremy Jennings run for 2 yds to the Temp 15Similar
Q1 1:11
2ND & 8
OWN 15
+9
43.6%
Anthony Russo pass complete to Branden Mack for 9 yds to the Temp 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:52
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+6
43.3%
Jeremy Jennings run for 6 yds to the Temp 30Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 4
OWN 30
0
42.6%
Jeremy Jennings run for no gain to the Temp 30Similar
Q2 14:55
3RD & 4
OWN 30
0
43.2%
Anthony Russo pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:43
4TH & 4
OWN 30
+12
44.0%
Connor Bowler punt for 51 yds , T.J. Rahming returns for 12 yds to the Duke 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUKEDrive 9INT
3 plays · 7 yds · 0:5044% → 44%
Q2 14:28
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+1
43.8%
Deon Jackson run for 1 yd to the Duke 32Similar
Q2 14:00
2ND & 9
OWN 32
+6
43.7%
Daniel Jones pass complete to Noah Gray for 6 yds to the Duke 38Similar
Q2 13:38
3RD & 3
OWN 38
0
44.4%
Daniel Jones pass intercepted Linwood Crump return for no gain to the Temp 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 10TD
11 plays · 58 yds · 3:0759% → 66%
Q2 13:32
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
41.1%
Anthony Russo pass incomplete to Jager GardnerSimilar
Q2 13:27
2ND & 10
OWN 42
0
41.4%
Anthony Russo pass incomplete to Branden MackSimilar
Q2 13:08
3RD & 10
OWN 42
+12
41.9%
Anthony Russo pass complete to Chris Myarick for 12 yds to the Duke 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:59
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+2
40.7%
Rob Ritrovato run for 2 yds to the Duke 44Similar
Q2 12:25
2ND & 8
OPP 44
+5
40.7%
Anthony Russo pass complete to Ventell Bryant for 5 yds to the Duke 39Similar
Q2 12:08
3RD & 3
OPP 39
+7
40.7%
Anthony Russo pass complete to Branden Mack for 7 yds to the Duke 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:41
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+4
40.1%
Anthony Russo run for 4 yds to the Duke 28Similar
Q2 11:24
2ND & 6
OPP 28
+18
39.9%
Anthony Russo pass complete to Brodrick Yancy for 18 yds to the Duke 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:05
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+5
39.9%
DUKE Penalty, Defensive Offside (Axel Nyembwe) to the Duke 5Similar
Q2 10:43
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+4
39.8%
Rob Ritrovato run for 4 yds to the Duke 1Similar
Q2 10:25
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
34.0%
Rob Ritrovato run for 1 yd for a TD (Will Mobley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUKEDrive 11TD
8 plays · 70 yds · 2:2736% → 45%
Q2 10:09
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+6
36.3%
Daniel Jones pass complete to T.J. Rahming for 6 yds to the Duke 36Similar
Q2 9:47
2ND & 4
OWN 36
+7
36.3%
Daniel Jones pass complete to Johnathan Lloyd for 7 yds to the Duke 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:22
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+3
36.3%
Daniel Jones pass complete to Deon Jackson for 3 yds to the Duke 46Similar
Q2 8:48
2ND & 7
OWN 46
-1
36.3%
Daniel Jones sacked by Dana Levine for a loss of 1 yard to the Duke 45Similar
Q2 8:24
3RD & 8
OWN 45
+12
35.2%
Daniel Jones pass complete to Chris Taylor for 12 yds to the Temp 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:06
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+9
36.0%
T.J. Rahming run for 9 yds to the Temp 34Similar
Q2 7:42
2ND & 1
OPP 34
+34
44.7%
Daniel Jones pass complete to Chris Taylor for 34 yds for a TD (Collin Wareham KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 12TD
10 plays · 79 yds · 2:4860% → 69%
Q2 7:14
1ST & 10
OWN 21
-1
39.6%
Anthony Russo sacked by Damani Neal for a loss of 1 yard to the Temp 20Similar
Q2 6:56
2ND & 11
OWN 20
+12
39.7%
Anthony Russo pass complete to Sean Ryan for 12 yds to the Temp 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:45
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+13
38.6%
Anthony Russo pass complete to Travon Williams for 13 yds to the Temp 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:16
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+1
37.5%
Rob Ritrovato run for 1 yd to the Temp 46Similar
Q2 5:43
2ND & 9
OWN 46
+5
37.3%
Anthony Russo pass complete to Sean Ryan for 5 yds to the Duke 49Similar
Q2 5:29
3RD & 4
OPP 49
+27
37.3%
Anthony Russo pass complete to Sean Ryan for 27 yds to the Duke 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:08
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+11
36.5%
Jager Gardner run for 11 yds to the Duke 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:45
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+3
36.3%
Jager Gardner run for 3 yds to the Duke 8Similar
Q2 4:26
2ND & 7
OPP 8
+8
30.7%
Anthony Russo pass complete to Brodrick Yancy for 8 yds for a TD (Will Mobley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUKEDrive 13TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 3:1132% → 45%
Q2 4:22
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
31.7%
Daniel Jones pass incomplete to T.J. RahmingSimilar
Q2 4:15
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+9
31.6%
Daniel Jones pass complete to Damond Philyaw-Johnson for 9 yds to the Duke 34Similar
Q2 3:45
3RD & 1
OWN 34
0
31.8%
Deon Jackson run for no gain to the Duke 34Similar
Q2 3:15
4TH & 1
OWN 34
+1
31.2%
Quentin Harris run for 1 yd to the Duke 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:45
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+29
31.2%
Daniel Jones pass complete to Johnathan Lloyd for 29 yds to the Temp 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:39
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
32.5%
Daniel Jones pass incomplete to Davis KoppenhaverSimilar
Q2 2:26
2ND & 10
OPP 36
+8
32.4%
T.J. Rahming run for 8 yds to the Temp 28Similar
Q2 2:07
3RD & 2
OPP 28
+8
32.2%
Brittain Brown run for 8 yds to the Temp 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:44
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+3
33.5%
Brittain Brown run for 3 yds to the Temp 17Similar
Q2 1:18
2ND & 7
OPP 17
-5
33.4%
DUKE Penalty, Ineligible Downfield on Pass (Christian Harris) to the Temp 22Similar
Q2 1:11
2ND & 12
OPP 22
+22
44.6%
Daniel Jones pass complete to T.J. Rahming for 22 yds for a TD (Collin Wareham KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 14END OF HALF
11 plays · 26 yds · 1:0062% → 63%
Q2 1:00
1ST & 10
OWN 14
0
38.0%
Anthony Russo pass incomplete to Randle JonesSimilar
Q2 0:51
2ND & 10
OWN 14
+5
38.3%
Anthony Russo run for 5 yds to the Temp 19Similar
Q2 0:45
3RD & 5
OWN 19
+8
38.0%
Anthony Russo pass complete to Ventell Bryant for 8 yds to the Temp 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:35
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+10
36.3%
Anthony Russo pass complete to Ventell Bryant for 10 yds to the Temp 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:30
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-5
35.3%
TEMPLE Penalty, Illegal Shift (-5 Yards) to the Temp 32Similar
Q2 0:12
1ST & 15
OWN 32
0
37.0%
Rob Ritrovato run for no gain to the Temp 32Similar
Q2 0:01
2ND & 15
OWN 32
+8
37.6%
Anthony Russo run for 8 yds to the Temp 40Similar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-15
36.6%
TEMPLE Penalty, Personal Foul (Ventell Bryant) to the Temp 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUKEDrive 15TD
10 plays · 59 yds · 3:2442% → 59%
Q3 14:30
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+3
42.2%
Daniel Jones pass complete to Daniel Helm for 3 yds to the Duke 44Similar
Q3 14:20
2ND & 7
OWN 44
+10
42.4%
Daniel Jones pass complete to T.J. Rahming for 10 yds to the Temp 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:58
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
43.4%
Daniel Jones pass incomplete to Chris TaylorSimilar
Q3 13:38
2ND & 10
OPP 46
+26
43.2%
Daniel Jones pass complete to T.J. Rahming for 26 yds to the Temp 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:25
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+8
44.7%
Daniel Jones pass complete to T.J. Rahming for 8 yds to the Temp 12Similar
Q3 12:51
2ND & 2
OPP 12
+9
44.3%
Daniel Jones pass complete to Johnathan Lloyd for 9 yds to the Temp 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:18
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
44.3%
Quentin Harris run for 2 yds to the Temp 1Similar
Q3 11:45
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
44.3%
Quentin Harris run for no gain to the Temp 1Similar
Q3 11:06
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
59.3%
Daniel Jones run for 1 yd for a TD (Collin Wareham KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 16PUNT
8 plays · 0 yds · 2:2445% → 41%
Q3 10:37
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+8
55.4%
Anthony Russo pass complete to Kenny Yeboah for 8 yds to the Temp 31Similar
Q3 10:16
2ND & 2
OWN 31
-2
53.5%
Anthony Russo pass complete to Chris Myarick for a loss of 2 yards to the Temp 29Similar
Q3 9:50
3RD & 4
OWN 29
+5
56.0%
DUKE Penalty, Defensive Offside (Trevon McSwain) to the Temp 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:23
1ST & 10
OWN 34
-2
55.1%
Anthony Russo pass complete to Freddie Johnson for a loss of 2 yards to the Temp 32Similar
Q3 8:40
2ND & 12
OWN 32
-9
56.4%
Anthony Russo sacked by Drew Jordan for a loss of 9 yards to the Temp 23Similar
Q3 8:26
3RD & 21
OWN 23
0
58.1%
Anthony Russo pass incomplete to Brodrick YancySimilar
Q3 8:13
4TH & 21
OWN 23
0
59.2%
Connor Bowler punt for 60 yds, downed at the Duke 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUKEDrive 17TD
2 plays · 83 yds · 0:3157% → 73%
Q3 7:59
1ST & 10
OWN 17
-2
57.2%
Daniel Jones pass complete to Johnathan Lloyd for a loss of 2 yards to the Duke 15Similar
Q3 7:28
2ND & 12
OWN 15
+85
72.5%
Daniel Jones pass complete to T.J. Rahming for 85 yds for a TD (Collin Wareham KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 18DOWNS
7 plays · 46 yds · 1:1729% → 28%
Q3 7:07
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+13
70.9%
Anthony Russo pass complete to Randle Jones for 13 yds to the Temp 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:44
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+29
71.7%
Anthony Russo pass complete to Branden Mack for 29 yds to the Duke 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:34
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
69.3%
Anthony Russo pass incomplete to Randle JonesSimilar
Q3 6:16
2ND & 10
OPP 36
+4
69.5%
Rob Ritrovato run for 4 yds to the Duke 32Similar
Q3 5:56
3RD & 6
OPP 32
0
69.9%
Anthony Russo pass incomplete to Sean RyanSimilar
Q3 5:50
4TH & 6
OPP 32
0
71.9%
Anthony Russo pass incomplete to Ventell BryantSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUKEDrive 19TD
9 plays · 68 yds · 2:3977% → 91%
Q3 5:28
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+6
76.5%
Deon Jackson run for 6 yds to the Duke 38Similar
Q3 5:13
2ND & 4
OWN 38
+2
78.4%
Daniel Jones pass complete to Daniel Helm for 2 yds to the Duke 40Similar
Q3 4:40
3RD & 2
OWN 40
+10
79.0%
Daniel Jones pass complete to Chris Taylor for 10 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:25
1ST & 10
50
+9
80.5%
Deon Jackson run for 9 yds to the Temp 41Similar
Q3 4:01
2ND & 1
OPP 41
+12
80.9%
Deon Jackson run for 12 yds to the Temp 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:20
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+11
81.7%
Daniel Jones pass complete to T.J. Rahming for a loss of 1 yard to the Temp 19 for a 1ST down lat. to Damond Philyaw-Johnson for 11 yds to the Temp 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:05
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+12
81.8%
Daniel Jones pass complete to T.J. Rahming for 12 yds to the Temp 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:54
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
0
82.2%
Daniel Jones pass incomplete to Johnathan LloydSimilar
Q3 2:49
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
91.1%
Daniel Jones pass complete to Jake Bobo for 7 yds for a TD (Collin Wareham KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 20FUMBLE
5 plays · -14 yds · 1:0212% → 11%
Q3 2:19
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+3
88.2%
Jeremy Jennings run for 3 yds to the Temp 27Similar
Q3 2:00
2ND & 7
OWN 27
+3
87.8%
Anthony Russo pass complete to Kenny Yeboah for 3 yds to the Temp 30Similar
Q3 1:22
3RD & 4
OWN 30
0
88.4%
Anthony Russo pass incomplete to Branden MackSimilar
Q3 1:17
4TH & 4
OWN 30
-20
89.1%
TEAM run for a loss of 20 yards to the Temp 10 TEAM fumbled, recovered by Temp Connor BowlerSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUKEDrive 21TD
3 plays · 10 yds · 1:0892% → 98%
Q3 1:03
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+5
92.0%
Brittain Brown run for 5 yds to the Temp 5Similar
Q3 0:22
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+1
92.5%
Daniel Jones run for 1 yd to the Temp 4Similar
Q4 14:55
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
97.9%
Brittain Brown run for 4 yds for a TD (Collin Wareham KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 22PUNT
7 plays · 2 yds · 1:192% → 2%
Q4 14:31
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
97.8%
Anthony Russo pass complete to Ventell Bryant for 8 yds to the Temp 33Similar
Q4 14:04
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+4
97.9%
Anthony Russo pass complete to Randle Jones for 4 yds to the Temp 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:25
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-10
98.0%
Anthony Russo sacked by Victor Dimukeje for a loss of 10 yards to the Temp 27Similar
Q4 13:25
2ND & 20
OWN 27
0
98.2%
Anthony Russo pass incomplete to Randle JonesSimilar
Q4 13:21
3RD & 20
OWN 27
0
98.2%
Anthony Russo pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 13:12
4TH & 20
OWN 27
+14
98.2%
Connor Bowler punt for 30 yds , T.J. Rahming returns for 14 yds to the Temp 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUKEDrive 23TD
8 plays · 43 yds · 2:3098% → 100%
Q4 12:46
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+24
98.4%
Daniel Jones pass complete to Quentin Harris for 24 yds to the Temp 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:17
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+1
98.5%
Mataeo Durant run for 1 yd to the Temp 18Similar
Q4 11:57
2ND & 9
OPP 18
+5
98.5%
Daniel Jones run for 5 yds to the Temp 13Similar
Q4 11:32
3RD & 4
OPP 13
+5
98.5%
Mataeo Durant run for 5 yds to the Temp 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:21
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
-2
98.6%
Mataeo Durant run for a loss of 2 yards to the Temp 10Similar
Q4 10:30
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
+6
98.7%
Daniel Jones pass complete to Daniel Jones for 6 yds to the Temp 4Similar
Q4 10:16
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
99.8%
Daniel Jones pass complete to Davis Koppenhaver for 4 yds for a TD (Collin Wareham KICK)Similar
Q4 10:16
3RD & 0
OWN 35
+15
99.8%
TEMPLE Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Delvon Randall) to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 24DOWNS
7 plays · 22 yds · 0:470% → 0%
Q4 9:56
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-1
99.9%
Anthony Russo pass complete to Rob Ritrovato for a loss of 1 yard to the Temp 19Similar
Q4 9:37
2ND & 11
OWN 19
+23
99.9%
Anthony Russo pass complete to Brodrick Yancy for 23 yds to the Temp 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:24
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
99.9%
Anthony Russo pass incomplete to Freddie JohnsonSimilar
Q4 9:18
2ND & 10
OWN 42
0
99.9%
Anthony Russo pass incomplete to Freddie JohnsonSimilar
Q4 9:14
3RD & 10
OWN 42
0
99.9%
Anthony Russo pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 9:09
4TH & 10
OWN 42
0
99.9%
Anthony Russo pass incomplete to Brodrick YancySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUKEDrive 25INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:10100% → 100%
Q4 9:05
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
99.9%
Daniel Jones pass incomplete to T.J. RahmingSimilar
Q4 8:55
2ND & 10
OPP 42
+9
99.9%
Daniel Jones pass intercepted Benny Walls return for 9 yds to the Temp 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 26FUMBLE
2 plays · 2 yds · 0:090% → 0%
Q4 8:49
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
99.9%
Anthony Russo pass incomplete to Randle JonesSimilar
Q4 8:40
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+2
99.9%
Rob Ritrovato run for 2 yds to the Temp 41 Rob Ritrovato fumbled, recovered by Duke Victor DimukejeSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUKEDrive 27DOWNS
4 plays · 4 yds · 1:42100% → 100%
Q4 8:15
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+2
99.9%
Daniel Jones pass complete to T.J. Rahming for 2 yds to the Temp 39Similar
Q4 7:47
2ND & 8
OPP 39
-6
99.9%
Daniel Jones sacked by Quincy Roche for a loss of 6 yards to the Temp 45Similar
Q4 7:14
3RD & 14
OPP 45
+8
99.9%
Daniel Jones pass complete to T.J. Rahming for 8 yds to the Temp 37Similar
Q4 6:33
4TH & 6
OPP 37
0
99.9%
Quentin Harris run for no gain to the Temp 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 28PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:200% → 0%
Q4 6:25
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
99.9%
Anthony Russo pass incomplete to Ventell BryantSimilar
Q4 6:20
2ND & 10
OWN 37
0
99.9%
Anthony Russo pass incomplete to Randle JonesSimilar
Q4 6:15
3RD & 10
OWN 37
0
99.9%
Anthony Russo pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 6:05
4TH & 10
OWN 37
0
99.9%
Connor Bowler punt for 29 yds, downed at the Duke 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUKEDrive 29PUNT
12 plays · 17 yds · 4:31100% → 100%
Q4 5:44
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+1
99.9%
Elijah Deveaux run for 1 yd to the Duke 35Similar
Q4 5:09
2ND & 9
OWN 35
+4
99.9%
Griffin Carter run for 4 yds to the Duke 39Similar
Q4 4:16
3RD & 5
OWN 39
+4
99.9%
Elijah Deveaux run for 4 yds to the Duke 43Similar
Q4 3:41
4TH & 1
OWN 43
+2
99.9%
Elijah Deveaux run for 2 yds to the Duke 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:41
1ST & 10
OWN 45
-15
99.9%
DUKE Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (-15 Yards) to the Duke 30Similar
Q4 2:56
1ST & 25
OWN 30
+19
99.9%
Gunnar Holmberg run for 19 yds to the Duke 49Similar
Q4 2:07
2ND & 6
OWN 49
-1
100.0%
Griffin Carter run for a loss of 1 yard to the Duke 48Similar
Q4 1:28
3RD & 7
OWN 48
+3
100.0%
Ryan Wolitzer run for 3 yds to the Temp 49Similar
Q4 1:13
4TH & 4
OPP 49
+10
100.0%
Jackson Hubbard punt for 39 yds , Delvon Randall returns for 10 yds to the Temp 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 30END OF 4TH QUARTER
2 plays · 1 yds · 0:160% → 0%
Q4 0:46
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
100.0%
Jeremy Jennings run for 1 yd to the Temp 21Similar
Q4 0:30
2ND & 9
OWN 21
0
100.0%
Jeremy Jennings run for no gain to the Temp 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 7:28
Daniel Jones pass complete to T.J. Rahming for 85 yds for a TD (Collin Wareham KICK)
+15.3
TD · Q3 11:06
Daniel Jones run for 1 yd for a TD (Collin Wareham KICK)
+15
TD · Q2 1:11
Daniel Jones pass complete to T.J. Rahming for 22 yds for a TD (Collin Wareham KICK)
+11.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com