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USU

Utah State 24 at Wyoming 16

WYO
2018 · Week 8 · Oct 20, 2018 · War Memorial Stadium
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Win probability · WYO
modelWYO aheadUSU aheadconfidence bandkey playWYO scoreUSU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGFGTDFGTDTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 13:02 · Taylor Hintze punt for 43 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Wyom 43 , Austin Conway returns for 28 yds to the Wyom 43
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+40.0+20.00−20.0−40.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 15Pregame prior−31.7Home team on offense−0.4Score differential−0.1Garbage-time factor−0.1Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.1
This game in five plays
  1. FG · Q1 0:14: Cooper Rothe 27 yd FG GOOD — WYO win probability +2.3 pts (now 25%) (top driver: Not a blowout margin).
  2. FG · Q2 7:47: Dominik Eberle 45 yd FG GOOD — USU win probability +3.5 pts (now 79%) (top driver: USU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 14:45: Darwin Thompson run for 3 yds for a TD (Dominik Eberle KICK) — USU win probability +9.8 pts (now 87%) (top driver: USU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 4:11: Cooper Rothe kickoff for 64 yds , Savon Scarver return for 99 yds for a TD (Dominik Eberle KICK) — USU win probability +7.5 pts (now 91%) (top driver: WYO has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 2:37: Nico Evans run for 53 yds for a TD (Cooper Rothe KICK) — WYO win probability +7.2 pts (now 17%) (top driver: WYO has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
WYO made the numbers' call on 6 of 12USU made the numbers' call on 8 of 11
  1. Q1 14:30WYO 4th & 7 at WYO 38, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 20.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.2%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    20.2%
    average punt
  2. Q1 13:02USU 4th & 3 at USU 42, up 7
    Close callPunted · 79.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    79.5%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    79.5%−<0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 11:05WYO 4th & 2 at USU 49, down 7
    Close callPunted · 21.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.2%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    21.1%−0.1
    average punt
  4. Q1 9:06USU 4th & 6 at USU 36, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 78.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    78.5%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    78.6%
    average punt
  5. Q1 5:51USU 4th & 10 at WYO 36, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 78.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    78.0%−<0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    78.1%
    42% to make
    Punt
    78.0%−0.1
    average punt
  6. Q1 5:51WYO 4th & 13 at USU 36, down 7
    Close callPunted · 22.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.9%−0.1
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    22.1%
    42% to make
    PuntTheir call
    22.0%−0.1
    average punt
  7. Q1 0:14WYO 4th & 7 at USU 10, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 23.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.2%−0.2
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    23.4%
    88% to make
    Punt
    20.1%−3.3
    average punt
  8. Q2 15:00USU 4th & 24 at USU 20, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 73.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    72.1%−1.2
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    73.4%
    average punt
  9. Q2 11:29WYO 4th & 11 at USU 45, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 26.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.8%−0.3
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    26.5%−0.7
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    27.1%
    average punt
  10. Q2 7:47USU 4th & 6 at WYO 28, up 4
    Close callKicked a field goal · 72.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    72.6%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    72.6%−<0.1
    60% to make
    Punt
    69.5%−3.1
    average punt
  11. Q2 7:47WYO 4th & 1 at WYO 46, down 7
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.5 ptsPunted · 24.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.6%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    23.1%−1.5
    average punt
  12. Q2 4:12USU 4th & 11 at USU 20, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 74.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    73.5%−1.1
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    74.6%
    average punt
  13. Q2 3:08WYO 4th & 16 at WYO 34, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 23.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.9%−1.8
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    23.7%
    average punt
  14. Q2 1:13USU 4th & 3 at USU 45, up 7
    Close callPunted · 77.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    77.4%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    77.1%−0.3
    average punt
  15. Q3 14:10WYO 4th & 2 at USU 41, down 14
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.2 ptsPunted · 17.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.7%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    16.1%−1.6
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    16.5%−1.2
    average punt
  16. Q3 9:45USU 4th & 6 at USU 32, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 86.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.2%−1.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    87.2%
    average punt
  17. Q3 4:25WYO 4th & 10 at USU 30, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 13.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.3%−0.4
    29% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    13.7%
    56% to make
    Punt
    12.8%−0.9
    average punt
  18. Q3 2:37USU 4th & 11 at USU 44, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 81.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    81.0%−1.6
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    82.6%
    average punt
  19. Q4 15:00WYO 4th & 1 at WYO 36, down 11
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.5 ptsPunted · 16.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    15.4%−1.5
    average punt
  20. Q4 12:05USU 4th & 6 at USU 37, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 84.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    84.8%−0.2
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    85.0%
    average punt
  21. Q4 5:32WYO 4th & 4 at USU 4, down 11
    Numbers favored go for it by 3.7 ptsKicked a field goal · 11.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.5%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    9.9%−3.7
    93% to make
    Punt
    6.7%−6.9
    average punt
  22. Q4 2:14USU 4th & 14 at USU 18, up 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 93.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.8%−2.4
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    93.2%
    average punt
  23. Q4 2:02WYO 4th & 10 at WYO 25, down 8
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 7.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    5.3%
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    5.2%−0.2
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
WYO made the numbers' call on 1 of 1USU made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 14:30USU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    79.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    79.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q3 14:45USU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    81.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    81.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 2:37WYO Touchdown, down 12 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    15.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    15.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
USUDrive 1TD
4 plays · 65 yds · 0:3082% → 82%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+9
17.7%
Jordan Love pass complete to Aaren Vaughns for 9 yds to the UthSt 44Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 1
OWN 44
0
17.7%
Jordan Love pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:30
3RD & 1
OWN 44
+56
17.8%
Darwin Thompson run for 56 yds for a TD (Dominik Eberle KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 2PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:0018% → 18%
Q1 14:30
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-1
17.9%
Austin Conway run for a loss of 1 yard to the Wyom 34Similar
Q1 14:30
2ND & 11
OWN 34
+4
17.9%
Nico Evans run for 4 yds to the Wyom 38Similar
Q1 14:30
3RD & 7
OWN 38
0
17.9%
Tyler Vander Waal pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:30
4TH & 7
OWN 38
0
17.8%
Dontae Crow punt for 38 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 3PUNT
6 plays · 18 yds · 0:0082% → 82%
Q1 13:02
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+2
18.2%
Aaren Vaughns run for 2 yds to the UthSt 26Similar
Q1 13:02
2ND & 8
OWN 26
+9
18.2%
Gerold Bright run for 9 yds to the UthSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:02
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+7
18.2%
Jordan Love pass complete to Ron'quavion Tarver for 7 yds to the UthSt 42Similar
Q1 13:02
2ND & 3
OWN 42
0
18.1%
Jordan Love pass incomplete to Ron'quavion TarverSimilar
Q1 13:02
3RD & 3
OWN 42
0
18.2%
Jordan Love pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:02
4TH & 3
OWN 42
+28
18.2%
Taylor Hintze punt for 43 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Wyom 43 , Austin Conway returns for 28 yds to the Wyom 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 4PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 0:0019% → 19%
Q1 11:05
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+4
19.0%
Nico Evans run for 4 yds to the Wyom 47Similar
Q1 11:05
2ND & 6
OWN 47
+5
19.0%
Nico Evans run for 5 yds to the UthSt 48Similar
Q1 11:05
3RD & 1
OPP 48
-1
19.0%
Nico Evans run for a loss of 1 yard to the UthSt 49Similar
Q1 11:05
4TH & 2
OPP 49
0
18.9%
Dontae Crow punt for 49 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 5PUNT
7 plays · 16 yds · 0:0081% → 81%
Q1 9:06
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
19.2%
Jordan Love pass complete to Jordan Nathan for 1 yd to the UthSt 21Similar
Q1 9:06
2ND & 9
OWN 21
+5
19.2%
THOMPSON, D. rush for no gain to the USU21 (WILSON, Logan;CAIN, Conner), PENALTY WY offside 5 yards to the USU26, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 9:06
2ND & 4
OWN 26
+6
19.1%
Darwin Thompson run for 6 yds to the UthSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:06
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+4
19.1%
Jordan Love pass complete to Jordan Nathan for 4 yds to the UthSt 36Similar
Q1 9:06
2ND & 6
OWN 36
0
19.0%
Jordan Love pass incomplete to Ron'quavion TarverSimilar
Q1 9:06
3RD & 6
OWN 36
0
19.1%
Jordan Love pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:06
4TH & 6
OWN 36
0
19.3%
Taylor Hintze punt for 37 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Wyom 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 6FUMBLE
2 plays · 9 yds · 0:0020% → 20%
Q1 6:53
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+3
19.8%
Sean Chambers run for 3 yds to the Wyom 30Similar
Q1 6:53
2ND & 7
OWN 30
+6
19.8%
Sean Chambers run for 6 yds to the Wyom 36 Sean Chambers fumbled, forced by David Woodward, recovered by UthSt Adewale AdeoyeSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 7MISSED FG
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:2381% → 80%
Q1 6:14
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
19.2%
Jordan Love pass incomplete to Aaren VaughnsSimilar
Q1 6:14
2ND & 10
OPP 36
0
19.2%
Jordan Love pass incomplete to Aaren VaughnsSimilar
Q1 6:14
3RD & 10
OPP 36
0
19.3%
Jordan Love pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:51
4TH & 10
OPP 36
+53
19.9%
Dominik Eberle 53 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 8PUNT
12 plays · 28 yds · 0:0020% → 20%
Q1 5:51
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+1
20.4%
Nico Evans run for 1 yd to the Wyom 37Similar
Q1 5:51
2ND & 9
OWN 37
-8
20.3%
Tyler Vander Waal sacked by Jacoby Wildman for a loss of 8 yards to the Wyom 29Similar
Q1 5:51
3RD & 17
OWN 29
+15
19.9%
VANDER WAAL, T. pass incomplete to CONWAY, Austin, PENALTY USU pass interference 15 yards to the WY44, 1ST DOWN WY, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 5:51
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+2
20.6%
Nico Evans run for 2 yds to the Wyom 46Similar
Q1 5:51
2ND & 8
OWN 46
+5
20.7%
Tyler Vander Waal pass complete to Austin Conway for 5 yds to the UthSt 49Similar
Q1 5:51
3RD & 3
OPP 49
+6
20.8%
Nico Evans run for 6 yds to the UthSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:51
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+10
20.9%
VANDER WAAL, T. pass incomplete to PRICE, James, PENALTY USU holding 10 yards to the USU33, 1ST DOWN WY, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 5:51
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+2
21.2%
Jevon Bigelow run for 2 yds to the UthSt 31Similar
Q1 5:51
2ND & 8
OPP 31
0
21.2%
Tyler Vander Waal pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:51
3RD & 8
OPP 31
-5
20.9%
WYOMING Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the UthSt 36Similar
Q1 5:51
3RD & 13
OPP 36
0
20.5%
Tyler Vander Waal pass incomplete WYOMING Penalty, illegal formation ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q1 5:51
4TH & 13
OPP 36
0
20.1%
Ryan Galovich punt for 36 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 9INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0079% → 79%
Q1 1:45
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+13
21.0%
Jordan Love pass intercepted Logan Wilson return for 13 yds to the UthSt 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 10FG
4 plays · 3 yds · 1:2423% → 25%
Q1 1:38
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+4
22.8%
Nico Evans run for 4 yds to the UthSt 9Similar
Q1 1:38
2ND & 6
OPP 9
-1
22.8%
Nico Evans run for a loss of 1 yard to the UthSt 10Similar
Q1 1:38
3RD & 7
OPP 10
0
22.2%
Tyler Vander Waal pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 0:14
4TH & 7
OPP 10
+27
24.6%
Cooper Rothe 27 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 11PUNT
6 plays · -14 yds · 0:0676% → 75%
Q1 0:06
1ST & 10
OWN 34
-5
23.6%
LOVE, JORDAN pass complete to THOMPKINS, D. for no gain to the USU34 (EPPS, Marcus;BLANKENBAKER,K.), PENALTY USU illegal touching 5 yards to the USU29, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 0:06
1ST & 15
OWN 29
0
24.1%
Darwin Thompson run for no gain to the UthSt 29Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 15
OWN 29
-3
24.2%
Darwin Thompson run for a loss of 3 yards to the UthSt 26Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 18
OWN 26
-6
24.4%
Jordan Love sacked by Garrett Crall for a loss of 6 yards to the UthSt 20Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 24
OWN 20
0
24.8%
Taylor Hintze punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Austin Conway at the Wyom 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 12PUNT
9 plays · 18 yds · 2:1525% → 26%
Q2 13:44
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+3
25.0%
Nico Evans run for 3 yds to the Wyom 40Similar
Q2 13:44
2ND & 7
OWN 40
+3
25.7%
Tyler Vander Waal pass complete to James Price for 3 yds to the Wyom 43Similar
Q2 13:44
3RD & 4
OWN 43
+13
25.3%
Tyler Vander Waal pass complete to James Price for 13 yds to the UthSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:44
1ST & 10
OPP 44
-10
26.1%
CONWAY, Austin rush for 3 yards to the USU41 (CHRISTIANSEN, C), PENALTY WY holding 10 yards to the WY46, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 11:29
1ST & 20
OWN 46
0
26.4%
Tyler Vander Waal pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:29
2ND & 20
OWN 46
0
26.2%
Tyler Vander Waal pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:29
3RD & 20
OWN 46
+9
25.7%
Tyler Vander Waal pass complete to Austin Conway for 9 yds to the UthSt 45Similar
Q2 11:29
4TH & 11
OPP 45
0
25.8%
Ryan Galovich punt for 45 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 13FG
12 plays · 52 yds · 2:5574% → 79%
Q2 10:42
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
26.1%
Jordan Love pass incomplete to Ron'quavion TarverSimilar
Q2 10:42
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+14
26.1%
Gerold Bright run for 14 yds to the UthSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:42
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+2
25.5%
Gerold Bright run for 2 yds to the UthSt 36Similar
Q2 10:42
2ND & 8
OWN 36
+7
25.3%
Jordan Love pass complete to Jordan Nathan for 7 yds to the UthSt 43Similar
Q2 10:42
3RD & 1
OWN 43
+2
24.7%
Gerold Bright run for 2 yds to the UthSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:42
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
24.7%
Jordan Love pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:42
2ND & 10
OWN 45
0
24.9%
Darwin Thompson run for no gain to the UthSt 45Similar
Q2 10:42
3RD & 10
OWN 45
+23
25.3%
Jordan Love pass complete to Darwin Thompson for 8 yds to the WYOMING 47 for a 1ST down WYOMING Penalty, illegal block (15 Yards) to the Wyom 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:42
1ST & 10
OPP 32
-3
24.1%
Darwin Thompson run for a loss of 3 yards to the Wyom 35Similar
Q2 10:42
2ND & 13
OPP 35
0
24.3%
Jordan Love pass incomplete to Savon ScarverSimilar
Q2 10:42
3RD & 13
OPP 35
+7
24.7%
Jordan Love pass complete to Gerold Bright for 7 yds to the Wyom 28Similar
Q2 7:47
4TH & 6
OPP 28
+45
21.3%
Dominik Eberle 45 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 14PUNT
9 plays · 21 yds · 0:0023% → 24%
Q2 7:47
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
23.0%
Tyler Vander Waal pass complete to Ayden Eberhardt for 9 yds to the Wyom 34Similar
Q2 7:47
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+3
24.2%
Nico Evans run for 3 yds to the Wyom 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:47
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+1
23.5%
Nico Evans run for 1 yd to the Wyom 38Similar
Q2 7:47
2ND & 9
OWN 38
+6
23.5%
Tyler Vander Waal pass complete to James Price for 6 yds to the Wyom 44Similar
Q2 7:47
3RD & 3
OWN 44
-5
24.1%
WYOMING Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Wyom 39Similar
Q2 7:47
3RD & 8
OWN 39
+5
23.1%
VANDER WAAL, T. sacked for loss of 14 yards to the WY25 (CHRISTIANSEN, C), PENALTY USU offside 5 yards to the WY44, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 7:47
3RD & 3
OWN 44
+2
24.1%
Tyler Vander Waal run for 2 yds to the Wyom 46Similar
Q2 7:47
4TH & 1
OWN 46
0
23.7%
Dontae Crow punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Jordan Nathan at the UthSt 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 15PUNT
4 plays · -1 yds · 0:0077% → 76%
Q2 4:12
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+1
23.3%
Jordan Love pass complete to Gerold Bright for 1 yd to the UthSt 22Similar
Q2 4:12
2ND & 9
OWN 22
0
23.3%
Jordan Love pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:12
3RD & 9
OWN 22
-2
23.8%
Jordan Love pass complete to Gerold Bright for a loss of 2 yards to the UthSt 20Similar
Q2 4:12
4TH & 11
OWN 20
0
24.5%
Taylor Hintze punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Austin Conway at the Wyom 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 16PUNT
4 plays · -6 yds · 0:0026% → 23%
Q2 3:08
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+1
25.5%
Nico Evans run for 1 yd to the Wyom 41Similar
Q2 3:08
2ND & 9
OWN 41
0
25.1%
Tyler Vander Waal pass incomplete to Austin ConwaySimilar
Q2 3:08
3RD & 9
OWN 41
-7
24.5%
Tyler Vander Waal pass complete to Nico Evans for a loss of 7 yards to the Wyom 34Similar
Q2 3:08
4TH & 16
OWN 34
0
23.3%
Dontae Crow punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Jordan Nathan at the UthSt 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 17PUNT
6 plays · 21 yds · 0:3178% → 78%
Q2 1:44
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+14
22.2%
Darwin Thompson run for 14 yds to the UthSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:44
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+7
21.1%
Jordan Love pass complete to Carson Terrell for 7 yds to the UthSt 45Similar
Q2 1:44
2ND & 3
OWN 45
0
20.4%
Jordan Love pass incomplete to Aaren VaughnsSimilar
Q2 1:13
3RD & 3
OWN 45
0
20.5%
Jordan Love pass incomplete to Ron'quavion Tarver, broken up by Tyler HallSimilar
Q2 1:13
4TH & 3
OWN 45
0
21.6%
Taylor Hintze punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Austin Conway at the Wyom 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 18END OF HALF
3 plays · -6 yds · 0:0023% → 23%
Q2 1:06
1ST & 10
OWN 17
-2
23.3%
Nico Evans run for a loss of 2 yards to the Wyom 15Similar
Q2 1:06
2ND & 12
OWN 15
-5
23.1%
WYOMING Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Wyom 10Similar
Q2 1:06
2ND & 17
OWN 10
+1
23.1%
Nico Evans run for 1 yd to the Wyom 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 19INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:0023% → 23%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+20
23.0%
Tyler Vander Waal pass intercepted Jontrell Rocquemore return for 20 yds to the Wyom 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 20TD
1 play · 3 yds · 0:0087% → 87%
Q3 14:45
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
13.2%
Darwin Thompson run for 3 yds for a TD (Dominik Eberle KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 21PUNT
12 plays · 34 yds · 0:3515% → 16%
Q3 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
15.1%
Sean Chambers run for 5 yds to the Wyom 30Similar
Q3 14:10
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+3
15.0%
Nico Evans run for 3 yds to the Wyom 33Similar
Q3 14:10
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+2
15.0%
Sean Chambers run for 2 yds to the Wyom 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:10
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-5
14.8%
WYOMING Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Wyom 30Similar
Q3 14:10
1ST & 15
OWN 30
+11
14.5%
Sean Chambers run for 11 yds to the Wyom 41Similar
Q3 14:10
2ND & 4
OWN 41
+10
15.6%
Sean Chambers run for 10 yds to the UthSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:10
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+1
16.0%
Nico Evans run for 1 yd to the UthSt 48Similar
Q3 14:10
2ND & 9
OPP 48
+1
15.9%
Sean Chambers run for 1 yd to the UthSt 47Similar
Q3 14:10
3RD & 8
OPP 47
+6
15.7%
Sean Chambers run for 6 yds to the UthSt 41Similar
Q3 14:10
4TH & 2
OPP 41
0
15.7%
Ryan Galovich punt for 27 yds, fair catch by Jordan Nathan at the UthSt 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 22PUNT
5 plays · 18 yds · 0:0088% → 88%
Q3 9:45
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+14
12.1%
Darwin Thompson run for 14 yds to the UthSt 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:45
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+4
11.8%
Darwin Thompson run for 4 yds to the UthSt 32Similar
Q3 9:45
2ND & 6
OWN 32
+1
11.8%
Darwin Thompson run for 1 yd to the UthSt 33Similar
Q3 9:45
3RD & 5
OWN 33
-1
12.0%
Jordan Love pass complete to Darwin Thompson for a loss of 1 yard to the UthSt 32Similar
Q3 9:45
4TH & 6
OWN 32
+13
12.5%
Taylor Hintze punt for 48 yds , Austin Conway returns for 13 yds to the Wyom 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 23FG
8 plays · 37 yds · 3:4113% → 16%
Q3 8:06
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+1
12.7%
Nico Evans run for 1 yd to the Wyom 34Similar
Q3 8:06
2ND & 9
OWN 34
+3
12.6%
Sean Chambers run for 3 yds to the Wyom 37Similar
Q3 8:06
3RD & 6
OWN 37
+19
12.9%
Nico Evans run for 19 yds to the UthSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:06
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+14
14.2%
Sean Chambers run for 14 yds to the UthSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:06
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+1
14.6%
Jevon Bigelow run for 1 yd to the UthSt 29Similar
Q3 8:06
2ND & 9
OPP 29
-1
14.5%
Nico Evans run for a loss of 1 yard to the UthSt 30Similar
Q3 8:06
3RD & 10
OPP 30
0
13.9%
Sean Chambers pass incomplete to James PriceSimilar
Q3 4:25
4TH & 10
OPP 30
+47
16.1%
Cooper Rothe 47 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 25TD
5 plays · 75 yds · 1:349% → 17%
Q3 4:11
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+13
8.8%
Sean Chambers pass complete to Tyree Mayfield for 13 yds to the Wyom 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:11
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+9
9.5%
Nico Evans run for 9 yds to the Wyom 47Similar
Q3 4:11
2ND & 1
OWN 47
0
10.0%
Sean Chambers run for no gain to the Wyom 47Similar
Q3 2:37
3RD & 1
OWN 47
+53
17.2%
Nico Evans run for 53 yds for a TD (Cooper Rothe KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 26PUNT
9 plays · 19 yds · 0:0084% → 83%
Q3 2:37
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
16.3%
Gerold Bright run for 4 yds to the UthSt 29Similar
Q3 2:37
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+1
16.1%
Gerold Bright run for 1 yd to the UthSt 30Similar
Q3 2:37
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+15
16.3%
LOVE, JORDAN pass incomplete to THOMPKINS, D., PENALTY WY pass interference 15 yards to the USU45, 1ST DOWN USU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 2:37
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+2
14.6%
Gerold Bright run for 2 yds to the UthSt 47Similar
Q3 2:37
2ND & 8
OWN 47
+2
14.7%
Jordan Love run for 2 yds to the UthSt 49Similar
Q3 2:37
3RD & 6
OWN 49
-5
14.9%
UTAH ST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the UthSt 44Similar
Q3 2:37
3RD & 11
OWN 44
0
15.1%
Jordan Love pass incomplete to Jordan Nathan, broken up by Alijah HalliburtonSimilar
Q3 2:37
4TH & 11
OWN 44
0
16.7%
Taylor Hintze punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Austin Conway at the Wyom 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 27PUNT
7 plays · 24 yds · 0:2415% → 15%
Q3 0:24
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+4
14.7%
Nico Evans run for 4 yds to the Wyom 16Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 16
+2
14.3%
Sean Chambers pass complete to Tyree Mayfield for 2 yds to the Wyom 18Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 4
OWN 18
+9
13.8%
Sean Chambers run for 9 yds to the Wyom 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
14.8%
Sean Chambers run for no gain to the Wyom 27Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 27
+4
14.3%
Sean Chambers run for 4 yds to the Wyom 31Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 31
+5
14.5%
Nico Evans run for 5 yds to the Wyom 36Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 1
OWN 36
0
14.6%
Dontae Crow punt for 31 yds, fair catch by Jordan Nathan at the UthSt 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 28PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:0087% → 87%
Q4 12:05
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
13.2%
Darwin Thompson run for no gain to the UthSt 33Similar
Q4 12:05
2ND & 10
OWN 33
+2
13.3%
Darwin Thompson run for 2 yds to the UthSt 35Similar
Q4 12:05
3RD & 8
OWN 35
+2
13.6%
Darwin Thompson run for 2 yds to the UthSt 37Similar
Q4 12:05
4TH & 6
OWN 37
0
13.5%
Taylor Hintze punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Austin Conway at the Wyom 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 29FG
11 plays · 78 yds · 4:5611% → 15%
Q4 10:28
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+4
10.8%
Sean Chambers run for 4 yds to the Wyom 22Similar
Q4 10:28
2ND & 6
OWN 22
+6
11.0%
Sean Chambers run for 6 yds to the Wyom 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:28
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+47
11.3%
Sean Chambers pass complete to Nico Evans for 47 yds to the UthSt 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:28
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+2
14.7%
Xazavian Valladay run for 2 yds to the UthSt 23Similar
Q4 10:28
2ND & 8
OPP 23
+1
14.7%
Sean Chambers run for 1 yd to the UthSt 22Similar
Q4 10:28
3RD & 7
OPP 22
+12
13.6%
Sean Chambers run for 12 yds to the UthSt 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:28
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+8
14.7%
Nico Evans run for 8 yds to the UthSt 2Similar
Q4 10:28
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
-5
14.7%
WYOMING Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the UthSt 7Similar
Q4 10:28
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
0
14.7%
Sean Chambers pass incomplete to James Price, broken up by David WoodwardSimilar
Q4 10:28
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
+3
13.8%
Sean Chambers run for 3 yds to the UthSt 4Similar
Q4 5:32
4TH & GOAL
OPP 4
+21
15.0%
Cooper Rothe 21 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 30PUNT
10 plays · -6 yds · 3:1291% → 94%
Q4 5:26
1ST & 10
OWN 24
-12
8.8%
UTAH ST Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (-12 Yards) to the UthSt 12Similar
Q4 5:26
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+1
9.0%
Gerold Bright run for 1 yd to the UthSt 13Similar
Q4 5:26
2ND & 9
OWN 13
+4
9.2%
Gerold Bright run for 4 yds to the UthSt 17Similar
Q4 5:26
3RD & 5
OWN 17
+5
9.8%
Jordan Love pass complete to Aaren Vaughns for 5 yds to the UthSt 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:26
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
8.9%
Gerold Bright run for no gain to the UthSt 22Similar
Q4 5:26
2ND & 10
OWN 22
-1
9.1%
Gerold Bright run for a loss of 1 yard to the UthSt 21Similar
Q4 5:26
3RD & 11
OWN 21
-3
9.9%
Gerold Bright run for a loss of 3 yards to the UthSt 18Similar
Q4 2:14
4TH & 14
OWN 18
+1
5.7%
Taylor Hintze punt for 48 yds , Austin Conway returns for 1 yd to the Wyom 19 WYOMING Penalty, Offensive holding (10 Yards) to the Wyom 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 31DOWNS
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:006% → 6%
Q4 2:02
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
6.4%
Tyler Vander Waal pass incomplete to Tyree MayfieldSimilar
Q4 2:02
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
6.3%
Tyler Vander Waal pass incomplete to James PriceSimilar
Q4 2:02
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
6.0%
Tyler Vander Waal pass incomplete to Tyree MayfieldSimilar
Q4 2:02
4TH & 10
OWN 25
0
5.7%
Tyler Vander Waal pass incomplete to Austin ConwaySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 32END OF GAME
5 plays · 12 yds · 0:4997% → 97%
Q4 1:45
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+6
3.0%
Darwin Thompson run for 6 yds to the Wyom 19Similar
Q4 1:45
2ND & 4
OPP 19
+2
3.0%
Darwin Thompson run for 2 yds to the Wyom 17Similar
Q4 0:56
3RD & 2
OPP 17
+5
2.9%
Darwin Thompson run for 5 yds to the Wyom 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:56
1ST & 10
OPP 12
-1
2.8%
Team run for a loss of 1 yard to the Wyom 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 14:45
Darwin Thompson run for 3 yds for a TD (Dominik Eberle KICK)
-9.8
TD · Q3 4:11
Cooper Rothe kickoff for 64 yds , Savon Scarver return for 99 yds for a TD (Dominik Eberle KICK)
-7.5
TD · Q3 2:37
Nico Evans run for 53 yds for a TD (Cooper Rothe KICK)
+7.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com