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2018 · Week 10 · Nov 3, 2018 · Brooks Stadium (SC)
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Win probability · CCU
modelCCU aheadAPP aheadconfidence bandkey playCCU scoreAPP score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDSAFETYTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 9:46 · Kilton Anderson pass incomplete to Malcolm Williams, broken up by Akeem Davis-Gaither
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+46.0+23.00−23.0−46.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 140Pregame prior−5.8Home team on offense−26.0Score differential−14.7Garbage-time factor−12.0Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−4.7Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−4.0
This game in five plays
  1. KEY PLAY · Q2 6:24: Alex James run for 5 yds to the CCaro 6 — CCU win probability +5.4 pts (now 32%) (top driver: Not a blowout margin).
  2. TD · Q2 1:40: Jacob Huesman pass complete to Corey Sutton for 33 yds for a TD, (Chandler Staton KICK) — APP win probability +8.7 pts (now 81%) (top driver: APP has the ball).
  3. SAFETY · Q4 11:33: C. Marable run for -1 yds for a SAFETY — APP win probability +4.5 pts (now 80%) (top driver: CCU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 9:54: Marcus Williams Jr. run for 1 yd for a TD COASTL CAROLINA Penalty, offside defense ( Yards) declined (Chandler Staton KICK) — APP win probability +12.2 pts (now 96%) (top driver: APP has the ball).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q4 6:29: Marcus Williams Jr. run for 18 yds to the AppSt 42 for a 1ST down — APP win probability +4.4 pts (now 97%) (top driver: APP has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
CCU made the numbers' call on 6 of 9APP made the numbers' call on 6 of 8
  1. Q1 15:00APP 4th & 3 at APP 49, tied
    Close callPunted · 79.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.0%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    79.9%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 13:37CCU 4th & 2 at CCU 10, tied
    Close callPunted · 20.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.8%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    20.7%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 10:16CCU 4th & 6 at CCU 29, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 21.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.0%−0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    21.1%
    average punt
  4. Q1 5:49APP 4th & 18 at APP 29, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 74.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    74.5%−0.5
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    75.0%
    average punt
  5. Q1 4:49CCU 4th & 5 at CCU 30, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 24.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.8%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    24.9%
    average punt
  6. Q2 15:00APP 4th & 4 at CCU 24, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 73.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    73.0%
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    72.9%−0.1
    68% to make
    Punt
    70.9%−2.1
    average punt
  7. Q2 12:07CCU 4th & 1 at CCU 31, tied
    Close callPunted · 29.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.8%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    29.2%−0.6
    average punt
  8. Q2 6:24CCU 4th & 13 at CCU 9, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 31.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.0%−1.6
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    31.6%
    average punt
  9. Q3 11:32CCU 4th & 4 at APP 32, down 7
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.3 ptsKicked a field goal · 26.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.0%
    48% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    24.7%−1.3
    51% to make
    Punt
    23.3%−2.7
    average punt
  10. Q3 11:32APP 4th & 1 at APP 41, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 77.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    77.6%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    76.1%−1.6
    average punt
  11. Q3 11:32APP 4th & 22 at CCU 37, up 7
    Close callPunted · 75.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    74.8%−2.1
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    76.9%
    40% to make
    PuntTheir call
    76.6%−0.2
    average punt
  12. Q3 6:40APP 4th & 8 at CCU 45, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 77.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    77.6%−0.3
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    76.2%−1.6
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    77.9%
    average punt
  13. Q3 5:45CCU 4th & 16 at CCU 25, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 23.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.7%−3.7
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    25.4%
    average punt
  14. Q4 15:00APP 4th & 2 at CCU 2, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 78.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    79.9%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    78.3%−1.6
    94% to make
    Punt
    71.3%−8.6
    average punt
  15. Q4 9:46CCU 4th & 6 at APP 24, down 16
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 7.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    7.2%
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    7.1%−0.1
    68% to make
    Punt
    3.1%−4.1
    average punt
  16. Q4 4:23APP 4th & 19 at APP 33, up 16
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 96.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.7%−1.1
    11% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    96.8%
    average punt
  17. Q4 4:14CCU 4th & 13 at CCU 28, down 16
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.0%−0.3
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.3%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
CCU made the numbers' call on 1 of 1APP made the numbers' call on 2 of 3
  1. Q1 10:16APP Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    78.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    78.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 5:57CCU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    24.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    24.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 1:40APP Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    74.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    74.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 9:54APP Touchdown, up 15 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.8%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.9%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
APPDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:0081% → 81%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+3
18.9%
Darrynton Evans run for 3 yds to the AppSt 45Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 45
+4
18.9%
Darrynton Evans run for 4 yds to the AppSt 49Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 3
OWN 49
0
18.9%
Jacob Huesman pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 3
OWN 49
0
18.9%
Clayton Howell punt for 49 yds, downed at the CCaro 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 0:0020% → 20%
Q1 13:37
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+5
19.6%
APPALACHIAN ST Penalty, delay of game (5 Yards) to the CCaro 7Similar
Q1 13:37
1ST & 5
OWN 7
+4
19.5%
Marcus Outlow run for 4 yds to the CCaro 11Similar
Q1 13:37
2ND & 1
OWN 11
0
19.5%
Fred Payton pass incomplete to Malcolm WilliamsSimilar
Q1 13:37
3RD & 1
OWN 11
-1
19.5%
Marcus Outlow run for a loss of 1 yard to the CCaro 10Similar
Q1 13:37
4TH & 2
OWN 10
+20
19.5%
Charles Ouverson punt for 47 yds , Thomas Hennigan returns for 20 yds to the CCaro 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 3TD
4 plays · 37 yds · 1:2080% → 80%
Q1 11:36
1ST & 10
OPP 37
-5
20.3%
Huesman, Jacob pass complete to Hennigan, Thomas for 9 yards to the CCU28 (Chesley, Anthony), PENALTY APP ineligible downfield on pass 5 yards to the CCU42, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 11:36
1ST & 15
OPP 42
0
20.4%
Darrynton Evans run for no gain to the CCaro 42Similar
Q1 11:36
2ND & 15
OPP 42
+16
20.4%
Jacob Huesman pass complete to Dominique Heath for 16 yds to the CCaro 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:16
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+26
19.7%
Darrynton Evans run for 26 yds for a TD, (Chandler Staton KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:0020% → 20%
Q1 10:16
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
20.1%
Fred Payton run for a loss of 1 yard to the CCaro 24Similar
Q1 10:16
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+5
20.0%
Fred Payton pass complete to Malcolm Williams for 5 yds to the CCaro 29Similar
Q1 10:16
3RD & 6
OWN 29
0
20.0%
Fred Payton pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:16
4TH & 6
OWN 29
0
19.8%
Charles Ouverson punt for 40 yds , Clifton Duck returns for no gain to the AppSt 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 5INT TD
8 plays · 31 yds · 2:5180% → 77%
Q1 8:48
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+5
20.1%
Jacob Huesman pass complete to Malik Williams for 5 yds to the AppSt 36Similar
Q1 8:48
2ND & 5
OWN 36
+6
20.0%
Marcus Williams Jr. run for 6 yds to the AppSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:48
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+4
19.9%
Marcus Williams Jr. run for 4 yds to the AppSt 46Similar
Q1 8:48
2ND & 6
OWN 46
+9
19.9%
Jacob Huesman pass complete to Collin Reed for 9 yds to the CCaro 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:48
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+2
19.8%
Marcus Williams Jr. run for 2 yds to the CCaro 43Similar
Q1 8:48
2ND & 8
OPP 43
0
19.8%
Jacob Huesman pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:48
3RD & 8
OPP 43
+5
19.9%
COASTL CAROLINA Penalty, Defensive offside (5 Yards) to the CCaro 38Similar
Q1 5:57
3RD & 3
OPP 38
+60
22.7%
Jacob Huesman pass intercepted for a TD Derambez Drinkard return for 60 yds for a TD, (Massimo Biscardi KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · -8 yds · 0:0077% → 76%
Q1 5:49
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+1
23.2%
Darrynton Evans run for 1 yd to the AppSt 38Similar
Q1 5:49
2ND & 9
OWN 38
0
23.1%
Jacob Huesman pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:49
3RD & 9
OWN 38
-9
23.4%
Jacob Huesman pass complete to Dominique Heath for 6 yds to the AppSt 44 APPALACHIAN ST Penalty, personal foul (-15 Yards) to the AppSt 29Similar
Q1 5:49
4TH & 18
OWN 29
0
23.9%
Clayton Howell punt for 46 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:0024% → 24%
Q1 4:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
24.1%
CJ Marable run for no gain to the CCaro 25Similar
Q1 4:49
4TH & 5
OWN 30
0
23.5%
Charles Ouverson punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Thomas Hennigan at the AppSt 29Similar
Q1 4:49
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
24.0%
CJ Marable run for no gain to the CCaro 25Similar
Q1 4:49
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+5
23.7%
Fred Payton run for 5 yds to the CCaro 30 COASTL CAROLINA Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 8DOWNS
8 plays · 49 yds · 3:0275% → 74%
Q1 3:02
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+9
24.8%
Jacob Huesman run for 9 yds to the AppSt 38Similar
Q1 3:02
2ND & 1
OWN 38
-3
24.2%
Darrynton Evans run for a loss of 3 yards to the AppSt 35Similar
Q1 3:02
3RD & 4
OWN 35
+10
24.8%
Darrynton Evans run for 10 yds to the AppSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:02
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+25
24.2%
Marcus Williams Jr. run for 25 yds to the CCaro 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:02
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+2
23.7%
Marcus Williams Jr. run for 2 yds to the CCaro 28Similar
Q1 3:02
2ND & 8
OPP 28
+2
23.6%
Marcus Williams Jr. run for 2 yds to the CCaro 26Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 6
OPP 26
+2
25.0%
Darrynton Evans run for 2 yds to the CCaro 24Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 4
OPP 24
+2
25.8%
Darrynton Evans run for 2 yds to the CCaro 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 2:0827% → 28%
Q2 14:15
1ST & 10
OWN 22
-7
27.4%
Fred Payton run for a loss of 7 yards to the CCaro 13 Fred Payton fumbled, forced by Chris Willis, recovered by CCaro CJ MarableSimilar
Q2 14:15
2ND & 19
OWN 13
+5
27.3%
Fred Payton pass complete to Ky'Jon Tyler for 5 yds to the CCaro 18Similar
Q2 14:15
3RD & 14
OWN 18
+13
26.7%
Fred Payton pass complete to Marcus Outlow for 13 yds to the CCaro 31Similar
Q2 12:07
4TH & 1
OWN 31
0
27.9%
Charles Ouverson punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Thomas Hennigan at the AppSt 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 10INT
13 plays · 65 yds · 0:0073% → 74%
Q2 12:00
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+4
27.5%
Marcus Williams Jr. run for 4 yds to the AppSt 30Similar
Q2 12:00
2ND & 6
OWN 30
+30
27.1%
Marcus Williams Jr. run for 15 yds to the CCaro 45 for a 1ST down COASTL CAROLINA Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (Anthony Chesley) to the CCaro 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:00
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+6
25.9%
Marcus Williams Jr. run for 6 yds to the CCaro 34Similar
Q2 12:00
2ND & 4
OPP 34
+8
25.3%
Marcus Williams Jr. run for 8 yds to the CCaro 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:00
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+1
25.3%
Darrynton Evans run for 1 yd to the CCaro 25Similar
Q2 12:00
2ND & 9
OPP 25
+11
25.5%
Darrynton Evans run for 11 yds to the CCaro 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:00
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+6
25.3%
Darrynton Evans run for 6 yds to the CCaro 8Similar
Q2 12:00
2ND & 4
OPP 8
0
25.3%
Jacob Huesman run for no gain to the CCaro 8Similar
Q2 12:00
3RD & 4
OPP 8
+4
25.9%
Jacob Huesman run for 4 yds to the CCaro 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
0
25.3%
Marcus Williams Jr. run for no gain to the CCaro 4Similar
Q2 12:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
0
25.3%
Jacob Huesman pass incomplete to Collin ReedSimilar
Q2 12:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
-5
25.9%
Huesman, Jacob pass incomplete to Hennigan, Thomas (Jackson, Tarron), PENALTY APP false start 5 yards to the CCU9, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 12:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 9
0
26.1%
Jacob Huesman pass intercepted Derambez Drinkard return for no gain to the CCaro 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 11PUNT
7 plays · 8 yds · 0:0032% → 30%
Q2 6:24
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+5
31.5%
Alex James run for 5 yds to the CCaro 6Similar
Q2 6:24
2ND & 5
OWN 6
+3
31.4%
Alex James run for 3 yds to the CCaro 9Similar
Q2 6:24
3RD & 2
OWN 9
+3
30.4%
Fred Payton run for 3 yds to the CCaro 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:24
1ST & 10
OWN 12
-10
32.0%
Fred Payton sacked by Jordan Fehr for a loss of 8 yards to the CCaro 4 COASTL CAROLINA Penalty, intentional grounding (Fred Payton) to the CCaro 2Similar
Q2 6:24
2ND & 20
OWN 2
0
31.4%
Fred Payton pass incomplete to Ky'Jon TylerSimilar
Q2 6:24
3RD & 20
OWN 2
+7
30.4%
Alex James run for 7 yds to the CCaro 9Similar
Q2 6:24
4TH & 13
OWN 9
+5
29.9%
Charles Ouverson punt for 42 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the CCaro 46 , Clifton Duck returns for 5 yds to the CCaro 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 12TD
5 plays · 46 yds · 1:5172% → 81%
Q2 3:31
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
28.4%
Jacob Huesman pass incomplete to Malik WilliamsSimilar
Q2 3:31
2ND & 10
OPP 46
+1
28.5%
Darrynton Evans run for 1 yd to the CCaro 45Similar
Q2 3:31
3RD & 9
OPP 45
+12
29.2%
Jacob Huesman pass complete to Darrynton Evans for 12 yds to the CCaro 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:31
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
27.7%
Darrynton Evans run for no gain to the CCaro 33Similar
Q2 1:40
2ND & 10
OPP 33
+33
19.0%
Jacob Huesman pass complete to Corey Sutton for 33 yds for a TD, (Chandler Staton KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 13END OF HALF
8 plays · 31 yds · 1:2923% → 24%
Q2 1:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
22.9%
Marcus Outlow run for no gain to the CCaro 25Similar
Q2 1:40
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+24
22.7%
Fred Payton run for 24 yds to the CCaro 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:40
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+10
25.2%
Fred Payton pass complete to Malcolm Williams for 10 yds to the AppSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:29
1ST & 10
OPP 41
-3
26.1%
Fred Payton sacked by Jordan Fehr for a loss of 3 yards to the AppSt 44Similar
Q2 0:11
2ND & 13
OPP 44
0
23.6%
Fred Payton pass incomplete to Malcolm Williams, broken up by Clifton Duck COASTL CAROLINA Penalty, illegal block ( Yards) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 14MISSED FG
8 plays · 43 yds · 3:2824% → 25%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+23
23.7%
Fred Payton pass complete to Ky'Jon Tyler for 23 yds to the CCaro 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 48
-2
25.8%
Fred Payton pass complete to CJ Marable for a loss of 2 yards to the CCaro 46Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 12
OWN 46
+2
24.6%
Fred Payton run for 2 yds to the AppSt 38 Fred Payton fumbled, forced by Akeem Davis-Gaither, recovered by CCaro Ky'Jon Tyler for a 1ST down , return for 13 yds to the AppSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+1
26.5%
Chance Thrasher run for 1 yd to the AppSt 37Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 37
+4
26.4%
Chance Thrasher run for 4 yds to the AppSt 33Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 5
OPP 33
+1
26.3%
Chance Thrasher run for 1 yd to the AppSt 32Similar
Q3 11:32
4TH & 4
OPP 32
+50
25.4%
Massimo Biscardi 50 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by Tae Hayes TEAM return for no gain to the AppSt 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 15PUNT
11 plays · 31 yds · 0:0078% → 76%
Q3 11:32
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+5
22.3%
Darrynton Evans run for 5 yds to the AppSt 37Similar
Q3 11:32
2ND & 5
OWN 37
+2
21.7%
Jacob Huesman pass complete to Dominique Heath for 2 yds to the AppSt 39Similar
Q3 11:32
3RD & 3
OWN 39
+2
21.5%
Darrynton Evans run for 2 yds to the AppSt 41Similar
Q3 11:32
4TH & 1
OWN 41
+1
22.4%
Darrynton Evans run for 1 yd to the AppSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:32
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+2
21.3%
Darrynton Evans run for 2 yds to the AppSt 44Similar
Q3 11:32
2ND & 8
OWN 44
+31
21.3%
Jacob Huesman pass complete to Dominique Heath for 31 yds to the CCaro 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:32
1ST & 10
OPP 25
-8
20.4%
Jacob Huesman sacked by Teddy Gallagher for a loss of 8 yards to the CCaro 33Similar
Q3 11:32
2ND & 18
OPP 33
+1
21.0%
Malik Williams run for 1 yd to the CCaro 32Similar
Q3 11:32
3RD & 17
OPP 32
0
22.0%
Jacob Huesman pass incomplete to Dominique HeathSimilar
Q3 11:32
4TH & 17
OPP 32
-5
23.8%
APPALACHIAN ST Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the CCaro 37Similar
Q3 11:32
4TH & 22
OPP 37
0
23.6%
Xavier Subotsch punt for 36 yds, downed at the CCaro 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 16INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0025% → 25%
Q3 6:48
1ST & 10
OWN 1
0
24.5%
Fred Payton pass intercepted Josh Thomas return for no gain to the CCaro 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 17PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:0079% → 78%
Q3 6:40
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
20.6%
Jacob Huesman pass incomplete to Darrynton EvansSimilar
Q3 6:40
2ND & 10
OPP 47
+2
20.6%
Darrynton Evans run for 2 yds to the CCaro 45Similar
Q3 6:40
3RD & 8
OPP 45
0
21.0%
Jacob Huesman pass incomplete to Dominique HeathSimilar
Q3 6:40
4TH & 8
OPP 45
0
22.2%
Xavier Subotsch punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Ky'Jon Tyler at the CCaro 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 18PUNT
9 plays · 16 yds · 0:0025% → 23%
Q3 5:45
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+6
24.6%
Fred Payton pass complete to Malcolm Williams for 6 yds to the CCaro 15Similar
Q3 5:45
2ND & 4
OWN 15
+5
25.0%
Marcus Outlow run for 5 yds to the CCaro 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:45
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-5
25.0%
COASTL CAROLINA Penalty, illegal procedure (Trey Carter) to the CCaro 15Similar
Q3 5:45
1ST & 15
OWN 15
+5
24.9%
Fred Payton pass complete to Malcolm Williams for 5 yds to the CCaro 20Similar
Q3 5:45
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+11
25.0%
Fred Payton pass complete to Ky'Jon Tyler for 11 yds to the CCaro 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:45
1ST & 10
OWN 31
-9
25.6%
Fred Payton sacked by Jordan Fehr for a loss of 9 yards to the CCaro 22Similar
Q3 5:45
2ND & 19
OWN 22
0
24.8%
Fred Payton pass incomplete to Ky'Jon TylerSimilar
Q3 5:45
3RD & 19
OWN 22
+3
23.7%
Fred Payton pass complete to Marcus Outlow for 3 yds to the CCaro 25Similar
Q3 5:45
4TH & 16
OWN 25
+15
23.2%
Charles Ouverson punt for 50 yds , Clifton Duck returns for 15 yds to the AppSt 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 19DOWNS
9 plays · 59 yds · 1:3380% → 79%
Q3 1:33
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+3
20.3%
Marcus Williams Jr. run for 3 yds to the AppSt 43Similar
Q3 1:33
2ND & 7
OWN 43
-3
20.4%
Marcus Williams Jr. run for a loss of 3 yards to the AppSt 40Similar
Q3 1:33
3RD & 10
OWN 40
+13
21.5%
Jacob Huesman pass complete to Marcus Williams Jr. for 13 yds to the CCaro 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+28
19.3%
Darrynton Evans run for 28 yds to the CCaro 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+15
18.6%
Darrynton Evans run for 15 yds to the CCaro 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+1
18.6%
Darrynton Evans run for 1 yd to the CCaro 3Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
18.6%
Darrynton Evans run for 2 yds to the CCaro 1Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
-1
19.2%
Darrynton Evans run for a loss of 1 yard to the CCaro 2Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
21.0%
Jacob Huesman run for 1 yd to the CCaro 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 20SF
3 plays · -1 yds · 0:0020% → 20%
Q4 11:33
1ST & 10
OWN 1
-1
19.6%
C. Marable run for -1 yds for a SAFETYSimilar
Q4 11:33
1ST & GOAL
OWN 20
+23
19.6%
Charles Ouverson punt for 47 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the CCaro 44 , Thomas Hennigan returns for 23 yds to the CCaro 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 21TD
3 plays · 44 yds · 1:3283% → 96%
Q4 11:26
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+39
16.8%
Darrynton Evans run for 39 yds to the CCaro 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:26
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+4
16.0%
Marcus Williams Jr. run for 4 yds to the CCaro 1Similar
Q4 9:54
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
3.8%
Marcus Williams Jr. run for 1 yd for a TD COASTL CAROLINA Penalty, offside defense ( Yards) declined (Chandler Staton KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 22DOWNS
10 plays · 45 yds · 0:007% → 8%
Q4 9:46
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+17
6.7%
Kilton Anderson pass complete to T'Qele Holmes for 17 yds to the CCaro 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:46
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
7.3%
Kilton Anderson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 9:46
2ND & 10
OWN 48
+10
7.2%
Kilton Anderson run for 10 yds to the AppSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:46
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+8
7.7%
Kilton Anderson run for 8 yds to the AppSt 34Similar
Q4 9:46
2ND & 2
OPP 34
+6
8.6%
Kilton Anderson pass complete to Malcolm Williams for 6 yds to the AppSt 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:46
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
8.6%
Kilton Anderson pass incomplete to Malcolm WilliamsSimilar
Q4 9:46
2ND & 10
OPP 28
+4
8.2%
Marcus Outlow run for 4 yds to the AppSt 24Similar
Q4 9:46
3RD & 6
OPP 24
0
8.3%
Kilton Anderson pass incomplete to Malcolm Williams, broken up by MyQuon StoutSimilar
Q4 9:46
4TH & 6
OPP 24
0
7.6%
Kilton Anderson pass incomplete to Malcolm Williams, broken up by Akeem Davis-GaitherSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 23PUNT
7 plays · 9 yds · 2:0697% → 98%
Q4 6:29
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+18
3.3%
Marcus Williams Jr. run for 18 yds to the AppSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:29
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+2
3.1%
Marcus Williams Jr. run for 2 yds to the AppSt 44Similar
Q4 6:29
2ND & 8
OWN 44
+1
3.0%
Marcus Williams Jr. run for 1 yd to the AppSt 45Similar
Q4 6:29
3RD & 7
OWN 45
-5
3.1%
APPALACHIAN ST Penalty, false start (Baer Hunter) to the AppSt 40Similar
Q4 6:29
3RD & 12
OWN 40
-7
3.1%
Jacob Huesman sacked by Jeffrey Gunter for a loss of 7 yards to the AppSt 33Similar
Q4 4:23
4TH & 19
OWN 33
0
2.4%
Clayton Howell punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Ky'Jon Tyler at the CCaro 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 24PUNT
6 plays · 8 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q4 4:14
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
3.0%
Kilton Anderson run for 4 yds to the CCaro 24Similar
Q4 4:14
2ND & 6
OWN 24
+7
3.0%
Kilton Anderson pass complete to Marcus Outlow for 7 yds to the CCaro 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:14
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
3.1%
Kilton Anderson pass incomplete to Jeremiah MillerSimilar
Q4 4:14
2ND & 10
OWN 31
-3
3.0%
Kilton Anderson pass complete to Marcus Outlow for a loss of 3 yards to the CCaro 28Similar
Q4 4:14
3RD & 13
OWN 28
0
2.9%
Kilton Anderson pass incomplete to T'Qele HolmesSimilar
Q4 4:14
4TH & 13
OWN 28
0
2.9%
Charles Ouverson punt for 44 yds, downed at the AppSt 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 25Uncategorized
7 plays · 18 yds · 0:0698% → 98%
Q4 2:36
1ST & 10
OWN 28
-2
1.9%
Jacob Huesman run for a loss of 2 yards to the AppSt 26Similar
Q4 2:30
2ND & 12
OWN 26
-1
1.8%
Darrynton Evans run for a loss of 1 yard to the AppSt 25 APPALACHIAN ST Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q4 2:30
3RD & 13
OWN 25
+17
1.9%
Jacob Huesman run for 17 yds to the AppSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:30
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
1.7%
Darrynton Evans run for no gain to the AppSt 42Similar
Q4 2:30
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+1
1.7%
Jacob Huesman run for 1 yd to the AppSt 43Similar
Q4 2:30
3RD & 9
OWN 43
+3
1.7%
Marcus Williams Jr. run for 3 yds to the AppSt 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 9:54
Marcus Williams Jr. run for 1 yd for a TD COASTL CAROLINA Penalty, offside defense ( Yards) declined (Chandler Staton KICK)
-12.2
TD · Q2 1:40
Jacob Huesman pass complete to Corey Sutton for 33 yds for a TD, (Chandler Staton KICK)
-8.7
KEY PLAY · Q2 6:24
Alex James run for 5 yds to the CCaro 6
+5.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com