Try the model
GASO

Georgia Southern 23 at Eastern Michigan 21

EMU
2018 · Raycom Media Camellia Bowl · Dec 15, 2018 · Cramton Bowl
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · EMU
modelEMU aheadGASO aheadconfidence bandkey playEMU scoreGASO score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDFGTDFGTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:00 · Tyler Bass 40 yd FG GOOD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+35.0+17.50−17.5−35.0Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 7:53: Tyler Lyle 1 Yd pass from Mike Glass III (Chad Ryland Kick) — EMU win probability +8.8 pts (now 49%) (top driver: EMU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 3:48: Shai Werts 5 Yd Run (Tyler Bass Kick) — GASO win probability +8.9 pts (now 69%) (top driver: GASO has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 14:47: Arthur Jackson III 75 Yd pass from Mike Glass III (Chad Ryland Kick) — EMU win probability +12.9 pts (now 43%) (top driver: EMU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 3:33: Arthur Jackson III 5 Yd pass from Mike Glass III (Chad Ryland Kick) — EMU win probability +38.3 pts (now 65%) (top driver: EMU has the ball).
  5. FG · Q4 0:00: Tyler Bass 40 yd FG GOOD — GASO win probability +47.7 pts (now 95%) (top driver: GASO has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
EMU made the numbers' call on 5 of 7GASO made the numbers' call on 4 of 8
  1. Q1 12:46GASO 4th & 3 at GASO 32, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 54.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.4%−<0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    54.5%
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:53EMU 4th & 2 at EMU 41, tied
    Close callPunted · 46.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.0%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    46.0%−<0.1
    average punt
  3. Q2 13:31EMU 4th & 8 at GASO 48, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 41.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.0%−0.3
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    42.3%
    average punt
  4. Q2 11:08GASO 4th & 2 at GASO 39, up 7
    Close callPunted · 59.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.2%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    58.5%−0.7
    average punt
  5. Q2 2:46EMU 4th & 7 at EMU 28, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 36.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.8%−0.6
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    36.4%
    average punt
  6. Q2 0:00GASO 4th & 6 at EMU 33, up 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 66.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.1%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    65.6%−0.5
    49% to make
    Punt
    65.1%−0.9
    average punt
  7. Q3 10:50GASO 4th & 8 at GASO 38, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 54.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    53.7%−1.3
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    55.0%
    average punt
  8. Q3 8:52EMU 4th & 5 at EMU 36, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 43.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.7%−1.0
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    44.7%
    average punt
  9. Q3 6:36GASO 4th & 9 at GASO 28, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 54.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.3%−2.2
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    56.6%
    average punt
  10. Q3 4:50EMU 4th & 9 at GASO 43, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 44.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.5%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    43.1%−1.5
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    44.6%
    average punt
  11. Q3 1:39GASO 4th & 1 at GASO 40, up 3
    Numbers favored go for it by 4.7 ptsPunted · 58.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.2%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    55.5%−4.7
    average punt
  12. Q4 14:01EMU 4th & 2 at GASO 44, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 46.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    47.2%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    41.9%−5.2
    27% to make
    Punt
    44.3%−2.9
    average punt
  13. Q4 9:49GASO 4th & 3 at EMU 18, up 3
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.7 ptsKicked a field goal · 66.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.3%
    51% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    65.6%−1.7
    79% to make
    Punt
    49.1%−18.2
    average punt
  14. Q4 3:33EMU 4th & 4 at GASO 5, down 6
    Close callWent for it · 30.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    24.1%−0.3
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    24.5%
    92% to make
    Punt
    11.9%−12.6
    average punt
  15. Q4 1:40GASO 4th & 10 at GASO 41, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 32.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    25.8%
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    25.6%−0.2
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
EMU made the numbers' call on 3 of 3GASO made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 1:52GASO Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    56.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    56.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 7:53EMU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    47.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    47.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 3:48GASO Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    60.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    60.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 14:47EMU Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    44.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    44.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 3:33EMU Touchdown, tied before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    59.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    57.6%−1.9
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
GASODrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 2:1460% → 59%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
39.7%
Wesley Fields run for 3 yds to the GeoSo 28Similar
Q1 14:19
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+3
40.0%
Wesley Fields run for 3 yds to the GeoSo 31Similar
Q1 13:36
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+1
40.2%
Shai Werts run for 1 yd to the GeoSo 32Similar
Q1 12:46
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
40.6%
Magill Bauerle punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Blake Banham at the EMich 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 1:5341% → 41%
Q1 12:46
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+2
40.6%
Mike Glass III pass complete to Dylan Drummond for 2 yds to the EMich 35Similar
Q1 12:17
2ND & 8
OWN 35
+6
40.7%
Mike Glass III pass complete to Blake Banham for 6 yds to the EMich 41Similar
Q1 11:46
3RD & 2
OWN 41
0
41.0%
Mike Glass III run for no gain to the EMich 41Similar
Q1 10:53
4TH & 2
OWN 41
0
41.1%
Jake Julien punt for 54 yds, downed at the GeoSo 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 3TD
16 plays · 95 yds · 9:0159% → 63%
Q1 10:53
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+3
41.1%
Wesley Fields run for 3 yds to the GeoSo 8Similar
Q1 10:09
2ND & 7
OWN 8
+4
41.4%
Wesley Fields run for 4 yds to the GeoSo 12Similar
Q1 9:34
3RD & 3
OWN 12
+4
41.8%
Monteo Garrett run for 4 yds to the GeoSo 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:46
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+2
41.6%
Shai Werts run for 2 yds to the GeoSo 18Similar
Q1 8:20
2ND & 8
OWN 18
+9
41.8%
Shai Werts run for 9 yds to the GeoSo 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:45
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+9
41.8%
Wesley Kennedy III run for 9 yds to the GeoSo 36Similar
Q1 7:07
2ND & 1
OWN 36
+3
41.6%
Wesley Fields run for 3 yds to the GeoSo 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:34
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+7
41.8%
Wesley Kennedy III run for 7 yds to the GeoSo 46Similar
Q1 5:58
2ND & 3
OWN 46
+8
41.7%
Wesley Kennedy III run for 8 yds to the EMich 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:09
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+4
41.7%
Wesley Fields run for 4 yds to the EMich 42Similar
Q1 4:28
2ND & 6
OPP 42
-6
41.7%
Shai Werts run for a loss of 6 yards to the EMich 48Similar
Q1 3:46
3RD & 12
OPP 48
+13
42.8%
Shai Werts pass complete to Malik Murray for 13 yds to the EMich 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:09
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+5
41.7%
Wesley Fields run for 5 yds to the EMich 30Similar
Q1 2:33
2ND & 5
OPP 30
+4
41.3%
Wesley Fields run for 4 yds to the EMich 26Similar
Q1 1:52
3RD & 1
OPP 26
+26
36.6%
Shai Werts 26 Yd Run (Tyler Bass Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 4PUNT
9 plays · 27 yds · 3:2138% → 38%
Q1 1:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
38.0%
Willie Parker run for 2 yds to the EMich 27Similar
Q1 1:17
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+10
38.1%
Willie Parker run for 10 yds to the EMich 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:33
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+13
38.3%
Willie Parker run for 13 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
50
0
39.5%
Willie Parker run for no gain to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
50
-5
39.1%
EASTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, False Start (Ka'John Armstrong) to the EMich 45Similar
Q2 14:55
2ND & 15
OWN 45
+4
38.1%
Mike Glass III pass complete to Blake Banham for 4 yds to the EMich 49Similar
Q2 14:08
3RD & 11
OWN 49
+3
37.9%
Mike Glass III pass complete to Willie Parker for 3 yds to the GeoSo 48Similar
Q2 13:31
4TH & 8
OPP 48
0
37.5%
Jake Julien punt for 31 yds, fair catch by Wesley Kennedy III at the GeoSo 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 5PUNT
6 plays · 22 yds · 2:2363% → 63%
Q2 13:31
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+14
37.5%
Wesley Kennedy III run for 14 yds to the GeoSo 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:46
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
36.7%
Shai Werts run for no gain to the GeoSo 31Similar
Q2 12:09
2ND & 10
OWN 31
0
37.1%
Shai Werts pass incomplete to Monteo GarrettSimilar
Q2 11:53
3RD & 10
OWN 31
+3
37.7%
Shai Werts pass complete to Monteo Garrett for 3 yds to the GeoSo 34Similar
Q2 11:23
4TH & 7
OWN 34
+5
37.7%
EASTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the GeoSo 39Similar
Q2 11:08
4TH & 2
OWN 39
+11
36.6%
TEAM punt blocked by Mathew Sexton blocked by Mathew SextonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 6TD
6 plays · 50 yds · 3:1539% → 49%
Q2 11:08
1ST & 10
50
+17
39.4%
Mike Glass III pass complete to Dylan Drummond for 17 yds to the GeoSo 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:27
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+4
40.3%
Willie Parker run for 4 yds to the GeoSo 29Similar
Q2 9:57
2ND & 6
OPP 29
+20
40.0%
Mike Glass III pass complete to Isaac Holder for 20 yds to the GeoSo 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:20
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+4
40.0%
Mike Glass III run for 4 yds to the GeoSo 5Similar
Q2 8:37
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+4
40.1%
Willie Parker run for 4 yds to the GeoSo 1Similar
Q2 7:53
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
48.9%
Tyler Lyle 1 Yd pass from Mike Glass III (Chad Ryland Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 7TD
8 plays · 82 yds · 3:5856% → 69%
Q2 7:46
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+2
43.7%
Wesley Fields run for 2 yds to the GeoSo 20Similar
Q2 7:07
2ND & 8
OWN 20
+12
44.1%
Monteo Garrett run for 12 yds to the GeoSo 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:38
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+6
43.1%
Darion Anderson run for 6 yds to the GeoSo 38Similar
Q2 5:49
2ND & 4
OWN 38
+7
42.0%
Wesley Fields run for 7 yds to the GeoSo 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:15
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+46
42.0%
Wesley Kennedy III run for 46 yds to the EMich 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:31
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+4
40.3%
Wesley Fields run for 4 yds to the EMich 5Similar
Q2 3:48
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
31.3%
Shai Werts 5 Yd Run (Tyler Bass Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 8PUNT
6 plays · 3 yds · 1:0235% → 33%
Q2 3:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
34.7%
Mike Glass III run for 1 yd to the EMich 26Similar
Q2 3:08
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+2
34.5%
Willie Parker run for 2 yds to the EMich 28Similar
Q2 3:00
3RD & 7
OWN 28
0
34.0%
Mike Glass III pass incomplete to Arthur Jackson IIISimilar
Q2 2:46
4TH & 7
OWN 28
0
33.1%
Jake Julien punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Wesley Kennedy III at the GeoSo 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 9END OF HALF
12 plays · 29 yds · 2:4668% → 72%
Q2 2:46
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+2
32.0%
Wesley Fields run for 2 yds to the GeoSo 40Similar
Q2 1:58
2ND & 8
OWN 40
+5
31.4%
Monteo Garrett run for 5 yds to the GeoSo 45Similar
Q2 1:21
3RD & 3
OWN 45
+4
31.3%
Wesley Fields run for 4 yds to the GeoSo 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:13
1ST & 10
OWN 49
-2
30.9%
Shai Werts sacked by Marqualin Scott for a loss of 2 yards to the GeoSo 47Similar
Q2 0:32
2ND & 12
OWN 47
+16
31.3%
Shai Werts run for 16 yds to the EMich 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:21
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+3
29.5%
Wesley Kennedy III run for 3 yds to the EMich 34Similar
Q2 0:18
2ND & 7
OPP 34
+3
29.0%
Wesley Fields run for 3 yds to the EMich 31Similar
Q2 0:12
3RD & 4
OPP 31
-2
29.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the EMich 33Similar
Q2 0:00
4TH & 6
OPP 33
+50
27.8%
Tyler Bass 50 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 10TD
2 plays · 75 yds · 0:0043% → 43%
Q3 14:47
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+75
42.9%
Arthur Jackson III 75 Yd pass from Mike Glass III (Chad Ryland Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 11PUNT
9 plays · 13 yds · 3:5759% → 57%
Q3 14:47
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
41.0%
Wesley Fields run for 6 yds to the GeoSo 31Similar
Q3 14:06
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+5
39.8%
Shai Werts run for 5 yds to the GeoSo 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:29
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+7
40.0%
Wesley Fields run for 7 yds to the GeoSo 43Similar
Q3 12:53
2ND & 3
OWN 43
+2
39.1%
Wesley Fields run for 2 yds to the GeoSo 45Similar
Q3 12:05
3RD & 1
OWN 45
-5
39.6%
GA SOUTHERN Penalty, False Start (Jake Edwards) to the GeoSo 40Similar
Q3 11:51
3RD & 6
OWN 40
-5
40.2%
GA SOUTHERN Penalty, Delay of Game (Shai Werts) to the GeoSo 35Similar
Q3 11:21
3RD & 11
OWN 35
+3
42.8%
Shai Werts run for 3 yds to the GeoSo 38Similar
Q3 10:50
4TH & 8
OWN 38
0
43.3%
Magill Bauerle punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Blake Banham at the EMich 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 12PUNT
6 plays · 18 yds · 1:5842% → 41%
Q3 10:50
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+5
42.1%
Ian Eriksen run for 5 yds to the EMich 23Similar
Q3 10:11
2ND & 5
OWN 23
+8
42.6%
Ian Eriksen run for 8 yds to the EMich 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:44
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+5
42.9%
Ian Eriksen run for 5 yds to the EMich 36Similar
Q3 9:12
2ND & 5
OWN 36
0
45.4%
Isaac Holder pass incomplete to Mike Glass IIISimilar
Q3 9:07
3RD & 5
OWN 36
0
42.5%
Mike Glass III pass incomplete to Line LatuSimilar
Q3 8:52
4TH & 5
OWN 36
0
41.4%
Jake Julien punt for 37 yds, downed at the GeoSo 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 13PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 2:1660% → 57%
Q3 8:52
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+3
40.2%
Wesley Kennedy III run for 3 yds to the GeoSo 30Similar
Q3 8:16
2ND & 7
OWN 30
-9
39.7%
Shai Werts run for a loss of 9 yards to the GeoSo 21 Shai Werts fumbled, recovered by GeoSoSimilar
Q3 7:43
3RD & 16
OWN 21
+2
42.3%
Wesley Fields run for 2 yds to the GeoSo 23Similar
Q3 6:57
4TH & 14
OWN 23
+5
43.5%
EASTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the GeoSo 28Similar
Q3 6:36
4TH & 9
OWN 28
+14
43.2%
Magill Bauerle punt for 38 yds , Blake Banham returns for 14 yds to the EMich 42 EASTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, Illegal Block (10 Yards) to the EMich 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 14PUNT
5 plays · 19 yds · 1:4644% → 41%
Q3 6:36
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+18
44.4%
Mike Glass III pass complete to Mathew Sexton for 18 yds to the GeoSo 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:10
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
47.4%
Ian Eriksen run for no gain to the GeoSo 44Similar
Q3 5:39
2ND & 10
OPP 44
+1
47.3%
Ian Eriksen run for 1 yd to the GeoSo 43Similar
Q3 4:58
3RD & 9
OPP 43
0
45.4%
Mike Glass III pass incomplete to Gunnar OakesSimilar
Q3 4:50
4TH & 9
OPP 43
0
41.3%
Jake Julien punt for 43 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 15PUNT
6 plays · 20 yds · 3:1160% → 61%
Q3 4:50
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
39.6%
Monteo Garrett run for 4 yds to the GeoSo 24Similar
Q3 4:14
2ND & 6
OWN 24
+7
39.3%
Monteo Garrett run for 7 yds to the GeoSo 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:33
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+4
38.9%
Monteo Garrett run for 4 yds to the GeoSo 35Similar
Q3 2:59
2ND & 6
OWN 35
+2
37.9%
Wesley Kennedy III run for 2 yds to the GeoSo 37Similar
Q3 2:08
3RD & 4
OWN 37
+3
38.4%
Shai Werts run for 3 yds to the GeoSo 40Similar
Q3 1:39
4TH & 1
OWN 40
0
39.3%
Magill Bauerle punt for 25 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the EMich 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 16DOWNS
6 plays · 21 yds · 2:3843% → 45%
Q3 1:39
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+8
42.8%
Mike Glass III pass complete to Isaac Holder for 8 yds to the EMich 43Similar
Q3 1:09
2ND & 2
OWN 43
+5
46.3%
Blake Banham run for 5 yds to the EMich 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+3
46.7%
Karmi Mackey run for 3 yds to the GeoSo 49Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 49
+5
47.5%
Mike Glass III pass complete to Karmi Mackey for 5 yds to the GeoSo 44Similar
Q4 14:11
3RD & 2
OPP 44
0
47.2%
Mike Glass III pass incomplete to Line LatuSimilar
Q4 14:01
4TH & 2
OPP 44
0
44.7%
Mike Glass III pass incomplete to Dylan DrummondSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 17FG
9 plays · 38 yds · 4:1264% → 76%
Q4 14:01
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+2
36.4%
Shai Werts pass complete to Monteo Garrett for 2 yds to the GeoSo 46Similar
Q4 13:15
2ND & 8
OWN 46
-5
36.2%
GA SOUTHERN Penalty, False Start (Jeremiah Culbreth) to the GeoSo 41Similar
Q4 13:10
2ND & 13
OWN 41
+13
38.2%
LaBaron Anthony run for 13 yds to the EMich 46 LaBaron Anthony fumbled, recovered by GeoSo Malik Murray for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:39
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+6
35.4%
Wesley Fields run for 6 yds to the EMich 40Similar
Q4 12:00
2ND & 4
OPP 40
+15
32.8%
Wesley Kennedy III run for 15 yds to the EMich 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:29
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
31.2%
Shai Werts pass incomplete to Logan WrightSimilar
Q4 11:23
2ND & 10
OPP 25
+1
31.7%
Monteo Garrett run for 1 yd to the EMich 24Similar
Q4 10:28
3RD & 9
OPP 24
+6
30.7%
Wesley Fields run for 6 yds to the EMich 18Similar
Q4 9:49
4TH & 3
OPP 18
+35
24.1%
Tyler Bass 35 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 18TD
18 plays · 75 yds · 6:1631% → 65%
Q4 9:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
31.0%
Mike Glass III sacked by Tomarcio Reese for a loss of 1 yard to the EMich 24Similar
Q4 9:04
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+9
30.6%
Mike Glass III pass complete to Blake Banham for 9 yds to the EMich 33Similar
Q4 8:26
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+6
31.8%
Mike Glass III pass complete to Arthur Jackson III for 6 yds to the EMich 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:42
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
31.0%
Mike Glass III pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:37
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+14
30.7%
Mike Glass III run for 14 yds to the GeoSo 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:11
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+4
34.6%
Willie Parker run for 4 yds to the GeoSo 43Similar
Q4 6:37
2ND & 6
OPP 43
+5
33.8%
Willie Parker run for 5 yds to the GeoSo 38Similar
Q4 6:17
3RD & 1
OPP 38
+2
33.0%
Mike Glass III pass complete to Blake Banham for 2 yds to the GeoSo 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:51
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+14
32.9%
Mike Glass III pass complete to Blake Banham for 14 yds to the GeoSo 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:15
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
34.7%
Mike Glass III pass incomplete to Blake BanhamSimilar
Q4 5:01
2ND & 10
OPP 22
+2
33.4%
Ian Eriksen run for 2 yds to the GeoSo 20Similar
Q4 4:33
3RD & 8
OPP 20
+9
31.3%
Mike Glass III pass complete to Blake Banham for 9 yds to the GeoSo 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:09
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+3
33.3%
Mike Glass III run for 3 yds to the GeoSo 8Similar
Q4 3:51
2ND & 7
OPP 8
0
34.6%
Mike Glass III pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 3:44
3RD & 7
OPP 8
+3
32.1%
Ian Eriksen run for 3 yds to the GeoSo 5Similar
Q4 3:33
4TH & 4
OPP 5
+5
64.5%
Arthur Jackson III 5 Yd pass from Mike Glass III (Chad Ryland Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 19END OF 4TH QUARTER
12 plays · 52 yds · 3:3342% → 95%
Q4 3:33
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
58.4%
Shai Werts run for 1 yd to the GeoSo 26Similar
Q4 2:56
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+15
59.0%
Shai Werts pass complete to Ellis Richardson for 15 yds to the GeoSo 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:22
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+4
55.0%
Wesley Fields run for 4 yds to the GeoSo 45Similar
Q4 1:56
2ND & 6
OWN 45
-4
56.5%
Shai Werts run for a loss of 4 yards to the GeoSo 41 Shai Werts fumbled, recovered by GeoSo Shai WertsSimilar
Q4 1:44
3RD & 10
OWN 41
0
61.9%
Shai Werts pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:40
4TH & 10
OWN 41
+29
65.5%
Shai Werts run for 29 yds to the EMich 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:08
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+4
54.0%
Wesley Fields run for 4 yds to the EMich 26Similar
Q4 0:33
2ND & 6
OPP 26
+3
52.7%
Wesley Fields run for 3 yds to the EMich 23Similar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 3
OPP 23
+40
5.0%
Tyler Bass 40 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
FG · Q4 0:00
Tyler Bass 40 yd FG GOOD
-47.7
TD · Q4 3:33
Arthur Jackson III 5 Yd pass from Mike Glass III (Chad Ryland Kick)
+38.3
TD · Q3 14:47
Arthur Jackson III 75 Yd pass from Mike Glass III (Chad Ryland Kick)
+12.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com