Try the model
CCU

Coastal Carolina 28 at South Alabama 31

USA
2018 · Week 13 · Nov 23, 2018 · Ladd Peebles Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · USA
modelUSA aheadCCU aheadconfidence bandkey playUSA scoreCCU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:34 · TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the CCaro 47
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialPregame priorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsTime remaining
+27.0+13.50−13.5−27.0Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 13:28: Evan Orth pass complete to Jamarius Way for 73 yds for a TD (Gavin Patterson KICK) — USA win probability +10.0 pts (now 75%) (top driver: USA has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 2:46: Kawaan Baker run for 6 yds for a TD (Gavin Patterson KICK) — USA win probability +14.6 pts (now 84%) (top driver: USA has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 1:51: Cole Garvin pass complete to Jamarius Way for 7 yds for a TD (Gavin Patterson KICK) — USA win probability +12.9 pts (now 93%) (top driver: USA has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 13:09: Alex James run for 1 yd for a TD Biscardi, M. kick attempt good, PENALTY CCU illegal block (Webster, W.) 79 yards to the CCU18, NO PLAY, PENALTY CCU illegal block (Culbertson, R.) 0 yards to the CCU18, NO PLAY. (Massimo Biscardi KICK) — CCU win probability +12.9 pts (now 21%) (top driver: CCU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 0:34: Kilton Anderson pass complete to Malcolm Williams for 16 yds for a TD (Massimo Biscardi KICK) — CCU win probability +17.9 pts (now 23%) (top driver: CCU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
USA made the numbers' call on 4 of 7CCU made the numbers' call on 5 of 6
  1. Q1 10:14USA 4th & 7 at CCU 15, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 55.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.9%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    55.0%
    83% to make
    Punt
    54.3%−0.7
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:25CCU 4th & 4 at USA 44, down 10
    Close callPunted · 42.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.0%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    42.6%−0.5
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    42.9%−0.2
    average punt
  3. Q2 14:52USA 4th & 5 at CCU 28, up 10
    Close callKicked a field goal · 62.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    61.7%
    41% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    61.7%−<0.1
    60% to make
    Punt
    57.7%−4.0
    average punt
  4. Q2 14:44CCU 4th & 20 at CCU 18, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 36.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.6%−1.5
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    37.1%
    average punt
  5. Q2 0:23USA 4th & 1 at USA 42, up 17
    Close callPunted · 81.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    81.5%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    81.2%−0.3
    average punt
  6. Q3 15:00CCU 4th & 4 at USA 28, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 19.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    19.0%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    18.1%−0.8
    60% to make
    Punt
    11.4%−7.5
    average punt
  7. Q3 10:45USA 4th & 19 at CCU 39, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 74.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    72.8%−1.9
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    74.4%−0.2
    36% to make
    PuntTheir call
    74.6%
    average punt
  8. Q3 7:29CCU 4th & 13 at CCU 11, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 20.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.3%−3.3
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    22.6%
    average punt
  9. Q3 1:51USA 4th & 3 at CCU 7, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 81.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    81.6%
    46% to convert
    Field goal
    80.7%−1.0
    91% to make
    Punt
    73.1%−8.6
    average punt
  10. Q4 13:09USA 4th & 4 at CCU 44, up 10
    Close callPunted · 84.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    84.5%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    82.4%−2.0
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    83.6%−0.9
    average punt
  11. Q4 10:20CCU 4th & 10 at CCU 26, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 11.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.9%−1.2
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    12.1%
    average punt
  12. Q4 6:06USA 4th & 5 at USA 44, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 90.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.6%−0.3
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    90.9%
    average punt
  13. Q4 6:01CCU 4th & 4 at USA 29, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 9.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    9.9%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    9.2%−0.7
    58% to make
    Punt
    6.4%−3.5
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
USA made the numbers' call on 4 of 4CCU made the numbers' call on 3 of 4
  1. Q1 8:25USA Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    57.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    57.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 13:28USA Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    67.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    67.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 8:48CCU Touchdown, down 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    32.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    32.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 2:46USA Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    78.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    78.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 10:45CCU Touchdown, down 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    23.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    23.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 1:51USA Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    91.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    91.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 13:09CCU Touchdown, down 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    14.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    14.1%−0.2
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 0:34CCU Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Numbers favored go for two by 1.3 ptsKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    9.5%−1.3
    97% to make
    Go for two
    10.8%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
USADrive 1FG
13 plays · 67 yds · 4:4656% → 57%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 18
0
55.8%
Tra Minter run for no gain to the SAlab 18Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 18
-5
55.8%
SOUTH ALABAMA Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the SAlab 13Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 15
OWN 13
+31
55.8%
Cole Garvin pass complete to Tra Minter for 31 yds to the SAlab 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+5
55.8%
Tra Minter run for 5 yds to the SAlab 49Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 49
0
55.8%
Tra Minter run for no gain to the SAlab 49Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 5
OWN 49
+7
55.8%
Cole Garvin pass complete to Jamarius Way for 7 yds to the CCaro 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+26
55.8%
Tra Minter run for 26 yds to the CCaro 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+2
55.8%
Maurice Mayo run for 2 yds to the CCaro 16Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 16
-4
55.8%
Kawaan Baker run for 6 yds to the CCaro 10 SOUTH ALABAMA Penalty, Offensive holding (-10 Yards) to the CCaro 20Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 12
OPP 20
+5
55.8%
Cole Garvin run for 5 yds to the CCaro 15Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 7
OPP 15
0
55.8%
Cole Garvin pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:14
4TH & 7
OPP 15
+32
56.9%
Gavin Patterson 32 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 2FUMBLE
5 plays · 14 yds · 0:0043% → 44%
Q1 10:14
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+3
56.6%
Kilton Anderson pass complete to Malcolm Williams for 3 yds to the CCaro 34Similar
Q1 10:14
2ND & 7
OWN 34
+4
56.5%
CJ Marable run for 4 yds to the CCaro 38Similar
Q1 10:14
3RD & 3
OWN 38
+9
56.4%
Kilton Anderson pass complete to Malcolm Williams for 9 yds to the CCaro 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:14
1ST & 10
OWN 47
-4
56.3%
Alex James run for a loss of 4 yards to the CCaro 45 Alex James fumbled, forced by Jordon Beaton, recovered by SAlab Jordon BeatonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 3TD
1 play · 45 yds · 0:0060% → 60%
Q1 8:25
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+45
59.5%
Cole Garvin pass complete to Jamarius Way for 45 yds for a TD (Gavin Patterson KICK) COASTL CAROLINA Penalty, roughing the kicker ( Yards) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 4PUNT
11 plays · 31 yds · 0:0041% → 41%
Q1 8:25
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+14
58.7%
CJ Marable run for 14 yds to the CCaro 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:25
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+2
58.4%
CJ Marable run for 2 yds to the CCaro 41Similar
Q1 8:25
2ND & 8
OWN 41
+2
58.4%
CJ Marable run for 2 yds to the CCaro 43Similar
Q1 8:25
3RD & 6
OWN 43
+5
58.5%
SOUTH ALABAMA Penalty, offside defense (5 Yards) to the CCaro 48Similar
Q1 8:25
3RD & 1
OWN 48
+2
58.3%
CJ Marable run for 2 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:25
1ST & 10
50
0
58.1%
Kilton Anderson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:25
2ND & 10
50
+1
58.3%
Alex James run for 1 yd to the SAlab 49Similar
Q1 8:25
3RD & 9
OPP 49
-10
58.4%
Anderson, K. rush for 9 yards to the USA40 (Thompson, Jalen), QB hurry by Beaton, Jordon, PENALTY CCU holding (Carter, T.) 10 yards to the CCU41, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 8:25
3RD & 19
OWN 41
+15
58.9%
Kilton Anderson pass complete to CJ Marable for 15 yds to the SAlab 44Similar
Q1 8:25
4TH & 4
OPP 44
0
58.6%
Charles Ouverson punt for 44 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 5MISSED FG
9 plays · 52 yds · 4:1662% → 63%
Q1 4:08
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
61.5%
Deonta Moore run for 4 yds to the SAlab 24Similar
Q1 4:08
2ND & 6
OWN 24
+9
61.5%
Tra Minter run for 9 yds to the SAlab 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:08
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+7
61.6%
Tra Minter run for 7 yds to the SAlab 40Similar
Q1 4:08
2ND & 3
OWN 40
+27
62.2%
Deonta Moore run for 27 yds to the CCaro 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:08
1ST & 10
OPP 33
-10
62.4%
Minter, Tra rush for no gain to the CCU33 (Kelly, S.), PENALTY USA holding (Thingstad, Troy) 10 yards to the CCU43, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 4:08
1ST & 20
OPP 43
-1
62.1%
Tywun Walters run for a loss of 1 yard to the CCaro 44Similar
Q1 4:08
2ND & 21
OPP 44
+7
62.0%
Cole Garvin run for 7 yds to the CCaro 37Similar
Q1 4:08
3RD & 14
OPP 37
+9
61.6%
Cole Garvin pass complete to Jamarius Way for 9 yds to the CCaro 28Similar
Q2 14:52
4TH & 5
OPP 28
+45
63.1%
Gavin Patterson 45 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · -10 yds · 0:0837% → 35%
Q2 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 28
-10
63.0%
Kilton Anderson sacked by Chason Milner for a loss of 10 yards to the CCaro 18 COASTL CAROLINA Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q2 14:44
2ND & 20
OWN 18
0
64.4%
Kilton Anderson pass incomplete to Malcolm WilliamsSimilar
Q2 14:44
3RD & 20
OWN 18
0
64.8%
CJ Marable run for no gain to the CCaro 18Similar
Q2 14:44
4TH & 20
OWN 18
0
65.1%
Charles Ouverson punt for 55 yds, downed at the SAlab 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 7TD
1 play · 73 yds · 0:0075% → 75%
Q2 13:28
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+73
75.1%
Evan Orth pass complete to Jamarius Way for 73 yds for a TD (Gavin Patterson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 8TD
9 plays · 72 yds · 4:4027% → 35%
Q2 13:28
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+2
72.7%
CJ Marable run for 2 yds to the CCaro 30Similar
Q2 13:28
2ND & 8
OWN 30
+10
72.6%
CJ Marable run for 10 yds to the CCaro 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:28
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+9
72.3%
Kilton Anderson pass complete to Ky'Jon Tyler for 9 yds to the CCaro 49Similar
Q2 13:28
2ND & 1
OWN 49
+4
71.6%
Alex James run for 4 yds to the SAlab 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:28
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+6
71.8%
Kilton Anderson run for 6 yds to the SAlab 41Similar
Q2 13:28
2ND & 4
OPP 41
-3
71.6%
Alex James run for a loss of 3 yards to the SAlab 44Similar
Q2 13:28
3RD & 7
OPP 44
+13
72.0%
Kilton Anderson pass complete to Malcolm Williams for 13 yds to the SAlab 31 for a 1ST down SOUTH ALABAMA Penalty, Defensive holding ( Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:48
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+31
65.4%
Bryce Carpenter pass complete to Isaiah Likely for 31 yds for a TD (Massimo Biscardi KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 9TD
15 plays · 75 yds · 6:0267% → 84%
Q2 8:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
67.2%
Tra Minter run for 6 yds to the SAlab 31Similar
Q2 8:48
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+10
67.7%
Deonta Moore run for 10 yds to the SAlab 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:48
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+5
68.3%
Kawaan Baker run for 5 yds to the SAlab 46Similar
Q2 8:48
2ND & 5
OWN 46
+6
68.4%
Tra Minter run for 6 yds to the CCaro 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:48
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+6
68.5%
Tra Minter run for 6 yds to the CCaro 42Similar
Q2 6:13
2ND & 4
OPP 42
-9
69.6%
Maurice Mayo run for 1 yd to the SAlab 41 SOUTH ALABAMA Penalty, Offensive holding (-10 Yards) to the SAlab 49Similar
Q2 6:13
2ND & 13
OWN 49
+18
68.7%
Evan Orth pass complete to Tra Minter for 18 yds to the CCaro 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:13
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+6
69.8%
Deonta Moore run for 6 yds to the CCaro 27Similar
Q2 6:13
2ND & 4
OPP 27
+9
69.8%
Tra Minter run for 9 yds to the CCaro 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:13
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+1
69.8%
Tra Minter run for 1 yd to the CCaro 17Similar
Q2 6:13
2ND & 9
OPP 17
+7
69.8%
Deonta Moore run for 7 yds to the CCaro 10Similar
Q2 6:13
3RD & 2
OPP 10
+4
69.0%
Evan Orth run for 4 yds to the CCaro 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:46
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
83.7%
Kawaan Baker run for 6 yds for a TD (Gavin Patterson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 10INT
3 plays · -9 yds · 0:0020% → 19%
Q2 2:46
1ST & 10
OWN 28
-9
79.9%
Kilton Anderson sacked by Sean Grayer for a loss of 9 yards to the CCaro 19Similar
Q2 2:46
2ND & 19
OWN 19
0
80.8%
Kilton Anderson pass intercepted Darian Mills return for no gain to the SAlab 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 11PUNT
8 plays · 9 yds · 1:1684% → 83%
Q2 1:39
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+7
84.1%
Kawaan Baker run for 7 yds to the SAlab 40Similar
Q2 1:39
2ND & 3
OWN 40
+1
84.5%
Tra Minter run for 1 yd to the SAlab 41Similar
Q2 1:22
3RD & 2
OWN 41
-11
84.8%
Orth, Evan rush for 8 yards to the USA49, out-of-bounds, QB hurry by Johnson, S., PENALTY USA holding (Sheffield,Jalon) 11 yards to the USA30, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 1:14
3RD & 13
OWN 30
+12
86.2%
Tra Minter run for 12 yds to the SAlab 42Similar
Q2 0:23
4TH & 1
OWN 42
0
82.9%
Corliss Waitman punt for 33 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the CCaro 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 12FUMBLE
1 play · 14 yds · 0:0019% → 19%
Q2 0:17
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+14
81.2%
Kilton Anderson pass complete to CJ Marable for 14 yds CJ Marable fumbled, forced by Nick Mobley, recovered by SAlab Darian MillsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 13END OF HALF
2 plays · 6 yds · 0:0084% → 84%
Q2 0:09
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
83.9%
Evan Orth pass incomplete to Jamarius WaySimilar
Q2 0:09
2ND & 10
OPP 39
+6
83.8%
Evan Orth run for 6 yds to the CCaro 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 14TD
10 plays · 71 yds · 4:1518% → 29%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+6
81.9%
Kilton Anderson pass complete to Jeremiah Miller for 6 yds to the CCaro 35Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 35
+12
81.4%
Kilton Anderson pass complete to Ky'Jon Tyler for 12 yds to the CCaro 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+6
81.1%
Kilton Anderson pass complete to Ky'Jon Tyler for 6 yds to the SAlab 47Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 4
OPP 47
+13
80.1%
Kilton Anderson pass complete to Malcolm Williams for 13 yds to the SAlab 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
79.7%
Kilton Anderson pass incomplete to Jeremiah MillerSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 34
+7
79.9%
Kilton Anderson run for 7 yds to the SAlab 27Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 3
OPP 27
-1
80.2%
Alex James run for a loss of 1 yard to the SAlab 28Similar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 4
OPP 28
+26
81.1%
Alex James run for 24 yds to the SAlab 4 for a 1ST down SOUTH ALABAMA Penalty, face mask (2 yards) (Nigel Lawrence) to the SAlab 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:45
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
71.3%
Alex James run for 2 yds for a TD (Massimo Biscardi KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 15PUNT
7 plays · 34 yds · 0:0076% → 74%
Q3 10:45
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+43
76.0%
Tra Minter run for 43 yds to the CCaro 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:45
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+1
78.0%
Tra Minter run for 1 yd to the CCaro 29Similar
Q3 10:45
2ND & 9
OPP 29
-9
77.9%
Kawaan Baker run for a loss of 9 yards to the CCaro 38Similar
Q3 10:45
3RD & 18
OPP 38
-5
76.1%
SOUTH ALABAMA Penalty, false start (Jamarius Way) to the CCaro 43Similar
Q3 10:45
3RD & 23
OPP 43
+4
75.9%
Cole Garvin pass complete to Jordan McCray for 4 yds to the CCaro 39Similar
Q3 10:45
4TH & 19
OPP 39
0
74.4%
Corliss Waitman punt for 25 yds, fair catch by Ky'Jon Tyler at the CCaro 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 16PUNT
4 plays · -3 yds · 0:0023% → 21%
Q3 7:29
1ST & 10
OWN 14
-3
77.5%
Kilton Anderson run for a loss of 3 yards to the CCaro 11Similar
Q3 7:29
2ND & 13
OWN 11
0
77.7%
Kilton Anderson pass incomplete to Alex JamesSimilar
Q3 7:29
3RD & 13
OWN 11
0
78.7%
Kilton Anderson pass incomplete to Isaiah LikelySimilar
Q3 7:29
4TH & 13
OWN 11
0
79.3%
Charles Ouverson punt for 40 yds, downed at the SAlab 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 17TD
10 plays · 51 yds · 4:2281% → 93%
Q3 6:13
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+13
80.5%
Tra Minter run for 13 yds to the CCaro 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:13
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+7
80.7%
Cole Garvin run for 7 yds to the CCaro 31Similar
Q3 6:13
2ND & 3
OPP 31
+3
80.9%
Deonta Moore run for 3 yds to the CCaro 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:13
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+4
80.9%
Tra Minter run for 4 yds to the CCaro 24Similar
Q3 6:13
2ND & 6
OPP 24
+5
80.9%
Deonta Moore run for 5 yds to the CCaro 19Similar
Q3 6:13
3RD & 1
OPP 19
+5
80.0%
Cole Garvin run for 5 yds to the CCaro 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:13
1ST & 10
OPP 14
-1
80.9%
Kawaan Baker run for a loss of 1 yard to the CCaro 15Similar
Q3 6:13
2ND & 11
OPP 15
0
80.8%
Cole Garvin pass incomplete to Tra MinterSimilar
Q3 6:13
3RD & 11
OPP 15
+8
79.8%
Cole Garvin pass complete to Jordan McCray for 8 yds to the CCaro 7Similar
Q3 1:51
4TH & 3
OPP 7
+7
92.7%
Cole Garvin pass complete to Jamarius Way for 7 yds for a TD (Gavin Patterson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 18TD
9 plays · 65 yds · 3:428% → 21%
Q3 1:51
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
92.0%
CJ Marable run for 1 yd to the CCaro 36Similar
Q3 1:51
2ND & 9
OWN 36
-4
92.0%
Kilton Anderson sacked by Tyree Turner for a loss of 4 yards to the CCaro 32Similar
Q3 1:51
3RD & 13
OWN 32
+14
92.5%
Kilton Anderson pass complete to Jeremiah Miller for 14 yds to the CCaro 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+24
92.9%
Kilton Anderson pass complete to Jaivon Heiligh for 24 yds to the SAlab 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
92.1%
Kilton Anderson pass incomplete to CJ MarableSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 30
+11
92.2%
Kilton Anderson run for 11 yds to the SAlab 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+18
91.8%
Kilton Anderson run for 15 yds to the SAlab 4 for a 1ST down SOUTH ALABAMA Penalty, personal foul (Sean Brown) to the SAlab 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:09
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
79.0%
Alex James run for 1 yd for a TD Biscardi, M. kick attempt good, PENALTY CCU illegal block (Webster, W.) 79 yards to the CCU18, NO PLAY, PENALTY CCU illegal block (Culbertson, R.) 0 yards to the CCU18, NO PLAY. (Massimo Biscardi KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 19PUNT
6 plays · 31 yds · 0:0084% → 84%
Q4 13:09
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+25
84.2%
Tra Minter run for 25 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:09
1ST & 10
50
+8
85.6%
Deonta Moore run for 8 yds to the CCaro 42Similar
Q4 13:09
2ND & 2
OPP 42
-2
85.7%
Tra Minter run for a loss of 2 yards to the CCaro 44Similar
Q4 13:09
3RD & 4
OPP 44
0
85.1%
Evan Orth pass complete to Jamarius Way for no gain to the CCaro 44Similar
Q4 13:09
4TH & 4
OPP 44
0
83.9%
Corliss Waitman punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Ky'Jon Tyler at the CCaro 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 20PUNT
7 plays · 14 yds · 0:0013% → 11%
Q4 10:20
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+3
87.3%
CJ Marable run for 3 yds to the CCaro 15Similar
Q4 10:20
2ND & 7
OWN 15
+5
87.3%
Kilton Anderson run for 5 yds to the CCaro 20Similar
Q4 10:20
3RD & 2
OWN 20
+6
87.9%
Alex James run for 6 yds to the CCaro 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:20
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
86.8%
Kilton Anderson pass incomplete to Malcolm Williams, broken up by Darian MillsSimilar
Q4 10:20
2ND & 10
OWN 26
0
87.3%
Kilton Anderson pass incomplete to Jeremiah MillerSimilar
Q4 10:20
3RD & 10
OWN 26
0
88.0%
Kilton Anderson pass incomplete to Ky'Jon Tyler, broken up by Jalen ThompsonSimilar
Q4 10:20
4TH & 10
OWN 26
0
88.6%
Charles Ouverson punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Tra Minter at the SAlab 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 21PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 1:3790% → 92%
Q4 7:43
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+1
90.1%
Tra Minter run for 1 yd to the SAlab 40Similar
Q4 7:43
2ND & 9
OWN 40
+2
90.0%
Tra Minter run for 2 yds to the SAlab 42Similar
Q4 7:43
3RD & 7
OWN 42
+2
89.6%
Deonta Moore run for 2 yds to the SAlab 44Similar
Q4 6:06
4TH & 5
OWN 44
0
91.6%
Corliss Waitman punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Ky'Jon Tyler at the CCaro 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 22DOWNS
7 plays · 61 yds · 0:007% → 9%
Q4 6:01
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+8
92.7%
Kilton Anderson pass complete to Ky'Jon Tyler for 8 yds to the CCaro 18Similar
Q4 6:01
2ND & 2
OWN 18
+14
92.2%
Kilton Anderson pass complete to Shadell Bell for 14 yds to the CCaro 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:01
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+33
91.7%
Kilton Anderson pass complete to Malcolm Williams for 33 yds to the SAlab 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:01
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
89.9%
Kilton Anderson pass complete to Alex James for no gain to the SAlab 35Similar
Q4 6:01
2ND & 10
OPP 35
0
89.8%
Kilton Anderson pass incomplete to Malcolm WilliamsSimilar
Q4 6:01
3RD & 10
OPP 35
+6
90.7%
Kilton Anderson run for 6 yds to the SAlab 29Similar
Q4 6:01
4TH & 4
OPP 29
0
91.5%
Kilton Anderson pass incomplete to Jeremiah Miller, broken up by Darian MillsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 23FUMBLE
7 plays · 51 yds · 1:2094% → 96%
Q4 3:17
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+3
94.2%
Tra Minter run for 3 yds to the SAlab 32Similar
Q4 3:10
2ND & 7
OWN 32
+6
94.5%
Cole Garvin run for 6 yds to the SAlab 38Similar
Q4 3:10
3RD & 1
OWN 38
+17
94.7%
Kawaan Baker run for 2 yds to the CCaro 40 for a 1ST down COASTL CAROLINA Penalty, player disqualification (Michael Makins) to the CCaro 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:10
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+3
94.9%
Tra Minter run for 3 yds to the CCaro 42Similar
Q4 1:57
2ND & 7
OPP 42
+20
96.4%
Tra Minter run for 20 yds to the CCaro 20 Tra Minter fumbled, forced by Fitz Wattley, recovered by CCaro Fitz WattleySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 24TD
7 plays · 80 yds · 1:133% → 23%
Q4 1:47
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-4
96.8%
Kilton Anderson sacked by Tyree Turner for a loss of 4 yards to the CCaro 16Similar
Q4 1:47
2ND & 14
OWN 16
+22
96.9%
Kilton Anderson pass complete to Malcolm Williams for 22 yds to the CCaro 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:47
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+15
96.4%
Anderson, K. pass incomplete to Tyler, K., QB hurry by Stewart, Taji, PENALTY USA illegal use of hands (Milner, Chason) 15 yards to the USA47, 1ST DOWN CCU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 1:47
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+9
96.0%
Kilton Anderson pass complete to Alex James for 9 yds to the SAlab 38Similar
Q4 1:47
2ND & 1
OPP 38
+22
95.6%
Kilton Anderson pass complete to Shadell Bell for 22 yds to the SAlab 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:34
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+16
77.1%
Kilton Anderson pass complete to Malcolm Williams for 16 yds for a TD (Massimo Biscardi KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 25END OF GAME
2 plays · -2 yds · 0:0094% → 94%
Q4 0:34
1ST & 10
OPP 45
-2
94.4%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the CCaro 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 0:34
Kilton Anderson pass complete to Malcolm Williams for 16 yds for a TD (Massimo Biscardi KICK)
-17.9
TD · Q2 2:46
Kawaan Baker run for 6 yds for a TD (Gavin Patterson KICK)
+14.6
TD · Q3 1:51
Cole Garvin pass complete to Jamarius Way for 7 yds for a TD (Gavin Patterson KICK)
+12.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com