Try the model
PRST

Portland State 19 at Nevada 72

NEV
2018 · Week 1 · Aug 31, 2018 · Mackay Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · NEV
modelNEV aheadPRST aheadconfidence bandkey playNEV scorePRST score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDSAFETYTDFGTDTDTDTDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 13:16 · Ben Niesner punt for 36 yds, fair catch by McLane Mannix at the Nevad 27
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+47.0+23.50−23.5−47.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 111Pregame prior+29.8Home team on offense+15.6Score differential+4.7Blowout margin+0.9Garbage-time factor+2.9Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+4.6
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 4:52: Devonte Lee run for 14 yds for a TD (Ramiz Ahmed KICK) — NEV win probability +1.8 pts (now 96%) (top driver: NEV has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 4:39: Davis Alexander pass complete to Charlie Taumoepeau for 75 yds for a TD (Cody Williams KICK) — PRST win probability +2.6 pts (now 7%) (top driver: PRST has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 0:59: Ty Gangi pass complete to McLane Mannix for 18 yds for a TD (Ramiz Ahmed KICK) — NEV win probability +2.1 pts (now 96%) (top driver: NEV has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 13:16: Kelton Moore run for 9 yds for a TD (Ramiz Ahmed KICK) — NEV win probability +3.1 pts (now 97%) (top driver: NEV has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 11:34: Toa Taua pass complete to Jaxson Kincaide for 73 yds for a TD (Ramiz Ahmed KICK) — NEV win probability +3.0 pts (now 99%) (top driver: NEV has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
NEV made the numbers' call on 5 of 5PRST made the numbers' call on 13 of 15
  1. Q1 12:07NEV 4th & 5 at PRST 39, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 94.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    94.8%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    94.7%−0.1
    36% to make
    Punt
    94.7%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:30PRST 4th & 1 at PRST 48, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 6.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    6.6%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    6.5%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 8:30PRST 4th & 6 at NEV 46, up 7
    Close callPunted · 6.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.6%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    6.5%−0.1
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    6.6%−<0.1
    average punt
  4. Q1 3:38PRST 4th & 12 at PRST 23, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.2%−0.3
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.5%
    average punt
  5. Q1 0:00NEV 4th & 7 at PRST 29, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 91.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.1%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    91.1%
    58% to make
    Punt
    90.4%−0.7
    average punt
  6. Q2 14:54PRST 4th & 7 at PRST 18, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 8.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.2%−0.2
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.4%
    average punt
  7. Q2 13:11PRST 4th & 3 at NEV 49, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 7.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    7.6%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    7.5%−0.1
    average punt
  8. Q2 13:11PRST 4th & 1 at NEV 5, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 7.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    7.6%
    67% to convert
    Field goal
    7.1%−0.5
    92% to make
    Punt
    5.8%−1.8
    average punt
  9. Q2 8:06PRST 4th & 9 at PRST 47, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 8.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.8%−0.2
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.0%
    average punt
  10. Q3 13:16PRST 4th & 13 at PRST 37, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.0%−0.7
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.7%
    average punt
  11. Q3 11:34PRST 4th & 12 at PRST 23, down 25
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.3%−0.5
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.8%
    average punt
  12. Q3 8:36PRST 4th & 13 at PRST 3, down 32
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.3%−0.2
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.5%
    average punt
  13. Q3 6:42PRST 4th & 8 at PRST 17, down 39
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  14. Q3 5:47NEV 4th & 11 at NEV 44, up 39
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.7%−0.1
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.8%
    average punt
  15. Q3 4:26PRST 4th & 4 at NEV 48, down 39
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.2%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.2%−<0.1
    average punt
  16. Q4 14:55NEV 4th & 10 at PRST 23, up 39
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.9%
    70% to make
    Punt
    99.5%−0.4
    average punt
  17. Q4 14:55PRST 4th & 7 at PRST 38, down 39
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  18. Q4 6:48PRST 4th & 3 at PRST 46, down 46
    Close callPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.0%−<0.1
    average punt
  19. Q4 6:48PRST 4th & 3 at PRST 32, down 53
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  20. Q4 4:28NEV 4th & 11 at NEV 39, up 53
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%−0.1
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
NEV made the numbers' call on 9 of 9PRST made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 12:07PRST Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    5.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    5.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 3:38NEV Touchdown, down 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    92.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 13:16NEV Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 4:52NEV Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 4:39PRST Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    8.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    8.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 0:59NEV Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 13:16NEV Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 11:34NEV Touchdown, up 24 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q3 8:36NEV Touchdown, up 31 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  10. Q3 6:46NEV Touchdown, up 38 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  11. Q4 9:33NEV Touchdown, up 45 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
PRSTDrive 1TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 2:533% → 4%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+17
96.6%
Danny Velasquez pass complete to Davis Alexander for 17 yds to the PrtSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+1
96.6%
Carlos Martin run for 1 yd to the PrtSt 43Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 43
+8
96.6%
Davis Alexander pass complete to Easton Trakel for 8 yds to the Nevad 49Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 49
+1
96.6%
Sirgeo Hoffman run for 1 yd to the Nevad 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
96.6%
Sirgeo Hoffman run for no gain to the Nevad 48Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 48
0
96.6%
Davis Alexander pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:07
3RD & 10
OPP 48
+48
95.9%
Davis Alexander pass complete to Charlie Taumoepeau for 48 yds for a TD (Cody Williams KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 2DOWNS
10 plays · 36 yds · 0:0096% → 96%
Q1 12:07
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
95.9%
Ty Gangi pass incomplete to McLane MannixSimilar
Q1 12:07
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+2
95.9%
Ty Gangi run for 2 yds to the Nevad 27Similar
Q1 12:07
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+6
95.9%
PORTLAND ST Penalty, Defensive offside (Larry Ross) to the Nevad 33Similar
Q1 12:07
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+23
95.9%
Ty Gangi pass complete to Kaleb Fossum for 23 yds to the PrtSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:07
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
95.9%
Ty Gangi pass incomplete to Kaleb Fossum, broken up by Artuz ManningSimilar
Q1 12:07
2ND & 10
OPP 44
+5
95.9%
Ty Gangi run for 5 yds to the PrtSt 39Similar
Q1 12:07
3RD & 5
OPP 39
-5
95.9%
NEVADA Penalty, false start (Anthony Palomares) to the PrtSt 44Similar
Q1 12:07
3RD & 10
OPP 44
+5
95.9%
Kelton Moore run for 5 yds to the PrtSt 39Similar
Q1 12:07
4TH & 5
OPP 39
0
95.9%
Ty Gangi pass incomplete to McLane MannixSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PRSTDrive 3PUNT
10 plays · 15 yds · 0:445% → 5%
Q1 9:14
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+2
95.0%
Darian Green run for 2 yds to the PrtSt 41Similar
Q1 8:30
2ND & 8
OWN 41
-10
94.8%
KELLY,Beau rush for no gain to the PSU41 (SEKONA, Hausia;WEBER, Lucas), PENALTY PSU illegal block (SORENSEN,Korbin) 10 yards to the PSU31, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 8:30
2ND & 18
OWN 31
0
94.9%
Davis Alexander sacked by Korey Rush for 0 yards to the PrtSt 31Similar
Q1 8:30
3RD & 18
OWN 31
+17
94.9%
Davis Alexander pass complete to Emmanuel Daigbe for 17 yds to the PrtSt 48Similar
Q1 8:30
4TH & 1
OWN 48
+2
94.8%
Sirgeo Hoffman run for 2 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:30
1ST & 10
50
+2
94.8%
Sirgeo Hoffman run for 2 yds to the Nevad 48Similar
Q1 8:30
2ND & 8
OPP 48
-3
94.8%
Carlos Martin run for a loss of 3 yards to the PrtSt 49Similar
Q1 8:30
3RD & 11
OWN 49
+5
94.8%
Davis Alexander run for 5 yds to the Nevad 46Similar
Q1 8:30
4TH & 6
OPP 46
0
94.8%
Ben Niesner punt for 45 yds, downed at the Nevad 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 4SF
2 plays · -1 yds · 0:1093% → 93%
Q1 4:16
1ST & 10
OWN 1
0
93.4%
Ty Gangi pass incomplete to Elijah CooksSimilar
Q1 4:06
2ND & 10
OWN 1
-1
93.4%
Kelton Moore run for a loss of 1 yard for a SAFETYSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PRSTDrive 5INT TD
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:227% → 6%
Q1 4:00
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
93.2%
Davis Alexander pass incomplete to AJ Ruffin, broken up by EJ MuhammadSimilar
Q1 4:00
2ND & 10
OWN 31
0
93.2%
Davis Alexander pass incomplete to Emmanuel DaigbeSimilar
Q1 3:38
3RD & 10
OWN 31
+42
94.0%
Davis Alexander pass intercepted for a TD Daniel Brown return for 42 yds for a TD (TEAM PAT BLOCKED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PRSTDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · -2 yds · 0:006% → 6%
Q1 3:38
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
93.9%
Sirgeo Hoffman run for no gain to the PrtSt 25Similar
Q1 3:38
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+1
93.9%
Davis Alexander run for 1 yd to the PrtSt 26Similar
Q1 3:38
3RD & 9
OWN 26
-3
94.0%
Davis Alexander pass complete to Carlos Martin for a loss of 3 yards to the PrtSt 23Similar
Q1 3:38
4TH & 12
OWN 23
0
94.1%
Ben Niesner punt, downed at the PrtSt 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 7FG
4 plays · 3 yds · 1:1794% → 93%
Q1 1:17
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
93.6%
Jaxson Kincaide run for no gain to the PrtSt 32Similar
Q1 1:17
2ND & 10
OPP 32
+3
93.6%
Ty Gangi pass complete to Trevion Armstrong for 3 yds to the PrtSt 29Similar
Q1 1:17
3RD & 7
OPP 29
0
93.5%
Ty Gangi pass incomplete to Elijah CooksSimilar
Q1 0:00
4TH & 7
OPP 29
+46
93.4%
Ramiz Ahmed 46 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PRSTDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:007% → 7%
Q2 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+2
92.9%
Carlos Martin run for 2 yds to the PrtSt 17Similar
Q2 14:54
2ND & 8
OWN 17
0
92.9%
Davis Alexander pass incomplete, broken up by Dom PetersonSimilar
Q2 14:54
3RD & 8
OWN 17
+1
93.1%
Davis Alexander run for 1 yd to the PrtSt 18Similar
Q2 14:54
4TH & 7
OWN 18
+7
93.2%
Ben Niesner punt for 47 yds , Kaleb Fossum returns for 7 yds to the Nevad 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 9TD
2 plays · 58 yds · 0:0095% → 94%
Q2 13:16
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+58
94.5%
Ty Gangi pass complete to McLane Mannix for 58 yds for a TD (Ramiz Ahmed KICK)Similar
Q2 13:16
1ST & GOAL
OWN 20
-10
94.2%
NEVADA Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Anthony Palomares) to the Nevad 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PRSTDrive 10DOWNS
11 plays · 51 yds · 0:006% → 6%
Q2 13:11
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+1
93.9%
Darian Green run for 1 yd to the PrtSt 45Similar
Q2 13:11
2ND & 9
OWN 45
+6
93.9%
Davis Alexander pass complete to Mataio Talalemotu for 6 yds to the Nevad 49Similar
Q2 13:11
3RD & 3
OPP 49
0
93.8%
Davis Alexander pass incomplete to Beau KellySimilar
Q2 13:11
4TH & 3
OPP 49
+15
94.0%
Davis Alexander run for 15 yds to the Nevad 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:11
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+7
93.5%
Davis Alexander pass complete to Beau Kelly for 7 yds to the Nevad 27Similar
Q2 13:11
2ND & 3
OPP 27
+13
93.5%
NEVADA Penalty, targeting (Sam Hammond) to the Nevad 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:11
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+4
93.5%
Jalani Eason run for 4 yds to the Nevad 10Similar
Q2 13:11
2ND & 6
OPP 10
+3
93.5%
Darian Green run for 3 yds to the Nevad 7Similar
Q2 13:11
3RD & 3
OPP 7
+2
93.7%
Carlos Martin run for 2 yds to the Nevad 5Similar
Q2 13:11
4TH & 1
OPP 5
0
93.9%
Jalani Eason run for no gain to the Nevad 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 11INT
3 plays · 19 yds · 0:0093% → 93%
Q2 8:30
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+5
93.3%
Toa Taua run for 5 yds to the Nevad 10Similar
Q2 8:30
2ND & 5
OWN 10
+14
93.3%
PORTLAND ST Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Houston Barnes) to the Nevad 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:30
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
93.4%
Ty Gangi pass intercepted Maxwell Howell return for no gain to the PrtSt 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PRSTDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:007% → 7%
Q2 8:06
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+1
92.8%
Davis Alexander pass complete to Mataio Talalemotu for 1 yd to the PrtSt 47Similar
Q2 8:06
2ND & 9
OWN 47
+5
93.0%
Davis Alexander pass complete to Mataio Talalemotu for 5 yds to the Nevad 48Similar
Q2 8:06
3RD & 4
OPP 48
0
92.8%
Davis Alexander pass incomplete to AJ RuffinSimilar
Q2 8:06
4TH & 4
OPP 48
-5
93.2%
PORTLAND ST Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the PrtSt 47Similar
Q2 8:06
4TH & 9
OWN 47
+7
93.5%
Ben Niesner punt for 44 yds , McLane Mannix returns for 7 yds to the Nevad 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 13TD
5 plays · 84 yds · 1:5193% → 96%
Q2 6:43
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+18
93.2%
Toa Taua run for 18 yds to the Nevad 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:43
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+27
93.3%
Ty Gangi pass complete to Kaleb Fossum for 27 yds to the PrtSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:43
1ST & 10
OPP 39
-2
93.7%
Devonte Lee run for a loss of 2 yards to the PrtSt 41Similar
Q2 6:43
2ND & 12
OPP 41
+27
93.6%
Ty Gangi pass complete to Trevion Armstrong for 27 yds to the PrtSt 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:52
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+14
95.5%
Devonte Lee run for 14 yds for a TD (Ramiz Ahmed KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PRSTDrive 14TD
2 plays · 75 yds · 0:007% → 7%
Q2 4:39
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+75
92.6%
Davis Alexander pass complete to Charlie Taumoepeau for 75 yds for a TD (Cody Williams KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 15TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 3:4093% → 96%
Q2 4:39
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
92.8%
Ty Gangi pass incomplete to Elijah CooksSimilar
Q2 4:39
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+2
92.7%
Kelton Moore run for 2 yds to the Nevad 27Similar
Q2 4:39
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+9
92.5%
Ty Gangi pass complete to Kaleb Fossum for 9 yds to the Nevad 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:39
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+5
93.0%
PORTLAND ST Penalty, Defensive offside (5 Yards) to the Nevad 41Similar
Q2 4:39
1ST & 5
OWN 41
+12
93.3%
Ty Gangi run for 12 yds to the PrtSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:39
1ST & 10
OPP 47
-6
93.4%
Ty Gangi sacked by Dallas House and Larry Ross for a loss of 6 yards to the Nevad 47Similar
Q2 4:39
2ND & 16
OWN 47
+9
93.0%
Ty Gangi pass complete to McLane Mannix for 9 yds to the PrtSt 44Similar
Q2 4:39
3RD & 7
OPP 44
+13
93.2%
Ty Gangi pass complete to Kaleb Fossum for 13 yds to the PrtSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:39
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+8
93.5%
Jaxson Kincaide run for 8 yds to the PrtSt 23Similar
Q2 4:39
2ND & 2
OPP 23
+5
93.5%
Jaxson Kincaide run for 5 yds to the PrtSt 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:59
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+18
95.6%
Ty Gangi pass complete to McLane Mannix for 18 yds for a TD (Ramiz Ahmed KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PRSTDrive 16FG
12 plays · 61 yds · 0:545% → 8%
Q2 0:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
94.8%
Carlos Martin run for 1 yd to the PrtSt 26Similar
Q2 0:52
2ND & 9
OWN 26
0
94.7%
Davis Alexander run for no gain to the PrtSt 26Similar
Q2 0:52
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+15
94.8%
NEVADA Penalty, personal foul (Malik Reed) to the PrtSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:52
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
94.4%
Davis Alexander pass incomplete to Mataio TalalemotuSimilar
Q2 0:52
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+21
94.5%
Davis Alexander pass complete to Emmanuel Daigbe for 21 yds to the Nevad 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:52
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
93.8%
Davis Alexander pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:52
2ND & 10
OPP 38
+11
93.9%
Davis Alexander pass complete to Mataio Talalemotu for 11 yds to the Nevad 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:52
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+13
93.4%
NEVADA Penalty, face mask (13 yards) (Dom Peterson) to the Nevad 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:05
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+31
91.9%
Cody Williams 31 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 17TD
5 plays · 76 yds · 1:4094% → 97%
Q3 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+33
93.5%
Ty Gangi pass complete to Kaleb Fossum for 33 yds to the PrtSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:56
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+5
93.9%
Kelton Moore run for 5 yds to the PrtSt 38Similar
Q3 14:56
2ND & 5
OPP 38
+29
93.9%
Ty Gangi pass complete to Elijah Cooks for 29 yds to the PrtSt 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:16
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
97.0%
Kelton Moore run for 9 yds for a TD (Ramiz Ahmed KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PRSTDrive 18PUNT
6 plays · 12 yds · 0:004% → 4%
Q3 13:16
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
95.9%
Antwone Williams run for 15 yds to the PrtSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:16
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
95.6%
Antwone Williams run for no gain to the PrtSt 40Similar
Q3 13:16
2ND & 10
OWN 40
0
95.8%
Davis Alexander pass incomplete to Darian GreenSimilar
Q3 13:16
3RD & 10
OWN 40
-3
95.9%
Davis Alexander sacked by Maliek Broady for a loss of 3 yards to the PrtSt 37Similar
Q3 13:16
4TH & 13
OWN 37
0
96.1%
Ben Niesner punt for 36 yds, fair catch by McLane Mannix at the Nevad 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 19TD
1 play · 73 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q3 11:34
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+73
99.0%
Toa Taua pass complete to Jaxson Kincaide for 73 yds for a TD (Ramiz Ahmed KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PRSTDrive 20PUNT
5 plays · -2 yds · 0:001% → 2%
Q3 11:34
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
98.7%
Davis Alexander pass incomplete to Davis KoetterSimilar
Q3 11:34
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-1
98.7%
Sirgeo Hoffman run for a loss of 1 yard to the PrtSt 24Similar
Q3 11:34
3RD & 11
OWN 24
-1
98.7%
Davis Alexander sacked by Gabriel Sewell for a loss of 1 yard to the PrtSt 23Similar
Q3 11:34
4TH & 12
OWN 23
0
98.5%
Ben Niesner punt for 39 yds, fair catch by McLane Mannix at the Nevad 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 21TD
5 plays · 62 yds · 1:2799% → 100%
Q3 10:03
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+9
99.2%
Toa Taua run for 9 yds to the Nevad 47Similar
Q3 10:03
2ND & 1
OWN 47
+2
99.2%
Devonte Lee run for 2 yds to the Nevad 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:03
1ST & 10
OWN 49
-5
99.2%
TAUA, Toa pass complete to COOKS, Elijah for 37 yards to the PSU14, PENALTY NEV ineligible downfield on pass (GREEN, Chris) 5 yards to the NEV44, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 10:03
1ST & 15
OWN 44
+9
99.2%
Devonte Lee run for 9 yds to the PrtSt 47Similar
Q3 8:36
2ND & 6
OPP 47
+47
99.7%
Ty Gangi pass complete to McLane Mannix for 47 yds for a TD (Ramiz Ahmed KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PRSTDrive 22PUNT
5 plays · -3 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 8:36
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+3
99.6%
Darian Green run for 3 yds to the PrtSt 9Similar
Q3 8:36
2ND & 7
OWN 9
0
99.6%
Davis Alexander pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:36
3RD & 7
OWN 9
-6
99.6%
Davis Alexander sacked by Malik Reed for a loss of 6 yards to the PrtSt 3Similar
Q3 8:36
4TH & 13
OWN 3
+14
99.6%
Ben Niesner punt for 50 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the PrtSt 39 , McLane Mannix returns for 14 yds to the PrtSt 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 23TD
3 plays · 39 yds · 0:38100% → 100%
Q3 7:24
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+34
99.7%
Ty Gangi pass complete to Kaleb Fossum for 34 yds to the PrtSt 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:24
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
0
99.7%
Ty Gangi pass incomplete to Daiyan HenleySimilar
Q3 6:46
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
99.8%
Ty Gangi run for 5 yds for a TD (Ramiz Ahmed KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PRSTDrive 24PUNT
6 plays · 2 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 6:42
1ST & 10
OWN 15
-5
99.8%
PORTLAND ST Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the PrtSt 10Similar
Q3 6:42
1ST & 15
OWN 10
0
99.8%
Davis Alexander pass incomplete, broken up by Adam LopezSimilar
Q3 6:42
2ND & 15
OWN 10
0
99.8%
Davis Alexander pass incomplete to Beau KellySimilar
Q3 6:42
3RD & 15
OWN 10
+7
99.8%
Davis Alexander pass complete to Charlie Taumoepeau for 7 yds to the PrtSt 17Similar
Q3 6:42
4TH & 8
OWN 17
0
99.8%
Ben Niesner punt for 38 yds, fair catch by McLane Mannix at the Nevad 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 25PUNT
4 plays · -1 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q3 5:47
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
99.8%
Toa Taua run for no gain to the Nevad 45Similar
Q3 5:47
2ND & 10
OWN 45
-1
99.8%
Ty Gangi pass complete to Trevion Armstrong for a loss of 1 yard to the Nevad 44Similar
Q3 5:47
3RD & 11
OWN 44
0
99.8%
Ty Gangi pass incomplete to Trevion Armstrong, broken up by Noah YunkerSimilar
Q3 5:47
4TH & 11
OWN 44
0
99.8%
Quinton Conaway punt for 32 yds , Beau Kelly returns for no gain to the PrtSt 25 Beau Kelly fumbled, recovered by PrtSt Beau KellySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PRSTDrive 26DOWNS
5 plays · 27 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 4:26
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+21
99.8%
Davis Alexander pass complete to Beau Kelly for 21 yds to the PrtSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:26
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+6
99.8%
Darian Green run for 6 yds to the Nevad 48Similar
Q3 4:26
2ND & 4
OPP 48
0
99.8%
Davis Alexander pass incomplete to Mataio TalalemotuSimilar
Q3 4:26
3RD & 4
OPP 48
0
99.8%
Davis Alexander pass incomplete to Mataio TalalemotuSimilar
Q3 4:26
4TH & 4
OPP 48
0
99.8%
Davis Alexander pass incomplete to Sirgeo Hoffman, broken up by Berdale RobinsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 27MISSED FG
8 plays · 29 yds · 3:31100% → 100%
Q3 3:26
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+3
99.8%
Toa Taua run for 3 yds to the PrtSt 49Similar
Q3 3:26
2ND & 7
OPP 49
+4
99.8%
Ty Gangi pass complete to Ian Zamudio for 4 yds to the PrtSt 45Similar
Q3 3:26
3RD & 3
OPP 45
+5
99.8%
Ty Gangi run for 5 yds to the PrtSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:26
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+17
99.8%
Toa Taua run for 17 yds to the PrtSt 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:26
1ST & 10
OPP 23
0
99.8%
Ty Gangi pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:26
2ND & 10
OPP 23
-5
99.8%
Toa Taua run for a loss of 5 yards to the PrtSt 32 Toa Taua fumbled, recovered by Nevad Toa TauaSimilar
Q3 3:26
3RD & 19
OPP 32
+9
99.8%
Ty Gangi pass complete to Toa Taua for 9 yds to the PrtSt 23Similar
Q4 14:55
4TH & 10
OPP 23
+40
99.9%
TEAM 40 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by Kenton BartlettSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PRSTDrive 28PUNT
8 plays · 15 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+4
99.9%
Carlos Martin run for 4 yds to the PrtSt 27Similar
Q4 14:55
2ND & 6
OWN 27
0
99.9%
Davis Alexander pass incomplete to Darian GreenSimilar
Q4 14:55
3RD & 6
OWN 27
+8
99.9%
Davis Alexander run for 8 yds to the PrtSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-5
99.9%
PORTLAND ST Penalty, false start (Josh Brown) to the PrtSt 30Similar
Q4 14:55
1ST & 15
OWN 30
+4
99.9%
Carlos Martin run for 4 yds to the PrtSt 34Similar
Q4 14:55
2ND & 11
OWN 34
0
99.9%
Davis Alexander pass incomplete to AJ RuffinSimilar
Q4 14:55
3RD & 11
OWN 34
+4
99.9%
Darian Green run for 4 yds to the PrtSt 38Similar
Q4 14:55
4TH & 7
OWN 38
0
99.9%
Ben Niesner punt for 45 yds, downed at the Nevad 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 29TD
6 plays · 83 yds · 2:30100% → 100%
Q4 12:03
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+13
99.9%
Toa Taua run for 13 yds to the Nevad 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:03
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+30
99.9%
Jaxson Kincaide run for 30 yds to the PrtSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:03
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+5
99.9%
Cristian Solano pass complete to Dominic Christian for 5 yds to the PrtSt 35Similar
Q4 12:03
2ND & 5
OPP 35
+6
99.9%
Cristian Solano run for 6 yds to the PrtSt 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:03
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+20
99.9%
Devonte Lee run for 20 yds to the PrtSt 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:33
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
99.9%
Cristian Solano run for 9 yds for a TD (Ramiz Ahmed KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PRSTDrive 30PUNT RETURN TD
9 plays · 21 yds · 2:450% → 0%
Q4 9:33
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-3
99.9%
Darian Green run for a loss of 3 yards to the PrtSt 22Similar
Q4 9:33
2ND & 13
OWN 22
+2
99.9%
Jalani Eason run for 2 yds to the PrtSt 24Similar
Q4 9:33
3RD & 11
OWN 24
+15
99.9%
NEVADA Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (15 Yards) to the PrtSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:33
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+3
99.9%
Sirgeo Hoffman run for 3 yds to the PrtSt 42Similar
Q4 9:33
2ND & 7
OWN 42
+4
99.9%
Sirgeo Hoffman run for 4 yds to the PrtSt 46Similar
Q4 9:33
3RD & 3
OWN 46
0
99.9%
Jalani Eason pass incomplete to Emmanuel Daigbe, broken up by Berdale RobinsSimilar
Q4 6:48
4TH & 3
OWN 46
+80
100.0%
Ben Niesner punt for 34 yds , Romeo Doubs returns for 80 yds for a TD (Ramiz Ahmed KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PRSTDrive 31PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 6:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
100.0%
Sirgeo Hoffman run for a loss of 2 yards to the PrtSt 23Similar
Q4 6:48
2ND & 12
OWN 23
+6
100.0%
Sirgeo Hoffman run for 6 yds to the PrtSt 29Similar
Q4 6:48
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+3
100.0%
Darian Green run for 3 yds to the PrtSt 32Similar
Q4 6:48
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
100.0%
Ben Niesner punt for 45 yds, downed at the Nevad 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 32PUNT
6 plays · 16 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 4:28
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+4
100.0%
Carson Strong run for 4 yds to the Nevad 27Similar
Q4 4:28
2ND & 6
OWN 27
+13
100.0%
Blake Wright run for 13 yds to the Nevad 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:28
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+2
100.0%
Blake Wright run for 2 yds to the Nevad 42Similar
Q4 4:28
2ND & 8
OWN 42
0
100.0%
Blake Wright run for no gain to the Nevad 42Similar
Q4 4:28
3RD & 8
OWN 42
-3
100.0%
Roger Neal run for a loss of 3 yards to the Nevad 39Similar
Q4 4:28
4TH & 11
OWN 39
0
100.0%
Quinton Conaway punt for 39 yds, downed at the PrtSt 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PRSTDrive 33END OF GAME
4 plays · 36 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 1:40
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+2
100.0%
Darian Green run for 2 yds to the PrtSt 24Similar
Q4 1:40
2ND & 8
OWN 24
+16
100.0%
Darian Green run for 16 yds to the PrtSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:40
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+15
100.0%
NEVADA Penalty, personal foul (15 Yards) to the Nevad 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:40
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+3
100.0%
Sirgeo Hoffman run for 3 yds to the Nevad 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 13:16
Kelton Moore run for 9 yds for a TD (Ramiz Ahmed KICK)
+3.1
TD · Q3 11:34
Toa Taua pass complete to Jaxson Kincaide for 73 yds for a TD (Ramiz Ahmed KICK)
+3
TD · Q2 4:39
Davis Alexander pass complete to Charlie Taumoepeau for 75 yds for a TD (Cody Williams KICK)
-2.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com