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UNM

New Mexico 50 at UNLV 14

UNLV
2018 · Week 6 · Oct 6, 2018 · Sam Boyd Stadium
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Win probability · UNLV
modelUNLV aheadUNM aheadconfidence bandkey playUNLV scoreUNM score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 12:05 · Tyson Dyer punt for 42 yds
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialPregame priorGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+56.0+28.00−28.0−56.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 20Home team on offense−0.2Score differential−0.2Pregame prior+20.3Garbage-time factor+0.0Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 9:34: Tyrone Owens run for 1 yd for a TD (Andrew Shelley PAT MISSED) — UNM win probability +8.8 pts (now 48%) (top driver: UNM has the ball).
  2. FG · Q2 4:37: Andrew Shelley 43 yd FG GOOD — UNM win probability +11.0 pts (now 59%) (top driver: UNM has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 2:56: Sheriron Jones pass complete to Elijah Lilly for 74 yds for a TD (Andrew Shelley KICK) — UNM win probability +12.1 pts (now 73%) (top driver: UNM has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 0:17: Sheriron Jones pass complete to Anselem Umeh for 26 yds for a TD (Andrew Shelley KICK) — UNM win probability +6.3 pts (now 85%) (top driver: UNM has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 2:25: Sheriron Jones pass complete to Emmanuel Harris for 33 yds for a TD (Andrew Shelley KICK) — UNM win probability +4.3 pts (now 99%) (top driver: UNM has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UNLV made the numbers' call on 8 of 12UNM made the numbers' call on 5 of 6
  1. Q1 15:00UNM 4th & 8 at UNM 37, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 28.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.5%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    28.6%
    average punt
  2. Q1 12:57UNLV 4th & 13 at UNLV 34, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 71.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    71.0%−0.2
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    71.1%
    average punt
  3. Q1 12:05UNM 4th & 5 at UNM 46, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 29.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.0%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    29.0%
    average punt
  4. Q1 8:44UNLV 4th & 2 at UNLV 20, tied
    Close callPunted · 69.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    69.9%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    69.8%−0.1
    average punt
  5. Q1 6:54UNM 4th & 7 at UNM 46, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 30.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.1%−0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    30.2%
    average punt
  6. Q2 14:57UNLV 4th & 10 at UNLV 25, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 63.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    63.5%−0.9
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    64.4%
    average punt
  7. Q2 9:34UNLV 4th & 19 at UNLV 16, down 12
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 53.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    51.4%−2.0
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    53.4%
    average punt
  8. Q2 4:37UNM 4th & 8 at UNLV 26, up 12
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 50.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.4%−0.6
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    50.0%
    64% to make
    Punt
    44.4%−5.6
    average punt
  9. Q2 4:37UNLV 4th & 5 at UNLV 30, down 15
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 43.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.2%−0.4
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    43.6%
    average punt
  10. Q2 2:56UNLV 4th & 13 at UNLV 40, down 22
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 31.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.6%−2.4
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    30.9%
    average punt
  11. Q3 15:00UNLV 4th & 18 at UNLV 17, down 29
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 9.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.7%−0.2
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.9%
    average punt
  12. Q3 11:39UNLV 4th & 7 at UNLV 43, down 29
    Close callWent for it · 7.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    7.1%−0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    7.1%
    average punt
  13. Q3 11:39UNLV 4th & 17 at midfield, down 29
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.3%−0.1
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.4%
    average punt
  14. Q4 15:00UNLV 4th & 17 at UNM 34, down 36
    Close callWent for it · 0.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.6%−0.1
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    0.7%
    47% to make
    Punt
    0.7%−0.1
    average punt
  15. Q4 14:46UNM 4th & 7 at UNLV 43, up 29
    Close callPunted · 98.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.6%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    98.5%−0.1
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    98.6%−<0.1
    average punt
  16. Q4 11:02UNLV 4th & 15 at UNLV 16, down 36
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.3%−0.1
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.4%
    average punt
  17. Q4 4:43UNLV 4th & 11 at UNM 36, down 36
    Close callWent for it · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.2%−<0.1
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    0.2%−<0.1
    42% to make
    Punt
    0.2%
    average punt
  18. Q4 3:28UNM 4th & 1 at UNM 45, up 36
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.8%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    99.7%−0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UNLV made the numbers' call on 2 of 2UNM made the numbers' call on 7 of 7
  1. Q2 14:57UNM Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    36.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    36.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 9:34UNM Touchdown, up 12 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    47.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    47.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 2:56UNM Touchdown, up 21 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    70.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    70.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 0:17UNM Touchdown, up 28 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    90.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    90.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 2:25UNM Touchdown, up 35 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 14:46UNLV Touchdown, down 30 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    1.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    1.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 11:07UNM Touchdown, up 35 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 7:57UNM Touchdown, up 42 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 4:43UNLV Touchdown, down 37 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UNMDrive 1PUNT
7 plays · 12 yds · 0:0029% → 29%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
71.3%
Tyrone Owens run for 8 yds to the NMex 33Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+2
71.3%
Sheriron Jones run for 2 yds to the NMex 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
71.3%
Tyrone Owens run for 2 yds to the NMex 37Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 37
0
71.3%
Tyrone Owens run for no gain to the NMex 37Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 8
OWN 37
0
71.3%
Sheriron Jones pass incomplete to Elijah LillySimilar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 8
OWN 37
0
71.3%
Tyson Dyer punt for 26 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the UNLV 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · -3 yds · 0:0071% → 71%
Q1 12:57
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
71.0%
Max Gilliam pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:57
2ND & 10
OWN 37
-3
71.0%
Max Gilliam run for a loss of 3 yards to the UNLV 34 Max Gilliam fumbled, recovered by UNLV Max GilliamSimilar
Q1 12:57
4TH & 13
OWN 34
0
70.8%
Hayes Hicken punt for 66 yds for a touchbackSimilar
Q1 12:57
3RD & 13
OWN 34
0
70.9%
Max Gilliam pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 3PUNT
9 plays · 26 yds · 0:0029% → 29%
Q1 12:05
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
70.8%
Patrick Reed run for 4 yds to the NMex 24 Patrick Reed fumbled, forced by Javin White,Similar
Q1 12:05
2ND & 6
OWN 24
+6
70.7%
Sheriron Jones run for 6 yds to the NMex 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:05
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+6
70.7%
Ahmari Davis run for 6 yds to the NMex 36Similar
Q1 12:05
2ND & 4
OWN 36
+3
70.6%
Zahneer Shuler run for 3 yds to the NMex 39Similar
Q1 12:05
3RD & 1
OWN 39
+2
70.6%
Ahmari Davis run for 2 yds to the NMex 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:05
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+6
70.6%
Ahmari Davis run for 6 yds to the NMex 47Similar
Q1 12:05
2ND & 4
OWN 47
-1
70.5%
Tyrone Owens run for a loss of 1 yard to the NMex 46Similar
Q1 12:05
3RD & 5
OWN 46
0
70.6%
Sheriron Jones pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:05
4TH & 5
OWN 46
0
70.8%
Tyson Dyer punt for 42 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 0:0070% → 70%
Q1 8:44
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+4
70.0%
Max Gilliam pass complete to Brandon Presley for 4 yds to the UNLV 16Similar
Q1 8:44
2ND & 6
OWN 16
+4
70.0%
Charles Williams run for 4 yds to the UNLV 20Similar
Q1 8:44
3RD & 2
OWN 20
0
69.8%
Lexington Thomas run for no gain to the UNLV 20Similar
Q1 8:44
4TH & 2
OWN 20
0
69.6%
Hayes Hicken punt for 64 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 5PUNT
9 plays · 30 yds · 0:0030% → 30%
Q1 6:54
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+1
69.6%
Patrick Reed run for 1 yd to the NMex 17Similar
Q1 6:54
2ND & 9
OWN 17
+9
69.6%
Sheriron Jones pass complete to Jay Griffin IV for 9 yds to the NMex 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:54
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+3
69.6%
Tyrone Owens run for 3 yds to the NMex 29Similar
Q1 6:54
2ND & 7
OWN 29
+5
69.4%
Tyrone Owens run for 5 yds to the NMex 34Similar
Q1 6:54
3RD & 2
OWN 34
+9
69.4%
Jay Griffin IV run for 9 yds to the NMex 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:54
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+1
69.0%
Tyrone Owens run for 1 yd to the NMex 44Similar
Q1 6:54
2ND & 9
OWN 44
+1
69.1%
Tyrone Owens run for 1 yd to the NMex 45Similar
Q1 6:54
3RD & 8
OWN 45
+1
69.3%
Sheriron Jones pass complete to Delane Hart-Johnson for 1 yd to the NMex 46Similar
Q1 6:54
4TH & 7
OWN 46
0
69.7%
Tyson Dyer punt for 14 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the UNLV 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 6INT
2 plays · 2 yds · 0:0070% → 70%
Q1 2:57
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+2
69.7%
Lexington Thomas run for 2 yds to the UNLV 42Similar
Q1 2:57
2ND & 8
OWN 42
+35
69.8%
Max Gilliam pass intercepted Evahelotu Tohi return for 35 yds to the UNLV 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 7TD
5 plays · 14 yds · 2:1633% → 37%
Q1 2:13
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+7
66.6%
Patrick Reed run for 7 yds to the UNLV 7Similar
Q1 2:13
2ND & 3
OPP 7
+3
66.6%
Zahneer Shuler run for 3 yds to the UNLV 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:13
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+3
66.6%
Sheriron Jones run for 3 yds to the UNLV 1Similar
Q1 2:13
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
66.6%
Tyrone Owens run for no gain to the UNLV 1Similar
Q2 14:57
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
63.0%
Zahneer Shuler run for 1 yd for a TD (Andrew Shelley PAT BLOCKED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 8PUNT
6 plays · 0 yds · 0:0065% → 64%
Q2 14:57
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
64.5%
Tyleek Collins run for 3 yds to the UNLV 28Similar
Q2 14:57
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+2
64.6%
Max Gilliam pass complete to Tyleek Collins for 2 yds to the UNLV 30Similar
Q2 14:57
3RD & 5
OWN 30
-5
64.3%
UNLV Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the UNLV 25Similar
Q2 14:57
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
63.9%
Max Gilliam pass incomplete to Tyleek Collins, broken up by Stanley Barnwell Jr.Similar
Q2 14:57
4TH & 10
OWN 25
+7
63.5%
Hayes Hicken punt for 38 yds , Marcus Hayes returns for 7 yds to the NMex 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 9TD
8 plays · 56 yds · 3:4439% → 48%
Q2 13:18
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+19
61.3%
Elijah Lilly run for 19 yds to the UNLV 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:18
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+2
61.1%
Tyrone Owens run for 2 yds to the UNLV 35Similar
Q2 13:18
2ND & 8
OPP 35
+5
60.9%
Tyrone Owens run for 5 yds to the UNLV 30Similar
Q2 13:18
3RD & 3
OPP 30
+17
61.2%
Sheriron Jones run for 17 yds to the UNLV 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:18
1ST & 10
OPP 13
-3
60.8%
Patrick Reed run for a loss of 3 yards to the UNLV 16 Patrick Reed fumbled, forced by Javin White, recovered by NMex Patrick ReedSimilar
Q2 13:18
2ND & 13
OPP 16
+12
60.9%
Sheriron Jones pass complete to Delane Hart-Johnson for 12 yds to the UNLV 4Similar
Q2 13:18
3RD & 1
OPP 4
+3
61.1%
Sheriron Jones run for 3 yds to the UNLV 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:34
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
52.4%
Tyrone Owens run for 1 yd for a TD (Andrew Shelley PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 10PUNT
5 plays · -9 yds · 0:0054% → 53%
Q2 9:34
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-10
53.9%
Max Gilliam run for a loss of 10 yards to the UNLV 15 Max Gilliam fumbled, recovered by UNLV Max GilliamSimilar
Q2 9:34
2ND & 20
OWN 15
0
53.7%
Max Gilliam pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:34
3RD & 20
OWN 15
+1
53.0%
Max Gilliam pass complete to Mekhi Stevenson for 1 yd to the UNLV 16Similar
Q2 9:34
4TH & 19
OWN 16
0
53.0%
Hayes Hicken punt for 23 yds, downed at the UNLV 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 11FG
7 plays · 13 yds · 3:2648% → 59%
Q2 8:03
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+4
51.9%
Zahneer Shuler run for 4 yds to the UNLV 35Similar
Q2 8:03
2ND & 6
OPP 35
+5
51.8%
Zahneer Shuler run for 5 yds to the UNLV 30Similar
Q2 8:03
3RD & 1
OPP 30
+2
52.2%
Zahneer Shuler run for 2 yds to the UNLV 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:03
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+8
51.8%
Sheriron Jones pass complete to Jay Griffin IV for 8 yds to the UNLV 20Similar
Q2 8:03
2ND & 2
OPP 20
-2
51.8%
Ahmari Davis run for a loss of 2 yards to the UNLV 22Similar
Q2 8:03
3RD & 4
OPP 22
-4
52.1%
Ahmari Davis run for a loss of 4 yards to the UNLV 26Similar
Q2 4:37
4TH & 8
OPP 26
+43
41.0%
Andrew Shelley 43 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:0044% → 44%
Q2 4:37
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
43.9%
Max Gilliam pass complete to Lexington Thomas for 2 yds to the UNLV 27Similar
Q2 4:37
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+3
44.1%
Max Gilliam pass complete to Lexington Thomas for 3 yds to the UNLV 30Similar
Q2 4:37
3RD & 5
OWN 30
0
43.9%
Max Gilliam pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:37
4TH & 5
OWN 30
+4
43.5%
Hayes Hicken punt for 39 yds , Marcus Hayes returns for 4 yds to the NMex 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 13TD
3 plays · 65 yds · 0:4061% → 73%
Q2 3:36
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-10
39.4%
NEW MEXICO Penalty, Offensive holding (-10 Yards) to the NMex 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:36
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
39.5%
Patrick Reed run for 1 yd to the NMex 26Similar
Q2 2:56
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+74
27.4%
Sheriron Jones pass complete to Elijah Lilly for 74 yds for a TD (Andrew Shelley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 14PUNT
8 plays · 15 yds · 0:0032% → 32%
Q2 2:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
31.5%
Lexington Thomas run for 5 yds to the UNLV 30Similar
Q2 2:56
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+2
32.2%
Xzaviar Campbell run for 2 yds to the UNLV 32Similar
Q2 2:56
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+11
32.3%
Max Gilliam pass complete to Kendal Keys for 11 yds to the UNLV 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:56
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
33.3%
Max Gilliam pass incomplete to Mekhi StevensonSimilar
Q2 2:56
2ND & 10
OWN 43
-7
33.0%
Max Gilliam sacked by Cody Baker for a loss of 7 yards to the UNLV 36Similar
Q2 2:56
3RD & 17
OWN 36
+4
31.3%
Max Gilliam run for 4 yds to the UNLV 40Similar
Q2 2:56
4TH & 13
OWN 40
0
31.5%
Hayes Hicken punt for 20 yds, downed at the NMex 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 15TD
5 plays · 60 yds · 0:5678% → 85%
Q2 1:13
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+1
22.3%
Sheriron Jones run for 1 yd to the NMex 41Similar
Q2 1:13
2ND & 9
OWN 41
+18
22.3%
Sheriron Jones run for 18 yds to the UNLV 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:13
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+15
21.9%
Sheriron Jones pass complete to Delane Hart-Johnson for 15 yds to the UNLV 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:13
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
21.4%
TEAM pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:17
2ND & 10
OPP 26
+26
15.1%
Sheriron Jones pass complete to Anselem Umeh for 26 yds for a TD (Andrew Shelley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 16END OF HALF
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:0016% → 16%
Q2 0:17
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
16.3%
Max Gilliam run for no gain to the UNLV 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · -8 yds · 0:0016% → 15%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
15.6%
Max Gilliam pass complete to Giovanni Fauolo for 4 yds to the UNLV 29Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 29
-4
14.4%
Max Gilliam pass complete to Lexington Thomas for a loss of 4 yards to the UNLV 25Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 10
OWN 25
-8
15.1%
Max Gilliam sacked by Rhashaun Epting for a loss of 8 yards to the UNLV 17Similar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 18
OWN 17
0
15.0%
Hayes Hicken punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Marcus Hayes at the NMex 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 18FUMBLE
3 plays · 19 yds · 0:0088% → 88%
Q3 13:13
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+4
11.9%
Tyrone Owens run for 4 yds to the NMex 45Similar
Q3 13:13
2ND & 6
OWN 45
+2
11.8%
Sheriron Jones run for 2 yds to the NMex 47Similar
Q3 13:13
3RD & 4
OWN 47
+13
12.3%
Sheriron Jones pass complete to Jay Griffin IV for 13 yds Jay Griffin IV fumbled, forced by Salanoa-Alo Wily, recovered by UNLV Demitrious GibbsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 19PUNT
8 plays · 10 yds · 0:0012% → 12%
Q3 11:39
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+1
12.0%
Lexington Thomas run for 1 yd to the UNLV 41Similar
Q3 11:39
2ND & 9
OWN 41
+5
11.7%
Charles Williams run for 5 yds to the UNLV 46Similar
Q3 11:39
3RD & 4
OWN 46
-3
11.8%
Max Gilliam sacked by Michael Sewell Jr. for a loss of 3 yards to the UNLV 43Similar
Q3 11:39
4TH & 7
OWN 43
+14
11.5%
Hayes Hicken run for 14 yds to the NMex 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:39
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
13.2%
Charles Williams run for no gain to the NMex 43Similar
Q3 11:39
2ND & 10
OPP 43
-7
12.7%
Max Gilliam sacked by Cody Baker for a loss of 7 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 11:39
3RD & 17
50
0
12.0%
Max Gilliam pass incomplete to Tyleek Collins, broken up by Jalin BurrellSimilar
Q3 11:39
4TH & 17
50
0
12.0%
Hayes Hicken punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Marcus Hayes at the NMex 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 20TD
10 plays · 89 yds · 5:1194% → 99%
Q3 7:36
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+5
6.1%
Tyrone Owens run for 5 yds to the NMex 16Similar
Q3 7:36
2ND & 5
OWN 16
+7
6.0%
Sheriron Jones pass complete to Marcus Williams for 7 yds to the NMex 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:36
1ST & 10
OWN 23
-1
5.9%
Tyrone Owens run for a loss of 1 yard to the NMex 22Similar
Q3 7:36
2ND & 11
OWN 22
+6
5.9%
Tyrone Owens run for 6 yds to the NMex 28Similar
Q3 7:36
3RD & 5
OWN 28
+19
6.2%
Sheriron Jones pass complete to Delane Hart-Johnson for 19 yds to the NMex 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:36
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
5.6%
Tyrone Owens run for no gain to the NMex 47Similar
Q3 7:36
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+22
5.6%
Sheriron Jones pass complete to Delane Hart-Johnson for 22 yds to the UNLV 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:36
1ST & 10
OPP 31
-2
5.6%
Zahneer Shuler run for a loss of 2 yards to the UNLV 33Similar
Q3 7:36
2ND & 12
OPP 33
0
5.6%
Sheriron Jones pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 2:25
3RD & 12
OPP 33
+33
1.3%
Sheriron Jones pass complete to Emmanuel Harris for 33 yds for a TD (Andrew Shelley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 21TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 2:391% → 3%
Q3 2:25
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
1.1%
Charles Williams run for 3 yds to the UNLV 28Similar
Q3 2:25
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+26
1.1%
Lexington Thomas run for 26 yds to the NMex 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:25
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+2
1.2%
Lexington Thomas run for 2 yds to the NMex 44Similar
Q3 2:25
2ND & 8
OPP 44
+17
1.2%
Max Gilliam pass complete to Brandon Presley for 17 yds to the NMex 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:25
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+2
1.3%
Charles Williams run for 2 yds to the NMex 25Similar
Q3 2:25
2ND & 8
OPP 25
0
1.3%
Max Gilliam pass incomplete to Brandon PresleySimilar
Q3 2:25
3RD & 8
OPP 25
-9
1.2%
Max Gilliam sacked by Brandon Shook for a loss of 9 yards to the NMex 34 Max Gilliam fumbled, recovered by UNLV Charles Williams , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 17
OPP 34
+15
0.7%
Max Gilliam pass incomplete to Mekhi Stevenson for a 1ST down NEW MEXICO Penalty, Defensive pass interference (Jalin Burrell) to the NMex 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:46
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+19
2.7%
Max Gilliam pass complete to Brandon Presley for 19 yds for a TD (Evan Pantels KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 22PUNT
9 plays · 32 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q4 14:46
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
1.2%
Ahmari Davis run for 10 yds to the NMex 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:46
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-1
1.2%
Ahmari Davis run for a loss of 1 yard to the NMex 34Similar
Q4 14:46
2ND & 11
OWN 34
0
1.2%
Sheriron Jones pass incomplete to Marcus WilliamsSimilar
Q4 14:46
3RD & 11
OWN 34
+20
1.3%
Sheriron Jones run for 20 yds to the UNLV 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:46
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+4
1.1%
Ahmari Davis run for 4 yds to the UNLV 42Similar
Q4 14:46
2ND & 6
OPP 42
-1
1.1%
Ahmari Davis run for a loss of 1 yard to the UNLV 43Similar
Q4 14:46
3RD & 7
OPP 43
0
1.2%
Sheriron Jones pass incomplete to Elijah LillySimilar
Q4 14:46
4TH & 7
OPP 43
+34
1.5%
Tyson Dyer punt for 34 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 23TD
1 play · 11 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 11:07
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+11
0.5%
Sheriron Jones pass complete to Delane Hart-Johnson for 11 yds for a TD (Andrew Shelley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 24PUNT
6 plays · -5 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 11:02
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
0.4%
Max Gilliam pass incomplete to Brandon PresleySimilar
Q4 11:02
2ND & 10
OWN 21
0
0.4%
Max Gilliam pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:02
3RD & 10
OWN 21
-5
0.4%
UNLV Penalty, false start (Nathan Jacobson) to the UNLV 16Similar
Q4 11:02
3RD & 15
OWN 16
0
0.4%
Max Gilliam pass incomplete to Mekhi StevensonSimilar
Q4 11:02
4TH & 15
OWN 16
+28
0.4%
Hayes Hicken punt for 47 yds , Marcus Hayes returns for 28 yds to the UNLV 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 25TD
7 plays · 35 yds · 2:33100% → 100%
Q4 10:30
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+12
0.5%
Daevon Vigilant run for 12 yds to the UNLV 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:30
1ST & 10
OPP 0
+3
0.4%
Daevon Vigilant run for 3 yds to the UNLV 20 NEW MEXICO Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct off-setting ( Yards) to the UNLV 20Similar
Q4 10:30
2ND & 7
OPP 20
+2
0.5%
Daevon Vigilant run for 2 yds to the UNLV 18Similar
Q4 10:30
3RD & 5
OPP 18
+15
0.5%
Sheriron Jones pass incomplete to Daevon Vigilant for a 1ST down UNLV Penalty, Defensive pass interference (Demitrious Gibbs) to the UNLV 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+1
0.4%
Daevon Vigilant run for 1 yd to the UNLV 2Similar
Q4 10:30
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
0
0.4%
Sheriron Jones pass incomplete to Patrick ReedSimilar
Q4 7:57
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
0.3%
Zahneer Shuler run for 2 yds for a TD (Andrew Shelley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 26TD
12 plays · 80 yds · 3:070% → 0%
Q4 7:50
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+13
0.2%
Max Gilliam pass complete to Brandon Presley for 13 yds to the UNLV 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:50
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+2
0.3%
Charles Williams run for 2 yds to the UNLV 35Similar
Q4 7:50
2ND & 8
OWN 35
+13
0.2%
Charles Williams run for 13 yds to the UNLV 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:50
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
0.3%
Max Gilliam pass incomplete to Kendal KeysSimilar
Q4 7:50
2ND & 10
OWN 48
+3
0.2%
Charles Williams run for 3 yds to the NMex 49Similar
Q4 7:50
3RD & 7
OPP 49
+9
0.3%
Max Gilliam pass complete to Darren Woods Jr. for 9 yds to the NMex 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:50
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+15
0.3%
Max Gilliam pass incomplete to Brandon Presley for a 1ST down NEW MEXICO Penalty, Defensive pass interference (Jalin Burrell) to the NMex 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:50
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+14
0.3%
Max Gilliam pass complete to Mekhi Stevenson for 14 yds to the NMex 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:50
1ST & 10
OPP 11
0
0.3%
Max Gilliam pass incomplete to Mekhi StevensonSimilar
Q4 7:50
2ND & 10
OPP 11
0
0.3%
Max Gilliam pass incomplete to Brandon PresleySimilar
Q4 4:43
3RD & 10
OPP 11
+11
0.2%
Max Gilliam pass complete to Darren Woods Jr. for 11 yds for a TD (Evan Pantels KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 27DOWNS
6 plays · 16 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 4:43
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+17
0.2%
Max Gilliam pass complete to Darren Woods Jr. for 17 yds to the NMex 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:43
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
0.2%
Max Gilliam pass incomplete to Brandon PresleySimilar
Q4 4:43
2ND & 10
OPP 35
-1
0.2%
Charles Williams run for a loss of 1 yard to the NMex 36Similar
Q4 4:43
3RD & 11
OPP 36
0
0.2%
Max Gilliam pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 4:43
4TH & 11
OPP 36
0
0.2%
Max Gilliam pass incomplete to Brandon PresleySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 28END OF GAME
6 plays · 45 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 3:28
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-1
0.2%
Javohn Jones run for a loss of 1 yard to the NMex 35Similar
Q4 3:28
2ND & 11
OWN 35
+6
0.2%
Trae Hall run for 6 yds to the NMex 41Similar
Q4 3:28
3RD & 5
OWN 41
+4
0.2%
Javohn Jones run for 4 yds to the NMex 45Similar
Q4 3:28
4TH & 1
OWN 45
+35
0.2%
Zahneer Shuler run for 35 yds to the UNLV 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:28
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+1
0.2%
Javohn Jones run for 1 yd to the UNLV 19Similar
Q4 3:28
2ND & 9
OPP 19
0
0.2%
Zahneer Shuler run for no gain to the UNLV 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 2:56
Sheriron Jones pass complete to Elijah Lilly for 74 yds for a TD (Andrew Shelley KICK)
-12.1
FG · Q2 4:37
Andrew Shelley 43 yd FG GOOD
-11
TD · Q2 9:34
Tyrone Owens run for 1 yd for a TD (Andrew Shelley PAT MISSED)
-8.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com