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MEM

Memphis 34 at Wake Forest 37

WAKE
2018 · Jared Birmingham Bowl · Dec 22, 2018 · Legion Field
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Win probability · WAKE
modelWAKE aheadMEM aheadconfidence bandkey playWAKE scoreMEM score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDFGTDTDTDFGFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 1:30 · Adam Williams punt for 46 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the WFrst 13
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+31.5+15.80−15.8−31.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 158Home team on offense+1.6Pregame prior−1.6Score differential+0.2Garbage-time factor+0.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−2.0Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.7
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 11:04: Darren Ford kickoff for 62 yds , Tony Pollard return for 97 yds for a TD (Riley Patterson KICK) — MEM win probability +8.7 pts (now 71%) (top driver: WAKE has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 5:33: Jamie Newman run for 17 yds for a TD (Nick Sciba KICK) — WAKE win probability +11.1 pts (now 48%) (top driver: Not a blowout margin).
  3. FG · Q3 3:49: Nick Sciba 39 yd FG GOOD — WAKE win probability +6.8 pts (now 61%) (top driver: WAKE has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 1:15: Patrick Taylor Jr. run for 9 yds for a TD (Brady White intercepted ) — MEM win probability +48.7 pts (now 92%) (top driver: MEM has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 0:34: Jamie Newman run for 1 yd for a TD, (Nick Sciba KICK) — WAKE win probability +63.2 pts (now 94%) (top driver: WAKE has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
WAKE made the numbers' call on 10 of 12MEM made the numbers' call on 8 of 10
  1. Q1 12:40WAKE 4th & 4 at MEM 37, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 45.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    45.7%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    45.6%−0.1
    40% to make
    Punt
    45.6%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:57WAKE 4th & 4 at WAKE 45, tied
    Close callPunted · 46.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.5%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    46.5%−<0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 2:02WAKE 4th & 14 at WAKE 21, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 41.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.0%−1.7
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    42.6%
    average punt
  4. Q1 0:17MEM 4th & 15 at MEM 28, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 57.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.3%−1.4
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    57.6%
    average punt
  5. Q2 11:16WAKE 4th & 7 at MEM 18, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 34.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.2%−0.5
    35% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    34.7%
    79% to make
    Punt
    30.3%−4.4
    average punt
  6. Q2 7:09WAKE 4th & 1 at MEM 1, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 29.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    29.0%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    26.6%−2.4
    94% to make
    Punt
    20.7%−8.2
    average punt
  7. Q2 5:59MEM 4th & 10 at MEM 21, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 63.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.5%−1.8
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    64.3%
    average punt
  8. Q2 2:32MEM 4th & 5 at MEM 42, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 56.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    56.2%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    56.0%−0.2
    average punt
  9. Q2 1:24WAKE 4th & 4 at MEM 36, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 45.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    45.8%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    45.0%−0.8
    42% to make
    Punt
    44.0%−1.8
    average punt
  10. Q2 0:35MEM 4th & 10 at MEM 36, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 55.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.1%−1.6
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    55.7%
    average punt
  11. Q3 12:34WAKE 4th & 9 at MEM 44, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 43.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.4%−0.6
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    42.2%−1.7
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    43.9%
    average punt
  12. Q3 9:21MEM 4th & 2 at MEM 34, up 4
    Close callPunted · 56.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.0%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    57.6%−0.4
    average punt
  13. Q3 7:41WAKE 4th & 11 at MEM 31, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 41.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.1%−1.4
    26% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    41.5%
    54% to make
    Punt
    39.6%−1.9
    average punt
  14. Q3 6:20MEM 4th & 10 at MEM 34, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 50.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.0%−3.0
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    52.0%
    average punt
  15. Q3 3:49WAKE 4th & 8 at MEM 21, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 50.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    48.3%−1.9
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    50.1%
    74% to make
    Punt
    37.5%−12.6
    average punt
  16. Q3 1:30MEM 4th & 8 at MEM 41, down 2
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 41.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.5%−2.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    42.6%
    average punt
  17. Q4 14:52WAKE 4th & 1 at WAKE 47, up 2
    Numbers favored go for it by 4.3 ptsPunted · 62.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.8%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    58.5%−4.3
    average punt
  18. Q4 13:54MEM 4th & 6 at MEM 22, down 2
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 37.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.6%−2.6
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    39.1%
    average punt
  19. Q4 11:51WAKE 4th & 14 at WAKE 36, up 2
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 60.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.4%−6.2
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    62.7%
    average punt
  20. Q4 10:14MEM 4th & 9 at MEM 45, down 2
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 37.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.0%−1.9
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    36.9%
    average punt
  21. Q4 5:51WAKE 4th & 7 at WAKE 35, up 2
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 67.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.5%−4.8
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    71.3%
    average punt
  22. Q4 3:32MEM 4th & 6 at WAKE 40, down 2
    Close callWent for it · 36.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    32.0%−0.9
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    32.9%
    34% to make
    Punt
    27.6%−5.3
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
WAKE made the numbers' call on 4 of 4MEM made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 12:28WAKE Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    46.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    46.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 10:06MEM Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    53.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    53.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 3:28MEM Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    55.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    55.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 14:49MEM Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    61.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    61.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 7:09WAKE Touchdown, down 12 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    35.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    35.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 5:33WAKE Touchdown, down 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    44.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    44.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 0:34WAKE Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    82.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    79.8%−2.4
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
WAKEDrive 1TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 2:2244% → 46%
Q1 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
44.2%
Matt Colburn run for 9 yds to the WFrst 34Similar
Q1 14:40
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+10
44.3%
Matt Colburn run for 10 yds to the WFrst 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:26
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+3
44.4%
Jamie Newman pass complete to Matt Colburn for 3 yds to the WFrst 47Similar
Q1 14:12
2ND & 7
OWN 47
+2
44.5%
Jamie Newman run for 2 yds to the WFrst 49Similar
Q1 13:49
3RD & 5
OWN 49
+8
44.6%
Jamie Newman pass complete to Alex Bachman for 8 yds to the Memph 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:33
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
44.8%
Jamie Newman pass incomplete to Jaquarii RobersonSimilar
Q1 13:26
2ND & 10
OPP 43
+5
44.8%
Matt Colburn run for 5 yds to the Memph 38Similar
Q1 13:05
3RD & 5
OPP 38
+1
44.9%
Matt Colburn run for 1 yd to the Memph 37Similar
Q1 12:40
4TH & 4
OPP 37
+28
45.0%
Jamie Newman pass complete to Alex Bachman for 28 yds to the Memph 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:28
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
46.1%
Jamie Newman pass complete to Sage Surratt for 9 yds for a TD (Nick Sciba KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 2TD
8 plays · 76 yds · 2:1454% → 55%
Q1 12:20
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+4
45.8%
Patrick Taylor Jr. run for 4 yds to the Memph 28Similar
Q1 12:00
2ND & 6
OWN 28
+8
46.0%
Brady White pass complete to Damonte Coxie for 8 yds to the Memph 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:45
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-1
46.1%
Brady White run for a loss of 1 yard to the Memph 35Similar
Q1 11:10
2ND & 11
OWN 35
+6
46.5%
Patrick Taylor Jr. run for 6 yds to the Memph 41Similar
Q1 10:46
3RD & 5
OWN 41
+10
46.6%
WAKE FOREST Penalty, Defensive Holding (10 Yards) to the WFrst 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:28
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+8
46.5%
Tony Pollard run for 8 yds to the WFrst 41Similar
Q1 10:06
2ND & 2
OPP 41
+41
44.8%
Tony Pollard run for 41 yds for a TD (Riley Patterson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 3PUNT
6 plays · 20 yds · 1:0346% → 46%
Q1 10:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+14
45.5%
Jamie Newman pass complete to Scotty Washington for 14 yds to the WFrst 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:45
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+3
45.8%
Jamie Newman run for 3 yds to the WFrst 42Similar
Q1 9:25
2ND & 7
OWN 42
+3
46.2%
Jamie Newman run for 3 yds to the WFrst 45Similar
Q1 9:06
3RD & 4
OWN 45
0
46.2%
Jamie Newman pass incomplete to Scotty WashingtonSimilar
Q1 8:57
4TH & 4
OWN 45
0
45.7%
Dom Maggio punt for 53 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Memph 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 4TD
16 plays · 98 yds · 5:2254% → 59%
Q1 8:50
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+1
45.7%
Patrick Taylor Jr. run for 1 yd to the Memph 3Similar
Q1 8:27
2ND & 9
OWN 3
+10
45.8%
Brady White pass complete to John Pop Williams for 10 yds to the Memph 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:05
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+5
45.9%
Patrick Taylor Jr. run for 5 yds to the Memph 18Similar
Q1 7:45
2ND & 5
OWN 18
+3
45.8%
Brady White pass complete to John Pop Williams for 3 yds to the Memph 21Similar
Q1 7:28
3RD & 2
OWN 21
+2
46.1%
Patrick Taylor Jr. run for 2 yds to the Memph 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:12
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+3
45.9%
Patrick Taylor Jr. run for 3 yds to the Memph 26Similar
Q1 6:48
2ND & 7
OWN 26
+7
46.0%
Brady White pass complete to Mechane Slade for 7 yds to the Memph 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:20
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+10
45.9%
Tony Pollard run for 10 yds to the Memph 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:08
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
45.5%
Brady White pass incomplete to Damonte CoxieSimilar
Q1 6:03
2ND & 10
OWN 43
+3
45.7%
Tony Pollard run for 3 yds to the Memph 46Similar
Q1 5:27
3RD & 7
OWN 46
+36
45.8%
Brady White pass complete to Damonte Coxie for 36 yds to the WFrst 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:05
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+1
45.0%
Tony Pollard run for 1 yd to the WFrst 17Similar
Q1 4:48
2ND & 9
OPP 17
+9
45.1%
Tony Pollard run for 9 yds to the WFrst 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:25
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+2
45.0%
Patrick Taylor Jr. run for 2 yds to the WFrst 6Similar
Q1 4:02
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+5
45.1%
Patrick Taylor Jr. run for 5 yds to the WFrst 1Similar
Q1 3:28
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
41.3%
Brady White pass complete to Patrick Taylor Jr. for 1 yd for a TD (Riley Patterson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 5PUNT
6 plays · -4 yds · 1:2143% → 41%
Q1 3:23
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
42.6%
Matt Colburn run for 1 yd to the WFrst 26Similar
Q1 3:18
2ND & 9
OWN 26
-5
42.6%
WAKE FOREST Penalty, False Start (Nathan Gilliam) to the WFrst 21Similar
Q1 2:50
2ND & 14
OWN 21
0
42.4%
Jamie Newman run for no gain to the WFrst 21Similar
Q1 2:13
3RD & 14
OWN 21
0
41.5%
Jamie Newman pass incomplete to Alex BachmanSimilar
Q1 2:02
4TH & 14
OWN 21
+3
41.2%
Dom Maggio punt for 49 yds , John Pop Williams returns for 3 yds to the Memph 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 6PUNT
4 plays · -5 yds · 1:3759% → 58%
Q1 1:54
1ST & 10
OWN 33
-2
41.3%
Tony Pollard run for a loss of 2 yards to the Memph 31Similar
Q1 1:25
2ND & 12
OWN 31
+7
41.7%
Tony Pollard run for 7 yds to the Memph 38Similar
Q1 0:57
3RD & 5
OWN 38
-10
40.7%
Brady White sacked by Carlos Basham Jr. for a loss of 10 yards to the Memph 28Similar
Q1 0:17
4TH & 15
OWN 28
0
42.4%
Adam Williams punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Alex Bachman at the WFrst 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 7INT TD
3 plays · 3 yds · 0:2042% → 36%
Q1 0:09
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
41.7%
Jamie Newman pass incomplete to Kendall HintonSimilar
Q1 0:01
2ND & 10
OWN 24
+3
41.6%
Jamie Newman run for 3 yds to the WFrst 27Similar
Q2 14:49
3RD & 7
OWN 27
+37
36.2%
Jamie Newman pass intercepted for a TD Chris Claybrooks return for 37 yds for a TD (Riley Patterson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 8FG
14 plays · 57 yds · 3:2636% → 38%
Q2 14:42
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
36.4%
Cade Carney run for 3 yds to the WFrst 28Similar
Q2 14:20
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+4
36.3%
Cade Carney run for 4 yds to the WFrst 32Similar
Q2 13:55
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+13
36.1%
Jamie Newman pass complete to Jaquarii Roberson for 13 yds to the WFrst 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:47
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
36.7%
Jamie Newman pass incomplete to Sage SurrattSimilar
Q2 13:40
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+13
36.6%
Jamie Newman pass complete to Jack Freudenthal for 13 yds to the Memph 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:26
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+2
36.8%
Cade Carney run for 2 yds to the Memph 40Similar
Q2 12:50
2ND & 8
OPP 40
+2
36.5%
Jamie Newman run for 2 yds to the Memph 38Similar
Q2 12:35
3RD & 6
OPP 38
+6
36.1%
Cade Carney run for 6 yds to the Memph 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:35
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+11
36.7%
Jamie Newman run for 11 yds to the Memph 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:52
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+4
35.6%
Cade Carney run for 4 yds to the Memph 17Similar
Q2 11:35
2ND & 6
OPP 17
-1
35.5%
Cade Carney run for a loss of 1 yard to the Memph 18Similar
Q2 11:21
3RD & 7
OPP 18
0
34.9%
Jamie Newman pass incomplete to Jack FreudenthalSimilar
Q2 11:16
4TH & 7
OPP 18
+36
37.8%
Nick Sciba 36 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 10TD
13 plays · 75 yds · 3:4629% → 35%
Q2 10:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
29.1%
Matt Colburn run for 4 yds to the WFrst 29Similar
Q2 10:38
2ND & 6
OWN 29
0
29.0%
Jamie Newman pass incomplete to Kendall HintonSimilar
Q2 10:29
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+16
28.8%
Jamie Newman pass complete to Kendall Hinton for 16 yds to the WFrst 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:00
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+5
29.8%
Jamie Newman run for 5 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 9:42
2ND & 5
50
+8
29.9%
Jamie Newman run for 8 yds to the Memph 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:20
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+1
29.8%
Jamie Newman pass complete to Brandon Chapman for 1 yd to the Memph 41Similar
Q2 8:59
2ND & 9
OPP 41
+12
29.5%
Jamie Newman pass complete to Kendall Hinton for 12 yds to the Memph 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:35
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+21
29.8%
Jamie Newman run for 21 yds to the Memph 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:25
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+2
29.7%
Matt Colburn run for 2 yds to the Memph 6Similar
Q2 8:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+2
30.3%
Jamie Newman run for 2 yds to the Memph 4Similar
Q2 7:35
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
+3
29.4%
Jamie Newman pass complete to Matt Colburn for 3 yds to the Memph 1Similar
Q2 7:09
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
35.0%
Jamie Newman run for 1 yd for a TD (Nick Sciba KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 11PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:5765% → 65%
Q2 6:56
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+3
34.7%
Patrick Taylor Jr. run for 3 yds to the Memph 24Similar
Q2 6:30
2ND & 7
OWN 24
-3
34.4%
Patrick Taylor Jr. run for a loss of 3 yards to the Memph 21Similar
Q2 6:08
3RD & 10
OWN 21
0
35.1%
Brady White pass incomplete to Sean DykesSimilar
Q2 5:59
4TH & 10
OWN 21
+5
35.5%
Adam Williams punt for 40 yds , Alex Bachman returns for 5 yds to the WFrst 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 12TD
3 plays · 56 yds · 0:1735% → 48%
Q2 5:50
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+39
34.9%
Jamie Newman pass complete to Scotty Washington for 39 yds to the Memph 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:45
1ST & 10
OPP 17
0
36.7%
Jamie Newman run for no gain to the Memph 17Similar
Q2 5:33
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+17
47.8%
Jamie Newman run for 17 yds for a TD (Nick Sciba KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 13DOWNS
8 plays · 17 yds · 2:5357% → 57%
Q2 5:25
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
43.4%
Patrick Taylor Jr. run for 4 yds to the Memph 29Similar
Q2 4:55
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+4
42.8%
Brady White pass complete to Damonte Coxie for 4 yds to the Memph 33Similar
Q2 4:30
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+4
42.9%
Patrick Taylor Jr. run for 4 yds to the Memph 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:08
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
42.5%
Tony Pollard run for no gain to the Memph 37Similar
Q2 3:40
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+4
42.8%
Tony Pollard run for 4 yds to the Memph 41Similar
Q2 3:05
3RD & 6
OWN 41
+1
40.9%
Brady White run for 1 yd to the Memph 42Similar
Q2 2:32
4TH & 5
OWN 42
0
42.6%
Adam Williams pass incomplete to John Pop WilliamsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 14DOWNS
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:5947% → 45%
Q2 2:23
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+1
46.9%
Jamie Newman run for 1 yd to the Memph 41Similar
Q2 2:08
2ND & 9
OPP 41
0
46.9%
Jamie Newman pass incomplete to Alex BachmanSimilar
Q2 1:58
3RD & 9
OPP 41
+5
46.0%
Matt Colburn run for 5 yds to the Memph 36Similar
Q2 1:24
4TH & 4
OPP 36
0
45.2%
Jamie Newman pass incomplete to Jaquarii RobersonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 15PUNT
6 plays · 0 yds · 0:4059% → 57%
Q2 1:15
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+6
41.1%
Brady White run for 6 yds to the Memph 42Similar
Q2 1:01
2ND & 4
OWN 42
0
40.4%
White, Brady pass complete to Coxie, Damonte for 45 yards to the WAKEFOREST13, PENALTY MEMPHIS illegal touching (Coxie, Damonte) 0 yards to the MEMPHIS42, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN MEMPHIS.Similar
Q2 0:49
3RD & 4
OWN 42
-6
40.9%
Brady White sacked by Cameron Glenn for a loss of 6 yards to the Memph 36Similar
Q2 0:35
4TH & 10
OWN 36
0
43.4%
Adam Williams punt for 57 yds, downed at the WFrst 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 16END OF HALF
1 play · -2 yds · 0:0043% → 43%
Q2 0:33
1ST & 10
OWN 7
-2
42.8%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the WFrst 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 17INT
5 plays · 15 yds · 1:0458% → 60%
Q3 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
42.0%
Patrick Taylor Jr. run for 9 yds to the Memph 34Similar
Q3 14:30
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+3
40.6%
Patrick Taylor Jr. run for 3 yds to the Memph 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:06
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+3
40.9%
Patrick Taylor Jr. run for 3 yds to the Memph 40Similar
Q3 13:48
2ND & 7
OWN 40
+2
39.9%
Brady White pass intercepted Demetrius Kemp return for 2 yds to the Memph 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 18PUNT
6 plays · 1 yds · 1:0647% → 44%
Q3 13:40
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+2
47.3%
Matt Colburn run for 2 yds to the Memph 43Similar
Q3 13:20
2ND & 8
OPP 43
+3
47.2%
Matt Colburn run for 3 yds to the Memph 40Similar
Q3 13:05
3RD & 5
OPP 40
+1
46.8%
Jamie Newman run for 1 yd to the Memph 39Similar
Q3 12:55
4TH & 4
OPP 39
-5
44.8%
WAKE FOREST Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Memph 44Similar
Q3 12:34
4TH & 9
OPP 44
0
44.4%
Dom Maggio punt for 43 yds, downed at the Memph 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 19PUNT
9 plays · 33 yds · 3:0456% → 57%
Q3 12:25
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+5
44.4%
Brady White pass complete to Joey Magnifico for 5 yds to the Memph 6Similar
Q3 12:05
2ND & 5
OWN 6
+7
44.6%
Patrick Taylor Jr. run for 7 yds to the Memph 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:45
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+3
43.2%
Patrick Taylor Jr. run for 3 yds to the Memph 16Similar
Q3 11:15
2ND & 7
OWN 16
+3
43.1%
Tony Pollard run for 3 yds to the Memph 19Similar
Q3 10:50
3RD & 4
OWN 19
+7
43.6%
Brady White pass complete to Damonte Coxie for 7 yds to the Memph 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:20
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+6
42.2%
Tony Pollard run for 6 yds to the Memph 32Similar
Q3 10:00
2ND & 4
OWN 32
+2
41.1%
Tony Pollard run for 2 yds to the Memph 34Similar
Q3 9:35
3RD & 2
OWN 34
0
41.5%
Brady White pass incomplete to Mechane SladeSimilar
Q3 9:21
4TH & 2
OWN 34
0
42.8%
Adam Williams punt for 45 yds, downed at the WFrst 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 20FG
5 plays · 48 yds · 1:2744% → 50%
Q3 9:08
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+49
44.4%
Jamie Newman pass complete to Alex Bachman for 49 yds to the Memph 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:55
1ST & 10
OPP 30
-8
51.2%
Jamie Newman sacked by Austin Hall for a loss of 8 yards to the Memph 38Similar
Q3 8:33
2ND & 18
OPP 38
0
46.5%
Jamie Newman pass incomplete to Alex BachmanSimilar
Q3 8:24
3RD & 18
OPP 38
+7
45.7%
Jamie Newman pass complete to Alex Bachman for 7 yds to the Memph 31Similar
Q3 7:41
4TH & 11
OPP 31
+49
49.5%
Nick Sciba 49 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 21PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 1:1053% → 50%
Q3 7:30
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+1
46.6%
Patrick Taylor Jr. run for 1 yd to the Memph 35Similar
Q3 7:00
2ND & 9
OWN 35
-1
46.7%
Patrick Taylor Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the Memph 34Similar
Q3 6:28
3RD & 10
OWN 34
0
48.7%
Brady White pass incomplete to John Pop WilliamsSimilar
Q3 6:20
4TH & 10
OWN 34
0
49.8%
Adam Williams punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Alex Bachman at the WFrst 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 22FG
12 plays · 47 yds · 2:2151% → 61%
Q3 6:10
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+7
50.7%
Jamie Newman pass complete to Matt Colburn for 7 yds to the WFrst 39Similar
Q3 5:50
2ND & 3
OWN 39
+3
54.1%
Matt Colburn run for 3 yds to the WFrst 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:35
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+14
53.6%
Jamie Newman run for 14 yds to the Memph 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:17
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+3
55.1%
Matt Colburn run for 3 yds to the Memph 41Similar
Q3 4:58
2ND & 7
OPP 41
0
54.5%
Jamie Newman pass incomplete to Scotty WashingtonSimilar
Q3 4:48
3RD & 7
OPP 41
+7
53.7%
Jamie Newman run for 7 yds to the Memph 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:40
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
56.6%
Jamie Newman pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 4:25
2ND & 10
OPP 34
+11
56.6%
Matt Colburn run for 11 yds to the Memph 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:21
1ST & 10
OPP 23
0
56.8%
Jamie Newman pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 4:13
2ND & 10
OPP 23
+2
56.6%
Jamie Newman pass complete to Jaquarii Roberson for 2 yds to the Memph 21Similar
Q3 3:54
3RD & 8
OPP 21
0
54.5%
Jamie Newman pass incomplete to Jaquarii RobersonSimilar
Q3 3:49
4TH & 8
OPP 21
+39
61.3%
Nick Sciba 39 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 23PUNT
7 plays · 14 yds · 2:0543% → 41%
Q3 3:35
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+8
57.4%
Brady White pass complete to Damonte Coxie for 8 yds to the Memph 35Similar
Q3 3:10
2ND & 2
OWN 35
+4
55.5%
Patrick Taylor Jr. run for 4 yds to the Memph 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:45
1ST & 10
OWN 39
-2
55.4%
Brady White sacked by Willie Yarbary for a loss of 2 yards to the Memph 37Similar
Q3 2:09
2ND & 12
OWN 37
+4
57.9%
Brady White pass complete to John Pop Williams for 4 yds to the Memph 41Similar
Q3 1:37
3RD & 8
OWN 41
0
56.8%
Brady White pass incomplete to Kedarian JonesSimilar
Q3 1:30
4TH & 8
OWN 41
0
59.5%
Adam Williams punt for 46 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the WFrst 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 24PUNT
6 plays · 34 yds · 1:2861% → 64%
Q3 1:20
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+25
61.4%
Cade Carney run for 10 yds to the WFrst 23 for a 1ST down MEMPHIS Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (15 Yards) to the WFrst 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:10
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+4
63.2%
Cade Carney run for 4 yds to the WFrst 42Similar
Q3 0:32
2ND & 6
OWN 42
-5
64.8%
WAKE FOREST Penalty, Illegal Procedure (-5 Yards) to the WFrst 37Similar
Q3 0:09
2ND & 11
OWN 37
0
62.6%
Jamie Newman pass incomplete to Matt ColburnSimilar
Q3 0:01
3RD & 11
OWN 37
+10
60.7%
Jamie Newman pass complete to Kendall Hinton for 10 yds to the WFrst 47Similar
Q4 14:52
4TH & 1
OWN 47
0
63.9%
Dom Maggio punt for 35 yds, fair catch by John Pop Williams at the Memph 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 25PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:4941% → 38%
Q4 14:43
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+4
59.0%
Tony Pollard run for 4 yds to the Memph 22Similar
Q4 14:19
2ND & 6
OWN 22
0
59.1%
Tony Pollard run for no gain to the Memph 22Similar
Q4 14:01
3RD & 6
OWN 22
0
60.7%
Brady White pass incomplete to Damonte CoxieSimilar
Q4 13:54
4TH & 6
OWN 22
0
62.4%
Adam Williams punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Alex Bachman at the WFrst 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 26PUNT
6 plays · -4 yds · 1:5465% → 63%
Q4 13:45
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+2
64.9%
Matt Colburn run for 2 yds to the WFrst 42Similar
Q4 13:20
2ND & 8
OWN 42
+4
65.2%
Jamie Newman pass complete to Sage Surratt for 4 yds to the WFrst 46Similar
Q4 12:45
3RD & 4
OWN 46
-5
66.7%
WAKE FOREST Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the WFrst 41Similar
Q4 12:24
3RD & 9
OWN 41
-5
64.7%
WAKE FOREST Penalty, False Start (Jake Benzinger) to the WFrst 36Similar
Q4 11:59
3RD & 14
OWN 36
0
63.3%
Jamie Newman pass incomplete to Sage SurrattSimilar
Q4 11:51
4TH & 14
OWN 36
0
62.5%
Dom Maggio punt for 40 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Memph 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 27PUNT
6 plays · 21 yds · 1:3139% → 37%
Q4 11:45
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+3
61.2%
Patrick Taylor Jr. run for 3 yds to the Memph 27Similar
Q4 11:12
2ND & 7
OWN 34
+17
60.1%
Patrick Taylor Jr. run for 7 yds to the Memph 34 for a 1ST down WAKE FOREST Penalty, Illegal Use of Hands (10 Yards) to the Memph 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:05
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+1
57.3%
Patrick Taylor Jr. run for 1 yd to the Memph 45Similar
Q4 10:35
2ND & 9
OWN 45
0
57.9%
Brady White pass incomplete to Damonte CoxieSimilar
Q4 10:26
3RD & 9
OWN 45
0
59.8%
Brady White pass incomplete to Kedarian JonesSimilar
Q4 10:14
4TH & 9
OWN 45
0
62.9%
Adam Williams punt for 52 yds, downed at the WFrst 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 28PUNT
8 plays · 32 yds · 4:1565% → 70%
Q4 10:06
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+10
64.7%
Cade Carney run for 10 yds to the WFrst 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:33
1ST & 10
OWN 13
-2
65.0%
Cade Carney run for a loss of 2 yards to the WFrst 11Similar
Q4 8:58
2ND & 12
OWN 11
+10
64.8%
Cade Carney run for 10 yds to the WFrst 21Similar
Q4 8:35
3RD & 2
OWN 21
+11
64.4%
Jamie Newman pass complete to Cade Carney for 11 yds to the WFrst 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:58
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+1
66.6%
Cade Carney run for 1 yd to the WFrst 33Similar
Q4 7:20
2ND & 9
OWN 33
0
66.8%
Jamie Newman run for no gain to the WFrst 33Similar
Q4 6:40
3RD & 9
OWN 33
+2
64.9%
Jamie Newman run for 2 yds to the WFrst 35Similar
Q4 5:51
4TH & 7
OWN 35
+3
69.5%
Dom Maggio punt for 56 yds , Damonte Coxie returns for 3 yds to the Memph 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 29TD
14 plays · 88 yds · 4:2736% → 92%
Q4 5:42
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+9
64.0%
Patrick Taylor Jr. run for 9 yds to the Memph 21Similar
Q4 5:22
2ND & 1
OWN 21
+25
62.4%
Brady White pass complete to Sam Craft for 25 yds to the Memph 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:06
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
58.4%
Brady White pass incomplete to Damonte CoxieSimilar
Q4 4:58
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+10
60.2%
Patrick Taylor Jr. run for 10 yds to the WFrst 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:36
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+2
59.3%
Patrick Taylor Jr. run for 2 yds to the WFrst 42Similar
Q4 4:10
2ND & 8
OPP 42
+2
59.5%
Brady White pass complete to Mechane Slade for 2 yds to the WFrst 40Similar
Q4 3:38
3RD & 6
OPP 40
0
60.4%
Brady White pass incomplete to Antonio GibsonSimilar
Q4 3:32
4TH & 6
OPP 40
+7
63.1%
Brady White pass complete to Damonte Coxie for 7 yds to the WFrst 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:09
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
58.2%
John Pop Williams pass incomplete to Patrick Taylor Jr.Similar
Q4 3:00
2ND & 10
OPP 33
+8
58.2%
Tony Pollard run for 8 yds to the WFrst 25Similar
Q4 2:41
3RD & 2
OPP 25
+5
59.8%
Tony Pollard run for 5 yds to the WFrst 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:24
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+4
57.8%
Tony Pollard run for 4 yds to the WFrst 16Similar
Q4 1:50
2ND & 6
OPP 16
+7
56.5%
Patrick Taylor Jr. run for 7 yds to the WFrst 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:15
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
7.8%
Patrick Taylor Jr. run for 9 yds for a TD (Brady White intercepted )Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 30TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 0:3523% → 94%
Q4 1:09
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
22.5%
Jamie Newman pass complete to Alex Bachman for 10 yds to the WFrst 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:58
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-5
23.3%
Jamie Newman sacked by Jackson Dillon for a loss of 5 yards to the WFrst 30Similar
Q4 0:48
2ND & 15
OWN 30
+49
19.4%
Jamie Newman pass complete to Alex Bachman for 49 yds to the Memph 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:43
1ST & 10
OPP 21
0
37.1%
Jamie Newman pass incomplete to Sage SurrattSimilar
Q4 0:35
2ND & 10
OPP 21
+20
30.9%
Jamie Newman pass complete to Alex Bachman for 20 yds to the Memph 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:34
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
94.1%
Jamie Newman run for 1 yd for a TD, (Nick Sciba KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 31Uncategorized
8 plays · 40 yds · 0:1525% → 24%
Q4 0:19
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+44
75.1%
John Pop Williams pass complete to Joey Magnifico for 44 yds to the WFrst 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:13
1ST & 10
OPP 17
-2
63.9%
Patrick Taylor Jr. run for a loss of 2 yards to the WFrst 19Similar
Q4 0:09
2ND & 12
OPP 19
0
70.3%
John Pop Williams pass incomplete to Damonte CoxieSimilar
Q4 0:04
3RD & 12
OPP 19
-2
75.7%
Brady White run for a loss of 2 yards to the WFrst 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 0:34
Jamie Newman run for 1 yd for a TD, (Nick Sciba KICK)
+63.2
TD · Q4 1:15
Patrick Taylor Jr. run for 9 yds for a TD (Brady White intercepted )
-48.7
End of Game · Final
Game over.
+19.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com