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SJSU

San José State 24 at Utah State 62

USU
2018 · Week 11 · Nov 10, 2018 · Maverik Stadium
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Win probability · USU
modelUSU aheadSJSU aheadconfidence bandkey playUSU scoreSJSU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGFGTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 14:20 · Bryce Crawford punt for 42 yds, downed at the UthSt 7
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+46.0+23.00−23.0−46.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 133Pregame prior+29.7Home team on offense+28.0Score differential+22.0Blowout margin+11.1Garbage-time factor+6.6Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+4.3
This game in five plays
  1. FG · Q2 13:53: Bryce Crawford 28 yd FG GOOD — SJSU win probability +1.0 pts (now 8%) (top driver: SJSU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 10:22: Jordan Love pass complete to Gerold Bright for 24 yds for a TD (Dominik Eberle KICK) — USU win probability +0.6 pts (now 94%) (top driver: USU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 7:29: Jordan Love run for 1 yd for a TD (Dominik Eberle KICK) — USU win probability +2.0 pts (now 95%) (top driver: USU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 5:20: Gerold Bright run for 29 yds for a TD (Dominik Eberle KICK) — USU win probability +3.1 pts (now 98%) (top driver: USU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q2 1:15: Jordan Love pass complete to Darwin Thompson for 7 yds for a TD (Dominik Eberle KICK) — USU win probability +1.3 pts (now 100%) (top driver: USU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
USU made the numbers' call on 4 of 8SJSU made the numbers' call on 8 of 11
  1. Q1 15:00SJSU 4th & 12 at SJSU 23, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.2%−0.2
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.4%
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:09USU 4th & 2 at SJSU 49, tied
    Close callPunted · 96.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.1%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    96.0%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 8:45SJSU 4th & 14 at SJSU 21, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.3%−0.2
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.5%
    average punt
  4. Q1 5:24USU 4th & 2 at SJSU 9, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 94.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.9%
    54% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    94.8%−0.1
    89% to make
    Punt
    94.3%−0.5
    average punt
  5. Q1 5:24SJSU 4th & 5 at USU 46, down 3
    Close callPunted · 5.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.0%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    4.9%−0.1
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    5.0%−<0.1
    average punt
  6. Q1 2:08USU 4th & 4 at USU 14, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 93.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.9%−<0.1
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    93.9%
    average punt
  7. Q2 13:53SJSU 4th & 11 at USU 11, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 6.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.5%−0.2
    22% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    6.7%
    87% to make
    Punt
    5.8%−0.9
    average punt
  8. Q2 13:53USU 4th & 4 at SJSU 36, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 93.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    93.2%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    93.0%−0.1
    42% to make
    Punt
    93.0%−0.2
    average punt
  9. Q2 10:15SJSU 4th & 23 at SJSU 16, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.6%−0.6
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.2%
    average punt
  10. Q2 5:20SJSU 4th & 4 at SJSU 41, down 21
    Close callPunted · 2.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.6%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.6%−<0.1
    average punt
  11. Q2 0:53SJSU 4th & 7 at SJSU 27, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−0.5
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.7%
    average punt
  12. Q3 14:20SJSU 4th & 8 at USU 49, down 35
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.4%−<0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.5%
    average punt
  13. Q3 11:30USU 4th & 6 at USU 11, up 35
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.6%−0.1
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.7%
    average punt
  14. Q3 7:09SJSU 4th & 6 at USU 47, down 35
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.3%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.3%
    average punt
  15. Q3 3:06USU 4th & 5 at SJSU 44, up 42
    Close callPunted · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    99.8%−0.1
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    99.8%−<0.1
    average punt
  16. Q4 15:00SJSU 4th & 5 at USU 5, down 42
    Close callWent for it · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.2%−<0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    0.2%
    92% to make
    Punt
    -0.3%−0.5
    average punt
  17. Q4 8:37USU 4th & 6 at SJSU 7, up 42
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%−<0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.9%
    91% to make
    Punt
    99.4%−0.5
    average punt
  18. Q4 8:26USU 4th & 4 at USU 46, up 38
    Close callPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%−<0.1
    average punt
  19. Q4 5:59SJSU 4th & 4 at USU 26, down 38
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    0.1%−<0.1
    64% to make
    Punt
    -0.1%−0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
USU made the numbers' call on 8 of 8SJSU made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 8:45USU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 10:22USU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 7:29USU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 5:20USU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 1:15USU Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 14:29USU Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 10:12SJSU Touchdown, down 29 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 7:09USU Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q3 4:33USU Touchdown, up 41 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 8:26SJSU Touchdown, down 39 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
SJSUDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · -2 yds · 0:004% → 4%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
96.0%
Josh Love pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+2
96.0%
Josh Love pass complete to Antwaun Ayers for 2 yds to the SJSt 27Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 8
OWN 27
-4
96.0%
Josh Love pass complete to Malike Roberson for a loss of 4 yards to the SJSt 23Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 12
OWN 23
+34
96.0%
Bryce Crawford punt for 49 yds, downed at the UTAHST 28 SAN JOSÉ ST Penalty, personal foul (-15 Yards) to the UthSt 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 2PUNT RETURN TD
5 plays · 8 yds · 2:0896% → 95%
Q1 13:17
1ST & 10
OWN 43
-2
95.7%
Jordan Love run for a loss of 2 yards to the UthSt 41Similar
Q1 13:17
2ND & 12
OWN 41
-5
95.7%
UTAH ST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the UthSt 36Similar
Q1 13:17
2ND & 17
OWN 36
+5
95.7%
Aaren Vaughns run for 5 yds to the UthSt 41Similar
Q1 13:17
3RD & 12
OWN 41
+10
95.7%
Jordan Love pass complete to Ron'quavion Tarver for 10 yds to the SJSt 49Similar
Q1 11:09
4TH & 2
OPP 49
+41
95.0%
Taylor Hintze punt for no gain , Tre Jenkins returns for 10 yds Tre Jenkins return for 41 yds for a TD (Bryce Crawford KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 3TD
11 plays · 68 yds · 2:1695% → 95%
Q1 11:01
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
95.0%
Darwin Thompson run for no gain to the UthSt 32Similar
Q1 11:01
2ND & 10
OWN 32
-5
95.0%
UTAH ST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the UthSt 27Similar
Q1 11:01
2ND & 15
OWN 27
+14
95.0%
Jordan Love pass complete to Dax Raymond for 14 yds to the UthSt 41Similar
Q1 11:01
3RD & 1
OWN 41
+6
95.0%
Darwin Thompson run for 6 yds to the UthSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:01
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+5
95.0%
Darwin Thompson run for 5 yds to the SJSt 48Similar
Q1 11:01
2ND & 5
OPP 48
-10
95.1%
LOVE, Jordan pass incomplete to NATHAN, Jordan, PENALTY USU holding 10 yards to the USU42, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 11:01
2ND & 15
OWN 42
0
95.0%
Jordan Love pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:01
3RD & 15
OWN 42
+14
95.0%
LOVE, Jordan pass incomplete to TARVER, R., PENALTY SJSU pass interference (MONROE, Dakari) 14 yards to the SJSU44, 1ST DOWN USU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 11:01
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+2
95.1%
Gerold Bright run for 2 yds to the SJSt 42Similar
Q1 8:45
2ND & 8
OPP 42
+42
94.9%
Jordan Love pass complete to Jordan Nathan for 42 yds for a TD (Dominik Eberle KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · -4 yds · 0:005% → 5%
Q1 8:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
94.7%
Josh Love pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:45
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-4
94.7%
Tyler Nevens run for a loss of 4 yards to the SJSt 21Similar
Q1 8:45
3RD & 14
OWN 21
0
94.8%
Josh Love pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:45
4TH & 14
OWN 21
0
94.8%
Bryce Crawford punt for 43 yds, downed at the UthSt 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 5FG
11 plays · 55 yds · 2:1795% → 94%
Q1 7:41
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
94.5%
Jordan Love pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:41
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+7
94.5%
Jordan Love pass complete to Aaren Vaughns for 7 yds to the UthSt 43Similar
Q1 7:41
3RD & 3
OWN 43
+7
94.6%
Jordan Love pass complete to Taylor Compton for 7 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:41
1ST & 10
50
+11
94.6%
Jordan Love pass complete to Taylor Compton for 11 yds to the SJSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:41
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
94.6%
Jordan Love pass incomplete to Aaren Vaughns, broken up by Dakari MonroeSimilar
Q1 7:41
2ND & 10
OPP 39
+22
94.6%
Jordan Love pass complete to Dax Raymond for 22 yds to the SJSt 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:22
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+2
94.5%
Gerold Bright run for 2 yds to the SJSt 15Similar
Q1 6:22
2ND & 8
OPP 15
0
94.5%
Jordan Love pass incomplete to Ron'quavion TarverSimilar
Q1 6:22
3RD & 8
OPP 15
+6
94.4%
Jordan Love pass complete to Gerold Bright for 6 yds to the SJSt 9Similar
Q1 5:24
4TH & 2
OPP 9
+26
94.3%
Dominik Eberle 26 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 6PUNT
9 plays · 29 yds · 0:006% → 6%
Q1 5:24
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
94.3%
Tyler Nevens run for 2 yds to the SJSt 27Similar
Q1 5:24
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+10
94.3%
Josh Love pass complete to Justin Holmes for 10 yds to the SJSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:24
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+5
94.2%
Tyler Nevens run for 5 yds to the SJSt 42Similar
Q1 5:24
2ND & 5
OWN 42
+7
94.1%
Josh Love pass complete to Tre Walker for 7 yds to the SJSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:24
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+2
94.0%
DeJon Packer run for 2 yds to the UthSt 49Similar
Q1 5:24
2ND & 8
OPP 49
+3
94.0%
Josh Love pass complete to Tyler Nevens for 3 yds to the UthSt 46Similar
Q1 5:24
3RD & 5
OPP 46
0
94.1%
Josh Love pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:24
4TH & 5
OPP 46
0
94.2%
Brian Papazian punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Jordan Nathan at the UthSt 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:0093% → 93%
Q1 2:08
1ST & 10
OWN 8
-4
93.3%
Aaren Vaughns run for a loss of 4 yards to the UthSt 4Similar
Q1 2:08
2ND & 14
OWN 4
+1
93.3%
Darwin Thompson run for 1 yd to the UthSt 5Similar
Q1 2:08
3RD & 13
OWN 5
+9
93.2%
Jordan Love pass complete to Jalen Greene for 9 yds to the UthSt 14Similar
Q1 2:08
4TH & 4
OWN 14
0
93.1%
Taylor Hintze punt for 45 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 8FG
8 plays · 48 yds · 1:287% → 8%
Q1 0:21
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+33
92.6%
Josh Love pass complete to Tre Walker for 33 yds to the UthSt 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:21
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+3
92.3%
Tyler Nevens run for 3 yds to the UthSt 23Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 23
+14
92.2%
Josh Love pass complete to Tre Hartley for 14 yds to the UthSt 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:37
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
-2
92.4%
Tyler Nevens run for a loss of 2 yards to the UthSt 11Similar
Q2 14:37
2ND & GOAL
OPP 11
0
92.4%
Josh Love pass incomplete to Tre Walker, broken up by Jontrell RocquemoreSimilar
Q2 14:37
3RD & GOAL
OPP 11
0
92.7%
Josh Love pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:53
4TH & GOAL
OPP 11
+28
91.7%
Bryce Crawford 28 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 9TD
13 plays · 75 yds · 3:3192% → 94%
Q2 13:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+17
92.3%
Jordan Love pass complete to Savon Scarver for 17 yds to the UthSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:53
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+2
92.6%
Jordan Love pass complete to Jordan Nathan for 2 yds to the UthSt 44Similar
Q2 13:53
2ND & 8
OWN 44
+14
92.6%
Gerold Bright run for 14 yds to the SJSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:53
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+6
92.8%
Gerold Bright run for 6 yds to the SJSt 36Similar
Q2 13:53
2ND & 4
OPP 36
0
92.8%
Jordan Love pass complete to Gerold Bright for no gain to the SJSt 36Similar
Q2 13:53
3RD & 4
OPP 36
0
92.7%
Jordan Love pass incomplete to Dax RaymondSimilar
Q2 13:53
4TH & 4
OPP 36
+26
92.5%
Jordan Love pass complete to Ron'quavion Tarver for 11 yds to the SJSt 25 for a 1ST down SAN JOSÉ ST Penalty, personal foul (15 Yards) to the SJSt 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:53
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
-17
92.9%
UTAH ST Penalty, personal foul (Ron'quavion Tarver) to the SJSt 27Similar
Q2 13:53
1ST & 10
OPP 27
-10
92.9%
UTAH ST Penalty, Offensive holding (-10 Yards) to the SJSt 37Similar
Q2 13:53
1ST & 20
OPP 37
+10
92.6%
Jordan Love pass complete to Ron'quavion Tarver for 10 yds to the SJSt 27Similar
Q2 13:53
2ND & 10
OPP 27
+3
92.9%
Jordan Love pass complete to Jordan Nathan for 3 yds to the SJSt 24Similar
Q2 10:22
3RD & 7
OPP 24
+24
93.5%
Jordan Love pass complete to Gerold Bright for 24 yds for a TD (Dominik Eberle KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 10PUNT
6 plays · -13 yds · 0:007% → 6%
Q2 10:15
1ST & 10
OWN 29
-14
93.2%
LOVE, Josh pass complete to WALKER, Tre for 13 yards to the SJSU42 (FERGUSON, Gaje), PENALTY SJSU personal foul (KOWALSKI, Troy) 14 yards to the SJSU15, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 10:15
1ST & 24
OWN 15
+1
93.4%
Tyler Nevens run for 1 yd to the SJSt 16Similar
Q2 10:15
2ND & 23
OWN 16
0
93.4%
Josh Love pass incomplete to Tre Hartley, broken up by Cameron HaneySimilar
Q2 10:15
3RD & 23
OWN 16
0
93.5%
Josh Love pass complete to Malike Roberson for no gain to the SJSt 16Similar
Q2 10:15
4TH & 23
OWN 16
-8
93.6%
Bryce Crawford punt for 42 yds , Jordan Nathan returns for a loss of 8 yards to the UthSt 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 11TD
4 plays · 66 yds · 1:0493% → 95%
Q2 8:33
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+19
93.0%
Darwin Thompson run for 19 yds to the SJSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:33
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+4
93.3%
Darwin Thompson run for 4 yds to the SJSt 43Similar
Q2 8:33
2ND & 6
OPP 43
+42
93.4%
Jordan Love pass complete to DJ Nelson for 42 yds to the SJSt 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:29
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
95.3%
Jordan Love run for 1 yd for a TD (Dominik Eberle KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 12INT
7 plays · 24 yds · 0:005% → 5%
Q2 7:26
1ST & 10
OWN 10
-5
94.8%
SAN JOSÉ ST Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the SJSt 5Similar
Q2 7:26
1ST & 15
OWN 5
+8
95.0%
Tyler Nevens run for 8 yds to the SJSt 13Similar
Q2 7:26
3RD & 7
OWN 13
+24
94.9%
Josh Love pass complete to Josh Oliver for 24 yds to the SJSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:26
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+2
94.7%
DeJon Packer run for 2 yds to the SJSt 39Similar
Q2 7:26
2ND & 8
OWN 39
-5
94.6%
SAN JOSÉ ST Penalty, false start (Tre Walker) to the SJSt 34Similar
Q2 7:26
2ND & 13
OWN 34
0
94.8%
Josh Love pass intercepted Tipa Galeai return for no gain to the SJSt 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 13TD
1 play · 29 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q2 5:20
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+29
97.9%
Gerold Bright run for 29 yds for a TD (Dominik Eberle KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 14PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q2 5:20
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-3
97.1%
Josh Love pass complete to Antwaun Ayers for a loss of 3 yards to the SJSt 32Similar
Q2 5:20
2ND & 13
OWN 32
+9
97.3%
Josh Love pass complete to Antwaun Ayers for 9 yds to the SJSt 41Similar
Q2 5:20
3RD & 4
OWN 41
0
97.1%
Josh Love pass incomplete to Tre HartleySimilar
Q2 5:20
4TH & 4
OWN 41
0
97.2%
Bryce Crawford punt for 46 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the UthSt 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 15TD
14 plays · 87 yds · 2:5098% → 100%
Q2 4:05
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+7
97.9%
Darwin Thompson run for 7 yds to the UthSt 20Similar
Q2 4:05
2ND & 3
OWN 20
+13
97.9%
Jordan Love pass complete to Jalen Greene for 13 yds to the UthSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:05
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+7
97.9%
Jordan Love pass complete to Ron'quavion Tarver for 7 yds to the UthSt 40Similar
Q2 4:05
2ND & 3
OWN 40
+24
98.0%
Jordan Love pass complete to Aaren Vaughns for 24 yds to the SJSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:05
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
98.0%
Jordan Love pass incomplete to Darwin ThompsonSimilar
Q2 4:05
2ND & 10
OPP 36
+13
98.0%
Darwin Thompson run for 13 yds to the SJSt 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:05
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+16
98.0%
Darwin Thompson run for 16 yds to the SJSt 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:34
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
0
98.2%
Jordan Love pass incomplete to Dax RaymondSimilar
Q2 2:34
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+3
98.2%
Darwin Thompson run for 3 yds to the SJSt 4Similar
Q2 2:34
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
0
98.2%
Darwin Thompson run for no gain to the SJSt 2Similar
Q2 2:34
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
0
98.2%
Jordan Love pass incomplete to Jalen GreeneSimilar
Q2 2:34
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
-5
98.1%
UTAH ST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the SJSt 7Similar
Q2 1:15
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
99.5%
Jordan Love pass complete to Darwin Thompson for 7 yds for a TD (Dominik Eberle KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 16PUNT
7 plays · 3 yds · 0:171% → 1%
Q2 1:10
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
99.5%
Josh Love pass incomplete to Josh OliverSimilar
Q2 1:10
2ND & 10
OWN 24
+4
99.5%
Michael Carrillo pass complete to Tre Walker for 4 yds to the SJSt 28Similar
Q2 0:58
3RD & 6
OWN 28
-1
99.5%
Josh Love pass complete to Antwaun Ayers for a loss of 1 yard to the SJSt 27Similar
Q2 0:53
4TH & 7
OWN 27
0
99.5%
Bryce Crawford punt for 37 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the UthSt 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 17MISSED FG
7 plays · 38 yds · 0:4699% → 100%
Q2 0:46
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+7
99.4%
Jordan Love pass complete to Ron'quavion Tarver for 7 yds to the UthSt 43Similar
Q2 0:46
2ND & 3
OWN 43
0
99.4%
Jordan Love pass incomplete to Jordan NathanSimilar
Q2 0:46
3RD & 3
OWN 43
+5
99.4%
Jordan Love pass complete to Dax Raymond for 5 yds to the UthSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:46
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+11
99.4%
Jordan Love pass complete to Ron'quavion Tarver for 11 yds to the SJSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:46
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+15
99.4%
Jordan Love pass complete to Ron'quavion Tarver for 15 yds to the SJSt 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+43
99.5%
Dominik Eberle 43 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 18TD
3 plays · 65 yds · 0:23100% → 100%
Q3 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+6
99.5%
Jordan Love pass complete to Darwin Thompson for 6 yds to the UthSt 41Similar
Q3 14:29
2ND & 4
OWN 41
+59
99.5%
Darwin Thompson run for 59 yds for a TD (Dominik Eberle KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 19PUNT
8 plays · 14 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q3 14:20
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+3
99.5%
Tyler Nevens run for 3 yds to the SJSt 40Similar
Q3 14:20
2ND & 7
OWN 40
+2
99.5%
DeJon Packer run for 2 yds to the SJSt 42Similar
Q3 14:20
3RD & 5
OWN 42
+7
99.5%
Josh Love pass complete to Antwaun Ayers for 7 yds to the SJSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:20
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
99.5%
Josh Love pass incomplete to Tre HartleySimilar
Q3 14:20
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+2
99.5%
DeJon Packer run for 2 yds to the UthSt 49Similar
Q3 14:20
3RD & 8
OPP 49
0
99.5%
Josh Love pass incomplete to JaQuan BlackwellSimilar
Q3 14:20
4TH & 8
OPP 49
0
99.5%
Bryce Crawford punt for 42 yds, downed at the UthSt 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 20PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q3 11:30
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+1
99.6%
Gerold Bright run for 1 yd to the UthSt 8Similar
Q3 11:30
2ND & 9
OWN 8
0
99.6%
Jordan Love pass incomplete to Aaren VaughnsSimilar
Q3 11:30
3RD & 9
OWN 8
+3
99.6%
Jordan Love pass complete to Ron'quavion Tarver for 3 yds to the UthSt 11Similar
Q3 11:30
4TH & 6
OWN 11
0
99.6%
Taylor Hintze punt for 24 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the UthSt 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 21TD
1 play · 35 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q3 10:12
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+35
99.5%
Josh Love pass complete to Tre Walker for 35 yds for a TD (Bryce Crawford KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 22TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 2:57100% → 100%
Q3 10:06
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.6%
Darwin Thompson run for no gain to the UthSt 25Similar
Q3 10:06
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+14
99.6%
Jordan Love pass complete to Darwin Thompson for 14 yds to the UthSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:06
1ST & 10
OWN 39
-2
99.7%
Jordan Love pass complete to DJ Nelson for a loss of 2 yards to the UthSt 37Similar
Q3 10:06
2ND & 12
OWN 37
+5
99.6%
Darwin Thompson run for 5 yds to the UthSt 42Similar
Q3 10:06
3RD & 7
OWN 42
+19
99.7%
Jordan Love pass complete to Dax Raymond for 19 yds to the SJSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:06
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+2
99.7%
Darwin Thompson run for 2 yds to the SJSt 37Similar
Q3 7:09
2ND & 8
OPP 37
+37
99.8%
Jordan Love pass complete to Jalen Greene for 37 yds for a TD (Dominik Eberle KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 23PUNT
7 plays · 26 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 7:09
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+22
99.8%
Josh Love pass complete to Brett Foley for 22 yds to the SJSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:09
1ST & 10
OWN 49
-1
99.7%
DeJon Packer run for a loss of 1 yard to the SJSt 48Similar
Q3 7:09
2ND & 11
OWN 48
0
99.8%
Josh Love pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:09
3RD & 11
OWN 48
+5
99.8%
UTAH ST Penalty, offside defense (Tipa Galeai) to the UthSt 47Similar
Q3 7:09
3RD & 6
OPP 47
0
99.7%
Josh Love pass incomplete to Tre HartleySimilar
Q3 7:09
4TH & 6
OPP 47
0
99.7%
Brian Papazian punt for 47 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 24TD
3 plays · 80 yds · 0:53100% → 100%
Q3 5:26
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
99.8%
Aaren Vaughns run for 1 yd to the UthSt 21Similar
Q3 5:26
2ND & 9
OWN 21
-9
99.8%
BRIGHT, Gerold rush for 4 yards to the USU25 (LENARD, JR, Jon), PENALTY USU holding (TERRELL, Carson) 9 yards to the USU12, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 4:33
2ND & 18
OWN 12
+88
99.8%
Jordan Love pass complete to Darwin Thompson for 88 yds for a TD (Dominik Eberle KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 25INT
5 plays · 19 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 4:33
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
99.8%
Josh Love pass complete to Tre Hartley for 15 yds to the SJSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:33
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
99.8%
Josh Love pass incomplete to Tre HartleySimilar
Q3 4:33
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+4
99.8%
Tyler Nevens run for 4 yds to the SJSt 44Similar
Q3 4:33
3RD & 6
OWN 44
+1
99.8%
Josh Love pass intercepted Deante Fortenberry return for 1 yd to the SJSt 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 26PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q3 3:06
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+4
99.8%
Justen Hervey run for 4 yds to the SJSt 45Similar
Q3 3:06
2ND & 6
OPP 45
+1
99.8%
Justen Hervey run for 1 yd to the SJSt 44Similar
Q3 3:06
3RD & 5
OPP 44
0
99.8%
Andrew Peasley pass incomplete to Justen HerveySimilar
Q3 3:06
4TH & 5
OPP 44
0
99.8%
Taylor Hintze punt for 38 yds, downed at the SJSt 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 27FUMBLE
10 plays · 77 yds · 1:360% → 0%
Q3 1:36
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+15
99.9%
LOVE, Josh pass incomplete to WALKER, Tre, PENALTY USU pass interference (JACKSON, Z.) 15 yards to the SJSU21, 1ST DOWN SJSU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 1:36
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+3
99.9%
Malike Roberson run for 3 yds to the SJSt 24Similar
Q3 1:36
2ND & 7
OWN 24
+38
99.9%
Tyler Nevens run for 38 yds to the UthSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:36
1ST & 10
OPP 38
-1
99.9%
Josh Love pass complete to Malike Roberson for a loss of 1 yard to the UthSt 39Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 11
OPP 39
-5
99.9%
LOVE, Josh pass incomplete to OLIVER, Josh, PENALTY SJSU ineligible downfield on pass 5 yards to the USU44, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 16
OPP 44
+38
99.9%
Josh Love pass complete to Josh Oliver for 38 yds to the UthSt 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+1
99.8%
DeJon Packer run for 1 yd to the UthSt 5Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
0
99.8%
Josh Love pass incomplete to DeJon PackerSimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
0
99.9%
Michael Carrillo pass incomplete to Josh Oliver, broken up by Braxton GuntherSimilar
Q4 15:00
4TH & GOAL
OPP 5
-10
99.8%
Michael Carrillo sacked by Baron Gajkowski for a loss of 10 yards to the UthSt 17 Michael Carrillo fumbled, recovered by UthSt Logan Lee , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 28FG
9 plays · 76 yds · 4:55100% → 100%
Q4 13:32
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+6
99.9%
Andrew Peasley run for 6 yds to the UthSt 23Similar
Q4 13:32
2ND & 4
OWN 23
+23
99.9%
Andrew Peasley run for 23 yds to the UthSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:32
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+13
99.9%
Andrew Peasley run for 13 yds to the SJSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:32
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+5
99.9%
Justen Hervey run for 5 yds to the SJSt 36Similar
Q4 13:32
2ND & 5
OPP 36
+25
99.9%
Andrew Peasley run for 25 yds to the SJSt 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:32
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+2
99.9%
Justen Hervey run for 2 yds to the SJSt 9Similar
Q4 13:32
2ND & 8
OPP 9
+2
99.9%
Justen Hervey run for 2 yds to the SJSt 7Similar
Q4 13:32
3RD & 6
OPP 7
0
99.9%
Andrew Peasley pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 8:37
4TH & 6
OPP 7
+24
99.9%
Dominik Eberle 24 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 29TD
2 plays · 75 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 8:26
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+75
99.9%
Michael Carrillo pass complete to Tre Walker for 75 yds for a TD (Bryce Crawford KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 30PUNT
8 plays · 16 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 8:26
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+7
99.9%
Justen Hervey run for 7 yds to the UthSt 37Similar
Q4 8:26
2ND & 3
OWN 37
+3
99.9%
Andrew Peasley pass complete to Taylor Compton for 3 yds to the UthSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:26
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
99.9%
Andrew Peasley pass incomplete to Taylor ComptonSimilar
Q4 8:26
2ND & 10
OWN 40
-1
99.9%
PEASLEY, Andrew pass incomplete to COMPTON, Taylor, PENALTY USU illegal forward pass (PEASLEY, Andrew) 1 yards to the USU39, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 8:26
3RD & 11
OWN 39
+5
99.9%
PEASLEY, Andrew pass incomplete to CURTIS, Preston, PENALTY SJSU offside defense (SAKALIA, Dimitr) 5 yards to the USU44, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 8:26
3RD & 6
OWN 44
+2
99.9%
Morian Walker Jr. run for 2 yds to the UthSt 46Similar
Q4 8:26
4TH & 4
OWN 46
0
99.9%
Zach Lee punt for 34 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 31DOWNS
5 plays · 54 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 5:59
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+48
99.9%
Michael Carrillo pass complete to Tre Walker for 48 yds to the UthSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:59
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+2
99.9%
DeJon Packer run for 2 yds to the UthSt 30Similar
Q4 5:59
2ND & 8
OPP 30
+7
99.9%
Michael Carrillo pass complete to Tre Walker for 7 yds to the UthSt 23Similar
Q4 5:59
3RD & 1
OPP 23
-3
99.9%
Michael Carrillo run for a loss of 3 yards to the UthSt 26Similar
Q4 5:59
4TH & 4
OPP 26
0
99.9%
Michael Carrillo pass incomplete to Tre HartleySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 32END OF GAME
7 plays · 25 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 3:18
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
100.0%
Andrew Peasley pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 3:18
2ND & 10
OWN 26
+4
100.0%
Eltoro Allen run for 4 yds to the UthSt 30Similar
Q4 3:18
3RD & 6
OWN 30
+10
100.0%
Andrew Peasley pass complete to Eltoro Allen for 10 yds to the UthSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:18
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+6
100.0%
Andrew Peasley pass complete to Devin Heckstall for 6 yds to the UthSt 46Similar
Q4 3:18
2ND & 4
OWN 46
0
100.0%
Andrew Peasley pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 3:18
3RD & 4
OWN 46
+7
100.0%
Eltoro Allen run for 7 yds to the SJSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:18
1ST & 10
OPP 47
-2
100.0%
Team run for a loss of 2 yards to the SJSt 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 5:20
Gerold Bright run for 29 yds for a TD (Dominik Eberle KICK)
+3.1
TD · Q2 7:29
Jordan Love run for 1 yd for a TD (Dominik Eberle KICK)
+2
TD · Q2 1:15
Jordan Love pass complete to Darwin Thompson for 7 yds for a TD (Dominik Eberle KICK)
+1.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com