Try the model
SAC

Sacramento State 14 at San Diego State 28

SDSU
2018 · Week 2 · Sep 8, 2018 · Qualcomm Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · SDSU
modelSDSU aheadSAC aheadconfidence bandkey playSDSU scoreSAC score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDFGTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 1:11 · Team run for a loss of 1 yard to the SDSt 40
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+45.5+22.80−22.8−45.5Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 6:07: Bryant Perkinson 1 Yd Run (Devon Medeiros Kick) — SAC win probability +3.8 pts (now 11%) (top driver: Scoring-chance index: 66%).
  2. TD · Q3 8:54: Kevin Thomson pass complete to Bryant Perkinson for 64 yds for a TD (Devon Medeiros KICK) — SAC win probability +14.3 pts (now 25%) (top driver: SAC has the ball).
  3. KEY PLAY · Q4 5:59: Timeout SAN DIEGO ST, clock 05:59 — SAC win probability +10.7 pts (now 46%) (top driver: SDSU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 4:05: Juwan Washington run for 4 yds for a TD AGNEW, Ryan pass attempt failed, PENALTY SAC pass interference 96 yards to the SDSU1, 1ST DOWN SDSU, NO PLAY. (Ryan Agnew pass to Parker Houston for Two-Point Conversion) — SDSU win probability +30.8 pts (now 94%) (top driver: SDSU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 2:08: Juwan Washington run for 20 yds for a TD (John Baron II KICK) — SDSU win probability +3.4 pts (now 98%) (top driver: SDSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
SDSU made the numbers' call on 2 of 6SAC made the numbers' call on 5 of 8
  1. Q1 13:48SDSU 4th & 9 at SDSU 30, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 93.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.9%−0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    94.0%
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:21SAC 4th & 8 at SDSU 31, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 6.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.9%−<0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    6.9%
    54% to make
    Punt
    6.8%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 5:42SAC 4th & 8 at SAC 27, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.0%−0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.1%
    average punt
  4. Q1 1:39SDSU 4th & 16 at SAC 35, up 7
    Close callPunted · 91.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.8%−0.2
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    92.0%
    45% to make
    PuntTheir call
    91.8%−0.1
    average punt
  5. Q1 1:34SAC 4th & 3 at SAC 11, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.8%−<0.1
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.8%
    average punt
  6. Q2 13:33SDSU 4th & 9 at SAC 35, up 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 91.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.4%
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    91.4%−<0.1
    45% to make
    Punt
    91.2%−0.2
    average punt
  7. Q2 0:55SDSU 4th & 3 at SAC 14, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 85.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.3%−0.1
    51% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    85.4%
    84% to make
    Punt
    82.6%−2.9
    average punt
  8. Q3 15:00SAC 4th & 9 at SAC 31, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 12.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.9%−0.9
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    12.8%
    average punt
  9. Q3 8:54SDSU 4th & 5 at SAC 40, down 1
    Close callPunted · 77.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    77.5%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    76.4%−1.1
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    76.7%−0.8
    average punt
  10. Q3 4:10SAC 4th & 1 at SAC 22, up 1
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.1 ptsPunted · 28.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    26.9%−2.1
    average punt
  11. Q4 13:44SAC 4th & 4 at SDSU 42, up 1
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.7 ptsPunted · 38.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.2%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    35.8%−4.4
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    37.5%−2.7
    average punt
  12. Q4 5:59SDSU 4th & 9 at SAC 38, down 1
    Numbers favored field goal by 1.9 ptsWent for it · 54.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    51.5%−1.9
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    53.4%
    38% to make
    Punt
    49.4%−4.1
    average punt
  13. Q4 4:05SAC 4th & 3 at SAC 32, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 11.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    9.9%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    8.0%−2.0
    average punt
  14. Q4 2:08SAC 4th & 9 at SAC 26, down 14
    Close callPunted · 3.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.8%
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.4%−0.3
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
SDSU made the numbers' call on 2 of 3SAC made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 5:42SDSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 6:07SAC Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    12.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    12.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 8:54SAC Touchdown, tied before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    22.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    22.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 4:05SDSU Touchdown, up 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersWent for two · converted
    Kick
    82.4%−0.7
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    83.1%
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 2:08SDSU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.4%−0.4
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.8%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
SDSUDrive 1PUNT
7 plays · 11 yds · 1:1295% → 95%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+10
95.4%
Juwan Washington run for 10 yds to the SDSt 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
95.4%
Christian Chapman pass incomplete, broken up by Immanuel AndersonSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 29
+1
95.4%
Juwan Washington run for 1 yd to the SDSt 30Similar
Q1 13:48
3RD & 9
OWN 30
0
95.2%
Christian Chapman pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:48
4TH & 9
OWN 30
0
95.1%
Brandon Heicklen punt for 34 yds, downed at the SacSt 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SACDrive 2MISSED FG
8 plays · 33 yds · 3:135% → 6%
Q1 13:34
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+3
95.1%
Kevin Thomson run for 3 yds to the SacSt 39Similar
Q1 13:34
2ND & 7
OWN 39
+16
95.1%
Elijah Dotson run for 16 yds to the SDSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:34
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+8
95.1%
Kevin Thomson pass complete to John McGill for 8 yds to the SDSt 37Similar
Q1 13:34
2ND & 2
OPP 37
+4
95.1%
Elijah Dotson run for 4 yds to the SDSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:34
1ST & 10
OPP 33
-4
95.1%
Kevin Thomson run for a loss of 4 yards to the SDSt 37Similar
Q1 13:34
2ND & 14
OPP 37
0
95.1%
Kevin Thomson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:34
3RD & 14
OPP 37
+6
95.1%
Kevin Thomson pass complete to Pierre Williams for 6 yds to the SDSt 31Similar
Q1 10:21
4TH & 8
OPP 31
+48
94.4%
Devon Medeiros 48 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 3TD
10 plays · 69 yds · 4:3995% → 94%
Q1 10:21
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+11
94.5%
Christian Chapman pass complete to Tim Wilson Jr. for 11 yds to the SDSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:21
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
94.6%
Juwan Washington run for no gain to the SDSt 42Similar
Q1 10:21
2ND & 10
OWN 42
0
94.5%
Christian Chapman pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:21
3RD & 10
OWN 42
+26
94.5%
Christian Chapman pass complete to Kahale Warring for 26 yds to the SacSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:21
1ST & 10
OPP 32
-11
94.6%
Christian Chapman sacked by Elijah Chambers and Manoah Pearson for a loss of 11 yards to the SacSt 43Similar
Q1 10:21
2ND & 21
OPP 43
-5
94.5%
CHAPMAN, C. pass complete to DEDEAUX, Ethan for 10 yards to the SAC33 (BARNES, Caelan), PENALTY SDSU ineligible downfield on pass 5 yards to the SAC48, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 10:21
2ND & 26
OPP 48
+30
94.5%
Juwan Washington run for 30 yds to the SacSt 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:21
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+2
94.6%
Juwan Washington run for 2 yds to the SacSt 16Similar
Q1 10:21
2ND & 8
OPP 16
+11
94.6%
Christian Chapman pass complete to Ethan Dedeaux for 11 yds to the SacSt 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:42
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
94.4%
Juwan Washington 5 Yd Run (John Baron II Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SACDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:006% → 6%
Q1 5:42
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
94.1%
Kevin Thomson pass incomplete to Pierre WilliamsSimilar
Q1 5:42
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+2
94.1%
Elijah Dotson run for 2 yds to the SacSt 27Similar
Q1 5:42
3RD & 8
OWN 27
0
94.2%
Kevin Thomson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:42
4TH & 8
OWN 27
+5
94.2%
Owen Hoolihan punt for 46 yds , Ethan Dedeaux returns for 5 yds to the SDSt 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 5PUNT
9 plays · 33 yds · 3:0894% → 93%
Q1 4:47
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
94.1%
Chase Jasmin run for no gain to the SDSt 32Similar
Q1 4:47
2ND & 10
OWN 32
0
94.1%
Christian Chapman pass incomplete SAN DIEGO ST Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q1 4:47
3RD & 10
OWN 32
+23
94.0%
Christian Chapman pass complete to Kahale Warring for 23 yds to the SacSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:47
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+16
94.3%
Christian Chapman pass complete to Fred Trevillion for 16 yds to the SacSt 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:47
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+2
94.3%
Chase Jasmin run for 2 yds to the SacSt 27Similar
Q1 4:47
2ND & 8
OPP 27
0
94.3%
Christian Chapman pass incomplete to Kahale Warring, broken up by Kevin McKinneySimilar
Q1 4:47
3RD & 8
OPP 27
-8
94.2%
Christian Chapman sacked by Elijah Chambers for a loss of 8 yards to the SacSt 35Similar
Q1 1:39
4TH & 16
OPP 35
0
93.3%
Brandon Heicklen punt for 31 yds, downed at the SacSt 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SACDrive 6PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:007% → 6%
Q1 1:34
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+1
93.4%
Bryant Perkinson run for 1 yd to the SacSt 5Similar
Q1 1:34
2ND & 9
OWN 5
+6
93.4%
Kevin Thomson run for 6 yds to the SacSt 11Similar
Q1 1:34
3RD & 3
OWN 11
0
93.5%
Kevin Thomson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 1:34
4TH & 3
OWN 11
0
93.6%
Owen Hoolihan punt for 25 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the SacSt 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 7FG
4 plays · 1 yds · 1:3293% → 93%
Q1 0:05
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+7
93.4%
Juwan Washington run for 7 yds to the SacSt 29Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 3
OPP 29
-3
93.4%
Juwan Washington run for a loss of 3 yards to the SacSt 32Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 6
OPP 32
-3
93.3%
Juwan Washington run for a loss of 3 yards to the SacSt 35Similar
Q2 13:33
4TH & 9
OPP 35
+52
93.0%
John Baron II 52 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SACDrive 8TD
16 plays · 75 yds · 7:267% → 11%
Q2 13:33
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
93.4%
Kevin Thomson run for 2 yds to the SacSt 27Similar
Q2 13:33
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+5
93.3%
Kevin Thomson pass complete to John McGill for 5 yds to the SacSt 32Similar
Q2 13:33
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+10
93.3%
Kevin Thomson pass complete to Elijah Dotson for 10 yds to the SacSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:33
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+1
93.1%
Elijah Dotson run for 1 yd to the SacSt 43Similar
Q2 13:33
2ND & 9
OWN 43
+8
93.2%
Kevin Thomson pass complete to Pierre Williams for 8 yds to the SDSt 49Similar
Q2 13:33
3RD & 1
OPP 49
+3
93.0%
Elijah Dotson run for 3 yds to the SDSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:33
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+1
92.9%
Bryant Perkinson run for 1 yd to the SDSt 45Similar
Q2 13:33
2ND & 9
OPP 45
+10
93.0%
Kevin Thomson pass complete to Andre Lindsey for 10 yds to the SDSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:33
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+1
92.8%
Ja'Narrick James run for 1 yd to the SDSt 34Similar
Q2 13:33
2ND & 9
OPP 34
+1
92.8%
Ja'Narrick James run for 1 yd to the SDSt 33Similar
Q2 7:46
3RD & 8
OPP 33
+29
92.0%
Kevin Thomson pass complete to Jaelin Ratliff for 29 yds to the SDSt 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:46
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+2
91.6%
Kevin Thomson run for 2 yds to the SDSt 2Similar
Q2 7:46
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
91.6%
Bryant Perkinson run for 1 yd to the SDSt 1Similar
Q2 6:07
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
88.7%
Bryant Perkinson 1 Yd Run (Devon Medeiros Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 9FG
14 plays · 77 yds · 5:0690% → 91%
Q2 6:01
1ST & 10
OWN 9
-1
89.5%
Juwan Washington run for a loss of 1 yard to the SDSt 8Similar
Q2 6:01
2ND & 11
OWN 8
+25
89.4%
Christian Chapman pass complete to Tim Wilson Jr. for 25 yds to the SDSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:01
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+15
89.7%
CHAPMAN, C. pass incomplete to WILSON, Tim (BARNES, Caelan), PENALTY SAC personal foul 15 yards to the SDSU48, 1ST DOWN SDSU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 6:01
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+13
90.4%
Ryan Agnew pass complete to Ethan Dedeaux for 13 yds to the SacSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:01
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+1
90.5%
Juwan Washington run for 1 yd to the SacSt 38Similar
Q2 6:01
2ND & 9
OPP 38
-5
90.5%
SAN DIEGO ST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the SacSt 43Similar
Q2 6:01
2ND & 14
OPP 43
+8
90.1%
Juwan Washington run for 8 yds to the SacSt 35Similar
Q2 6:01
3RD & 6
OPP 35
+14
90.5%
Ryan Agnew run for 14 yds to the SacSt 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:01
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+5
90.8%
Juwan Washington run for 5 yds to the SacSt 16Similar
Q2 6:01
2ND & 5
OPP 16
+2
90.8%
Juwan Washington run for 2 yds to the SacSt 14Similar
Q2 1:04
3RD & 3
OPP 14
0
88.5%
Ryan Agnew pass incomplete to Tim Wilson Jr.Similar
Q2 0:55
4TH & 3
OPP 14
+32
90.6%
John Baron II 32 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SACDrive 10END OF HALF
3 plays · -2 yds · 0:009% → 9%
Q2 0:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
90.7%
Elijah Dotson run for no gain to the SacSt 25Similar
Q2 0:50
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-2
90.8%
Team run for a loss of 2 yards to the SacSt 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SACDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:0012% → 11%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
88.1%
Elijah Dotson run for no gain to the SacSt 30Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+1
88.3%
Elijah Dotson run for 1 yd to the SacSt 31Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 9
OWN 31
0
88.8%
Kevin Thomson pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 9
OWN 31
0
89.0%
Owen Hoolihan punt for 49 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the SDSt 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 13INT
9 plays · 44 yds · 0:0089% → 90%
Q3 13:25
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
89.1%
Juwan Washington run for 4 yds to the SDSt 24Similar
Q3 13:25
2ND & 6
OWN 24
+15
89.1%
Ryan Agnew pass complete to Parker Houston for 15 yds to the SDSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:25
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
89.7%
Juwan Washington run for no gain to the SDSt 39Similar
Q3 13:25
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+19
89.5%
Ryan Agnew pass complete to Ethan Dedeaux for 19 yds to the SacSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:25
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
90.2%
Juwan Washington run for no gain to the SacSt 42Similar
Q3 13:25
2ND & 10
OPP 42
+3
90.1%
Ryan Agnew run for 3 yds to the SacSt 39Similar
Q3 13:25
3RD & 7
OPP 39
+9
89.8%
Ryan Agnew pass complete to Fred Trevillion for 9 yds to the SacSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:25
1ST & 10
OPP 30
-6
90.2%
Juwan Washington run for a loss of 6 yards to the SacSt 36Similar
Q3 13:25
2ND & 16
OPP 36
+20
89.6%
Ryan Agnew pass intercepted Mister Harriel return for 20 yds to the SacSt 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SACDrive 14TD
1 play · 64 yds · 0:0025% → 25%
Q3 8:54
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+64
75.3%
Kevin Thomson pass complete to Bryant Perkinson for 64 yds for a TD (Devon Medeiros KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 15PUNT
11 plays · 35 yds · 0:0077% → 79%
Q3 8:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
77.4%
Juwan Washington run for 6 yds to the SDSt 31Similar
Q3 8:54
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+4
79.0%
Juwan Washington run for 4 yds to the SDSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:54
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-10
77.8%
AGNEW, Ryan pass complete to WILSON, Tim for 35 yards to the SAC30 (LOMAX, Dhaamir), PENALTY SDSU holding 10 yards to the SDSU25, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 8:54
1ST & 20
OWN 25
+6
77.2%
Juwan Washington run for 6 yds to the SDSt 31Similar
Q3 8:54
2ND & 14
OWN 31
+24
77.2%
Ryan Agnew pass complete to Kahale Warring for 24 yds to the SacSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:54
1ST & 10
OPP 45
-7
80.4%
Juwan Washington run for a loss of 7 yards to the SDSt 48Similar
Q3 8:54
2ND & 17
OWN 48
-5
78.1%
AGNEW, Ryan pass complete to TREVILLION, F. for 35 yards to the SAC17 (BLAND, Daron), PENALTY SDSU ineligible downfield on pass 5 yards to the SDSU43, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 8:54
2ND & 22
OWN 43
+12
77.9%
Ryan Agnew pass complete to Tim Wilson Jr. for 12 yds to the SacSt 45Similar
Q3 8:54
3RD & 10
OPP 45
+5
78.5%
Ryan Agnew pass complete to Kobe Smith for 5 yds to the SacSt 40Similar
Q3 8:54
4TH & 5
OPP 40
0
78.7%
Brandon Heicklen punt for 27 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the SacSt 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SACDrive 16PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:0029% → 27%
Q3 4:10
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+4
71.4%
Elijah Dotson run for 4 yds to the SacSt 17Similar
Q3 4:10
2ND & 6
OWN 17
0
71.3%
Kevin Thomson pass incomplete to Jaelin RatliffSimilar
Q3 4:10
3RD & 6
OWN 17
+5
72.5%
Kevin Thomson run for 5 yds to the SacSt 22Similar
Q3 4:10
4TH & 1
OWN 22
0
73.3%
Owen Hoolihan punt for 49 yds, downed at the SDSt 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 17INT
9 plays · 49 yds · 2:2871% → 73%
Q3 2:28
1ST & 10
OWN 29
-10
71.0%
WASHINGTON, J. rush for 11 yards to the SDSU40 (JACKSON, T.), PENALTY SDSU holding 10 yards to the SDSU19, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 2:28
1ST & 20
OWN 19
-5
70.4%
Juwan Washington run for a loss of 5 yards to the SDSt 14Similar
Q3 2:28
2ND & 25
OWN 14
+27
70.3%
Ryan Agnew pass complete to Ethan Dedeaux for 27 yds to the SDSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:28
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+4
73.8%
Ryan Agnew run for 4 yds to the SDSt 45Similar
Q3 2:28
2ND & 6
OWN 45
+1
74.1%
Juwan Washington run for 1 yd to the SDSt 46Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 5
OWN 46
+15
69.1%
Ryan Agnew pass complete to Juwan Washington for 15 yds to the SacSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+7
71.4%
Juwan Washington run for 7 yds to the SacSt 32Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 3
OPP 32
+10
72.8%
Juwan Washington run for 10 yds to the SacSt 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
72.8%
Ryan Agnew pass intercepted Mister Harriel return for no gain to the SacSt 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SACDrive 18PUNT
9 plays · 44 yds · 0:0036% → 38%
Q4 13:44
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+7
63.8%
Bryant Perkinson run for 7 yds to the SacSt 21Similar
Q4 13:44
2ND & 3
OWN 21
+5
63.0%
Kevin Thomson run for 5 yds to the SacSt 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:44
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+16
63.4%
Kevin Thomson pass complete to Bryant Perkinson for 16 yds to the SacSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:44
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+4
60.5%
Elijah Dotson run for 4 yds to the SacSt 46Similar
Q4 13:44
2ND & 6
OWN 46
+6
60.1%
Kevin Thomson pass complete to John McGill for 6 yds to the SDSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:44
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+2
59.3%
Elijah Dotson run for 2 yds to the SDSt 46Similar
Q4 13:44
2ND & 8
OPP 46
-1
59.4%
Kevin Thomson run for a loss of 1 yard to the SDSt 47Similar
Q4 13:44
3RD & 9
OPP 47
+5
60.5%
Kevin Thomson run for 5 yds to the SDSt 42Similar
Q4 13:44
4TH & 4
OPP 42
0
62.3%
Owen Hoolihan punt for 24 yds, downed at the SDSt 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 19TD
15 plays · 82 yds · 5:1360% → 94%
Q4 9:18
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+3
60.0%
Juwan Washington run for 3 yds to the SDSt 21Similar
Q4 9:18
2ND & 7
OWN 21
+15
59.9%
AGNEW, Ryan pass incomplete to WILSON, Tim, PENALTY SAC pass interference 15 yards to the SDSU36, 1ST DOWN SDSU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 9:18
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+6
61.7%
Juwan Washington run for 6 yds to the SDSt 42Similar
Q4 9:18
2ND & 4
OWN 42
0
65.0%
Ryan Agnew pass incomplete to Fred TrevillionSimilar
Q4 9:18
3RD & 4
OWN 42
+5
63.2%
Ryan Agnew pass complete to Ethan Dedeaux for 5 yds to the SDSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:18
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+14
65.0%
Juwan Washington run for 14 yds to the SacSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:18
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+1
66.0%
Juwan Washington run for 1 yd to the SacSt 38Similar
Q4 9:18
2ND & 9
OPP 38
0
65.9%
Ryan Agnew pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 9:18
3RD & 9
OPP 38
0
64.5%
Ryan Agnew pass incomplete to Tim Wilson Jr.Similar
Q4 5:59
4TH & 9
OPP 38
+15
53.8%
Ryan Agnew pass complete to Ethan Dedeaux for 15 yds to the SacSt 23 for a 1ST down SACRAMENTO ST Penalty, Defensive pass interference ( Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:59
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+14
63.1%
Juwan Washington run for 14 yds to the SacSt 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:59
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+3
63.1%
Juwan Washington run for 3 yds to the SacSt 6Similar
Q4 5:59
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+2
63.1%
Juwan Washington run for 2 yds to the SacSt 4Similar
Q4 4:05
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
93.9%
Juwan Washington run for 4 yds for a TD AGNEW, Ryan pass attempt failed, PENALTY SAC pass interference 96 yards to the SDSU1, 1ST DOWN SDSU, NO PLAY. (Ryan Agnew pass to Parker Houston for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SACDrive 20DOWNS
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:0012% → 12%
Q4 4:05
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-8
87.7%
Kevin Thomson sacked by Troy Cassidy and Chibu Onyeukwu for a loss of 8 yards to the SacSt 17Similar
Q4 4:05
2ND & 18
OWN 17
+15
88.2%
Kevin Thomson pass complete to Andre Lindsey for 15 yds to the SacSt 32Similar
Q4 4:05
3RD & 3
OWN 32
0
86.4%
Kevin Thomson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 4:05
4TH & 3
OWN 32
-7
87.6%
Kevin Thomson sacked by Kyahva Tezino for a loss of 7 yards to the SacSt 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 21TD
2 plays · 25 yds · 0:4995% → 98%
Q4 2:57
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+5
94.5%
Juwan Washington run for 5 yds to the SacSt 20Similar
Q4 2:08
2ND & 5
OPP 20
+20
97.9%
Juwan Washington run for 20 yds for a TD (John Baron II KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SACDrive 22PUNT
7 plays · 1 yds · 0:004% → 4%
Q4 2:08
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
95.8%
Wyatt Clapper pass complete to Jarrell Anderson for 4 yds to the SacSt 29Similar
Q4 2:08
2ND & 6
OWN 29
0
95.4%
Wyatt Clapper pass incomplete, broken up by Tayler HawkinsSimilar
Q4 2:08
3RD & 6
OWN 29
-5
95.5%
SACRAMENTO ST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the SacSt 24Similar
Q4 2:08
3RD & 11
OWN 24
+5
96.0%
SAN DIEGO ST Penalty, Defensive offside (5 Yards) to the SacSt 29Similar
Q4 2:08
3RD & 6
OWN 29
-3
95.5%
Wyatt Clapper sacked by Anthony Luke for a loss of 3 yards to the SacSt 26Similar
Q4 2:08
4TH & 9
OWN 26
0
96.0%
Owen Hoolihan punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Juwan Washington at the SDSt 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 23END OF GAME
2 plays · -2 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q4 1:11
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-1
98.2%
Team run for a loss of 1 yard to the SDSt 41Similar
Q4 1:11
2ND & 11
OWN 41
-1
98.2%
Team run for a loss of 1 yard to the SDSt 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 4:05
Juwan Washington run for 4 yds for a TD AGNEW, Ryan pass attempt failed, PENALTY SAC pass interference 96 yards to the SDSU1, 1ST DOWN SDSU, NO PLAY. (Ryan Agnew pass to Parker Houston for Two-Point Conversion)
+30.8
TD · Q3 8:54
Kevin Thomson pass complete to Bryant Perkinson for 64 yds for a TD (Devon Medeiros KICK)
-14.3
KEY PLAY · Q4 5:59
Timeout SAN DIEGO ST, clock 05:59
-10.7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com