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IDHO

Idaho 13 at Fresno State 79

FRES
2018 · Week 1 · Sep 1, 2018 · Valley Children's Stadium
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Win probability · FRES
modelFRES aheadIDHO aheadconfidence bandkey playFRES scoreIDHO score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 15:00 · Blake Cusick punt for 38 yds, downed at the Idaho 2
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsGarbage-time factor
+45.5+22.80−22.8−45.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 147Pregame prior+16.3Home team on offense+32.9Score differential+28.2Blowout margin+14.6Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+10.6Garbage-time factor+11.6
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 8:45: Jordan Mims run for 1 yd for a TD (Asa Fuller KICK) — IDHO win probability +0.4 pts (now 6%) (top driver: FRES has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 2:05: Dejonte O'Neal run for 26 yds for a TD (Asa Fuller PAT MISSED) — FRES win probability +0.7 pts (now 95%) (top driver: FRES has the ball).
  3. TD · Q1 0:05: Colton Richardson pass complete to Jeff Cotton for 73 yds for a TD (Cade Coffey PAT MISSED) — IDHO win probability +1.0 pts (now 7%) (top driver: IDHO has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 12:42: Jordan Mims run for 12 yds for a TD (Asa Fuller KICK) — FRES win probability +2.2 pts (now 96%) (top driver: FRES has the ball).
  5. TD · Q2 2:58: Colton Richardson pass intercepted for a TD Anthoula Kelly return for 39 yds for a TD (Asa Fuller KICK) — FRES win probability +2.2 pts (now 99%) (top driver: IDHO has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
FRES made the numbers' call on 4 of 5IDHO made the numbers' call on 8 of 9
  1. Q1 15:00IDHO 4th & 24 at IDHO 11, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.3%−0.2
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.5%
    average punt
  2. Q1 13:06FRES 4th & 1 at IDHO 34, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 93.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    93.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    93.0%−0.2
    47% to make
    Punt
    93.0%−0.2
    average punt
  3. Q1 8:45IDHO 4th & 6 at IDHO 29, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.2%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.3%
    average punt
  4. Q1 0:43FRES 4th & 6 at IDHO 15, up 13
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 93.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.1%−0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    93.2%
    83% to make
    Punt
    91.7%−1.4
    average punt
  5. Q2 12:42IDHO 4th & 1 at FRES 31, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 6.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    6.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    5.5%−0.9
    54% to make
    Punt
    5.1%−1.3
    average punt
  6. Q2 9:20IDHO 4th & 6 at FRES 19, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 6.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.1%−0.1
    38% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    6.2%
    77% to make
    Punt
    3.7%−2.4
    average punt
  7. Q2 9:12IDHO 4th & 10 at IDHO 49, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.5%−0.2
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.7%
    average punt
  8. Q2 6:23FRES 4th & 1 at FRES 27, up 24
    Close callPunted · 96.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    96.3%−0.4
    average punt
  9. Q2 3:34FRES 4th & 9 at IDHO 33, up 24
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 96.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.7%−<0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    96.7%
    49% to make
    Punt
    96.5%−0.2
    average punt
  10. Q2 0:00IDHO 4th & 5 at FRES 22, down 31
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 1.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.3%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    1.3%
    72% to make
    Punt
    0.9%−0.4
    average punt
  11. Q3 7:15IDHO 4th & 2 at IDHO 33, down 52
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.3%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.3%−<0.1
    average punt
  12. Q3 7:15IDHO 4th & 8 at FRES 47, down 52
    Close callWent for it · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.2%−<0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.2%
    average punt
  13. Q4 15:00FRES 4th & 11 at IDHO 40, up 45
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%−<0.1
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    99.8%−<0.1
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
  14. Q4 2:32IDHO 4th & 8 at IDHO 37, down 66
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.0%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
FRES made the numbers' call on 9 of 9IDHO made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 8:45FRES Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 2:05FRES Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    93.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 0:05IDHO Touchdown, down 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    8.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    8.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 12:42FRES Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 2:58FRES Touchdown, up 30 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 9:14FRES Touchdown, up 44 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 7:15FRES Touchdown, up 51 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 0:31IDHO Touchdown, down 46 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 10:50FRES Touchdown, up 51 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 6:19FRES Touchdown, up 58 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  11. Q4 2:40FRES Touchdown, up 65 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
IDHODrive 1PUNT
7 plays · -14 yds · 0:005% → 5%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
95.2%
Colton Richardson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-5
95.2%
IDAHO Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Idaho 20Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 15
OWN 20
+2
95.2%
Isaiah Saunders run for 2 yds to the Idaho 22Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 13
OWN 22
-6
95.2%
Colton Richardson sacked by Jasad Haynes for a loss of 6 yards to the Idaho 16Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 19
OWN 16
-5
95.2%
IDAHO Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the Idaho 11Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 24
OWN 11
+2
95.2%
Cade Coffey punt for 47 yds , KeeSean Johnson returns for 2 yds to the FrsSt 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FRESDrive 2TD
11 plays · 56 yds · 4:2195% → 95%
Q1 13:06
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+13
94.9%
Marcus McMaryion pass complete to Jared Rice for 13 yds to the Idaho 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:06
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+6
94.9%
Marcus McMaryion pass complete to KeeSean Johnson for 6 yds to the Idaho 37Similar
Q1 13:06
2ND & 4
OPP 37
+3
94.9%
Marcus McMaryion pass complete to Michiah Quick for 3 yds to the Idaho 34Similar
Q1 13:06
3RD & 1
OPP 34
0
94.9%
Jordan Mims run for no gain to the Idaho 34Similar
Q1 13:06
4TH & 1
OPP 34
+2
94.9%
Marcus McMaryion run for 2 yds to the Idaho 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:06
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
94.9%
Marcus McMaryion pass incomplete to Michiah Quick, broken up by Lloyd HightowerSimilar
Q1 13:06
2ND & 10
OPP 32
+5
94.9%
Marcus McMaryion run for 5 yds to the Idaho 27Similar
Q1 13:06
3RD & 5
OPP 27
+9
94.9%
Marcus McMaryion pass complete to Jared Rice for 9 yds to the Idaho 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:06
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+11
94.9%
Marcus McMaryion pass complete to Jared Rice for 11 yds to the Idaho 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:06
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+6
94.9%
Dejonte O'Neal run for 6 yds to the Idaho 1Similar
Q1 8:45
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
94.5%
Jordan Mims run for 1 yd for a TD (Asa Fuller KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 3PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:006% → 6%
Q1 8:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
94.4%
Mason Petrino pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:45
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
94.4%
Mason Petrino run for no gain to the Idaho 25Similar
Q1 8:45
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+4
94.4%
Mason Petrino run for 4 yds to the Idaho 29Similar
Q1 8:45
4TH & 6
OWN 29
+1
94.4%
Cade Coffey punt for 52 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the FrsSt 20 , KeeSean Johnson returns for 1 yd to the FrsSt 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FRESDrive 4TD
13 plays · 80 yds · 5:0494% → 95%
Q1 7:09
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+9
94.1%
Jordan Mims run for 9 yds to the FrsSt 29Similar
Q1 7:09
2ND & 1
OWN 29
0
94.2%
Marcus McMaryion pass incomplete to KeeSean JohnsonSimilar
Q1 7:09
3RD & 1
OWN 29
+3
94.1%
Jordan Mims run for 3 yds to the FrsSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:09
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
94.2%
Marcus McMaryion pass complete to Jordan Mims for no gain to the FrsSt 32Similar
Q1 7:09
2ND & 10
OWN 32
-6
94.1%
Marcus McMaryion sacked by Kaden Elliss for a loss of 6 yards to the FrsSt 26 Marcus McMaryion fumbled, , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q1 4:56
3RD & 16
OWN 26
+19
93.6%
Marcus McMaryion pass complete to KeeSean Johnson for 19 yds to the FrsSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:56
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
93.9%
Marcus McMaryion pass incomplete to KeeSean JohnsonSimilar
Q1 4:56
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+9
93.9%
Josh Hokit run for 9 yds to the Idaho 46Similar
Q1 4:56
3RD & 1
OPP 46
+7
93.9%
Josh Hokit run for 7 yds to the Idaho 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:56
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+11
94.0%
Marcus McMaryion pass complete to KeeSean Johnson for 11 yds to the Idaho 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:56
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+2
94.0%
Marcus McMaryion run for 2 yds to the Idaho 26Similar
Q1 2:05
2ND & 8
OPP 26
+26
94.7%
Dejonte O'Neal run for 26 yds for a TD (Asa Fuller PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 5FUMBLE
2 plays · -6 yds · 0:006% → 6%
Q1 2:05
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-7
94.1%
Mason Petrino run for a loss of 7 yards to the Idaho 19 Mason Petrino fumbled, forced by Jasad Haynes, recovered by FrsSt Jasad HaynesSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FRESDrive 6FG
4 plays · 4 yds · 1:1895% → 95%
Q1 2:01
1ST & 10
OPP 19
0
94.7%
Jordan Mims run for no gain to the Idaho 19Similar
Q1 2:01
2ND & 10
OPP 19
+4
94.7%
Marcus McMaryion pass complete to Michiah Quick for 4 yds to the Idaho 15Similar
Q1 2:01
3RD & 6
OPP 15
0
94.6%
Marcus McMaryion pass incomplete to Michiah QuickSimilar
Q1 0:43
4TH & 6
OPP 15
+33
94.7%
Asa Fuller 33 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 7TD
3 plays · 75 yds · 0:386% → 7%
Q1 0:43
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
94.0%
Isaiah Saunders run for 2 yds to the Idaho 27Similar
Q1 0:05
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+73
93.0%
Colton Richardson pass complete to Jeff Cotton for 73 yds for a TD (Cade Coffey PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FRESDrive 8TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 2:2393% → 96%
Q1 0:05
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
93.0%
Josh Hokit run for 9 yds to the FrsSt 34Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+13
93.1%
Josh Hokit run for 13 yds to the FrsSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+1
93.3%
Josh Hokit run for 1 yd to the FrsSt 48Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 48
+28
93.2%
Marcus McMaryion pass complete to KeeSean Johnson for 28 yds to the Idaho 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+1
93.3%
Josh Hokit run for 1 yd to the Idaho 23Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 23
+11
93.3%
Marcus McMaryion pass complete to Jared Rice for 11 yds to the Idaho 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:42
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+12
95.5%
Jordan Mims run for 12 yds for a TD (Asa Fuller KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 9MISSED FG TD
13 plays · 46 yds · 3:225% → 3%
Q2 12:42
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
94.8%
Isaiah Saunders run for 4 yds to the Idaho 39Similar
Q2 12:42
2ND & 6
OWN 39
+21
94.8%
Colton Richardson pass complete to David Ungerer for 21 yds to the FrsSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:42
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+2
94.6%
Isaiah Saunders run for 2 yds to the FrsSt 38Similar
Q2 12:42
2ND & 8
OPP 38
0
94.6%
Colton Richardson pass incomplete to David UngererSimilar
Q2 12:42
3RD & 8
OPP 38
-5
94.6%
IDAHO Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the FrsSt 43Similar
Q2 12:42
3RD & 13
OPP 43
+12
94.9%
Colton Richardson pass complete to Cutrell Haywood for 12 yds to the FrsSt 31Similar
Q2 12:42
4TH & 1
OPP 31
+8
94.5%
Mason Petrino pass complete to Isaiah Saunders for 8 yds to the FrsSt 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:42
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+4
94.4%
Isaiah Saunders run for 4 yds to the FrsSt 19Similar
Q2 9:42
2ND & 6
OPP 19
0
94.5%
Mason Petrino pass incomplete to Kaden Elliss, broken up by Anthoula KellySimilar
Q2 9:42
3RD & 6
OPP 19
0
94.7%
Colton Richardson pass incomplete to Cutrell HaywoodSimilar
Q2 9:20
4TH & 6
OPP 19
+74
96.7%
Cade Coffey 36 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by Anthoula Kelly Jaron Bryant return for 74 yds for a TD Asa Fuller kickoff , Denzal Brantley return for 18 yds to the Idaho 23 (Asa Fuller KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 10PUNT
10 plays · 26 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q2 9:12
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+3
96.9%
Isaiah Saunders run for 3 yds to the Idaho 26Similar
Q2 9:12
2ND & 7
OWN 26
+13
96.8%
Isaiah Saunders run for 13 yds to the Idaho 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:12
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
96.8%
Colton Richardson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:12
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+1
96.8%
Isaiah Saunders run for 1 yd to the Idaho 40Similar
Q2 9:12
3RD & 9
OWN 40
+9
96.8%
Mason Petrino pass complete to Cutrell Haywood for 9 yds to the Idaho 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:12
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
96.7%
Mason Petrino pass incomplete to David UngererSimilar
Q2 9:12
2ND & 10
OWN 49
0
96.8%
Colton Richardson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:12
3RD & 10
OWN 49
0
96.8%
Mason Petrino pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:12
4TH & 10
OWN 49
0
96.9%
Cade Coffey punt for 33 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the FrsSt 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FRESDrive 11PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q2 6:23
1ST & 10
OWN 18
0
97.7%
Marcus McMaryion pass incomplete to KeeSean JohnsonSimilar
Q2 6:23
2ND & 10
OWN 18
+7
97.7%
Marcus McMaryion pass complete to Jordan Mims for 7 yds to the FrsSt 25Similar
Q2 6:23
3RD & 3
OWN 25
+2
97.6%
Marcus McMaryion pass complete to Michiah Quick for 2 yds to the FrsSt 27Similar
Q2 6:23
4TH & 1
OWN 27
0
97.5%
Blake Cusick punt for 53 yds, fair catch by David Ungerer at the Idaho 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 12INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q2 4:53
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
97.0%
Mason Petrino pass intercepted Anthoula Kelly return for 1 yd to the Idaho 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FRESDrive 13MISSED FG
4 plays · 1 yds · 1:0398% → 98%
Q2 4:37
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+1
97.9%
Marcus McMaryion pass complete to Josh Hokit for 1 yd to the Idaho 33Similar
Q2 4:37
2ND & 9
OPP 33
0
97.8%
Marcus McMaryion pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:37
3RD & 9
OPP 33
0
97.8%
Marcus McMaryion pass incomplete FRESNO ST Penalty, illegal block ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q2 3:34
4TH & 9
OPP 33
+50
97.7%
Asa Fuller 50 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 14INT TD
2 plays · 2 yds · 0:363% → 1%
Q2 3:34
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+2
96.9%
Isaiah Saunders run for 2 yds to the Idaho 35Similar
Q2 2:58
2ND & 8
OWN 35
+39
99.2%
Colton Richardson pass intercepted for a TD Anthoula Kelly return for 39 yds for a TD (Asa Fuller KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 15MISSED FG TD
12 plays · 43 yds · 2:491% → 1%
Q2 2:49
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+15
99.4%
Isaiah Saunders run for 15 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:49
1ST & 10
50
+11
99.4%
Mason Petrino run for 11 yds to the FrsSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:49
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
99.3%
Mason Petrino pass incomplete to Brandon LuckettSimilar
Q2 2:49
2ND & 10
OPP 39
+3
99.4%
Isaiah Saunders run for 3 yds to the FrsSt 36Similar
Q2 2:49
3RD & 7
OPP 36
+9
99.4%
Mason Petrino pass complete to Jeff Cotton for 9 yds to the FrsSt 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:04
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+9
99.4%
Mason Petrino pass complete to Cutrell Haywood for 9 yds to the FrsSt 18Similar
Q2 1:04
2ND & 1
OPP 18
-4
99.2%
Isaiah Saunders run for a loss of 4 yards to the FrsSt 22Similar
Q2 1:04
3RD & 5
OPP 22
0
99.4%
Mason Petrino pass incomplete to Jeff CottonSimilar
Q2 0:00
4TH & 5
OPP 22
+71
99.3%
Cade Coffey 39 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by Mykal Walker Jaron Bryant return for 71 yds for a TD (Asa Fuller KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FRESDrive 16TD
14 plays · 93 yds · 5:46100% → 100%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+4
99.5%
Dejonte O'Neal run for 4 yds to the FrsSt 11Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 11
+2
99.5%
Dejonte O'Neal run for 2 yds to the FrsSt 13Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 4
OWN 13
+9
99.5%
Marcus McMaryion pass complete to Michiah Quick for 9 yds to the FrsSt 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+3
99.5%
Dejonte O'Neal run for 3 yds to the FrsSt 25Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 25
-10
99.5%
MIMS, Jordan rush for 7 yards to the FS32 (BRANTLEY, D.), PENALTY FS holding (MUTI, Netane) 10 yards to the FS15, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 17
OWN 15
+10
99.5%
Marcus McMaryion pass complete to KeeSean Johnson for 10 yds to the FrsSt 25Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 7
OWN 25
+44
99.5%
Marcus McMaryion pass complete to KeeSean Johnson for 44 yds to the Idaho 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+12
99.6%
Marcus McMaryion pass complete to Jared Rice for 12 yds to the Idaho 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+4
99.6%
Jordan Mims run for 4 yds to the Idaho 15Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 15
+5
99.6%
Jordan Mims run for 5 yds to the Idaho 10Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 10
+1
99.6%
Marcus McMaryion run for 1 yd to the Idaho 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+7
99.6%
Marcus McMaryion pass complete to Michiah Quick for 7 yds to the Idaho 2Similar
Q3 9:14
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
99.7%
Jordan Mims run for 2 yds for a TD (Asa Fuller KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 17INT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 9:07
1ST & 10
OWN 27
-1
99.8%
Isaiah Saunders run for a loss of 1 yard to the Idaho 26Similar
Q3 9:07
2ND & 11
OWN 26
+7
99.8%
Isaiah Saunders run for 7 yds to the Idaho 33Similar
Q3 9:07
3RD & 4
OWN 33
0
99.7%
Mason Petrino pass intercepted James Bailey return for no gain to the Idaho 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FRESDrive 18TD
2 plays · 40 yds · 0:33100% → 100%
Q3 7:48
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+7
99.8%
Jorge Reyna run for 7 yds to the Idaho 33Similar
Q3 7:15
2ND & 3
OPP 33
+33
99.8%
Jorge Reyna pass complete to Derrion Grim for 33 yds for a TD (Asa Fuller KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 19TD
17 plays · 75 yds · 6:440% → 0%
Q3 7:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
99.8%
Mason Petrino pass complete to Cutrell Haywood for 6 yds to the Idaho 31Similar
Q3 7:15
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+2
99.8%
Isaiah Saunders run for 2 yds to the Idaho 33Similar
Q3 7:15
3RD & 2
OWN 33
0
99.8%
Mason Petrino pass incomplete to Jeff Cotton, broken up by Anthoula KellySimilar
Q3 7:15
4TH & 2
OWN 33
+3
99.8%
Mason Petrino pass complete to Luke Hyde for 3 yds to the Idaho 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:15
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+2
99.8%
Isaiah Saunders run for 2 yds to the Idaho 38Similar
Q3 7:15
2ND & 8
OWN 38
+13
99.8%
Mason Petrino pass complete to Cutrell Haywood for 13 yds to the FrsSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:15
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
99.8%
Isaiah Saunders run for no gain to the FrsSt 49Similar
Q3 7:15
2ND & 10
OPP 49
0
99.8%
Mason Petrino pass incomplete to Isaiah SaundersSimilar
Q3 7:15
3RD & 10
OPP 49
+2
99.8%
Isaiah Saunders run for 2 yds to the FrsSt 47Similar
Q3 7:15
4TH & 8
OPP 47
+9
99.8%
Mason Petrino pass complete to Jeff Cotton for 9 yds to the FrsSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:15
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+4
99.8%
Mason Petrino run for 4 yds to the FrsSt 34Similar
Q3 7:15
2ND & 6
OPP 34
+23
99.8%
Mason Petrino pass complete to Cutrell Haywood for 23 yds to the FrsSt 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:15
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+5
99.8%
Isaiah Saunders run for 5 yds to the FrsSt 6Similar
Q3 7:15
2ND & 5
OPP 6
0
99.8%
Mason Petrino run for no gain to the FrsSt 6Similar
Q3 0:31
3RD & 5
OPP 6
+6
99.9%
Isaiah Saunders run for 6 yds for a TD (Cade Coffey KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FRESDrive 20PUNT
11 plays · 25 yds · 0:31100% → 100%
Q3 0:31
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+8
99.9%
Saevion Johnson run for 8 yds to the FrsSt 43Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 2
OWN 43
+6
99.9%
Jorge Reyna run for 6 yds to the FrsSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+4
99.9%
Saevion Johnson run for 4 yds to the Idaho 47Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 47
+5
99.9%
Saevion Johnson run for 5 yds to the Idaho 42Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 42
+3
99.9%
Saevion Johnson run for 3 yds to the Idaho 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+2
99.9%
Romello Harris run for 2 yds to the Idaho 37Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 37
+7
99.9%
Jorge Reyna pass complete to David Tangipa for 7 yds to the Idaho 30Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 30
-10
99.9%
REYNA, Jorge rush for 4 yards to the IDAHO26, out-of-bounds, PENALTY FS holding (SUTTON, Cam) 10 yards to the IDAHO40, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 11
OPP 40
0
99.9%
Jorge Reyna pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 11
OPP 40
0
99.9%
Blake Cusick punt for 38 yds, downed at the Idaho 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 21INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 11:04
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+12
100.0%
Colton Richardson pass intercepted Wylan Free return for 12 yds to the Idaho 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FRESDrive 22TD
1 play · 5 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 10:50
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
99.9%
Saevion Johnson run for 5 yds for a TD (Asa Fuller KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 23INT
7 plays · 28 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 10:43
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+8
100.0%
Isaiah Saunders run for 8 yds to the Idaho 38Similar
Q4 10:43
2ND & 2
OWN 38
+4
100.0%
Isaiah Saunders run for 4 yds to the Idaho 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:43
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+6
100.0%
Mason Petrino run for 6 yds to the Idaho 48Similar
Q4 10:43
2ND & 4
OWN 48
+5
100.0%
Isaiah Saunders run for 5 yds to the FrsSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:43
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+5
100.0%
Mason Petrino pass complete to Connor Whitney for 5 yds to the FrsSt 42Similar
Q4 10:43
2ND & 5
OPP 42
+5
100.0%
Mason Petrino pass intercepted Leevel Tatum III return for 5 yds to the Idaho 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FRESDrive 24TD
3 plays · 45 yds · 1:29100% → 100%
Q4 7:48
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+12
100.0%
Romello Harris run for 12 yds to the Idaho 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:48
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+6
100.0%
Romello Harris run for 6 yds to the Idaho 27Similar
Q4 6:19
2ND & 4
OPP 27
+27
100.0%
Romello Harris run for 27 yds for a TD (Asa Fuller KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FRESDrive 26TD
6 plays · 35 yds · 3:34100% → 100%
Q4 6:14
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+6
100.0%
Saevion Johnson run for 6 yds to the Idaho 29Similar
Q4 6:14
2ND & 4
OPP 29
+15
100.0%
Jorge Reyna run for 15 yds to the Idaho 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:14
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+6
100.0%
Saevion Johnson run for 6 yds to the Idaho 8Similar
Q4 6:14
2ND & 4
OPP 8
+6
100.0%
Saevion Johnson run for 6 yds to the Idaho 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:14
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
100.0%
Saevion Johnson run for 1 yd to the Idaho 1Similar
Q4 2:40
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
100.0%
Saevion Johnson run for 1 yd for a TD (Asa Fuller KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 27PUNT
6 plays · 2 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 2:32
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+5
100.0%
Mason Petrino pass complete to Jeff Cotton for 5 yds to the Idaho 40Similar
Q4 2:32
2ND & 5
OWN 40
+2
100.0%
Isaiah Saunders run for 2 yds to the Idaho 42Similar
Q4 2:32
3RD & 3
OWN 42
0
100.0%
Mason Petrino pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:32
4TH & 3
OWN 42
-5
100.0%
IDAHO Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the Idaho 37Similar
Q4 2:32
4TH & 8
OWN 37
0
100.0%
Cade Coffey punt for 56 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the FrsSt 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FRESDrive 28END OF GAME
2 plays · -2 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 1:14
1ST & 10
OWN 7
-1
100.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the FrsSt 6Similar
Q4 1:14
2ND & 11
OWN 6
-1
100.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the FrsSt 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 12:42
Jordan Mims run for 12 yds for a TD (Asa Fuller KICK)
+2.2
TD · Q2 2:58
Colton Richardson pass intercepted for a TD Anthoula Kelly return for 39 yds for a TD (Asa Fuller KICK)
+2.2
TD · Q1 0:05
Colton Richardson pass complete to Jeff Cotton for 73 yds for a TD (Cade Coffey PAT MISSED)
-1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com