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UIW

Incarnate Word 30 at New Mexico 62

UNM
2018 · Week 1 · Sep 1, 2018 · University Stadium (NM)
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Win probability · UNM
modelUNM aheadUIW aheadconfidence bandkey playUNM scoreUIW score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 8:01 · Tevaka Tuioti run for 2 yds to the NMex 48 for a 1ST down
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+48.5+24.30−24.3−48.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 148Pregame prior+28.6Home team on offense+29.1Score differential+12.5Blowout margin+9.6Garbage-time factor+9.5Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+2.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 11:00: Jon Copeland run for 1 yd for a TD, (Cody Seidel KICK) — UIW win probability +0.7 pts (now 3%) (top driver: UIW has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 0:00: Tevaka Tuioti pass complete to Patrick Reed for 69 yds for a TD, (Andrew Shelley KICK) — UNM win probability +0.7 pts (now 98%) (top driver: UNM has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 7:58: Ra'Quanne Dickens 90 Yd Run (Two-Point Run Conversion Failed) — UIW win probability +1.7 pts (now 3%) (top driver: UIW has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 0:05: Tevaka Tuioti pass complete to Elijah Lilly for 51 yds for a TD, (Andrew Shelley KICK) — UNM win probability +2.8 pts (now 98%) (top driver: UNM has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 13:10: Tyrone Owens run for 2 yds for a TD, (Andrew Shelley PAT MISSED) — UNM win probability +1.0 pts (now 99%) (top driver: UNM has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UNM made the numbers' call on 6 of 6UIW made the numbers' call on 7 of 9
  1. Q1 8:54UIW 4th & 3 at UIW 32, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.8%−<0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.8%
    average punt
  2. Q1 4:25UIW 4th & 10 at UIW 29, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.0%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.0%
    average punt
  3. Q1 1:30UIW 4th & 10 at UNM 33, down 14
    Close callWent for it · 2.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.8%−<0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    2.8%
    49% to make
    Punt
    2.7%−0.1
    average punt
  4. Q2 15:00UIW 4th & 9 at UIW 39, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.9%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.9%
    average punt
  5. Q2 13:57UNM 4th & 3 at UIW 27, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 98.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    98.1%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    98.1%−0.1
    62% to make
    Punt
    97.6%−0.5
    average punt
  6. Q2 9:45UNM 4th & 7 at UNM 28, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 98.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.2%−0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.3%
    average punt
  7. Q2 1:01UIW 4th & 2 at UNM 11, down 15
    Close callKicked a field goal · 4.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.2%
    56% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    4.1%−0.1
    87% to make
    Punt
    3.2%−1.0
    average punt
  8. Q3 13:06UIW 4th & 6 at UIW 45, down 25
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.0%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.0%
    average punt
  9. Q3 10:45UNM 4th & 13 at UNM 12, up 25
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.0%−0.4
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.3%
    average punt
  10. Q3 9:21UIW 4th & 17 at UIW 41, down 25
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.9%−0.4
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.3%
    average punt
  11. Q3 8:01UNM 4th & 1 at UNM 46, up 25
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.3%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    99.1%−0.2
    average punt
  12. Q3 2:32UIW 4th & 2 at UIW 43, down 32
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.2%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.2%−<0.1
    average punt
  13. Q4 7:56UNM 4th & 10 at UNM 40, up 32
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
  14. Q4 7:23UIW 4th & 11 at UIW 16, down 32
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−0.1
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  15. Q4 2:58UNM 4th & 3 at UIW 22, up 32
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.9%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    99.9%−<0.1
    72% to make
    Punt
    99.5%−0.4
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UNM made the numbers' call on 9 of 9UIW made the numbers' call on 3 of 4
  1. Q1 11:00UIW Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    2.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    2.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 8:54UNM Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 4:30UNM Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q1 1:36UNM Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q1 0:00UNM Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 7:58UIW Touchdown, down 15 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    3.4%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    3.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q2 0:05UNM Touchdown, up 18 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 13:10UNM Touchdown, up 25 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    99.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q3 2:32UNM Touchdown, up 31 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 12:36UNM Touchdown, up 38 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  11. Q4 10:10UIW Touchdown, down 33 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  12. Q4 2:58UNM Touchdown, up 38 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  13. Q4 0:58UIW Touchdown, down 33 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UIWDrive 1TD
16 plays · 75 yds · 4:002% → 3%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
98.1%
Kam Williams run for 2 yds to the InWrd 27Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 27
-5
98.1%
INCARNATEW Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the InWrd 22Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 13
OWN 22
+17
98.1%
Jon Copeland pass complete to Kody Edwards for 17 yds to the InWrd 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
98.1%
Jon Copeland pass incomplete to Kam WilliamsSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+14
98.1%
Jon Copeland pass complete to Kam Williams for 14 yds to the NMex 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+5
98.1%
Jon Copeland run for 5 yds to the NMex 42Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 42
+4
98.1%
Ra'Quanne Dickens run for 4 yds to the NMex 38Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 38
+2
98.1%
Jon Copeland run for 2 yds to the NMex 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+24
98.1%
Jon Copeland pass complete to Kody Edwards for 24 yds to the NMex 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 12
0
98.1%
Jon Copeland pass incomplete to Phillip BaptisteSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 12
+5
98.1%
Phillip Baptiste run for 5 yds to the NMex 7Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 5
OPP 7
+3
98.1%
NEW MEXICO Penalty, SUB (3 Yards) to the NMex 4Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 2
OPP 4
+3
98.1%
Ra'Quanne Dickens run for 3 yds to the NMex 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
98.1%
Ra'Quanne Dickens run for no gain to the NMex 1Similar
Q1 11:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
97.4%
Jon Copeland run for 1 yd for a TD, (Cody Seidel KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 2TD
9 plays · 60 yds · 2:0698% → 97%
Q1 11:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+5
97.5%
INCARNATEW Penalty, Defensive offside (5 Yards) to the NMex 45Similar
Q1 11:00
1ST & 5
OWN 45
+2
97.5%
Tyrone Owens run for 2 yds to the NMex 47Similar
Q1 11:00
2ND & 3
OWN 47
-5
97.5%
NEW MEXICO Penalty, ineligible downfield on pass (Marcus Williams) to the NMex 42Similar
Q1 11:00
2ND & 8
OWN 42
+40
97.5%
Tevaka Tuioti pass complete to Q' Drennan for 40 yds to the InWrd 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:00
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+9
97.5%
Tevaka Tuioti pass complete to Jay Griffin IV for 9 yds to the InWrd 9Similar
Q1 11:00
2ND & 1
OPP 9
+2
97.5%
Tyrone Owens run for 2 yds to the InWrd 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
-3
97.5%
Tyrone Owens run for a loss of 3 yards to the InWrd 10Similar
Q1 8:54
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
+10
97.4%
Tevaka Tuioti pass complete to Marcus Williams for 10 yds for a TD, (Andrew Shelley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UIWDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q1 8:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
97.3%
Jon Copeland pass complete to Phillip Baptiste for 7 yds to the InWrd 32Similar
Q1 8:54
2ND & 3
OWN 32
0
97.3%
Jon Copeland pass incomplete to Kam WilliamsSimilar
Q1 8:54
3RD & 3
OWN 32
0
97.3%
Jon Copeland pass incomplete to Kam WilliamsSimilar
Q1 8:54
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
97.3%
David Balcomb punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Marcus Hayes at the NMex 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 4TD
12 plays · 66 yds · 3:4297% → 97%
Q1 8:12
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+6
97.2%
Daevon Vigilant run for 6 yds to the NMex 40Similar
Q1 8:12
2ND & 4
OWN 40
+3
97.3%
Daevon Vigilant run for 3 yds to the NMex 43Similar
Q1 8:12
3RD & 1
OWN 43
+4
97.3%
Daevon Vigilant run for 4 yds to the NMex 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:12
1ST & 10
OWN 47
-5
97.3%
TUIOTI, Tevaka pass incomplete to REED, Patrick, PENALTY NM IR (ESTRELLA, Chris) 5 yards to the NM42, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 8:12
1ST & 15
OWN 42
+3
97.2%
Daevon Vigilant run for 3 yds to the NMex 45Similar
Q1 8:12
2ND & 12
OWN 45
0
97.2%
Tevaka Tuioti pass incomplete to Daevon VigilantSimilar
Q1 8:12
3RD & 12
OWN 45
+9
97.2%
INCARNATEW Penalty, Defensive pass interference (Jamarkese Williams) to the InWrd 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:12
1ST & 10
OPP 46
-4
97.3%
Tyrone Owens run for a loss of 4 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 8:12
2ND & 14
50
+34
97.2%
Tevaka Tuioti pass complete to Jay Griffin IV for 34 yds to the InWrd 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:12
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+9
97.3%
Tyrone Owens run for 9 yds to the InWrd 7Similar
Q1 8:12
2ND & 1
OPP 7
-5
97.3%
NEW MEXICO Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the InWrd 12Similar
Q1 4:30
2ND & 6
OPP 12
+12
97.2%
Tevaka Tuioti run for 12 yds for a TD, (Andrew Shelley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UIWDrive 5PUNT
7 plays · 12 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q1 4:25
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+12
97.0%
Ra'Quanne Dickens run for 12 yds to the InWrd 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:25
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
97.0%
Jon Copeland pass incomplete to Lamont JohnsonSimilar
Q1 4:25
2ND & 10
OWN 29
-6
97.0%
Jon Copeland sacked by Jordan Flack for a loss of 6 yards to the InWrd 23Similar
Q1 4:25
3RD & 16
OWN 23
+6
97.1%
Jon Copeland run for 6 yds to the InWrd 29Similar
Q1 4:25
4TH & 10
OPP 0
0
97.0%
INCARNATEW Penalty, personal foul off-setting ( Yards) to the InWrd 29Similar
Q1 4:25
4TH & 10
OWN 29
+31
97.1%
David Balcomb punt for 21 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the 50 yard line NEW MEXICO Penalty, Offensive holding (10 Yards) to the NMex 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 6TD
5 plays · 60 yds · 1:1397% → 98%
Q1 2:49
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
96.9%
Tyrone Owens run for no gain to the NMex 40Similar
Q1 2:49
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+32
96.9%
Tevaka Tuioti pass complete to Delane Hart-Johnson for 32 yds to the InWrd 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:49
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+14
97.0%
Elijah Lilly run for 14 yds to the InWrd 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:49
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+8
97.0%
Tevaka Tuioti run for 8 yds to the InWrd 6Similar
Q1 1:36
2ND & 2
OPP 6
+6
97.5%
Tyrone Owens run for 6 yds for a TD, (Andrew Shelley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UIWDrive 7DOWNS
7 plays · 47 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q1 1:30
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
97.2%
Jon Copeland pass complete to Ra'Quanne Dickens for 3 yds to the InWrd 23Similar
Q1 1:30
2ND & 7
OWN 23
+44
97.2%
Jon Copeland pass complete to Phillip Baptiste for 44 yds to the NMex 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:30
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
97.0%
Jon Copeland pass incomplete to Kody EdwardsSimilar
Q1 1:30
2ND & 10
OPP 33
0
97.0%
Jon Copeland pass incomplete to Kody EdwardsSimilar
Q1 1:30
3RD & 10
OPP 33
0
97.1%
Jon Copeland pass incomplete to Phillip BaptisteSimilar
Q1 1:30
4TH & 10
OPP 33
0
97.2%
Jon Copeland pass incomplete to Kam WilliamsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 8TD
3 plays · 67 yds · 0:5197% → 98%
Q1 0:51
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
97.3%
Tevaka Tuioti pass incomplete to Delane Hart-JohnsonSimilar
Q1 0:51
2ND & 10
OWN 33
-2
97.3%
Tevaka Tuioti pass complete to Ahmari Davis for a loss of 2 yards to the NMex 31Similar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 12
OWN 31
+69
98.0%
Tevaka Tuioti pass complete to Patrick Reed for 69 yds for a TD, (Andrew Shelley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UIWDrive 9PUNT
6 plays · 14 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+13
98.1%
Jon Copeland pass complete to Lamont Johnson for 13 yds to the InWrd 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+1
98.1%
Ra'Quanne Dickens run for 1 yd to the InWrd 39Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 39
0
98.1%
Jon Copeland pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 9
OWN 39
0
98.1%
Jon Copeland pass incomplete to Lamont JohnsonSimilar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 9
OWN 39
+9
98.1%
David Balcomb punt for 46 yds , Marcus Hayes returns for 9 yds to the NMex 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 10DOWNS
7 plays · 47 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q2 13:57
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+1
98.2%
Tyrone Owens run for 1 yd to the NMex 25Similar
Q2 13:57
2ND & 9
OWN 25
+4
98.2%
Tevaka Tuioti pass complete to Brayden Dickey for 4 yds to the NMex 29Similar
Q2 13:57
3RD & 5
OWN 29
+37
98.2%
Tevaka Tuioti pass complete to Anselem Umeh for 37 yds to the InWrd 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:57
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+4
98.3%
Tyrone Owens run for 4 yds to the InWrd 30Similar
Q2 13:57
2ND & 6
OPP 30
-1
98.3%
Tyrone Owens run for a loss of 1 yard to the InWrd 31Similar
Q2 13:57
3RD & 7
OPP 31
+4
98.2%
Tevaka Tuioti run for 4 yds to the InWrd 27Similar
Q2 13:57
4TH & 3
OPP 27
-2
98.2%
Tevaka Tuioti run for a loss of 2 yards to the InWrd 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UIWDrive 11INT
4 plays · 35 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q2 11:16
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
98.2%
Ra'Quanne Dickens run for no gain to the InWrd 29 Ra'Quanne Dickens fumbled, recovered by InWrd Lamont JohnsonSimilar
Q2 11:16
2ND & 10
OWN 29
0
98.2%
Jon Copeland pass incomplete to Kody EdwardsSimilar
Q2 11:16
3RD & 10
OWN 29
+35
98.2%
Jon Copeland pass complete to Ra'Quanne Dickens for 35 yds to the NMex 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:16
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
98.1%
Jon Copeland pass intercepted Jalin Burrell return for no gain to the NMex 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 12PUNT
8 plays · 26 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q2 9:45
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+6
98.4%
Ahmari Davis run for 6 yds to the NMex 8Similar
Q2 9:45
2ND & 4
OWN 8
+6
98.4%
Tevaka Tuioti run for 6 yds to the NMex 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:45
1ST & 10
OWN 14
0
98.4%
Tevaka Tuioti pass incomplete to Brayden DickeySimilar
Q2 9:45
2ND & 10
OWN 14
+11
98.4%
Ahmari Davis run for 11 yds to the NMex 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
98.4%
Ahmari Davis run for 3 yds to the NMex 28Similar
Q2 9:45
2ND & 7
OWN 28
0
98.4%
Tevaka Tuioti pass incomplete to Patrick Reed, broken up by Malick PhillipsSimilar
Q2 9:45
3RD & 7
OWN 28
0
98.4%
Tevaka Tuioti pass incomplete to Elijah Lilly, broken up by Cam KnightSimilar
Q2 9:45
4TH & 7
OWN 28
+62
98.3%
Tyson Dyer punt for 52 yds, downed at the NEWMEXICO 20 INCARNATEW Penalty, illegal block (10 Yards) to the InWrd 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UIWDrive 13TD
1 play · 90 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q2 7:58
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+90
96.6%
Ra'Quanne Dickens 90 Yd Run (Two-Point Run Conversion Failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 14FUMBLE
11 plays · 69 yds · 0:0097% → 97%
Q2 7:55
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+10
96.8%
Tyrone Owens run for 10 yds to the NMex 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:55
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+3
96.8%
Tyrone Owens run for 3 yds to the NMex 40Similar
Q2 7:55
2ND & 7
OWN 40
+10
96.9%
Tevaka Tuioti pass complete to Elijah Lilly for 10 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:55
1ST & 10
50
+20
96.9%
Tevaka Tuioti run for 20 yds to the InWrd 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:55
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+4
96.9%
Ahmari Davis run for 4 yds to the InWrd 26Similar
Q2 7:55
2ND & 6
OPP 26
+15
96.9%
Ahmari Davis run for 15 yds to the InWrd 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:55
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+9
96.9%
Tevaka Tuioti run for 9 yds to the InWrd 2Similar
Q2 7:55
2ND & 1
OPP 2
+1
96.9%
Ahmari Davis run for 1 yd to the InWrd 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:55
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
-1
96.9%
Ahmari Davis run for a loss of 1 yard to the InWrd 2Similar
Q2 7:55
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
-3
96.9%
Tevaka Tuioti run for a loss of 3 yards to the InWrd 4 Tevaka Tuioti fumbled, recovered by InWrd Silas StewartSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UIWDrive 15FG
9 plays · 85 yds · 2:453% → 5%
Q2 3:46
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+8
96.6%
Dorland Fields run for 8 yds to the InWrd 12Similar
Q2 3:46
2ND & 2
OWN 12
+3
96.5%
Dorland Fields run for 3 yds to the InWrd 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:46
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+39
96.5%
Jon Copeland pass complete to Lamont Johnson for 39 yds to the NMex 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:46
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+27
96.1%
Jon Copeland pass complete to Phillip Baptiste for 27 yds to the NMex 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:46
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+6
95.9%
Jon Copeland pass complete to Phillip Baptiste for 6 yds to the NMex 13Similar
Q2 1:55
2ND & 4
OPP 13
+2
95.8%
Ameer King run for 2 yds to the NMex 11Similar
Q2 1:55
3RD & 2
OPP 11
0
96.0%
Jon Copeland pass incomplete to Phillip BaptisteSimilar
Q2 1:01
4TH & 2
OPP 11
+29
95.5%
Cody Seidel 29 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 16INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:0097% → 97%
Q2 1:01
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+6
96.5%
Tevaka Tuioti pass intercepted Ce'Cori Tolds return for 6 yds to the InWrd 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UIWDrive 17FUMBLE
3 plays · 21 yds · 0:004% → 4%
Q2 0:45
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+9
95.8%
Jon Copeland run for 9 yds to the InWrd 39Similar
Q2 0:45
2ND & 1
OWN 39
0
95.5%
Jon Copeland pass incomplete to Kody EdwardsSimilar
Q2 0:45
3RD & 1
OWN 39
+6
95.6%
Jon Copeland pass complete to Phillip Baptiste for 6 yds Phillip Baptiste fumbled, forced by Willie Hobdy, recovered by NMex Evahelotu TohiSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 18TD
1 play · 51 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q2 0:05
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+51
98.4%
Tevaka Tuioti pass complete to Elijah Lilly for 51 yds for a TD, (Andrew Shelley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UIWDrive 19END OF HALF
2 plays · 3 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q2 0:02
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+3
97.1%
Dorland Fields run for 3 yds to the InWrd 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 20TD
6 plays · 85 yds · 1:4398% → 99%
Q3 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+5
98.1%
Tyrone Owens run for 5 yds to the NMex 20Similar
Q3 14:53
2ND & 5
OWN 20
+6
98.1%
Tyrone Owens run for 6 yds to the NMex 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+67
98.1%
Zahneer Shuler run for 67 yds to the InWrd 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:53
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+5
98.2%
Tyrone Owens run for 5 yds to the InWrd 2Similar
Q3 13:10
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
99.2%
Tyrone Owens run for 2 yds for a TD, (Andrew Shelley PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UIWDrive 21PUNT
9 plays · 23 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q3 13:06
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
99.0%
Jon Copeland pass incomplete to Lamont JohnsonSimilar
Q3 13:06
2ND & 10
OWN 22
+6
99.0%
Dorland Fields run for 6 yds to the InWrd 28Similar
Q3 13:06
3RD & 4
OWN 28
+13
98.9%
Jon Copeland sacked by Nahje Flowers for a loss of 2 yards to the InWrd 26 for a 1ST down NEW MEXICO Penalty, personal foul (Jalin Burrell) to the InWrd 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:06
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-15
98.9%
Copeland,Jon pass complete to Baptiste, P. for 7 yards to the UIW48 (HOBDY, Willie), PENALTY UIW pass interference (Henderson, Gunn) 15 yards to the UIW26, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 13:06
1ST & 25
OWN 26
+4
98.8%
Dorland Fields run for 4 yds to the InWrd 30Similar
Q3 13:06
2ND & 21
OWN 30
+15
98.8%
Jon Copeland pass complete to Kody Edwards for 15 yds to the InWrd 45Similar
Q3 13:06
3RD & 6
OWN 45
0
98.9%
Jon Copeland pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 13:06
4TH & 6
OWN 45
0
98.9%
David Balcomb punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Marcus Hayes at the NMex 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 22PUNT
4 plays · -3 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q3 10:45
1ST & 10
OWN 15
-3
99.3%
Tevaka Tuioti run for a loss of 3 yards to the NMex 12Similar
Q3 10:45
2ND & 13
OWN 12
0
99.3%
Tevaka Tuioti pass complete to Anselem Umeh for no gain to the NMex 12Similar
Q3 10:45
3RD & 13
OWN 12
0
99.3%
Tevaka Tuioti pass incomplete to Anselem UmehSimilar
Q3 10:45
4TH & 13
OWN 12
+12
99.2%
Tyson Dyer punt for 52 yds , Kody Edwards returns for 12 yds to the InWrd 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UIWDrive 23PUNT
4 plays · -7 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q3 9:21
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
99.0%
Jon Copeland pass incomplete to Phillip BaptisteSimilar
Q3 9:21
2ND & 10
OWN 48
+1
99.0%
Jon Copeland run for 1 yd to the InWrd 49 INCARNATEW Penalty, illegal block ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q3 9:21
3RD & 9
OWN 49
-8
99.0%
Jon Copeland sacked by Rhashaun Epting for a loss of 8 yards to the InWrd 41Similar
Q3 9:21
4TH & 17
OWN 41
0
98.8%
David Balcomb punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Marcus Hayes at the NMex 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 24TD
13 plays · 74 yds · 5:2999% → 100%
Q3 8:01
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
99.3%
Tyrone Owens run for no gain to the NMex 26Similar
Q3 8:01
2ND & 10
OWN 26
+6
99.3%
Tyrone Owens run for 6 yds to the NMex 32Similar
Q3 8:01
3RD & 4
OWN 32
+5
99.3%
INCARNATEW Penalty, offside defense (5 Yards) to the NMex 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:01
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+6
99.3%
Tyrone Owens run for 6 yds to the NMex 43Similar
Q3 8:01
2ND & 4
OWN 43
+3
99.4%
Zahneer Shuler run for 3 yds to the NMex 46Similar
Q3 8:01
3RD & 1
OWN 46
0
99.3%
Tevaka Tuioti run for no gain to the NMex 46Similar
Q3 8:01
4TH & 1
OWN 46
+2
99.3%
Tevaka Tuioti run for 2 yds to the NMex 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:01
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
99.4%
Tevaka Tuioti pass incomplete to Anselem UmehSimilar
Q3 8:01
2ND & 10
OWN 48
+10
99.4%
Zahneer Shuler run for 10 yds to the InWrd 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:01
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+5
99.4%
Zahneer Shuler run for 5 yds to the InWrd 37Similar
Q3 8:01
2ND & 5
OPP 37
+5
99.4%
Zahneer Shuler run for 5 yds to the InWrd 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:01
1ST & 10
OPP 32
-1
99.4%
Tyrone Owens run for a loss of 1 yard to the InWrd 33Similar
Q3 2:32
2ND & 11
OPP 33
+33
99.8%
Tevaka Tuioti pass complete to Marcus Williams for 33 yds for a TD, (Andrew Shelley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UIWDrive 25DOWNS
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 2:32
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
99.8%
Ameer King run for no gain to the InWrd 35Similar
Q3 2:32
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+8
99.8%
Jon Copeland pass complete to Lamont Johnson for 8 yds to the InWrd 43Similar
Q3 2:32
3RD & 2
OWN 43
0
99.8%
Jon Copeland pass incomplete to Phillip BaptisteSimilar
Q3 2:32
4TH & 2
OWN 43
-4
99.8%
Gunnar Henderson run for a loss of 4 yards to the InWrd 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 26TD
9 plays · 39 yds · 3:39100% → 100%
Q3 1:15
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+3
99.9%
Micah Gray run for 3 yds to the InWrd 36Similar
Q3 1:15
2ND & 7
OPP 36
+4
99.9%
Coltin Gerhart run for 4 yds to the InWrd 32Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 3
OPP 32
+5
99.9%
INCARNATEW Penalty, offside defense (Luke Termin) to the InWrd 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+5
99.9%
Coltin Gerhart run for 5 yds to the InWrd 22Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 22
+8
99.9%
Micah Gray run for 8 yds to the InWrd 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 14
-2
99.9%
Coltin Gerhart run for a loss of 2 yards to the InWrd 16Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 12
OPP 16
+3
99.9%
Coltin Gerhart run for 3 yds to the InWrd 13Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 9
OPP 13
+12
99.9%
Coltin Gerhart pass complete to Anu Somoye for 12 yds to the InWrd 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:36
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.9%
Coltin Gerhart run for 1 yd for a TD, (Andrew Shelley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UIWDrive 27TD
8 plays · 78 yds · 2:200% → 0%
Q4 12:30
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+7
99.9%
Dorland Fields run for 7 yds to the InWrd 29Similar
Q4 12:30
2ND & 3
OWN 29
+2
99.9%
Keyondrick Philio run for 2 yds to the InWrd 31Similar
Q4 12:30
3RD & 1
OWN 31
+5
99.9%
Jon Copeland pass complete to Kody Edwards for 5 yds to the InWrd 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:06
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+43
99.9%
Jon Copeland pass complete to Lamont Johnson for 43 yds to the NMex 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:06
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+5
99.9%
Keyondrick Philio run for 5 yds to the NMex 16Similar
Q4 10:10
2ND & 5
OPP 16
+16
99.9%
Jon Copeland pass complete to Phillip Baptiste for 16 yds for a TD, (Cody Seidel KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 28PUNT
9 plays · 12 yds · 2:14100% → 100%
Q4 10:10
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+2
99.9%
Micah Gray run for 2 yds to the NMex 30Similar
Q4 10:10
2ND & 8
OWN 30
+3
99.9%
Micah Gray run for 3 yds to the NMex 33Similar
Q4 10:10
3RD & 5
OWN 33
+7
99.9%
Sheriron Jones run for 7 yds to the NMex 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:10
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
99.9%
Sheriron Jones run for no gain to the NMex 40Similar
Q4 10:10
2ND & 10
OWN 40
0
99.9%
Sheriron Jones pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:56
3RD & 10
OWN 40
0
99.9%
Sheriron Jones pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:56
4TH & 10
OWN 40
+42
99.9%
Tyson Dyer punt for 42 yds , Kody Edwards returns for a loss of 1 yard to the InWrd 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UIWDrive 29PUNT
6 plays · -1 yds · 0:200% → 0%
Q4 7:43
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+2
100.0%
Sean Brophy pass complete to Jaelin Campbell for 2 yds to the InWrd 19Similar
Q4 7:23
2ND & 8
OWN 19
0
100.0%
Sean Brophy pass incomplete to Jezel ParraSimilar
Q4 7:23
3RD & 8
OWN 19
+5
100.0%
NEW MEXICO Penalty, offside defense (5 Yards) to the InWrd 24Similar
Q4 7:23
3RD & 3
OWN 24
-8
100.0%
Sean Brophy pass complete to Keyondrick Philio for a loss of 8 yards to the InWrd 16Similar
Q4 7:23
4TH & 11
OWN 16
0
100.0%
David Balcomb punt for 24 yds, downed at the InWrd 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 30TD
6 plays · 40 yds · 3:21100% → 100%
Q4 6:19
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+3
99.9%
Micah Gray run for 3 yds to the InWrd 37Similar
Q4 6:19
2ND & 7
OPP 37
+8
99.9%
Sheriron Jones run for 8 yds to the InWrd 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:19
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+4
99.9%
Micah Gray run for 4 yds to the InWrd 25Similar
Q4 6:19
2ND & 6
OPP 25
0
99.9%
Micah Gray run for no gain to the InWrd 25Similar
Q4 6:19
3RD & 6
OPP 25
+3
99.9%
Sheriron Jones run for 3 yds to the InWrd 22Similar
Q4 2:58
4TH & 3
OPP 22
+22
100.0%
Sheriron Jones pass complete to Anu Somoye for 22 yds for a TD, (Andrew Shelley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UIWDrive 31FUMBLE RETURN TD
6 plays · 83 yds · 1:550% → 0%
Q4 2:53
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+1
100.0%
Ameer King run for 1 yd to the InWrd 18Similar
Q4 2:53
2ND & 9
OWN 18
+5
100.0%
Ameer King run for 5 yds to the InWrd 23Similar
Q4 2:53
3RD & 4
OWN 23
+58
100.0%
Ameer King run for 58 yds to the NMex 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:53
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+13
100.0%
Ameer King run for 13 yds to the NMex 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:58
1ST & 0
OWN 6
-4
100.0%
Brandon McDuffie 4 Yd Fumble Return (Cody Seidel Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 32END OF GAME
3 plays · -4 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 0:58
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-2
100.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the NMex 33Similar
Q4 0:58
2ND & 12
OWN 33
-2
100.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the NMex 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 0:05
Tevaka Tuioti pass complete to Elijah Lilly for 51 yds for a TD, (Andrew Shelley KICK)
+2.8
TD · Q2 7:58
Ra'Quanne Dickens 90 Yd Run (Two-Point Run Conversion Failed)
-1.7
TD · Q3 13:10
Tyrone Owens run for 2 yds for a TD, (Andrew Shelley PAT MISSED)
+1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com