Try the model
HOU

Houston 14 at Army 70

ARMY
2018 · Lockheed Martin Armed Forces Bowl · Dec 22, 2018 · Amon G. Carter Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · ARMY
modelARMY aheadHOU aheadconfidence bandkey playARMY scoreHOU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 5:24 · Dane Roy punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Akyah Miranda at the Army 31
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginPregame priorGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+36.5+18.30−18.3−36.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 71Home team on offense+21.2Score differential+19.9Blowout margin+9.0Pregame prior+10.2Garbage-time factor+5.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+1.6
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 3:58: Kelvin Hopkins Jr. run for 1 yd for a TD (John Abercrombie KICK) — ARMY win probability +3.7 pts (now 71%) (top driver: ARMY has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 0:01: Kelvin Hopkins Jr. run for 77 yds for a TD (John Abercrombie KICK) — ARMY win probability +5.7 pts (now 76%) (top driver: ARMY has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 12:04: Clayton Tune pass complete to Romello Brooker for 3 yds for a TD (Dalton Witherspoon KICK) — HOU win probability +9.2 pts (now 26%) (top driver: HOU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 10:46: Kelvin Hopkins Jr. run for 1 yd for a TD (John Abercrombie KICK) — ARMY win probability +8.0 pts (now 87%) (top driver: ARMY has the ball).
  5. TD · Q2 7:24: Kelvin Hopkins Jr. run for 2 yds for a TD (John Abercrombie KICK) — ARMY win probability +4.9 pts (now 94%) (top driver: ARMY has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
HOU made the numbers' call on 4 of 7
  1. Q1 13:00HOU 4th & 4 at HOU 49, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 32.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    32.2%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    32.2%−<0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:45HOU 4th & 15 at ARMY 39, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 32.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.2%−0.1
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    32.2%−<0.1
    36% to make
    PuntTheir call
    32.2%
    average punt
  3. Q1 0:51HOU 4th & 17 at ARMY 47, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 29.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.7%−0.8
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    29.5%
    average punt
  4. Q2 5:24HOU 4th & 17 at HOU 30, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.4%−2.9
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.3%
    average punt
  5. Q3 9:08HOU 4th & 26 at ARMY 30, down 42
    Close callPunted · 0.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.5%−0.2
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    0.7%
    56% to make
    PuntTheir call
    0.6%−0.1
    average punt
  6. Q3 4:42HOU 4th & 9 at HOU 30, down 42
    Close callWent for it · 0.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.3%−0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.4%
    average punt
  7. Q4 0:30HOU 4th & 18 at HOU 27, down 56
    Close callWent for it · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.0%−<0.1
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.0%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ARMY made the numbers' call on 8 of 9HOU made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 3:58ARMY Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    69.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    69.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 0:01ARMY Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    75.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    75.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 12:04HOU Touchdown, down 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    22.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    22.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 10:46ARMY Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    87.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    87.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 7:24ARMY Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 0:51ARMY Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 12:09ARMY Touchdown, up 41 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 1:21ARMY Touchdown, up 48 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 10:31ARMY Touchdown, up 55 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 6:25HOU Touchdown, down 50 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  11. Q4 1:58ARMY Touchdown, up 55 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
HOUDrive 1PUNT
10 plays · 18 yds · 3:0033% → 33%
Q1 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 43
-5
67.3%
HOUSTON Penalty, Illegal Formation (-5 Yards) to the Houst 38Similar
Q1 14:30
1ST & 15
OWN 38
+4
67.3%
Marquez Stevenson run for 4 yds to the Houst 42Similar
Q1 13:55
2ND & 11
OWN 42
+6
67.1%
Clayton Tune pass complete to Marquez Stevenson for 6 yds to the Houst 48Similar
Q1 13:30
3RD & 5
OWN 48
+1
67.0%
Terence Williams run for 1 yd to the Houst 49Similar
Q1 13:00
4TH & 4
OWN 49
+17
67.0%
Clayton Tune pass complete to Romello Brooker for 17 yds to the Army 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:30
1ST & 10
OPP 34
-9
66.7%
Clayton Tune sacked by Jaylon McClinton for a loss of 9 yards to the Army 43Similar
Q1 12:03
2ND & 19
OPP 43
+4
66.8%
Terence Williams run for 4 yds to the Army 39Similar
Q1 11:53
3RD & 15
OPP 39
0
66.9%
Clayton Tune pass incomplete to Terry MarkSimilar
Q1 11:45
4TH & 15
OPP 39
0
67.0%
Dane Roy punt for 39 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 2TD
14 plays · 80 yds · 7:3767% → 71%
Q1 11:35
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+8
67.0%
Darnell Woolfolk run for 8 yds to the Army 28Similar
Q1 11:10
2ND & 2
OWN 28
+7
67.0%
Artice Hobbs IV run for 7 yds to the Army 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:35
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
66.9%
Darnell Woolfolk run for 3 yds to the Army 38Similar
Q1 9:55
2ND & 7
OWN 38
+6
67.0%
Andy Davidson run for 6 yds to the Army 44Similar
Q1 9:15
3RD & 1
OWN 44
+4
67.1%
Connor Slomka run for 4 yds to the Army 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:40
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+8
67.0%
Kelvin Hopkins Jr. run for 8 yds to the Houst 44Similar
Q1 8:00
2ND & 2
OPP 44
+5
67.2%
Andy Davidson run for 5 yds to the Houst 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:20
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+11
67.1%
Artice Hobbs IV run for 11 yds to the Houst 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:50
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+4
67.3%
Darnell Woolfolk run for 4 yds to the Houst 24Similar
Q1 6:10
2ND & 6
OPP 24
+13
67.3%
Jordan Asberry run for 13 yds to the Houst 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:35
1ST & 10
OPP 11
-4
67.3%
Artice Hobbs IV run for a loss of 4 yards to the Houst 15Similar
Q1 5:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
-1
67.1%
Kelvin Hopkins Jr. pass complete to Darnell Woolfolk for 9 yds to the Houst 6 ARMY Penalty, Illegal Block (Glen Coates) to the Houst 16Similar
Q1 4:20
2ND & 15
OPP 16
+15
67.0%
Jordan Asberry run for 15 yds to the Houst 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:58
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
70.8%
Kelvin Hopkins Jr. run for 1 yd for a TD (John Abercrombie KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 3PUNT
9 plays · 30 yds · 2:4930% → 30%
Q1 3:40
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+22
69.6%
Clayton Tune pass complete to Keith Corbin for 22 yds to the Houst 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:15
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
69.0%
Patrick Carr run for no gain to the Houst 45Similar
Q1 3:00
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+15
69.2%
Clayton Tune run for 15 yds to the Army 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:40
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+8
68.6%
Clayton Tune pass complete to Romello Brooker for 8 yds to the Army 32Similar
Q1 2:23
2ND & 2
OPP 32
-5
67.7%
HOUSTON Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Army 37Similar
Q1 2:05
2ND & 7
OPP 37
0
68.4%
Patrick Carr run for no gain to the Army 37Similar
Q1 1:32
3RD & 7
OPP 37
-10
68.6%
Clayton Tune sacked by James Nachtigal for a loss of 10 yards to the Army 47Similar
Q1 0:51
4TH & 17
OPP 47
0
70.2%
Dane Roy punt for 47 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 4TD
2 plays · 80 yds · 0:4470% → 76%
Q1 0:45
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
70.2%
Darnell Woolfolk run for 3 yds to the Army 23Similar
Q1 0:01
2ND & 7
OWN 23
+77
75.9%
Kelvin Hopkins Jr. run for 77 yds for a TD (John Abercrombie KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 5FUMBLE TD
2 plays · -2 yds · 0:0017% → 17%
Q2 14:46
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+23
83.1%
Clayton Tune sacked by James Nachtigal for a loss of 2 yards Clayton Tune fumbled, forced by James Nachtigal, recovered by Army Cameron Jones , return for 0 yards , return for 23 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 6TD
12 plays · 77 yds · 2:2917% → 26%
Q2 14:33
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
82.6%
Clayton Tune pass incomplete to Keith CorbinSimilar
Q2 14:33
2ND & 10
OWN 23
-5
82.8%
HOUSTON Penalty, False Start (Keith Corbin) to the Houst 18Similar
Q2 14:23
2ND & 15
OWN 18
+15
83.0%
ARMY Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Javhari Bourdeau) to the Houst 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:18
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
82.6%
Clayton Tune pass incomplete to Keith CorbinSimilar
Q2 14:10
2ND & 10
OWN 33
+12
82.9%
Clayton Tune pass complete to Marquez Stevenson for 12 yds to the Houst 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:00
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+13
82.7%
Patrick Carr run for 13 yds to the Army 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:40
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+9
82.5%
Clayton Tune run for 9 yds to the Army 33Similar
Q2 13:25
2ND & 1
OPP 33
+16
82.0%
Patrick Carr run for 16 yds to the Army 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:00
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+3
82.7%
Patrick Carr run for 3 yds to the Army 14Similar
Q2 12:17
2ND & 7
OPP 14
+11
83.2%
Marquez Stevenson run for 11 yds to the Army 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:04
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
74.1%
Clayton Tune pass complete to Romello Brooker for 3 yds for a TD (Dalton Witherspoon KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 7TD
5 plays · 62 yds · 1:1878% → 87%
Q2 12:04
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-5
78.0%
ARMY Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Army 33Similar
Q2 11:55
1ST & 15
OWN 33
+12
77.5%
Artice Hobbs IV run for 12 yds to the Army 45Similar
Q2 11:06
2ND & 3
OWN 45
+54
78.7%
Kelvin Hopkins Jr. pass complete to Kjetil Cline for 54 yds to the Houst 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:46
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
86.7%
Kelvin Hopkins Jr. run for 1 yd for a TD (John Abercrombie KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 8PUNT
6 plays · -22 yds · 1:4814% → 12%
Q2 10:34
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-10
85.9%
Bryson Smith run for a loss of 10 yards to the Houst 15Similar
Q2 10:00
2ND & 20
OWN 15
+3
86.6%
Clayton Tune pass complete to Courtney Lark for 3 yds to the Houst 18Similar
Q2 9:40
3RD & 17
OWN 18
-12
86.8%
Clayton Tune sacked by James Nachtigal for a loss of 12 yards to the Houst 6 Clayton Tune fumbled, forced by James Nachtigal, recovered by Houst Clayton Tune , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q2 9:00
4TH & 29
OWN 6
-3
87.5%
HOUSTON Penalty, Delay of Game (-3 Yards) to the Houst 3Similar
Q2 8:46
4TH & 32
OWN 3
+39
87.7%
Dane Roy punt for 44 yds , Akyah Miranda returns for 39 yds to the Houst 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 9TD
3 plays · 8 yds · 1:1689% → 94%
Q2 8:40
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+4
89.2%
Darnell Woolfolk run for 4 yds to the Houst 4Similar
Q2 8:15
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+2
89.5%
Darnell Woolfolk run for 2 yds to the Houst 2Similar
Q2 7:24
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
94.4%
Kelvin Hopkins Jr. run for 2 yds for a TD (John Abercrombie KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 10PUNT
8 plays · 5 yds · 1:515% → 4%
Q2 7:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
95.4%
Terence Williams run for 4 yds to the Houst 29Similar
Q2 6:55
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+5
95.2%
Clayton Tune pass complete to Raelon Singleton for 5 yds to the Houst 34Similar
Q2 6:30
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+3
95.3%
Terence Williams run for 3 yds to the Houst 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+3
95.7%
Terence Williams run for 3 yds to the Houst 40Similar
Q2 5:40
2ND & 7
OWN 40
0
95.7%
Clayton Tune pass incomplete to Keith CorbinSimilar
Q2 5:34
3RD & 7
OWN 40
-10
95.9%
Clayton Tune sacked by James Nachtigal and Kenneth Brinson for a loss of 10 yards to the Houst 30Similar
Q2 5:24
4TH & 17
OWN 30
0
96.4%
Dane Roy punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Akyah Miranda at the Army 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 11TD
10 plays · 69 yds · 4:3396% → 98%
Q2 5:24
1ST & 10
OWN 31
-5
95.9%
ARMY Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Army 26Similar
Q2 5:15
1ST & 15
OWN 26
+7
96.0%
Kelvin Hopkins Jr. pass complete to Jordan Asberry for 7 yds to the Army 33Similar
Q2 4:41
2ND & 8
OWN 33
+24
96.2%
Artice Hobbs IV run for 24 yds to the Houst 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:20
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+9
96.5%
Andy Davidson run for 9 yds to the Houst 34Similar
Q2 3:55
2ND & 1
OPP 34
+5
96.3%
Andy Davidson run for 5 yds to the Houst 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:20
1ST & 10
OPP 29
-2
96.8%
Jordan Asberry run for a loss of 2 yards to the Houst 31Similar
Q2 2:44
2ND & 12
OPP 31
-5
97.0%
ARMY Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Houst 36Similar
Q2 2:10
2ND & 17
OPP 36
+9
97.2%
Kelvin Hopkins Jr. run for 9 yds to the Houst 27Similar
Q2 1:25
3RD & 8
OPP 27
+16
97.9%
Kelvin Hopkins Jr. run for 16 yds to the Houst 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:51
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+11
98.0%
Artice Hobbs IV run for 11 yds for a TD (John Abercrombie KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 12END OF HALF
9 plays · 58 yds · 0:382% → 2%
Q2 0:38
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+15
98.1%
Clayton Tune pass complete to Courtney Lark for 15 yds to the Houst 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:26
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+12
98.1%
Clayton Tune pass complete to Courtney Lark for 12 yds to the Houst 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:15
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+3
98.1%
Clayton Tune run for 3 yds to the Houst 42Similar
Q2 0:09
2ND & 7
OWN 42
+18
98.1%
Clayton Tune pass complete to Marquez Stevenson for 18 yds to the Army 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:02
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+10
98.3%
Clayton Tune run for 10 yds to the Army 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
98.0%
Clayton Tune pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 13TD
6 plays · 47 yds · 2:3398% → 99%
Q3 14:42
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+32
98.2%
Darnell Woolfolk run for 32 yds to the Houst 15 Darnell Woolfolk fumbled, recovered by Army Darnell Woolfolk for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:15
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+4
98.4%
Darnell Woolfolk run for 4 yds to the Houst 11Similar
Q3 13:27
2ND & 6
OPP 11
+9
98.7%
Kelvin Hopkins Jr. run for 9 yds to the Houst 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:55
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
98.8%
Darnell Woolfolk run for 1 yd to the Houst 1Similar
Q3 12:09
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.0%
Kelvin Hopkins Jr. run for 1 yd for a TD (John Abercrombie KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 14PUNT
10 plays · 35 yds · 2:421% → 1%
Q3 11:50
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+8
99.0%
Clayton Tune pass complete to Raelon Singleton for 8 yds to the Houst 43Similar
Q3 11:32
2ND & 2
OWN 43
+17
99.0%
Clayton Tune pass complete to Romello Brooker for 17 yds to the Army 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:20
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+4
98.8%
Clayton Tune pass complete to Marquez Stevenson for 4 yds to the Army 36Similar
Q3 11:02
2ND & 6
OPP 36
+8
99.0%
Clayton Tune pass complete to Marquez Stevenson for 8 yds to the Army 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:49
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+14
99.0%
Clayton Tune pass complete to Marquez Stevenson for 14 yds to the Army 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:15
1ST & 10
OPP 14
-10
99.1%
Marquez Stevenson run for a loss of 10 yards to the Army 24 Marquez Stevenson fumbled, recovered by Houst Clayton TuneSimilar
Q3 9:45
2ND & 20
OPP 24
-6
99.2%
Clayton Tune sacked by Kenneth Brinson for a loss of 6 yards to the Army 30Similar
Q3 9:16
3RD & 26
OPP 30
0
99.3%
Clayton Tune pass incomplete to Courtney LarkSimilar
Q3 9:08
4TH & 26
OPP 30
0
99.2%
Dane Roy punt for 26 yds, downed at the Army 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 15FUMBLE
7 plays · 67 yds · 3:2899% → 100%
Q3 9:00
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+28
99.3%
Andy Davidson run for 13 yds to the Army 17 for a 1ST down HOUSTON Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the Army 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:36
1ST & 10
OWN 32
-5
99.3%
ARMY Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Army 27Similar
Q3 8:05
1ST & 15
OWN 27
+12
99.4%
Kelvin Hopkins Jr. run for 12 yds to the Army 39Similar
Q3 7:30
2ND & 3
OWN 39
+6
99.4%
Darnell Woolfolk run for 6 yds to the Army 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:50
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+34
99.5%
Kelvin Hopkins Jr. run for 34 yds to the Houst 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:15
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+3
99.5%
Cam Thomas run for 3 yds to the Houst 18Similar
Q3 5:32
2ND & 7
OPP 18
-11
99.6%
Cam Thomas run for a loss of 11 yards to the Houst 29 Cam Thomas fumbled, recovered by Houst Emeke EgbuleSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 16DOWNS
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:431% → 0%
Q3 5:25
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+1
99.5%
Terence Williams run for 1 yd to the Houst 30Similar
Q3 5:00
2ND & 9
OWN 30
0
99.6%
Clayton Tune pass incomplete to Marquez StevensonSimilar
Q3 4:50
3RD & 9
OWN 30
0
99.6%
Clayton Tune pass incomplete to Romello BrookerSimilar
Q3 4:42
4TH & 9
OWN 30
+5
99.6%
Clayton Tune pass complete to Marquez Stevenson for 5 yds to the Houst 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 17TD
6 plays · 35 yds · 3:13100% → 100%
Q3 4:34
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+4
99.6%
Cam Thomas run for 4 yds to the Houst 31Similar
Q3 4:00
2ND & 6
OPP 31
+4
99.6%
Darnell Woolfolk run for 4 yds to the Houst 27Similar
Q3 3:20
3RD & 2
OPP 27
+9
99.7%
Andy Davidson run for 9 yds to the Houst 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:40
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+12
99.7%
Andy Davidson run for 12 yds to the Houst 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+3
99.7%
Jordan Asberry run for 3 yds to the Houst 3Similar
Q3 1:21
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
99.8%
Connor Slomka run for 3 yds for a TD (John Abercrombie KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 18FUMBLE
5 plays · 11 yds · 0:400% → 0%
Q3 1:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
99.8%
Patrick Carr run for 10 yds to the Houst 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:50
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
99.8%
Patrick Carr run for 1 yd to the Houst 36Similar
Q3 0:41
2ND & 9
OWN 36
0
99.9%
Clayton Tune pass incomplete to Keith CorbinSimilar
Q3 0:30
3RD & 9
OWN 36
+18
99.9%
Clayton Tune run for 18 yds to the Army 46 Clayton Tune fumbled, recovered by Army Julian McDuffieSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 19TD
9 plays · 54 yds · 4:51100% → 100%
Q3 0:22
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+8
99.8%
Malik Hancock run for 8 yds to the Houst 46Similar
Q4 14:55
2ND & 2
OPP 46
+5
99.8%
Cam Thomas run for 5 yds to the Houst 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:10
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+6
99.8%
Sandon McCoy run for 6 yds to the Houst 35Similar
Q4 13:30
2ND & 4
OPP 35
+3
99.8%
Sandon McCoy run for 3 yds to the Houst 32Similar
Q4 12:45
3RD & 1
OPP 32
+11
99.9%
Connor Slomka run for 11 yds to the Houst 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:05
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+3
99.9%
Rashaad Bolton run for 3 yds to the Houst 18Similar
Q4 11:20
2ND & 7
OPP 18
+3
99.9%
Cam Thomas run for 3 yds to the Houst 15Similar
Q4 10:31
3RD & 4
OPP 15
+15
99.9%
Cam Thomas pass complete to Jordan Asberry for 15 yds for a TD (John Abercrombie KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 20TD
14 plays · 74 yds · 3:530% → 0%
Q4 10:18
1ST & 10
OWN 26
-4
99.9%
Clayton Tune sacked by Julian McDuffie for a loss of 4 yards to the Houst 22Similar
Q4 10:00
2ND & 14
OWN 22
-3
99.9%
Clayton Tune sacked by Wunmi Oyetuga for a loss of 3 yards to the Houst 19Similar
Q4 9:20
3RD & 17
OWN 32
+28
99.9%
Clayton Tune pass complete to Christian Trahan for 13 yds to the Houst 32 for a 1ST down ARMY Penalty, Roughing Passer (15 Yards) to the Houst 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:00
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+2
99.9%
Kevrin Justice run for 2 yds to the Houst 49Similar
Q4 8:40
2ND & 8
OWN 49
+4
99.9%
Clayton Tune run for 4 yds to the Army 47Similar
Q4 8:20
3RD & 4
OPP 47
+5
99.9%
Kevrin Justice run for 5 yds to the Army 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:02
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+1
99.9%
Keith Corbin run for 1 yd to the Army 41Similar
Q4 7:51
2ND & 9
OPP 41
0
99.9%
Clayton Tune pass incomplete to Keith CorbinSimilar
Q4 7:40
3RD & 9
OPP 41
+21
99.9%
Clayton Tune run for 21 yds to the Army 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:20
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+5
99.9%
Clayton Tune pass complete to Marquez Stevenson for 5 yds to the Army 15Similar
Q4 7:00
2ND & 5
OPP 15
+9
99.9%
Patrick Carr run for 9 yds to the Army 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:40
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
0
99.9%
Patrick Carr run for no gain to the Army 6Similar
Q4 6:25
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
99.9%
Clayton Tune run for 6 yds for a TD (Dalton Witherspoon KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 21TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 4:14100% → 100%
Q4 6:12
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+34
99.9%
Jordan Asberry run for 34 yds to the Houst 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:32
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+6
99.9%
Sandon McCoy run for 6 yds to the Houst 35Similar
Q4 4:49
2ND & 4
OPP 35
+5
99.9%
Rashaad Bolton run for 5 yds to the Houst 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:05
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+6
99.9%
Connor Slomka run for 6 yds to the Houst 24Similar
Q4 3:25
2ND & 4
OPP 24
+2
100.0%
Sandon McCoy run for 2 yds to the Houst 22Similar
Q4 2:45
3RD & 2
OPP 22
+2
100.0%
Connor Slomka run for 2 yds to the Houst 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:58
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+20
100.0%
Cam Thomas run for 20 yds for a TD (John Abercrombie KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 22Uncategorized
8 plays · 21 yds · 1:430% → 0%
Q4 1:43
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
100.0%
Clayton Tune pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:23
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+4
100.0%
Clayton Tune run for 4 yds to the Houst 39Similar
Q4 0:50
3RD & 6
OWN 39
-12
100.0%
Clayton Tune sacked by Edriece Patterson for a loss of 12 yards to the Houst 27Similar
Q4 0:30
4TH & 18
OWN 27
+20
100.0%
Clayton Tune pass complete to Jeremy Singleton for 20 yds to the Houst 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:15
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+15
100.0%
Clayton Tune pass complete to Terry Mark for 15 yds to the Army 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 38
-6
100.0%
Clayton Tune sacked by Jake Ellington and Joe Stephenson for a loss of 6 yards to the Army 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 12:04
Clayton Tune pass complete to Romello Brooker for 3 yds for a TD (Dalton Witherspoon KICK)
-9.2
TD · Q2 10:46
Kelvin Hopkins Jr. run for 1 yd for a TD (John Abercrombie KICK)
+8
TD · Q1 0:01
Kelvin Hopkins Jr. run for 77 yds for a TD (John Abercrombie KICK)
+5.7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com