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UNM

New Mexico 19 at Utah State 61

USU
2018 · Week 9 · Oct 27, 2018 · Maverik Stadium
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Win probability · USU
modelUSU aheadUNM aheadconfidence bandkey playUSU scoreUNM score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDTDTDTDTDTDSAFETYFGFGFGTDFGFGFUMBLETDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 4:02 · Zach Lee punt for 48 yds for a touchback
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsGarbage-time factor
+40.0+20.00−20.0−40.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 193Pregame prior+3.4Home team on offense+36.2Score differential+27.6Blowout margin+12.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+12.6Garbage-time factor+15.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 2:21: Jordan Love pass complete to Jordan Nathan for 17 yds for a TD (Dominik Eberle KICK) — USU win probability +2.6 pts (now 91%) (top driver: USU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 0:58: Jordan Love pass complete to Ron'quavion Tarver for 28 yds for a TD (Dominik Eberle KICK) — USU win probability +1.5 pts (now 93%) (top driver: USU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 14:07: Jordan Love pass complete to Carson Terrell for 29 yds for a TD (Dominik Eberle KICK) — USU win probability +3.2 pts (now 96%) (top driver: USU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 11:33: Jordan Love pass complete to Dax Raymond for 19 yds for a TD (Dominik Eberle KICK) — USU win probability +1.2 pts (now 97%) (top driver: USU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q2 5:21: Jordan Love run for 1 yd for a TD (Dominik Eberle KICK) — USU win probability +1.4 pts (now 99%) (top driver: USU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
USU made the numbers' call on 4 of 7UNM made the numbers' call on 9 of 10
  1. Q1 15:00USU 4th & 8 at USU 27, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 90.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.0%−0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    90.1%
    average punt
  2. Q1 12:40UNM 4th & 11 at USU 36, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 10.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.6%−<0.1
    27% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    10.6%
    42% to make
    Punt
    10.6%−<0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 6:33UNM 4th & 1 at UNM 45, down 11
    Close callPunted · 11.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.2%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.9%−0.2
    average punt
  4. Q1 2:21UNM 4th & 3 at UNM 32, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 8.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.7%−0.2
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.9%
    average punt
  5. Q1 0:58UNM 4th & 7 at UNM 28, down 25
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.9%−0.3
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.1%
    average punt
  6. Q2 14:07UNM 4th & 4 at UNM 31, down 32
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.9%−0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.0%
    average punt
  7. Q2 11:33UNM 4th & 4 at UNM 31, down 39
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.4%−<0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.4%
    average punt
  8. Q2 5:21USU 4th & 1 at UNM 1, up 39
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 98.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    98.5%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    98.3%−0.2
    94% to make
    Punt
    97.9%−0.6
    average punt
  9. Q2 3:26UNM 4th & 5 at USU 30, down 46
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 1.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.4%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    1.4%−<0.1
    56% to make
    Punt
    1.3%−0.1
    average punt
  10. Q2 1:31UNM 4th & 15 at UNM 32, down 44
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.6%−0.1
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.8%
    average punt
  11. Q2 0:00USU 4th & 1 at UNM 17, up 44
    Close callKicked a field goal · 99.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.3%−0.1
    80% to make
    Punt
    98.9%−0.6
    average punt
  12. Q3 13:51USU 4th & 9 at UNM 10, up 47
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.3%−0.1
    26% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.4%
    88% to make
    Punt
    98.9%−0.5
    average punt
  13. Q3 12:17USU 4th & 7 at UNM 11, up 50
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.4%−<0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.5%
    87% to make
    Punt
    99.0%−0.5
    average punt
  14. Q3 2:35USU 4th & 1 at UNM 1, up 45
    Close callKicked a field goal · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.7%
    59% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.6%−0.2
    94% to make
    Punt
    99.1%−0.7
    average punt
  15. Q3 2:35UNM 4th & 8 at UNM 27, down 48
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  16. Q4 10:37UNM 4th & 8 at midfield, down 35
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−<0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  17. Q4 4:02USU 4th & 6 at UNM 48, up 35
    Close callPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%−<0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
USU made the numbers' call on 7 of 7UNM made the numbers' call on 0 of 1
  1. Q1 10:18USU Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    89.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    89.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 6:33USU Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    89.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    88.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 2:21USU Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    91.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    91.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q1 0:58USU Touchdown, up 24 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 14:07USU Touchdown, up 31 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 11:33USU Touchdown, up 38 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q2 5:21USU Touchdown, up 45 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 10:00UNM Touchdown, down 47 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    0.5%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    0.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
USUDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:0090% → 90%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
89.6%
Darwin Thompson run for 2 yds to the UthSt 27Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
89.6%
Jordan Love pass incomplete, broken up by Marcus HayesSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 8
OWN 27
0
89.6%
Jordan Love pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 8
OWN 27
0
89.6%
Taylor Hintze punt for 37 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 2FG
7 plays · 28 yds · 1:4511% → 11%
Q1 14:25
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+4
89.4%
Sheriron Jones pass complete to Jay Griffin IV for 4 yds to the NMex 40Similar
Q1 14:25
2ND & 6
OWN 40
+5
89.4%
Tyrone Owens run for 5 yds to the NMex 45Similar
Q1 14:25
3RD & 1
OWN 45
+20
89.4%
Sheriron Jones pass complete to Jay Griffin IV for 20 yds to the UthSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:25
1ST & 10
OPP 35
-1
89.4%
Tyrone Owens run for a loss of 1 yard to the UthSt 36Similar
Q1 14:25
2ND & 11
OPP 36
0
89.4%
Sheriron Jones pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:25
3RD & 11
OPP 36
0
89.4%
Sheriron Jones pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:40
4TH & 11
OPP 36
+53
88.9%
Andrew Shelley 53 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 3TD
11 plays · 87 yds · 2:1689% → 89%
Q1 12:34
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+7
88.8%
Jordan Love pass complete to Ron'quavion Tarver for 7 yds to the UthSt 20Similar
Q1 12:34
2ND & 3
OWN 20
+11
88.9%
Jordan Love pass complete to Ron'quavion Tarver for 11 yds to the UthSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:34
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+9
88.9%
Darwin Thompson run for 9 yds to the UthSt 40Similar
Q1 12:34
2ND & 1
OWN 40
-6
88.9%
UTAH ST Penalty, false start (-6 Yards) to the UthSt 34Similar
Q1 12:34
2ND & 7
OWN 34
+37
88.9%
Jordan Love pass complete to Jalen Greene for 37 yds to the NMex 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:34
1ST & 10
OPP 29
-15
89.0%
UTAH ST Penalty, personal foul (-15 Yards) to the NMex 44Similar
Q1 12:34
1ST & 25
OPP 44
+16
88.9%
Jordan Love pass complete to Ron'quavion Tarver for 16 yds to the NMex 28Similar
Q1 12:34
2ND & 9
OPP 28
+7
89.0%
Darwin Thompson run for 7 yds to the NMex 21Similar
Q1 12:34
3RD & 2
OPP 21
+18
89.0%
Jordan Love run for 18 yds to the NMex 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:18
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
88.7%
Darwin Thompson run for 3 yds for a TD (Dominik Eberle KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 4INT TD
10 plays · 65 yds · 3:4512% → 12%
Q1 10:18
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
88.5%
Sheriron Jones pass complete to Delane Hart-Johnson for 12 yds to the NMex 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:18
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+2
88.4%
Ahmari Davis run for 2 yds to the NMex 39Similar
Q1 10:18
2ND & 8
OWN 39
+4
88.4%
Sheriron Jones pass complete to Aaron Molina for 4 yds to the NMex 43Similar
Q1 10:18
3RD & 4
OWN 43
+30
88.4%
Sheriron Jones pass complete to Delane Hart-Johnson for 30 yds to the UthSt 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:18
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+9
88.2%
Ahmari Davis run for 9 yds to the UthSt 18Similar
Q1 10:18
2ND & 1
OPP 18
-1
88.2%
Tyrone Owens run for a loss of 1 yard to the UthSt 19Similar
Q1 10:18
3RD & 2
OPP 19
+6
88.3%
Tyrone Owens run for 6 yds to the UthSt 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:18
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+3
88.2%
Zahneer Shuler run for 3 yds to the UthSt 10Similar
Q1 6:33
2ND & 7
OPP 10
0
88.1%
Sheriron Jones pass intercepted for a TD Shaquez Bond return for no gain for a TD (Dominik Eberle KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 5PUNT
8 plays · 20 yds · 0:0011% → 12%
Q1 6:33
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
88.6%
Tyrone Owens run for 8 yds to the NMex 33Similar
Q1 6:33
2ND & 2
OWN 33
-2
88.4%
Tyrone Owens run for a loss of 2 yards to the NMex 31Similar
Q1 6:33
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+5
88.6%
Sheriron Jones run for 5 yds to the NMex 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:33
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
88.5%
Sheriron Jones pass incomplete to Aaron MolinaSimilar
Q1 6:33
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+6
88.6%
Sheriron Jones pass complete to Jay Griffin IV for 6 yds to the NMex 42Similar
Q1 6:33
3RD & 4
OWN 42
+3
88.4%
Sheriron Jones pass complete to Marcus Williams for 3 yds to the NMex 45Similar
Q1 6:33
4TH & 1
OWN 45
+24
88.5%
Tyson Dyer punt for 39 yds NEW MEXICO Penalty, kick catching interference (-15 Yards) to the UthSt 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 6TD
6 plays · 69 yds · 1:1989% → 91%
Q1 3:40
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
88.7%
Jordan Love pass incomplete to Ron'quavion TarverSimilar
Q1 3:40
2ND & 10
OWN 31
+39
88.7%
Jordan Love pass complete to Ron'quavion Tarver for 39 yds to the NMex 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:40
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+2
89.0%
Jordan Love pass complete to Ron'quavion Tarver for 2 yds to the NMex 28Similar
Q1 3:40
2ND & 8
OPP 28
+3
89.0%
Jordan Love pass complete to Taylor Compton for 3 yds to the NMex 25Similar
Q1 3:40
3RD & 5
OPP 25
+8
88.9%
Jordan Love pass complete to Taylor Compton for 8 yds to the NMex 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:21
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+17
91.4%
Jordan Love pass complete to Jordan Nathan for 17 yds for a TD (Dominik Eberle KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:009% → 9%
Q1 2:21
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
91.2%
Tyrone Owens run for 5 yds to the NMex 30Similar
Q1 2:21
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+2
91.1%
Tyrone Owens run for 2 yds to the NMex 32Similar
Q1 2:21
3RD & 3
OWN 32
0
91.1%
Sheriron Jones pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:21
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
91.2%
Tyson Dyer punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Jordan Nathan at the UthSt 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 8TD
3 plays · 72 yds · 0:2791% → 93%
Q1 1:25
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+12
91.4%
Gerold Bright run for 12 yds to the UthSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:25
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+32
91.6%
Jordan Love pass complete to Aaren Vaughns for 32 yds to the NMex 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:58
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+28
93.1%
Jordan Love pass complete to Ron'quavion Tarver for 28 yds for a TD (Dominik Eberle KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:008% → 7%
Q1 0:58
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
92.5%
Sheriron Jones pass incomplete to Delane Hart-JohnsonSimilar
Q1 0:58
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+3
92.6%
Zahneer Shuler run for 3 yds to the NMex 28Similar
Q1 0:58
3RD & 7
OWN 28
0
92.6%
Sheriron Jones pass incomplete to Aaron Molina, broken up by DJ WilliamsSimilar
Q1 0:58
4TH & 7
OWN 28
+2
92.6%
Tyson Dyer punt for 44 yds , Jordan Nathan returns for 2 yds to the UthSt 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 10TD
4 plays · 70 yds · 0:5493% → 96%
Q1 0:01
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
93.1%
Jordan Love pass incomplete to Jalen GreeneSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+1
93.0%
Darwin Thompson run for 1 yd to the UthSt 31Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 9
OWN 31
+40
93.0%
Jordan Love pass complete to Jalen Greene for 40 yds to the NMex 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:07
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+29
96.2%
Jordan Love pass complete to Carson Terrell for 29 yds for a TD (Dominik Eberle KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 11PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:004% → 4%
Q2 14:07
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
96.1%
Sheriron Jones pass complete to Elijah Lilly for 4 yds to the NMex 29Similar
Q2 14:07
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+3
95.9%
Tyrone Owens run for 3 yds to the NMex 32Similar
Q2 14:07
3RD & 3
OWN 32
-1
95.9%
Sheriron Jones run for a loss of 1 yard to the NMex 31 NEW MEXICO Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q2 14:07
4TH & 4
OWN 31
+2
96.0%
Tyson Dyer punt for 45 yds , Jordan Nathan returns for 2 yds to the UthSt 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 12TD
6 plays · 74 yds · 0:5996% → 97%
Q2 12:32
1ST & 10
OWN 26
-5
96.2%
LOVE, Jordan pass complete to TARVER, R. for 46 yards to the NM28, out-of-bounds (PARKER, Bijon), PENALTY USU ineligible downfield on pass 5 yards to the USU21, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 12:32
1ST & 15
OWN 21
0
96.2%
Jordan Love pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:32
2ND & 15
OWN 21
0
96.2%
Jordan Love pass incomplete to Taylor ComptonSimilar
Q2 12:32
3RD & 15
OWN 21
+5
96.2%
LOVE, Jordan pass incomplete to GREENE, Jalen (ROGERS, De'John), PENALTY NM offside 5 yards to the USU26, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 12:32
3RD & 10
OWN 26
+55
96.2%
Jordan Love pass complete to Darwin Thompson for 55 yds to the NMex 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:33
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+19
97.3%
Jordan Love pass complete to Dax Raymond for 19 yds for a TD (Dominik Eberle KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 13PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:002% → 3%
Q2 11:33
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
97.6%
Sheriron Jones pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:33
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+6
97.6%
Zahneer Shuler run for 6 yds to the NMex 31Similar
Q2 11:33
3RD & 4
OWN 31
0
97.5%
Zahneer Shuler run for no gain to the NMex 31Similar
Q2 11:33
4TH & 4
OWN 31
0
97.5%
Tyson Dyer punt for 69 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 14TD
14 plays · 80 yds · 5:1497% → 99%
Q2 10:35
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+13
97.4%
Gerold Bright run for 13 yds to the UthSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:35
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+9
97.4%
Aaren Vaughns run for 9 yds to the UthSt 42Similar
Q2 10:35
2ND & 1
OWN 42
+10
97.5%
Jordan Love pass complete to Savon Scarver for 10 yds to the NMex 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:35
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+8
97.5%
Jordan Love pass complete to DJ Nelson for 8 yds to the NMex 40Similar
Q2 10:35
2ND & 2
OPP 40
+7
97.5%
Gerold Bright run for 7 yds to the NMex 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:35
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+2
97.5%
Gerold Bright run for 2 yds to the NMex 31Similar
Q2 10:35
2ND & 8
OPP 31
0
97.5%
Jordan Love pass incomplete to Darwin ThompsonSimilar
Q2 10:35
3RD & 8
OPP 31
+16
97.5%
Jordan Love pass complete to Darwin Thompson for 16 yds to the NMex 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:35
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+10
97.5%
Darwin Thompson run for 10 yds to the NMex 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:35
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
-10
97.5%
BRIGHT, Gerold rush for 3 yards to the NM2 (LILLY, Elijah), PENALTY USU holding 10 yards to the NM15, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 10:35
1ST & GOAL
OPP 15
+7
97.5%
Gerold Bright run for 7 yds to the NMex 8Similar
Q2 10:35
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+7
97.5%
Gerold Bright run for 7 yds to the NMex 1Similar
Q2 10:35
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
0
97.4%
Gerold Bright run for no gain to the NMex 1Similar
Q2 5:21
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
98.9%
Jordan Love run for 1 yd for a TD (Dominik Eberle KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 15DOWNS
10 plays · 45 yds · 1:551% → 1%
Q2 5:21
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
98.9%
Sheriron Jones pass incomplete to Delane Hart-JohnsonSimilar
Q2 5:21
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+1
98.9%
Zahneer Shuler run for 1 yd to the NMex 26Similar
Q2 5:21
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+28
98.9%
Sheriron Jones pass complete to Elijah Lilly for 28 yds to the UthSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:21
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+11
98.8%
Tyrone Owens run for 11 yds to the UthSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:21
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+5
98.7%
Zahneer Shuler run for 5 yds to the UthSt 30Similar
Q2 5:21
2ND & 5
OPP 30
0
98.7%
Sheriron Jones pass incomplete to Elijah LillySimilar
Q2 5:21
3RD & 5
OPP 30
0
98.7%
Sheriron Jones pass incomplete to Elijah Lilly, broken up by Shaquez BondSimilar
Q2 3:26
4TH & 5
OPP 30
0
98.8%
Sheriron Jones pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 16FUMBLE
1 play · 3 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q2 3:22
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+5
99.2%
Eltoro Allen run for 5 yds to the UthSt 33 Eltoro Allen fumbled, forced by Evahelotu Tohi, recovered by NMex Adebayo SoremekunSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 17INT
2 plays · -1 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q2 3:14
1ST & 10
OPP 33
-1
99.2%
Sheriron Jones pass complete to Elijah Lilly for a loss of 1 yard to the UthSt 34Similar
Q2 3:14
2ND & 11
OPP 34
0
99.2%
Sheriron Jones pass intercepted DJ Williams return for no gain to the UthSt 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 18SF
1 play · -6 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q2 2:28
1ST & 10
OWN 6
0
99.2%
Darwin Thompson run for a loss of 6 yards for a SAFETY Darwin Thompson fumbled, recovered by UthSt Darwin Thompson for a SAFETYSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 19PUNT
6 plays · -5 yds · 0:481% → 1%
Q2 2:19
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+3
99.3%
Zahneer Shuler run for 3 yds to the NMex 40Similar
Q2 2:19
2ND & 7
OWN 40
0
99.3%
Sheriron Jones pass incomplete to Aaron MolinaSimilar
Q2 2:19
3RD & 7
OWN 40
-8
99.4%
Sheriron Jones sacked by Suli Tamaivena for a loss of 8 yards to the NMex 32Similar
Q2 1:31
4TH & 15
OWN 32
0
99.4%
Tyson Dyer punt for 60 yds, downed at the UthSt 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 20FG
12 plays · 75 yds · 1:2299% → 99%
Q2 1:22
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+9
99.2%
Gerold Bright run for 9 yds to the UthSt 17Similar
Q2 1:22
2ND & 1
OWN 17
+22
99.2%
Jordan Love pass complete to Jordan Nathan for 22 yds to the UthSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:22
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+9
99.2%
Jordan Love pass complete to Gerold Bright for 9 yds to the UthSt 48Similar
Q2 0:40
2ND & 1
OWN 48
+13
99.2%
Jordan Love pass complete to Aaren Vaughns for 13 yds to the NMex 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:40
1ST & 10
OPP 39
-5
99.2%
Jordan Love sacked by Adebayo Soremekun for a loss of 5 yards to the NMex 44Similar
Q2 0:26
2ND & 15
OPP 44
+18
99.2%
Jordan Love pass complete to Aaren Vaughns for 18 yds to the NMex 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:26
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
99.2%
Jordan Love pass incomplete to Darwin ThompsonSimilar
Q2 0:26
2ND & 10
OPP 26
0
99.2%
Jordan Love pass incomplete to Jalen GreeneSimilar
Q2 0:26
3RD & 10
OPP 26
+9
99.2%
Jordan Love pass complete to Ron'quavion Tarver for 9 yds to the NMex 17Similar
Q2 0:00
4TH & 1
OPP 17
+34
99.3%
Dominik Eberle 34 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 21INT
3 plays · 0 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.3%
Tyrone Owens run for no gain to the NMex 25Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+20
99.3%
Sheriron Jones pass intercepted Kevin Meitzenheimer return for 20 yds to the NMex 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 22FG
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:3499% → 99%
Q3 14:25
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+1
99.4%
Jordan Love run for 1 yd to the NMex 10Similar
Q3 14:25
2ND & 9
OPP 10
0
99.4%
Jordan Love pass incomplete to Jordan LoveSimilar
Q3 14:25
3RD & 9
OPP 10
0
99.4%
Jordan Love pass incomplete to Jalen GreeneSimilar
Q3 13:51
4TH & 9
OPP 10
+27
99.4%
Dominik Eberle 27 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 24FG
4 plays · 3 yds · 1:27100% → 100%
Q3 13:44
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+3
99.5%
Eltoro Allen run for 3 yds to the NMex 11Similar
Q3 13:44
2ND & 7
OPP 11
0
99.5%
Eltoro Allen run for no gain to the NMex 11Similar
Q3 13:44
3RD & 7
OPP 11
0
99.4%
Henry Colombi pass incomplete to Ron'quavion TarverSimilar
Q3 12:17
4TH & 7
OPP 11
+28
99.5%
Dominik Eberle 28 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 25TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 2:170% → 0%
Q3 12:17
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
99.6%
Zahneer Shuler run for 2 yds to the NMex 27Similar
Q3 12:17
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+14
99.6%
Coltin Gerhart pass complete to Marcus Williams for 14 yds to the NMex 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:17
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+7
99.6%
Coltin Gerhart pass complete to Anu Somoye for 7 yds to the NMex 48Similar
Q3 12:17
2ND & 3
OWN 48
+8
99.6%
Coltin Gerhart pass complete to Anu Somoye for 8 yds to the UthSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:17
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
99.6%
Coltin Gerhart pass incomplete to Anu Somoye, broken up by Cameron HaneySimilar
Q3 12:17
2ND & 10
OPP 44
+33
99.6%
Coltin Gerhart pass complete to Aaron Molina for 33 yds to the UthSt 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:17
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+2
99.6%
Tyrone Owens run for 2 yds to the UthSt 9Similar
Q3 10:00
2ND & 8
OPP 9
+9
99.6%
Coltin Gerhart pass complete to Brayden Dickey for 9 yds for a TD UTAH ST Penalty, Defensive offside (2 Yards) to the UthSt 1 (Coltin Gerhart pass to Tyrone Owens for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 26FG
14 plays · 77 yds · 7:20100% → 100%
Q3 9:55
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+6
99.6%
Henry Colombi pass complete to Savon Scarver for 6 yds to the UthSt 28Similar
Q3 9:55
2ND & 4
OWN 28
+23
99.6%
Henry Colombi run for 23 yds to the NMex 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:55
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
99.6%
Eltoro Allen run for no gain to the NMex 49Similar
Q3 9:55
2ND & 10
OPP 49
+4
99.6%
Henry Colombi pass complete to Eltoro Allen for 4 yds to the NMex 45Similar
Q3 9:55
3RD & 6
OPP 45
+30
99.6%
Henry Colombi pass complete to Jalen Greene for 30 yds to the NMex 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:55
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+1
99.6%
Henry Colombi pass complete to Jalen Greene for 1 yd to the NMex 14Similar
Q3 9:55
2ND & 9
OPP 14
-2
99.6%
Henry Colombi run for a loss of 2 yards to the NMex 16Similar
Q3 9:55
3RD & 11
OPP 16
+12
99.6%
Eltoro Allen run for 12 yds to the NMex 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:55
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
-2
99.6%
Eltoro Allen run for a loss of 2 yards to the NMex 6Similar
Q3 9:55
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+5
99.6%
Eltoro Allen run for 5 yds to the NMex 1Similar
Q3 9:55
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
0
99.6%
Eltoro Allen run for no gain to the NMex 1Similar
Q3 2:35
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
+18
99.8%
Dominik Eberle 18 yd FG GOODSimilar
Q3 2:35
1ST & GOAL
OWN 35
+15
99.8%
NEW MEXICO Penalty, personal foul (15 Yards) to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 27PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 2:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
99.8%
Zahneer Shuler run for 4 yds to the NMex 29Similar
Q3 2:35
2ND & 6
OWN 29
-2
99.8%
Coltin Gerhart run for a loss of 2 yards to the NMex 27Similar
Q3 2:35
3RD & 8
OWN 27
0
99.8%
Coltin Gerhart run for no gain to the NMex 27Similar
Q3 2:35
4TH & 8
OWN 27
0
99.8%
Tyson Dyer punt for 52 yds, downed at the UthSt 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 28FUMBLE TD
1 play · -3 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q3 0:33
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+18
99.9%
Eltoro Allen run for a loss of 3 yards Eltoro Allen fumbled, forced by Patrick Peek, recovered by NMex Evahelotu Tohi , return for 18 yds Timeout NEW MEXICO, clock 00:33 (Two-Point Conversion failed )Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 30FUMBLE
11 plays · 27 yds · 0:33100% → 100%
Q3 0:33
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
99.8%
UTAH ST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the UthSt 20Similar
Q3 0:33
1ST & 15
OWN 20
+1
99.8%
Justen Hervey run for 1 yd to the UthSt 21Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 14
OWN 21
+1
99.8%
Justen Hervey run for 1 yd to the UthSt 22Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 13
OWN 22
+13
99.8%
Henry Colombi pass complete to Justen Hervey for 13 yds to the UthSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+9
99.8%
Justen Hervey run for 9 yds to the UthSt 44Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 1
OWN 44
+1
99.8%
Justen Hervey run for 1 yd to the UthSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+7
99.8%
Henry Colombi pass complete to DJ Nelson for 7 yds to the NMex 48Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 3
OPP 48
+1
99.8%
Henry Colombi run for 1 yd to the NMex 47Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 2
OPP 47
+3
99.8%
Justen Hervey run for 3 yds to the NMex 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 44
-4
99.8%
Henry Colombi run for a loss of 4 yards to the NMex 48 Henry Colombi fumbled, forced by Cody Baker, recovered by NMex Cody BakerSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 31PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 10:37
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+2
100.0%
Elijah Lilly run for 2 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 10:37
2ND & 8
50
0
100.0%
Coltin Gerhart pass incomplete to Rafael Hidalgo, broken up by Cameron HaneySimilar
Q4 10:37
3RD & 8
50
0
100.0%
Coltin Gerhart pass incomplete to Jay Griffin IVSimilar
Q4 10:37
4TH & 8
50
0
100.0%
Tyson Dyer punt for 24 yds, downed at the UthSt 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 32PUNT
10 plays · 26 yds · 5:38100% → 100%
Q4 9:40
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+4
99.9%
Morian Walker Jr. run for 4 yds to the UthSt 30Similar
Q4 9:40
2ND & 6
OWN 30
0
99.9%
Morian Walker Jr. run for no gain to the UthSt 30Similar
Q4 9:40
3RD & 6
OWN 30
+7
99.9%
Henry Colombi pass complete to Deven Thompkins for 7 yds to the UthSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:40
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+7
99.9%
Morian Walker Jr. run for 7 yds to the UthSt 44Similar
Q4 9:40
2ND & 3
OWN 44
+4
99.9%
Morian Walker Jr. run for 4 yds to the UthSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:40
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+5
99.9%
Morian Walker Jr. run for 5 yds to the NMex 47Similar
Q4 9:40
2ND & 5
OPP 47
-2
99.9%
Morian Walker Jr. run for a loss of 2 yards to the NMex 49Similar
Q4 9:40
3RD & 7
OPP 49
+1
99.9%
Justen Hervey run for 1 yd to the NMex 48Similar
Q4 4:02
4TH & 6
OPP 48
0
100.0%
Zach Lee punt for 48 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 33INT
5 plays · 38 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 3:54
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-1
100.0%
Daevon Vigilant run for a loss of 1 yard to the NMex 19Similar
Q4 3:54
2ND & 11
OWN 19
+24
100.0%
Coltin Gerhart pass complete to Daevon Vigilant for 24 yds to the NMex 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:54
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+12
100.0%
Coltin Gerhart pass complete to Aaron Molina for 12 yds to the UthSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:54
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+3
100.0%
Coltin Gerhart pass complete to Daevon Vigilant for 3 yds to the UthSt 42Similar
Q4 3:54
2ND & 7
OPP 42
+7
100.0%
Coltin Gerhart pass intercepted Logan Lee return for 7 yds to the UthSt 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 34END OF GAME
4 plays · 11 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 2:27
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+3
100.0%
Justen Hervey run for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 2:27
2ND & 7
50
+3
100.0%
Justen Hervey run for 3 yds to the NMex 47Similar
Q4 2:27
3RD & 4
OPP 47
+7
100.0%
Justen Hervey run for 7 yds to the NMex 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:27
1ST & 10
OPP 40
-2
100.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the NMex 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 14:07
Jordan Love pass complete to Carson Terrell for 29 yds for a TD (Dominik Eberle KICK)
+3.2
TD · Q1 2:21
Jordan Love pass complete to Jordan Nathan for 17 yds for a TD (Dominik Eberle KICK)
+2.6
TD · Q1 0:58
Jordan Love pass complete to Ron'quavion Tarver for 28 yds for a TD (Dominik Eberle KICK)
+1.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com