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UNLV

UNLV 28 at Utah State 59

USU
2018 · Week 7 · Oct 13, 2018 · Maverik Stadium
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Win probability · USU
modelUSU aheadUNLV aheadconfidence bandkey playUSU scoreUNLV score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 4:19 · Taylor Hintze punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Mekhi Stevenson at the UNLV 9
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+45.0+22.50−22.5−45.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 139Pregame prior+19.8Home team on offense+33.5Score differential+23.1Blowout margin+10.1Garbage-time factor+11.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+9.6
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 5:38: Lexington Thomas run for 1 yd for a TD (Evan Pantels KICK) — UNLV win probability +2.0 pts (now 9%) (top driver: UNLV has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 3:17: Jordan Love pass complete to Jordan Nathan for 24 yds for a TD (Dominik Eberle KICK) — USU win probability +0.4 pts (now 92%) (top driver: USU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q1 0:22: Jordan Love pass complete to Jalen Greene for 80 yds for a TD UNLV Penalty, Defensive offside ( Yards) declined (Dominik Eberle KICK) — USU win probability +1.5 pts (now 92%) (top driver: USU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 13:48: Jordan Love pass complete to Savon Scarver for 26 yds for a TD (Dominik Eberle KICK) — USU win probability +1.8 pts (now 94%) (top driver: USU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q2 9:27: Darwin Thompson run for 7 yds for a TD (Dominik Eberle KICK) — USU win probability +1.8 pts (now 98%) (top driver: USU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
USU made the numbers' call on 5 of 7UNLV made the numbers' call on 8 of 11
  1. Q1 12:41USU 4th & 8 at UNLV 10, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 94.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.5%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    94.6%
    88% to make
    Punt
    94.1%−0.5
    average punt
  2. Q1 12:41UNLV 4th & 9 at USU 39, tied
    Close callPunted · 5.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.5%
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    5.4%−<0.1
    36% to make
    PuntTheir call
    5.4%−<0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 10:05USU 4th & 6 at USU 5, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 93.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.8%−0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    93.9%
    average punt
  4. Q1 3:17UNLV 4th & 9 at USU 45, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 8.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.0%−<0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    7.9%−0.1
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    8.1%
    average punt
  5. Q2 11:35UNLV 4th & 17 at UNLV 41, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.7%−0.7
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.4%
    average punt
  6. Q2 11:35UNLV 4th & 17 at UNLV 18, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.1%−0.5
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.6%
    average punt
  7. Q2 6:05UNLV 4th & 18 at USU 42, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.6%−0.5
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    0.9%−0.2
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    1.1%
    average punt
  8. Q3 14:54UNLV 4th & 4 at UNLV 44, down 35
    Close callPunted · 0.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.6%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.6%−<0.1
    average punt
  9. Q3 9:15USU 4th & 3 at UNLV 18, up 35
    Close callKicked a field goal · 99.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.7%
    51% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.6%−<0.1
    79% to make
    Punt
    99.2%−0.5
    average punt
  10. Q3 9:15UNLV 4th & 18 at UNLV 27, down 35
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−0.2
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.4%
    average punt
  11. Q3 5:11UNLV 4th & 17 at UNLV 18, down 35
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−0.2
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.3%
    average punt
  12. Q3 4:19USU 4th & 1 at UNLV 47, up 35
    Close callPunted · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.6%−0.2
    average punt
  13. Q3 3:33UNLV 4th & 11 at UNLV 23, down 35
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−0.1
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.3%
    average punt
  14. Q4 15:00USU 4th & 10 at USU 30, up 35
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
  15. Q4 10:25UNLV 4th & 8 at USU 10, down 35
    Close callWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%−<0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    0.1%
    88% to make
    Punt
    -0.2%−0.3
    average punt
  16. Q4 10:20USU 4th & 7 at USU 13, up 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%−0.1
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
  17. Q4 8:52UNLV 4th & 2 at USU 43, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    0.0%−0.1
    28% to make
    Punt
    0.0%−0.1
    average punt
  18. Q4 3:15USU 4th & 7 at UNLV 7, up 28
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%−<0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.9%
    91% to make
    Punt
    99.5%−0.4
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
USU made the numbers' call on 7 of 7UNLV made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 5:38UNLV Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    8.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    8.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 3:17USU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 0:22USU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 13:48USU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 9:27USU Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 0:18USU Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 7:00UNLV Touchdown, down 29 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 5:11USU Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 10:25UNLV Touchdown, down 29 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 2:58UNLV Touchdown, down 25 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  11. Q4 1:55USU Touchdown, up 30 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
USUDrive 1MISSED FG
9 plays · 55 yds · 2:1995% → 94%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+20
94.8%
Jordan Love run for 20 yds to the UNLV 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+16
94.8%
Jordan Love pass complete to Darwin Thompson for 16 yds to the UNLV 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+9
94.8%
Jordan Love pass complete to Jalen Greene for 9 yds to the UNLV 20Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 1
OPP 20
+8
94.8%
Darwin Thompson run for 8 yds to the UNLV 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+5
94.8%
Darwin Thompson run for 5 yds to the UNLV 7Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 7
-3
94.8%
Darwin Thompson run for a loss of 3 yards to the UNLV 10Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 8
OPP 10
0
94.8%
Jordan Love pass incomplete to Jalen Greene, broken up by Jericho FlowersSimilar
Q1 12:41
4TH & 8
OPP 10
+27
94.3%
Dominik Eberle 27 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 2PUNT
7 plays · 41 yds · 0:006% → 6%
Q1 12:41
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+7
94.3%
Max Gilliam run for 7 yds to the UNLV 27Similar
Q1 12:41
2ND & 3
OWN 27
+10
94.3%
Max Gilliam pass complete to Darren Woods Jr. for 10 yds to the UNLV 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:41
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+23
94.3%
Lexington Thomas run for 23 yds to the UthSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:41
1ST & 10
OPP 40
-1
94.2%
Lexington Thomas run for a loss of 1 yard to the UthSt 41Similar
Q1 12:41
2ND & 11
OPP 41
0
94.2%
Max Gilliam pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:41
3RD & 11
OPP 41
+2
94.3%
Lexington Thomas run for 2 yds to the UthSt 39Similar
Q1 12:41
4TH & 9
OPP 39
0
94.3%
Hayes Hicken punt for 38 yds, downed at the UthSt 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:0094% → 94%
Q1 10:05
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+3
93.7%
Gerold Bright run for 3 yds to the UthSt 4Similar
Q1 10:05
2ND & 7
OWN 4
+1
93.7%
Jordan Love run for 1 yd to the UthSt 5Similar
Q1 10:05
3RD & 6
OWN 5
0
93.6%
Jordan Love pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:05
4TH & 6
OWN 5
0
93.6%
Taylor Hintze punt for 52 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the UNLV 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 4TD
11 plays · 57 yds · 2:567% → 9%
Q1 8:34
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+9
93.1%
Xzaviar Campbell run for 9 yds to the UthSt 48Similar
Q1 8:34
2ND & 1
OPP 48
-5
93.0%
UNLV Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the UNLV 47Similar
Q1 8:34
2ND & 6
OWN 47
0
93.1%
Max Gilliam pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:34
3RD & 6
OWN 47
+18
93.1%
Max Gilliam pass complete to Tyleek Collins for 18 yds to the UthSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:34
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+6
93.0%
Max Gilliam pass complete to Evan Owens for 6 yds to the UthSt 29Similar
Q1 8:34
2ND & 4
OPP 29
+1
93.0%
Max Gilliam run for 1 yd to the UthSt 28Similar
Q1 8:34
3RD & 3
OPP 28
-5
93.1%
UNLV Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the UthSt 33Similar
Q1 8:34
3RD & 8
OPP 33
+19
93.1%
Max Gilliam pass complete to Brandon Presley for 19 yds to the UthSt 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:34
1ST & 10
OPP 14
0
93.0%
Max Gilliam pass incomplete to Brandon PresleySimilar
Q1 8:34
2ND & 10
OPP 14
+13
93.0%
Tyleek Collins run for 13 yds to the UthSt 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:38
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
91.0%
Lexington Thomas run for 1 yd for a TD (Evan Pantels KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 5TD
9 plays · 65 yds · 2:2191% → 92%
Q1 5:38
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+5
91.4%
Jordan Love pass complete to Jalen Greene for 5 yds to the UthSt 40Similar
Q1 5:38
2ND & 5
OWN 40
0
91.6%
Jordan Love pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:38
3RD & 5
OWN 40
+6
91.5%
Jordan Love pass complete to Jalen Greene for 6 yds to the UthSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:38
1ST & 10
OWN 46
-7
91.6%
Darwin Thompson run for a loss of 7 yards to the UthSt 39Similar
Q1 5:38
2ND & 17
OWN 39
+5
91.4%
Jordan Love pass complete to Taylor Compton for 5 yds to the UthSt 44Similar
Q1 5:38
3RD & 12
OWN 44
+32
91.3%
Jordan Love pass complete to Jalen Greene for 32 yds to the UNLV 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:38
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
91.8%
Jordan Love pass incomplete to Ron'quavion TarverSimilar
Q1 3:17
2ND & 10
OPP 24
+24
92.2%
Jordan Love pass complete to Jordan Nathan for 24 yds for a TD (Dominik Eberle KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 6PUNT
6 plays · 30 yds · 0:008% → 8%
Q1 3:17
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+29
91.6%
Evan Owens run for 29 yds to the UthSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:17
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
91.3%
Xzaviar Campbell run for no gain to the UthSt 46Similar
Q1 3:17
2ND & 10
OPP 46
+2
91.3%
Max Gilliam pass complete to Brandon Presley for 2 yds to the UthSt 44Similar
Q1 3:17
3RD & 8
OPP 44
-1
91.3%
Max Gilliam pass complete to Giovanni Fauolo for a loss of 1 yard to the UthSt 45Similar
Q1 3:17
4TH & 9
OPP 45
0
91.7%
Hayes Hicken punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Jordan Nathan at the UthSt 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 7TD
3 plays · 92 yds · 0:2791% → 92%
Q1 0:49
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+12
90.9%
Jordan Love pass complete to Gerold Bright for 12 yds to the UthSt 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:49
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
91.0%
Jordan Love pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 0:22
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+80
92.4%
Jordan Love pass complete to Jalen Greene for 80 yds for a TD UNLV Penalty, Defensive offside ( Yards) declined (Dominik Eberle KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 8INT
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:228% → 8%
Q1 0:22
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
92.3%
Max Gilliam pass complete to Brandon Presley for 6 yds to the UNLV 31Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+1
92.1%
Xzaviar Campbell run for 1 yd to the UNLV 32Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 3
OWN 32
0
92.2%
Max Gilliam pass intercepted Jontrell Rocquemore return for no gain to the UNLV 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 9TD
2 plays · 38 yds · 0:2493% → 94%
Q2 14:12
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+12
92.6%
Jordan Love pass complete to Aaren Vaughns for 12 yds to the UNLV 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:48
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+26
94.4%
Jordan Love pass complete to Savon Scarver for 26 yds for a TD (Dominik Eberle KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 10PUNT TD
6 plays · 16 yds · 2:136% → 4%
Q2 13:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+23
93.7%
Lexington Thomas run for 8 yds to the UNLV 33 for a 1ST down UTAH ST Penalty, personal foul (Tipa Galeai) to the UNLV 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:48
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
93.5%
Max Gilliam pass incomplete to Brandon PresleySimilar
Q2 13:48
2ND & 10
OWN 48
+2
93.6%
Max Gilliam pass complete to Drew Tejchman for 2 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 13:48
3RD & 8
50
-9
93.6%
Max Gilliam sacked by Logan Lee for a loss of 9 yards to the UNLV 41Similar
Q2 11:35
4TH & 17
OWN 41
+16
96.4%
Hayes Hicken punt blocked by Deven Thompkins blocked by Deven Thompkins Baron Gajkowski return for 16 yds for a TD (Dominik Eberle KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 11PUNT
5 plays · -7 yds · 0:004% → 4%
Q2 11:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
96.3%
Lexington Thomas run for no gain to the UNLV 25Similar
Q2 11:35
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
96.3%
Max Gilliam pass incomplete to Tyleek Collins, broken up by Ja'Marcus IngramSimilar
Q2 11:35
3RD & 10
OWN 25
-7
96.4%
Max Gilliam sacked by Tipa Galeai for a loss of 7 yards to the UNLV 18 UNLV Penalty, personal foul ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q2 11:35
4TH & 17
OWN 18
+7
96.4%
Hayes Hicken punt for 35 yds , Jordan Nathan returns for 7 yds to the UNLV 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 12TD
5 plays · 46 yds · 0:5997% → 98%
Q2 10:26
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+10
96.6%
Jordan Love pass complete to Ron'quavion Tarver for 10 yds to the UNLV 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:26
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+15
96.6%
LOVE, JORDAN pass incomplete to TARVER, R., PENALTY UNLV pass interference (PERRY,Alex) 15 yards to the UNLV21, 1ST DOWN USU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 10:26
1ST & 10
OPP 21
-7
96.6%
Darwin Thompson run for a loss of 7 yards to the UNLV 28Similar
Q2 10:26
2ND & 17
OPP 28
+21
96.6%
Jordan Love run for 21 yds to the UNLV 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:27
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
98.4%
Darwin Thompson run for 7 yds for a TD (Dominik Eberle KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 13PUNT
11 plays · 33 yds · 3:222% → 1%
Q2 9:27
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
98.2%
Tyleek Collins run for 7 yds to the UNLV 32Similar
Q2 9:27
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+2
98.1%
Lexington Thomas run for 2 yds to the UNLV 34Similar
Q2 9:27
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+2
98.1%
Lexington Thomas run for 2 yds to the UNLV 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:27
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+5
98.2%
Xzaviar Campbell run for 5 yds to the UNLV 41Similar
Q2 9:27
2ND & 5
OWN 41
+25
98.0%
Max Gilliam run for 25 yds to the UthSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:27
1ST & 10
OPP 34
-1
98.0%
Lexington Thomas run for a loss of 1 yard to the UthSt 35Similar
Q2 9:27
2ND & 11
OPP 35
+1
98.0%
Max Gilliam pass complete to Lexington Thomas for 1 yd to the UthSt 34Similar
Q2 6:05
3RD & 10
OPP 34
-8
98.9%
Max Gilliam sacked by David Woodward for a loss of 8 yards to the UthSt 42Similar
Q2 6:05
4TH & 18
OPP 42
+6
99.0%
Hayes Hicken punt for 38 yds , Jordan Nathan returns for 6 yds to the UthSt 36 UNLV Penalty, personal foul (-15 Yards) to the UthSt 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 14TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 4:5799% → 99%
Q2 5:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
98.9%
Gerold Bright run for 4 yds to the UthSt 29Similar
Q2 5:15
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+31
98.9%
Jordan Love pass complete to Aaren Vaughns for 31 yds to the UNLV 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:15
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+5
98.9%
Gerold Bright run for 5 yds to the UNLV 35Similar
Q2 5:15
2ND & 5
OPP 35
+12
98.9%
Jordan Love pass complete to Carson Terrell for 12 yds to the UNLV 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:15
1ST & 10
OPP 23
-3
98.9%
Jordan Love run for a loss of 3 yards to the UNLV 26Similar
Q2 5:15
2ND & 13
OPP 26
+2
98.9%
Gerold Bright run for 2 yds to the UNLV 24Similar
Q2 5:15
3RD & 11
OPP 24
+11
98.9%
Gerold Bright run for 11 yds to the UNLV 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:15
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+3
98.9%
Gerold Bright run for 3 yds to the UNLV 10Similar
Q2 5:15
2ND & 7
OPP 10
+3
98.9%
Gerold Bright run for 3 yds to the UNLV 7Similar
Q2 0:18
3RD & 4
OPP 7
+7
99.4%
Jordan Love pass complete to Ron'quavion Tarver for 7 yds for a TD (Dominik Eberle KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 15END OF HALF
3 plays · 13 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q2 0:18
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
99.4%
Lexington Thomas run for 12 yds to the UNLV 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:18
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+1
99.4%
Lexington Thomas run for 1 yd to the UNLV 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 16PUNT
10 plays · 29 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+2
99.4%
Lexington Thomas run for 2 yds to the UNLV 17Similar
Q3 14:54
2ND & 8
OWN 17
0
99.4%
Max Gilliam pass incomplete to Tyleek CollinsSimilar
Q3 14:54
3RD & 8
OWN 17
+11
99.4%
Max Gilliam pass complete to Tyleek Collins for 11 yds to the UNLV 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+7
99.4%
Max Gilliam pass complete to Darren Woods Jr. for 7 yds to the UNLV 35Similar
Q3 14:54
2ND & 3
OWN 35
+3
99.4%
Charles Williams run for 3 yds to the UNLV 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
99.4%
Max Gilliam pass incomplete to Brandon PresleySimilar
Q3 14:54
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+5
99.4%
Charles Williams run for 5 yds to the UNLV 43Similar
Q3 14:54
3RD & 5
OWN 43
+1
99.4%
Charles Williams run for 1 yd to the UNLV 44Similar
Q3 14:54
4TH & 4
OWN 44
+7
99.4%
Hayes Hicken punt for 41 yds , Jordan Nathan returns for 7 yds to the UTAHST 49 UNLV Penalty, Defensive holding (-10 Yards) to the UthSt 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 17MISSED FG
9 plays · 50 yds · 3:03100% → 100%
Q3 12:18
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+9
99.6%
Darwin Thompson run for 9 yds to the UthSt 41Similar
Q3 12:18
2ND & 1
OWN 41
+5
99.6%
Darwin Thompson run for 5 yds to the UthSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:18
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
99.6%
Jordan Love pass incomplete to Ron'quavion TarverSimilar
Q3 12:18
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+29
99.6%
Darwin Thompson run for 29 yds to the UNLV 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:18
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+4
99.6%
Darwin Thompson run for 4 yds to the UNLV 21Similar
Q3 12:18
2ND & 6
OPP 21
-5
99.6%
UTAH ST Penalty, false start (Sean Taylor) to the UNLV 26Similar
Q3 12:18
2ND & 11
OPP 26
+6
99.6%
Jordan Love pass complete to Ron'quavion Tarver for 6 yds to the UNLV 20Similar
Q3 12:18
3RD & 5
OPP 20
+2
99.6%
Darwin Thompson run for 2 yds to the UNLV 18Similar
Q3 9:15
4TH & 3
OPP 18
+35
99.7%
Dominik Eberle 35 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 18PUNT
6 plays · 7 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 9:15
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+15
99.6%
GILLIAM,Max pass incomplete to COLLINS,Tyleek, PENALTY USU pass interference (WILLIAMS, D.J.) 15 yards to the UNLV35, 1ST DOWN UNLV, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 9:15
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-5
99.6%
UNLV Penalty, false start (Justin Polu) to the UNLV 30Similar
Q3 9:15
1ST & 15
OWN 30
-10
99.6%
Max Gilliam sacked by Fua Leilua for a loss of 10 yards to the UNLV 20Similar
Q3 9:15
2ND & 25
OWN 20
+7
99.7%
Charles Williams run for 7 yds to the UNLV 27Similar
Q3 9:15
3RD & 18
OWN 27
0
99.7%
Max Gilliam pass incomplete to Brandon Presley, broken up by Aaron WadeSimilar
Q3 9:15
4TH & 18
OWN 27
0
99.7%
Hayes Hicken punt for 41 yds , Jordan Nathan returns for no gain to the UthSt 26 Jordan Nathan fumbled, forced by Bailey Laolagi, recovered by UNLV Evan AustrieSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 19TD
3 plays · 26 yds · 0:350% → 0%
Q3 7:35
1ST & 10
OPP 26
-5
99.7%
UNLV Penalty, false start (Sid Acosta) to the UthSt 31Similar
Q3 7:35
1ST & 15
OPP 31
+6
99.7%
Xzaviar Campbell run for 6 yds to the UthSt 25Similar
Q3 7:00
2ND & 9
OPP 25
+25
99.6%
Max Gilliam pass complete to Darren Woods Jr. for 25 yds for a TD (Evan Pantels KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 20TD
6 plays · 70 yds · 1:49100% → 100%
Q3 7:00
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+7
99.7%
Gerold Bright run for 7 yds to the UthSt 37Similar
Q3 7:00
2ND & 3
OWN 37
+28
99.7%
Gerold Bright run for 28 yds to the UNLV 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:00
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+2
99.8%
Gerold Bright run for 2 yds to the UNLV 33Similar
Q3 7:00
2ND & 8
OPP 33
+4
99.8%
Gerold Bright run for 4 yds to the UNLV 29Similar
Q3 5:11
3RD & 4
OPP 29
+29
99.8%
Jordan Love pass complete to Ron'quavion Tarver for 29 yds for a TD UNLV Penalty, Defensive pass interference ( Yards) declined (Dominik Eberle KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 21PUNT
5 plays · -7 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 5:11
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.8%
Max Gilliam pass incomplete to Darren Woods Jr.Similar
Q3 5:11
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
99.8%
Max Gilliam pass incomplete to Mekhi Stevenson, broken up by Ja'Marcus IngramSimilar
Q3 5:11
3RD & 10
OWN 25
-7
99.8%
Max Gilliam sacked by David Woodward for a loss of 7 yards to the UNLV 18Similar
Q3 5:11
4TH & 17
OWN 18
0
99.8%
Hayes Hicken punt for 38 yds , Jordan Nathan returns for no gain to the UthSt 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 22PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q3 4:19
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
99.8%
Eltoro Allen run for no gain to the UthSt 44Similar
Q3 4:19
2ND & 10
OWN 44
+9
99.8%
Henry Colombi pass complete to Eltoro Allen for 9 yds to the UNLV 47Similar
Q3 4:19
3RD & 1
OPP 47
0
99.8%
Henry Colombi pass incomplete to Taylor Compton, broken up by Javin WhiteSimilar
Q3 4:19
4TH & 1
OPP 47
0
99.8%
Taylor Hintze punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Mekhi Stevenson at the UNLV 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 23PUNT
7 plays · 14 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 3:33
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+3
99.8%
Charles Williams run for 3 yds to the UNLV 12Similar
Q3 3:33
2ND & 7
OWN 12
+3
99.8%
Charles Williams run for 3 yds to the UNLV 15Similar
Q3 3:33
3RD & 4
OWN 15
+9
99.8%
Max Gilliam pass complete to Darren Woods Jr. for 9 yds to the UNLV 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:33
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+3
99.8%
Charles Williams run for 3 yds to the UNLV 27Similar
Q3 3:33
2ND & 7
OWN 27
-5
99.8%
Charles Williams run for a loss of 5 yards to the UNLV 22 Charles Williams fumbled, recovered by UNLV Charles WilliamsSimilar
Q3 3:33
3RD & 12
OWN 22
+1
99.8%
Evan Owens run for 1 yd to the UNLV 23Similar
Q3 3:33
4TH & 11
OWN 23
0
99.8%
Hayes Hicken punt for 47 yds , Deven Thompkins returns for no gain to the UthSt 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 24PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:14100% → 100%
Q3 0:14
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+4
99.8%
Henry Colombi run for 4 yds to the UthSt 34Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 34
-5
99.8%
Henry Colombi pass complete to Jordan Nathan for a loss of 5 yards to the UthSt 29Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 11
OWN 29
+1
99.8%
Henry Colombi pass complete to Devin Heckstall for 1 yd to the UthSt 30Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 10
OWN 30
0
99.8%
Taylor Hintze punt for 48 yds, downed at the UNLV 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 25TD
12 plays · 78 yds · 3:150% → 0%
Q4 13:40
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+2
99.9%
Charles Williams run for 2 yds to the UNLV 24Similar
Q4 13:40
2ND & 8
OWN 24
0
99.9%
Max Gilliam pass incomplete to Drew Tejchman, broken up by Shaquez BondSimilar
Q4 13:40
3RD & 8
OWN 24
+31
99.9%
Max Gilliam pass complete to Tyleek Collins for 31 yds to the UthSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:40
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+3
99.9%
Evan Owens run for 3 yds to the UthSt 42Similar
Q4 13:40
2ND & 7
OPP 42
+17
99.9%
Evan Owens run for 2 yds to the UthSt 40 for a 1ST down UTAH ST Penalty, personal foul (Dalton Baker) to the UthSt 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:40
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+1
99.9%
Xzaviar Campbell run for 1 yd to the UthSt 24Similar
Q4 13:40
2ND & 9
OPP 24
0
99.9%
Max Gilliam pass incomplete to Tyleek Collins, broken up by Deante FortenberrySimilar
Q4 13:40
3RD & 9
OPP 24
+12
99.9%
Evan Owens run for 12 yds to the UthSt 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:40
1ST & 10
OPP 12
0
99.9%
Max Gilliam pass incomplete to Brandon Presley, broken up by Deante FortenberrySimilar
Q4 13:40
2ND & 10
OPP 12
0
99.9%
Max Gilliam pass incomplete to Darren Woods Jr.Similar
Q4 13:40
3RD & 10
OPP 12
+2
99.9%
Max Gilliam pass complete to Darren Woods Jr. for 2 yds to the UthSt 10Similar
Q4 10:25
4TH & 8
OPP 10
+10
99.9%
Max Gilliam pass complete to Drew Tejchman for 10 yds for a TD (Evan Pantels KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 26PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 10:20
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+1
99.9%
Eltoro Allen run for 1 yd to the UthSt 11Similar
Q4 10:20
2ND & 9
OWN 11
+2
99.9%
Eltoro Allen run for 2 yds to the UthSt 13Similar
Q4 10:20
3RD & 7
OWN 13
0
99.9%
Henry Colombi pass incomplete to Taylor ComptonSimilar
Q4 10:20
4TH & 7
OWN 13
0
99.9%
Zach Lee punt for 38 yds, downed at the UNLV 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 27DOWNS
5 plays · 8 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 8:52
1ST & 10
OWN 49
-5
99.9%
UNLV Penalty, false start (Nathan Jacobson) to the UNLV 44Similar
Q4 8:52
1ST & 15
OWN 44
+1
99.9%
Evan Owens run for 1 yd to the UNLV 45Similar
Q4 8:52
2ND & 14
OWN 45
+13
99.9%
Max Gilliam run for 13 yds to the UthSt 42Similar
Q4 8:52
3RD & 1
OPP 42
-1
99.9%
Charles Williams run for a loss of 1 yard to the UthSt 43Similar
Q4 8:52
4TH & 2
OPP 43
0
99.9%
Charles Williams run for no gain to the UthSt 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 28FG
10 plays · 50 yds · 3:48100% → 100%
Q4 7:03
1ST & 10
OWN 43
-1
99.9%
Morian Walker Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the UthSt 42Similar
Q4 7:03
2ND & 11
OWN 42
+38
99.9%
Henry Colombi pass complete to Savon Scarver for 38 yds to the UNLV 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:03
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+4
99.9%
Morian Walker Jr. run for 4 yds to the UNLV 16Similar
Q4 7:03
2ND & 6
OPP 16
+5
99.9%
Morian Walker Jr. run for 5 yds to the UNLV 11Similar
Q4 7:03
3RD & 1
OPP 11
+4
99.9%
Morian Walker Jr. run for 4 yds to the UNLV 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:03
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
-5
99.9%
UTAH ST Penalty, false start (Savon Scarver) to the UNLV 12Similar
Q4 7:03
1ST & GOAL
OPP 12
+5
99.9%
Eltoro Allen run for 5 yds to the UNLV 7Similar
Q4 7:03
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
0
99.9%
Eltoro Allen run for no gain to the UNLV 7Similar
Q4 7:03
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
0
99.9%
Henry Colombi pass incomplete to Devin HeckstallSimilar
Q4 3:15
4TH & GOAL
OPP 7
+24
99.9%
Dominik Eberle 24 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 29TD
2 plays · 79 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q4 2:58
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+79
99.5%
Max Gilliam pass complete to Tyleek Collins for 79 yds for a TD (Evan Pantels KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 30TD
5 plays · 46 yds · 1:02100% → 100%
Q4 2:57
1ST & 10
OPP 46
-3
99.6%
Justen Hervey run for a loss of 3 yards to the UNLV 49Similar
Q4 2:52
2ND & 13
OPP 49
+12
99.6%
Henry Colombi pass complete to Deven Thompkins for 12 yds to the UNLV 37Similar
Q4 1:55
3RD & 1
OPP 37
+37
100.0%
Henry Colombi run for 37 yds for a TD (Dominik Eberle KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 31END OF GAME
8 plays · 0 yds · 0:140% → 0%
Q4 1:47
1ST & 10
OWN 18
0
100.0%
Max Gilliam pass incomplete to Tyleek CollinsSimilar
Q4 1:47
2ND & 10
OWN 18
0
100.0%
Max Gilliam pass incomplete to Kendal KeysSimilar
Q4 1:33
3RD & 10
OWN 18
+13
100.0%
Max Gilliam pass complete to Drew Tejchman for 13 yds to the UNLV 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:33
1ST & 10
OWN 31
-5
100.0%
Max Gilliam sacked by Jacoby Wildman for a loss of 5 yards to the UNLV 26Similar
Q4 1:33
2ND & 15
OWN 26
0
100.0%
Max Gilliam pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:33
3RD & 15
OWN 26
-8
100.0%
Max Gilliam sacked by David Woodward for a loss of 8 yards to the UNLV 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q1 5:38
Lexington Thomas run for 1 yd for a TD (Evan Pantels KICK)
-2
TD · Q2 13:48
Jordan Love pass complete to Savon Scarver for 26 yds for a TD (Dominik Eberle KICK)
+1.8
TD · Q2 9:27
Darwin Thompson run for 7 yds for a TD (Dominik Eberle KICK)
+1.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com