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AF

Air Force 27 at Wyoming 35

WYO
2018 · Week 12 · Nov 17, 2018 · War Memorial Stadium
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Win probability · WYO
modelWYO aheadAF aheadconfidence bandkey playWYO scoreAF score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDFGTDFGTDTDTDEnd of GameFG-15.4WYO 8.6%Jake Koehnke 21 yd FG GOODAWAY 27 - HOME 14 · Q4 8:44
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 8:44 · Jake Koehnke 21 yd FG GOOD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialPregame priorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+34.5+17.30−17.3−34.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 118Home team on offense−34.5Garbage-time factor−9.3Score differential−16.6Pregame prior+1.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−2.6Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−5.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 10:19: Donald Hammond III run for 36 yds for a TD (Jake Koehnke KICK) — AF win probability +13.6 pts (now 66%) (top driver: AF has the ball).
  2. FG · Q4 8:44: Jake Koehnke 21 yd FG GOOD — AF win probability +15.4 pts (now 91%) (top driver: AF has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 4:32: Tyler Vander Waal run for 5 yds for a TD (Cooper Rothe KICK) — WYO win probability +22.0 pts (now 32%) (top driver: Blowout context favors the defense).
  4. TD · Q4 1:09: Tyler Vander Waal pass complete to Austin Conway for 22 yds for a TD (Cooper Rothe KICK) — WYO win probability +50.6 pts (now 82%) (top driver: WYO has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 0:45: Xazavian Valladay run for 27 yds for a TD WYOMING Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declined (Cooper Rothe KICK) — WYO win probability +17.7 pts (now 97%) (top driver: WYO has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
WYO made the numbers' call on 3 of 4AF made the numbers' call on 4 of 6
  1. Q1 4:44AF 4th & 4 at WYO 26, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 37.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    37.1%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    37.0%−0.1
    64% to make
    Punt
    35.8%−1.4
    average punt
  2. Q2 13:36WYO 4th & 10 at WYO 23, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 58.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.0%−0.8
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    58.7%
    average punt
  3. Q2 1:50AF 4th & 7 at WYO 10, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 45.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.4%−0.3
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    44.7%
    88% to make
    Punt
    38.7%−6.0
    average punt
  4. Q3 10:12WYO 4th & 3 at WYO 40, down 10
    Close callPunted · 34.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.3%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    34.7%−0.6
    average punt
  5. Q3 8:06AF 4th & 1 at AF 41, up 10
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.8 ptsPunted · 65.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.6%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    64.8%−1.8
    average punt
  6. Q3 4:28WYO 4th & 1 at AF 41, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 30.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    30.8%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    25.8%−5.0
    32% to make
    Punt
    26.5%−4.3
    average punt
  7. Q4 15:00AF 4th & 1 at WYO 22, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 74.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    73.8%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    70.6%−3.2
    72% to make
    Punt
    61.1%−12.7
    average punt
  8. Q4 8:44AF 4th & 4 at WYO 4, up 10
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.0 ptsKicked a field goal · 83.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    84.1%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    83.1%−1.0
    93% to make
    Punt
    72.9%−11.2
    average punt
  9. Q4 3:00AF 4th & 10 at AF 25, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 84.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    81.3%−2.7
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    84.1%
    average punt
  10. Q4 2:55WYO 4th & 9 at WYO 43, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 25.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    18.9%
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    15.5%−3.4
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
WYO made the numbers' call on 5 of 5AF made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 11:37WYO Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    60.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    60.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 7:38AF Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    40.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    40.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 4:44WYO Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    62.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    62.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 13:41AF Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    39.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    39.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 10:19AF Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    64.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    64.3%−0.2
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 4:32WYO Touchdown, down 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    16.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    16.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 1:09WYO Touchdown, tied before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    68.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    61.2%−7.2
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 0:45WYO Touchdown, up 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    91.6%−0.8
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
WYODrive 1TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 3:2357% → 59%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+19
57.2%
Nico Evans run for 19 yds to the Wyom 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
57.2%
Sean Chambers pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 44
-1
57.2%
Nico Evans run for a loss of 1 yard to the Wyom 43Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 11
OWN 43
+37
57.2%
Sean Chambers pass complete to Tyree Mayfield for 37 yds to the AFA 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+11
57.2%
Jevon Bigelow run for 11 yds to the AFA 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
-1
57.2%
Jevon Bigelow run for a loss of 1 yard to the AFA 10Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
-1
57.2%
Sean Chambers run for a loss of 1 yard to the AFA 11Similar
Q1 11:37
3RD & GOAL
OPP 11
+11
58.9%
Tyler Vander Waal pass complete to Raghib Ismail Jr. for 11 yds for a TD (Cooper Rothe KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AFDrive 2TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 3:5942% → 44%
Q1 11:37
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
58.5%
Kadin Remsberg run for 15 yds to the AFA 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:37
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+12
58.3%
Kadin Remsberg run for 12 yds to the Wyom 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:37
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+4
58.2%
Cole Fagan run for 4 yds to the Wyom 44Similar
Q1 11:37
2ND & 6
OPP 44
+3
58.2%
Kadin Remsberg run for 3 yds to the Wyom 41Similar
Q1 11:37
3RD & 3
OPP 41
+7
58.2%
Kadin Remsberg run for 7 yds to the Wyom 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:37
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+7
58.0%
Cole Fagan run for 7 yds to the Wyom 27Similar
Q1 11:37
2ND & 3
OPP 27
+25
58.0%
Cole Fagan run for 25 yds to the Wyom 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:37
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
58.0%
Joseph Saucier run for 1 yd to the Wyom 1Similar
Q1 7:38
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
56.2%
Donald Hammond III run for 1 yd for a TD (Jake Koehnke KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 3TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 2:5457% → 63%
Q1 7:38
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
57.4%
Jevon Bigelow run for 1 yd to the Wyom 26Similar
Q1 7:38
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+60
57.3%
Tyler Vander Waal pass complete to Tyree Mayfield for 60 yds to the AFA 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:38
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+2
58.4%
Jevon Bigelow run for 2 yds to the AFA 12Similar
Q1 7:38
2ND & 8
OPP 12
+1
58.4%
Jevon Bigelow run for 1 yd to the AFA 11Similar
Q1 7:38
3RD & 7
OPP 11
+8
58.1%
Austin Conway run for 8 yds to the AFA 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:44
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
62.5%
Tyler Vander Waal run for 3 yds for a TD (Cooper Rothe KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AFDrive 4TD
13 plays · 75 yds · 6:0339% → 46%
Q1 4:44
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
61.3%
Cole Fagan run for 6 yds to the AFA 31Similar
Q1 4:44
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+26
60.9%
Cole Fagan run for 26 yds to the Wyom 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:44
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+8
60.3%
Kadin Remsberg run for 8 yds to the Wyom 35Similar
Q1 4:44
2ND & 2
OPP 35
+3
59.7%
Donald Hammond III run for 3 yds to the Wyom 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:44
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+1
59.8%
Donald Hammond III run for 1 yd to the Wyom 31Similar
Q1 4:44
2ND & 9
OPP 31
+3
59.8%
Taven Birdow run for 3 yds to the Wyom 28Similar
Q1 4:44
3RD & 6
OPP 28
+2
60.2%
Joseph Saucier run for 2 yds to the Wyom 26Similar
Q1 4:44
4TH & 4
OPP 26
+5
60.9%
Donald Hammond III run for 5 yds to the Wyom 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:44
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+6
59.7%
Kadin Remsberg run for 6 yds to the Wyom 15Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 4
OPP 15
+7
60.3%
Kadin Remsberg run for 7 yds to the Wyom 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+4
60.3%
Cole Fagan run for 4 yds to the Wyom 4Similar
Q2 13:41
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
54.4%
Cole Fagan run for 4 yds for a TD (Jake Koehnke KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 5PUNT
6 plays · 0 yds · 0:0058% → 57%
Q2 13:36
1ST & 10
OWN 23
-1
57.9%
Nico Evans run for a loss of 1 yard to the Wyom 22Similar
Q2 13:36
2ND & 11
OWN 22
+6
57.8%
Tyler Vander Waal pass complete to James Price for 6 yds to the Wyom 28Similar
Q2 13:36
3RD & 5
OWN 28
0
57.4%
Tyler Vander Waal pass incomplete to Jevon BigelowSimilar
Q2 13:36
4TH & 5
OWN 28
-5
56.7%
WYOMING Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Wyom 23Similar
Q2 13:36
4TH & 10
OWN 23
0
56.6%
Dontae Crow punt for 68 yds, downed at the AFA 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AFDrive 6FG
20 plays · 81 yds · 10:1243% → 50%
Q2 12:02
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+4
57.1%
Cole Fagan run for 4 yds to the AFA 13Similar
Q2 12:02
2ND & 6
OWN 13
+5
56.8%
Kadin Remsberg run for 5 yds to the AFA 18Similar
Q2 12:02
3RD & 1
OWN 18
+3
57.3%
Donald Hammond III run for 3 yds to the AFA 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:02
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
56.7%
Kadin Remsberg run for no gain to the AFA 21Similar
Q2 12:02
2ND & 10
OWN 21
+20
56.8%
Kadin Remsberg run for 20 yds to the AFA 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:11
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+6
55.4%
Taven Birdow run for 6 yds to the AFA 47Similar
Q2 9:11
2ND & 4
OWN 47
+1
55.1%
Joseph Saucier run for 1 yd to the AFA 48Similar
Q2 9:11
3RD & 3
OWN 48
+4
55.3%
Joseph Saucier run for 4 yds to the Wyom 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:11
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+5
54.7%
Kadin Remsberg run for 5 yds to the Wyom 43Similar
Q2 9:11
2ND & 5
OPP 43
+7
54.7%
Donald Hammond III run for 7 yds to the Wyom 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:11
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+2
54.7%
Cole Fagan run for 2 yds to the Wyom 34Similar
Q2 9:11
2ND & 8
OPP 34
+1
54.2%
Cole Fagan run for 1 yd to the Wyom 33Similar
Q2 9:11
3RD & 7
OPP 33
+8
55.0%
Kadin Remsberg run for 8 yds to the Wyom 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:11
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+2
54.1%
Donald Hammond III run for 2 yds to the Wyom 23Similar
Q2 9:11
2ND & 8
OPP 23
+10
54.1%
Donald Hammond III pass complete to Marcus Bennett for 10 yds to the Wyom 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:11
1ST & 10
OPP 13
0
54.1%
Kadin Remsberg run for no gain to the Wyom 13Similar
Q2 9:11
2ND & 10
OPP 13
+3
54.1%
Donald Hammond III run for 3 yds to the Wyom 10Similar
Q2 9:11
3RD & 7
OPP 10
0
54.8%
Kadin Remsberg run for no gain to the Wyom 10Similar
Q2 1:50
4TH & 7
OPP 10
+27
50.0%
Jake Koehnke 27 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 7FUMBLE
5 plays · 29 yds · 0:0053% → 54%
Q2 1:50
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
53.2%
Tyler Vander Waal pass incomplete to Raghib Ismail Jr.Similar
Q2 1:50
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+10
53.2%
Jevon Bigelow run for 10 yds to the Wyom 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:50
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
55.3%
Austin Conway pass incomplete to Tyler Vander WaalSimilar
Q2 1:50
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+15
54.0%
Tyler Vander Waal pass complete to Ayden Eberhardt for 15 yds Ayden Eberhardt fumbled, forced by Zane Lewis, recovered by AFA Demonte MeeksSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AFDrive 8END OF HALF
3 plays · -2 yds · 0:4750% → 51%
Q2 0:59
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+2
49.8%
Kadin Remsberg run for 2 yds to the AFA 38Similar
Q2 0:12
2ND & 8
OWN 38
-4
49.1%
Team run for a loss of 4 yards to the AFA 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AFDrive 9TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 4:4150% → 66%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
49.7%
Kadin Remsberg run for 7 yds to the AFA 32Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+2
48.4%
Cole Fagan run for 2 yds to the AFA 34Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+2
49.0%
Donald Hammond III run for 2 yds to the AFA 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+5
48.7%
Donald Hammond III run for 5 yds to the AFA 41Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 41
+13
47.6%
Joseph Saucier run for 13 yds to the Wyom 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+1
47.1%
Donald Hammond III run for 1 yd to the Wyom 45Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 45
+1
47.1%
Brandon Lewis run for 1 yd to the Wyom 44Similar
Q3 10:55
3RD & 8
OPP 44
+8
47.3%
Donald Hammond III pass complete to Joseph Saucier for 8 yds to the Wyom 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:19
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+36
33.7%
Donald Hammond III run for 36 yds for a TD (Jake Koehnke KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 10PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:0036% → 35%
Q3 10:12
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+7
35.5%
Austin Conway run for 7 yds to the Wyom 40Similar
Q3 10:12
2ND & 3
OWN 40
0
37.0%
Jevon Bigelow run for no gain to the Wyom 40Similar
Q3 10:12
3RD & 3
OWN 40
0
36.0%
Tyler Vander Waal run for no gain to the Wyom 40Similar
Q3 10:12
4TH & 3
OWN 40
0
35.1%
Dontae Crow punt for 50 yds , Andrew Smith returns for no gain to the AFA 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AFDrive 11PUNT
8 plays · 31 yds · 0:0065% → 66%
Q3 8:06
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+8
34.6%
Cole Fagan run for 8 yds to the AFA 18Similar
Q3 8:06
2ND & 2
OWN 18
+1
34.1%
Cole Fagan run for 1 yd to the AFA 19Similar
Q3 8:06
3RD & 1
OWN 19
+2
34.9%
Cole Fagan run for 2 yds to the AFA 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:06
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+11
34.4%
Kadin Remsberg run for 11 yds to the AFA 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:06
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+1
33.7%
Joseph Saucier run for 1 yd to the AFA 33Similar
Q3 8:06
2ND & 9
OWN 33
0
33.9%
Donald Hammond III pass incomplete to Andrew Smith, broken up by Conner CainSimilar
Q3 8:06
3RD & 9
OWN 33
+8
34.6%
Donald Hammond III pass complete to Marcus Bennett for 8 yds to the AFA 41Similar
Q3 8:06
4TH & 1
OWN 41
0
34.2%
Jake Koehnke punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Austin Conway at the Wyom 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 12DOWNS
8 plays · 34 yds · 0:0030% → 31%
Q3 4:28
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+16
29.5%
Tyler Vander Waal pass complete to James Price for 16 yds to the Wyom 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:28
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+3
31.0%
Jevon Bigelow run for 3 yds to the Wyom 41Similar
Q3 4:28
2ND & 7
OWN 41
+6
31.4%
Tyler Vander Waal pass complete to Tyree Mayfield for 6 yds to the Wyom 47Similar
Q3 4:28
3RD & 1
OWN 47
+3
31.7%
Tyler Vander Waal run for 3 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:28
1ST & 10
50
+8
32.4%
Jevon Bigelow run for 8 yds to the AFA 42Similar
Q3 4:28
2ND & 2
OPP 42
0
32.9%
Tyler Vander Waal pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 4:28
3RD & 2
OPP 42
+1
32.7%
Xazavian Valladay run for 1 yd to the AFA 41Similar
Q3 4:28
4TH & 1
OPP 41
-3
31.1%
Tyler Vander Waal run for a loss of 3 yards to the AFA 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AFDrive 13FG
13 plays · 52 yds · 6:5776% → 91%
Q3 0:41
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+11
24.3%
Cole Fagan run for 11 yds to the Wyom 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+14
23.6%
Donald Hammond III run for 14 yds to the Wyom 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+3
23.0%
Kadin Remsberg run for 3 yds to the Wyom 28Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 28
+2
22.9%
Donald Hammond III run for 2 yds to the Wyom 26Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 5
OPP 26
+4
23.5%
Kadin Remsberg run for 4 yds to the Wyom 22Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 1
OPP 22
+5
26.1%
Donald Hammond III run for 5 yds to the Wyom 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+9
22.9%
Cole Fagan run for 9 yds to the Wyom 8Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 1
OPP 8
+5
22.9%
Kadin Remsberg run for 5 yds to the Wyom 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
-15
22.6%
FAGAN, Cole rush for 2 yards to the WY1 (WINGARD, Andrew), PENALTY AF illegal block 15 yards to the WY18, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 18
0
22.9%
Donald Hammond III run for no gain to the Wyom 18Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 18
0
23.0%
Donald Hammond III pass incomplete to Marcus BennettSimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 18
+14
24.0%
Donald Hammond III pass complete to Cole Fagan for 14 yds to the Wyom 4Similar
Q4 8:44
4TH & GOAL
OPP 4
+21
8.6%
Jake Koehnke 21 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 14TD
17 plays · 76 yds · 4:0612% → 32%
Q4 8:38
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+15
12.2%
Tyler Vander Waal run for 15 yds to the Wyom 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:38
1ST & 10
OWN 39
-7
13.5%
Tyler Vander Waal sacked by Cody Gessler for a loss of 7 yards to the Wyom 32Similar
Q4 8:38
2ND & 17
OWN 32
+11
12.0%
Tyler Vander Waal pass complete to Ayden Eberhardt for 11 yds to the Wyom 43Similar
Q4 8:38
3RD & 6
OWN 43
0
13.2%
Tyler Vander Waal pass incomplete to James Price WYOMING Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q4 6:45
4TH & 6
OWN 43
+11
9.0%
VANDER WAAL, T. pass incomplete to PRICE, James, PENALTY AF pass interference 11 yards to the AF46, 1ST DOWN WY, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 6:45
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
10.5%
Tyler Vander Waal pass incomplete to James Price, broken up by Parker NorenSimilar
Q4 6:45
2ND & 10
OPP 46
+2
10.2%
Austin Conway run for 2 yds to the AFA 44Similar
Q4 6:45
3RD & 8
OPP 44
+16
10.0%
Tyler Vander Waal pass complete to James Price for 16 yds to the AFA 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:45
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
13.0%
Tyler Vander Waal pass incomplete to James PriceSimilar
Q4 6:45
2ND & 10
OPP 28
+12
12.5%
Tyler Vander Waal pass complete to Austin Conway for 12 yds to the AFA 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:45
1ST & 10
OPP 16
0
13.0%
Tyler Vander Waal pass incomplete to Austin Fort, broken up by Jeremy FejedelemSimilar
Q4 6:45
2ND & 10
OPP 16
-5
13.0%
WYOMING Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the AFA 21Similar
Q4 6:45
2ND & 15
OPP 21
0
11.9%
Tyler Vander Waal pass incomplete to Austin ConwaySimilar
Q4 6:45
3RD & 15
OPP 21
+16
10.3%
Tyler Vander Waal pass complete to James Price for 16 yds to the AFA 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:32
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
32.3%
Tyler Vander Waal run for 5 yds for a TD (Cooper Rothe KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AFDrive 15PUNT
6 plays · 0 yds · 1:3284% → 85%
Q4 4:32
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
16.5%
Cole Fagan run for no gain to the AFA 25Similar
Q4 4:32
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+2
17.0%
Donald Hammond III run for 2 yds to the AFA 27Similar
Q4 4:32
3RD & 8
OWN 27
-2
17.9%
Donald Hammond III run for a loss of 2 yards to the AFA 25Similar
Q4 3:00
4TH & 10
OWN 25
0
14.6%
Jake Koehnke punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Austin Conway at the Wyom 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 16TD
12 plays · 58 yds · 1:4626% → 82%
Q4 2:55
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
25.5%
Tyler Vander Waal pass incomplete to James Price, broken up by Zane LewisSimilar
Q4 2:55
2ND & 10
OWN 42
-5
23.9%
WYOMING Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Wyom 37Similar
Q4 2:55
2ND & 15
OWN 37
0
21.8%
Tyler Vander Waal pass incomplete to Austin ConwaySimilar
Q4 2:55
3RD & 15
OWN 37
+6
20.9%
Tyler Vander Waal run for 6 yds to the Wyom 43Similar
Q4 2:55
4TH & 9
OWN 43
+12
21.6%
Tyler Vander Waal pass complete to Xazavian Valladay for 12 yds to the AFA 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:55
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+10
28.6%
VANDER WAAL, T. pass incomplete to MAYFIELD, Tyree, PENALTY AF holding 10 yards to the AF35, 1ST DOWN WY, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 2:55
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
30.5%
Tyler Vander Waal pass incomplete to James PriceSimilar
Q4 2:55
2ND & 10
OPP 35
+9
30.3%
Tyler Vander Waal pass complete to Raghib Ismail Jr. for 9 yds to the AFA 26Similar
Q4 2:55
3RD & 1
OPP 26
-5
29.0%
WYOMING Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the AFA 31Similar
Q4 2:55
3RD & 6
OPP 31
+9
28.6%
Tyler Vander Waal pass complete to Tyree Mayfield for 9 yds to the AFA 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:55
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
31.0%
Tyler Vander Waal pass incomplete to Xazavian ValladaySimilar
Q4 1:09
2ND & 10
OPP 22
+22
81.6%
Tyler Vander Waal pass complete to Austin Conway for 22 yds for a TD (Cooper Rothe KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AFDrive 17INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:0033% → 33%
Q4 1:09
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
66.8%
Donald Hammond III pass intercepted Logan Wilson return for 8 yds to the AFA 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 18TD
5 plays · 22 yds · 0:1782% → 97%
Q4 1:02
1ST & 10
OPP 22
-2
81.8%
Xazavian Valladay run for a loss of 2 yards to the AFA 24Similar
Q4 0:58
2ND & 12
OPP 24
-3
82.9%
Xazavian Valladay run for a loss of 3 yards to the AFA 27Similar
Q4 0:45
3RD & 15
OPP 27
+27
97.3%
Xazavian Valladay run for 27 yds for a TD WYOMING Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declined (Cooper Rothe KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AFDrive 19INT
3 plays · 13 yds · 0:004% → 5%
Q4 0:39
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+13
95.6%
Donald Hammond III pass complete to Marcus Bennett for 13 yds to the AFA 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:39
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
95.5%
Donald Hammond III pass intercepted Andrew Wingard return for no gain to the Wyom 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 20END OF GAME
2 plays · -17 yds · 0:0098% → 97%
Q4 0:23
1ST & 10
OWN 48
-15
97.6%
WYOMING Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (-15 Yards) to the Wyom 33Similar
Q4 0:23
1ST & 25
OWN 33
-2
97.3%
Team run for a loss of 2 yards to the Wyom 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 1:09
Tyler Vander Waal pass complete to Austin Conway for 22 yds for a TD (Cooper Rothe KICK)
+50.6
TD · Q4 4:32
Tyler Vander Waal run for 5 yds for a TD (Cooper Rothe KICK)
+22
TD · Q4 0:45
Xazavian Valladay run for 27 yds for a TD WYOMING Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declined (Cooper Rothe KICK)
+17.7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com