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WMU

Western Michigan 18 at BYU 49

BYU
2018 · Famous Idaho Potato Bowl · Dec 21, 2018 · Albertsons Stadium
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Win probability · BYU
modelBYU aheadWMU aheadconfidence bandkey playBYU scoreWMU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 7:48 · Nick Mihalic punt for 24 yds, fair catch by Michael Shelton at the BYU 15
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+36.5+18.30−18.3−36.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 50Home team on offense+3.3Pregame prior+16.2Score differential+1.0Garbage-time factor−0.1Blowout margin+0.5Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+1.0
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 3:07: Jamauri Bogan run for 33 yds for a TD (Gavin Peddie KICK) — WMU win probability +11.5 pts (now 35%) (top driver: WMU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 13:14: Zach Wilson pass complete to Dylan Collie for 8 yds for a TD (Skyler Southam KICK) — BYU win probability +10.0 pts (now 75%) (top driver: BYU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 7:29: Riley Burt run for 37 yds for a TD (Skyler Southam KICK) — BYU win probability +9.8 pts (now 86%) (top driver: BYU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 5:04: Zach Wilson pass complete to Aleva Hifo for 70 yds for a TD (Skyler Southam KICK) — BYU win probability +8.6 pts (now 94%) (top driver: BYU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 2:47: Dayan Ghanwoloku run for 1 yd for a TD (Skyler Southam KICK) — BYU win probability +3.6 pts (now 99%) (top driver: BYU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
BYU made the numbers' call on 3 of 3WMU made the numbers' call on 8 of 11
  1. Q1 7:24WMU 4th & 2 at BYU 21, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 26.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    26.6%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    26.4%−0.1
    74% to make
    Punt
    25.6%−1.0
    average punt
  2. Q1 5:27BYU 4th & 6 at BYU 39, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 73.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    73.1%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    73.1%
    average punt
  3. Q1 3:01WMU 4th & 6 at WMU 18, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 26.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.5%−0.2
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    26.7%
    average punt
  4. Q2 14:46WMU 4th & 4 at WMU 41, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 23.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.0%−<0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    24.1%
    average punt
  5. Q2 10:26BYU 4th & 1 at WMU 45, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 76.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    76.6%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    74.6%−2.1
    25% to make
    Punt
    75.3%−1.3
    average punt
  6. Q2 7:48WMU 4th & 7 at BYU 39, down 7
    Close callPunted · 23.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.6%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    23.0%−0.6
    36% to make
    PuntTheir call
    23.1%−0.6
    average punt
  7. Q2 3:07WMU 4th & 3 at BYU 33, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 23.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    23.8%
    53% to convert
    Field goal
    22.8%−1.0
    49% to make
    Punt
    21.6%−2.2
    average punt
  8. Q2 1:38BYU 4th & 14 at BYU 31, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 66.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    64.8%−2.1
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    66.9%
    average punt
  9. Q2 0:24WMU 4th & 10 at BYU 20, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 36.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.5%−1.8
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    36.3%
    75% to make
    Punt
    31.2%−5.1
    average punt
  10. Q3 8:56WMU 4th & 3 at WMU 41, down 4
    Close callPunted · 27.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.8%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    27.7%−0.1
    average punt
  11. Q3 5:49WMU 4th & 10 at WMU 23, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 14.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.6%−1.2
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    14.8%
    average punt
  12. Q3 0:10WMU 4th & 3 at WMU 45, down 25
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 1.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.2%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    1.0%−0.1
    average punt
  13. Q4 13:25WMU 4th & 8 at BYU 46, down 25
    Close callWent for it · 0.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.9%−<0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    0.8%−0.2
    23% to make
    Punt
    0.9%
    average punt
  14. Q4 2:26WMU 4th & 7 at WMU 40, down 31
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.0%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
BYU made the numbers' call on 7 of 7WMU made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 2:20BYU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    75.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    75.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 3:07WMU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    29.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    29.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 13:14BYU Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    72.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    72.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 7:29BYU Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    84.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    84.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 5:04BYU Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 2:47BYU Touchdown, up 24 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 11:38BYU Touchdown, up 31 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 7:37WMU Touchdown, down 26 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersWent for two · converted
    Kick
    0.4%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    0.5%
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 4:07BYU Touchdown, up 30 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
WMUDrive 1DOWNS
15 plays · 62 yds · 7:2125% → 27%
Q1 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+4
75.2%
LeVante Bellamy run for 4 yds to the WMich 22Similar
Q1 14:10
2ND & 6
OWN 22
+3
75.0%
LeVante Bellamy run for 3 yds to the WMich 25Similar
Q1 13:30
3RD & 4
OWN 25
+5
74.9%
Kaleb Eleby run for 5 yds to the WMich 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:10
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+2
74.8%
LeVante Bellamy run for 2 yds to the WMich 32Similar
Q1 12:30
2ND & 8
OWN 32
+5
74.6%
Chase Brown run for 5 yds to the WMich 37Similar
Q1 12:00
3RD & 3
OWN 37
+13
74.5%
Kaleb Eleby pass complete to Keishawn Watson for 13 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:20
1ST & 10
50
+11
74.1%
Kaleb Eleby pass complete to Keishawn Watson for 11 yds to the BYU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:45
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+1
73.9%
Kaleb Eleby pass complete to LeVante Bellamy for 1 yd to the BYU 38Similar
Q1 10:00
2ND & 9
OPP 38
+5
73.7%
Jamauri Bogan run for 5 yds to the BYU 33Similar
Q1 9:25
3RD & 4
OPP 33
+4
73.5%
Kaleb Eleby pass complete to Chase Brown for 4 yds to the BYU 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:52
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
73.0%
Kaleb Eleby pass incomplete to D'Wayne EskridgeSimilar
Q1 8:40
2ND & 10
OPP 29
+5
73.0%
Jamauri Bogan run for 5 yds to the BYU 24Similar
Q1 8:10
3RD & 5
OPP 24
+3
73.0%
LeVante Bellamy run for 3 yds to the BYU 21Similar
Q1 7:24
4TH & 2
OPP 21
+1
73.0%
Jamauri Bogan run for 1 yd to the BYU 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · 19 yds · 1:4873% → 73%
Q1 7:15
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+15
73.3%
Zach Wilson pass complete to Aleva Hifo for 15 yds to the BYU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+5
73.4%
Aleva Hifo run for 5 yds to the BYU 40Similar
Q1 6:30
2ND & 5
OWN 40
-11
73.8%
Zach Wilson sacked by Corvin Moment and Ali Fayad for a loss of 11 yards to the BYU 29Similar
Q1 6:00
3RD & 16
OWN 29
+10
72.6%
Zach Wilson run for 10 yds to the BYU 39Similar
Q1 5:27
4TH & 6
OWN 39
0
72.7%
Danny Jones punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Jayden Reed at the WMich 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 2:1927% → 27%
Q1 5:20
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+3
72.8%
Kaleb Eleby pass complete to Keishawn Watson for 3 yds to the WMich 17Similar
Q1 4:40
2ND & 7
OWN 17
-1
72.6%
LeVante Bellamy run for a loss of 1 yard to the WMich 16Similar
Q1 4:00
3RD & 8
OWN 16
+7
72.8%
Kaleb Eleby run for 7 yds to the WMich 23Similar
Q1 3:08
4TH & 1
OWN 23
-5
72.8%
WESTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the WMich 18Similar
Q1 3:01
4TH & 6
OWN 18
0
72.9%
Nick Mihalic punt for 9 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the WMich 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 4TD
2 plays · 27 yds · 0:3574% → 77%
Q1 2:55
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+1
73.7%
Brayden El-Bakri run for 1 yd to the WMich 26Similar
Q1 2:20
2ND & 9
OPP 26
+26
76.8%
Zach Wilson pass complete to Dylan Collie for 26 yds for a TD (Skyler Southam KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 5PUNT
7 plays · 16 yds · 2:2424% → 24%
Q1 2:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
75.6%
Jamauri Bogan run for 5 yds to the WMich 30Similar
Q1 1:35
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+5
75.3%
Jamauri Bogan run for 5 yds to the WMich 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
75.3%
Jamauri Bogan run for 1 yd to the WMich 36Similar
Q1 0:15
2ND & 9
OWN 36
+5
75.3%
LeVante Bellamy run for 5 yds to the WMich 41Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 4
OWN 41
0
74.9%
Kaleb Eleby pass incomplete to Keishawn WatsonSimilar
Q2 14:46
4TH & 4
OWN 41
0
75.8%
Nick Mihalic punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Michael Shelton at the BYU 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 6DOWNS
9 plays · 31 yds · 4:0976% → 76%
Q2 14:35
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+12
76.0%
Zach Wilson pass complete to Dylan Collie for 12 yds to the BYU 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:20
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+1
76.2%
Riley Burt run for 1 yd to the BYU 35Similar
Q2 13:50
2ND & 9
OWN 35
+3
76.1%
Riley Burt run for 3 yds to the BYU 38Similar
Q2 13:15
3RD & 6
OWN 38
+8
76.2%
Zach Wilson pass complete to Matt Bushman for 8 yds to the BYU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:45
1ST & 10
OWN 46
-10
77.1%
Hifo, Aleva rush for loss of 2 yards to the BYU44, PENALTY BYU holding (Christensen, Brady) 10 yards to the BYU36, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 12:07
1ST & 20
OWN 36
+6
76.3%
Zach Wilson run for 6 yds to the BYU 42Similar
Q2 11:30
2ND & 14
OWN 42
+8
76.5%
Zach Wilson run for 8 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 11:00
3RD & 6
50
+5
76.8%
Zach Wilson pass complete to Talon Shumway for 5 yds to the WMich 45Similar
Q2 10:26
4TH & 1
OPP 45
-2
76.4%
Zach Wilson run for a loss of 2 yards to the WMich 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 7PUNT
7 plays · 14 yds · 2:3226% → 24%
Q2 10:20
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+5
74.4%
Kaleb Eleby pass complete to Tyron Arnett for 5 yds to the BYU 48Similar
Q2 9:45
2ND & 5
OPP 48
+4
74.4%
Kaleb Eleby pass complete to Keishawn Watson for 4 yds to the BYU 44Similar
Q2 9:00
3RD & 1
OPP 44
+2
74.3%
LeVante Bellamy run for 2 yds to the BYU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:45
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
74.3%
Kaleb Eleby pass incomplete to Jayden ReedSimilar
Q2 8:30
2ND & 10
OPP 42
+3
74.4%
Kaleb Eleby pass complete to Jamauri Bogan for 3 yds to the BYU 39Similar
Q2 7:54
3RD & 7
OPP 39
0
74.9%
Kaleb Eleby pass incomplete to Giovanni RicciSimilar
Q2 7:48
4TH & 7
OPP 39
0
76.2%
Nick Mihalic punt for 24 yds, fair catch by Michael Shelton at the BYU 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 8FUMBLE
7 plays · 25 yds · 2:4077% → 79%
Q2 7:40
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+2
77.0%
Brayden El-Bakri run for 2 yds to the BYU 17Similar
Q2 7:20
2ND & 8
OWN 17
+19
77.0%
Zach Wilson pass complete to Matt Bushman for 19 yds to the BYU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:45
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-3
77.8%
Zach Wilson pass complete to Tyler Allgeier for a loss of 3 yards to the BYU 33Similar
Q2 6:15
2ND & 13
OWN 33
+6
77.1%
Tyler Allgeier run for 6 yds to the BYU 39Similar
Q2 5:40
3RD & 7
OWN 39
+13
77.3%
Zach Wilson pass complete to Talon Shumway for 13 yds to the WMich 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:20
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+10
78.8%
Zach Wilson run for 10 yds to the WMich 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:00
1ST & 10
OPP 38
-22
78.9%
Tyler Allgeier run for a loss of 7 yards to the WMich 45, Tyler Allgeier fumbled, forced by Corvin Moment, recovered by WMich Stefan Claiborne at the BYU 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 9TD
5 plays · 40 yds · 1:3825% → 35%
Q2 4:45
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+2
74.6%
LeVante Bellamy run for 2 yds to the BYU 38Similar
Q2 4:15
2ND & 8
OPP 38
+5
74.6%
Chase Brown run for 5 yds to the BYU 33Similar
Q2 3:40
3RD & 3
OPP 33
0
74.4%
Jamauri Bogan run for no gain to the BYU 33Similar
Q2 3:07
4TH & 3
OPP 33
+33
65.4%
Jamauri Bogan run for 33 yds for a TD (Gavin Peddie KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 10PUNT
7 plays · -4 yds · 1:2970% → 67%
Q2 3:07
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-5
70.1%
BYU Penalty, False Start (Austin Hoyt) to the BYU 30Similar
Q2 3:00
1ST & 15
OWN 30
+3
69.7%
Riley Burt run for 3 yds to the BYU 33Similar
Q2 2:35
2ND & 12
OWN 33
+6
69.2%
Zach Wilson run for 6 yds to the BYU 39Similar
Q2 1:49
3RD & 6
OWN 39
-8
69.4%
Zach Wilson sacked by Eric Assoua for a loss of 8 yards to the BYU 31Similar
Q2 1:38
4TH & 14
OWN 31
0
67.4%
Rhett Almond punt for 40 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the WMich 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 11FG
12 plays · 51 yds · 1:1334% → 42%
Q2 1:37
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+10
65.9%
Kaleb Eleby pass complete to LeVante Bellamy for 10 yds to the WMich 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:30
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+7
64.4%
Kaleb Eleby pass complete to D'Wayne Eskridge for 7 yds to the WMich 46Similar
Q2 1:21
2ND & 3
OWN 46
0
62.9%
Kaleb Eleby pass incomplete to Keishawn WatsonSimilar
Q2 1:14
3RD & 3
OWN 46
+6
63.0%
Kaleb Eleby run for 6 yds to the BYU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:10
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+3
62.1%
Kaleb Eleby pass complete to Chase Brown for 3 yds to the BYU 45Similar
Q2 0:59
2ND & 7
OPP 45
+14
61.1%
Kaleb Eleby pass complete to LeVante Bellamy for 14 yds to the BYU 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:51
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+11
60.0%
Kaleb Eleby pass complete to LeVante Bellamy for 11 yds to the BYU 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:44
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
59.8%
Kaleb Eleby pass incomplete to Jaylen HallSimilar
Q2 0:39
2ND & 10
OPP 20
0
59.8%
Kaleb Eleby pass incomplete to Jayden ReedSimilar
Q2 0:29
3RD & 10
OPP 20
0
60.8%
Kaleb Eleby pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:24
4TH & 10
OPP 20
+37
58.4%
Gavin Peddie 37 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 12END OF HALF
2 plays · 2 yds · 0:0062% → 62%
Q2 0:15
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+2
62.2%
Brayden El-Bakri run for 2 yds to the BYU 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 13TD
6 plays · 69 yds · 1:3162% → 75%
Q3 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+48
62.0%
Zach Wilson pass complete to Neil Pau'u for 48 yds to the WMich 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:25
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+9
65.5%
Zach Wilson pass complete to Matt Bushman for 9 yds to the WMich 12Similar
Q3 13:35
2ND & 1
OPP 12
-5
65.2%
BYU Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the WMich 17Similar
Q3 13:20
2ND & 6
OPP 17
+9
65.0%
WESTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, Defensive Holding (Drake Spears) to the WMich 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:14
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
75.0%
Zach Wilson pass complete to Dylan Collie for 8 yds for a TD (Skyler Southam KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 14PUNT
10 plays · 22 yds · 4:1829% → 27%
Q3 13:14
1ST & 10
OWN 19
-9
71.2%
WESTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Odell Miller) to the WMich 10Similar
Q3 13:00
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+5
71.4%
LeVante Bellamy run for 5 yds to the WMich 15Similar
Q3 12:30
2ND & 5
OWN 15
+2
71.4%
LeVante Bellamy run for 2 yds to the WMich 17Similar
Q3 12:00
3RD & 3
OWN 17
+2
72.2%
Kaleb Eleby pass complete to LeVante Bellamy for 2 yds to the WMich 19Similar
Q3 10:59
4TH & 1
OWN 19
+15
73.5%
Mihalic, Nick punt 30 yards to the WESTMICH49, fair catch by Shelton, Michael, PENALTY BYU roughing the kicker (Tooley, Max) 15 yards to the WESTMICH34, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN WESTMICH.Similar
Q3 10:45
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+3
71.8%
Jamauri Bogan run for 3 yds to the WMich 37Similar
Q3 10:15
2ND & 7
OWN 37
+6
71.1%
Kaleb Eleby pass complete to Chase Brown for 6 yds to the WMich 43Similar
Q3 9:40
3RD & 1
OWN 43
-2
69.9%
Jamauri Bogan run for a loss of 2 yards to the WMich 41Similar
Q3 8:56
4TH & 3
OWN 41
0
72.6%
Nick Mihalic punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Michael Shelton at the BYU 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 15TD
4 plays · 74 yds · 1:2174% → 86%
Q3 8:50
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+11
74.0%
Zach Wilson run for 11 yds to the BYU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:25
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+6
74.7%
Zach Wilson pass complete to Dylan Collie for 6 yds to the BYU 43Similar
Q3 7:45
2ND & 4
OWN 43
+20
75.9%
Zach Wilson pass complete to Dallin Holker for 20 yds to the WMich 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:29
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+37
85.7%
Riley Burt run for 37 yds for a TD (Skyler Southam KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 16FUMBLE
5 plays · 0 yds · 1:3016% → 15%
Q3 7:19
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
83.6%
Kaleb Eleby pass incomplete to Jayden ReedSimilar
Q3 7:10
2ND & 10
OWN 23
-3
83.7%
Kaleb Eleby sacked by Sione Takitaki for a loss of 3 yards to the WMich 20Similar
Q3 6:45
3RD & 13
OWN 20
+3
85.0%
Kaleb Eleby pass complete to Keishawn Watson for 3 yds to the WMich 23Similar
Q3 5:49
4TH & 10
OWN 23
+6
85.5%
Nick Mihalic punt for 46 yds , Michael Shelton returns for 6 yds to the BYU 37 Michael Shelton fumbled, recovered by BYUSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 17TD
2 plays · 63 yds · 0:2686% → 94%
Q3 5:30
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-7
85.8%
Zach Wilson sacked by Tanner Motz and Kailien Guillory for a loss of 7 yards to the BYU 30Similar
Q3 5:04
2ND & 17
OWN 30
+70
94.4%
Zach Wilson pass complete to Aleva Hifo for 70 yds for a TD (Skyler Southam KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 18INT
3 plays · 8 yds · 0:496% → 7%
Q3 4:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
93.7%
LeVante Bellamy run for 8 yds to the WMich 33Similar
Q3 4:06
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+26
93.5%
Kaleb Eleby pass intercepted Austin Lee return for 26 yds to the WMich 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 19TD
4 plays · 32 yds · 0:5895% → 99%
Q3 3:45
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+21
95.3%
Zach Wilson pass complete to Neil Pau'u for 9 yds to the WMich 23 for a 1ST down WESTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, Roughing Passer (Ali Fayad) to the WMich 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:15
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+8
95.5%
Riley Burt run for 8 yds to the WMich 3Similar
Q3 3:00
2ND & 2
OPP 3
+2
95.4%
Wilson, Zach pass incomplete, PENALTY WESTMICH holding 2 yards to the WESTMICH1, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN BYU.Similar
Q3 2:47
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.0%
Dayan Ghanwoloku run for 1 yd for a TD (Skyler Southam KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 20DOWNS
13 plays · 34 yds · 4:202% → 1%
Q3 2:45
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
98.5%
Kaleb Eleby pass incomplete to Keishawn WatsonSimilar
Q3 2:00
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+7
98.7%
Kaleb Eleby pass complete to LeVante Bellamy for 7 yds to the WMich 27Similar
Q3 1:40
3RD & 3
OWN 27
-4
98.7%
Kaleb Eleby sacked by Khyiris Tonga and Lorenzo Fauatea for a loss of 4 yards to the WMich 23Similar
Q3 1:04
4TH & 7
OWN 23
+15
98.8%
Mihalic, Nick punt 43 yards to the BYU34, downed, PENALTY BYU roughing the kicker (Folau, Christian) 15 yards to the WESTMICH38, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN WESTMICH.Similar
Q3 1:01
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
98.7%
Kaleb Eleby pass incomplete to Jayden ReedSimilar
Q3 0:55
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+7
98.7%
Kaleb Eleby pass complete to Jamauri Bogan for 7 yds to the WMich 45Similar
Q3 0:30
3RD & 3
OWN 45
0
98.8%
Kaleb Eleby pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 0:10
4TH & 3
OWN 45
+7
98.8%
Kaleb Eleby pass complete to Jaylen Hall for 7 yds to the BYU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
98.8%
Kaleb Eleby pass incomplete to Jaylen HallSimilar
Q4 14:35
2ND & 10
OPP 48
-7
98.8%
Kaleb Eleby sacked by Lorenzo Fauatea for a loss of 7 yards to the WMich 45Similar
Q4 14:00
3RD & 17
OWN 45
+9
98.7%
LeVante Bellamy run for 9 yds to the BYU 46Similar
Q4 13:25
4TH & 8
OPP 46
0
98.9%
Kaleb Eleby pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 21TD
4 plays · 54 yds · 1:27100% → 100%
Q4 13:05
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+16
99.5%
Zach Wilson pass complete to Matt Bushman for 16 yds to the WMich 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:54
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+31
99.5%
Zach Wilson pass complete to Dylan Collie for 31 yds to the WMich 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:20
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+2
99.4%
Riley Burt run for 2 yds to the WMich 5Similar
Q4 11:38
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
99.8%
Zach Wilson pass complete to Dax Milne for 5 yds for a TD (Skyler Southam KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 22TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 3:480% → 1%
Q4 11:25
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
99.8%
LeVante Bellamy run for 8 yds to the WMich 33Similar
Q4 11:00
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+1
99.8%
LeVante Bellamy run for 1 yd to the WMich 34Similar
Q4 10:35
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+3
99.8%
Jamauri Bogan run for 3 yds to the WMich 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
99.9%
Kaleb Eleby pass incomplete to Keishawn WatsonSimilar
Q4 9:35
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+3
99.9%
LeVante Bellamy run for 3 yds to the WMich 40Similar
Q4 9:00
3RD & 7
OWN 40
+54
99.9%
Kaleb Eleby pass complete to D'Wayne Eskridge for 54 yds to the BYU 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:25
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+5
99.8%
Chase Brown run for 5 yds to the BYU 1Similar
Q4 8:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
99.8%
Chase Brown run for no gain to the BYU 1Similar
Q4 7:37
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
98.9%
Kaleb Eleby run for 1 yd for a TD (Kaleb Eleby pass to Jayden Reed for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 23TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 3:2399% → 100%
Q4 7:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
99.4%
Riley Burt run for 8 yds to the BYU 33Similar
Q4 7:15
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+4
99.4%
Riley Burt run for 4 yds to the BYU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:30
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+5
99.5%
Tyler Allgeier run for 5 yds to the BYU 42Similar
Q4 6:00
2ND & 5
OWN 42
+6
99.6%
Riley Burt run for 6 yds to the BYU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:15
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+10
99.6%
Riley Burt run for 10 yds to the WMich 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:35
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+41
99.6%
Tanner Mangum pass complete to Dylan Collie for 41 yds to the WMich 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:07
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.9%
Brayden El-Bakri run for 1 yd for a TD (Skyler Southam KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 24PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 1:340% → 0%
Q4 4:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+5
99.9%
Jamauri Bogan run for 5 yds to the WMich 42Similar
Q4 3:15
2ND & 5
OWN 42
-2
99.9%
Jamauri Bogan run for a loss of 2 yards to the WMich 40Similar
Q4 2:37
3RD & 7
OWN 40
0
99.9%
Alex Mussat pass incomplete to Luke Sanders, broken up by Jaylon VickersSimilar
Q4 2:26
4TH & 7
OWN 40
+15
99.9%
Nick Mihalic punt for 43 yds , Michael Shelton returns for 15 yds to the BYU 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 25END OF 4TH QUARTER
5 plays · 21 yds · 2:05100% → 100%
Q4 2:20
1ST & 10
OWN 32
-3
99.9%
Riley Burt run for a loss of 3 yards to the BYU 29Similar
Q4 1:35
2ND & 13
OWN 29
+4
99.9%
Riley Burt run for 4 yds to the BYU 33Similar
Q4 0:57
3RD & 9
OWN 33
-5
99.9%
BYU Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the BYU 28Similar
Q4 0:50
3RD & 14
OWN 28
+27
99.9%
Riley Burt run for 27 yds to the WMich 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:15
1ST & 10
OPP 45
-2
100.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the WMich 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 3:07
Jamauri Bogan run for 33 yds for a TD (Gavin Peddie KICK)
-11.5
TD · Q3 13:14
Zach Wilson pass complete to Dylan Collie for 8 yds for a TD (Skyler Southam KICK)
+10
TD · Q3 7:29
Riley Burt run for 37 yds for a TD (Skyler Southam KICK)
+9.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com