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UAB

UAB 37 at Northern Illinois 13

NIU
2018 · Cheribundi Boca Raton Bowl · Dec 18, 2018 · FAU Stadium
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Win probability · NIU
modelNIU aheadUAB aheadconfidence bandkey playNIU scoreUAB score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDTDFGTDFGFGTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 2:15 · Kyle Greenwell punt for 52 yds , Cole Tucker returns for a loss of 1 yard to the NoIll 6
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorPregame priorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+52.5+26.30−26.3−52.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 171Home team on offense−52.2Score differential−31.8Garbage-time factor−10.9Pregame prior−0.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−10.5Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−10.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 0:30: Tre Harbison 1 Yd Run (Andrew Gantz Kick) — NIU win probability +6.3 pts (now 47%) (top driver: Not a blowout margin).
  2. TD · Q2 12:08: Spencer Brown 3 Yd pass from Tyler Johnston III (Nick Vogel Kick) — UAB win probability +4.3 pts (now 62%) (top driver: UAB has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 5:11: Xavier Ubosi 46 Yd pass from Tyler Johnston III (Nick Vogel Kick) — UAB win probability +9.3 pts (now 73%) (top driver: UAB has the ball).
  4. FG · Q2 0:00: Nick Vogel 35 Yd Field Goal — UAB win probability +3.3 pts (now 81%) (top driver: UAB has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 5:15: Xavier Ubosi 66 Yd pass from Tyler Johnston III (Nick Vogel Kick) — UAB win probability +10.9 pts (now 95%) (top driver: UAB has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
NIU made the numbers' call on 8 of 9UAB made the numbers' call on 5 of 6
  1. Q1 13:49NIU 4th & 4 at NIU 31, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 47.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.4%−0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    47.5%
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:08UAB 4th & 2 at NIU 8, up 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 54.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.1%
    54% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    53.9%−0.3
    90% to make
    Punt
    52.3%−1.8
    average punt
  3. Q1 6:47NIU 4th & 4 at NIU 31, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 45.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.3%−0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    45.4%
    average punt
  4. Q1 4:23UAB 4th & 11 at UAB 47, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 55.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.9%−0.4
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    55.3%
    average punt
  5. Q2 7:41NIU 4th & 7 at UAB 10, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 38.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.9%−0.2
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    38.1%
    88% to make
    Punt
    34.2%−3.9
    average punt
  6. Q2 5:37UAB 4th & 1 at NIU 48, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 61.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    61.0%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    59.2%−1.8
    average punt
  7. Q2 0:00UAB 4th & 15 at NIU 18, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 75.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    72.9%−2.2
    15% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    75.1%
    79% to make
    Punt
    68.4%−6.7
    average punt
  8. Q3 11:30NIU 4th & 1 at NIU 48, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 22.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    22.7%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    20.3%−2.4
    average punt
  9. Q3 7:38NIU 4th & 4 at UAB 4, down 17
    Close callKicked a field goal · 20.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.0%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    19.4%−0.5
    93% to make
    Punt
    13.3%−6.6
    average punt
  10. Q3 3:33NIU 4th & 5 at NIU 30, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.5%−0.4
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.0%
    average punt
  11. Q3 0:22UAB 4th & 10 at NIU 25, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 96.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.1%−0.2
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    96.3%
    66% to make
    Punt
    94.2%−2.1
    average punt
  12. Q4 12:46NIU 4th & 7 at UAB 34, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 3.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.2%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    3.1%−0.1
    47% to make
    Punt
    2.9%−0.3
    average punt
  13. Q4 9:30NIU 4th & 1 at UAB 9, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 2.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.6%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    1.9%−0.7
    89% to make
    Punt
    0.5%−2.1
    average punt
  14. Q4 6:54NIU 4th & 2 at UAB 2, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 1.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.4%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    1.3%−1.1
    94% to make
    Punt
    0.2%−2.2
    average punt
  15. Q4 2:15UAB 4th & 10 at UAB 41, up 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.2%−<0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.2%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
NIU made the numbers' call on 1 of 1UAB made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 14:42UAB Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    52.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    52.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 0:30NIU Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    48.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    48.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 12:08UAB Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    59.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    59.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 5:11UAB Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    67.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    67.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 5:15UAB Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    91.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    91.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UABDrive 1TD
2 plays · 70 yds · 0:0058% → 58%
Q1 14:42
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+70
42.3%
Xavier Ubosi 70 Yd pass from Tyler Johnston III (Nick Vogel Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:4442% → 42%
Q1 14:33
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
42.3%
Tre Harbison run for 2 yds to the NoIll 27Similar
Q1 14:08
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
42.3%
Marcus Childers pass incomplete to Spencer TearsSimilar
Q1 14:01
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+4
42.3%
Marcus Childers pass complete to Jauan Wesley for 4 yds to the NoIll 31Similar
Q1 13:49
4TH & 4
OWN 31
+6
42.3%
Matt Ference punt for 53 yds , Andre Wilson returns for 6 yds to the UAB 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 3FG
13 plays · 70 yds · 5:3058% → 59%
Q1 13:38
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+8
42.3%
Spencer Brown run for 8 yds to the UAB 30Similar
Q1 13:17
2ND & 2
OWN 30
+4
42.2%
Tyler Johnston III pass complete to Xavier Ubosi for 4 yds to the UAB 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:02
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
42.2%
Spencer Brown run for no gain to the UAB 34Similar
Q1 12:33
2ND & 10
OWN 34
0
42.2%
Tyler Johnston III pass incomplete to Xavier Ubosi, broken up by Jack HeflinSimilar
Q1 12:26
3RD & 10
OWN 34
+13
42.3%
Tyler Johnston III pass complete to Xavier Ubosi for 13 yds to the UAB 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:59
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+9
41.9%
Tyler Johnston III run for 9 yds to the NoIll 44Similar
Q1 11:38
2ND & 1
OPP 44
+18
41.7%
Tyler Johnston III pass complete to Collin Lisa for 18 yds to the NoIll 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:59
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+4
41.5%
Tyler Johnston III run for 4 yds to the NoIll 22Similar
Q1 10:24
2ND & 6
OPP 22
+6
41.4%
Spencer Brown run for 6 yds to the NoIll 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:55
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+6
41.4%
Spencer Brown run for 6 yds to the NoIll 10Similar
Q1 9:21
2ND & 4
OPP 10
+2
41.3%
Spencer Brown run for 2 yds to the NoIll 8Similar
Q1 8:45
3RD & 2
OPP 8
0
41.0%
Spencer Brown run for no gain to the NoIll 8Similar
Q1 8:08
4TH & 2
OPP 8
+25
41.1%
Nick Vogel 25 Yd Field GoalSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 1:1542% → 41%
Q1 8:02
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
41.5%
Marcus Childers run for 9 yds to the NoIll 34Similar
Q1 7:29
2ND & 1
OWN 34
-3
41.7%
Marcus Childers sacked by Anthony Rush for a loss of 3 yards to the NoIll 31Similar
Q1 6:56
3RD & 4
OWN 31
0
41.2%
Marcus Childers pass incomplete to Dennis Robinson, broken up by D.A. WilliamsSimilar
Q1 6:47
4TH & 4
OWN 31
0
41.0%
Matt Ference punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Andre Wilson at the UAB 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 5PUNT
8 plays · 21 yds · 2:1659% → 59%
Q1 6:39
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+10
40.9%
Tyler Johnston III pass complete to Xavier Ubosi for 10 yds to the UAB 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:16
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
40.5%
Tyler Johnston III pass incomplete to Xavier UbosiSimilar
Q1 6:11
2ND & 10
OWN 36
0
40.6%
Tyler Johnston III pass incomplete to Xavier UbosiSimilar
Q1 6:04
3RD & 10
OWN 36
+12
40.9%
Tyler Johnston III pass complete to Collin Lisa for 12 yds to the UAB 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:35
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+4
40.1%
Spencer Brown run for 4 yds to the NoIll 48Similar
Q1 4:58
2ND & 6
OPP 48
-5
39.9%
Tyler Johnston III run for a loss of 5 yards to the UAB 47Similar
Q1 4:32
3RD & 11
OWN 47
0
40.4%
Tyler Johnston III pass incomplete to Kailon CarterSimilar
Q1 4:23
4TH & 11
OWN 47
0
40.8%
Kyle Greenwell punt for 12 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the NoIll 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 6TD
10 plays · 59 yds · 3:4541% → 47%
Q1 4:15
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+13
41.4%
Marcus Childers pass complete to Ty Harmston for 13 yds to the UAB 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:45
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+8
41.9%
Marcus Childers pass complete to Jordan Nettles for 8 yds to the UAB 38Similar
Q1 3:25
2ND & 2
OPP 38
+17
40.8%
Marcus Childers pass complete to Cole Tucker for 17 yds to the UAB 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:44
1ST & 10
OPP 21
0
41.3%
Marcus Childers pass incomplete to Jauan WesleySimilar
Q1 2:35
2ND & 10
OPP 21
+3
40.6%
Marcus Childers pass complete to Spencer Tears for 3 yds to the UAB 18Similar
Q1 1:51
3RD & 7
OPP 18
+9
39.9%
Marcus Childers pass complete to D.J. Brown for 9 yds to the UAB 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+2
40.5%
Jauan Wesley run for 2 yds to the UAB 7Similar
Q1 0:58
2ND & 0
OPP 7
+5
41.1%
Childers, Marcus pass incomplete to Tears, Spencer (Harris, Brontae), PENALTY UAB pass interference (Harris, Brontae) 5 yards to the UAB2, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN NORTHERNIL.Similar
Q1 0:51
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
40.4%
Marcus Childers run for 1 yd to the UAB 1Similar
Q1 0:30
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
46.6%
Tre Harbison 1 Yd Run (Andrew Gantz Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 7TD
9 plays · 54 yds · 3:0557% → 62%
Q1 0:13
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+2
43.3%
Spencer Brown run for 2 yds to the UAB 48Similar
Q2 14:55
2ND & 8
OWN 48
0
42.8%
Tyler Johnston III pass incomplete to Andre WilsonSimilar
Q2 14:47
3RD & 8
OWN 48
+12
43.1%
Tyler Johnston III pass complete to Andre Wilson for 12 yds to the NoIll 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:29
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+2
42.6%
Spencer Brown run for 2 yds to the NoIll 38Similar
Q2 13:56
2ND & 8
OPP 38
+28
42.6%
Tyler Johnston III pass complete to Collin Lisa for 28 yds to the NoIll 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:17
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+3
42.0%
Tyler Johnston III pass complete to Jarrion Street for 3 yds to the NoIll 7Similar
Q2 12:40
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+4
42.0%
Tyler Johnston III run for 4 yds to the NoIll 3Similar
Q2 12:08
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
37.7%
Spencer Brown 3 Yd pass from Tyler Johnston III (Nick Vogel Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 8FG
14 plays · 65 yds · 4:2237% → 39%
Q2 12:03
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
37.0%
Marcus Childers pass complete to Ty Harmston for 8 yds to the NoIll 33Similar
Q2 11:39
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+1
37.5%
Marcus Jones run for 1 yd to the NoIll 34Similar
Q2 11:20
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+3
36.9%
Marcus Childers run for 3 yds to the NoIll 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:56
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+3
37.1%
Marcus Childers run for 3 yds to the NoIll 40Similar
Q2 10:23
2ND & 7
OWN 40
+6
37.4%
Marcus Childers pass complete to Jauan Wesley for 6 yds to the NoIll 46Similar
Q2 10:14
3RD & 1
OWN 46
+3
37.4%
Marcus Childers pass complete to D.J. Brown for 3 yds to the NoIll 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:53
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+18
37.4%
Marcus Childers pass complete to Spencer Tears for 18 yds to the UAB 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:45
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+5
38.6%
Childers, Marcus pass complete to Brown, D.J. for no gain to the UAB33, PENALTY UAB substitution infraction 5 yards to the UAB28, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 9:25
1ST & 5
OPP 28
+15
38.6%
Marcus Childers pass complete to Ty Harmston for 15 yds to the UAB 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:55
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+2
38.5%
Tre Harbison run for 2 yds to the UAB 11Similar
Q2 8:23
2ND & 8
OPP 11
+1
38.4%
Tre Harbison run for 1 yd to the UAB 10Similar
Q2 7:47
3RD & 7
OPP 10
0
36.6%
Marcus Childers pass incomplete to D.J. Brown, broken up by Dy'jonn TurnerSimilar
Q2 7:41
4TH & 7
OPP 10
+27
39.1%
Andrew Gantz 27 Yd Field GoalSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 9TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 2:2363% → 73%
Q2 7:34
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
37.1%
Spencer Brown run for no gain to the UAB 25Similar
Q2 7:10
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+18
37.4%
Tyler Johnston III pass complete to Xavier Ubosi for 18 yds to the UAB 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:48
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+2
35.5%
Spencer Brown run for 2 yds to the UAB 45Similar
Q2 6:21
2ND & 8
OWN 45
+2
35.3%
Spencer Brown run for 2 yds to the UAB 47Similar
Q2 5:51
3RD & 6
OWN 47
0
35.5%
Tyler Johnston III pass incomplete to Spencer BrownSimilar
Q2 5:42
4TH & 6
OWN 47
+5
36.6%
Greenwell, Kyle punt 37 yards to the NORTHERNIL16, fair catch by Tucker, Cole, PENALTY NORTHERNIL running into kicker (Wesley, Jauan) 5 yards to the NORTHERNIL48, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 5:37
4TH & 1
OPP 48
+2
36.1%
Spencer Brown run for 2 yds to the NoIll 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:11
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+46
26.8%
Xavier Ubosi 46 Yd pass from Tyler Johnston III (Nick Vogel Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 10FUMBLE
7 plays · 6 yds · 2:4428% → 27%
Q2 5:05
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
28.2%
Marcus Childers run for 1 yd to the NoIll 26Similar
Q2 4:34
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+4
28.0%
Marcus Childers pass complete to Jauan Wesley for 4 yds to the NoIll 30Similar
Q2 4:00
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+11
27.7%
Marcus Childers pass complete to Jauan Wesley for 11 yds to the NoIll 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:28
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+1
29.1%
D.J. Brown run for 1 yd to the NoIll 42Similar
Q2 2:45
2ND & 9
OWN 42
-1
28.5%
Marcus Childers run for a loss of 1 yard to the NoIll 41Similar
Q2 2:21
3RD & 10
OWN 41
-10
27.4%
Marcus Childers sacked by Tre' Crawford for a loss of 10 yards to the NoIll 31 Marcus Childers fumbled, recovered by UAB Tre' Crawford , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 11END OF HALF
11 plays · 13 yds · 2:1375% → 81%
Q2 2:13
1ST & 10
OPP 31
-1
24.9%
Tyler Johnston III run for a loss of 1 yard to the NoIll 32Similar
Q2 1:39
2ND & 11
OPP 32
+19
23.2%
Tyler Johnston III pass complete to Hayden Pittman for 19 yds to the NoIll 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:15
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+4
22.9%
Spencer Brown run for 4 yds to the NoIll 9Similar
Q2 0:37
2ND & 6
OPP 9
-5
22.5%
UAB Penalty, False Start (Lee Dufour) to the NoIll 14Similar
Q2 0:31
2ND & 11
OPP 14
-10
22.8%
Johnston III, Tyler rush for 5 yards to the NORTHERNIL9, PENALTY UAB holding (Cook, Rishard) 10 yards to the NORTHERNIL24, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 0:23
2ND & 21
OPP 24
0
22.5%
Tyler Johnston III pass incomplete to Xavier UbosiSimilar
Q2 0:15
3RD & 21
OPP 24
+6
22.5%
Tyler Johnston III run for 6 yds to the NoIll 18Similar
Q2 0:00
4TH & 15
OPP 18
+35
18.8%
Nick Vogel 35 Yd Field GoalSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 12FG
19 plays · 71 yds · 7:1422% → 21%
Q3 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
21.5%
Marcus Childers sacked by TEAM for a loss of 5 yards to the NoIll 20 Marcus Childers fumbled, recovered by NoIll Marcus Childers , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q3 14:23
2ND & 15
OWN 20
+14
20.6%
Marcus Childers pass complete to Spencer Tears for 14 yds to the NoIll 34Similar
Q3 13:38
3RD & 1
OWN 34
0
21.4%
Marcus Childers run for no gain to the NoIll 34Similar
Q3 13:08
4TH & 1
OWN 34
+5
20.6%
Childers, Marcus pass incomplete to Wesley, Jauan, PENALTY UAB offside (Keely, Stacy) 5 yards to the NORTHERNIL39, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN NORTHERNIL.Similar
Q3 13:00
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+6
21.2%
Tre Harbison run for 6 yds to the NoIll 45Similar
Q3 12:32
2ND & 4
OWN 45
+1
21.1%
Tre Harbison run for 1 yd to the NoIll 46Similar
Q3 11:55
3RD & 3
OWN 46
+2
20.8%
Marcus Childers pass complete to Jordan Nettles for 2 yds to the NoIll 48Similar
Q3 11:30
4TH & 1
OWN 48
+3
20.5%
Tre Harbison run for 3 yds to the UAB 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:01
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+4
20.7%
Marcus Childers pass complete to Marcus Jones for 4 yds to the UAB 45Similar
Q3 10:35
2ND & 6
OPP 45
+1
20.5%
Marcus Childers pass complete to Spencer Tears for 1 yd to the UAB 44Similar
Q3 10:01
3RD & 5
OPP 44
+11
19.5%
Marcus Childers pass complete to Dennis Robinson for 11 yds to the UAB 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:31
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+14
19.9%
Marcus Childers run for a loss of 1 yard to the UAB 34 for a 1ST down UAB Penalty, Personal Foul (Kristopher Moll) to the UAB 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:07
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+1
20.0%
Tre Harbison run for 1 yd to the UAB 18Similar
Q3 8:45
2ND & 9
OPP 18
+9
19.8%
Childers, Marcus pass incomplete to Brown, D.J., PENALTY UAB roughing passer (Binn, Kylen) 9 yards to the UAB9, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN NORTHERNIL. K.Binn ejected for targeting.Similar
Q3 8:40
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+4
19.7%
Tre Harbison run for 4 yds to the UAB 5Similar
Q3 8:10
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+1
19.5%
Tre Harbison run for 1 yd to the UAB 4Similar
Q3 7:43
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
0
18.7%
Marcus Childers pass incomplete to Spencer TearsSimilar
Q3 7:38
4TH & GOAL
OPP 4
+21
21.3%
Andrew Gantz 21 Yd Field GoalSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 13TD
7 plays · 87 yds · 2:1282% → 95%
Q3 7:27
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+6
17.6%
Tyler Johnston III pass complete to Collin Lisa for 6 yds to the UAB 19Similar
Q3 7:00
2ND & 4
OWN 19
+3
16.5%
Spencer Brown run for 3 yds to the UAB 22Similar
Q3 6:25
3RD & 1
OWN 22
+10
16.6%
Tyler Johnston III run for 10 yds to the UAB 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:57
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+2
15.8%
Spencer Brown run for 2 yds to the UAB 34Similar
Q3 5:25
2ND & 8
OWN 34
0
15.6%
Tyler Johnston III pass incomplete to Andre Wilson, broken up by Trayshon FosterSimilar
Q3 5:15
3RD & 8
OWN 34
+66
4.7%
Xavier Ubosi 66 Yd pass from Tyler Johnston III (Nick Vogel Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 14PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 1:287% → 6%
Q3 5:01
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
6.7%
Marcus Childers sacked by Zachary Williams for a loss of 2 yards to the NoIll 23Similar
Q3 4:35
2ND & 12
OWN 23
+7
6.5%
Marcus Childers pass complete to Spencer Tears for 7 yds to the NoIll 30Similar
Q3 4:07
3RD & 5
OWN 30
0
6.5%
Marcus Childers run for no gain to the NoIll 30Similar
Q3 3:33
4TH & 5
OWN 30
+35
5.9%
Matt Ference punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Andre Wilson at the NORTHERNIL 25 NORTHERNIL Penalty, Defensive Holding (Vinny Labus) to the UAB 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 15FG
9 plays · 40 yds · 3:0396% → 97%
Q3 3:25
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-3
3.9%
Werlean Pollock run for a loss of 3 yards to the UAB 32Similar
Q3 2:50
2ND & 13
OWN 32
+31
3.7%
Tyler Johnston III pass complete to Andre Wilson for 31 yds to the NoIll 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:20
1ST & 10
OPP 37
-2
3.3%
Tyler Johnston III run for a loss of 2 yards to the NoIll 39Similar
Q3 1:49
2ND & 12
OPP 39
+14
3.1%
Tyler Johnston III pass complete to Kailon Carter for 14 yds to the NoIll 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:38
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+5
3.0%
Spencer Brown run for 5 yds to the NoIll 20Similar
Q3 1:06
2ND & 5
OPP 20
0
2.9%
Spencer Brown run for no gain to the NoIll 20Similar
Q3 0:27
3RD & 5
OPP 20
0
2.8%
Tyler Johnston III pass incomplete to Jarrion StreetSimilar
Q3 0:27
4TH & 5
OPP 20
-5
3.3%
UAB Penalty, False Start (James Davis) to the NoIll 25Similar
Q3 0:22
4TH & 10
OPP 25
+42
3.1%
Nick Vogel 42 Yd Field GoalSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 16DOWNS
9 plays · 46 yds · 2:284% → 3%
Q3 0:14
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
3.6%
Marcus Childers pass complete to Spencer Tears for 7 yds to the NoIll 32Similar
Q4 14:53
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+3
3.7%
Marcus Jones run for 3 yds to the NoIll 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:26
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+9
3.5%
Marcus Childers pass complete to Jauan Wesley for 9 yds to the NoIll 44Similar
Q4 13:58
2ND & 1
OWN 44
+19
3.4%
Marcus Childers run for 19 yds to the UAB 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:25
1ST & 10
OPP 37
-7
3.3%
Marcus Childers sacked by Zachary Williams for a loss of 7 yards to the UAB 44Similar
Q4 13:16
2ND & 17
OPP 44
+10
3.0%
Marcus Childers run for 10 yds to the UAB 34Similar
Q4 12:55
3RD & 7
OPP 34
0
3.2%
Marcus Childers pass incomplete to Spencer TearsSimilar
Q4 12:46
4TH & 7
OPP 34
+5
3.1%
Marcus Childers pass complete to Cole Tucker for 5 yds to the UAB 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 17INT
5 plays · -4 yds · 1:1998% → 98%
Q4 12:46
1ST & 10
OWN 29
-14
2.3%
UAB Penalty, Personal Foul (Broderick Thomas) to the UAB 15Similar
Q4 12:37
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+11
2.3%
Spencer Brown run for 11 yds to the UAB 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:12
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
2.2%
Tyler Johnston III pass incomplete to Xavier Ubosi, broken up by Jalen McKieSimilar
Q4 12:05
2ND & 10
OWN 26
-1
2.2%
Tyler Johnston III run for a loss of 1 yard to the UAB 25Similar
Q4 11:27
3RD & 11
OWN 25
+15
2.0%
Tyler Johnston III pass intercepted Mykelti Williams return for 15 yds to the UAB 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 18FUMBLE
14 plays · 28 yds · 4:243% → 2%
Q4 11:18
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+11
3.1%
Marcus Childers run for 11 yds to the UAB 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:54
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+1
3.1%
Tre Harbison run for 1 yd to the UAB 17Similar
Q4 10:24
2ND & 9
OPP 17
+7
2.9%
Marcus Childers run for 7 yds to the UAB 10Similar
Q4 9:50
3RD & 2
OPP 10
+1
2.8%
Tre Harbison run for 1 yd to the UAB 9Similar
Q4 9:30
4TH & 1
OPP 9
+2
2.6%
Tre Harbison run for 2 yds to the UAB 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:13
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
0
2.4%
Tre Harbison run for no gain to the UAB 7Similar
Q4 8:45
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
-5
2.3%
NORTHERNIL Penalty, False Start (Dale Brown) to the UAB 12Similar
Q4 8:27
2ND & 0
OPP 12
+6
2.4%
Childers, Marcus pass incomplete to Brown, D.J. (Thomas, Broderick), PENALTY UAB roughing passer (Mofor, Fitzgerald) 6 yards to the UAB6, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN NORTHERNIL. F.Mofor ejected for targeting.Similar
Q4 8:21
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+5
2.0%
Tre Harbison run for 5 yds to the UAB 1Similar
Q4 8:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
-5
2.1%
NORTHERNIL Penalty, False Start (Ty Harmston) to the UAB 6Similar
Q4 7:37
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+4
1.6%
Tre Harbison run for 4 yds to the UAB 2Similar
Q4 7:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
0
1.6%
Marcus Childers pass incomplete to Dennis RobinsonSimilar
Q4 6:54
4TH & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
1.5%
Jordan Nettles run for 1 yd Jordan Nettles fumbled, forced by Luke Brasher, recovered by UABSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 19PUNT
10 plays · 21 yds · 4:2799% → 99%
Q4 6:42
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
1.0%
Spencer Brown run for 1 yd to the UAB 21Similar
Q4 6:03
2ND & 9
OWN 21
+9
0.9%
Spencer Brown run for 9 yds to the UAB 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:23
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+4
0.8%
Tyler Johnston III run for 4 yds to the UAB 34Similar
Q4 4:39
2ND & 6
OWN 34
+4
0.8%
Spencer Brown run for 4 yds to the UAB 38Similar
Q4 3:58
3RD & 2
OWN 38
+3
0.7%
Spencer Brown run for 3 yds to the UAB 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:19
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-3
0.6%
Spencer Brown run for a loss of 3 yards to the UAB 38Similar
Q4 2:35
2ND & 13
OWN 38
+3
0.6%
Spencer Brown run for 3 yds to the UAB 41Similar
Q4 2:27
3RD & 10
OWN 41
0
0.6%
Tyler Johnston III pass incomplete to Xavier Ubosi, broken up by Antwain WalkerSimilar
Q4 2:15
4TH & 10
OWN 41
+52
0.6%
Kyle Greenwell punt for 52 yds , Cole Tucker returns for a loss of 1 yard to the NoIll 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 20Uncategorized
5 plays · 29 yds · 1:541% → 1%
Q4 2:08
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+12
0.6%
Tre Harbison run for 12 yds to the NoIll 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:45
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+2
0.6%
Tre Harbison run for 2 yds to the NoIll 20Similar
Q4 1:20
2ND & 8
OWN 20
+6
0.5%
Jaden Huff run for 6 yds to the NoIll 26Similar
Q4 0:41
3RD & 2
OWN 26
+9
0.6%
Jaden Huff run for 9 yds to the NoIll 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:14
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
0.5%
Jaden Huff run for no gain to the NoIll 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 5:15
Xavier Ubosi 66 Yd pass from Tyler Johnston III (Nick Vogel Kick)
-10.9
TD · Q2 5:11
Xavier Ubosi 46 Yd pass from Tyler Johnston III (Nick Vogel Kick)
-9.3
TD · Q1 0:30
Tre Harbison 1 Yd Run (Andrew Gantz Kick)
+6.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com