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BOIS

Boise State 45 at New Mexico 14

UNM
2018 · Week 12 · Nov 16, 2018 · University Stadium (NM)
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Win probability · UNM
modelUNM aheadBOIS aheadconfidence bandkey playUNM scoreBOIS score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDFUMBLEFGTDTDTDEnd of GameTD-2.7UNM 0.9%Alexander Mattison run for 41 yds fora TD (Haden Hoggarth KICK)AWAY 38 - HOME 14 · Q4 8:18
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 8:18 · Alexander Mattison run for 41 yds for a TD (Haden Hoggarth KICK)
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+58.5+29.30−29.3−58.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 143Pregame prior−8.2Home team on offense−48.8Score differential−27.6Garbage-time factor−9.5Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−8.5Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−5.4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 13:07: Daevon Vigilant run for 1 yd for a TD (Andrew Shelley KICK) — UNM win probability +3.2 pts (now 14%) (top driver: UNM has the ball).
  2. FUMBLE · Q2 9:38: Zahneer Shuler run for a loss of 1 yard Zahneer Shuler fumbled, forced by Desmond Williams, recovered by BoiSt Desmond Williams , return for 9 yds (Haden Hoggarth KICK) — BOIS win probability +3.6 pts (now 90%) (top driver: UNM has the ball).
  3. FG · Q2 0:39: Haden Hoggarth 34 yd FG GOOD — BOIS win probability +2.3 pts (now 93%) (top driver: BOIS has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 11:07: Brett Rypien pass complete to Sean Modster for 5 yds for a TD (Haden Hoggarth KICK) — BOIS win probability +4.4 pts (now 97%) (top driver: BOIS has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 8:18: Alexander Mattison run for 41 yds for a TD (Haden Hoggarth KICK) — BOIS win probability +2.7 pts (now 99%) (top driver: BOIS has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UNM made the numbers' call on 6 of 6BOIS made the numbers' call on 3 of 5
  1. Q1 8:47UNM 4th & 18 at UNM 40, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 11.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.0%−0.2
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    11.2%
    average punt
  2. Q2 10:21BOIS 4th & 7 at UNM 41, up 7
    Close callPunted · 85.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.3%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    84.8%−0.4
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    85.1%−0.2
    average punt
  3. Q2 5:23UNM 4th & 2 at BOIS 42, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 12.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    12.1%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    11.4%−0.7
    30% to make
    Punt
    11.5%−0.6
    average punt
  4. Q2 1:41UNM 4th & 9 at BOIS 20, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 11.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.4%−0.4
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    11.8%
    75% to make
    Punt
    10.0%−1.8
    average punt
  5. Q2 0:39BOIS 4th & 3 at UNM 17, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 89.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.0%−0.2
    51% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    89.2%
    80% to make
    Punt
    86.0%−3.2
    average punt
  6. Q3 7:23UNM 4th & 14 at BOIS 46, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.3%−0.6
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    3.3%−0.7
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    3.9%
    average punt
  7. Q3 1:14BOIS 4th & 18 at UNM 26, up 24
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 97.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.7%−0.2
    12% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    97.9%
    64% to make
    Punt
    97.3%−0.5
    average punt
  8. Q4 14:09UNM 4th & 8 at UNM 26, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.9%−0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.0%
    average punt
  9. Q4 10:50BOIS 4th & 7 at BOIS 42, up 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 98.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.4%−0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.5%
    average punt
  10. Q4 9:21BOIS 4th & 9 at UNM 40, up 17
    Close callPunted · 95.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.4%
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    95.2%−0.2
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    95.4%−<0.1
    average punt
  11. Q4 5:15UNM 4th & 1 at BOIS 49, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 1.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.0%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.9%−0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UNM made the numbers' call on 1 of 1BOIS made the numbers' call on 3 of 5
  1. Q1 12:35BOIS Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    89.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    89.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 2:21BOIS Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    88.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    88.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 13:07UNM Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    14.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    14.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 11:07BOIS Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 8:18BOIS Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.7%−0.2
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.9%
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 1:14BOIS Touchdown, up 30 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
BOISDrive 1TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 2:1092% → 91%
Q1 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+13
8.3%
Alexander Mattison run for 13 yds to the BoiSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:30
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+11
8.3%
Billy Bowens run for 11 yds to the BoiSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:00
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+16
8.5%
Brett Rypien pass complete to CT Thomas for 16 yds to the NMex 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:25
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+14
8.7%
Alexander Mattison run for 14 yds to the NMex 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:00
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+6
8.8%
Alexander Mattison run for 6 yds to the NMex 15Similar
Q1 12:35
2ND & 4
OPP 15
+15
8.7%
Brett Rypien pass complete to Sean Modster for 15 yds for a TD (Haden Hoggarth KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 2PUNT
12 plays · 15 yds · 3:489% → 10%
Q1 12:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
8.8%
NEW MEXICO Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the NMex 20Similar
Q1 12:30
1ST & 15
OWN 20
+3
8.8%
Tyrone Owens run for 3 yds to the NMex 23Similar
Q1 11:56
2ND & 12
OWN 23
+12
8.9%
Tyrone Owens run for 12 yds to the NMex 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:33
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-1
9.1%
Tyrone Owens run for a loss of 1 yard to the NMex 34Similar
Q1 10:36
2ND & 11
OWN 34
+5
9.3%
Sheriron Jones run for 5 yds to the NMex 39Similar
Q1 10:01
3RD & 6
OWN 39
+9
9.5%
Sheriron Jones run for 9 yds to the NMex 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:45
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+7
9.7%
Tyrone Owens run for 7 yds to the BoiSt 45Similar
Q1 9:05
2ND & 3
OPP 45
-15
10.0%
NEW MEXICO Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (-15 Yards) to the NMex 40Similar
Q1 8:55
2ND & 18
OWN 40
0
9.7%
Sheriron Jones pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:48
3RD & 18
OWN 40
0
9.7%
Sheriron Jones pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:47
4TH & 18
OWN 40
0
9.6%
Tyson Dyer punt for 40 yds , Avery Williams returns for no gain to the BoiSt 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 3TD
15 plays · 80 yds · 6:1490% → 91%
Q1 8:35
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+8
9.7%
Brett Rypien run for 8 yds to the BoiSt 28Similar
Q1 8:10
2ND & 2
OWN 28
-2
9.8%
Alexander Mattison run for a loss of 2 yards to the BoiSt 26Similar
Q1 7:25
3RD & 4
OWN 26
+4
10.0%
Alexander Mattison run for 4 yds to the BoiSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:51
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+5
10.1%
Brett Rypien run for 5 yds to the BoiSt 35Similar
Q1 6:14
2ND & 5
OWN 35
+6
10.2%
Brett Rypien pass complete to Chase Blakley for 6 yds to the BoiSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:45
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+11
10.2%
Alexander Mattison run for 11 yds to the NMex 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:22
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+8
10.3%
Alexander Mattison run for 8 yds to the NMex 40Similar
Q1 4:44
2ND & 2
OPP 40
+6
10.4%
Robert Mahone run for 6 yds to the NMex 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:28
1ST & 10
OPP 34
-5
10.4%
BOISE ST Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the NMex 39Similar
Q1 4:12
1ST & 15
OPP 39
0
10.6%
Brett Rypien pass incomplete to CT ThomasSimilar
Q1 4:00
2ND & 15
OPP 39
+18
10.7%
Brett Rypien pass complete to Sean Modster for 18 yds to the NMex 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:33
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+3
10.6%
Robert Mahone run for 3 yds to the NMex 18Similar
Q1 3:00
2ND & 7
OPP 18
+7
10.8%
Brett Rypien pass complete to CT Thomas for 7 yds to the NMex 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:27
1ST & 10
OPP 11
-5
10.9%
BOISE ST Penalty, Ineligible Downfield on Pass (-5 Yards) to the NMex 16Similar
Q1 2:21
1ST & 15
OPP 16
+16
9.2%
Brett Rypien pass complete to Sean Modster for 16 yds for a TD (Haden Hoggarth KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 4TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 3:4310% → 14%
Q1 1:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
9.7%
Bryson Carroll run for 9 yds to the NMex 34Similar
Q1 1:33
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+4
10.0%
Daevon Vigilant run for 4 yds to the NMex 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:11
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
10.1%
Bryson Carroll run for no gain to the NMex 38Similar
Q1 0:30
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+18
10.1%
Sheriron Jones run for 18 yds to the BoiSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:55
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+8
10.5%
Daevon Vigilant run for 8 yds to the BoiSt 36Similar
Q2 14:20
2ND & 2
OPP 36
+3
10.7%
Daevon Vigilant run for 3 yds to the BoiSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:47
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+9
10.8%
Sheriron Jones pass complete to Marcus Williams for 9 yds to the BoiSt 24Similar
Q2 13:36
2ND & 1
OPP 24
+3
10.8%
Daevon Vigilant run for 3 yds to the BoiSt 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:11
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+20
10.9%
Sheriron Jones pass complete to Delane Hart-Johnson for 20 yds to the BoiSt 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:07
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
14.1%
Daevon Vigilant run for 1 yd for a TD (Andrew Shelley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 5PUNT
12 plays · 34 yds · 2:3687% → 87%
Q2 12:57
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
12.6%
Alexander Mattison run for 2 yds to the BoiSt 27Similar
Q2 12:31
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+18
12.7%
Brett Rypien pass complete to Sean Modster for 18 yds to the BoiSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:00
1ST & 10
OWN 45
-1
12.4%
Brett Rypien sacked by Erin Austin and Sitiveni Tamaivena for a loss of 1 yard to the BoiSt 44Similar
Q2 11:31
2ND & 11
OWN 44
+12
12.7%
Alexander Mattison run for 12 yds to the NMex 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:22
1ST & 10
OPP 44
-10
12.4%
BOISE ST Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the BoiSt 46Similar
Q2 10:39
1ST & 20
OWN 46
0
13.0%
Brett Rypien pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:35
2ND & 20
OWN 46
0
13.3%
Brett Rypien pass incomplete to CT ThomasSimilar
Q2 10:35
3RD & 20
OWN 46
-5
13.4%
BOISE ST Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the BoiSt 41Similar
Q2 10:29
3RD & 25
OWN 41
+18
13.5%
Brett Rypien pass complete to Sean Modster for 18 yds to the NMex 41Similar
Q2 10:21
4TH & 7
OPP 41
0
12.8%
Quinn Skillin punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Marcus Hayes at the NMex 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 6FUMBLE TD
2 plays · 4 yds · 0:2213% → 10%
Q2 10:00
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+5
13.2%
Zahneer Shuler run for 5 yds to the NMex 10Similar
Q2 9:38
2ND & 5
OWN 10
+9
9.6%
Zahneer Shuler run for a loss of 1 yard Zahneer Shuler fumbled, forced by Desmond Williams, recovered by BoiSt Desmond Williams , return for 9 yds (Haden Hoggarth KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 7MISSED FG
17 plays · 55 yds · 7:4610% → 11%
Q2 9:27
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
9.7%
Bryson Carroll run for 9 yds to the NMex 34Similar
Q2 9:09
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+5
9.9%
Tyrone Owens run for 5 yds to the NMex 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:30
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+9
10.2%
Bryson Carroll run for 9 yds to the NMex 48Similar
Q2 7:16
2ND & 1
OWN 48
+2
10.5%
Tyrone Owens run for 2 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:00
1ST & 10
50
+6
10.5%
Bryson Carroll run for 6 yds to the BoiSt 44Similar
Q2 6:34
2ND & 4
OPP 44
0
10.6%
Bryson Carroll run for no gain to the BoiSt 44Similar
Q2 5:55
3RD & 4
OPP 44
+2
10.7%
Sheriron Jones run for 2 yds to the BoiSt 42Similar
Q2 5:23
4TH & 2
OPP 42
+2
10.7%
Sheriron Jones run for 2 yds to the BoiSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:44
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+3
10.9%
Tyrone Owens run for 3 yds to the BoiSt 37Similar
Q2 3:55
2ND & 7
OPP 37
+16
11.0%
Sheriron Jones pass complete to Delane Hart-Johnson for 16 yds to the BoiSt 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:33
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+4
11.3%
Tyrone Owens run for 4 yds to the BoiSt 17Similar
Q2 2:58
2ND & 6
OPP 17
-1
11.4%
Bryson Carroll run for a loss of 1 yard to the BoiSt 18Similar
Q2 2:34
3RD & 7
OPP 18
-2
11.0%
Sheriron Jones sacked by Curtis Weaver and Jabari Watson for a loss of 2 yards to the BoiSt 20Similar
Q2 1:41
4TH & 9
OPP 20
+37
10.9%
Andrew Shelley 37 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 8FG
10 plays · 63 yds · 0:4391% → 93%
Q2 1:22
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+17
9.5%
Brett Rypien pass complete to Alexander Mattison for 17 yds to the BoiSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:16
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+16
9.3%
Brett Rypien pass complete to Chase Blakley for 16 yds to the NMex 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:00
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+23
8.8%
Brett Rypien pass complete to Alexander Mattison for 23 yds to the NMex 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:54
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+7
8.5%
Alexander Mattison run for 7 yds to the NMex 17Similar
Q2 0:48
2ND & 3
OPP 17
0
8.8%
Brett Rypien pass incomplete to Sean ModsterSimilar
Q2 0:44
3RD & 3
OPP 17
0
9.0%
Brett Rypien pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:39
4TH & 3
OPP 17
+34
7.4%
Haden Hoggarth 34 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 9END OF HALF
2 plays · 3 yds · 0:0012% → 12%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
12.4%
Tyrone Owens run for 3 yds to the NMex 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 10FUMBLE
3 plays · 4 yds · 0:249% → 9%
Q3 14:44
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
8.6%
Daevon Vigilant run for no gain to the NMex 25Similar
Q3 14:20
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+4
8.5%
Daevon Vigilant run for 4 yds to the NMex 29 Daevon Vigilant fumbled, recovered by BoiSt Kekoa NawahineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 11TD
8 plays · 29 yds · 2:4693% → 97%
Q3 13:53
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+3
7.2%
Alexander Mattison run for 3 yds to the NMex 26Similar
Q3 13:36
2ND & 7
OPP 26
0
7.4%
Brett Rypien pass complete to Alexander Mattison for no gain to the NMex 26Similar
Q3 13:06
3RD & 7
OPP 26
+10
7.5%
Brett Rypien run for 10 yds to the NMex 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:38
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+6
7.2%
Alexander Mattison run for 6 yds to the NMex 10Similar
Q3 11:51
2ND & 4
OPP 10
-1
7.0%
Alexander Mattison run for a loss of 1 yard to the NMex 11Similar
Q3 11:19
3RD & 5
OPP 11
0
7.0%
Brett Rypien pass incomplete to Sean ModsterSimilar
Q3 11:15
4TH & 5
OPP 11
+6
7.7%
NEW MEXICO Penalty, Roughing the Kicker (6 Yards) to the NMex 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:07
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
3.3%
Brett Rypien pass complete to Sean Modster for 5 yds for a TD (Haden Hoggarth KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 12PUNT
8 plays · 29 yds · 3:304% → 3%
Q3 10:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
4.1%
Bryson Carroll run for 3 yds to the NMex 28Similar
Q3 10:16
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+1
3.8%
Tyrone Owens run for 1 yd to the NMex 29Similar
Q3 9:45
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+29
3.6%
Sheriron Jones pass complete to Delane Hart-Johnson for 29 yds to the BoiSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:12
1ST & 10
OPP 42
-1
3.7%
Sheriron Jones pass complete to Jay Griffin IV for a loss of 1 yard to the BoiSt 43Similar
Q3 8:18
2ND & 11
OPP 43
+3
3.6%
Sheriron Jones pass complete to Emmanuel Harris for 3 yds to the BoiSt 40Similar
Q3 7:40
3RD & 8
OPP 40
-6
3.4%
Sheriron Jones sacked by Curtis Weaver and Ezekiel Noa for a loss of 6 yards to the BoiSt 46Similar
Q3 7:23
4TH & 14
OPP 46
0
3.2%
Tyson Dyer punt for 25 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the BoiSt 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 13MISSED FG
14 plays · 53 yds · 6:0197% → 98%
Q3 7:15
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
2.6%
Brett Rypien pass incomplete to Sean ModsterSimilar
Q3 7:04
2ND & 10
OWN 21
+11
2.6%
Brett Rypien pass complete to Sean Modster for 11 yds to the BoiSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:40
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+7
2.6%
Alexander Mattison run for 7 yds to the BoiSt 39Similar
Q3 6:11
2ND & 3
OWN 39
+6
2.2%
Alexander Mattison run for 6 yds to the BoiSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:38
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+2
2.1%
Robert Mahone run for 2 yds to the BoiSt 47Similar
Q3 4:58
2ND & 8
OWN 47
+3
2.1%
Robert Mahone run for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 4:20
3RD & 5
50
+8
1.9%
Brett Rypien pass complete to A.J. Richardson for 8 yds to the NMex 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:43
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+10
1.8%
Brett Rypien pass complete to Sean Modster for 10 yds to the NMex 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:12
1ST & 10
OPP 32
-4
1.7%
Brett Rypien run for a loss of 4 yards to the NMex 36Similar
Q3 2:45
2ND & 14
OPP 36
+18
1.7%
Brett Rypien pass complete to Sean Modster for 18 yds to the NMex 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:10
1ST & 10
OPP 18
0
1.6%
Brett Rypien pass incomplete to Akilian ButlerSimilar
Q3 2:06
2ND & 10
OPP 18
0
1.6%
Brett Rypien pass incomplete to Sean ModsterSimilar
Q3 1:43
3RD & 10
OPP 18
-8
1.7%
Brett Rypien sacked by Brandon Shook for a loss of 8 yards to the NMex 26Similar
Q3 1:14
4TH & 18
OPP 26
+8
1.9%
Haden Hoggarth 43 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by Stanley Barnwell Jr. Brandon Shook return for 8 yds to the NMex 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 14PUNT
6 plays · 16 yds · 1:572% → 2%
Q3 1:06
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+14
2.3%
Sheriron Jones run for 14 yds to the NMex 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:37
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
2.3%
Tyrone Owens run for no gain to the NMex 24Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 10
OWN 24
0
2.0%
Sheriron Jones pass incomplete to Elijah LillySimilar
Q4 14:50
3RD & 10
OWN 24
+2
1.9%
Sheriron Jones run for 2 yds to the NMex 26Similar
Q4 14:09
4TH & 8
OWN 26
+49
1.7%
Tyson Dyer punt for 49 yds , Avery Williams returns for a loss of 1 yard to the BoiSt 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 15PUNT RETURN TD
6 plays · 18 yds · 2:5799% → 96%
Q4 13:47
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+2
1.5%
Jaylon Henderson run for 2 yds to the BoiSt 26Similar
Q4 13:38
2ND & 8
OWN 26
+13
1.5%
Jaylon Henderson run for 13 yds to the BoiSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:02
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+6
1.4%
Alexander Mattison run for 6 yds to the BoiSt 45Similar
Q4 12:12
2ND & 4
OWN 45
+1
1.3%
Alexander Mattison run for 1 yd to the BoiSt 46Similar
Q4 11:11
3RD & 3
OWN 46
-4
1.2%
Brett Rypien sacked by Erin Austin for a loss of 4 yards to the BoiSt 42Similar
Q4 10:50
4TH & 7
OWN 42
+86
4.2%
Quinn Skillin punt for 44 yds , Marcus Hayes returns for 86 yds for a TD (Andrew Shelley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 16PUNT
6 plays · 1 yds · 0:5397% → 96%
Q4 10:14
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+3
3.5%
Alexander Mattison run for 3 yds to the NMex 38Similar
Q4 10:03
2ND & 7
OPP 38
-2
3.4%
Alexander Mattison run for a loss of 2 yards to the NMex 40Similar
Q4 9:30
3RD & 9
OPP 40
0
3.5%
Brett Rypien pass incomplete to Sean ModsterSimilar
Q4 9:21
4TH & 9
OPP 40
0
3.7%
Quinn Skillin punt for 40 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 17INT
3 plays · 12 yds · 0:334% → 4%
Q4 9:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+12
3.7%
Sheriron Jones pass complete to Delane Hart-Johnson for 12 yds to the NMex 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:00
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
3.7%
Sheriron Jones run for no gain to the NMex 32Similar
Q4 8:27
2ND & 10
OWN 32
0
3.6%
Sheriron Jones pass intercepted Kekaula Kaniho return for no gain to the NMex 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 18TD
1 play · 41 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q4 8:18
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+41
0.9%
Alexander Mattison run for 41 yds for a TD (Haden Hoggarth KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 19DOWNS
8 plays · 26 yds · 2:571% → 1%
Q4 8:12
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
1.0%
Sheriron Jones pass incomplete to Emmanuel HarrisSimilar
Q4 7:45
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+2
1.0%
Tyrone Owens run for 2 yds to the NMex 27Similar
Q4 7:09
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+15
0.8%
Sheriron Jones pass complete to Aaron Molina for 15 yds to the NMex 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:51
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+9
0.8%
Sheriron Jones run for 9 yds to the BoiSt 49Similar
Q4 6:00
2ND & 1
OPP 49
0
0.8%
Tyrone Owens run for no gain to the BoiSt 49Similar
Q4 5:50
3RD & 1
OPP 49
0
0.8%
Tyrone Owens run for no gain to the BoiSt 49Similar
Q4 5:15
4TH & 1
OPP 49
0
0.8%
Sheriron Jones pass incomplete to Aaron MolinaSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 20TD
8 plays · 51 yds · 3:1799% → 100%
Q4 4:31
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+3
0.6%
Skyler Seibold run for 3 yds to the NMex 48Similar
Q4 4:20
2ND & 7
OPP 48
+10
0.6%
Jaylon Henderson run for 10 yds to the NMex 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:11
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+15
0.6%
NEW MEXICO Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (15 Yards) to the NMex 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:26
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+5
0.5%
Andrew Van Buren run for 5 yds to the NMex 18Similar
Q4 3:05
2ND & 5
OPP 18
+7
0.5%
Andrew Van Buren run for 7 yds to the NMex 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:30
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+2
0.5%
Andrew Van Buren run for 2 yds to the NMex 9Similar
Q4 1:40
2ND & 8
OPP 9
+1
0.4%
Andrew Van Buren run for 1 yd to the NMex 8Similar
Q4 1:14
3RD & 7
OPP 8
+8
0.1%
Andrew Van Buren run for 8 yds for a TD (Haden Hoggarth KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 21Uncategorized
3 plays · 3 yds · 1:000% → 0%
Q4 1:00
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+3
0.0%
Sheriron Jones run for 3 yds to the NMex 19Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 7
OWN 19
0
0.0%
Zahneer Shuler run for no gain to the NMex 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 11:07
Brett Rypien pass complete to Sean Modster for 5 yds for a TD (Haden Hoggarth KICK)
-4.4
FUMBLE · Q2 9:38
Zahneer Shuler run for a loss of 1 yard Zahneer Shuler fumbled, forced by Desmond Williams, recovered by BoiSt Desmond Williams , return for 9 yds (Haden Hoggarth KICK)
-3.6
TD · Q2 13:07
Daevon Vigilant run for 1 yd for a TD (Andrew Shelley KICK)
+3.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com