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UL

Louisiana 31 at UL Monroe 28

ULM
2018 · Week 13 · Nov 24, 2018 · Malone Stadium
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Win probability · ULM
modelULM aheadUL aheadconfidence bandkey playULM scoreUL score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDFGTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 4:22 · Jared Porter punt for 24 yds, downed at the LaMon 49
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialPregame priorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+25.5+12.80−12.8−25.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 68Home team on offense−7.8Garbage-time factor−2.1Score differential−3.6Pregame prior+2.4Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.4Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−1.9
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 11:40: Andre Nunez pass complete to Trey Ragas for 6 yds for a TD (Kyle Pfau KICK) — UL win probability +8.8 pts (now 62%) (top driver: UL has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 9:14: Kayin White run for 5 yds for a TD (Craig Ford KICK) — ULM win probability +8.0 pts (now 50%) (top driver: ULM has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 2:25: Andre Nunez pass intercepted for a TD Corey Straughter return for 66 yds for a TD (Craig Ford KICK) — ULM win probability +9.3 pts (now 47%) (top driver: UL has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 11:49: Levi Lewis pass complete to Elijah Mitchell for 40 yds for a TD (Kyle Pfau KICK) — UL win probability +20.2 pts (now 82%) (top driver: UL has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 4:47: Caleb Evans pass complete to Marcus Green for 30 yds for a TD (Craig Ford KICK) — ULM win probability +28.7 pts (now 44%) (top driver: Blowout context favors the defense).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ULM made the numbers' call on 5 of 5UL made the numbers' call on 6 of 8
  1. Q1 13:32ULM 4th & 10 at ULM 33, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 55.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.1%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    55.2%
    average punt
  2. Q2 4:22UL 4th & 3 at ULM 20, up 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 57.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    57.0%
    51% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    56.5%−0.5
    75% to make
    Punt
    51.2%−5.8
    average punt
  3. Q2 4:22ULM 4th & 12 at ULM 25, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 39.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.0%−1.4
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    39.4%
    average punt
  4. Q2 0:37UL 4th & 10 at UL 32, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 48.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.7%−2.2
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    48.9%
    average punt
  5. Q3 15:00ULM 4th & 19 at ULM 15, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 48.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.3%−4.0
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    50.3%
    average punt
  6. Q3 12:58UL 4th & 1 at ULM 48, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 51.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    51.7%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    48.8%−2.9
    average punt
  7. Q3 8:44UL 4th & 6 at ULM 33, up 3
    Close callKicked a field goal · 53.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    53.4%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    52.8%−0.6
    49% to make
    Punt
    51.3%−2.1
    average punt
  8. Q3 4:02UL 4th & 1 at UL 29, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 53.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    56.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    52.1%−4.1
    average punt
  9. Q3 2:25UL 4th & 1 at UL 30, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 53.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    57.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    52.5%−4.5
    average punt
  10. Q4 11:49ULM 4th & 13 at ULM 35, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 18.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.2%−2.2
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    20.4%
    average punt
  11. Q4 9:10UL 4th & 14 at UL 42, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 83.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.3%−3.9
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    84.1%
    average punt
  12. Q4 2:23UL 4th & 10 at UL 22, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 74.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.7%−6.3
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    73.0%
    average punt
  13. Q4 1:05ULM 4th & 1 at UL 47, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 31.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    28.8%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    13.3%−15.5
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ULM made the numbers' call on 4 of 4UL made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 13:32UL Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    44.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    44.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 4:41UL Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    50.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    50.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 14:25ULM Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    49.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    49.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 11:40UL Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    56.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    56.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 9:14ULM Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    46.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    46.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 2:25ULM Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    50.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    49.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 11:49UL Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    77.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    77.4%−0.5
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 4:47ULM Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    28.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    28.0%−0.2
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
ULDrive 1TD
5 plays · 75 yds · 1:2846% → 46%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
54.3%
Trey Ragas run for 1 yd to the LaLaf 26Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+30
54.3%
Andre Nunez pass complete to Ryheem Malone for 30 yds to the LaMon 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+4
54.3%
Trey Ragas run for 4 yds to the LaMon 40Similar
Q1 13:32
2ND & 6
OPP 40
+40
53.8%
Andre Nunez pass complete to Ryheem Malone for 40 yds for a TD (Kyle Pfau KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 2PUNT
8 plays · 12 yds · 0:0054% → 54%
Q1 13:32
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+7
54.0%
Derrick Gore run for 7 yds to the LaMon 28Similar
Q1 13:32
2ND & 3
OWN 28
+2
54.1%
Derrick Gore run for 2 yds to the LaMon 30Similar
Q1 13:32
3RD & 1
OWN 30
+3
54.0%
Derrick Gore run for 3 yds to the LaMon 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:32
1ST & 10
OWN 33
-1
54.0%
Caleb Evans sacked by Jacques Boudreaux for a loss of 1 yard to the LaMon 32Similar
Q1 13:32
2ND & 11
OWN 32
+1
54.0%
Caleb Evans pass complete to Markis McCray for 1 yd to the LaMon 33Similar
Q1 13:32
3RD & 10
OWN 33
0
53.9%
Caleb Evans pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:32
4TH & 10
OWN 33
-5
53.9%
Jared Porter punt for 52 yds , Ryheem Malone returns for a loss of 5 yards to the LaLaf 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 3TD
13 plays · 90 yds · 5:4147% → 54%
Q1 10:22
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+11
53.0%
Elijah Mitchell run for 11 yds to the LaLaf 21 Elijah Mitchell fumbled, recovered by LaLaf Elijah Mitchell for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:22
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+13
53.0%
Trey Ragas run for 13 yds to the LaLaf 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:22
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+17
52.8%
Andre Nunez pass complete to Earnest Patterson for 17 yds to the LaMon 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:22
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+2
52.5%
Raymond Calais run for 2 yds to the LaMon 47Similar
Q1 10:22
2ND & 8
OPP 47
-1
52.5%
Elijah Mitchell run for a loss of 1 yard to the LaMon 48Similar
Q1 10:22
3RD & 9
OPP 48
+31
52.6%
Trey Ragas run for 31 yds to the LaMon 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:22
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+5
52.4%
Trey Ragas run for 5 yds to the LaMon 12Similar
Q1 10:22
2ND & 5
OPP 12
0
52.4%
Andre Nunez pass complete to Ja'Marcus Bradley for no gain to the LaMon 12Similar
Q1 10:22
3RD & 5
OPP 12
+8
52.5%
Andre Nunez pass complete to Ryheem Malone for 8 yds to the LaMon 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:22
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+3
52.4%
Elijah Mitchell run for 3 yds to the LaMon 1Similar
Q1 4:47
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
-4
49.8%
Mitchell,Elijah rush for 1 yard to the ULM0, clock 04:47, PENALTY ULL illegal formation 4 yards to the ULM5, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 4:47
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
-15
49.8%
LOUISIANA Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (-15 Yards) to the LaMon 20Similar
Q1 4:41
2ND & GOAL
OPP 20
+20
45.9%
Andre Nunez pass complete to Ja'Marcus Bradley for 20 yds for a TD (Kyle Pfau KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 4TD
12 plays · 59 yds · 5:1648% → 51%
Q1 4:41
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
48.4%
Caleb Evans pass incomplete to Jonathan HodohSimilar
Q1 4:41
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+11
48.2%
Marcus Green run for 11 yds to the LaLaf 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:41
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+1
48.6%
Kayin White run for 1 yd to the LaLaf 47Similar
Q1 4:41
2ND & 9
OPP 47
+6
48.6%
Caleb Evans run for 6 yds to the LaLaf 41Similar
Q1 4:41
3RD & 3
OPP 41
+11
48.5%
Caleb Evans pass complete to Sloan Spiller for 11 yds to the LaLaf 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:41
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
48.9%
Caleb Evans pass incomplete to Marcus GreenSimilar
Q1 4:41
2ND & 10
OPP 30
-1
48.9%
Caleb Evans run for a loss of 1 yard to the LaLaf 31Similar
Q1 4:41
3RD & 11
OPP 31
+14
48.5%
Caleb Evans run for 14 yds to the LaLaf 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:41
1ST & 10
OPP 17
0
48.9%
Caleb Evans run for no gain to the LaLaf 17Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 17
+4
45.4%
Derrick Gore run for 4 yds to the LaLaf 13Similar
Q2 14:25
3RD & 6
OPP 13
+13
50.8%
Caleb Evans pass complete to Austin Vaughn for 13 yds for a TD (Craig Ford KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 5TD
8 plays · 65 yds · 2:4552% → 62%
Q2 14:25
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+8
48.2%
Andre Nunez pass complete to Ryheem Malone for 8 yds to the LaLaf 43Similar
Q2 14:25
2ND & 2
OWN 43
+6
47.5%
Trey Ragas run for 6 yds to the LaLaf 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:25
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+3
47.4%
Trey Ragas run for 3 yds to the LaMon 48Similar
Q2 14:25
2ND & 7
OPP 48
+4
47.2%
Andre Nunez pass complete to Raymond Calais for 4 yds to the LaMon 44Similar
Q2 14:25
3RD & 3
OPP 44
+39
47.4%
Raymond Calais run for 39 yds to the LaMon 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:25
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
-1
47.0%
Raymond Calais run for a loss of 1 yard to the LaMon 6Similar
Q2 11:40
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
38.1%
Andre Nunez pass complete to Trey Ragas for 6 yds for a TD (Kyle Pfau KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 6TD
6 plays · 54 yds · 2:2642% → 50%
Q2 11:40
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+32
41.6%
Derrick Gore run for 32 yds to the LaLaf 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:40
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+8
42.3%
Derrick Gore run for 8 yds to the LaLaf 14Similar
Q2 11:40
2ND & 2
OPP 14
+6
42.3%
Austin Vaughn run for 6 yds to the LaLaf 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:40
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+3
42.3%
Austin Vaughn run for 3 yds to the LaLaf 5Similar
Q2 9:14
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
50.3%
Kayin White run for 5 yds for a TD (Craig Ford KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 7FG
11 plays · 56 yds · 4:5254% → 60%
Q2 9:14
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+13
46.5%
Elijah Mitchell run for 13 yds to the LaLaf 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:14
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+4
45.6%
Elijah Mitchell run for 4 yds to the LaLaf 41Similar
Q2 9:14
2ND & 6
OWN 41
-1
45.0%
Elijah Mitchell run for a loss of 1 yard to the LaLaf 40Similar
Q2 9:14
3RD & 7
OWN 40
+16
45.5%
Levi Lewis run for 16 yds to the LaMon 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:14
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+9
44.6%
Elijah Mitchell run for 9 yds to the LaMon 35Similar
Q2 9:14
2ND & 1
OPP 35
+8
44.3%
Levi Lewis pass complete to Ja'Marcus Bradley for 8 yds to the LaMon 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:14
1ST & 10
OPP 27
-1
44.3%
Trey Ragas run for a loss of 1 yard to the LaMon 28Similar
Q2 9:14
2ND & 11
OPP 28
+6
44.5%
Levi Lewis pass complete to Trey Ragas for 6 yds to the LaMon 22Similar
Q2 9:14
3RD & 5
OPP 22
+2
44.8%
Levi Lewis run for 2 yds to the LaMon 20Similar
Q2 4:22
4TH & 3
OPP 20
+37
40.4%
Kyle Pfau 37 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · -2 yds · 0:0040% → 38%
Q2 4:22
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
40.4%
Caleb Evans pass incomplete to Marcus GreenSimilar
Q2 4:22
2ND & 10
OWN 27
+6
40.0%
Derrick Gore run for 6 yds to the LaMon 33Similar
Q2 4:22
3RD & 4
OWN 33
-8
40.0%
Caleb Evans sacked by Chauncey Manac for a loss of 8 yards to the LaMon 25Similar
Q2 4:22
4TH & 12
OWN 25
0
38.4%
Jared Porter punt for 24 yds, downed at the LaMon 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 9INT TD
2 plays · 11 yds · 0:2362% → 53%
Q2 2:48
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+11
37.9%
Ryheem Malone run for 11 yds to the LaMon 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:25
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+66
47.1%
Andre Nunez pass intercepted for a TD Corey Straughter return for 66 yds for a TD (Craig Ford KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 10PUNT
11 plays · 11 yds · 1:4851% → 52%
Q2 2:25
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+9
49.5%
Trey Ragas run for 9 yds to the LaLaf 30Similar
Q2 2:25
2ND & 1
OWN 30
+2
48.3%
Trey Ragas run for 2 yds to the LaLaf 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:25
1ST & 10
OWN 32
-7
48.9%
Elijah Mitchell run for 3 yds to the LaLaf 35 LOUISIANA Penalty, Offensive holding (-10 Yards) to the LaLaf 25Similar
Q2 2:25
1ST & 17
OWN 25
-7
49.7%
Andre Nunez sacked by Marcus Hubbard for a loss of 7 yards to the LaLaf 18Similar
Q2 0:50
2ND & 24
OWN 18
+4
47.9%
Elijah Mitchell run for 4 yds to the LaLaf 22Similar
Q2 0:44
3RD & 20
OWN 22
+10
49.0%
Elijah Mitchell run for 10 yds to the LaLaf 32Similar
Q2 0:37
4TH & 10
OWN 32
0
48.3%
Rhys Byrns punt for 43 yds , Marcus Green returns for no gain to the LaMon 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 11END OF HALF
1 play · 4 yds · 0:0045% → 45%
Q2 0:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
44.7%
Marcus Green run for 4 yds to the LaMon 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · -9 yds · 0:0050% → 48%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
50.1%
Caleb Evans run for no gain to the LaMon 24Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 24
+2
49.8%
Derrick Gore run for 2 yds to the LaMon 26Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 8
OWN 26
-11
48.6%
Caleb Evans sacked by Chaiziere Malbrue for a loss of 11 yards to the LaMon 15Similar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 19
OWN 15
0
47.8%
Jared Porter punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Ryheem Malone at the LaLaf 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 13MISSED FG
11 plays · 24 yds · 4:1454% → 54%
Q3 12:58
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+1
45.8%
Elijah Mitchell run for 1 yd to the LaLaf 44Similar
Q3 12:58
2ND & 9
OWN 44
+8
45.8%
Andre Nunez pass complete to Ryheem Malone for 8 yds to the LaMon 48Similar
Q3 12:58
3RD & 1
OPP 48
0
45.6%
Elijah Mitchell run for no gain to the LaMon 48Similar
Q3 12:58
4TH & 1
OPP 48
+1
47.4%
Elijah Mitchell run for 1 yd to the LaMon 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:58
1ST & 10
OPP 47
-10
45.2%
Mitchell,Elijah rush for 4 yards to the ULM43, out-of-bounds (Johnson, Jabari), PENALTY ULL holding (Lumpkin,Johnny) 10 yards to the ULL43, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 12:58
1ST & 20
OWN 43
+5
47.2%
Trey Ragas run for 5 yds to the LaLaf 48Similar
Q3 12:58
2ND & 15
OWN 48
+15
47.2%
Nunez,Andre pass incomplete to Bradley,J., PENALTY ULM pass interference (Hubbard, M.) 15 yards to the ULM37, 1ST DOWN ULL, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 12:58
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+1
45.2%
Trey Ragas run for 1 yd to the LaMon 36Similar
Q3 12:58
2ND & 9
OPP 36
+3
45.3%
Trey Ragas run for 3 yds to the LaMon 33Similar
Q3 12:58
3RD & 6
OPP 33
0
45.8%
Andre Nunez pass incomplete to Ja'Marcus BradleySimilar
Q3 8:44
4TH & 6
OPP 33
+50
45.9%
Kyle Pfau 50 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 14INT
10 plays · 62 yds · 3:3449% → 50%
Q3 8:44
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
48.8%
Caleb Evans pass incomplete to D'Marius GillespieSimilar
Q3 8:44
2ND & 10
OWN 33
+3
48.6%
Caleb Evans pass complete to Marcus Green for 3 yds to the LaMon 36Similar
Q3 8:44
3RD & 7
OWN 36
+11
48.0%
Caleb Evans run for 11 yds to the LaMon 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:44
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+8
52.0%
Kayin White run for 8 yds to the LaLaf 45Similar
Q3 8:44
2ND & 2
OPP 45
+2
52.9%
Marcus Green run for 2 yds to the LaLaf 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:44
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+34
52.8%
Caleb Evans pass complete to Markis McCray for 34 yds to the LaLaf 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:44
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+2
54.2%
Kayin White run for 2 yds to the LaLaf 7Similar
Q3 8:44
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+2
54.2%
Caleb Evans run for 2 yds to the LaLaf 5Similar
Q3 5:10
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
0
50.4%
Caleb Evans pass intercepted, touchback. Michael Jacquet III return for no gainSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 15DOWNS
5 plays · 9 yds · 1:0156% → 54%
Q3 5:03
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
43.6%
Trey Ragas run for 2 yds to the LaLaf 22Similar
Q3 5:03
2ND & 8
OWN 22
0
44.0%
Andre Nunez pass incomplete to Ryheem MaloneSimilar
Q3 5:03
3RD & 8
OWN 22
+7
45.4%
Andre Nunez pass complete to Ja'Marcus Bradley for 7 yds to the LaLaf 29Similar
Q3 4:02
4TH & 1
OWN 29
0
45.6%
Andre Nunez run for no gain to the LaLaf 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 16FUMBLE
3 plays · 8 yds · 0:0053% → 50%
Q3 3:56
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
52.5%
Caleb Evans pass complete to Derrick Gore for no gain to the LaLaf 29Similar
Q3 3:56
2ND & 10
OPP 29
+2
52.3%
Derrick Gore run for 2 yds to the LaLaf 27Similar
Q3 3:56
3RD & 8
OPP 27
+6
50.3%
Caleb Evans pass complete to Markis McCray for 6 yds Markis McCray fumbled, forced by Justin Middleton, recovered by LaLaf Justin MiddletonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 17TD
12 plays · 79 yds · 5:3657% → 82%
Q3 2:25
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
43.5%
Ryheem Malone run for no gain to the LaLaf 21Similar
Q3 2:25
2ND & 10
OWN 21
-2
44.0%
Trey Ragas run for a loss of 2 yards to the LaLaf 19Similar
Q3 2:25
3RD & 12
OWN 19
-4
45.7%
LOUISIANA Penalty, false start (Robert Hunt) to the LaLaf 15Similar
Q3 2:25
3RD & 16
OWN 15
+15
45.7%
Levi Lewis pass complete to Trey Ragas for 15 yds to the LaLaf 30Similar
Q3 2:25
4TH & 1
OWN 30
+2
45.1%
Trey Ragas run for 2 yds to the LaLaf 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+9
41.5%
Trey Ragas run for 9 yds to the LaLaf 41Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 1
OWN 41
+3
39.7%
Trey Ragas run for 3 yds to the LaLaf 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+2
39.6%
Earnest Patterson run for 2 yds to the LaLaf 46Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 46
-1
39.7%
Levi Lewis pass complete to Elijah Mitchell for a loss of 1 yard to the LaLaf 45Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 9
OWN 45
+15
41.4%
Lewis,Levi pass incomplete to Bradley,J., PENALTY ULM pass interference (Hubbard, M.) 15 yards to the ULM40, 1ST DOWN ULL, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
38.8%
Elijah Mitchell run for no gain to the LaMon 40Similar
Q4 11:49
2ND & 10
OPP 40
+40
18.5%
Levi Lewis pass complete to Elijah Mitchell for 40 yds for a TD (Kyle Pfau KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 18PUNT
7 plays · 10 yds · 0:0019% → 18%
Q4 11:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
19.4%
Kayin White run for 1 yd to the LaMon 26Similar
Q4 11:49
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+12
19.3%
Caleb Evans run for 12 yds to the LaMon 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:49
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
20.9%
Caleb Evans pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:49
2ND & 10
OWN 38
-3
20.6%
Marcus Green run for a loss of 3 yards to the LaMon 35Similar
Q4 11:49
3RD & 13
OWN 35
0
18.5%
Caleb Evans run for no gain to the LaMon 35Similar
Q4 11:49
4TH & 13
OWN 35
+11
18.2%
Jared Porter punt for 48 yds , Earnest Patterson returns for 11 yds to the LaLaf 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 19PUNT
6 plays · 14 yds · 0:0085% → 84%
Q4 9:10
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+18
14.6%
Trey Ragas run for 3 yds to the LaLaf 31 for a 1ST down UL MONROE Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Cortez Sisco Jr.) to the LaLaf 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:10
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+1
13.5%
Trey Ragas run for 1 yd to the LaLaf 47Similar
Q4 9:10
2ND & 9
OWN 47
-3
13.6%
Levi Lewis pass complete to Ryheem Malone for a loss of 3 yards to the LaLaf 44Similar
Q4 9:10
3RD & 12
OWN 44
+3
14.6%
Elijah Mitchell run for 3 yds to the LaLaf 47Similar
Q4 9:10
4TH & 9
OWN 47
-5
15.1%
LOUISIANA Penalty, delay of game (Levi Lewis) to the LaLaf 42Similar
Q4 9:10
4TH & 14
OWN 42
0
15.8%
Rhys Byrns punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Marcus Green at the LaMon 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 20TD
5 plays · 76 yds · 1:3712% → 44%
Q4 6:24
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+27
11.8%
Caleb Evans pass complete to R.J. Turner for 27 yds to the LaLaf 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:24
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
14.6%
Caleb Evans pass incomplete to Josh PedersonSimilar
Q4 6:24
2ND & 10
OPP 49
+9
14.1%
Caleb Evans pass complete to Marcus Green for 9 yds to the LaLaf 40Similar
Q4 6:24
3RD & 1
OPP 40
+10
15.3%
Derrick Gore run for 10 yds to the LaLaf 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:47
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+30
44.1%
Caleb Evans pass complete to Marcus Green for 30 yds for a TD (Craig Ford KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 21PUNT
9 plays · 11 yds · 2:2472% → 77%
Q4 4:47
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+8
27.7%
Trey Ragas run for 8 yds to the LaLaf 19Similar
Q4 4:47
2ND & 2
OWN 19
+3
26.9%
Trey Ragas run for 3 yds to the LaLaf 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:47
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+4
27.4%
Trey Ragas run for 4 yds to the LaLaf 26Similar
Q4 4:47
2ND & 6
OWN 26
0
26.8%
Andre Nunez pass incomplete to Ja'Marcus BradleySimilar
Q4 4:47
3RD & 6
OWN 26
-5
29.0%
LOUISIANA Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the LaLaf 21Similar
Q4 4:47
3RD & 11
OWN 21
+1
30.0%
Elijah Mitchell run for 1 yd to the LaLaf 22Similar
Q4 2:23
4TH & 10
OWN 22
0
23.0%
Rhys Byrns punt for 62 yds, downed at the LaMon 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 22MISSED FG
12 plays · 65 yds · 2:0730% → 17%
Q4 2:07
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+15
29.8%
Caleb Evans pass complete to Marcus Green for 15 yds to the LaMon 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:07
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+13
30.8%
Caleb Evans pass complete to Marcus Green for 13 yds to the LaMon 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:39
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+3
33.0%
Caleb Evans pass complete to Derrick Gore for 3 yds to the LaMon 47Similar
Q4 1:39
2ND & 7
OWN 47
0
33.7%
Caleb Evans run for no gain to the LaMon 47Similar
Q4 1:05
3RD & 7
OWN 47
+6
23.9%
Caleb Evans pass complete to Marcus Green for 6 yds to the LaLaf 47Similar
Q4 1:05
4TH & 1
OPP 47
+30
24.1%
Caleb Evans pass complete to R.J. Turner for 30 yds to the LaLaf 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:05
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+3
34.5%
Derrick Gore run for 3 yds to the LaLaf 14Similar
Q4 1:05
2ND & 7
OPP 14
-5
34.5%
Evans, Caleb pass complete to Green, Marcus for 6 yards to the ULL8 (Boudreaux,J.), PENALTY ULM illegal formation 5 yards to the ULL19, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 0:10
2ND & 12
OPP 19
0
22.8%
Caleb Evans pass incomplete to Marcus GreenSimilar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 12
OPP 19
+36
17.1%
Craig Ford 36 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 4:47
Caleb Evans pass complete to Marcus Green for 30 yds for a TD (Craig Ford KICK)
+28.7
TD · Q4 11:49
Levi Lewis pass complete to Elijah Mitchell for 40 yds for a TD (Kyle Pfau KICK)
-20.2
End of Game · Final
Game over.
-17.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com