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UNLV

UNLV 37 at San José State 50

SJSU
2018 · Week 9 · Oct 27, 2018 · CEFCU Stadium
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Win probability · SJSU
modelSJSU aheadUNLV aheadconfidence bandkey playSJSU scoreUNLV score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDTDFGTDFGFGTDEnd of GameFG+2.2SJSU 69.8%Bryce Crawford 50 yd FG GOODAWAY 7 - HOME 17 · Q2 6:25
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 6:25 · Bryce Crawford 50 yd FG GOOD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+31.5+15.80−15.8−31.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 69Home team on offense+6.5Pregame prior+6.5Score differential+1.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+1.2Garbage-time factor+2.0Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 1:36: Max Gilliam pass complete to Tyleek Collins for 4 yds for a TD (Evan Pantels KICK) — UNLV win probability +10.7 pts (now 54%) (top driver: UNLV has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 0:34: Josh Love pass complete to Tre Walker for 37 yds for a TD (Bryce Crawford KICK) — SJSU win probability +14.3 pts (now 67%) (top driver: SJSU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 10:48: Josh Love pass complete to Brett Foley for 1 yd for a TD (Bryce Crawford KICK) — SJSU win probability +10.1 pts (now 78%) (top driver: SJSU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 4:17: Josh Love pass complete to Tre Hartley for 9 yds for a TD (Bryce Crawford KICK) — SJSU win probability +11.2 pts (now 93%) (top driver: SJSU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 2:01: Max Gilliam pass complete to Tyleek Collins for 46 yds for a TD (Evan Pantels KICK) SAN JOSÉ ST Penalty, Defensive offside ( Yards) declined — UNLV win probability +12.9 pts (now 22%) (top driver: UNLV has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
SJSU made the numbers' call on 6 of 6UNLV made the numbers' call on 6 of 8
  1. Q1 15:00UNLV 4th & 2 at UNLV 23, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 41.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.8%−<0.1
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    41.8%
    average punt
  2. Q1 14:16SJSU 4th & 13 at SJSU 31, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 58.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.1%−0.2
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    58.3%
    average punt
  3. Q1 13:20UNLV 4th & 3 at UNLV 27, tied
    Close callPunted · 41.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.7%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    41.7%−<0.1
    average punt
  4. Q1 6:13UNLV 4th & 1 at SJSU 40, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 42.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    42.1%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    41.4%−0.7
    34% to make
    Punt
    41.5%−0.6
    average punt
  5. Q2 12:28UNLV 4th & 22 at UNLV 40, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 34.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.4%−1.6
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    35.0%
    average punt
  6. Q2 9:43SJSU 4th & 9 at SJSU 40, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 64.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    64.2%−0.6
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    64.8%
    average punt
  7. Q2 6:25SJSU 4th & 8 at UNLV 33, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 67.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.3%−<0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    67.4%
    49% to make
    Punt
    66.6%−0.8
    average punt
  8. Q2 6:14SJSU 4th & 9 at UNLV 45, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 61.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.7%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    59.9%−1.0
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    60.8%
    average punt
  9. Q3 8:52UNLV 4th & 2 at SJSU 41, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 23.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    23.9%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    20.8%−3.1
    32% to make
    Punt
    21.5%−2.4
    average punt
  10. Q3 0:15SJSU 4th & 9 at UNLV 19, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 83.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    82.7%−0.9
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    83.7%
    77% to make
    Punt
    77.7%−5.9
    average punt
  11. Q4 10:46UNLV 4th & 5 at SJSU 5, down 19
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 4.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.0%−<0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    4.1%
    92% to make
    Punt
    0.1%−4.0
    average punt
  12. Q4 7:11SJSU 4th & 12 at UNLV 28, up 16
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 96.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.6%−0.4
    23% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    96.0%
    60% to make
    Punt
    94.2%−1.8
    average punt
  13. Q4 7:11UNLV 4th & 4 at UNLV 31, down 19
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 3.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.7%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    2.6%−0.2
    average punt
  14. Q4 4:36UNLV 4th & 10 at SJSU 41, down 19
    Close callWent for it · 2.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.7%−<0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    1.7%
    32% to make
    Punt
    1.6%−0.2
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
SJSU made the numbers' call on 6 of 6UNLV made the numbers' call on 5 of 5
  1. Q1 7:39UNLV Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    43.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    43.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 6:16SJSU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    58.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    58.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 12:28SJSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    63.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    63.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 6:14UNLV Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    38.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    38.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 1:36UNLV Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    49.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    49.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 0:34SJSU Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    62.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    62.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 10:48SJSU Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    76.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    76.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 4:17SJSU Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    90.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    89.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q3 2:01UNLV Touchdown, down 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    16.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    16.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 13:44SJSU Touchdown, up 19 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    96.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.5%−0.2
    45% to convert
  11. Q4 2:28UNLV Touchdown, down 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersWent for two · failed
    Kick
    3.7%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    3.7%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UNLVDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 0:0039% → 39%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 15
0
60.8%
Max Gilliam pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 15
0
60.8%
Max Gilliam pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 10
OWN 15
+8
60.8%
Max Gilliam pass complete to Brandon Presley for 8 yds to the UNLV 23Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 2
OWN 23
+1
60.8%
Hayes Hicken punt for 44 yds , Thai Cottrell returns for 1 yd to the SJSt 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · -3 yds · 0:0061% → 61%
Q1 14:16
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+9
60.8%
Josh Love pass complete to Josh Oliver for 9 yds to the SJSt 43Similar
Q1 14:16
2ND & 1
OWN 43
-15
60.9%
Josh Love pass incomplete to Josh Oliver SAN JOSÉ ST Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (Josh Oliver) to the SJSt 28Similar
Q1 14:16
3RD & 16
OWN 28
+3
60.7%
Malike Roberson run for 3 yds to the SJSt 31Similar
Q1 14:16
4TH & 13
OWN 31
0
60.7%
Bryce Crawford punt for 49 yds , Tyleek Collins returns for no gain to the UNLV 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:0039% → 39%
Q1 13:20
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
60.8%
Evan Owens run for 5 yds to the UNLV 25Similar
Q1 13:20
2ND & 5
OWN 25
+2
60.7%
Lexington Thomas run for 2 yds to the UNLV 27Similar
Q1 13:20
3RD & 3
OWN 27
0
60.8%
Max Gilliam pass incomplete to Brandon PresleySimilar
Q1 13:20
4TH & 3
OWN 27
0
60.9%
Hayes Hicken punt for 68 yds, downed at the SJSt 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 4INT
6 plays · 52 yds · 0:0061% → 61%
Q1 11:57
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+21
60.8%
Josh Love pass complete to Justin Holmes for 21 yds to the SJSt 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:57
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+7
60.8%
Leki Nunn run for 7 yds to the SJSt 33Similar
Q1 11:57
2ND & 3
OWN 33
+14
61.0%
Leki Nunn pass complete to Josh Oliver for 14 yds to the SJSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:57
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
61.1%
Josh Love pass incomplete to Josh OliverSimilar
Q1 11:57
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+10
61.0%
Tyler Nevens run for 10 yds to the UNLV 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:57
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+28
61.2%
Josh Love pass intercepted Dalton Baker return for 28 yds to the SJSt 15 SAN JOSÉ ST Penalty, ineligible downfield on pass ( Yards) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 5TD
6 plays · 47 yds · 2:2640% → 43%
Q1 10:05
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+12
60.2%
Max Gilliam pass complete to Mekhi Stevenson for 12 yds to the SJSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:05
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+13
60.1%
Evan Owens run for 13 yds to the SJSt 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:05
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+2
60.0%
Lexington Thomas run for 2 yds to the SJSt 20Similar
Q1 10:05
2ND & 8
OPP 20
+11
60.0%
Max Gilliam pass complete to Darren Woods Jr. for 11 yds to the SJSt 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:05
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+3
60.0%
Lexington Thomas run for 3 yds to the SJSt 6Similar
Q1 7:39
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
56.8%
Max Gilliam run for 6 yds for a TD (Evan Pantels KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 6TD
5 plays · 75 yds · 1:2358% → 62%
Q1 7:39
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
57.9%
Malike Roberson run for 4 yds to the SJSt 29Similar
Q1 7:39
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+7
58.0%
Josh Love pass complete to Tre Hartley for 7 yds to the SJSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:39
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+60
58.1%
Josh Love pass complete to Thai Cottrell for 60 yds to the UNLV 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:16
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
61.7%
Tyler Nevens run for 4 yds for a TD (Bryce Crawford KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 7DOWNS
8 plays · 29 yds · 0:0040% → 40%
Q1 6:13
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+5
60.3%
Max Gilliam run for 5 yds to the UNLV 34Similar
Q1 6:13
2ND & 5
OWN 34
+3
60.0%
Lexington Thomas run for 3 yds to the UNLV 37Similar
Q1 6:13
3RD & 2
OWN 37
+14
60.0%
Lexington Thomas run for 14 yds to the SJSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:13
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+4
59.5%
Lexington Thomas run for 4 yds to the SJSt 45Similar
Q1 6:13
2ND & 6
OPP 45
+4
59.5%
Evan Owens run for 4 yds to the SJSt 41Similar
Q1 6:13
3RD & 2
OPP 41
+1
59.5%
Lexington Thomas run for 1 yd to the SJSt 40Similar
Q1 6:13
4TH & 1
OPP 40
-2
60.0%
Lexington Thomas run for a loss of 2 yards to the SJSt 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 8TD
13 plays · 58 yds · 5:1761% → 67%
Q1 2:45
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+1
61.4%
Thai Cottrell run for 1 yd to the SJSt 43Similar
Q1 2:45
2ND & 9
OWN 43
+7
61.4%
Josh Love pass complete to Tre Hartley for 7 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 2:45
3RD & 2
50
+8
61.4%
Josh Love pass complete to Thai Cottrell for 8 yds to the UNLV 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:45
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
61.9%
Josh Love pass incomplete to Josh OliverSimilar
Q1 2:45
2ND & 10
OPP 42
+6
61.8%
Tyler Nevens run for 6 yds to the UNLV 36Similar
Q1 2:45
3RD & 4
OPP 36
+6
61.6%
Josh Love pass complete to Tre Hartley for 6 yds to the UNLV 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:45
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+12
62.1%
Tyler Nevens run for 12 yds to the UNLV 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+3
62.5%
E.J. Ane run for 3 yds to the UNLV 15Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 15
+8
62.5%
Josh Love pass complete to Malike Roberson for 8 yds to the UNLV 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+4
62.5%
Tyler Nevens run for 4 yds to the UNLV 3Similar
Q2 13:10
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+1
62.5%
Tyler Nevens run for 1 yd to the UNLV 2Similar
Q2 12:28
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
67.2%
Josh Love pass complete to Josh Oliver for 2 yds for a TD (Bryce Crawford KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 9PUNT
8 plays · 15 yds · 0:0035% → 34%
Q2 12:28
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
65.5%
Evan Owens run for 1 yd to the UNLV 26Similar
Q2 12:28
2ND & 9
OWN 26
0
65.6%
Lexington Thomas run for no gain to the UNLV 26Similar
Q2 12:28
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+26
66.2%
Max Gilliam pass complete to Lexington Thomas for 26 yds to the SJSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:28
1ST & 10
OPP 48
-5
63.7%
Max Gilliam pass complete to Tyleek Collins for a loss of 5 yards to the UNLV 47Similar
Q2 12:28
2ND & 15
OWN 47
-7
65.3%
Max Gilliam sacked by Jesse Osuna for a loss of 7 yards to the UNLV 40Similar
Q2 12:28
3RD & 22
OWN 40
0
65.9%
Max Gilliam pass incomplete to Mekhi Stevenson, broken up by Zamore ZiglerSimilar
Q2 12:28
4TH & 22
OWN 40
0
66.5%
Hayes Hicken punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Thai Cottrell at the SJSt 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 10PUNT
5 plays · 24 yds · 0:0067% → 66%
Q2 9:43
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+23
66.9%
Josh Love pass complete to Tre Hartley for 23 yds to the SJSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:43
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+1
68.0%
Tyler Nevens run for 1 yd to the SJSt 40Similar
Q2 9:43
2ND & 9
OWN 40
0
67.9%
Josh Love pass incomplete to Justin HolmesSimilar
Q2 9:43
3RD & 9
OWN 40
0
66.9%
Josh Love pass incomplete to Justin HolmesSimilar
Q2 9:43
4TH & 9
OWN 40
0
65.9%
Bryce Crawford punt for 60 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 11INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0033% → 33%
Q2 8:32
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
66.9%
Max Gilliam pass intercepted Dakari Monroe return for no gain to the UNLV 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 12FG
4 plays · 2 yds · 2:0269% → 70%
Q2 8:27
1ST & 10
OPP 35
-9
69.4%
Josh Love sacked by Demitrious Gibbs for a loss of 9 yards to the UNLV 44Similar
Q2 8:27
2ND & 19
OPP 44
+6
68.3%
Josh Love pass complete to Tre Walker for 6 yds to the UNLV 38Similar
Q2 8:27
3RD & 13
OPP 38
+5
67.6%
Josh Love pass complete to Tre Walker for 5 yds to the UNLV 33Similar
Q2 6:25
4TH & 8
OPP 33
+50
69.8%
Bryce Crawford 50 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 13TD
2 plays · 75 yds · 0:0038% → 38%
Q2 6:14
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+75
62.0%
Max Gilliam pass complete to Tyleek Collins for 75 yds for a TD (Evan Pantels KICK) SAN JOSÉ ST Penalty, Defensive offside ( Yards) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 14PUNT
7 plays · 30 yds · 0:0063% → 62%
Q2 6:14
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+13
62.6%
Malike Roberson run for 13 yds to the SJSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:14
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+16
63.7%
Malike Roberson run for 16 yds to the UNLV 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:14
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+3
65.2%
Tyler Nevens run for 3 yds to the UNLV 43Similar
Q2 6:14
2ND & 7
OPP 43
-2
65.0%
Thai Cottrell run for a loss of 2 yards to the UNLV 45Similar
Q2 6:14
3RD & 9
OPP 45
0
64.0%
Josh Love pass incomplete to Tre Walker, broken up by Myles PlummerSimilar
Q2 6:14
4TH & 9
OPP 45
0
62.0%
Brian Papazian punt for 45 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 15TD
11 plays · 80 yds · 2:2838% → 54%
Q2 4:04
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
62.2%
Max Gilliam pass incomplete to Tyleek Collins, broken up by Dakari MonroeSimilar
Q2 4:04
2ND & 10
OWN 20
0
62.5%
Max Gilliam pass incomplete to Darren Woods Jr.Similar
Q2 4:04
3RD & 10
OWN 20
+18
63.5%
Max Gilliam pass complete to Brandon Presley for 18 yds to the UNLV 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:04
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
60.6%
Max Gilliam pass incomplete to Charles WilliamsSimilar
Q2 4:04
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+2
60.8%
Max Gilliam pass complete to Giovanni Fauolo for 2 yds to the UNLV 40Similar
Q2 4:04
3RD & 8
OWN 40
+15
61.2%
Max Gilliam pass complete to Lexington Thomas for 15 yds to the SJSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:04
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+40
59.2%
Max Gilliam pass complete to Brandon Presley for 40 yds to the SJSt 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:04
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+1
57.9%
Max Gilliam pass complete to Brandon Presley for 1 yd to the SJSt 4Similar
Q2 1:44
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
0
56.5%
Max Gilliam pass incomplete to Darren Woods Jr.Similar
Q2 1:36
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
45.8%
Max Gilliam pass complete to Tyleek Collins for 4 yds for a TD (Evan Pantels KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 16TD
10 plays · 74 yds · 0:5750% → 67%
Q2 1:31
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
50.2%
Josh Love pass incomplete to Josh OliverSimilar
Q2 1:31
2ND & 10
OWN 26
+12
49.5%
Josh Love pass complete to Tre Hartley for 12 yds to the SJSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:31
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-3
51.2%
Josh Love sacked by Jameer Outsey for a loss of 3 yards to the SJSt 35Similar
Q2 1:08
2ND & 13
OWN 35
+5
46.6%
Malike Roberson run for 5 yds to the SJSt 40Similar
Q2 1:02
3RD & 8
OWN 40
+22
48.8%
Josh Love pass complete to Tre Walker for 22 yds to the UNLV 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:02
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+1
52.4%
Josh Love pass complete to Malike Roberson for 1 yd to the UNLV 37Similar
Q2 0:34
2ND & 9
OPP 37
+37
66.7%
Josh Love pass complete to Tre Walker for 37 yds for a TD (Bryce Crawford KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 17END OF HALF
3 plays · 9 yds · 0:0037% → 37%
Q2 0:28
1ST & 10
OWN 10
-5
62.9%
UNLV Penalty, delay of game (Max Gilliam) to the UNLV 5Similar
Q2 0:28
1ST & 15
OWN 5
+14
63.2%
Lexington Thomas run for 14 yds to the UNLV 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 18TD
15 plays · 75 yds · 4:1263% → 78%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
63.4%
Tyler Nevens run for 6 yds to the SJSt 31Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+9
64.5%
Josh Love pass complete to Thai Cottrell for 9 yds to the SJSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
65.0%
Josh Love pass incomplete to Josh OliverSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+1
64.1%
Tyler Nevens run for 1 yd to the SJSt 41Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 9
OWN 41
-5
63.1%
SAN JOSÉ ST Penalty, false start (Kyle Hoppe) to the SJSt 36Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 14
OWN 36
+17
62.1%
Josh Love pass complete to Josh Oliver for 17 yds to the UNLV 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+6
66.2%
Tyler Nevens run for 6 yds to the UNLV 41Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 4
OPP 41
+1
66.3%
Tyler Nevens run for 1 yd to the UNLV 40Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 3
OPP 40
+5
65.7%
Josh Love pass complete to Thai Cottrell for 5 yds to the UNLV 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+34
66.9%
Josh Love pass complete to Tre Walker for 34 yds to the UNLV 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
-1
66.9%
Tyler Nevens run for a loss of 1 yard to the UNLV 2Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
66.8%
E.J. Ane run for 1 yd to the UNLV 1Similar
Q3 10:48
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
77.8%
Josh Love pass complete to Brett Foley for 1 yd for a TD (Bryce Crawford KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 19DOWNS
10 plays · 33 yds · 1:5124% → 24%
Q3 10:43
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
75.8%
Max Gilliam pass incomplete to Brandon PresleySimilar
Q3 10:43
2ND & 10
OWN 26
+8
76.3%
Lexington Thomas run for 8 yds to the UNLV 34Similar
Q3 10:43
3RD & 2
OWN 34
+4
75.6%
Evan Owens run for 4 yds to the UNLV 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:03
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+13
75.4%
Lexington Thomas run for 13 yds to the SJSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:27
1ST & 10
OPP 49
-10
74.4%
GILLIAM,Max pass complete to COLLINS,Tyleek for 7 yards to the SJSU42 (OSUNA, Jesse), PENALTY UNLV holding (JACOBSON,Nathan) 10 yards to the UNLV41, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 9:27
1ST & 20
OWN 41
+1
76.5%
Max Gilliam pass complete to Lexington Thomas for 1 yd to the UNLV 42Similar
Q3 8:52
2ND & 19
OWN 42
+8
77.0%
Max Gilliam pass complete to Tyleek Collins for 8 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 8:52
3RD & 11
50
+9
76.1%
Max Gilliam pass complete to Lexington Thomas for 9 yds to the SJSt 41Similar
Q3 8:52
4TH & 2
OPP 41
0
76.1%
Max Gilliam pass incomplete to Darren Woods Jr., broken up by Hadari DardenSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 20TD
8 plays · 59 yds · 2:5680% → 93%
Q3 7:13
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-1
80.3%
Leki Nunn run for a loss of 1 yard to the SJSt 40Similar
Q3 7:13
2ND & 11
OWN 40
+11
79.6%
Josh Love pass complete to Tre Hartley for 11 yds to the UNLV 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:13
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+7
80.6%
Tyler Nevens run for 7 yds to the UNLV 42Similar
Q3 7:13
2ND & 3
OPP 42
+13
80.7%
Tyler Nevens run for 13 yds to the UNLV 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:38
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+18
81.5%
Josh Love pass complete to Josh Oliver for 18 yds to the UNLV 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:18
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+2
81.6%
Tyler Nevens run for 2 yds to the UNLV 9Similar
Q3 5:18
2ND & 8
OPP 9
0
81.6%
Josh Love pass incomplete to Josh OliverSimilar
Q3 4:17
3RD & 8
OPP 9
+9
92.8%
Josh Love pass complete to Tre Hartley for 9 yds for a TD (Bryce Crawford KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 21TD
7 plays · 78 yds · 2:129% → 22%
Q3 4:13
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+7
91.1%
Max Gilliam pass complete to Brandon Presley for 7 yds to the UNLV 29Similar
Q3 4:13
2ND & 3
OWN 29
+9
90.5%
Max Gilliam run for 9 yds to the UNLV 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:13
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+12
90.5%
Max Gilliam pass complete to Mekhi Stevenson for 12 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:23
1ST & 10
50
-1
90.6%
Lexington Thomas run for a loss of 1 yard to the UNLV 49Similar
Q3 3:23
2ND & 11
OWN 49
+5
90.6%
Max Gilliam run for 5 yds to the SJSt 46Similar
Q3 2:01
3RD & 6
OPP 46
+46
77.7%
Max Gilliam pass complete to Tyleek Collins for 46 yds for a TD (Evan Pantels KICK) SAN JOSÉ ST Penalty, Defensive offside ( Yards) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 22FG
6 plays · 23 yds · 1:4684% → 92%
Q3 2:01
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+22
83.5%
Malike Roberson run for 22 yds to the UNLV 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:01
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
83.6%
Josh Love pass incomplete to Josh Oliver, broken up by Bryce JacksonSimilar
Q3 2:01
2ND & 10
OPP 20
+2
83.6%
Tyler Nevens run for 2 yds to the UNLV 18Similar
Q3 2:01
3RD & 8
OPP 18
-1
82.8%
Josh Love sacked by Salanoa-Alo Wily for a loss of 1 yard to the UNLV 19Similar
Q3 0:15
4TH & 9
OPP 19
+36
91.6%
Bryce Crawford 36 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 23INT TD
6 plays · 19 yds · 1:2712% → 6%
Q3 0:11
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+8
87.6%
Max Gilliam run for 8 yds to the UNLV 31Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 2
OWN 31
+12
86.0%
Max Gilliam run for 12 yds to the UNLV 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 43
-1
85.8%
Evan Owens run for a loss of 1 yard to the UNLV 42Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 11
OWN 42
0
86.3%
Max Gilliam pass incomplete to Brandon PresleySimilar
Q4 13:44
3RD & 11
OWN 42
+50
94.5%
Max Gilliam pass intercepted for a TD Dakari Monroe return for 50 yds for a TD (Bryce Crawford PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 24FG
17 plays · 70 yds · 2:586% → 8%
Q4 13:44
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
94.4%
Max Gilliam pass incomplete to Brandon PresleySimilar
Q4 13:40
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-5
94.5%
UNLV Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the UNLV 20Similar
Q4 13:40
2ND & 15
OWN 20
0
94.6%
Max Gilliam pass incomplete to Darren Woods Jr.Similar
Q4 13:40
3RD & 15
OWN 20
+17
94.6%
Max Gilliam run for 17 yds to the UNLV 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:10
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+7
94.7%
Max Gilliam run for 7 yds to the UNLV 44Similar
Q4 12:59
2ND & 3
OWN 44
+10
94.7%
Xzaviar Campbell run for 10 yds to the SJSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:41
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+11
94.8%
GILLIAM,Max pass incomplete to TEJCHMAN,Drew (WEBB, Tre), PENALTY SJSU pass interference (WEBB, Tre) 11 yards to the SJSU35, 1ST DOWN UNLV, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 12:21
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
94.6%
Max Gilliam pass incomplete to Giovanni FauoloSimilar
Q4 12:21
2ND & 10
OPP 35
+14
94.6%
Evan Owens run for 14 yds to the SJSt 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:12
1ST & 10
OPP 21
-3
94.3%
Max Gilliam pass complete to Tyleek Collins for a loss of 3 yards to the SJSt 24Similar
Q4 12:12
2ND & 13
OPP 24
+22
94.6%
Max Gilliam pass complete to Tyleek Collins for 22 yds to the SJSt 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:12
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
-3
94.1%
Lexington Thomas run for a loss of 3 yards to the SJSt 5 UNLV Penalty, illegal formation ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q4 12:12
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
0
94.3%
Max Gilliam pass incomplete to Darren Woods Jr.Similar
Q4 12:12
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
0
94.7%
Max Gilliam pass incomplete to Tyleek CollinsSimilar
Q4 10:46
4TH & GOAL
OPP 5
+23
91.7%
Evan Pantels 23 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 25INT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:008% → 7%
Q4 10:37
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+2
92.5%
Max Gilliam pass complete to Lexington Thomas for 2 yds to the SJSt 41Similar
Q4 10:37
2ND & 8
OPP 41
+3
92.6%
Lexington Thomas run for 3 yds to the SJSt 38Similar
Q4 10:37
3RD & 5
OPP 38
+41
92.7%
Max Gilliam pass intercepted John Toussaint return for 41 yds to the UNLV 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 26FG
4 plays · -2 yds · 2:1298% → 99%
Q4 9:23
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+1
97.7%
Tyler Nevens run for 1 yd to the UNLV 25Similar
Q4 9:23
2ND & 9
OPP 25
-3
97.7%
Josh Love pass complete to Thai Cottrell for a loss of 3 yards to the UNLV 28Similar
Q4 9:23
3RD & 12
OPP 28
0
97.6%
Tyler Nevens run for no gain to the UNLV 28Similar
Q4 7:11
4TH & 12
OPP 28
+45
99.0%
Bryce Crawford 45 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 27TD
18 plays · 75 yds · 4:434% → 7%
Q4 7:11
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
96.5%
Max Gilliam pass complete to Mekhi Stevenson for 4 yds to the UNLV 29Similar
Q4 7:11
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+3
96.3%
Lexington Thomas run for 3 yds to the UNLV 32Similar
Q4 7:11
3RD & 3
OWN 32
-1
96.3%
Lexington Thomas run for a loss of 1 yard to the UNLV 31Similar
Q4 7:11
4TH & 4
OWN 31
+11
96.5%
Max Gilliam pass complete to Drew Tejchman for 11 yds to the UNLV 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:11
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+6
96.3%
Max Gilliam pass complete to Xzaviar Campbell for 6 yds to the UNLV 48Similar
Q4 7:11
2ND & 4
OWN 48
+11
96.2%
Max Gilliam pass complete to Mekhi Stevenson for 11 yds to the SJSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:03
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
97.3%
Max Gilliam pass incomplete to Mekhi StevensonSimilar
Q4 4:45
2ND & 10
OPP 41
0
97.3%
Max Gilliam pass incomplete to Brandon PresleySimilar
Q4 4:42
3RD & 10
OPP 41
0
97.4%
Max Gilliam pass incomplete to Drew TejchmanSimilar
Q4 4:36
4TH & 10
OPP 41
+21
97.3%
Max Gilliam pass complete to Brandon Presley for 21 yds to the SJSt 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:31
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+19
96.9%
Max Gilliam pass complete to Tyleek Collins for 19 yds to the SJSt 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:22
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
96.8%
Lexington Thomas run for no gain to the SJSt 1Similar
Q4 4:22
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
-6
96.9%
Max Gilliam run for a loss of 6 yards to the SJSt 7Similar
Q4 4:22
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
+5
97.0%
GILLIAM,Max pass incomplete to PRESLEY,Brandon, PENALTY SJSU pass interference 5 yards to the SJSU2, 1ST DOWN UNLV, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 4:22
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
-2
96.8%
Lexington Thomas run for a loss of 2 yards to the SJSt 4Similar
Q4 2:28
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
93.3%
Max Gilliam pass complete to Tyleek Collins for 4 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed )Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 28END OF GAME
9 plays · 19 yds · 0:1899% → 99%
Q4 2:25
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+4
98.9%
Tyler Nevens run for 4 yds to the UNLV 44Similar
Q4 2:20
2ND & 6
OPP 44
+4
99.1%
Tyler Nevens run for 4 yds to the UNLV 40Similar
Q4 2:14
3RD & 2
OPP 40
+16
99.1%
Tyler Nevens run for 16 yds to the UNLV 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:07
1ST & 10
OPP 24
-2
99.1%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the UNLV 26Similar
Q4 2:07
2ND & 12
OPP 26
-2
99.1%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the UNLV 28Similar
Q4 2:07
3RD & 14
OPP 28
-1
99.1%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the UNLV 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 0:34
Josh Love pass complete to Tre Walker for 37 yds for a TD (Bryce Crawford KICK)
+14.3
TD · Q3 2:01
Max Gilliam pass complete to Tyleek Collins for 46 yds for a TD (Evan Pantels KICK) SAN JOSÉ ST Penalty, Defensive offside ( Yards) declined
-12.9
TD · Q3 4:17
Josh Love pass complete to Tre Hartley for 9 yds for a TD (Bryce Crawford KICK)
+11.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com