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MINN

Minnesota 34 at Georgia Tech 10

GT
2018 · Quick Lane Bowl · Dec 26, 2018 · Ford Field
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Win probability · GT
modelGT aheadMINN aheadconfidence bandkey playGT scoreMINN score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDFGFGFGTDTDTDTDEnd of GameTD-3.8GT 1.0%Tanner Morgan pass complete to TylerJohnson for 30 yds for a TD (EmmitCarpenter KICK)AWAY 34 - HOME 10 · Q4 6:19
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 6:19 · Tanner Morgan pass complete to Tyler Johnson for 30 yds for a TD (Emmit Carpenter KICK)
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+50.0+25.00−25.0−50.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 123Home team on offense−49.8Pregame prior+2.0Score differential−29.0Garbage-time factor−9.4Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−8.8Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−8.9
This game in five plays
  1. FG · Q2 11:57: Emmit Carpenter 27 yd FG GOOD — MINN win probability +3.6 pts (now 47%) (top driver: MINN has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 8:24: Mohamed Ibrahim run for 3 yds for a TD (Emmit Carpenter KICK) — MINN win probability +16.9 pts (now 80%) (top driver: MINN has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 0:55: Nathan Cottrell run for 20 yds for a TD (Wesley Wells KICK) — GT win probability +10.7 pts (now 31%) (top driver: GT has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 12:07: Mohamed Ibrahim run for 1 yd for a TD (Emmit Carpenter KICK) — MINN win probability +15.5 pts (now 92%) (top driver: MINN has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 6:19: Tanner Morgan pass complete to Tyler Johnson for 30 yds for a TD (Emmit Carpenter KICK) — MINN win probability +3.8 pts (now 99%) (top driver: MINN has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
GT made the numbers' call on 8 of 9MINN made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 9:42MINN 4th & 7 at GT 13, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 33.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.7%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    33.8%
    85% to make
    Punt
    33.1%−0.6
    average punt
  2. Q1 2:11GT 4th & 12 at GT 23, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 57.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    57.2%−0.8
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    57.9%
    average punt
  3. Q2 11:57MINN 4th & 6 at GT 9, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 44.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.9%−0.2
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    44.1%
    89% to make
    Punt
    40.4%−3.7
    average punt
  4. Q2 7:53GT 4th & 2 at MINN 36, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 49.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    49.6%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    48.5%−1.1
    42% to make
    Punt
    48.3%−1.4
    average punt
  5. Q2 6:18GT 4th & 18 at MINN 37, down 13
    Close callPunted · 45.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.8%−0.8
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    45.6%
    40% to make
    PuntTheir call
    45.4%−0.2
    average punt
  6. Q2 0:18MINN 4th & 14 at GT 36, up 13
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 63.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.6%−1.9
    19% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    64.5%
    42% to make
    Punt
    62.0%−2.5
    average punt
  7. Q3 11:14GT 4th & 5 at GT 42, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 38.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.7%−0.5
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    39.3%
    average punt
  8. Q3 7:00GT 4th & 1 at GT 34, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 22.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    23.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    22.6%−1.3
    average punt
  9. Q3 2:30GT 4th & 1 at MINN 29, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 21.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    21.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    17.4%−3.9
    58% to make
    Punt
    9.5%−11.7
    average punt
  10. Q4 9:49GT 4th & 4 at MINN 27, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 8.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    7.9%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    7.5%−0.4
    62% to make
    Punt
    3.3%−4.6
    average punt
  11. Q4 2:15GT 4th & 7 at MINN 35, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 1.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.9%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    0.8%−0.1
    45% to make
    Punt
    0.8%−0.2
    average punt
  12. Q4 0:52GT 4th & 1 at MINN 9, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    0.6%−0.3
    89% to make
    Punt
    0.5%−0.4
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
GT made the numbers' call on 1 of 1MINN made the numbers' call on 3 of 4
  1. Q1 4:14MINN Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    38.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    38.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q3 8:24MINN Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    76.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    75.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 0:55GT Touchdown, down 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    28.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    28.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 12:07MINN Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    89.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    88.9%−0.4
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 6:19MINN Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.8%−0.2
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.0%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
MINNDrive 1FG
11 plays · 62 yds · 5:0831% → 33%
Q1 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
68.6%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 4 yds to the Minn 29Similar
Q1 14:30
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+21
68.6%
Tanner Morgan pass complete to Rashod Bateman for 21 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:40
1ST & 10
50
+6
68.3%
Seth Green run for 6 yds to the GTech 44Similar
Q1 13:10
2ND & 4
OPP 44
+3
68.2%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 3 yds to the GTech 41Similar
Q1 12:30
3RD & 1
OPP 41
+6
68.1%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 6 yds to the GTech 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:00
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+19
67.9%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 19 yds to the GTech 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:10
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+2
67.6%
Bryce Williams run for 2 yds to the GTech 14Similar
Q1 10:30
2ND & 8
OPP 14
+1
67.4%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 1 yd to the GTech 13Similar
Q1 9:46
3RD & 7
OPP 13
0
67.4%
Tanner Morgan pass incomplete to Rashod BatemanSimilar
Q1 9:42
4TH & 7
OPP 13
+31
67.5%
Emmit Carpenter 31 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 1:0068% → 67%
Q1 9:30
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+1
67.5%
Qua Searcy run for 1 yd to the GTech 27Similar
Q1 9:00
2ND & 9
OWN 27
+2
67.1%
TaQuon Marshall run for 2 yds to the GTech 29Similar
Q1 8:30
3RD & 7
OWN 29
+2
66.9%
TaQuon Marshall run for 2 yds to the GTech 31Similar
Q1 8:30
4TH & 5
OWN 31
-5
66.8%
GEORGIA TECH Penalty, False Start (Victor Alexander) to the GTech 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 3TD
7 plays · 48 yds · 3:0634% → 38%
Q1 7:20
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
66.2%
Tanner Morgan pass incomplete to Rashod BatemanSimilar
Q1 7:10
2ND & 10
OPP 48
+1
66.2%
Tanner Morgan pass complete to Tyler Johnson for 1 yd to the GTech 47Similar
Q1 6:25
3RD & 9
OPP 47
+13
66.2%
Tanner Morgan pass complete to Rashod Bateman for 13 yds to the GTech 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:00
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+11
65.6%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 11 yds to the GTech 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:40
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+5
65.4%
Seth Green run for 5 yds to the GTech 18Similar
Q1 4:45
2ND & 5
OPP 18
0
65.0%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for no gain to the GTech 18Similar
Q1 4:14
3RD & 5
OPP 18
+18
61.9%
Tanner Morgan pass complete to Tyler Johnson for 18 yds for a TD (Emmit Carpenter KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · -2 yds · 1:5163% → 59%
Q1 4:02
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
62.8%
TaQuon Marshall run for 2 yds to the GTech 27Similar
Q1 3:30
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+1
61.6%
TaQuon Marshall run for 1 yd to the GTech 28Similar
Q1 3:00
3RD & 7
OWN 28
-5
60.7%
TaQuon Marshall sacked by Julian Huff for a loss of 5 yards to the GTech 23Similar
Q1 2:11
4TH & 12
OWN 23
0
59.2%
Pressley Harvin III punt for 12 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the GTech 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 5FG
11 plays · 26 yds · 5:0540% → 46%
Q1 2:02
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
59.7%
Tanner Morgan pass incomplete to Rashod BatemanSimilar
Q1 1:55
2ND & 10
OPP 35
+2
59.7%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 2 yds to the GTech 33Similar
Q1 1:15
3RD & 8
OPP 33
+8
59.5%
Tanner Morgan run for 8 yds to the GTech 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:30
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+4
58.5%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 4 yds to the GTech 21Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 21
+8
58.2%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 8 yds to the GTech 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:25
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+4
57.7%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 4 yds to the GTech 9Similar
Q2 13:40
2ND & 6
OPP 9
+4
57.2%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 4 yds to the GTech 5Similar
Q2 12:55
3RD & 2
OPP 5
-5
57.1%
MINNESOTA Penalty, False Start (Curtis Dunlap Jr.) to the GTech 10Similar
Q2 12:25
3RD & 7
OPP 10
+1
56.6%
Tanner Morgan run for 1 yd to the GTech 9Similar
Q2 11:57
4TH & 6
OPP 9
+27
53.0%
Emmit Carpenter 27 yd FG GOODSimilar
Q2 11:57
4TH & 6
OWN 35
-5
53.7%
MINNESOTA Penalty, Offensive Offside (-5 Yards) to the Minn 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 6PUNT
14 plays · 34 yds · 5:1154% → 46%
Q2 11:29
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+2
54.0%
TaQuon Marshall run for 2 yds to the GTech 31Similar
Q2 11:00
2ND & 8
OWN 31
+6
53.7%
Jordan Mason run for 6 yds to the GTech 37Similar
Q2 10:20
3RD & 2
OWN 37
+19
53.2%
TaQuon Marshall run for 19 yds to the Minn 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:40
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+4
52.1%
Jordan Mason run for 4 yds to the Minn 40Similar
Q2 9:15
2ND & 6
OPP 40
+2
51.7%
Jordan Mason run for 2 yds to the Minn 38Similar
Q2 8:35
3RD & 4
OPP 38
+2
51.0%
Nathan Cottrell run for 2 yds to the Minn 36Similar
Q2 7:53
4TH & 2
OPP 36
+7
49.9%
Jordan Mason run for 7 yds to the Minn 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:21
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
51.0%
TaQuon Marshall pass incomplete to Jalen CampSimilar
Q2 7:00
2ND & 10
OPP 29
-8
50.6%
TaQuon Marshall run for a loss of 8 yards to the Minn 37Similar
Q2 6:28
3RD & 18
OPP 37
0
48.0%
TaQuon Marshall pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:18
4TH & 18
OPP 37
0
46.2%
Pressley Harvin III punt for 23 yds, downed at the Minn 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 7MISSED FG
16 plays · 50 yds · 5:4254% → 63%
Q2 6:00
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+3
45.7%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 3 yds to the Minn 17Similar
Q2 5:14
2ND & 7
OWN 17
+7
44.9%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 7 yds to the Minn 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:00
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+12
44.5%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 12 yds to the Minn 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:30
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+3
43.3%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 3 yds to the Minn 39Similar
Q2 4:00
2ND & 7
OWN 39
+2
41.5%
Jonathan Femi-Cole run for 2 yds to the Minn 41Similar
Q2 3:05
3RD & 5
OWN 41
+8
41.2%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 8 yds to the Minn 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:28
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
39.8%
Tanner Morgan pass incomplete to Rashod Bateman, broken up by Jaytlin AskewSimilar
Q2 2:20
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+4
39.7%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 4 yds to the GTech 47Similar
Q2 1:45
3RD & 6
OPP 47
0
37.9%
Tanner Morgan pass incomplete to Tyler JohnsonSimilar
Q2 1:37
4TH & 6
OPP 47
+15
38.9%
GEORGIA TECH Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Malik Rivera) to the GTech 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:30
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
36.6%
Tanner Morgan pass incomplete to Tyler JohnsonSimilar
Q2 1:00
2ND & 10
OPP 32
+2
36.5%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 2 yds to the GTech 30Similar
Q2 0:30
3RD & 8
OPP 30
-6
36.3%
Tanner Morgan sacked by Jalen Johnson for a loss of 6 yards to the GTech 36Similar
Q2 0:18
4TH & 14
OPP 36
+54
37.0%
Emmit Carpenter 54 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 8END OF HALF
4 plays · 37 yds · 0:1139% → 45%
Q2 0:11
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+19
39.1%
TaQuon Marshall run for 19 yds to the Minn 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:05
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+13
40.2%
TaQuon Marshall pass complete to Jalen Camp for 13 yds to the Minn 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:03
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+5
41.7%
TaQuon Marshall pass complete to Jalen Camp for 5 yds to the Minn 27Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 5
OPP 27
+44
45.0%
Wesley Wells 44 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 9PUNT
8 plays · 17 yds · 3:4643% → 39%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
43.4%
TaQuon Marshall run for 4 yds to the GTech 29Similar
Q3 14:25
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+1
43.4%
Jerry Howard run for 1 yd to the GTech 30Similar
Q3 14:00
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+7
42.1%
TaQuon Marshall run for 7 yds to the GTech 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:15
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+2
42.4%
Jerry Howard run for 2 yds to the GTech 39Similar
Q3 12:40
2ND & 8
OWN 39
+3
42.1%
Clinton Lynch run for 3 yds to the GTech 42Similar
Q3 12:00
3RD & 5
OWN 42
0
40.9%
Qua Searcy run for no gain to the GTech 42Similar
Q3 11:14
4TH & 5
OWN 42
0
39.0%
Pressley Harvin III punt for 18 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Minn 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 10TD
6 plays · 60 yds · 2:3662% → 80%
Q3 11:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+14
38.5%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 14 yds to the GTech 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:20
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+4
37.8%
Seth Green run for 4 yds to the GTech 42Similar
Q3 10:00
2ND & 6
OPP 42
-10
37.5%
Ibrahim, Mohamed rush for no gain to the GATECH42, PENALTY MINNESOTA holding 10 yards to the MINNESOTA48, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 9:15
2ND & 16
OWN 48
+8
38.2%
Tanner Morgan pass complete to Tyler Johnson for 8 yds to the GTech 44Similar
Q3 8:45
3RD & 8
OPP 44
+41
37.0%
Tanner Morgan pass complete to Chris Autman-Bell for 41 yds to the GTech 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:24
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
20.2%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 3 yds for a TD (Emmit Carpenter KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 11TD
16 plays · 75 yds · 7:1624% → 31%
Q3 8:11
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
23.6%
TaQuon Marshall pass incomplete to Jordan MasonSimilar
Q3 7:55
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+7
23.1%
TaQuon Marshall pass complete to Jalen Camp for 7 yds to the GTech 32Similar
Q3 7:30
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+2
23.6%
TaQuon Marshall run for 2 yds to the GTech 34Similar
Q3 7:00
4TH & 1
OWN 34
+2
22.9%
TaQuon Marshall run for 2 yds to the GTech 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:30
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+6
22.7%
TaQuon Marshall run for 6 yds to the GTech 42Similar
Q3 6:00
2ND & 4
OWN 42
-4
23.4%
TaQuon Marshall run for a loss of 4 yards to the GTech 38Similar
Q3 5:08
3RD & 8
OWN 38
+10
21.0%
MINNESOTA Penalty, Defensive Holding (Terell Smith) to the GTech 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:00
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+14
22.2%
Nathan Cottrell run for 14 yds to the Minn 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:30
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
22.1%
TaQuon Marshall run for no gain to the Minn 38Similar
Q3 3:41
2ND & 10
OPP 38
0
21.1%
Jordan Mason run for no gain to the Minn 38Similar
Q3 3:00
3RD & 10
OPP 38
+9
20.1%
TaQuon Marshall run for 9 yds to the Minn 29Similar
Q3 2:30
4TH & 1
OPP 29
+3
20.9%
TaQuon Marshall run for 3 yds to the Minn 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:00
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+3
20.9%
TaQuon Marshall run for 3 yds to the Minn 23Similar
Q3 1:30
2ND & 7
OPP 23
+3
20.5%
TaQuon Marshall run for 3 yds to the Minn 20Similar
Q3 0:55
3RD & 4
OPP 20
+20
31.3%
Nathan Cottrell run for 20 yds for a TD (Wesley Wells KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 12TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 3:4371% → 92%
Q3 0:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
28.7%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for a loss of 1 yard to the Minn 24Similar
Q3 0:20
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+57
28.9%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 57 yds to the GTech 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+9
24.4%
Seth Green run for 9 yds to the GTech 10Similar
Q4 14:30
2ND & 1
OPP 10
+3
24.8%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 3 yds to the GTech 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+6
24.4%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 6 yds to the GTech 1Similar
Q4 13:15
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
23.5%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for no gain to the GTech 1Similar
Q4 12:07
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
8.0%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 1 yd for a TD (Emmit Carpenter KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 13DOWNS
6 plays · 57 yds · 1:389% → 8%
Q4 11:27
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+51
8.6%
TaQuon Marshall pass complete to Qua Searcy for 51 yds to the Minn 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:19
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
10.5%
TaQuon Marshall pass incomplete to Brad StewartSimilar
Q4 11:05
2ND & 10
OPP 33
+5
10.1%
TaQuon Marshall run for 5 yds to the Minn 28Similar
Q4 10:30
3RD & 5
OPP 28
+1
8.6%
TaQuon Marshall run for 1 yd to the Minn 27Similar
Q4 9:49
4TH & 4
OPP 27
0
7.9%
TaQuon Marshall pass incomplete to Brad Stewart, broken up by Jacob HuffSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 14TD
6 plays · 73 yds · 3:2693% → 99%
Q4 9:45
1ST & 10
OWN 27
-1
6.8%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for a loss of 1 yard to the Minn 26Similar
Q4 9:00
2ND & 11
OWN 26
+33
6.3%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 33 yds to the GTech 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:30
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+7
5.6%
Seth Green run for 7 yds to the GTech 34Similar
Q4 7:50
2ND & 3
OPP 34
+5
5.3%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 5 yds to the GTech 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:00
1ST & 10
OPP 29
-1
4.8%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for a loss of 1 yard to the GTech 30Similar
Q4 6:19
2ND & 11
OPP 30
+30
1.0%
Tanner Morgan pass complete to Tyler Johnson for 30 yds for a TD (Emmit Carpenter KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 15FUMBLE
14 plays · 70 yds · 5:121% → 1%
Q4 6:04
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
1.3%
Tobias Oliver pass incomplete to Qua SearcySimilar
Q4 5:55
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+8
1.3%
Tobias Oliver run for 8 yds to the GTech 28Similar
Q4 5:20
3RD & 2
OWN 28
+7
1.3%
Tobias Oliver run for 7 yds to the GTech 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:45
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+27
1.2%
Tobias Oliver run for 27 yds to the Minn 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:15
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
1.3%
Tobias Oliver run for no gain to the Minn 38Similar
Q4 3:30
2ND & 10
OPP 38
+2
1.2%
Tobias Oliver run for 2 yds to the Minn 36Similar
Q4 3:00
3RD & 8
OPP 36
+1
1.1%
Tobias Oliver pass complete to Jerry Howard for 1 yd to the Minn 35Similar
Q4 2:15
4TH & 7
OPP 35
+17
1.0%
Tobias Oliver run for 17 yds to the Minn 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:45
1ST & 10
OPP 18
0
1.1%
Tobias Oliver pass incomplete to Qua SearcySimilar
Q4 1:43
2ND & 10
OPP 18
+2
1.0%
Tobias Oliver run for 2 yds to the Minn 16Similar
Q4 1:30
3RD & 8
OPP 16
+7
0.8%
Tobias Oliver run for 7 yds to the Minn 9Similar
Q4 0:52
4TH & 1
OPP 9
-1
0.8%
Tobias Oliver run for a loss of 1 yard to the Minn 10 Tobias Oliver fumbled, recovered by Minn Julian HuffSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 8:24
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 3 yds for a TD (Emmit Carpenter KICK)
-16.9
TD · Q4 12:07
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 1 yd for a TD (Emmit Carpenter KICK)
-15.5
TD · Q3 0:55
Nathan Cottrell run for 20 yds for a TD (Wesley Wells KICK)
+10.7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com