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FRES

Fresno State 48 at UNLV 3

UNLV
2018 · Week 10 · Nov 3, 2018 · Sam Boyd Stadium
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Win probability · UNLV
modelUNLV aheadFRES aheadconfidence bandkey playUNLV scoreFRES score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGTDTDFGTDFGFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 3:10 · Xzaviar Campbell run for 8 yds to the FrsSt 13
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+57.5+28.80−28.8−57.5Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 10:39: Marcus McMaryion pass complete to Jamire Jordan for 12 yds for a TD (Asa Fuller KICK) — UNLV win probability +0.3 pts (now 6%) (top driver: FRES has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 14:55: Ronnie Rivers run for 2 yds for a TD (Asa Fuller KICK) — FRES win probability +0.6 pts (now 94%) (top driver: FRES has the ball).
  3. FG · Q2 0:36: Asa Fuller 35 yd FG GOOD — FRES win probability +2.0 pts (now 95%) (top driver: FRES has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 10:45: Marcus McMaryion pass complete to Kyle Riddering for 9 yds for a TD (Asa Fuller KICK) — FRES win probability +3.0 pts (now 97%) (top driver: FRES has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 8:22: Josh Hokit run for 5 yds for a TD (Asa Fuller KICK) — FRES win probability +2.0 pts (now 99%) (top driver: FRES has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UNLV made the numbers' call on 12 of 13FRES made the numbers' call on 2 of 5
  1. Q1 15:00UNLV 4th & 1 at UNLV 30, tied
    Close callPunted · 5.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.6%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:34UNLV 4th & 6 at UNLV 34, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.5%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.6%
    average punt
  3. Q1 8:29FRES 4th & 7 at FRES 22, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 92.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.8%−0.1
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    92.9%
    average punt
  4. Q1 4:00UNLV 4th & 6 at FRES 28, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 8.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.4%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    8.4%
    60% to make
    Punt
    7.8%−0.6
    average punt
  5. Q2 14:55UNLV 4th & 14 at midfield, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.5%−0.3
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.8%
    average punt
  6. Q2 7:33UNLV 4th & 8 at UNLV 35, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.8%−0.2
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.0%
    average punt
  7. Q2 6:24FRES 4th & 3 at UNLV 47, up 14
    Close callPunted · 91.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.0%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    91.6%−0.4
    average punt
  8. Q2 4:10UNLV 4th & 5 at UNLV 13, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 8.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.0%−0.3
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.3%
    average punt
  9. Q2 0:36FRES 4th & 4 at UNLV 18, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 91.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.6%−0.3
    47% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    91.9%
    79% to make
    Punt
    89.4%−2.5
    average punt
  10. Q2 0:02UNLV 4th & 3 at UNLV 44, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 7.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    7.7%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    7.6%−0.1
    average punt
  11. Q3 10:45UNLV 4th & 1 at UNLV 34, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 3.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    4.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    3.5%−0.5
    average punt
  12. Q3 8:14UNLV 4th & 8 at UNLV 10, down 31
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.0%−<0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.0%
    average punt
  13. Q3 4:42FRES 4th & 1 at UNLV 29, up 31
    Close callKicked a field goal · 98.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.8%
    71% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    98.6%−0.2
    58% to make
    Punt
    98.3%−0.5
    average punt
  14. Q3 4:42UNLV 4th & 16 at UNLV 30, down 34
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.6%−0.2
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.7%
    average punt
  15. Q4 14:47UNLV 4th & 1 at UNLV 47, down 41
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.3%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.2%−0.1
    average punt
  16. Q4 10:13UNLV 4th & 10 at FRES 10, down 41
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−<0.1
    24% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    0.2%
    88% to make
    Punt
    -0.1%−0.3
    average punt
  17. Q4 8:14UNLV 4th & 10 at UNLV 37, down 45
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  18. Q4 5:37FRES 4th & 2 at FRES 26, up 45
    Close callPunted · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.8%−<0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
FRES made the numbers' call on 6 of 6
  1. Q1 10:39FRES Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 14:55FRES Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    91.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 10:45FRES Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 8:22FRES Touchdown, up 30 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 14:54FRES Touchdown, up 40 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 8:14FRES Touchdown, up 44 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UNLVDrive 1PUNT
6 plays · 9 yds · 0:005% → 5%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+2
4.7%
Lexington Thomas run for 2 yds to the UNLV 23Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 23
+4
4.7%
Tyleek Collins run for 4 yds to the UNLV 27Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 4
OWN 27
-5
4.7%
UNLV Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the UNLV 22Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 9
OWN 22
+8
4.7%
Max Gilliam pass complete to Lexington Thomas for 8 yds to the UNLV 30Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 1
OWN 30
0
4.7%
Hayes Hicken punt, downed at the UNLV 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FRESDrive 2TD
6 plays · 45 yds · 2:3595% → 95%
Q1 13:14
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+5
5.1%
Ronnie Rivers run for 5 yds to the UNLV 40Similar
Q1 13:14
2ND & 5
OPP 40
+12
5.1%
Ronnie Rivers run for 12 yds to the UNLV 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:14
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+9
5.1%
Marcus McMaryion pass complete to KeeSean Johnson for 9 yds to the UNLV 19Similar
Q1 13:14
2ND & 1
OPP 19
+3
5.1%
Marcus McMaryion pass complete to Jamire Jordan for 3 yds to the UNLV 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:14
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+4
5.1%
Marcus McMaryion pass complete to Kyle Riddering for 4 yds to the UNLV 12Similar
Q1 10:39
2ND & 6
OPP 12
+12
5.5%
Marcus McMaryion pass complete to Jamire Jordan for 12 yds for a TD (Asa Fuller KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 3PUNT
8 plays · 15 yds · 0:006% → 6%
Q1 10:34
1ST & 10
OWN 19
0
5.6%
Max Gilliam pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:34
2ND & 10
OWN 19
+3
5.6%
Lexington Thomas run for 3 yds to the UNLV 22Similar
Q1 10:34
3RD & 7
OWN 22
+8
5.6%
Max Gilliam pass complete to Brandon Presley for 8 yds to the UNLV 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:34
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+2
5.6%
Lexington Thomas run for 2 yds to the UNLV 32Similar
Q1 10:34
2ND & 8
OWN 32
+2
5.6%
Max Gilliam pass complete to Lexington Thomas for 2 yds to the UNLV 34Similar
Q1 10:34
3RD & 6
OWN 34
0
5.6%
Max Gilliam pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:34
4TH & 6
OWN 34
0
5.6%
Hayes Hicken punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Ronnie Rivers at the FrsSt 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FRESDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:0094% → 94%
Q1 8:29
1ST & 10
OWN 19
-4
6.0%
Ronnie Rivers run for a loss of 4 yards to the FrsSt 15Similar
Q1 8:29
2ND & 14
OWN 15
+10
6.1%
Marcus McMaryion pass complete to Derrion Grim for 10 yds to the FrsSt 25Similar
Q1 8:29
3RD & 4
OWN 25
-5
6.0%
FRESNO ST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the FrsSt 20Similar
Q1 8:29
3RD & 9
OWN 20
+2
6.1%
Marcus McMaryion run for 2 yds to the FrsSt 22Similar
Q1 8:29
4TH & 7
OWN 22
0
6.1%
Blake Cusick punt for 45 yds , Tyleek Collins returns for no gain to the UNLV 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 5MISSED FG
7 plays · 39 yds · 2:167% → 7%
Q1 6:16
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+7
6.6%
Charles Williams run for 7 yds to the UNLV 40Similar
Q1 6:16
2ND & 3
OWN 40
+11
6.8%
Max Gilliam pass complete to Mekhi Stevenson for 11 yds to the FrsSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:16
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+17
6.8%
Charles Williams run for 17 yds to the FrsSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:16
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
7.0%
Max Gilliam pass incomplete to Mekhi Stevenson, broken up by Jaron BryantSimilar
Q1 6:16
2ND & 10
OPP 32
+4
6.9%
Charles Williams run for 4 yds to the FrsSt 28Similar
Q1 6:16
3RD & 6
OPP 28
0
6.8%
Max Gilliam pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:00
4TH & 6
OPP 28
+46
7.3%
Evan Pantels 46 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FRESDrive 6TD
10 plays · 72 yds · 4:0593% → 94%
Q1 4:00
1ST & 10
OWN 28
-1
7.0%
Ronnie Rivers run for a loss of 1 yard to the FrsSt 27Similar
Q1 4:00
2ND & 11
OWN 27
+18
7.1%
Marcus McMaryion pass complete to Michiah Quick for 18 yds to the FrsSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:00
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
6.9%
Marcus McMaryion pass incomplete to Jamire Jordan, broken up by Jocquez KaliliSimilar
Q1 4:00
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+17
6.9%
Marcus McMaryion pass complete to Ronnie Rivers for 17 yds to the UNLV 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:00
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+10
6.8%
Dejonte O'Neal run for 10 yds to the UNLV 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:00
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+6
6.8%
Marcus McMaryion run for 6 yds to the UNLV 22Similar
Q1 4:00
2ND & 4
OPP 22
+1
6.8%
Josh Hokit run for 1 yd to the UNLV 21Similar
Q1 4:00
3RD & 3
OPP 21
+14
6.8%
Derrion Grim run for 14 yds to the UNLV 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+5
6.8%
Ronnie Rivers run for 5 yds to the UNLV 2Similar
Q2 14:55
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
6.2%
Ronnie Rivers run for 2 yds for a TD (Asa Fuller KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 7PUNT
13 plays · 25 yds · 0:007% → 7%
Q2 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
6.7%
Lexington Thomas run for 2 yds to the UNLV 27Similar
Q2 14:55
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+2
6.7%
Max Gilliam pass complete to Mekhi Stevenson for 2 yds to the UNLV 29Similar
Q2 14:55
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+6
6.6%
Max Gilliam pass complete to Tyleek Collins for 6 yds to the UNLV 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-10
6.7%
COLLINS,Tyleek rush for 2 yards to the UNLV37 (BRYANT, Jaron), PENALTY UNLV holding (SCHERFF,Cody) 10 yards to the UNLV25, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 14:55
1ST & 20
OWN 25
+14
6.6%
Max Gilliam pass complete to Brandon Presley for 14 yds to the UNLV 39Similar
Q2 14:55
2ND & 6
OWN 39
0
6.9%
Max Gilliam pass incomplete to Brandon Presley, broken up by Jaron BryantSimilar
Q2 14:55
3RD & 6
OWN 39
+15
6.8%
Max Gilliam pass complete to Brandon Presley for 15 yds to the FrsSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:55
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+1
7.0%
Lexington Thomas run for 1 yd to the FrsSt 45Similar
Q2 14:55
2ND & 9
OPP 45
0
7.0%
Max Gilliam pass incomplete to Tyleek CollinsSimilar
Q2 14:55
3RD & 9
OPP 45
0
7.0%
Max Gilliam pass incomplete to Tyleek CollinsSimilar
Q2 14:55
4TH & 9
OPP 45
-5
6.8%
HICKEN,Hayes punt 35 yards to the FS10, fair catch by RIVERS, Ronnie, PENALTY UNLV illegal formation 5 yards to the 50 yardline, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 14:55
4TH & 14
50
0
6.7%
Hayes Hicken punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Ronnie Rivers at the FrsSt 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FRESDrive 8INT
11 plays · 49 yds · 0:0093% → 94%
Q2 11:17
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+3
6.7%
Ronnie Rivers run for 3 yds to the FrsSt 19Similar
Q2 11:17
2ND & 7
OWN 19
+10
6.7%
Marcus McMaryion pass complete to Jared Rice for 10 yds to the FrsSt 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:17
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
6.6%
Marcus McMaryion pass incomplete to Ronnie RiversSimilar
Q2 11:17
2ND & 10
OWN 29
0
6.7%
Marcus McMaryion pass incomplete to Derrion Grim, broken up by Dalton BakerSimilar
Q2 11:17
3RD & 10
OWN 29
+11
6.7%
Marcus McMaryion pass complete to KeeSean Johnson for 11 yds to the FrsSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:17
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
6.4%
Marcus McMaryion pass incomplete to Jamire JordanSimilar
Q2 11:17
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+14
6.5%
Marcus McMaryion pass complete to Michiah Quick for 14 yds to the UNLV 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:17
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+4
6.4%
Ronnie Rivers run for 4 yds to the UNLV 42Similar
Q2 11:17
2ND & 6
OPP 42
+5
6.4%
Jordan Mims run for 5 yds to the UNLV 37Similar
Q2 11:17
3RD & 1
OPP 37
+2
6.4%
Marcus McMaryion run for 2 yds to the UNLV 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:17
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+8
6.4%
Marcus McMaryion pass intercepted Javin White return for 8 yds to the UNLV 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 9PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:007% → 7%
Q2 7:33
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+1
7.2%
Max Gilliam run for 1 yd to the UNLV 34Similar
Q2 7:33
2ND & 9
OWN 34
+1
7.2%
Lexington Thomas run for 1 yd to the UNLV 35Similar
Q2 7:33
3RD & 8
OWN 35
0
7.2%
Max Gilliam pass incomplete to Tyleek CollinsSimilar
Q2 7:33
4TH & 8
OWN 35
0
7.1%
Hayes Hicken punt for 38 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the FrsSt 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FRESDrive 10PUNT
6 plays · 26 yds · 0:0093% → 93%
Q2 6:24
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+4
7.2%
Ronnie Rivers run for 4 yds to the FrsSt 31Similar
Q2 6:24
2ND & 6
OWN 31
+15
7.2%
Marcus McMaryion pass complete to Jamire Jordan for 15 yds to the FrsSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:24
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+8
6.8%
Marcus McMaryion pass complete to Jamire Jordan for 8 yds to the UNLV 46Similar
Q2 6:24
2ND & 2
OPP 46
-1
6.8%
Ronnie Rivers run for a loss of 1 yard to the UNLV 47Similar
Q2 6:24
3RD & 3
OPP 47
0
7.0%
Marcus McMaryion pass incomplete to Chris ColemanSimilar
Q2 6:24
4TH & 3
OPP 47
0
7.2%
Blake Cusick punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Tyleek Collins at the UNLV 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 11PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:008% → 7%
Q2 4:10
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+4
7.5%
Charles Williams run for 4 yds to the UNLV 12Similar
Q2 4:10
2ND & 6
OWN 12
0
7.6%
Max Gilliam pass incomplete to Mekhi StevensonSimilar
Q2 4:10
3RD & 6
OWN 12
+1
7.4%
Max Gilliam pass complete to Tyleek Collins for 1 yd to the UNLV 13Similar
Q2 4:10
4TH & 5
OWN 13
0
7.4%
Hayes Hicken punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Ronnie Rivers at the FrsSt 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FRESDrive 12FG
9 plays · 40 yds · 2:1093% → 95%
Q2 2:46
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+3
7.2%
Marcus McMaryion pass complete to Jared Rice for 3 yds to the FrsSt 45Similar
Q2 2:46
2ND & 7
OWN 45
+7
7.2%
Marcus McMaryion run for 7 yds to the UNLV 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:46
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+7
7.2%
Marcus McMaryion pass complete to KeeSean Johnson for 7 yds to the UNLV 41Similar
Q2 2:46
2ND & 3
OPP 41
+6
7.1%
Marcus McMaryion pass complete to Michiah Quick for 6 yds to the UNLV 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:46
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+11
7.2%
Marcus McMaryion pass complete to KeeSean Johnson for 11 yds to the UNLV 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:46
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+6
7.1%
Marcus McMaryion pass complete to KeeSean Johnson for 6 yds to the UNLV 18Similar
Q2 2:46
2ND & 4
OPP 18
0
7.1%
Marcus McMaryion pass incomplete to Josh HokitSimilar
Q2 2:46
3RD & 4
OPP 18
0
7.2%
Marcus McMaryion pass incomplete to Michiah QuickSimilar
Q2 0:36
4TH & 4
OPP 18
+35
5.2%
Asa Fuller 35 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 13DOWNS
9 plays · 17 yds · 0:337% → 7%
Q2 0:35
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+14
6.7%
Lexington Thomas run for 14 yds to the UNLV 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:29
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+3
7.0%
Lexington Thomas run for 3 yds to the UNLV 40Similar
Q2 0:26
2ND & 7
OWN 40
0
6.9%
Max Gilliam pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:26
3RD & 7
OWN 40
+4
6.7%
Lexington Thomas run for 4 yds to the UNLV 44Similar
Q2 0:02
4TH & 3
OWN 44
-4
6.8%
Max Gilliam run for a loss of 4 yards to the UNLV 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FRESDrive 14TD
9 plays · 74 yds · 4:0994% → 97%
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+1
6.2%
Ronnie Rivers run for 1 yd to the FrsSt 27Similar
Q3 14:54
2ND & 9
OWN 27
+16
6.2%
Marcus McMaryion pass complete to KeeSean Johnson for 16 yds to the FrsSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+3
5.8%
Dejonte O'Neal run for 3 yds to the FrsSt 46Similar
Q3 14:54
2ND & 7
OWN 46
+23
5.8%
Marcus McMaryion pass complete to Jared Rice for 23 yds to the UNLV 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+14
5.7%
Marcus McMaryion run for 14 yds to the UNLV 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OPP 17
0
5.6%
Marcus McMaryion run for no gain to the UNLV 17Similar
Q3 14:54
2ND & 10
OPP 17
+8
5.6%
Marcus McMaryion pass complete to Delvon Hardaway for 8 yds to the UNLV 9Similar
Q3 10:45
3RD & 2
OPP 9
+9
2.6%
Marcus McMaryion pass complete to Kyle Riddering for 9 yds for a TD (Asa Fuller KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 15INT
9 plays · 26 yds · 2:063% → 3%
Q3 10:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
3.2%
Max Gilliam pass complete to Giovanni Fauolo for 5 yds to the UNLV 30Similar
Q3 10:45
2ND & 5
OWN 30
-5
3.3%
Lexington Thomas run for 5 yds to the UNLV 35 UNLV Penalty, Offensive holding (Mekhi Stevenson) to the UNLV 25Similar
Q3 10:45
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+2
3.2%
Max Gilliam pass complete to Charles Williams for 2 yds to the UNLV 27Similar
Q3 10:45
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+7
3.1%
Max Gilliam pass complete to Xzaviar Campbell for 7 yds to the UNLV 34Similar
Q3 10:45
4TH & 1
OWN 34
+3
3.3%
Charles Williams run for 3 yds to the UNLV 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:45
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+14
3.3%
Charles Williams run for 14 yds to the FrsSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:39
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+39
3.0%
Max Gilliam pass intercepted Jaron Bryant return for 39 yds to the UNLV 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FRESDrive 16TD
1 play · 5 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q3 8:22
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
0.9%
Josh Hokit run for 5 yds for a TD (Asa Fuller KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q3 8:14
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+2
1.3%
Lexington Thomas run for 2 yds to the UNLV 10Similar
Q3 8:14
2ND & 8
OWN 10
0
1.3%
Max Gilliam pass incomplete to Giovanni FauoloSimilar
Q3 8:14
3RD & 8
OWN 10
0
1.3%
Max Gilliam pass incomplete to Brandon PresleySimilar
Q3 8:14
4TH & 8
OWN 10
+21
1.3%
Hayes Hicken punt for 49 yds , Ronnie Rivers returns for 21 yds to the UNLV 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FRESDrive 18FG
5 plays · 9 yds · 2:3299% → 99%
Q3 7:14
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+8
1.0%
Marcus McMaryion run for 8 yds to the UNLV 30Similar
Q3 7:14
2ND & 2
OPP 30
-10
1.0%
MIMS, Jordan rush for loss of 2 yards to the UNLV32 (AUSTRIE,Evan), PENALTY FS holding (WOODLEY, Quireo) 10 yards to the UNLV40, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 7:14
2ND & 12
OPP 40
+9
1.0%
Marcus McMaryion pass complete to Michiah Quick for 9 yds to the UNLV 31Similar
Q3 7:14
3RD & 3
OPP 31
+2
1.0%
Marcus McMaryion pass complete to Michiah Quick for 2 yds to the UNLV 29Similar
Q3 4:42
4TH & 1
OPP 29
+47
0.9%
Asa Fuller 47 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 19PUNT
6 plays · 5 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q3 4:42
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
0.9%
Max Gilliam pass complete to Brandon Presley for 11 yds to the UNLV 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:42
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-4
0.9%
Lexington Thomas run for a loss of 4 yards to the UNLV 32Similar
Q3 4:42
2ND & 14
OWN 32
0
0.9%
Max Gilliam pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 4:42
3RD & 14
OWN 32
-2
0.9%
Max Gilliam sacked by Kwami Jones for a loss of 2 yards to the UNLV 30Similar
Q3 4:42
4TH & 16
OWN 30
0
0.9%
Hayes Hicken punt for 32 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the FrsSt 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FRESDrive 20TD
8 plays · 62 yds · 3:04100% → 100%
Q3 2:58
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+3
0.4%
Ronnie Rivers run for 3 yds to the FrsSt 41Similar
Q3 2:58
2ND & 7
OWN 41
+23
0.4%
Marcus McMaryion pass complete to KeeSean Johnson for 23 yds to the UNLV 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:58
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+1
0.4%
Dejonte O'Neal run for 1 yd to the UNLV 35Similar
Q3 2:58
2ND & 9
OPP 35
0
0.4%
Marcus McMaryion pass incomplete to Derrion GrimSimilar
Q3 2:58
3RD & 9
OPP 35
+5
0.4%
MCMARYION, M. pass incomplete to WALKER, Mykal, PENALTY UNLV offside defense (WILY,S.) 5 yards to the UNLV30, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 2:58
3RD & 4
OPP 30
+6
0.4%
Marcus McMaryion pass complete to Jordan Mims for 6 yds to the UNLV 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:58
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+14
0.4%
Marcus McMaryion pass complete to KeeSean Johnson for 14 yds to the UNLV 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:54
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+10
0.3%
Derrion Grim run for 10 yds for a TD (Asa Fuller KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 21FG
14 plays · 52 yds · 4:340% → 0%
Q4 14:47
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+4
0.3%
Lexington Thomas run for 4 yds to the UNLV 42Similar
Q4 14:47
2ND & 6
OWN 42
0
0.2%
Max Gilliam pass incomplete to Lexington Thomas, broken up by James BaileySimilar
Q4 14:47
3RD & 6
OWN 42
0
0.2%
Max Gilliam pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:47
4TH & 6
OWN 42
+5
0.2%
HICKEN,Hayes punt 51 yards to the FS7, fair catch by RIVERS, Ronnie, PENALTY FS offside defense (WALKER, Mykal) 5 yards to the UNLV47, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 14:47
4TH & 1
OWN 47
+4
0.3%
Lexington Thomas run for 4 yds to the FrsSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:47
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+14
0.3%
Charles Williams run for 14 yds to the FrsSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:47
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+24
0.3%
Charles Williams run for 24 yds to the FrsSt 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:47
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+10
0.3%
Charles Williams run for 10 yds to the FrsSt 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:47
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
-13
0.3%
Charles Williams run for a loss of 13 yards to the FrsSt 14Similar
Q4 14:47
2ND & GOAL
OPP 14
-2
0.3%
Max Gilliam run for a loss of 2 yards to the FrsSt 16Similar
Q4 14:47
3RD & GOAL
OPP 16
+6
0.3%
Max Gilliam pass complete to Lexington Thomas for 6 yds to the FrsSt 10Similar
Q4 10:13
4TH & GOAL
OPP 10
+28
0.2%
Evan Pantels 28 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FRESDrive 22TD
6 plays · 63 yds · 1:59100% → 100%
Q4 10:13
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+8
0.3%
Saevion Johnson run for 8 yds to the FrsSt 45Similar
Q4 10:13
2ND & 2
OWN 45
+5
0.3%
REYNA, Jorge pass incomplete to HARDAWAY, D., PENALTY UNLV offside defense (OUTSEY,Jameer) 5 yards to the 50 yardline, 1ST DOWN FS, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 10:13
1ST & 10
50
+11
0.3%
Jorge Reyna run for 11 yds to the UNLV 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:13
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+37
0.3%
Saevion Johnson run for 37 yds to the UNLV 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:14
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
0.2%
Saevion Johnson run for 2 yds for a TD (Asa Fuller KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 23PUNT
8 plays · 12 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 8:14
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
0.1%
Charles Williams run for 9 yds to the UNLV 34 UNLV Penalty, Offensive holding (-10 Yards) to the UNLV 24Similar
Q4 8:14
1ST & 11
OWN 24
+7
0.1%
Charles Williams run for 7 yds to the UNLV 31Similar
Q4 8:14
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+6
0.1%
Evan Owens run for 6 yds to the UNLV 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:14
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
0.1%
Evan Owens run for no gain to the UNLV 37Similar
Q4 8:14
2ND & 10
OWN 37
0
0.1%
Kenyon Oblad pass incomplete to Tyleek CollinsSimilar
Q4 8:14
3RD & 10
OWN 37
0
0.1%
Kenyon Oblad pass incomplete to Tyleek Collins, broken up by Chris GastonSimilar
Q4 8:14
4TH & 10
OWN 37
0
0.1%
Hayes Hicken punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Ronnie Rivers at the FrsSt 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FRESDrive 24PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 5:37
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+3
0.2%
Jorge Reyna run for 3 yds to the FrsSt 21Similar
Q4 5:37
2ND & 7
OWN 21
+5
0.2%
Jorge Reyna run for 5 yds to the FrsSt 26Similar
Q4 5:37
3RD & 2
OWN 26
-5
0.2%
FRESNO ST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the FrsSt 21Similar
Q4 5:37
3RD & 7
OWN 21
+5
0.2%
Romello Harris run for 5 yds to the FrsSt 26Similar
Q4 5:37
4TH & 2
OWN 26
0
0.3%
Blake Cusick punt for 38 yds, downed at the UNLV 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 25Uncategorized
10 plays · 51 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 3:10
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+4
0.1%
Charles Williams run for 4 yds to the UNLV 40Similar
Q4 3:10
2ND & 6
OWN 40
+4
0.1%
Charles Williams run for 4 yds to the UNLV 44Similar
Q4 3:10
3RD & 2
OWN 44
+5
0.1%
Tyleek Collins run for 5 yds to the UNLV 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:10
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+4
0.1%
Evan Owens run for 4 yds to the FrsSt 47Similar
Q4 3:10
2ND & 6
OPP 47
+13
0.1%
Evan Owens run for 13 yds to the FrsSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:10
1ST & 10
OWN 0
0
0.1%
PENALTY UNLV unsportsmanlike conduct off-setting, PENALTY FS unsportsmanlike conduct off-setting, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 3:10
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+6
0.1%
Charles Williams run for 6 yds to the FrsSt 28Similar
Q4 3:10
2ND & 4
OPP 28
+7
0.1%
Charles Williams run for 7 yds to the FrsSt 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:10
1ST & 10
OPP 21
0
0.1%
Kenyon Oblad pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 3:10
2ND & 10
OPP 21
+8
0.1%
Xzaviar Campbell run for 8 yds to the FrsSt 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 10:45
Marcus McMaryion pass complete to Kyle Riddering for 9 yds for a TD (Asa Fuller KICK)
-3
FG · Q2 0:36
Asa Fuller 35 yd FG GOOD
-2
TD · Q3 8:22
Josh Hokit run for 5 yds for a TD (Asa Fuller KICK)
-2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com