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ASU

Arizona State 20 at Fresno State 31

FRES
2018 · Mitsubishi Motors Las Vegas Bowl · Dec 15, 2018 · Sam Boyd Stadium
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Win probability · FRES
modelFRES aheadASU aheadconfidence bandkey playFRES scoreASU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDTDTDFGFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 10:31 · Michael Sleep-Dalton punt for 47 yds, downed at the FrsSt 33
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+28.0+14.00−14.0−28.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 100Pregame prior+6.1Home team on offense−1.0Garbage-time factor+0.1Score differential−2.8Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−1.5Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+1.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 12:43: Eno Benjamin run for 17 yds for a TD (Brandon Ruiz KICK) — ASU win probability +5.5 pts (now 44%) (top driver: ASU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 8:03: Marcus McMaryion run for 10 yds for a TD (Asa Fuller KICK) — FRES win probability +6.2 pts (now 67%) (top driver: FRES has the ball).
  3. FG · Q2 0:51: Brandon Ruiz 20 yd FG GOOD — ASU win probability +5.8 pts (now 45%) (top driver: ASU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 1:00: Ronnie Rivers run for 68 yds for a TD (Asa Fuller KICK) — FRES win probability +21.7 pts (now 71%) (top driver: FRES has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 5:19: Ronnie Rivers run for 5 yds for a TD (Asa Fuller KICK) — FRES win probability +10.7 pts (now 94%) (top driver: FRES has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
FRES made the numbers' call on 2 of 4ASU made the numbers' call on 8 of 9
  1. Q1 11:37FRES 4th & 8 at ASU 41, tied
    Close callPunted · 66.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.6%
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    66.6%−0.1
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    66.6%−<0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:45ASU 4th & 9 at ASU 21, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 33.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.2%−0.2
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    33.4%
    average punt
  3. Q1 7:02FRES 4th & 7 at ASU 21, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 66.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.2%−0.1
    35% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    66.3%
    74% to make
    Punt
    65.3%−1.0
    average punt
  4. Q1 0:11FRES 4th & 7 at FRES 26, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 65.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    65.3%−0.4
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    65.7%
    average punt
  5. Q2 2:10ASU 4th & 1 at FRES 10, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 35.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    35.8%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    33.3%−2.5
    88% to make
    Punt
    27.4%−8.4
    average punt
  6. Q2 0:51ASU 4th & 2 at FRES 2, down 3
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.2 ptsKicked a field goal · 36.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.8%
    48% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    34.6%−1.2
    94% to make
    Punt
    28.0%−7.8
    average punt
  7. Q3 13:35ASU 4th & 7 at ASU 32, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 38.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.3%−1.9
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    40.2%
    average punt
  8. Q3 10:31ASU 4th & 10 at ASU 20, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 38.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.7%−1.5
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    38.2%
    average punt
  9. Q3 5:33ASU 4th & 7 at FRES 26, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 43.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.3%−0.7
    36% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    43.0%
    64% to make
    Punt
    33.9%−9.2
    average punt
  10. Q3 1:59ASU 4th & 6 at FRES 49, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 52.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    53.5%−0.2
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    53.7%
    average punt
  11. Q4 15:00ASU 4th & 9 at ASU 32, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 28.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.6%−2.5
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    30.1%
    average punt
  12. Q4 10:40FRES 4th & 2 at FRES 40, up 4
    Numbers favored go for it by 3.1 ptsPunted · 72.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    72.6%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    69.5%−3.1
    average punt
  13. Q4 8:38ASU 4th & 6 at ASU 20, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 27.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.9%−0.2
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    25.2%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
FRES made the numbers' call on 3 of 4ASU made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 4:58FRES Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    69.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    69.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 1:25ASU Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    33.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    33.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 12:43ASU Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    38.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    38.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 8:03FRES Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    67.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    67.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 1:00FRES Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    70.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    70.1%−0.2
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 5:19FRES Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.1%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.2%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
FRESDrive 1PUNT
9 plays · 34 yds · 3:1865% → 64%
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
64.5%
Marcus McMaryion pass complete to Ronnie Rivers for 7 yds to the FrsSt 32Similar
Q1 14:00
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+10
64.5%
Ronnie Rivers run for 10 yds to the FrsSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:37
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+1
64.5%
Ronnie Rivers run for 1 yd to the FrsSt 43Similar
Q1 13:00
2ND & 9
OWN 43
+14
64.5%
Marcus McMaryion pass complete to Jamire Jordan for 14 yds to the ArzSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:30
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+2
64.6%
Ronnie Rivers run for 2 yds to the ArzSt 41Similar
Q1 11:50
2ND & 8
OPP 41
0
64.7%
Marcus McMaryion pass incomplete to KeeSean JohnsonSimilar
Q1 11:44
3RD & 8
OPP 41
0
64.6%
Marcus McMaryion pass incomplete to Michiah QuickSimilar
Q1 11:37
4TH & 8
OPP 41
0
64.3%
Blake Cusick punt for 41 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 1:4436% → 36%
Q1 11:29
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
64.2%
Manny Wilkins pass complete to Brandon Aiyuk for 3 yds to the ArzSt 23Similar
Q1 11:00
2ND & 7
OWN 23
+1
64.1%
Eno Benjamin run for 1 yd to the ArzSt 24Similar
Q1 10:20
3RD & 6
OWN 24
-3
64.2%
Manny Wilkins run for a loss of 3 yards to the ArzSt 21Similar
Q1 9:45
4TH & 9
OWN 21
0
64.4%
Michael Sleep-Dalton punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Ronnie Rivers at the FrsSt 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FRESDrive 3FG
7 plays · 45 yds · 2:3664% → 65%
Q1 9:38
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+9
64.2%
Marcus McMaryion pass complete to Jared Rice for 9 yds to the FrsSt 43Similar
Q1 9:00
2ND & 1
OWN 43
+7
64.6%
Marcus McMaryion run for 7 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:25
1ST & 10
50
+26
64.6%
Marcus McMaryion pass complete to KeeSean Johnson for 26 yds to the ArzSt 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:52
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
64.9%
Marcus McMaryion pass incomplete to Jamire JordanSimilar
Q1 7:46
2ND & 10
OPP 24
+3
64.7%
Ronnie Rivers run for 3 yds to the ArzSt 21Similar
Q1 7:07
3RD & 7
OPP 21
0
64.5%
Marcus McMaryion pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:02
4TH & 7
OPP 21
+39
64.9%
Asa Fuller 39 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 4INT TD
6 plays · 29 yds · 1:5635% → 34%
Q1 6:54
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+5
64.6%
Manny Wilkins pass complete to Brandon Aiyuk for 5 yds to the ArzSt 42Similar
Q1 6:24
2ND & 5
OWN 42
+1
64.2%
Manny Wilkins pass complete to Brandon Aiyuk for 1 yd to the ArzSt 43Similar
Q1 5:55
3RD & 4
OWN 43
+21
64.2%
Manny Wilkins pass complete to Brandon Aiyuk for 21 yds to the FrsSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:30
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+2
63.9%
Eno Benjamin run for 2 yds to the FrsSt 34Similar
Q1 4:58
2ND & 8
OPP 34
+70
66.0%
Manny Wilkins pass intercepted for a TD Anthoula Kelly return for 70 yds for a TD (Asa Fuller KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 5TD
10 plays · 65 yds · 3:1533% → 37%
Q1 4:40
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+7
67.0%
Eno Benjamin run for 7 yds to the ArzSt 42Similar
Q1 4:20
2ND & 3
OWN 42
+9
66.6%
Eno Benjamin run for 9 yds to the FrsSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:49
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+1
66.5%
Eno Benjamin run for 1 yd to the FrsSt 48Similar
Q1 3:21
2ND & 9
OPP 48
0
67.2%
Manny Wilkins pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:00
3RD & 9
OPP 48
+12
67.6%
Manny Wilkins pass complete to Curtis Hodges for 12 yds to the FrsSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:40
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+11
67.2%
Manny Wilkins run for 11 yds to the FrsSt 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+13
66.9%
Manny Wilkins pass complete to Eno Benjamin for 13 yds to the FrsSt 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:37
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+9
66.9%
Manny Wilkins pass complete to Terrell Chatman for 9 yds to the FrsSt 3Similar
Q1 1:25
2ND & 1
OPP 3
+3
62.7%
Manny Wilkins pass complete to Kyle Williams for 3 yds for a TD (Brandon Ruiz KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FRESDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 1:0864% → 63%
Q1 1:19
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+3
64.4%
Ronnie Rivers run for 3 yds to the FrsSt 26Similar
Q1 0:31
2ND & 7
OWN 26
0
64.4%
Marcus McMaryion pass incomplete to Jared RiceSimilar
Q1 0:26
3RD & 7
OWN 26
0
63.8%
Marcus McMaryion pass incomplete to Cam SuttonSimilar
Q1 0:11
4TH & 7
OWN 26
+17
63.3%
Blake Cusick punt for 49 yds , Brandon Aiyuk returns for 17 yds to the ArzSt 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 7TD
10 plays · 58 yds · 2:1836% → 44%
Q1 0:01
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-10
63.6%
Wilkins, Manny pass complete to Darby, Frank for 33 yards to the FRESNOST25, PENALTY ARIZONAST holding 10 yards to the ARIZONAST32, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 20
OWN 32
+7
64.6%
Manny Wilkins pass complete to Tommy Hudson for 7 yds to the ArzSt 39Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 13
OWN 39
+11
64.4%
Eno Benjamin run for 11 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 14:40
3RD & 2
50
+8
63.3%
Manny Wilkins run for 8 yds to the FrsSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:00
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+9
63.0%
Manny Wilkins pass complete to Brandon Aiyuk for 9 yds to the FrsSt 33Similar
Q2 13:39
2ND & 1
OPP 33
0
62.3%
Manny Wilkins pass incomplete to Tommy HudsonSimilar
Q2 13:37
3RD & 1
OPP 33
+3
62.3%
Manny Wilkins run for 3 yds to the FrsSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:20
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+13
61.8%
Eno Benjamin run for 13 yds to the FrsSt 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:43
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+17
56.3%
Eno Benjamin run for 17 yds for a TD (Brandon Ruiz KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FRESDrive 8TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 4:2759% → 67%
Q2 12:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
59.3%
Ronnie Rivers run for 15 yds to the FrsSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:10
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+19
60.8%
Ronnie Rivers run for 19 yds to the ArzSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:40
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+5
61.4%
KeeSean Johnson run for 5 yds to the ArzSt 36Similar
Q2 11:00
2ND & 5
OPP 36
+12
61.3%
Marcus McMaryion pass complete to Dejonte O'Neal for 12 yds to the ArzSt 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:30
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+5
61.9%
Dejonte O'Neal run for 5 yds to the ArzSt 19Similar
Q2 10:00
2ND & 5
OPP 19
+3
61.8%
Ronnie Rivers run for 3 yds to the ArzSt 16Similar
Q2 9:20
3RD & 2
OPP 16
+8
60.3%
Marcus McMaryion pass complete to Derrion Grim for 8 yds to the ArzSt 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:45
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
-2
61.2%
Ronnie Rivers run for a loss of 2 yards to the ArzSt 10Similar
Q2 8:03
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
+10
67.4%
Marcus McMaryion run for 10 yds for a TD (Asa Fuller KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 9FG
22 plays · 72 yds · 6:5436% → 45%
Q2 7:45
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+1
64.1%
Eno Benjamin run for 1 yd to the ArzSt 27Similar
Q2 7:10
2ND & 9
OWN 27
+3
64.3%
Manny Wilkins pass complete to Kyle Williams for 3 yds to the ArzSt 30Similar
Q2 6:40
3RD & 6
OWN 30
+12
64.5%
Manny Wilkins pass complete to Brandon Aiyuk for 12 yds to the ArzSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:09
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
62.4%
Manny Wilkins pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:50
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+11
62.9%
Manny Wilkins pass complete to Kyle Williams for 11 yds to the FrsSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:20
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+16
61.5%
Eno Benjamin run for 16 yds to the FrsSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:05
1ST & 10
OPP 31
-2
60.5%
Isaiah Floyd run for a loss of 2 yards to the FrsSt 33Similar
Q2 4:36
2ND & 12
OPP 33
+5
60.9%
FRESNO ST Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the FrsSt 28Similar
Q2 4:20
2ND & 7
OPP 28
+4
60.1%
Eno Benjamin run for 4 yds to the FrsSt 24Similar
Q2 4:00
3RD & 3
OPP 24
+5
61.1%
Eno Benjamin run for 5 yds to the FrsSt 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:30
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+4
60.0%
Eno Benjamin run for 4 yds to the FrsSt 15Similar
Q2 3:00
2ND & 6
OPP 15
+4
59.9%
A.J. Carter run for 4 yds to the FrsSt 11Similar
Q2 2:24
3RD & 2
OPP 11
+1
60.7%
A.J. Carter run for 1 yd to the FrsSt 10Similar
Q2 2:10
4TH & 1
OPP 10
+2
62.0%
Manny Wilkins run for 2 yds to the FrsSt 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:49
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+1
58.7%
Eno Benjamin run for 1 yd to the FrsSt 7Similar
Q2 1:04
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+2
58.6%
Manny Wilkins pass complete to Brandon Aiyuk for 2 yds to the FrsSt 5Similar
Q2 0:54
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
+3
59.7%
Manny Wilkins run for 3 yds to the FrsSt 2Similar
Q2 0:51
4TH & GOAL
OPP 2
+20
55.1%
Brandon Ruiz 20 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FRESDrive 10END OF HALF
3 plays · -2 yds · 0:3961% → 61%
Q2 0:39
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
61.1%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the FrsSt 24Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 11
OWN 24
-1
60.6%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the FrsSt 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 11PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 1:2542% → 40%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+1
57.9%
Eno Benjamin run for 1 yd to the ArzSt 30Similar
Q3 14:40
2ND & 9
OWN 30
+2
57.9%
Manny Wilkins run for 2 yds to the ArzSt 32Similar
Q3 13:53
3RD & 7
OWN 32
0
58.6%
Manny Wilkins pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 13:35
4TH & 7
OWN 32
+41
59.8%
Michael Sleep-Dalton punt for 48 yds , Ronnie Rivers returns for 41 yds to the ArzSt 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FRESDrive 12FUMBLE
5 plays · 38 yds · 1:3065% → 65%
Q3 13:15
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+9
65.0%
Marcus McMaryion pass complete to Jared Rice for 9 yds to the ArzSt 30Similar
Q3 12:50
2ND & 1
OPP 30
+3
65.5%
Dejonte O'Neal run for 3 yds to the ArzSt 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:22
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
65.4%
Marcus McMaryion pass incomplete to Ronnie RiversSimilar
Q3 12:22
2ND & 10
OPP 20
-3
65.4%
Marcus McMaryion pass complete to Ronnie Rivers for 7 yds to the ArzSt 20 FRESNO ST Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the ArzSt 30Similar
Q3 11:45
2ND & 13
OPP 30
+29
64.5%
Marcus McMaryion pass complete to Dejonte O'Neal for 29 yds Dejonte O'Neal fumbled, recovered by ArzStSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 13PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:4442% → 40%
Q3 11:15
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
57.9%
Eno Benjamin run for no gain to the ArzSt 20Similar
Q3 10:53
2ND & 10
OWN 20
0
58.1%
Manny Wilkins pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 10:45
3RD & 10
OWN 20
0
59.5%
Manny Wilkins pass incomplete to Brandon AiyukSimilar
Q3 10:31
4TH & 10
OWN 20
0
60.5%
Michael Sleep-Dalton punt for 47 yds, downed at the FrsSt 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FRESDrive 14INT
3 plays · 4 yds · 0:3761% → 61%
Q3 10:20
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+4
61.2%
Ronnie Rivers run for 4 yds to the FrsSt 37Similar
Q3 9:47
2ND & 6
OWN 37
0
62.9%
Marcus McMaryion pass incomplete to Jamire JordanSimilar
Q3 9:43
3RD & 6
OWN 37
+6
60.9%
Marcus McMaryion pass intercepted Aashari Crosswell return for 6 yds to the FrsSt 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 15FG
8 plays · 13 yds · 4:0146% → 51%
Q3 9:34
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+8
54.0%
Eno Benjamin run for 8 yds to the FrsSt 31Similar
Q3 9:00
2ND & 2
OPP 31
-1
52.3%
Eno Benjamin run for a loss of 1 yard to the FrsSt 32Similar
Q3 8:34
3RD & 3
OPP 32
-5
53.6%
ARIZONA ST Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the FrsSt 37Similar
Q3 8:00
3RD & 8
OPP 37
+8
54.0%
Eno Benjamin run for 8 yds to the FrsSt 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:30
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+3
51.7%
Eno Benjamin run for 3 yds to the FrsSt 26Similar
Q3 7:00
2ND & 7
OPP 26
+2
51.6%
Manny Wilkins run for 2 yds to the FrsSt 24Similar
Q3 6:00
3RD & 5
OPP 24
-2
52.8%
Eno Benjamin run for a loss of 2 yards to the FrsSt 26Similar
Q3 5:33
4TH & 7
OPP 26
+44
48.7%
Brandon Ruiz 44 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FRESDrive 16INT
4 plays · 2 yds · 1:1851% → 48%
Q3 5:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
51.2%
Marcus McMaryion run for 1 yd to the FrsSt 26Similar
Q3 4:50
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+1
50.3%
Ronnie Rivers run for 1 yd to the FrsSt 27Similar
Q3 4:02
3RD & 8
OWN 27
0
48.1%
Marcus McMaryion pass intercepted Chase Lucas return for no gain to the ArzSt 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 1:3156% → 54%
Q3 3:30
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
44.1%
Manny Wilkins pass complete to Kyle Williams for no gain to the ArzSt 47Similar
Q3 3:05
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+6
44.1%
Eno Benjamin run for 6 yds to the FrsSt 47Similar
Q3 2:50
3RD & 4
OPP 47
+3
43.9%
Manny Wilkins run for 3 yds to the FrsSt 44Similar
Q3 2:18
4TH & 1
OPP 44
-5
45.8%
ARIZONA ST Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the FrsSt 49Similar
Q3 1:59
4TH & 6
OPP 49
0
46.3%
Michael Sleep-Dalton punt for 29 yds, fair catch by Ronnie Rivers at the FrsSt 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FRESDrive 18TD
4 plays · 80 yds · 0:5249% → 71%
Q3 1:52
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
49.1%
Marcus McMaryion pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 1:30
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+12
48.7%
Marcus McMaryion pass complete to Ronnie Rivers for 12 yds to the FrsSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:11
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
49.6%
Marcus McMaryion pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 1:00
2ND & 10
OWN 32
+68
71.3%
Ronnie Rivers run for 68 yds for a TD (Asa Fuller KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 19Uncategorized
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:4432% → 29%
Q3 0:44
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
67.6%
Manny Wilkins pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 0:31
2ND & 10
OWN 31
+7
68.3%
Isaiah Floyd run for 7 yds to the ArzSt 38Similar
Q3 0:10
3RD & 3
OWN 38
-6
66.2%
Manny Wilkins sacked by James Bailey for a loss of 6 yards to the ArzSt 32Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 9
OWN 32
0
70.6%
Michael Sleep-Dalton punt for 64 yds, downed at the FrsSt 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FRESDrive 20PUNT
8 plays · 36 yds · 3:5571% → 72%
Q4 14:35
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+5
70.7%
Ronnie Rivers run for 5 yds to the FrsSt 9Similar
Q4 14:00
2ND & 5
OWN 9
+13
70.5%
Marcus McMaryion pass complete to Jared Rice for 13 yds to the FrsSt 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:38
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+7
71.5%
Marcus McMaryion pass complete to KeeSean Johnson for 7 yds to the FrsSt 29Similar
Q4 13:00
2ND & 3
OWN 29
+3
73.1%
Ronnie Rivers run for 3 yds to the FrsSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:15
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+2
72.3%
Ronnie Rivers run for 2 yds to the FrsSt 34Similar
Q4 11:30
2ND & 8
OWN 34
+6
72.2%
Marcus McMaryion pass complete to Michiah Quick for 6 yds to the FrsSt 40Similar
Q4 10:53
3RD & 2
OWN 40
0
73.6%
Marcus McMaryion pass incomplete to David TangipaSimilar
Q4 10:40
4TH & 2
OWN 40
0
71.8%
Blake Cusick punt for 44 yds, downed at the ArzSt 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 21PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 1:5231% → 28%
Q4 10:30
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+3
68.9%
Eno Benjamin run for 3 yds to the ArzSt 19Similar
Q4 10:00
2ND & 7
OWN 19
-6
69.2%
Manny Wilkins pass complete to Brandon Aiyuk for a loss of 6 yards to the ArzSt 13Similar
Q4 9:40
3RD & 13
OWN 13
+7
70.9%
Manny Wilkins pass complete to Curtis Hodges for 7 yds to the ArzSt 20Similar
Q4 8:38
4TH & 6
OWN 20
0
72.0%
Michael Sleep-Dalton punt for 35 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the FrsSt 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FRESDrive 22TD
7 plays · 55 yds · 3:1276% → 94%
Q4 8:31
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
75.7%
Marcus McMaryion pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 8:15
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+7
74.7%
Marcus McMaryion pass complete to Ronnie Rivers for 7 yds to the ArzSt 48Similar
Q4 7:46
3RD & 3
OPP 48
+23
77.7%
Marcus McMaryion run for 23 yds to the ArzSt 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+5
82.0%
Ronnie Rivers run for 5 yds to the ArzSt 20Similar
Q4 6:40
2ND & 5
OPP 20
+9
82.1%
Marcus McMaryion pass complete to Jared Rice for 9 yds to the ArzSt 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:00
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+6
82.9%
Ronnie Rivers run for 6 yds to the ArzSt 5Similar
Q4 5:19
2ND & 4
OPP 5
+5
93.6%
Ronnie Rivers run for 5 yds for a TD (Asa Fuller KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 23INT
8 plays · 28 yds · 1:298% → 7%
Q4 5:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+3
91.7%
Manny Wilkins pass complete to Eno Benjamin for 3 yds to the ArzSt 39Similar
Q4 4:48
2ND & 7
OWN 39
0
91.2%
Manny Wilkins pass incomplete to Eno BenjaminSimilar
Q4 4:27
3RD & 7
OWN 39
+11
92.4%
Manny Wilkins run for 11 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:00
1ST & 10
50
+14
91.4%
Manny Wilkins pass complete to Brandon Aiyuk for 14 yds to the FrsSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:48
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
91.7%
Manny Wilkins pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 3:40
2ND & 10
OPP 36
0
91.7%
Manny Wilkins pass incomplete to Frank DarbySimilar
Q4 3:31
3RD & 10
OPP 36
+1
93.4%
Manny Wilkins pass intercepted Juju Hughes return for 1 yd to the FrsSt 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FRESDrive 24Uncategorized
10 plays · 57 yds · 2:4095% → 97%
Q4 3:25
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+5
94.5%
Ronnie Rivers run for 5 yds to the FrsSt 16Similar
Q4 3:17
2ND & 5
OWN 16
+4
95.5%
Ronnie Rivers run for 4 yds to the FrsSt 20Similar
Q4 3:05
3RD & 1
OWN 20
+9
96.2%
Ronnie Rivers run for 9 yds to the FrsSt 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:35
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+4
96.3%
Ronnie Rivers run for 4 yds to the FrsSt 33Similar
Q4 2:10
2ND & 6
OWN 33
+4
96.4%
Ronnie Rivers run for 4 yds to the FrsSt 37Similar
Q4 1:40
3RD & 2
OWN 37
+33
97.0%
Ronnie Rivers run for 33 yds to the ArzSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:45
1ST & 10
OPP 30
-2
97.4%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the ArzSt 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 1:00
Ronnie Rivers run for 68 yds for a TD (Asa Fuller KICK)
+21.7
TD · Q4 5:19
Ronnie Rivers run for 5 yds for a TD (Asa Fuller KICK)
+10.7
TD · Q2 8:03
Marcus McMaryion run for 10 yds for a TD (Asa Fuller KICK)
+6.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com