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MTSU

Middle Tennessee 13 at App State 45

APP
2018 · R+L Carriers New Orleans Bowl · Dec 15, 2018 · Caesars Superdome
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Win probability · APP
modelAPP aheadMTSU aheadconfidence bandkey playAPP scoreMTSU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGFGTDTDTDFGTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:40 · Brent Stockstill pass complete to Patrick Smith for 9 yds to the AppSt 49
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialPregame priorBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+36.5+18.30−18.3−36.5Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 10:06: Malik Williams pass complete to Thomas Hennigan for 30 yds for a TD (Chandler Staton KICK) — APP win probability +6.2 pts (now 71%) (top driver: APP has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 7:03: Zac Thomas run for 12 yds to the MTnSt 8 for a 1ST down — APP win probability +6.7 pts (now 79%) (top driver: APP has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 0:45: Zac Thomas pass complete to Henry Pearson for 1 yd for a TD (Chandler Staton KICK) — APP win probability +10.8 pts (now 93%) (top driver: APP has the ball).
  4. FG · Q2 0:00: Crews Holt 33 yd FG GOOD — MTSU win probability +5.5 pts (now 17%) (top driver: MTSU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 11:06: Zac Thomas pass complete to Corey Sutton for 17 yds for a TD (Chandler Staton KICK) — APP win probability +5.7 pts (now 97%) (top driver: APP has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
APP made the numbers' call on 1 of 1MTSU made the numbers' call on 4 of 5
  1. Q1 9:55MTSU 4th & 7 at APP 30, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 32.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.7%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    32.7%
    56% to make
    Punt
    32.5%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 5:15MTSU 4th & 7 at APP 7, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 33.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.4%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    33.6%
    91% to make
    Punt
    32.1%−1.5
    average punt
  3. Q2 13:48APP 4th & 5 at MTSU 5, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 64.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    64.2%−0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    64.2%
    92% to make
    Punt
    60.9%−3.3
    average punt
  4. Q2 11:07MTSU 4th & 2 at MTSU 43, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 35.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    35.9%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    35.4%−0.5
    average punt
  5. Q3 0:17MTSU 4th & 16 at MTSU 22, down 25
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.4%−0.6
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.9%
    average punt
  6. Q4 7:46MTSU 4th & 13 at APP 42, down 32
    Close callWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%−<0.1
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    0.1%−<0.1
    30% to make
    Punt
    0.1%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
APP made the numbers' call on 5 of 5MTSU made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q2 10:06APP Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    70.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    70.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 0:45APP Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 11:06APP Touchdown, up 24 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 8:01APP Touchdown, up 31 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 5:56MTSU Touchdown, down 26 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    1.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    1.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 13:06APP Touchdown, up 31 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
MTSUDrive 1MISSED FG
14 plays · 45 yds · 4:5137% → 37%
Q1 14:46
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
63.1%
Tavares Thomas run for 2 yds to the MTnSt 27Similar
Q1 14:09
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+9
63.0%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Chaton Mobley for 9 yds to the MTnSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:07
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-5
63.0%
MIDDLE TENN Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the MTnSt 31Similar
Q1 13:30
1ST & 15
OWN 31
-5
63.0%
MIDDLE TENN Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the MTnSt 26Similar
Q1 13:21
1ST & 20
OWN 26
+20
63.0%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Tavares Thomas for 20 yds to the MTnSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:51
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+3
62.8%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Patrick Smith for 3 yds to the MTnSt 49Similar
Q1 12:38
2ND & 7
OWN 49
+8
62.8%
Terelle West run for 8 yds to the AppSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:51
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+10
62.7%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Ty Lee for 10 yds to the AppSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:30
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
62.6%
Brent Stockstill run for no gain to the AppSt 33Similar
Q1 10:56
2ND & 10
OPP 33
+3
62.4%
Tavares Thomas run for 3 yds to the AppSt 30Similar
Q1 10:21
3RD & 7
OPP 30
0
62.5%
Chaton Mobley run for no gain to the AppSt 30Similar
Q1 9:55
4TH & 7
OPP 30
+47
62.8%
Crews Holt 47 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 2INT
3 plays · 6 yds · 0:5863% → 63%
Q1 9:31
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+3
63.1%
Zac Thomas pass complete to Devin Papenheim for 3 yds to the AppSt 33Similar
Q1 9:07
2ND & 7
OWN 33
+3
63.1%
Darrynton Evans run for 3 yds to the AppSt 36Similar
Q1 8:33
3RD & 4
OWN 36
+3
63.1%
Zac Thomas pass intercepted Reed Blankenship return for 3 yds to the AppSt 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 3FG
9 plays · 39 yds · 2:5138% → 38%
Q1 8:06
1ST & 10
OPP 46
-2
62.1%
Zack Dobson run for a loss of 2 yards to the AppSt 48Similar
Q1 8:01
2ND & 12
OPP 48
+20
62.4%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Gatlin Casey for 20 yds to the AppSt 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:21
1ST & 10
OPP 28
-5
61.6%
MIDDLE TENN Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the AppSt 33Similar
Q1 7:06
1ST & 15
OPP 33
-5
61.7%
MIDDLE TENN Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the AppSt 38Similar
Q1 6:40
1ST & 20
OPP 38
+28
62.1%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Ty Lee for 28 yds to the AppSt 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:17
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+5
61.5%
Chaton Mobley run for 5 yds to the AppSt 5Similar
Q1 5:58
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
-2
61.4%
Brent Stockstill run for a loss of 2 yards to the AppSt 7Similar
Q1 5:20
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
0
61.6%
Brent Stockstill pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:15
4TH & GOAL
OPP 7
+24
61.7%
Crews Holt 24 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 4FUMBLE
3 plays · -7 yds · 0:0762% → 61%
Q1 5:01
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
61.5%
Zac Thomas pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:54
2ND & 10
OWN 28
-7
61.3%
Zac Thomas run for a loss of 7 yards to the AppSt 21 Zac Thomas fumbled, recovered by MTnSt DQ ThomasSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 5INT
5 plays · 6 yds · 1:2040% → 40%
Q1 4:42
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+2
60.5%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Chaton Mobley for 2 yds to the AppSt 19Similar
Q1 4:01
2ND & 8
OPP 19
+9
60.2%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Gatlin Casey for 9 yds to the AppSt 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:40
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
-5
60.1%
MIDDLE TENN Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the AppSt 15Similar
Q1 3:28
1ST & GOAL
OPP 15
0
60.1%
Brent Stockstill pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:22
2ND & GOAL
OPP 15
+8
60.2%
Brent Stockstill pass intercepted Josh Thomas return for 8 yds to the AppSt 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 6FG
10 plays · 72 yds · 4:1561% → 64%
Q1 3:03
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+9
61.1%
Zac Thomas pass complete to Corey Sutton for 9 yds to the AppSt 32Similar
Q1 2:38
2ND & 1
OWN 32
0
61.9%
Zac Thomas run for no gain to the AppSt 32Similar
Q1 2:09
3RD & 1
OWN 32
+2
61.3%
Darrynton Evans run for 2 yds to the AppSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:39
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+2
61.1%
Darrynton Evans run for 2 yds to the AppSt 36Similar
Q1 1:08
2ND & 8
OWN 36
+35
61.2%
Zac Thomas pass complete to Jalen Virgil for 35 yds to the MTnSt 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:08
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+21
63.0%
Darrynton Evans run for 13 yds to the MTnSt 16 for a 1ST down MIDDLE TENN Penalty, Face Mask (8 yards) (8 Yards) to the MTnSt 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:03
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+2
63.0%
Darrynton Evans run for 2 yds to the MTnSt 6Similar
Q2 14:55
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
-1
63.0%
Darrynton Evans run for a loss of 1 yard to the MTnSt 7Similar
Q2 14:30
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
+2
62.2%
Zac Thomas pass complete to Corey Sutton for 2 yds to the MTnSt 5Similar
Q2 13:48
4TH & GOAL
OPP 5
+22
63.8%
Chandler Staton 22 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 7DOWNS
9 plays · 19 yds · 2:3838% → 39%
Q2 13:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
61.6%
Zack Dobson run for 4 yds to the MTnSt 29Similar
Q2 13:07
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+5
61.2%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Ty Lee for 5 yds to the MTnSt 34Similar
Q2 12:58
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+1
61.0%
Brent Stockstill run for 1 yd to the MTnSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:16
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-1
61.1%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Terelle West for a loss of 1 yard to the MTnSt 34Similar
Q2 11:49
2ND & 11
OWN 34
0
61.5%
Brent Stockstill pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:49
3RD & 11
OWN 34
+5
61.9%
APPALACHIAN ST Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the MTnSt 39Similar
Q2 11:30
3RD & 6
OWN 39
+4
60.8%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Isiah Upton for 4 yds to the MTnSt 43Similar
Q2 11:07
4TH & 2
OWN 43
+1
61.0%
Zack Dobson run for 1 yd to the MTnSt 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 8TD
3 plays · 44 yds · 0:3465% → 71%
Q2 10:40
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+4
64.9%
Marcus Williams Jr. run for 4 yds to the MTnSt 40Similar
Q2 10:24
2ND & 6
OPP 40
+10
65.0%
Zac Thomas pass complete to Thomas Hennigan for 10 yds to the MTnSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:06
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+30
71.2%
Malik Williams pass complete to Thomas Hennigan for 30 yds for a TD (Chandler Staton KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 9INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:0733% → 32%
Q2 10:00
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
67.2%
Brent Stockstill pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:53
2ND & 10
OPP 44
0
67.6%
Brent Stockstill pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 10TD
6 plays · 41 yds · 2:0871% → 79%
Q2 9:11
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+6
71.4%
Marcus Williams Jr. run for 6 yds to the MTnSt 35Similar
Q2 9:01
2ND & 4
OPP 35
0
71.8%
Zac Thomas pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:50
3RD & 4
OPP 35
+13
71.3%
Zac Thomas pass complete to Corey Sutton for 13 yds to the MTnSt 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:11
1ST & 10
OPP 22
-4
72.8%
Zac Thomas run for a loss of 4 yards to the MTnSt 26Similar
Q2 7:41
2ND & 14
OPP 26
+6
72.3%
Marcus Williams Jr. run for 6 yds to the MTnSt 20Similar
Q2 7:03
3RD & 8
OPP 20
+12
79.0%
Zac Thomas run for 12 yds to the MTnSt 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 11PUNT
8 plays · 23 yds · 3:0522% → 20%
Q2 6:26
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
77.9%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Gatlin Casey for 6 yds to the MTnSt 31Similar
Q2 6:03
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+5
77.7%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Tavares Thomas for 5 yds to the MTnSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:43
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+6
78.0%
Chaton Mobley run for 6 yds to the MTnSt 42Similar
Q2 5:16
2ND & 4
OWN 42
+6
77.3%
Brent Stockstill run for 6 yds to the MTnSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:46
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
77.9%
Brent Stockstill pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:37
2ND & 10
OWN 48
+2
78.3%
Brent Stockstill run for 2 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 4:00
3RD & 8
50
-5
78.8%
MIDDLE TENN Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the MTnSt 45Similar
Q2 3:21
3RD & 13
OWN 45
+3
79.7%
Brent Stockstill run for 3 yds to the MTnSt 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 12TD
10 plays · 85 yds · 1:5381% → 93%
Q2 2:38
1ST & 10
OWN 15
0
81.2%
Darrynton Evans run for no gain to the AppSt 15Similar
Q2 2:05
2ND & 10
OWN 15
+11
81.5%
Zac Thomas pass complete to Corey Sutton for 11 yds to the AppSt 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:37
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+62
82.4%
Darrynton Evans run for 62 yds to the MTnSt 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:34
1ST & 10
OPP 12
0
83.4%
Zac Thomas run for no gain to the MTnSt 12Similar
Q2 1:28
2ND & 10
OPP 12
0
82.4%
Zac Thomas pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:22
3RD & 10
OPP 12
0
81.8%
Zac Thomas pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:21
4TH & 10
OPP 12
+6
80.9%
MIDDLE TENN Penalty, Personal Foul (6 Yards) to the MTnSt 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:02
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+5
82.6%
Marcus Williams Jr. run for 5 yds to the MTnSt 1Similar
Q2 0:45
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
93.4%
Zac Thomas pass complete to Henry Pearson for 1 yd for a TD (Chandler Staton KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 13END OF HALF
8 plays · 59 yds · 0:439% → 17%
Q2 0:43
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+16
90.8%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Gatlin Casey for 16 yds to the MTnSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:41
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+5
90.2%
APPALACHIAN ST Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the MTnSt 46Similar
Q2 0:35
1ST & 5
OWN 46
+10
89.8%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Tavares Thomas for 10 yds to the AppSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:13
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+28
89.6%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Jimmy Marshall for 28 yds to the AppSt 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:07
1ST & 10
OPP 16
0
88.6%
Brent Stockstill pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:03
2ND & 10
OPP 16
0
88.6%
Brent Stockstill pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:00
3RD & 10
OPP 16
+33
83.1%
Crews Holt 33 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 14TD
13 plays · 75 yds · 3:4285% → 97%
Q3 14:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
85.2%
Darrynton Evans run for 4 yds to the AppSt 29Similar
Q3 14:14
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+5
89.0%
Zac Thomas pass complete to Thomas Hennigan for 5 yds to the AppSt 34Similar
Q3 13:50
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+6
88.6%
Zac Thomas pass complete to Corey Sutton for 6 yds to the AppSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:12
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+1
89.7%
Darrynton Evans run for 1 yd to the AppSt 41Similar
Q3 12:40
2ND & 9
OWN 41
+5
90.1%
Zac Thomas run for 5 yds to the AppSt 46Similar
Q3 12:14
3RD & 4
OWN 46
+22
90.6%
Zac Thomas pass complete to Malik Williams for 22 yds to the MTnSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:30
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+5
91.3%
Zac Thomas run for 5 yds to the MTnSt 27Similar
Q3 11:21
2ND & 5
OPP 27
+15
91.2%
MIDDLE TENN Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (15 Yards) to the MTnSt 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:15
1ST & 10
OPP 12
0
91.3%
Zac Thomas pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 11:14
2ND & 10
OPP 12
-5
91.3%
APPALACHIAN ST Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the MTnSt 17Similar
Q3 11:12
2ND & 15
OPP 17
0
91.3%
Zac Thomas pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 11:06
3RD & 15
OPP 17
+17
97.0%
Zac Thomas pass complete to Corey Sutton for 17 yds for a TD (Chandler Staton KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 15PUNT
5 plays · 20 yds · 1:374% → 4%
Q3 10:44
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+27
96.0%
Chaton Mobley run for 27 yds to the AppSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:21
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+1
95.9%
Chaton Mobley run for 1 yd to the AppSt 47Similar
Q3 9:42
2ND & 9
OPP 47
-3
96.0%
Brent Stockstill sacked by Anthony Flory for a loss of 3 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 9:07
3RD & 12
50
-5
96.3%
Brent Stockstill sacked by Okon Godwin for a loss of 5 yards to the MTnSt 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 16TD
2 plays · 64 yds · 0:2398% → 99%
Q3 8:24
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+1
97.6%
Camerun Peoples run for 1 yd to the AppSt 37Similar
Q3 8:01
2ND & 9
OWN 37
+63
99.2%
Camerun Peoples run for 63 yds for a TD (Chandler Staton KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 17TD
6 plays · 75 yds · 2:021% → 3%
Q3 7:58
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
98.8%
Chaton Mobley run for 6 yds to the MTnSt 31Similar
Q3 7:20
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+6
98.1%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Gatlin Casey for 6 yds to the MTnSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:53
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+16
98.2%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Tavares Thomas for 16 yds to the AppSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:27
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+4
97.9%
Chaton Mobley run for 4 yds to the AppSt 43Similar
Q3 5:56
2ND & 6
OPP 43
+43
97.1%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Isiah Upton for 43 yds for a TD (Crews Holt KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 18INT
6 plays · 30 yds · 1:5399% → 99%
Q3 5:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
98.5%
Darrynton Evans run for 3 yds to the AppSt 28Similar
Q3 5:01
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+16
98.6%
Darrynton Evans run for 16 yds to the AppSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:13
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+6
98.8%
Darrynton Evans run for 6 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 3:40
2ND & 4
50
+5
98.8%
Camerun Peoples run for 5 yds to the MTnSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:22
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
98.9%
Zac Thomas pass intercepted Reed Blankenship return for no gain to the MTnSt 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 19PUNT
8 plays · 13 yds · 2:422% → 2%
Q3 2:59
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+1
98.1%
Chaton Mobley run for 1 yd to the MTnSt 10Similar
Q3 2:05
2ND & 9
OWN 10
-9
98.3%
Brent Stockstill sacked by Okon Godwin for a loss of 9 yards to the MTnSt 1Similar
Q3 1:42
3RD & 18
OWN 1
0
98.2%
MIDDLE TENN Penalty, Delay of Game ( Yards) to the MTnSt 1Similar
Q3 1:26
3RD & 18
OWN 1
+27
98.2%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Patrick Smith for 27 yds to the MTnSt 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:07
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
98.5%
Brent Stockstill pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 1:03
2ND & 10
OWN 28
0
98.6%
Brent Stockstill pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 0:42
3RD & 10
OWN 28
-6
98.6%
Brent Stockstill sacked by Demetrius Taylor for a loss of 6 yards to the MTnSt 22Similar
Q3 0:17
4TH & 16
OWN 22
+3
98.1%
Matt Bonadies punt for 47 yds , Clifton Duck returns for 3 yds to the AppSt 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 20TD
6 plays · 66 yds · 1:5499% → 100%
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
99.1%
Marcus Williams Jr. run for no gain to the AppSt 34Similar
Q4 14:55
2ND & 10
OPP 43
+38
99.2%
Zac Thomas pass complete to Jalen Virgil for 23 yds to the APPALCHAN 43 for a 1ST down MIDDLE TENN Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the MTnSt 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:30
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+13
99.2%
Zac Thomas run for 13 yds to the MTnSt 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:20
1ST & 10
OPP 15
0
99.3%
Zac Thomas pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:05
2ND & 10
OPP 15
+4
99.3%
Marcus Williams Jr. run for 4 yds to the MTnSt 11Similar
Q4 13:06
3RD & 6
OPP 11
+11
99.8%
Zac Thomas pass complete to Corey Sutton for 11 yds for a TD (Chandler Staton KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 21DOWNS
12 plays · 27 yds · 4:540% → 0%
Q4 12:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-3
99.8%
Chaton Mobley run for a loss of 3 yards to the MTnSt 22Similar
Q4 12:13
2ND & 13
OWN 22
+12
99.8%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Ty Lee for 12 yds to the MTnSt 34Similar
Q4 11:50
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+2
99.8%
Tavares Thomas run for 2 yds to the MTnSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:31
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+7
99.8%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Gatlin Casey for 7 yds to the MTnSt 43Similar
Q4 11:01
2ND & 3
OWN 43
+2
99.8%
Terelle West run for 2 yds to the MTnSt 45Similar
Q4 10:31
3RD & 1
OWN 45
+1
99.8%
Tavares Thomas run for 1 yd to the MTnSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:59
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+15
99.8%
APPALACHIAN ST Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (15 Yards) to the AppSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:55
1ST & 10
OPP 39
-2
99.8%
Tavares Thomas run for a loss of 2 yards to the AppSt 41Similar
Q4 8:58
2ND & 12
OPP 41
-4
99.8%
Brent Stockstill sacked by Chris Willis for a loss of 4 yards to the AppSt 45Similar
Q4 8:16
3RD & 16
OPP 45
+3
99.9%
Brent Stockstill run for 3 yds to the AppSt 42Similar
Q4 7:46
4TH & 13
OPP 42
-6
99.9%
Brent Stockstill sacked by Okon Godwin for a loss of 6 yards to the AppSt 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 22PUNT
9 plays · -9 yds · 4:05100% → 100%
Q4 7:08
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+4
99.9%
Zac Thomas run for 4 yds to the MTnSt 48 Zac Thomas fumbled, recovered by AppStSimilar
Q4 6:52
2ND & 6
OPP 48
+9
99.9%
Zac Thomas pass complete to Corey Sutton for 9 yds to the MTnSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:11
1ST & 10
OPP 39
-10
99.9%
APPALACHIAN ST Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the MTnSt 49Similar
Q4 5:33
1ST & 20
OPP 49
-5
99.9%
APPALACHIAN ST Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the AppSt 46Similar
Q4 5:13
1ST & 25
OWN 46
-5
99.9%
Darrynton Evans run for a loss of 5 yards to the AppSt 41Similar
Q4 4:43
2ND & 30
OWN 41
+2
99.9%
Daetrich Harrington run for 2 yds to the AppSt 43Similar
Q4 4:03
3RD & 28
OWN 43
-5
99.9%
APPALACHIAN ST Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the AppSt 38Similar
Q4 3:44
3RD & 33
OWN 38
+1
99.9%
Daetrich Harrington run for 1 yd to the AppSt 39Similar
Q4 3:03
4TH & 32
OWN 39
0
99.9%
Clayton Howell punt for 60 yds, downed at the MTnSt 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 23Uncategorized
5 plays · 50 yds · 2:020% → 0%
Q4 2:42
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+25
99.9%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Chaton Mobley for 25 yds to the MTnSt 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:12
1ST & 10
OWN 26
-2
99.9%
Chaton Mobley run for a loss of 2 yards to the MTnSt 24Similar
Q4 2:01
2ND & 12
OWN 24
+11
99.9%
Brent Stockstill run for 11 yds to the MTnSt 35Similar
Q4 1:06
3RD & 1
OWN 35
+7
99.9%
Tavares Thomas run for 7 yds to the MTnSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:40
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+9
99.9%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Patrick Smith for 9 yds to the AppSt 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 0:45
Zac Thomas pass complete to Henry Pearson for 1 yd for a TD (Chandler Staton KICK)
+10.8
TD · Q2 7:03
Zac Thomas run for 12 yds to the MTnSt 8 for a 1ST down
+6.7
TD · Q2 10:06
Malik Williams pass complete to Thomas Hennigan for 30 yds for a TD (Chandler Staton KICK)
+6.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com