Try the model
WYO

Wyoming 3 at Fresno State 27

FRES
2018 · Week 7 · Oct 13, 2018 · Valley Children's Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · FRES
modelFRES aheadWYO aheadconfidence bandkey playFRES scoreWYO score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 9:29 · Dontae Crow punt for 25 yds, downed at the Wyom 35
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+40.0+20.00−20.0−40.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 20Pregame prior+37.3Home team on offense−0.3Score differential−0.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.2Garbage-time factor+0.0Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.0
This game in five plays
  1. KEY PLAY · Q2 11:13: Marcus McMaryion pass complete to KeeSean Johnson for 8 yds to the FrsSt 36 — WYO win probability +1.4 pts (now 15%) (top driver: FRES has the ball).
  2. KEY PLAY · Q2 6:40: Marcus McMaryion pass complete to Cam Sutton for 20 yds to the Wyom 1 for a 1ST down — FRES win probability +1.4 pts (now 85%) (top driver: FRES has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 0:52: Marcus McMaryion run for 1 yd for a TD (Asa Fuller KICK) — FRES win probability +3.6 pts (now 88%) (top driver: FRES has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 9:20: Marcus McMaryion pass complete to David Tangipa for 3 yds for a TD (Asa Fuller KICK) — FRES win probability +6.8 pts (now 95%) (top driver: FRES has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 3:11: Marcus McMaryion run for 6 yds for a TD (Asa Fuller KICK) — FRES win probability +2.0 pts (now 99%) (top driver: FRES has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
FRES made the numbers' call on 7 of 8WYO made the numbers' call on 8 of 9
  1. Q1 11:14WYO 4th & 2 at FRES 28, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 13.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.2%
    57% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    13.1%−0.1
    60% to make
    Punt
    12.8%−0.4
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:14FRES 4th & 6 at FRES 42, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 86.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.7%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    86.7%
    average punt
  3. Q1 9:29WYO 4th & 7 at WYO 10, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 13.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.6%−<0.1
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    13.6%
    average punt
  4. Q1 7:00WYO 4th & 4 at WYO 25, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 13.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.7%−<0.1
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    13.7%
    average punt
  5. Q1 5:35FRES 4th & 4 at WYO 42, up 3
    Close callPunted · 85.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.8%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    85.5%−0.3
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    85.6%−0.2
    average punt
  6. Q2 15:00WYO 4th & 15 at WYO 45, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 15.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.4%−0.6
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    16.0%
    average punt
  7. Q2 11:13FRES 4th & 17 at WYO 44, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 81.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    81.4%−0.6
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    81.5%−0.4
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    82.0%
    average punt
  8. Q2 6:55WYO 4th & 6 at WYO 12, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 17.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.2%−0.6
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    17.8%
    average punt
  9. Q2 6:40FRES 4th & 1 at WYO 37, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 81.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    81.8%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    80.1%−1.6
    40% to make
    Punt
    80.0%−1.7
    average punt
  10. Q2 0:52FRES 4th & 1 at WYO 1, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 80.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    79.8%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    78.3%−1.5
    94% to make
    Punt
    74.3%−5.6
    average punt
  11. Q3 14:54FRES 4th & 8 at WYO 49, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 86.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.2%−0.4
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    86.6%
    average punt
  12. Q3 12:53WYO 4th & 14 at WYO 10, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 12.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.4%−0.9
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    12.3%
    average punt
  13. Q3 9:14WYO 4th & 9 at WYO 40, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.4%−0.6
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.0%
    average punt
  14. Q4 14:17FRES 4th & 1 at WYO 1, up 24
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 98.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    98.6%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    98.2%−0.4
    94% to make
    Punt
    97.3%−1.3
    average punt
  15. Q4 9:11WYO 4th & 6 at WYO 48, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.9%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.0%
    average punt
  16. Q4 5:28FRES 4th & 7 at FRES 24, up 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.1%−0.1
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.2%
    average punt
  17. Q4 0:50WYO 4th & 2 at FRES 42, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.5%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    0.4%−0.1
    30% to make
    Punt
    0.4%−<0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
FRES made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 7:05FRES Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    86.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    86.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 0:52FRES Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    86.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    86.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 9:20FRES Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 3:11FRES Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
WYODrive 1FG
10 plays · 47 yds · 3:4610% → 11%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
89.9%
Nico Evans run for 5 yds to the Wyom 30Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+6
89.9%
Tyler Vander Waal pass complete to James Price for 6 yds to the Wyom 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+12
89.9%
Nico Evans run for 12 yds to the Wyom 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+16
89.9%
Tyler Vander Waal pass complete to James Price for 16 yds to the FrsSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+1
89.9%
Nico Evans run for 1 yd to the FrsSt 35Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 35
+2
89.9%
Nico Evans run for 2 yds to the FrsSt 33Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 7
OPP 33
+5
89.9%
Tyler Vander Waal pass complete to Ayden Eberhardt for 5 yds to the FrsSt 28Similar
Q1 11:14
4TH & 2
OPP 28
+44
88.7%
Cooper Rothe 44 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FRESDrive 2PUNT
6 plays · 17 yds · 0:0089% → 89%
Q1 11:14
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+13
88.8%
Marcus McMaryion pass complete to KeeSean Johnson for 13 yds to the FrsSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:14
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+3
88.8%
Jordan Mims run for 3 yds to the FrsSt 41Similar
Q1 11:14
2ND & 7
OWN 41
0
88.9%
Marcus McMaryion pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:14
3RD & 7
OWN 41
+1
88.8%
Marcus McMaryion run for 1 yd to the FrsSt 42Similar
Q1 11:14
4TH & 6
OWN 42
+51
88.8%
Blake Cusick punt for 45 yds WYOMING Penalty, Offensive holding (6 Yards) to the Wyom 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 3PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:0012% → 12%
Q1 9:29
1ST & 10
OWN 7
0
88.3%
Jevon Bigelow run for no gain to the Wyom 7Similar
Q1 9:29
2ND & 10
OWN 7
+3
88.3%
Tyler Vander Waal pass complete to Austin Fort for 3 yds to the Wyom 10Similar
Q1 9:29
3RD & 7
OWN 10
0
88.3%
Tyler Vander Waal pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:29
4TH & 7
OWN 10
0
88.4%
Dontae Crow punt for 25 yds, downed at the Wyom 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FRESDrive 4TD
2 plays · 35 yds · 0:4588% → 89%
Q1 7:50
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
88.1%
Jordan Mims run for no gain to the Wyom 35Similar
Q1 7:05
2ND & 10
OPP 35
+35
88.5%
Marcus McMaryion pass complete to Jared Rice for 35 yds for a TD (Asa Fuller PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 5PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:0012% → 12%
Q1 7:00
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+1
88.1%
Nico Evans run for 1 yd to the Wyom 20Similar
Q1 7:00
2ND & 9
OWN 20
+5
88.1%
Tyler Vander Waal pass complete to James Price for 5 yds to the Wyom 25Similar
Q1 7:00
3RD & 4
OWN 25
0
88.2%
Tyler Vander Waal pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:00
4TH & 4
OWN 25
0
88.3%
Dontae Crow punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Ronnie Rivers at the FrsSt 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FRESDrive 6PUNT
6 plays · 18 yds · 0:0088% → 88%
Q1 5:35
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+6
87.9%
Marcus McMaryion pass complete to Jared Rice for 6 yds to the FrsSt 46Similar
Q1 5:35
2ND & 4
OWN 46
+6
88.0%
Marcus McMaryion pass complete to Jared Rice for 6 yds to the Wyom 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:35
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+3
88.1%
Marcus McMaryion pass complete to KeeSean Johnson for 3 yds to the Wyom 45Similar
Q1 5:35
2ND & 7
OPP 45
+3
88.1%
Marcus McMaryion pass complete to Jared Rice for 3 yds to the Wyom 42Similar
Q1 5:35
3RD & 4
OPP 42
0
88.0%
Marcus McMaryion pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:35
4TH & 4
OPP 42
0
87.8%
Blake Cusick punt for 39 yds, downed at the Wyom 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 7PUNT
17 plays · 42 yds · 3:1413% → 14%
Q1 3:14
1ST & 10
OWN 3
-1
87.3%
BIGELOW, Jevon rush for 5 yards to the WY8 (HUGHES, Juju), PENALTY WY holding (VELASQUEZ, A.) 1 yards to the WY2, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 3:14
1ST & 11
OWN 2
+2
87.3%
Jevon Bigelow run for 2 yds to the Wyom 4Similar
Q1 3:14
2ND & 9
OWN 4
+6
87.3%
Nico Evans run for 6 yds to the Wyom 10Similar
Q1 3:14
3RD & 3
OWN 10
+4
87.4%
Nico Evans run for 4 yds to the Wyom 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:14
1ST & 10
OWN 14
0
87.2%
Tyler Vander Waal pass incomplete to James Price, broken up by Anthoula KellySimilar
Q1 3:14
2ND & 10
OWN 14
+5
87.2%
Jevon Bigelow run for 5 yds to the Wyom 19Similar
Q1 3:14
3RD & 5
OWN 19
0
87.3%
Tyler Vander Waal pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:14
4TH & 5
OWN 19
+5
87.5%
CROW, Dontae punt 40 yards to the FS41, RIVERS, Ronnie return to the FS43 (EBERHARDT, A.), PENALTY FS offside defense 5 yards to the WY24, 1ST DOWN WY, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 3:14
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+1
87.1%
Nico Evans run for 1 yd to the Wyom 25Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 25
+12
86.1%
Nico Evans run for 12 yds to the Wyom 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
85.8%
Tyler Vander Waal run for no gain to the Wyom 37Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+5
85.9%
Tyler Vander Waal run for 5 yds to the Wyom 42Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 5
OWN 42
+8
85.5%
Tyler Vander Waal run for 8 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
50
0
85.2%
Nico Evans run for no gain to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
50
-5
85.3%
Tyler Vander Waal pass complete to Nico Evans for a loss of 5 yards to the Wyom 45Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 15
OWN 45
0
86.0%
Tyler Vander Waal pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 15
OWN 45
0
86.3%
Dontae Crow punt for 27 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FRESDrive 8PUNT
9 plays · 28 yds · 0:0085% → 84%
Q2 11:13
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+8
84.9%
Marcus McMaryion pass complete to KeeSean Johnson for 8 yds to the FrsSt 36Similar
Q2 11:13
2ND & 2
OWN 36
+1
85.5%
Josh Hokit run for 1 yd to the FrsSt 37Similar
Q2 11:13
3RD & 1
OWN 37
+26
85.2%
Marcus McMaryion run for 26 yds to the Wyom 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:13
1ST & 10
OPP 37
-15
85.8%
MCMARYION, M. pass complete to RICE, Jared for 28 yards to the WY9, out-of-bounds (BLANKENBAKER,K.), PENALTY FS pass interference (RICE, Jared) 15 yards to the FS48, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 11:13
1ST & 25
OWN 48
0
85.2%
Marcus McMaryion pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:13
2ND & 25
OWN 48
0
85.0%
Marcus McMaryion pass incomplete to KeeSean JohnsonSimilar
Q2 11:13
3RD & 25
OWN 48
+13
84.6%
Marcus McMaryion pass complete to Ronnie Rivers for 13 yds to the Wyom 39Similar
Q2 11:13
4TH & 12
OPP 39
-5
84.6%
FRESNO ST Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the Wyom 44Similar
Q2 11:13
4TH & 17
OPP 44
0
84.4%
Blake Cusick punt for 36 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 9PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:3816% → 16%
Q2 7:33
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+4
84.1%
Nico Evans run for 4 yds to the Wyom 12Similar
Q2 7:33
2ND & 6
OWN 12
0
83.9%
Tyler Vander Waal pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:55
3RD & 6
OWN 12
0
83.9%
Tyler Vander Waal pass incomplete to James Price, broken up by Arron MosbySimilar
Q2 6:55
4TH & 6
OWN 12
+6
84.3%
Dontae Crow punt for 40 yds , Ronnie Rivers returns for 6 yds to the Wyom 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FRESDrive 10TD
12 plays · 46 yds · 5:4885% → 88%
Q2 6:40
1ST & 10
OPP 46
-2
84.5%
Jordan Mims run for a loss of 2 yards to the Wyom 48 Jordan Mims fumbled, recovered by FrsSt Jordan MimsSimilar
Q2 6:40
2ND & 12
OPP 48
+4
83.9%
Marcus McMaryion run for 4 yds to the Wyom 44Similar
Q2 6:40
3RD & 8
OPP 44
+7
84.1%
Marcus McMaryion pass complete to Jordan Mims for 7 yds to the Wyom 37Similar
Q2 6:40
4TH & 1
OPP 37
+3
83.6%
Jordan Mims run for 3 yds to the Wyom 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:40
1ST & 10
OPP 34
-3
84.8%
KeeSean Johnson run for a loss of 3 yards to the Wyom 37 KeeSean Johnson fumbled, recovered by FrsSt KeeSean JohnsonSimilar
Q2 6:40
2ND & 13
OPP 37
0
84.0%
Marcus McMaryion pass incomplete to Jared Rice, broken up by Logan WilsonSimilar
Q2 6:40
3RD & 13
OPP 37
+16
83.4%
Marcus McMaryion pass complete to Jared Rice for 16 yds to the Wyom 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:40
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+20
84.8%
Marcus McMaryion pass complete to Cam Sutton for 20 yds to the Wyom 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:40
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
84.8%
Ronnie Rivers run for no gain to the Wyom 1Similar
Q2 6:40
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
84.8%
Ronnie Rivers run for no gain to the Wyom 1Similar
Q2 6:40
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
0
84.3%
Marcus McMaryion run for no gain to the Wyom 1Similar
Q2 0:52
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
87.9%
Marcus McMaryion run for 1 yd for a TD (Asa Fuller KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 11END OF HALF
7 plays · 20 yds · 0:0012% → 12%
Q2 0:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
87.9%
Tyler Vander Waal pass complete to Austin Conway for 9 yds to the Wyom 34Similar
Q2 0:52
2ND & 1
OWN 34
-1
87.0%
Tyler Vander Waal sacked by Emeka Ndoh for a loss of 1 yard to the Wyom 33Similar
Q2 0:52
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+5
87.6%
Tyler Vander Waal run for 5 yds to the Wyom 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:52
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
87.3%
Tyler Vander Waal pass incomplete to James Price, broken up by Jaron BryantSimilar
Q2 0:52
2ND & 10
OWN 38
0
87.5%
Tyler Vander Waal pass incomplete to Austin ConwaySimilar
Q2 0:52
3RD & 10
OWN 38
+7
87.9%
Tyler Vander Waal pass complete to Austin Conway for 7 yds to the Wyom 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FRESDrive 12PUNT
7 plays · 21 yds · 0:0088% → 87%
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-3
87.8%
Dejonte O'Neal run for a loss of 3 yards to the FrsSt 27Similar
Q3 14:54
2ND & 13
OWN 27
+22
87.7%
Marcus McMaryion pass complete to Jared Rice for 22 yds to the FrsSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
88.5%
Marcus McMaryion pass incomplete to KeeSean JohnsonSimilar
Q3 14:54
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+2
88.4%
Marcus McMaryion pass complete to KeeSean Johnson for 2 yds to the Wyom 49Similar
Q3 14:54
3RD & 8
OPP 49
0
87.9%
Marcus McMaryion pass incomplete to KeeSean JohnsonSimilar
Q3 14:54
4TH & 8
OPP 49
0
87.2%
Blake Cusick punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Austin Conway at the Wyom 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 13PUNT
5 plays · -4 yds · 0:0012% → 11%
Q3 12:53
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+1
87.7%
Nico Evans run for 1 yd to the Wyom 15Similar
Q3 12:53
2ND & 9
OWN 15
0
87.9%
Tyler Vander Waal pass incomplete to James Price, broken up by Anthoula KellySimilar
Q3 12:53
3RD & 9
OWN 15
-5
88.4%
WYOMING Penalty, false start (Eric Abojei) to the Wyom 10Similar
Q3 12:53
3RD & 14
OWN 10
0
88.4%
Tyler Vander Waal pass incomplete to Austin Fort, broken up by Mike BellSimilar
Q3 12:53
4TH & 14
OWN 10
+9
88.7%
Dontae Crow punt for 46 yds , Ronnie Rivers returns for 9 yds to the Wyom 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FRESDrive 14TD
6 plays · 47 yds · 2:2789% → 95%
Q3 11:47
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+8
88.8%
Josh Hokit run for 8 yds to the Wyom 39Similar
Q3 11:47
2ND & 2
OPP 39
+5
88.8%
Josh Hokit run for 5 yds to the Wyom 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:47
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+6
89.0%
Marcus McMaryion pass complete to Ronnie Rivers for 6 yds to the Wyom 28Similar
Q3 11:47
2ND & 4
OPP 28
0
89.0%
Marcus McMaryion pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 11:47
3RD & 4
OPP 28
+25
88.5%
Marcus McMaryion pass complete to Jamire Jordan for 25 yds to the Wyom 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:20
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
95.2%
Marcus McMaryion pass complete to David Tangipa for 3 yds for a TD (Asa Fuller KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 15PUNT
8 plays · 20 yds · 0:006% → 6%
Q3 9:14
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-5
93.6%
EVANS, Nico rush for 6 yards to the WY26, out-of-bounds (KELLY, Anthoula), PENALTY WY illegal formation 5 yards to the WY15, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 9:14
1ST & 15
OWN 15
+3
93.6%
Nico Evans run for 3 yds to the Wyom 18Similar
Q3 9:14
2ND & 12
OWN 18
+21
93.8%
Tyler Vander Waal pass complete to Raghib Ismail Jr. for 21 yds to the Wyom 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:14
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
93.1%
Tyler Vander Waal pass incomplete to Austin Conway, broken up by Anthoula KellySimilar
Q3 9:14
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+1
93.3%
Nico Evans run for 1 yd to the Wyom 40Similar
Q3 9:14
3RD & 9
OWN 40
0
93.4%
Tyler Vander Waal pass incomplete to Austin FortSimilar
Q3 9:14
4TH & 9
OWN 40
0
93.8%
Dontae Crow punt for 45 yds, downed at the FrsSt 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FRESDrive 16TD
9 plays · 85 yds · 3:2995% → 99%
Q3 6:40
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+6
95.1%
Marcus McMaryion pass complete to Jared Rice for 6 yds to the FrsSt 21Similar
Q3 6:40
2ND & 4
OWN 21
+34
95.2%
Marcus McMaryion pass complete to Ronnie Rivers for 34 yds to the Wyom 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:40
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+19
95.5%
Ronnie Rivers run for 19 yds to the Wyom 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:40
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
95.6%
Derrion Grim run for no gain to the Wyom 26Similar
Q3 4:16
2ND & 10
OPP 26
+25
95.8%
Marcus McMaryion pass complete to KeeSean Johnson for 25 yds to the Wyom 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:16
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
-5
95.9%
FRESNO ST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Wyom 6Similar
Q3 3:11
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
99.1%
Marcus McMaryion run for 6 yds for a TD (Asa Fuller KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 17INT
8 plays · 7 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q3 3:04
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+4
97.9%
Jevon Bigelow run for 4 yds to the Wyom 26Similar
Q3 3:04
2ND & 6
OWN 26
0
97.8%
Tyler Vander Waal pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:04
3RD & 6
OWN 26
+8
98.0%
Tyler Vander Waal pass complete to Austin Conway for 8 yds to the Wyom 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:04
1ST & 10
OWN 34
-5
97.8%
WYOMING Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Wyom 29Similar
Q3 3:04
1ST & 15
OWN 29
0
97.9%
Tyler Vander Waal pass incomplete to Tyree MayfieldSimilar
Q3 3:04
2ND & 15
OWN 29
0
98.0%
Nico Evans run for no gain to the Wyom 29Similar
Q3 3:04
3RD & 15
OWN 29
+1
98.0%
Tyler Vander Waal pass intercepted Mike Bell return for 1 yd to the FrsSt 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FRESDrive 18DOWNS
13 plays · 58 yds · 1:1199% → 99%
Q3 0:28
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-2
99.3%
Jordan Mims run for a loss of 2 yards to the FrsSt 39Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 12
OWN 39
+7
99.3%
Jordan Mims run for 7 yds to the FrsSt 46Similar
Q4 14:17
3RD & 5
OWN 46
+13
99.5%
Marcus McMaryion pass complete to Justin Allen for 13 yds to the Wyom 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:17
1ST & 10
OPP 41
-1
99.5%
Josh Hokit run for a loss of 1 yard to the Wyom 42Similar
Q4 14:17
2ND & 11
OPP 42
+2
99.5%
Josh Hokit run for 2 yds to the Wyom 40Similar
Q4 14:17
3RD & 9
OPP 40
+15
99.5%
Marcus McMaryion pass complete to Derrion Grim for 15 yds to the Wyom 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:17
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+3
99.5%
Ronnie Rivers run for 3 yds to the Wyom 22Similar
Q4 14:17
2ND & 7
OPP 22
+15
99.5%
Marcus McMaryion run for 15 yds to the Wyom 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:17
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
0
99.5%
Josh Hokit run for no gain to the Wyom 7Similar
Q4 14:17
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
0
99.5%
Marcus McMaryion pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:17
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
+6
99.5%
Marcus McMaryion pass complete to Jordan Mims for 6 yds to the Wyom 1Similar
Q4 14:17
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
0
99.4%
Marcus McMaryion pass incomplete to Jared Rice, broken up by Cassh MaluiaSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 19PUNT
9 plays · 47 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q4 9:11
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+5
99.0%
Nico Evans run for 5 yds to the Wyom 6Similar
Q4 9:11
2ND & 5
OWN 6
0
99.0%
Nico Evans run for no gain to the Wyom 6Similar
Q4 9:11
3RD & 5
OWN 6
+6
99.1%
Tyler Vander Waal run for 6 yds to the Wyom 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:11
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+15
99.0%
VANDER WAAL, T. pass incomplete to SCOTT, Jared, PENALTY FS pass interference (BRYANT, Jaron) 15 yards to the WY27, 1ST DOWN WY, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 9:11
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+17
98.9%
Tyler Vander Waal pass complete to Jared Scott for 17 yds to the Wyom 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:11
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+4
98.9%
Tyler Vander Waal run for 4 yds to the Wyom 48Similar
Q4 9:11
2ND & 6
OWN 48
0
98.9%
Nico Evans run for no gain to the Wyom 48Similar
Q4 9:11
3RD & 6
OWN 48
0
98.9%
Tyler Vander Waal pass incomplete to Nico EvansSimilar
Q4 9:11
4TH & 6
OWN 48
0
98.9%
Dontae Crow punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Ronnie Rivers at the FrsSt 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FRESDrive 20PUNT
7 plays · 13 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 5:28
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+4
99.7%
Josh Hokit run for 4 yds to the FrsSt 15Similar
Q4 5:28
2ND & 6
OWN 15
-4
99.7%
Jorge Reyna run for a loss of 4 yards to the FrsSt 16 Jorge Reyna fumbled, recovered by FrsSt Jorge ReynaSimilar
Q4 5:28
3RD & 5
OWN 16
+5
99.7%
Josh Hokit run for 5 yds to the FrsSt 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:28
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
99.7%
Josh Hokit run for no gain to the FrsSt 21Similar
Q4 5:28
2ND & 10
OWN 21
+2
99.7%
Jordan Mims run for 2 yds to the FrsSt 23Similar
Q4 5:28
3RD & 8
OWN 23
+1
99.7%
Jordan Mims run for 1 yd to the FrsSt 24Similar
Q4 5:28
4TH & 7
OWN 24
0
99.7%
Blake Cusick punt for 51 yds, downed at the Wyom 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 21DOWNS
5 plays · 33 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q4 0:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+25
99.4%
Tyler Vander Waal pass complete to Raghib Ismail Jr. for 25 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:50
1ST & 10
50
0
99.4%
Tyler Vander Waal pass incomplete to Raghib Ismail Jr.Similar
Q4 0:50
2ND & 10
50
0
99.4%
Tyler Vander Waal pass incomplete to Tyree Mayfield, broken up by Dorrzel HicksSimilar
Q4 0:50
3RD & 10
50
+8
99.4%
Tyler Vander Waal run for 8 yds to the FrsSt 42Similar
Q4 0:50
4TH & 2
OPP 42
0
99.3%
Tyler Vander Waal pass incomplete to Tyree MayfieldSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FRESDrive 22END OF GAME
1 play · -2 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 0:11
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-2
99.8%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the FrsSt 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 9:20
Marcus McMaryion pass complete to David Tangipa for 3 yds for a TD (Asa Fuller KICK)
+6.8
TD · Q2 0:52
Marcus McMaryion run for 1 yd for a TD (Asa Fuller KICK)
+3.6
TD · Q3 3:11
Marcus McMaryion run for 6 yds for a TD (Asa Fuller KICK)
+2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com