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GASO

Georgia Southern 41 at Coastal Carolina 17

CCU
2018 · Week 12 · Nov 17, 2018 · Brooks Stadium (SC)
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Win probability · CCU
modelCCU aheadGASO aheadconfidence bandkey playCCU scoreGASO score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGFGTDFGTDTDTDTDTDEnd of GameTD+0.7CCU 0.8%Kilton Anderson pass complete toIsaiah Likely for 3 yds for a TD(Massimo Biscardi KICK)AWAY 41 - HOME 17 · Q4 1:08
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 1:08 · Kilton Anderson pass complete to Isaiah Likely for 3 yds for a TD (Massimo Biscardi KICK)
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+56.0+28.00−28.0−56.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 143Home team on offense−47.8Pregame prior−0.4Score differential−29.8Garbage-time factor−16.7Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−9.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−8.0
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 7:30: Fred Payton pass complete to Isaiah Likely for 1 yd for a TD GA SOUTHERN Penalty, Defensive offside (Monquavion Brinson) to the GeoSo 1 (Massimo Biscardi KICK) — CCU win probability +6.6 pts (now 34%) (top driver: CCU has the ball).
  2. FG · Q2 11:05: Massimo Biscardi 35 yd FG GOOD — CCU win probability +6.0 pts (now 44%) (top driver: CCU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 6:35: Shai Werts run for 12 yds for a TD (Tyler Bass KICK) — GASO win probability +6.6 pts (now 67%) (top driver: GASO has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 12:22: Wesley Fields run for 6 yds for a TD (Tyler Bass KICK) — GASO win probability +10.4 pts (now 78%) (top driver: GASO has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 4:32: Wesley Fields run for 2 yds for a TD (Tyler Bass KICK) — GASO win probability +11.7 pts (now 91%) (top driver: GASO has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
CCU made the numbers' call on 8 of 11GASO made the numbers' call on 3 of 6
  1. Q1 15:00CCU 4th & 2 at GASO 9, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 32.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    32.3%
    54% to convert
    Field goal
    32.2%−0.1
    89% to make
    Punt
    31.8%−0.5
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:22GASO 4th & 1 at CCU 49, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 62.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    62.1%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    61.8%−0.4
    average punt
  3. Q1 0:34GASO 4th & 18 at CCU 27, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 56.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.9%−1.1
    12% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    56.0%
    62% to make
    Punt
    53.4%−2.6
    average punt
  4. Q2 11:05CCU 4th & 9 at GASO 18, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 43.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.3%−0.6
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    42.8%
    79% to make
    Punt
    39.2%−3.6
    average punt
  5. Q2 3:39GASO 4th & 2 at CCU 4, tied
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.3 ptsKicked a field goal · 60.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.1%
    50% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    58.8%−1.3
    93% to make
    Punt
    53.1%−7.0
    average punt
  6. Q2 3:39CCU 4th & 6 at CCU 29, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 36.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.2%−0.7
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    36.9%
    average punt
  7. Q2 1:12GASO 4th & 1 at GASO 30, up 3
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.2 ptsPunted · 61.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    60.8%−1.2
    average punt
  8. Q2 1:04CCU 4th & 3 at CCU 43, down 3
    Close callPunted · 39.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.9%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    38.6%−0.3
    average punt
  9. Q3 12:22CCU 4th & 20 at CCU 15, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 24.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.4%−2.3
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    24.8%
    average punt
  10. Q3 10:35GASO 4th & 11 at CCU 42, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 74.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    74.0%−0.5
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    73.7%−0.8
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    74.6%
    average punt
  11. Q3 8:29CCU 4th & 1 at CCU 21, down 10
    Close callPunted · 23.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    23.1%−0.8
    average punt
  12. Q3 4:32CCU 4th & 7 at CCU 43, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 13.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.9%−0.7
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    14.6%
    average punt
  13. Q4 15:00CCU 4th & 18 at CCU 17, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.8%−0.5
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.3%
    average punt
  14. Q4 11:09CCU 4th & 1 at CCU 34, down 31
    Close callPunted · 0.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.4%−<0.1
    average punt
  15. Q4 9:41GASO 4th & 1 at GASO 44, up 31
    Close callPunted · 99.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.6%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.5%−0.1
    average punt
  16. Q4 3:56CCU 4th & 4 at CCU 36, down 31
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−<0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  17. Q4 1:08CCU 4th & 2 at GASO 3, down 31
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%
    49% to convert
    Field goal
    0.1%−<0.1
    93% to make
    Punt
    0.1%−<0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
CCU made the numbers' call on 2 of 2GASO made the numbers' call on 4 of 5
  1. Q1 7:30CCU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    37.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    37.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 6:35GASO Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    55.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    55.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 12:22GASO Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    72.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    72.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 4:32GASO Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    86.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    86.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 0:37GASO Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 11:09GASO Touchdown, up 30 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.7%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.7%
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 1:08CCU Touchdown, down 25 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.3%−0.2
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
CCUDrive 1TD
16 plays · 75 yds · 7:3028% → 34%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
27.6%
CJ Marable run for 1 yd to the CCaro 26Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+12
27.6%
Fred Payton pass complete to Shadell Bell for 12 yds to the CCaro 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+11
27.6%
Fred Payton run for 11 yds to the CCaro 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+3
27.6%
Alex James run for 3 yds to the GeoSo 48Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 48
+6
27.6%
Fred Payton pass complete to CJ Marable for 6 yds to the GeoSo 42Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 42
+13
27.6%
Fred Payton pass complete to Ky'Jon Tyler for 13 yds to the GeoSo 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+3
27.6%
CJ Marable run for 3 yds to the GeoSo 26Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 26
+9
27.6%
Fred Payton pass complete to CJ Marable for 9 yds to the GeoSo 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 17
0
27.6%
Fred Payton pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 17
0
27.6%
Fred Payton pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 10
OPP 17
+8
27.6%
CJ Marable run for 8 yds to the GeoSo 9Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 2
OPP 9
+3
27.6%
Alex James run for 3 yds to the GeoSo 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+3
27.6%
CJ Marable run for 3 yds to the GeoSo 3Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
27.6%
Alex James run for 2 yds to the GeoSo 1Similar
Q1 7:30
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
34.2%
Fred Payton pass complete to Isaiah Likely for 1 yd for a TD GA SOUTHERN Penalty, Defensive offside (Monquavion Brinson) to the GeoSo 1 (Massimo Biscardi KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 2FG
13 plays · 31 yds · 6:4867% → 63%
Q1 7:22
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+4
33.3%
Shai Werts pass complete to Wesley Kennedy III for 4 yds to the GeoSo 46Similar
Q1 7:22
2ND & 6
OWN 46
+2
33.1%
Wesley Fields run for 2 yds to the GeoSo 48Similar
Q1 7:22
3RD & 4
OWN 48
+3
33.1%
Wesley Fields run for 3 yds to the CCaro 49Similar
Q1 7:22
4TH & 1
OPP 49
+7
33.4%
Logan Wright run for 7 yds to the CCaro 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:22
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+1
33.0%
Monteo Garrett run for 1 yd to the CCaro 41Similar
Q1 7:22
2ND & 9
OPP 41
+4
33.0%
Logan Wright run for 4 yds to the CCaro 37Similar
Q1 7:22
3RD & 5
OPP 37
+18
33.1%
Wesley Fields run for 18 yds to the CCaro 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:22
1ST & 10
OPP 19
-3
32.6%
Wesley Kennedy III run for a loss of 3 yards to the CCaro 22Similar
Q1 7:22
2ND & 13
OPP 22
+5
32.7%
Shai Werts run for 5 yds to the CCaro 17Similar
Q1 7:22
3RD & 8
OPP 17
-12
33.0%
Wesley Fields run for 3 yds to the CCaro 14 GA SOUTHERN Penalty, illegal block (-15 Yards) to the CCaro 29Similar
Q1 7:22
3RD & 20
OPP 29
+2
33.6%
Shai Werts pass complete to Ellis Richardson for 2 yds to the CCaro 27Similar
Q1 0:34
4TH & 18
OPP 27
+44
36.6%
Tyler Bass 44 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 3FG
11 plays · 57 yds · 4:2936% → 44%
Q1 0:34
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+14
36.1%
Alex James run for 14 yds to the CCaro 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:34
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+1
36.7%
Alex James run for 1 yd to the CCaro 40Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 40
0
37.0%
Fred Payton run for no gain to the CCaro 40Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 9
OWN 40
+16
36.3%
Fred Payton pass complete to Jeremiah Miller for 16 yds to the GeoSo 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
37.9%
Fred Payton pass incomplete to Shadell BellSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 44
+25
37.8%
Fred Payton pass complete to Ky'Jon Tyler for 25 yds to the GeoSo 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+6
38.2%
Alex James run for 6 yds to the GeoSo 13Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 4
OPP 13
+1
38.2%
Alex James run for 1 yd to the GeoSo 12Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 3
OPP 12
-6
37.6%
Fred Payton run for a loss of 6 yards to the GeoSo 18 Fred Payton fumbled, recovered by CCaro Fred PaytonSimilar
Q2 11:05
4TH & 9
OPP 18
+35
43.6%
Massimo Biscardi 35 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 4TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 4:3057% → 67%
Q2 11:05
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
43.0%
Wesley Fields run for 3 yds to the GeoSo 28Similar
Q2 11:05
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+9
42.7%
Wesley Fields run for 9 yds to the GeoSo 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:05
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+5
42.3%
Monteo Garrett run for 5 yds to the GeoSo 42Similar
Q2 11:05
2ND & 5
OWN 42
0
41.4%
Wesley Kennedy III run for no gain to the GeoSo 42Similar
Q2 11:05
3RD & 5
OWN 42
+5
42.1%
Shai Werts pass complete to Wesley Kennedy III for 5 yds to the GeoSo 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:05
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+31
41.3%
Wesley Fields run for 31 yds to the CCaro 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:05
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+4
39.9%
Monteo Garrett run for 4 yds to the CCaro 18Similar
Q2 11:05
2ND & 6
OPP 18
+6
39.9%
Monteo Garrett run for 6 yds to the CCaro 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:35
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+12
33.4%
Shai Werts run for 12 yds for a TD (Tyler Bass KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 5FUMBLE
3 plays · -5 yds · 0:0039% → 39%
Q2 6:31
1ST & 10
OWN 17
-2
39.3%
CJ Marable run for a loss of 2 yards to the CCaro 15Similar
Q2 6:31
2ND & 12
OWN 15
-5
39.0%
Fred Payton sacked by Quan Griffin for a loss of 5 yards to the CCaro 12 Fred Payton fumbled, recovered by GeoSo Raymond Johnson III , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 6FG
4 plays · 8 yds · 2:0666% → 66%
Q2 5:45
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+6
33.6%
Wesley Fields run for 6 yds to the CCaro 6Similar
Q2 5:45
2ND & 4
OPP 6
+3
33.6%
Shai Werts run for 3 yds to the CCaro 3Similar
Q2 5:45
3RD & 1
OPP 3
-1
34.4%
Wesley Fields run for a loss of 1 yard to the CCaro 4Similar
Q2 3:39
4TH & 2
OPP 4
+20
34.0%
Tyler Bass 20 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:0035% → 34%
Q2 3:39
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
35.3%
Fred Payton pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:39
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+4
35.1%
Alex James run for 4 yds to the CCaro 29Similar
Q2 3:39
3RD & 6
OWN 29
0
34.7%
Fred Payton pass incomplete to CJ MarableSimilar
Q2 3:39
4TH & 6
OWN 29
0
33.7%
Charles Ouverson punt for 50 yds, downed at the GeoSo 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 8PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 1:2565% → 64%
Q2 2:37
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+8
34.6%
Wesley Kennedy III run for 8 yds to the GeoSo 29Similar
Q2 2:37
2ND & 2
OWN 29
0
33.6%
Shai Werts pass incomplete to Ellis RichardsonSimilar
Q2 2:37
3RD & 2
OWN 29
+1
34.6%
Wesley Fields run for 1 yd to the GeoSo 30Similar
Q2 1:12
4TH & 1
OWN 30
0
36.1%
Magill Bauerle punt for 34 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the CCaro 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 9PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:0038% → 38%
Q2 1:04
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+7
37.7%
Fred Payton run for 7 yds to the CCaro 43Similar
Q2 1:04
2ND & 3
OWN 43
0
39.5%
Fred Payton pass incomplete to CJ MarableSimilar
Q2 1:04
3RD & 3
OWN 43
0
38.6%
CJ Marable run for no gain to the CCaro 43Similar
Q2 1:04
4TH & 3
OWN 43
0
37.8%
Charles Ouverson punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Wesley Kennedy III at the GeoSo 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 10END OF HALF
1 play · -2 yds · 0:0065% → 65%
Q2 0:18
1ST & 10
OWN 12
-2
35.5%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the GeoSo 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 11TD
6 plays · 71 yds · 2:3466% → 78%
Q3 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+3
34.3%
Wesley Kennedy III run for 3 yds to the GeoSo 32Similar
Q3 14:56
2ND & 7
OWN 32
+3
34.0%
Wesley Fields run for 3 yds to the GeoSo 35Similar
Q3 14:56
3RD & 4
OWN 35
+5
34.2%
Wesley Fields run for 5 yds to the GeoSo 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+54
32.8%
Monteo Garrett run for 54 yds to the CCaro 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:22
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
22.3%
Wesley Fields run for 6 yds for a TD (Tyler Bass KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · -10 yds · 0:0023% → 22%
Q3 12:22
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
23.4%
Alex James run for 2 yds to the CCaro 27Similar
Q3 12:22
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+7
23.6%
Fred Payton pass complete to Isaiah Likely for 7 yds to the CCaro 34Similar
Q3 12:22
3RD & 1
OWN 34
-19
23.6%
TEAM run for a loss of 19 yards to the CCaro 15 TEAM fumbled, recovered by CCaro CJ MarableSimilar
Q3 12:22
4TH & 20
OWN 15
0
21.9%
Charles Ouverson punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Wesley Kennedy III at the GeoSo 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 13PUNT
5 plays · 13 yds · 0:0077% → 76%
Q3 10:35
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+14
22.6%
Wesley Kennedy III run for 14 yds to the CCaro 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:35
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+1
22.5%
Wesley Fields run for 1 yd to the CCaro 40Similar
Q3 10:35
2ND & 9
OPP 40
-2
22.6%
Shai Werts run for a loss of 2 yards to the CCaro 42Similar
Q3 10:35
3RD & 11
OPP 42
0
23.0%
Shai Werts pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 10:35
4TH & 11
OPP 42
0
24.2%
Magill Bauerle punt for 30 yds, fair catch by Ky'Jon Tyler at the CCaro 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 14PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:0023% → 21%
Q3 8:29
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+7
22.6%
CJ Marable run for 7 yds to the CCaro 19Similar
Q3 8:29
2ND & 3
OWN 19
+1
23.0%
CJ Marable run for 1 yd to the CCaro 20Similar
Q3 8:29
3RD & 2
OWN 20
+1
22.0%
Fred Payton run for 1 yd to the CCaro 21Similar
Q3 8:29
4TH & 1
OWN 21
0
21.4%
Charles Ouverson punt for 46 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the GeoSo 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 15TD
5 plays · 67 yds · 2:2578% → 91%
Q3 6:57
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+25
22.5%
Wesley Kennedy III run for 25 yds to the CCaro 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:57
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+7
21.5%
Wesley Kennedy III run for 7 yds to the CCaro 35Similar
Q3 6:57
2ND & 3
OPP 35
+27
21.1%
Wesley Fields run for 27 yds to the CCaro 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:57
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+6
21.1%
Wesley Fields run for 6 yds to the CCaro 2Similar
Q3 4:32
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
9.4%
Wesley Fields run for 2 yds for a TD (Tyler Bass KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 16PUNT
6 plays · 18 yds · 0:0012% → 13%
Q3 4:32
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
12.2%
CJ Marable run for 15 yds to the CCaro 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:32
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+2
13.1%
CJ Marable run for 2 yds to the CCaro 42Similar
Q3 4:32
2ND & 8
OWN 42
0
13.3%
Kilton Anderson pass incomplete to Jaivon HeilighSimilar
Q3 4:32
3RD & 8
OWN 42
+1
13.0%
Kilton Anderson pass complete to CJ Marable for 1 yd to the CCaro 43Similar
Q3 4:32
4TH & 7
OWN 43
0
12.7%
Charles Ouverson punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Wesley Kennedy III at the GeoSo 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 17TD
4 plays · 82 yds · 2:0092% → 98%
Q3 2:37
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+6
8.4%
Wesley Fields run for 6 yds to the GeoSo 24Similar
Q3 2:37
2ND & 4
OWN 24
+4
8.3%
Wesley Fields run for 4 yds to the GeoSo 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:37
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+13
8.3%
Wesley Fields run for 13 yds to the GeoSo 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:37
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+59
2.4%
Logan Wright run for 59 yds for a TD (Tyler Bass KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 18PUNT
5 plays · -8 yds · 0:373% → 3%
Q3 0:37
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
3.3%
Kilton Anderson pass incomplete to CJ MarableSimilar
Q3 0:37
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-1
3.3%
CJ Marable run for a loss of 1 yard to the CCaro 24Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 11
OWN 24
-7
3.0%
Kilton Anderson sacked by Raymond Johnson III for a loss of 7 yards to the CCaro 17Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 18
OWN 17
0
3.0%
Charles Ouverson punt for 37 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the GeoSo 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 19TD
6 plays · 54 yds · 3:0198% → 100%
Q4 14:10
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+5
2.1%
Wesley Kennedy III run for 5 yds to the CCaro 49Similar
Q4 14:10
2ND & 5
OPP 49
+10
2.1%
Shai Werts run for 10 yds to the CCaro 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:10
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+22
2.1%
Shai Werts pass complete to NaJee Thompson for 22 yds to the CCaro 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:10
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+2
2.0%
Logan Wright run for 2 yds to the CCaro 15Similar
Q4 14:10
2ND & 8
OPP 15
+10
2.0%
Shai Werts run for 10 yds to the CCaro 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:09
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
0.4%
Monteo Garrett run for 5 yds for a TD (Tyler Bass KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 20PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 11:09
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
0.4%
Kilton Anderson pass incomplete to Malcolm WilliamsSimilar
Q4 11:09
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+8
0.4%
CJ Marable run for 8 yds to the CCaro 33Similar
Q4 11:09
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+1
0.4%
Alex James run for 1 yd to the CCaro 34Similar
Q4 11:09
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
0.4%
Charles Ouverson punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Wesley Kennedy III at the GeoSo 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 21PUNT
7 plays · 22 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 9:41
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+5
0.4%
Matt LaRoche run for 5 yds to the GeoSo 27Similar
Q4 9:41
2ND & 5
OWN 27
+3
0.4%
Grant Walker run for 3 yds to the GeoSo 30Similar
Q4 9:41
3RD & 2
OWN 30
+5
0.4%
Matt LaRoche run for 5 yds to the GeoSo 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:41
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+5
0.4%
Matt LaRoche run for 5 yds to the GeoSo 40Similar
Q4 9:41
2ND & 5
OWN 40
+3
0.4%
Matt LaRoche run for 3 yds to the GeoSo 43Similar
Q4 9:41
3RD & 2
OWN 43
+1
0.3%
Grant Walker run for 1 yd to the GeoSo 44Similar
Q4 9:41
4TH & 1
OWN 44
0
0.4%
Magill Bauerle punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Ky'Jon Tyler at the CCaro 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 22PUNT
8 plays · 22 yds · 1:260% → 0%
Q4 5:22
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+1
0.2%
Baden Pinson run for 1 yd to the CCaro 15Similar
Q4 5:22
2ND & 9
OWN 15
-5
0.2%
Kilton Anderson sacked by Logan Hunt for a loss of 5 yards to the CCaro 10Similar
Q4 3:56
3RD & 14
OWN 10
+20
0.1%
Kilton Anderson pass complete to Jaivon Heiligh for 20 yds to the CCaro 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:56
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
0.1%
Kilton Anderson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 3:56
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+6
0.1%
Jacqez Hairston run for 6 yds to the CCaro 36Similar
Q4 3:56
3RD & 4
OWN 36
0
0.1%
Kilton Anderson pass incomplete to Jaivon Heiligh, broken up by Justin BirdsongSimilar
Q4 3:56
4TH & 4
OWN 36
0
0.1%
Charles Ouverson punt for 52 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the GeoSo 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 23FUMBLE
1 play · -1 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 2:13
1ST & 10
OWN 12
-2
0.1%
Justin Tomlin run for a loss of 2 yards to the GeoSo 11 Justin Tomlin fumbled, recovered by CCaro Teddy GallagherSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 24TD
4 plays · 11 yds · 1:000% → 1%
Q4 2:08
1ST & 10
OPP 11
0
0.1%
Kilton Anderson pass incomplete to Jaivon HeilighSimilar
Q4 2:08
2ND & 10
OPP 11
+6
0.1%
Jacqez Hairston run for 6 yds to the GeoSo 5Similar
Q4 2:08
3RD & 4
OPP 5
+2
0.1%
Kilton Anderson pass complete to Isaiah Likely for 2 yds to the GeoSo 3Similar
Q4 1:08
4TH & 2
OPP 3
+3
0.8%
Kilton Anderson pass complete to Isaiah Likely for 3 yds for a TD (Massimo Biscardi KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 25END OF GAME
3 plays · -2 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 1:08
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
0.4%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the GeoSo 24Similar
Q4 1:08
2ND & 11
OWN 24
-1
0.4%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the GeoSo 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 4:32
Wesley Fields run for 2 yds for a TD (Tyler Bass KICK)
-11.7
TD · Q3 12:22
Wesley Fields run for 6 yds for a TD (Tyler Bass KICK)
-10.4
TD · Q1 7:30
Fred Payton pass complete to Isaiah Likely for 1 yd for a TD GA SOUTHERN Penalty, Defensive offside (Monquavion Brinson) to the GeoSo 1 (Massimo Biscardi KICK)
+6.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com