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TNTC

Tennessee Tech 12 at Utah State 73

USU
2018 · Week 3 · Sep 13, 2018 · Maverik Stadium
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Win probability · USU
modelUSU aheadTNTC aheadconfidence bandkey playUSU scoreTNTC score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGFGTDTDTDFGTDTDTDFGTDTDTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 4:36 · Zach Lee punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Josh Cunningham at the TnTch 18
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialPregame priorBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsGarbage-time factor
+36.5+18.30−18.3−36.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 145Home team on offense+30.7Score differential+27.0Pregame prior+6.9Blowout margin+14.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+9.4Garbage-time factor+10.3
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 2:10: Darwin Thompson run for 65 yds for a TD (Dominik Eberle KICK) — USU win probability +4.0 pts (now 76%) (top driver: USU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 11:43: Jordan Love run for 2 yds for a TD (Dominik Eberle KICK) — USU win probability +7.9 pts (now 87%) (top driver: USU has the ball).
  3. FG · Q2 7:48: Nick Madonia 20 yd FG GOOD — TNTC win probability +3.6 pts (now 19%) (top driver: TNTC has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 6:03: Jordan Love pass complete to Savon Scarver for 36 yds for a TD (Dominik Eberle KICK) — USU win probability +7.2 pts (now 91%) (top driver: USU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q2 3:13: Jordan Love pass complete to Aaren Vaughns for 2 yds for a TD UTAH ST Penalty, false start (-4 Yards) to the TnTch 7 (Dominik Eberle KICK) — USU win probability +6.4 pts (now 97%) (top driver: USU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
USU made the numbers' call on 2 of 3TNTC made the numbers' call on 10 of 13
  1. Q1 14:04TNTC 4th & 10 at USU 37, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 49.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.8%
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    49.8%−<0.1
    40% to make
    Punt
    49.8%−<0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:37USU 4th & 3 at TNTC 17, down 3
    Close callKicked a field goal · 50.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.7%
    51% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    50.6%−0.1
    80% to make
    Punt
    49.8%−0.9
    average punt
  3. Q1 9:37TNTC 4th & 14 at TNTC 44, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 48.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    48.7%−0.3
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    48.9%
    average punt
  4. Q1 2:10TNTC 4th & 3 at TNTC 32, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 38.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.9%−0.3
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    39.1%
    average punt
  5. Q2 15:00USU 4th & 1 at TNTC 1, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 64.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    65.4%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    62.9%−2.5
    94% to make
    Punt
    56.4%−9.0
    average punt
  6. Q2 13:37TNTC 4th & 11 at TNTC 1, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 34.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.5%−2.8
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    35.3%
    average punt
  7. Q2 7:48TNTC 4th & 3 at USU 3, down 21
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.2 ptsKicked a field goal · 20.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.5%
    44% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    19.3%−1.2
    93% to make
    Punt
    13.0%−7.4
    average punt
  8. Q2 6:03TNTC 4th & 10 at TNTC 25, down 25
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 20.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.3%−1.8
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    21.0%
    average punt
  9. Q2 2:08TNTC 4th & 12 at TNTC 23, down 32
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.1%−0.3
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.4%
    average punt
  10. Q3 15:00TNTC 4th & 10 at TNTC 25, down 39
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.3%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.4%
    average punt
  11. Q3 5:30TNTC 4th & 6 at USU 6, down 46
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 0.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.7%−<0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    0.7%
    91% to make
    Punt
    0.2%−0.5
    average punt
  12. Q3 4:36TNTC 4th & 13 at USU 25, down 43
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 0.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.4%−0.1
    20% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    0.5%
    66% to make
    Punt
    0.1%−0.4
    average punt
  13. Q3 4:36USU 4th & 9 at USU 36, up 43
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.4%−0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.5%
    average punt
  14. Q4 15:00TNTC 4th & 8 at TNTC 34, down 43
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.3%
    average punt
  15. Q4 11:20TNTC 4th & 15 at TNTC 20, down 50
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    -0.0%−0.1
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  16. Q4 7:36TNTC 4th & 6 at TNTC 38, down 64
    Close callWent for it · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.0%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.1%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
USU made the numbers' call on 9 of 9
  1. Q1 3:48USU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    55.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    55.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 2:10USU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    61.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    61.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 11:43USU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    79.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    79.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 6:03USU Touchdown, up 24 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    85.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    85.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 3:13USU Touchdown, up 31 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 10:15USU Touchdown, up 45 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 11:20USU Touchdown, up 49 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 8:05USU Touchdown, up 56 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 7:44USU Touchdown, up 63 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
USUDrive 1FUMBLE
2 plays · 12 yds · 0:0071% → 71%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
71.0%
Jordan Love pass complete to Dax Raymond for 12 yds Dax Raymond fumbled, forced by Jake Warwick, recovered by TnTch Shannon FayneSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TNTCDrive 2FG
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:4829% → 29%
Q1 14:52
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
70.9%
Bailey Fisher pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:52
2ND & 10
OPP 37
0
70.9%
Andrew Goldsmith run for no gain to the UthSt 37Similar
Q1 14:52
3RD & 10
OPP 37
0
70.9%
Bailey Fisher pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:04
4TH & 10
OPP 37
+54
70.7%
Nick Madonia 54 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 3FG
14 plays · 58 yds · 4:2771% → 70%
Q1 14:04
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
70.7%
Jordan Love pass complete to Jalen Greene for 6 yds to the UthSt 31Similar
Q1 14:04
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+7
70.7%
Gerold Bright run for 7 yds to the UthSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:04
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+12
70.7%
Jordan Love pass complete to Jordan Nathan for 12 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:04
1ST & 10
50
0
70.8%
Jordan Love pass incomplete to Jordan NathanSimilar
Q1 14:04
2ND & 10
50
+11
70.8%
Gerold Bright run for 11 yds to the TnTch 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:04
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+6
70.8%
Jordan Love pass complete to Ron'quavion Tarver for 6 yds to the TnTch 33Similar
Q1 14:04
2ND & 4
OPP 33
-2
70.8%
Jordan Love pass complete to Ron'quavion Tarver for a loss of 2 yards to the TnTch 35Similar
Q1 14:04
3RD & 6
OPP 35
+11
70.8%
Jordan Love pass complete to Ron'quavion Tarver for 11 yds to the TnTch 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:04
1ST & 10
OPP 24
-2
70.8%
Darwin Thompson run for a loss of 2 yards to the TnTch 26Similar
Q1 14:04
2ND & 12
OPP 26
+10
70.8%
Aaren Vaughns run for 10 yds to the TnTch 16Similar
Q1 14:04
3RD & 2
OPP 16
-10
70.8%
THOMPSON, D. rush for 2 yards to the TTU14, out-of-bounds (ADEKUNJO, Dami), PENALTY USU holding 10 yards to the TTU26, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 14:04
3RD & 12
OPP 26
+9
70.8%
Jordan Love pass complete to Jalen Greene for 9 yds to the TnTch 17Similar
Q1 9:37
4TH & 3
OPP 17
+34
70.3%
Dominik Eberle 34 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TNTCDrive 4PUNT
7 plays · 9 yds · 0:0030% → 30%
Q1 9:37
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+7
69.8%
Andrew Goldsmith run for 7 yds to the TnTch 42Similar
Q1 9:37
2ND & 3
OWN 42
+6
69.5%
Bailey Fisher pass complete to Josh Cunningham for 6 yds to the TnTch 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:37
1ST & 10
OWN 48
-4
69.5%
Bailey Fisher run for a loss of 4 yards to the TnTch 44Similar
Q1 9:37
2ND & 14
OWN 44
0
69.8%
Bailey Fisher pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:37
3RD & 14
OWN 44
0
70.0%
Bailey Fisher pass incomplete to Josh CunninghamSimilar
Q1 9:37
4TH & 14
OWN 44
+2
70.2%
Luke Maynard punt for 37 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the UthSt 21 , Jordan Nathan returns for 2 yds to the UthSt 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 5TD
13 plays · 79 yds · 3:5870% → 73%
Q1 7:46
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+5
69.5%
Jordan Love pass complete to Carson Terrell for 5 yds to the UthSt 26Similar
Q1 7:46
2ND & 5
OWN 26
+9
69.6%
Jordan Love pass complete to Darwin Thompson for 9 yds to the UthSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:46
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
69.6%
Jordan Love pass complete to Ron'quavion Tarver for 4 yds to the UthSt 39Similar
Q1 7:46
2ND & 6
OWN 39
+5
70.0%
Jordan Love pass complete to Jalen Greene for 5 yds to the UthSt 44Similar
Q1 7:46
3RD & 1
OWN 44
+8
69.9%
Darwin Thompson run for 8 yds to the TnTch 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:46
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+6
70.3%
Darwin Thompson run for 6 yds to the TnTch 42Similar
Q1 7:46
2ND & 4
OPP 42
+6
70.3%
LOVE, JORDAN pass incomplete, PENALTY TTU substitution infraction 6 yards to the TTU36, 1ST DOWN USU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 7:46
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+11
70.3%
Jordan Love pass complete to DJ Nelson for 11 yds to the TnTch 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:46
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+3
70.4%
Gerold Bright run for 3 yds to the TnTch 22Similar
Q1 7:46
2ND & 7
OPP 22
+11
70.4%
Jordan Love pass complete to Jalen Greene for 11 yds to the TnTch 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:46
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+4
70.4%
Gerold Bright run for 4 yds to the TnTch 7Similar
Q1 7:46
2ND & 6
OPP 7
+2
70.4%
Gerold Bright run for 2 yds to the TnTch 5Similar
Q1 3:48
3RD & 4
OPP 5
+5
73.1%
Gerold Bright run for 5 yds for a TD (Dominik Eberle KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TNTCDrive 6INT
4 plays · 31 yds · 0:0028% → 29%
Q1 3:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
72.2%
Andrew Goldsmith run for 5 yds to the TnTch 30Similar
Q1 3:48
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+26
71.9%
Bailey Fisher pass complete to Darrius Stafford for 26 yds to the UthSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:48
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
71.2%
Bailey Fisher pass intercepted Gaje Ferguson return for no gain to the UthSt 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 7TD
2 plays · 65 yds · 0:1872% → 76%
Q1 2:28
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
72.4%
Jordan Love pass incomplete to Jordan NathanSimilar
Q1 2:10
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+65
76.4%
Darwin Thompson run for 65 yds for a TD (Dominik Eberle KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TNTCDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:0024% → 24%
Q1 2:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
75.7%
Andrew Goldsmith run for 4 yds to the TnTch 29Similar
Q1 2:10
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+3
75.5%
Andrew Goldsmith run for 3 yds to the TnTch 32Similar
Q1 2:10
3RD & 3
OWN 32
0
75.5%
Bailey Fisher pass complete to Josh Cunningham for no gain to the TnTch 32Similar
Q1 2:10
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
75.8%
Luke Maynard punt for 13 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the TnTch 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 9DOWNS
6 plays · 43 yds · 0:0478% → 78%
Q1 0:04
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+25
78.2%
Darwin Thompson run for 25 yds to the TnTch 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+14
78.3%
Savon Scarver run for 14 yds to the TnTch 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+2
78.3%
Gerold Bright run for 2 yds to the TnTch 4Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+3
78.3%
Gerold Bright run for 3 yds to the TnTch 1Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
0
77.9%
Gerold Bright run for no gain to the TnTch 1Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
-1
77.5%
Gerold Bright run for a loss of 1 yard to the TnTch 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TNTCDrive 10PUNT
4 plays · -1 yds · 0:0023% → 22%
Q2 13:37
1ST & 10
OWN 2
0
77.4%
Andrew Goldsmith run for no gain to the TnTch 2Similar
Q2 13:37
2ND & 10
OWN 2
-1
77.5%
Andrew Goldsmith run for a loss of 1 yard to the TnTch 1Similar
Q2 13:37
3RD & 11
OWN 1
0
77.7%
Bailey Fisher pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:37
4TH & 11
OWN 1
+13
77.8%
Luke Maynard punt for 43 yds , Jordan Nathan returns for 13 yds to the TnTch 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 11TD
3 plays · 31 yds · 0:3479% → 87%
Q2 12:17
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+5
79.4%
Darwin Thompson run for 5 yds to the TnTch 26Similar
Q2 12:17
2ND & 5
OPP 26
+24
79.4%
Jordan Love pass complete to Carson Terrell for 24 yds to the TnTch 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:43
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
87.3%
Jordan Love run for 2 yds for a TD (Dominik Eberle KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TNTCDrive 12FG
11 plays · 72 yds · 3:5514% → 19%
Q2 11:43
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
86.1%
Josh Cunningham run for 8 yds to the TnTch 33Similar
Q2 11:43
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+28
85.3%
Bailey Fisher pass complete to Andrew Goldsmith for 28 yds to the UthSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:43
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
84.9%
Andrew Goldsmith run for no gain to the UthSt 39Similar
Q2 11:43
2ND & 10
OPP 39
+27
85.1%
Cam Singletary run for 27 yds to the UthSt 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:43
1ST & 10
OPP 12
-1
84.4%
David Gist run for a loss of 1 yard to the UthSt 13Similar
Q2 11:43
2ND & 11
OPP 13
+12
84.6%
Bailey Fisher run for 12 yds to the UthSt 1 Bailey Fisher fumbled, forced by DJ Williams, recovered by TnTch Alex Carling for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:43
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
-2
84.4%
Andrew Goldsmith run for a loss of 2 yards to the UthSt 3Similar
Q2 11:43
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
0
84.4%
Bailey Fisher pass incomplete to Josh Cunningham, broken up by Shaquez BondSimilar
Q2 11:43
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
0
84.8%
Bailey Fisher pass incomplete, broken up by Tipa GaleaiSimilar
Q2 7:48
4TH & GOAL
OPP 3
+20
81.2%
Nick Madonia 20 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 13TD
9 plays · 72 yds · 1:3883% → 91%
Q2 7:41
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+12
83.1%
Jordan Love pass complete to Jordan Nathan for 12 yds to the UthSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:41
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+12
83.6%
Gerold Bright run for 12 yds to the TnTch 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:41
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
83.8%
Jordan Love pass incomplete to Jordan NathanSimilar
Q2 7:41
2ND & 10
OPP 48
+5
83.7%
Gerold Bright run for 5 yds to the TnTch 43Similar
Q2 7:41
3RD & 5
OPP 43
+7
83.2%
Jordan Love pass complete to Gerold Bright for 7 yds to the TnTch 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:41
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
83.8%
Jordan Love pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:41
2ND & 10
OPP 36
0
83.7%
Jordan Love pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:03
3RD & 10
OPP 36
+36
90.9%
Jordan Love pass complete to Savon Scarver for 36 yds for a TD (Dominik Eberle KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TNTCDrive 14PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:0014% → 14%
Q2 6:03
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
85.6%
David Gist run for a loss of 2 yards to the TnTch 23Similar
Q2 6:03
2ND & 12
OWN 23
+1
85.7%
Josh Cunningham run for 1 yd to the TnTch 24Similar
Q2 6:03
3RD & 11
OWN 24
+1
85.9%
Bailey Fisher pass complete to Darrius Stafford for 1 yd to the TnTch 25Similar
Q2 6:03
4TH & 10
OWN 25
0
85.9%
Luke Maynard punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Jordan Nathan at the UthSt 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 15TD
6 plays · 60 yds · 0:5492% → 97%
Q2 4:07
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+14
91.7%
Jordan Love pass complete to Dax Raymond for 14 yds to the TnTch 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:07
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+11
92.4%
Jordan Love pass complete to Ron'quavion Tarver for 11 yds to the TnTch 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:45
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+31
94.1%
Jordan Love pass complete to Dax Raymond for 31 yds to the TnTch 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:45
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+2
91.0%
Gerold Bright run for 2 yds to the TnTch 2Similar
Q2 3:13
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
97.4%
Jordan Love pass complete to Aaren Vaughns for 2 yds for a TD UTAH ST Penalty, false start (-4 Yards) to the TnTch 7 (Dominik Eberle KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TNTCDrive 16PUNT RETURN TD
6 plays · -2 yds · 1:052% → 2%
Q2 3:13
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
97.8%
Andrew Goldsmith run for a loss of 2 yards to the TnTch 23Similar
Q2 3:13
2ND & 12
OWN 23
0
97.8%
Andrew Goldsmith run for no gain to the TnTch 23Similar
Q2 2:30
3RD & 12
OWN 23
0
98.0%
Bailey Fisher pass incomplete to Seth HunerSimilar
Q2 2:08
4TH & 12
OWN 23
+59
98.5%
Luke Maynard punt for 36 yds , Jordan Nathan returns for 59 yds for a TD (Dominik Eberle KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TNTCDrive 17END OF HALF
5 plays · 17 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q2 2:08
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
98.4%
Andrew Goldsmith run for 11 yds to the TnTch 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:08
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
98.3%
Andrew Goldsmith run for no gain to the TnTch 36Similar
Q2 2:08
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+4
98.4%
David Gist run for 4 yds to the TnTch 40Similar
Q2 2:08
3RD & 6
OWN 40
+2
98.4%
David Gist run for 2 yds to the TnTch 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TNTCDrive 18PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
98.4%
Andrew Goldsmith run for a loss of 1 yard to the TnTch 24Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+1
98.5%
Luke Ward pass complete to Andrew Goldsmith for 1 yd to the TnTch 25Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
98.5%
Luke Ward pass incomplete to Josh CunninghamSimilar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 10
OWN 25
0
98.5%
Luke Maynard punt for 36 yds, downed at the UthSt 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 19TD
8 plays · 61 yds · 3:1599% → 99%
Q3 13:30
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+27
98.9%
Deven Thompkins run for 27 yds to the TnTch 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:30
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+6
98.9%
Henry Colombi run for 6 yds to the TnTch 28Similar
Q3 13:30
2ND & 4
OPP 28
+6
98.9%
Henry Colombi pass complete to Jordan Nathan for 6 yds to the TnTch 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:30
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+2
98.9%
Tre Miller run for 2 yds to the TnTch 20Similar
Q3 13:30
2ND & 8
OPP 20
+7
98.9%
Henry Colombi pass complete to Deven Thompkins for 7 yds to the TnTch 13Similar
Q3 13:30
3RD & 1
OPP 13
+6
98.9%
Tre Miller run for 6 yds to the TnTch 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+3
98.9%
Tre Miller run for 3 yds to the TnTch 4Similar
Q3 10:15
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
99.4%
Tre Miller run for 4 yds for a TD (Dominik Eberle KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TNTCDrive 20FG
12 plays · 69 yds · 4:451% → 1%
Q3 10:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
99.4%
Andrew Goldsmith run for 8 yds to the TnTch 33Similar
Q3 10:15
2ND & 2
OWN 33
-4
99.4%
Cam Singletary run for a loss of 4 yards to the TnTch 29Similar
Q3 10:15
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+20
99.4%
Luke Ward run for 20 yds to the TnTch 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:15
1ST & 10
OWN 49
-1
99.4%
Luke Ward run for a loss of 1 yard to the TnTch 48Similar
Q3 10:15
2ND & 11
OWN 48
+8
99.4%
Luke Ward pass complete to Seth Huner for 8 yds to the UthSt 44Similar
Q3 10:15
3RD & 3
OPP 44
+15
99.3%
WARD, Luke pass incomplete to HUNER, Seth (GRAYSON, ANDRE), PENALTY USU pass interference (GRAYSON, ANDRE) 15 yards to the USU29, 1ST DOWN TTU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 10:15
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+20
99.3%
Luke Ward run for 20 yds to the UthSt 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:15
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+3
99.3%
Andrew Goldsmith run for 3 yds to the UthSt 6Similar
Q3 10:15
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
0
99.2%
David Gist run for no gain to the UthSt 6Similar
Q3 10:15
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
0
99.3%
Luke Ward pass incomplete to Darrius Stafford, broken up by Cameron HaneySimilar
Q3 5:30
4TH & GOAL
OPP 6
+23
99.5%
Nick Madonia 23 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TNTCDrive 22MISSED FG
4 plays · -3 yds · 0:440% → 0%
Q3 5:20
1ST & 10
OPP 22
-3
99.6%
Luke Ward run for a loss of 3 yards to the UthSt 25Similar
Q3 5:20
2ND & 13
OPP 25
0
99.6%
Luke Ward pass incomplete to Cam SingletarySimilar
Q3 5:20
3RD & 13
OPP 25
0
99.6%
Luke Ward pass incomplete to Andrew GoldsmithSimilar
Q3 4:36
4TH & 13
OPP 25
+42
99.6%
Nick Madonia 42 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 23PUNT
8 plays · 11 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q3 4:36
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
99.6%
Henry Colombi pass complete to Carson Terrell for 8 yds to the UthSt 33Similar
Q3 4:36
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+2
99.6%
Justen Hervey run for 2 yds to the UthSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:36
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-12
99.6%
Henry Colombi pass complete to Devin Heckstall for 4 yds to the UthSt 39 UTAH ST Penalty, personal foul (Aaren Vaughns) to the UthSt 23Similar
Q3 4:36
1ST & 22
OWN 23
-5
99.6%
COLOMBI, H. pass complete to NELSON, DJ for 16 yards to the USU39, out-of-bounds, PENALTY USU 12 men on the field 5 yards to the USU18, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 4:36
1ST & 27
OWN 18
+6
99.5%
Henry Colombi pass complete to Justen Hervey for 6 yds to the UthSt 24Similar
Q3 4:36
2ND & 21
OWN 24
+5
99.6%
Henry Colombi pass complete to DJ Nelson for 5 yds to the UthSt 29Similar
Q3 4:36
3RD & 16
OWN 29
+7
99.6%
Henry Colombi pass complete to DJ Nelson for 7 yds to the UthSt 36Similar
Q3 4:36
4TH & 9
OWN 36
0
99.6%
Zach Lee punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Josh Cunningham at the TnTch 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TNTCDrive 24PUNT
5 plays · 16 yds · 0:410% → 0%
Q3 0:41
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+14
99.8%
Cam Singletary run for 14 yds to the TnTch 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:41
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+2
99.8%
David Gist run for 2 yds to the TnTch 34Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 34
0
99.8%
Luke Ward pass incomplete to David GistSimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 8
OWN 34
0
99.8%
Luke Ward pass incomplete to Hunter ColemanSimilar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 8
OWN 34
-27
99.8%
Luke Maynard punt for a loss of 6 yards , Deven Thompkins returns for a loss of 27 yards to the UthSt 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 25TD
8 plays · 55 yds · 3:17100% → 100%
Q4 14:37
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+20
99.8%
Morian Walker Jr. run for 20 yds to the TnTch 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:37
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+3
99.8%
Morian Walker Jr. run for 3 yds to the TnTch 32Similar
Q4 14:37
2ND & 7
OPP 32
+1
99.8%
Henry Colombi pass complete to Morian Walker Jr. for 1 yd to the TnTch 31Similar
Q4 14:37
3RD & 6
OPP 31
+11
99.8%
Henry Colombi pass complete to Aaron Dalton for 11 yds to the TnTch 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:37
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+3
99.8%
Morian Walker Jr. run for 3 yds to the TnTch 17Similar
Q4 14:37
2ND & 7
OPP 17
+13
99.8%
Henry Colombi run for 13 yds to the TnTch 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:37
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+3
99.8%
Henry Colombi run for 3 yds to the TnTch 1Similar
Q4 11:20
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.9%
Morian Walker Jr. run for 1 yd for a TD (Taylor Hintze KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TNTCDrive 26PUNT
5 plays · -5 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 11:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
99.9%
D.J. Worthy run for 2 yds to the TnTch 27Similar
Q4 11:20
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
99.9%
Luke Ward pass incomplete to Darrius StaffordSimilar
Q4 11:20
3RD & 8
OWN 27
-7
99.9%
Luke Ward sacked by Chase Nelson for a loss of 7 yards to the TnTch 20Similar
Q4 11:20
4TH & 15
OWN 20
0
99.9%
Luke Maynard punt for 38 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the UthSt 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 27TD
4 plays · 58 yds · 1:54100% → 100%
Q4 9:59
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-10
99.9%
MILLER, TRE rush for 10 yards to the TTU48 (CARTER, Tai;TOLLEY, Bryson), PENALTY USU holding 10 yards to the USU32, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 9:59
1ST & 20
OWN 32
+35
99.9%
Justen Hervey run for 35 yds to the TnTch 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:59
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+18
99.9%
Andrew Peasley run for 4 yds to the TnTch 29 for a 1ST down TENNESSEE TECH Penalty, illegal use of hands (Storm Williams) to the TnTch 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:05
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+15
99.9%
Justen Hervey run for 15 yds for a TD (Connor Coles KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TNTCDrive 28FUMBLE
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 7:55
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+25
100.0%
Luke Ward run for no gain to the TnTch 1 Luke Ward fumbled, forced by Dalton Baker, recovered by UthSt Ofa Latu , return for 25 yds to the TnTch 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 29TD
1 play · 26 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 7:44
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.9%
Morian Walker Jr. run for 1 yd for a TD (Connor Coles KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TNTCDrive 30FG
11 plays · 35 yds · 5:340% → 0%
Q4 7:36
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+3
100.0%
Luke Ward run for 3 yds to the TnTch 37Similar
Q4 7:36
2ND & 7
OWN 37
+1
100.0%
D.J. Worthy run for 1 yd to the TnTch 38Similar
Q4 7:36
3RD & 6
OWN 38
0
100.0%
Luke Ward run for no gain to the TnTch 38Similar
Q4 7:36
4TH & 6
OWN 38
+20
100.0%
Luke Ward run for 20 yds to the UthSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:36
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+6
100.0%
D.J. Worthy run for 6 yds to the UthSt 36Similar
Q4 7:36
2ND & 4
OPP 36
+7
100.0%
D.J. Worthy run for 7 yds to the UthSt 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:36
1ST & 10
OPP 29
-3
100.0%
WARD, Luke rush for 3 yards to the USU26 (PARKER, CHANCE;LANGI, DANIEL), PENALTY TTU holding (HUFF, Kurt) 3 yards to the USU26, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 7:36
1ST & 13
OPP 26
-10
100.0%
David Gist run for a loss of 10 yards to the UthSt 36Similar
Q4 7:36
2ND & 23
OPP 36
+5
100.0%
Luke Ward pass complete to David Gist for 5 yds to the UthSt 31Similar
Q4 2:02
3RD & 18
OPP 31
+45
100.0%
Nick Madonia 45 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 31END OF GAME
4 plays · -6 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 1:56
1ST & 10
OWN 23
-2
100.0%
Team run for a loss of 2 yards to the UthSt 21Similar
Q4 1:56
2ND & 12
OWN 21
-2
100.0%
Team run for a loss of 2 yards to the UthSt 19Similar
Q4 1:56
3RD & 14
OWN 19
-2
100.0%
Team run for a loss of 2 yards to the UthSt 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 11:43
Jordan Love run for 2 yds for a TD (Dominik Eberle KICK)
+7.9
TD · Q2 6:03
Jordan Love pass complete to Savon Scarver for 36 yds for a TD (Dominik Eberle KICK)
+7.2
TD · Q2 3:13
Jordan Love pass complete to Aaren Vaughns for 2 yds for a TD UTAH ST Penalty, false start (-4 Yards) to the TnTch 7 (Dominik Eberle KICK)
+6.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com