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SDSU

San Diego State 31 at New Mexico 23

UNM
2018 · Week 10 · Nov 3, 2018 · University Stadium (NM)
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Win probability · UNM
modelUNM aheadSDSU aheadconfidence bandkey playUNM scoreSDSU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDTDTDTDFGTDEnd of GameFG+1.8UNM 39.6%Andrew Shelley 41 yd FG GOODAWAY 7 - HOME 10 · Q2 3:45
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Q2 3:45 · Andrew Shelley 41 yd FG GOOD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+40.0+20.00−20.0−40.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 63Pregame prior−18.4Home team on offense+3.3Garbage-time factor+0.1Score differential+0.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.5Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 2:15: Coltin Gerhart pass complete to Anselem Umeh for 12 yds for a TD (Andrew Shelley PAT BLOCKED) — UNM win probability +19.6 pts (now 57%) (top driver: UNM has the ball).
  2. TD · Q4 10:07: Coltin Gerhart pass complete to Delane Hart-Johnson for 4 yds for a TD (Andrew Shelley KICK) — UNM win probability +24.0 pts (now 84%) (top driver: UNM has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 7:29: Christian Chapman pass complete to Kahale Warring for 19 yds for a TD (John Baron II KICK) — SDSU win probability +28.3 pts (now 49%) (top driver: SDSU has the ball).
  4. FG · Q4 2:56: John Baron II 32 yd FG GOOD — SDSU win probability +19.9 pts (now 69%) (top driver: SDSU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 1:52: Juwan Washington run for 50 yds for a TD (John Baron II KICK) — SDSU win probability +24.8 pts (now 97%) (top driver: SDSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UNM made the numbers' call on 8 of 10SDSU made the numbers' call on 6 of 8
  1. Q1 10:28SDSU 4th & 1 at UNM 37, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 74.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    74.8%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    74.6%−0.2
    40% to make
    Punt
    74.6%−0.2
    average punt
  2. Q1 3:35UNM 4th & 11 at UNM 24, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 26.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.7%−0.5
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    27.3%
    average punt
  3. Q2 15:00SDSU 4th & 19 at SDSU 31, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 70.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    69.3%−1.4
    11% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    70.7%
    average punt
  4. Q2 14:53UNM 4th & 9 at UNM 34, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 29.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.9%−0.4
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    29.3%
    average punt
  5. Q2 12:31SDSU 4th & 7 at SDSU 42, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 69.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    69.3%−0.3
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    69.6%
    average punt
  6. Q2 10:22UNM 4th & 14 at UNM 38, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 31.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.7%−0.8
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    31.6%
    average punt
  7. Q2 3:45UNM 4th & 2 at SDSU 24, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 37.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.6%
    57% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    36.8%−0.8
    68% to make
    Punt
    32.5%−5.2
    average punt
  8. Q2 1:33SDSU 4th & 5 at UNM 49, down 3
    Close callPunted · 59.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.5%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    59.3%−0.2
    average punt
  9. Q3 15:00UNM 4th & 6 at UNM 39, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 41.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.3%−0.4
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    41.7%
    average punt
  10. Q3 12:09SDSU 4th & 3 at SDSU 46, down 3
    Close callPunted · 56.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    57.1%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    56.3%−0.9
    average punt
  11. Q3 9:55UNM 4th & 3 at UNM 13, up 3
    Close callPunted · 45.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.5%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    46.4%−0.1
    average punt
  12. Q3 8:09UNM 4th & 12 at UNM 35, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 31.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.8%−2.6
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    33.4%
    average punt
  13. Q3 6:20SDSU 4th & 8 at SDSU 12, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 65.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    64.4%−2.6
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    67.0%
    average punt
  14. Q3 4:54UNM 4th & 17 at SDSU 40, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 31.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.2%−1.8
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    31.5%−0.4
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    32.0%
    average punt
  15. Q3 2:15SDSU 4th & 8 at SDSU 27, down 2
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 47.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.6%−2.4
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    49.0%
    average punt
  16. Q4 6:07UNM 4th & 9 at UNM 26, up 2
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 64.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.7%−6.7
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    66.4%
    average punt
  17. Q4 2:56SDSU 4th & 5 at UNM 15, down 2
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 37.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.2%−13.1
    39% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    46.3%
    83% to make
    Punt
    21.1%−25.3
    average punt
  18. Q4 1:10UNM 4th & 9 at UNM 22, down 8
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 6.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    5.2%
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    5.0%−0.2
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UNM made the numbers' call on 1 of 2SDSU made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 3:35SDSU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    71.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    71.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q3 8:09SDSU Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    67.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    66.9%−0.2
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 2:15UNM Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    52.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    52.5%−0.2
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 10:07UNM Touchdown, up 8 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    85.4%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    85.4%
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 7:29SDSU Touchdown, down 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    37.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    36.1%−1.2
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 1:52SDSU Touchdown, up 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    91.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    88.0%−3.0
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
SDSUDrive 1FUMBLE TD
10 plays · 19 yds · 4:3279% → 76%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
20.9%
Chance Bell run for 5 yds to the SDSt 30Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+9
20.9%
Chance Bell run for 9 yds to the SDSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+4
20.9%
Chance Bell run for 4 yds to the SDSt 43Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 43
+1
20.9%
Chance Bell run for 1 yd to the SDSt 44Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 5
OWN 44
+13
20.9%
Ryan Agnew run for 13 yds to the NMex 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+4
20.9%
Chance Bell run for 4 yds to the NMex 39Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 39
-10
20.9%
SAN DIEGO ST Penalty, Offensive holding (Tyler Roemer) to the NMex 49Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 16
OPP 49
-1
20.9%
Ryan Agnew sacked by Adebayo Soremekun for a loss of 1 yard to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 10:28
3RD & 17
50
+44
24.3%
Ryan Agnew sacked by Alexander Vainikolo for a loss of 5 yards Ryan Agnew fumbled, recovered by NMex Adebayo Soremekun , return for 0 yards , return for 44 yds (Andrew Shelley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 2TD
16 plays · 75 yds · 6:5376% → 74%
Q1 10:28
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
24.3%
SAN DIEGO ST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the SDSt 20Similar
Q1 10:28
1ST & 15
OWN 20
0
24.3%
Chase Jasmin run for no gain to the SDSt 20Similar
Q1 10:28
2ND & 15
OWN 20
+7
24.3%
Ryan Agnew pass complete to Kahale Warring for 7 yds to the SDSt 27Similar
Q1 10:28
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+8
24.4%
Ryan Agnew pass complete to Isiah Macklin for 8 yds to the SDSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:28
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+19
24.2%
Ryan Agnew pass complete to Isiah Macklin for 19 yds to the NMex 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:28
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+7
23.9%
Chase Jasmin run for 7 yds to the NMex 39Similar
Q1 10:28
2ND & 3
OPP 39
+2
23.9%
Chase Jasmin run for 2 yds to the NMex 37Similar
Q1 10:28
3RD & 1
OPP 37
0
23.9%
Chase Jasmin run for no gain to the NMex 37Similar
Q1 10:28
4TH & 1
OPP 37
+3
24.1%
Chase Jasmin run for 3 yds to the NMex 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:28
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
23.8%
Ryan Agnew pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:28
2ND & 10
OPP 34
+1
23.8%
Chance Bell run for 1 yd to the NMex 33Similar
Q1 10:28
3RD & 9
OPP 33
+24
24.0%
Ryan Agnew pass complete to Elijah Kothe for 24 yds to the NMex 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:28
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+4
23.8%
Chase Jasmin run for 4 yds to the NMex 5Similar
Q1 10:28
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
0
23.8%
Ryan Agnew pass incomplete to Isiah MacklinSimilar
Q1 3:35
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
25.6%
Chase Jasmin run for 5 yds for a TD (John Baron II KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 0:0027% → 26%
Q1 3:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
26.7%
Tyrone Owens run for a loss of 2 yards to the NMex 23Similar
Q1 3:35
2ND & 12
OWN 23
+6
26.6%
Tyrone Owens run for 6 yds to the NMex 29Similar
Q1 3:35
3RD & 6
OWN 29
-5
26.4%
Coltin Gerhart pass complete to Tyrone Owens for a loss of 5 yards to the NMex 24Similar
Q1 3:35
4TH & 11
OWN 24
+10
26.0%
Tyson Dyer punt for 46 yds , Garrett Binkley returns for 10 yds to the SDSt 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · -9 yds · 1:4574% → 71%
Q1 1:45
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
26.5%
Jordan Byrd run for no gain to the SDSt 40Similar
Q1 1:45
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+2
26.7%
Jordan Byrd run for 2 yds to the SDSt 42Similar
Q1 1:45
3RD & 8
OWN 42
-10
26.8%
SAN DIEGO ST Penalty, Offensive holding (Ryan Pope) to the SDSt 32Similar
Q1 1:45
3RD & 18
OWN 32
-1
27.6%
Chance Bell run for a loss of 1 yard to the SDSt 31Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 19
OWN 31
0
28.9%
Brandon Heicklen punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Jalin Burrell at the NMex 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · 12 yds · 0:0029% → 28%
Q2 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+11
29.0%
Tyrone Owens run for 11 yds to the NMex 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+4
29.2%
Coltin Gerhart run for 4 yds to the NMex 37Similar
Q2 14:53
2ND & 6
OWN 37
0
29.8%
Zahneer Shuler run for no gain to the NMex 37Similar
Q2 14:53
3RD & 6
OWN 37
-3
29.0%
Coltin Gerhart pass complete to Zahneer Shuler for a loss of 3 yards to the NMex 34Similar
Q2 14:53
4TH & 9
OWN 34
0
28.1%
Tyson Dyer punt for 56 yds , Garrett Binkley returns for no gain to the SDSt 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 6PUNT
6 plays · 32 yds · 0:0071% → 70%
Q2 12:31
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+29
29.5%
Christian Chapman pass complete to Ethan Dedeaux for 29 yds to the SDSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:31
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+2
28.5%
Juwan Washington run for 2 yds to the SDSt 41Similar
Q2 12:31
2ND & 8
OWN 41
0
28.3%
Christian Chapman pass incomplete to Juwan WashingtonSimilar
Q2 12:31
3RD & 8
OWN 41
-5
28.9%
SAN DIEGO ST Penalty, false start (Daishawn Dixon) to the SDSt 36Similar
Q2 12:31
3RD & 13
OWN 36
+6
29.8%
Christian Chapman pass complete to Juwan Washington for 6 yds to the SDSt 42Similar
Q2 12:31
4TH & 7
OWN 42
+8
29.7%
Brandon Heicklen punt for 45 yds , Jalin Burrell returns for 8 yds to the NMex 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 7PUNT
8 plays · 17 yds · 0:0032% → 31%
Q2 10:22
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+2
31.7%
Coltin Gerhart run for 2 yds to the NMex 23Similar
Q2 10:22
2ND & 8
OWN 23
+5
31.7%
Coltin Gerhart run for 5 yds to the NMex 28Similar
Q2 10:22
3RD & 3
OWN 28
+3
31.3%
Daevon Vigilant run for 3 yds to the NMex 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:22
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+11
32.0%
Daevon Vigilant run for 11 yds to the NMex 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:22
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+4
33.0%
Daevon Vigilant run for 4 yds to the NMex 46Similar
Q2 10:22
2ND & 6
OWN 46
0
33.4%
Daevon Vigilant run for no gain to the NMex 46Similar
Q2 10:22
3RD & 6
OWN 46
-8
32.6%
Coltin Gerhart sacked by Kyahva Tezino for a loss of 8 yards to the NMex 38Similar
Q2 10:22
4TH & 14
OWN 38
+10
30.6%
Tyson Dyer punt for 49 yds , Garrett Binkley returns for 10 yds to the SDSt 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 8FUMBLE
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:0069% → 69%
Q2 6:27
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+4
31.4%
Juwan Washington run for 4 yds to the SDSt 27Similar
Q2 6:27
2ND & 6
OWN 27
+2
31.0%
Juwan Washington run for 2 yds to the SDSt 29Similar
Q2 6:27
3RD & 4
OWN 29
+6
31.5%
Christian Chapman pass complete to Kahale Warring for 6 yds to the SDSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:27
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-3
30.9%
Juwan Washington run for a loss of 3 yards to the SDSt 32 Juwan Washington fumbled, forced by DaQuan Baker, recovered by NMex Adebayo SoremekunSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 9FG
4 plays · 8 yds · 0:3739% → 40%
Q2 4:22
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
38.8%
Coltin Gerhart pass incomplete to Delane Hart-JohnsonSimilar
Q2 4:22
2ND & 10
OPP 32
+8
38.7%
Tyrone Owens run for 8 yds to the SDSt 24Similar
Q2 4:22
3RD & 2
OPP 24
0
37.8%
Coltin Gerhart pass incomplete to Elijah LillySimilar
Q2 3:45
4TH & 2
OPP 24
+41
39.6%
Andrew Shelley 41 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 10PUNT
8 plays · 26 yds · 2:1262% → 62%
Q2 3:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+21
38.3%
Christian Chapman pass complete to Tim Wilson Jr. for 21 yds to the SDSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:45
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
36.1%
Juwan Washington run for no gain to the SDSt 46Similar
Q2 3:45
2ND & 10
OWN 46
-10
36.7%
SAN DIEGO ST Penalty, Offensive holding (-10 Yards) to the SDSt 36Similar
Q2 3:45
2ND & 20
OWN 36
+11
38.5%
Christian Chapman pass complete to Parker Houston for 11 yds to the SDSt 47Similar
Q2 3:45
3RD & 9
OWN 47
+4
37.2%
Christian Chapman pass complete to BJ Busbee for 4 yds to the NMex 49Similar
Q2 1:33
4TH & 5
OPP 49
0
38.1%
Brandon Heicklen punt for 45 yds, downed at the NMex 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 11END OF HALF
2 plays · 9 yds · 0:0039% → 39%
Q2 1:27
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+6
38.8%
Tyrone Owens run for 6 yds to the NMex 10Similar
Q2 1:27
2ND & 4
OWN 10
+3
39.1%
Tyrone Owens run for 3 yds to the NMex 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 12PUNT
8 plays · 14 yds · 0:0042% → 40%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
41.6%
Tyrone Owens run for 1 yd to the NMex 26Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 26
-3
41.4%
Coltin Gerhart sacked by Troy Cassidy and Noble Hall for a loss of 3 yards to the NMex 23Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 12
OWN 23
+12
39.9%
Coltin Gerhart run for 12 yds to the NMex 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-2
41.9%
Coltin Gerhart pass complete to Jay Griffin IV for a loss of 2 yards to the NMex 33Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 12
OWN 33
+6
41.3%
Coltin Gerhart pass complete to Delane Hart-Johnson for 6 yds to the NMex 39Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 39
0
41.7%
Coltin Gerhart pass incomplete to Elijah LillySimilar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 6
OWN 39
0
40.4%
Tyson Dyer punt for 33 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the SDSt 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 13PUNT
7 plays · 18 yds · 0:0057% → 57%
Q3 12:09
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+5
43.1%
Jordan Byrd run for 5 yds to the SDSt 33Similar
Q3 12:09
2ND & 5
OWN 33
0
42.1%
Christian Chapman pass incomplete to Kobe Smith, broken up by Jalin BurrellSimilar
Q3 12:09
3RD & 5
OWN 33
+6
43.6%
Christian Chapman pass complete to Parker Houston for 6 yds to the SDSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:09
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+2
41.5%
Chase Jasmin run for 2 yds to the SDSt 41Similar
Q3 12:09
2ND & 8
OWN 41
0
41.1%
Christian Chapman pass incomplete, broken up by Aaron BlackwellSimilar
Q3 12:09
3RD & 8
OWN 41
+5
42.3%
Christian Chapman pass complete to Kahale Warring for 5 yds to the SDSt 46Similar
Q3 12:09
4TH & 3
OWN 46
0
42.8%
Brandon Heicklen punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Jalin Burrell at the NMex 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 14PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:0047% → 45%
Q3 9:55
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+1
46.8%
Daevon Vigilant run for 1 yd to the NMex 7Similar
Q3 9:55
2ND & 9
OWN 7
+6
46.5%
Daevon Vigilant run for 6 yds to the NMex 13Similar
Q3 9:55
3RD & 3
OWN 13
0
45.5%
Coltin Gerhart pass incomplete to Patrick ReedSimilar
Q3 9:55
4TH & 3
OWN 13
0
44.6%
Tyson Dyer punt for 30 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the NMex 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 15TD
2 plays · 43 yds · 0:3358% → 72%
Q3 8:42
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+9
42.4%
Christian Chapman pass complete to Ethan Dedeaux for 9 yds to the NMex 34Similar
Q3 8:09
2ND & 1
OPP 34
+34
27.9%
Juwan Washington run for 34 yds for a TD (John Baron II KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 16PUNT
6 plays · 10 yds · 0:0033% → 31%
Q3 8:09
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
33.1%
Coltin Gerhart pass complete to Elijah Lilly for 12 yds to the NMex 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:09
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-5
33.9%
Coltin Gerhart sacked by Kyahva Tezino for a loss of 5 yards to the NMex 32Similar
Q3 8:09
2ND & 15
OWN 32
+3
32.8%
Tyrone Owens run for 3 yds to the NMex 35Similar
Q3 8:09
3RD & 12
OWN 35
0
31.7%
Coltin Gerhart pass incomplete to Elijah Lilly, broken up by Parker BaldwinSimilar
Q3 8:09
4TH & 12
OWN 35
+55
31.2%
Tyson Dyer punt for 45 yds, downed at the NEWMEXICO 20 SAN DIEGO ST Penalty, Offensive holding (10 Yards) to the SDSt 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 17PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:0069% → 66%
Q3 6:20
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+2
31.2%
Juwan Washington run for 2 yds to the SDSt 12Similar
Q3 6:20
2ND & 8
OWN 12
0
31.5%
Juwan Washington run for no gain to the SDSt 12Similar
Q3 6:20
3RD & 8
OWN 12
0
32.7%
Christian Chapman pass incomplete to Ethan DedeauxSimilar
Q3 6:20
4TH & 8
OWN 12
+4
33.8%
Brandon Heicklen punt for 41 yds , Jalin Burrell returns for 4 yds to the SDSt 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 18PUNT
6 plays · 9 yds · 0:0036% → 30%
Q3 4:54
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+1
36.0%
Daevon Vigilant run for 1 yd to the SDSt 48Similar
Q3 4:54
2ND & 9
OPP 48
+15
36.0%
SAN DIEGO ST Penalty, Defensive pass interference (15 Yards) to the SDSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:54
1ST & 10
OPP 33
-7
38.2%
Coltin Gerhart sacked by Kyahva Tezino and Troy Cassidy for a loss of 7 yards to the SDSt 40Similar
Q3 4:54
2ND & 17
OPP 40
0
33.8%
Coltin Gerhart pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 4:54
3RD & 17
OPP 40
0
32.5%
Coltin Gerhart pass incomplete to Delane Hart-Johnson, broken up by Tayler HawkinsSimilar
Q3 4:54
4TH & 17
OPP 40
0
30.3%
Tyson Dyer punt for 40 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 19FUMBLE
2 plays · -7 yds · 0:0071% → 71%
Q3 3:10
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-10
29.1%
SAN DIEGO ST Penalty, Offensive holding (Daishawn Dixon) to the SDSt 10Similar
Q3 3:10
1ST & 20
OWN 10
+5
29.3%
Jordan Byrd run for 5 yds to the SDSt 13 Jordan Byrd fumbled, forced by D'Angelo Ross, recovered by NMex Rhashaun EptingSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 20TD
2 plays · 13 yds · 0:4237% → 57%
Q3 2:57
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+1
37.2%
Coltin Gerhart run for 1 yd to the SDSt 12Similar
Q3 2:15
2ND & 9
OPP 12
+12
56.9%
Coltin Gerhart pass complete to Anselem Umeh for 12 yds for a TD (Andrew Shelley PAT BLOCKED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 21PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:0050% → 47%
Q3 2:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
49.6%
Juwan Washington run for 2 yds to the SDSt 27Similar
Q3 2:15
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
49.3%
Christian Chapman pass incomplete to Isiah MacklinSimilar
Q3 2:15
3RD & 8
OWN 27
0
51.2%
Christian Chapman pass incomplete to Kahale Warring, broken up by Bijon ParkerSimilar
Q3 2:15
4TH & 8
OWN 27
0
52.8%
Brandon Heicklen punt for 30 yds, downed at the NMex 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 22TD
11 plays · 57 yds · 6:1456% → 84%
Q3 1:21
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+2
55.6%
Zahneer Shuler run for 2 yds to the NMex 45Similar
Q3 1:21
2ND & 8
OWN 45
-1
55.9%
Coltin Gerhart sacked by Myles Cheatum for a loss of 1 yard to the NMex 44Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 9
OWN 44
+10
53.6%
Coltin Gerhart run for 10 yds to the SDSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+1
58.4%
Zahneer Shuler run for 1 yd to the SDSt 45Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 45
+10
58.1%
Coltin Gerhart run for 10 yds to the SDSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+11
59.6%
Daevon Vigilant run for 11 yds to the SDSt 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+5
59.6%
Daevon Vigilant run for 5 yds to the SDSt 19Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 19
+1
59.6%
Daevon Vigilant run for 1 yd to the SDSt 18Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 4
OPP 18
+12
57.8%
Coltin Gerhart pass complete to Jay Griffin IV for 12 yds to the SDSt 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+2
59.6%
Daevon Vigilant run for 2 yds to the SDSt 4Similar
Q4 10:07
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
83.5%
Coltin Gerhart pass complete to Delane Hart-Johnson for 4 yds for a TD (Andrew Shelley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 23TD
6 plays · 75 yds · 2:3818% → 49%
Q4 10:07
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+29
82.5%
Christian Chapman pass complete to Tim Wilson Jr. for 29 yds to the NMex 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:07
1ST & 10
OPP 46
-10
78.3%
Christian Chapman sacked by Erin Austin for a loss of 10 yards to the SDSt 44Similar
Q4 10:07
2ND & 20
OWN 44
+13
82.1%
Christian Chapman pass complete to Tim Wilson Jr. for 13 yds to the NMex 43Similar
Q4 10:07
3RD & 7
OPP 43
+24
79.0%
Christian Chapman pass complete to Kahale Warring for 24 yds to the NMex 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:29
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+19
50.7%
Christian Chapman pass complete to Kahale Warring for 19 yds for a TD (John Baron II KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 24PUNT
6 plays · 1 yds · 1:2261% → 63%
Q4 7:29
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
61.4%
Coltin Gerhart run for 2 yds to the NMex 27Similar
Q4 7:29
2ND & 8
OWN 27
-2
61.4%
Zahneer Shuler run for a loss of 2 yards to the NMex 26 Zahneer Shuler fumbled, recovered by NMex Coltin GerhartSimilar
Q4 6:07
3RD & 9
OWN 26
0
63.6%
Coltin Gerhart pass incomplete to Delane Hart-JohnsonSimilar
Q4 6:07
4TH & 9
OWN 26
+34
62.5%
Tyson Dyer punt for 49 yds , Garrett Binkley returns for 34 yds to the NMex 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 25FG
7 plays · 26 yds · 2:3649% → 69%
Q4 5:32
1ST & 10
OPP 41
-5
51.5%
SAN DIEGO ST Penalty, false start (Tyler Roemer) to the NMex 46Similar
Q4 5:32
1ST & 15
OPP 46
+15
54.4%
NEW MEXICO Penalty, roughing passer (Rhashaun Epting) to the NMex 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:32
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+11
49.4%
Chase Jasmin run for 11 yds to the NMex 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:32
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+3
48.7%
Chase Jasmin run for 3 yds to the NMex 17Similar
Q4 5:32
2ND & 7
OPP 17
0
48.7%
Chase Jasmin run for no gain to the NMex 17Similar
Q4 5:32
3RD & 7
OPP 17
+2
51.1%
Juwan Washington run for 2 yds to the NMex 15Similar
Q4 2:56
4TH & 5
OPP 15
+32
31.2%
John Baron II 32 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 26INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:0044% → 44%
Q4 2:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
43.7%
Coltin Gerhart pass intercepted Luq Barcoo return for 2 yds to the SDSt 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 27TD
2 plays · 53 yds · 0:5572% → 97%
Q4 2:47
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+3
28.2%
Chase Jasmin run for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 1:52
2ND & 7
50
+50
3.4%
Juwan Washington run for 50 yds for a TD (John Baron II KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 28DOWNS
6 plays · 1 yds · 0:418% → 5%
Q4 1:51
1ST & 10
OWN 21
-4
7.7%
Coltin Gerhart sacked by Troy Cassidy for a loss of 4 yards to the NMex 17Similar
Q4 1:51
2ND & 14
OWN 17
0
7.5%
Coltin Gerhart pass incomplete to Jay Griffin IVSimilar
Q4 1:51
3RD & 14
OWN 17
+5
7.1%
Coltin Gerhart pass complete to Zahneer Shuler for 5 yds to the NMex 22Similar
Q4 1:10
4TH & 9
OWN 22
0
5.3%
Coltin Gerhart pass incomplete to Anselem Umeh, broken up by Ronley LakalakaSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 29Uncategorized
1 play · -1 yds · 0:0097% → 97%
Q4 1:03
1ST & 10
OPP 22
-1
3.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the NMex 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 7:29
Christian Chapman pass complete to Kahale Warring for 19 yds for a TD (John Baron II KICK)
-28.3
TD · Q4 1:52
Juwan Washington run for 50 yds for a TD (John Baron II KICK)
-24.8
TD · Q4 10:07
Coltin Gerhart pass complete to Delane Hart-Johnson for 4 yds for a TD (Andrew Shelley KICK)
+24
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com