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APP

App State 14 at Georgia Southern 34

GASO
2018 · Week 9 · Oct 25, 2018 · Allen E. Paulson Stadium
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Win probability · GASO
modelGASO aheadAPP aheadconfidence bandkey playGASO scoreAPP score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDFGTDFGTDTDEnd of GameFG+0.4GASO 49.8%Tyler Bass 42 yd FG GOODAWAY 7 - HOME 17 · Q2 4:45
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 4:45 · Tyler Bass 42 yd FG GOOD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+36.5+18.30−18.3−36.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 62Home team on offense+6.6Pregame prior−14.5Score differential+1.2Garbage-time factor+2.6Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+1.4Blowout margin−0.6
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 14:37: Shai Werts pass complete to Darion Anderson for 57 yds for a TD (Tyler Bass KICK) — GASO win probability +7.9 pts (now 40%) (top driver: GASO has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 12:11: Marcus Williams Jr. run for 1 yd for a TD (Chandler Staton KICK) — APP win probability +5.8 pts (now 69%) (top driver: APP has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 9:53: Wesley Fields run for 10 yds for a TD (Tyler Bass KICK) — GASO win probability +10.3 pts (now 46%) (top driver: GASO has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 10:05: Shai Werts run for 47 yds for a TD (Tyler Bass KICK) — GASO win probability +16.0 pts (now 83%) (top driver: GASO has the ball).
  5. FG · Q3 1:34: Tyler Bass 43 yd FG GOOD — GASO win probability +3.4 pts (now 94%) (top driver: GASO has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
GASO made the numbers' call on 5 of 8APP made the numbers' call on 7 of 8
  1. Q1 12:50GASO 4th & 2 at GASO 33, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 25.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.8%−<0.1
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    25.8%
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:54APP 4th & 10 at APP 47, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 73.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    73.1%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    73.2%
    average punt
  3. Q1 6:06GASO 4th & 17 at GASO 38, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 28.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.3%−0.5
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    28.7%
    average punt
  4. Q1 4:55APP 4th & 10 at APP 28, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 69.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    69.8%−0.3
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    70.1%
    average punt
  5. Q1 1:30GASO 4th & 7 at APP 45, tied
    Close callPunted · 31.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.6%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    31.2%−0.4
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    31.6%−<0.1
    average punt
  6. Q2 10:20GASO 4th & 1 at GASO 34, tied
    Close callPunted · 34.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    34.1%−0.6
    average punt
  7. Q2 8:19APP 4th & 10 at APP 25, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 54.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    53.8%−1.4
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    55.3%
    average punt
  8. Q2 4:45GASO 4th & 15 at APP 25, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 47.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.5%−1.5
    16% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    47.0%
    66% to make
    Punt
    42.2%−4.8
    average punt
  9. Q2 3:46APP 4th & 8 at APP 27, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 46.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.2%−1.2
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    46.4%
    average punt
  10. Q2 2:05GASO 4th & 9 at GASO 39, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 53.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    51.9%−0.6
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    52.5%
    average punt
  11. Q2 0:53APP 4th & 14 at APP 18, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 41.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.0%−3.4
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    41.4%
    average punt
  12. Q3 12:51APP 4th & 11 at APP 35, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 37.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.7%−2.1
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    38.8%
    average punt
  13. Q3 1:34GASO 4th & 6 at APP 26, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 90.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.0%−0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    90.1%
    64% to make
    Punt
    86.7%−3.4
    average punt
  14. Q4 14:52APP 4th & 1 at APP 49, down 20
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 3.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.8%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    2.2%−1.6
    average punt
  15. Q4 9:56GASO 4th & 6 at APP 46, up 20
    Close callPunted · 98.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.1%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    97.5%−0.6
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    98.1%−<0.1
    average punt
  16. Q4 0:10APP 4th & 4 at GASO 4, down 27
    Close callWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.2%−0.2
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    0.4%
    93% to make
    Punt
    0.0%−0.4
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
GASO made the numbers' call on 4 of 4APP made the numbers' call on 1 of 2
  1. Q2 14:37GASO Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    36.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    36.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 12:11APP Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    65.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    65.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 9:53GASO Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    40.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    40.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 10:05GASO Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    76.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    76.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 3:28GASO Touchdown, up 26 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 0:10APP Touchdown, down 21 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.5%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.6%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
GASODrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 1:4027% → 28%
Q1 14:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
26.9%
Shai Werts run for 3 yds to the GeoSo 28Similar
Q1 14:00
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+2
27.1%
Wesley Fields run for 2 yds to the GeoSo 30Similar
Q1 13:25
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+3
27.3%
Shai Werts run for 3 yds to the GeoSo 33Similar
Q1 12:50
4TH & 2
OWN 33
0
27.6%
Magill Bauerle punt for 20 yds, downed at the AppSt 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 1:5673% → 71%
Q1 12:50
1ST & 10
OWN 47
-5
27.5%
APPALACHIAN ST Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the AppSt 42Similar
Q1 12:38
1ST & 15
OWN 42
+1
27.7%
Darrynton Evans run for 1 yd to the AppSt 43Similar
Q1 12:00
2ND & 14
OWN 43
-1
28.0%
Zac Thomas pass complete to Corey Sutton for a loss of 1 yard to the AppSt 42Similar
Q1 11:16
3RD & 15
OWN 42
+5
28.3%
Zac Thomas run for 5 yds to the AppSt 47Similar
Q1 10:54
4TH & 10
OWN 47
0
28.7%
Clayton Howell punt for 53 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 3PUNT
10 plays · 18 yds · 4:3929% → 30%
Q1 10:45
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+9
28.7%
Shai Werts run for 9 yds to the GeoSo 29Similar
Q1 10:00
2ND & 1
OWN 29
+5
29.3%
Monteo Garrett run for 5 yds to the GeoSo 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:19
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+5
29.5%
Wesley Fields run for 5 yds to the GeoSo 39Similar
Q1 9:00
2ND & 5
OWN 39
+4
29.9%
Wesley Kennedy III run for 4 yds to the GeoSo 43Similar
Q1 8:30
3RD & 1
OWN 43
+2
30.1%
Logan Wright run for 2 yds to the GeoSo 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:51
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+3
30.6%
Shai Werts run for 3 yds to the GeoSo 48Similar
Q1 6:58
2ND & 7
OWN 48
-5
30.9%
Davarius Bargnare run for a loss of 5 yards to the GeoSo 41 Davarius Bargnare fumbled, recovered by GeoSoSimilar
Q1 6:32
3RD & 14
OWN 41
-3
30.3%
Shai Werts run for a loss of 3 yards to the GeoSo 38Similar
Q1 6:06
4TH & 17
OWN 38
0
30.2%
Magill Bauerle punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Dominique Heath at the AppSt 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:5570% → 68%
Q1 5:50
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+5
30.5%
Darrynton Evans run for 5 yds to the AppSt 33Similar
Q1 5:30
2ND & 5
OWN 33
-5
30.4%
APPALACHIAN ST Penalty, False Start (Chandler Greer) to the AppSt 28Similar
Q1 5:06
2ND & 10
OWN 28
0
31.1%
Peyton Derrick pass incomplete to Darrynton EvansSimilar
Q1 5:02
3RD & 10
OWN 28
0
31.3%
Peyton Derrick pass incomplete to Malik WilliamsSimilar
Q1 4:55
4TH & 10
OWN 28
0
31.7%
Clayton Howell punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Wesley Kennedy III at the GeoSo 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 5PUNT
7 plays · 23 yds · 3:1331% → 33%
Q1 4:43
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
31.4%
Wesley Fields run for no gain to the GeoSo 32Similar
Q1 4:00
2ND & 10
OWN 32
+5
31.7%
Davarius Bargnare run for 5 yds to the GeoSo 37Similar
Q1 3:30
3RD & 5
OWN 37
+15
31.9%
Werts, Shai pass incomplete to Bargnare, Davarius, PENALTY APPALCHAN roughing passer (Fehr, Jordan) 15 yards to the APPALCHAN48, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN GASOUTHERN.Similar
Q1 3:03
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+4
33.4%
Wesley Fields run for 4 yds to the AppSt 44Similar
Q1 2:25
2ND & 6
OPP 44
-1
34.0%
Monteo Garrett run for a loss of 1 yard to the AppSt 45Similar
Q1 1:39
3RD & 7
OPP 45
0
34.0%
Wesley Fields run for no gain to the AppSt 45Similar
Q1 1:30
4TH & 7
OPP 45
+15
33.0%
Magill Bauerle punt blocked by Demetrius Taylor blocked by Demetrius Taylor D'Marco Jackson return for 15 yds to the GeoSo 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 6INT
6 plays · 1 yds · 1:2070% → 68%
Q1 1:15
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+13
30.5%
Darrynton Evans run for 13 yds to the GeoSo 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:00
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+2
30.5%
Darrynton Evans run for 2 yds to the GeoSo 16Similar
Q1 0:30
2ND & 8
OPP 16
-10
30.6%
APPALACHIAN ST Penalty, Offensive Holding (Devin Papenheim) to the GeoSo 26Similar
Q1 0:02
2ND & 18
OPP 26
-5
31.5%
APPALACHIAN ST Penalty, False Start (Baer Hunter) to the GeoSo 31Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 23
OPP 31
+1
31.6%
Peyton Derrick run for 1 yd to the GeoSo 30Similar
Q2 14:55
3RD & 22
OPP 28
+13
32.3%
Peyton Derrick pass intercepted Darrell Baker Jr. return for 28 yds to the GeoSo 2 APPALACHIAN ST Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (Noah Hannon) to the GeoSo 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 7TD
1 play · 57 yds · 0:0040% → 40%
Q2 14:37
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+57
40.2%
Shai Werts pass complete to Darion Anderson for 57 yds for a TD (Tyler Bass KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 8TD
6 plays · 75 yds · 2:0461% → 69%
Q2 14:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
39.0%
Marcus Williams Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the AppSt 24Similar
Q2 13:50
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+23
39.5%
Marcus Williams Jr. run for 23 yds to the AppSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:05
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+50
38.4%
Peyton Derrick pass complete to Corey Sutton for 50 yds to the GeoSo 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:40
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
37.3%
Marcus Williams Jr. run for 2 yds to the GeoSo 1Similar
Q2 12:11
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
31.5%
Marcus Williams Jr. run for 1 yd for a TD (Chandler Staton KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 9FUMBLE
5 plays · 9 yds · 1:2536% → 35%
Q2 11:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
35.5%
Wesley Fields run for 2 yds to the GeoSo 27Similar
Q2 11:09
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+5
35.9%
Wesley Fields run for 5 yds to the GeoSo 32Similar
Q2 10:32
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+2
35.8%
Logan Wright run for 2 yds to the GeoSo 34Similar
Q2 10:20
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
35.4%
Magill Bauerle punt for 50 yds , Clifton Duck returns for no gain to the AppSt 10 Clifton Duck fumbled, recovered by GeoSo Dexter Carter Jr.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 10TD
1 play · 10 yds · 0:0046% → 46%
Q2 9:53
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+10
45.7%
Wesley Fields run for 10 yds for a TD (Tyler Bass KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 11PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 1:1157% → 54%
Q2 9:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
43.3%
Darrynton Evans run for no gain to the AppSt 25Similar
Q2 9:08
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
43.9%
Darrynton Evans run for no gain to the AppSt 25Similar
Q2 8:27
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
45.4%
Peyton Derrick pass incomplete to Darrynton EvansSimilar
Q2 8:19
4TH & 10
OWN 25
0
46.2%
Clayton Howell punt for 31 yds, fair catch by Wesley Kennedy III at the GeoSo 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 12FG
6 plays · 31 yds · 3:2648% → 50%
Q2 8:11
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+22
47.7%
Shai Werts run for 22 yds to the AppSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:30
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+14
49.1%
Shai Werts run for 14 yds to the AppSt 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:45
1ST & 10
OPP 20
-6
49.8%
Shai Werts run for a loss of 6 yards to the AppSt 26Similar
Q2 6:04
2ND & 16
OPP 26
+1
49.7%
Monteo Garrett run for 1 yd to the AppSt 25Similar
Q2 5:15
3RD & 15
OPP 25
0
49.4%
Wesley Fields run for no gain to the AppSt 25Similar
Q2 4:45
4TH & 15
OPP 25
+42
49.8%
Tyler Bass 42 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 13PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:3949% → 46%
Q2 4:25
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
51.4%
Marcus Williams Jr. run for 2 yds to the AppSt 27Similar
Q2 4:01
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
52.0%
Peyton Derrick pass incomplete to Thomas HenniganSimilar
Q2 3:54
3RD & 8
OWN 27
0
53.4%
Peyton Derrick pass incomplete to Corey SuttonSimilar
Q2 3:46
4TH & 8
OWN 27
0
54.4%
Clayton Howell punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Wesley Kennedy III at the GeoSo 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 14PUNT
6 plays · 6 yds · 1:3552% → 53%
Q2 3:40
1ST & 10
OWN 34
-10
52.2%
GA SOUTHERN Penalty, Offensive Holding (Curtis Rainey) to the GeoSo 24Similar
Q2 3:39
1ST & 20
OWN 24
+15
51.7%
APPALACHIAN ST Penalty, Personal Foul (Caleb Spurlin) to the GeoSo 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:00
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
55.0%
Logan Wright run for no gain to the GeoSo 39Similar
Q2 2:40
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+1
55.4%
Monteo Garrett run for 1 yd to the GeoSo 40Similar
Q2 2:15
3RD & 9
OWN 39
0
54.7%
Shai Werts pass incomplete to Lucas MooreSimilar
Q2 2:05
4TH & 9
OWN 39
0
53.4%
Magill Bauerle punt for 39 yds, downed at the AppSt 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 15PUNT
8 plays · -4 yds · 0:4245% → 43%
Q2 1:35
1ST & 10
OWN 22
-10
55.4%
APPALACHIAN ST Penalty, Offensive Holding (TEAM) to the AppSt 12Similar
Q2 1:31
1ST & 20
OWN 12
-6
55.6%
APPALACHIAN ST Penalty, Offensive Holding (Chandler Greer) to the AppSt 6Similar
Q2 1:10
1ST & 26
OWN 6
0
56.4%
Darrynton Evans run for no gain to the AppSt 6Similar
Q2 1:08
2ND & 26
OWN 6
0
56.8%
Peyton Derrick pass incomplete to Darrynton EvansSimilar
Q2 1:00
3RD & 26
OWN 6
+12
57.9%
Peyton Derrick run for 12 yds to the AppSt 18Similar
Q2 0:53
4TH & 14
OWN 18
0
57.5%
Clayton Howell punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Wesley Kennedy III at the GeoSo 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 16END OF HALF
2 plays · 7 yds · 0:1060% → 60%
Q2 0:46
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
60.3%
Shai Werts pass incomplete to Darion AndersonSimilar
Q2 0:36
2ND & 10
OWN 34
+7
60.2%
Logan Wright run for 7 yds to the GeoSo 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 1:4443% → 37%
Q3 14:35
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+3
56.9%
Darrynton Evans run for 3 yds to the AppSt 39Similar
Q3 14:00
2ND & 7
OWN 39
-5
57.0%
Peyton Derrick sacked by Ty Phillips for a loss of 5 yards to the AppSt 34Similar
Q3 13:17
3RD & 12
OWN 34
+1
62.3%
Peyton Derrick run for 1 yd to the AppSt 35Similar
Q3 12:51
4TH & 11
OWN 35
0
63.4%
Clayton Howell punt for 50 yds , Wesley Kennedy III returns for no gain to the GeoSo 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 18TD
5 plays · 85 yds · 2:2863% → 83%
Q3 12:33
1ST & 10
OWN 15
-1
62.5%
Wesley Fields run for a loss of 1 yard to the GeoSo 14Similar
Q3 12:00
2ND & 11
OWN 14
+4
62.6%
Shai Werts run for 4 yds to the GeoSo 18Similar
Q3 11:40
3RD & 7
OWN 18
+32
62.5%
Wesley Fields run for 32 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:40
1ST & 10
50
+3
67.0%
Shai Werts run for 3 yds to the AppSt 47Similar
Q3 10:05
2ND & 7
OPP 47
+47
83.0%
Shai Werts run for 47 yds for a TD (Tyler Bass KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 19INT
9 plays · 45 yds · 3:0520% → 18%
Q3 9:20
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+6
79.8%
Peyton Derrick pass complete to Thomas Hennigan for 6 yds to the AppSt 28Similar
Q3 9:00
2ND & 4
OWN 28
+2
79.3%
Marcus Williams Jr. run for 2 yds to the AppSt 30Similar
Q3 8:30
3RD & 2
OWN 30
+3
80.2%
Marcus Williams Jr. run for 3 yds to the AppSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:58
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+5
80.5%
Marcus Williams Jr. run for 5 yds to the AppSt 38Similar
Q3 7:26
2ND & 5
OWN 38
0
82.3%
Peyton Derrick pass incomplete to Corey SuttonSimilar
Q3 7:10
3RD & 5
OWN 38
+12
82.7%
Peyton Derrick run for 12 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:40
1ST & 10
50
+17
82.6%
Peyton Derrick pass complete to Collin Reed for 17 yds to the GeoSo 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:15
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+13
82.3%
Peyton Derrick pass intercepted Kenderick Duncan Jr. return for 13 yds to the GeoSo 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 20FG
8 plays · 49 yds · 4:2687% → 94%
Q3 6:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+13
86.7%
Logan Wright run for 13 yds to the GeoSo 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:20
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-1
87.9%
Logan Wright run for a loss of 1 yard to the GeoSo 37Similar
Q3 4:45
2ND & 11
OWN 37
+6
88.2%
Monteo Garrett run for 6 yds to the GeoSo 43Similar
Q3 4:00
3RD & 5
OWN 43
+27
88.8%
Shai Werts run for 27 yds to the AppSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:25
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+3
89.7%
Wesley Fields run for 3 yds to the AppSt 27Similar
Q3 2:45
2ND & 7
OPP 27
0
90.3%
Shai Werts run for no gain to the AppSt 27 Shai Werts fumbled, recovered by GeoSo Brian MillerSimilar
Q3 2:00
3RD & 7
OPP 27
+1
90.7%
Wesley Fields run for 1 yd to the AppSt 26Similar
Q3 1:34
4TH & 6
OPP 26
+43
94.2%
Tyler Bass 43 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 21INT
8 plays · 24 yds · 3:104% → 2%
Q3 1:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+2
95.9%
Darrynton Evans run for 2 yds to the AppSt 42Similar
Q3 0:35
2ND & 8
OWN 42
+6
96.0%
Jacob Huesman pass complete to Corey Sutton for 6 yds to the AppSt 48Similar
Q3 0:02
3RD & 2
OWN 48
+1
96.4%
Darrynton Evans run for 1 yd to the AppSt 49Similar
Q4 14:52
4TH & 1
OWN 49
+4
96.5%
Darrynton Evans run for 4 yds to the GeoSo 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:21
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+7
96.6%
Darrynton Evans run for 7 yds to the GeoSo 40Similar
Q4 14:00
2ND & 3
OPP 40
-5
97.0%
APPALACHIAN ST Penalty, False Start (Cole Garrison) to the GeoSo 45Similar
Q4 13:22
2ND & 8
OPP 45
+9
97.6%
Jacob Huesman pass complete to Corey Sutton for 9 yds to the GeoSo 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:50
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+17
97.7%
Jacob Huesman pass intercepted Kindle Vildor return for 17 yds to the GeoSo 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 22PUNT
5 plays · 19 yds · 2:4698% → 98%
Q4 12:42
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+15
97.9%
Wesley Kennedy III run for 15 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:00
1ST & 10
50
+3
98.1%
Wesley Fields run for 3 yds to the AppSt 47Similar
Q4 11:22
2ND & 7
OPP 47
-2
98.2%
Wesley Kennedy III run for a loss of 2 yards to the AppSt 49Similar
Q4 10:35
3RD & 9
OPP 49
+3
98.3%
Shai Werts run for 3 yds to the AppSt 46Similar
Q4 9:56
4TH & 6
OPP 46
0
98.3%
Magill Bauerle punt for 43 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the AppSt 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 23INT
9 plays · 25 yds · 3:172% → 1%
Q4 9:40
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+2
98.5%
Jacob Huesman pass complete to Thomas Hennigan for 2 yds Thomas Hennigan fumbled, recovered by AppSt Thomas HenniganSimilar
Q4 9:30
2ND & 6
OWN 7
+10
98.5%
Marcus Williams Jr. run for 10 yds to the AppSt 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:40
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+3
98.5%
Jacob Huesman run for 3 yds to the AppSt 20Similar
Q4 8:20
2ND & 7
OWN 20
+5
98.6%
Marcus Williams Jr. run for 5 yds to the AppSt 25Similar
Q4 8:00
3RD & 2
OWN 25
+3
98.6%
Darrynton Evans run for 3 yds to the AppSt 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:33
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+6
98.6%
Jacob Huesman pass complete to Malik Williams for 6 yds to the AppSt 34Similar
Q4 6:45
2ND & 4
OWN 34
-6
98.8%
Jacob Huesman sacked by Jay Bowdry for a loss of 6 yards to the AppSt 28Similar
Q4 6:23
3RD & 10
OWN 28
+4
99.2%
Jacob Huesman pass intercepted Kindle Vildor return for 4 yds to the AppSt 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 24TD
5 plays · 33 yds · 2:3299% → 100%
Q4 6:00
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+2
99.1%
Wesley Fields run for 2 yds to the AppSt 31Similar
Q4 5:35
2ND & 8
OPP 31
+1
99.3%
Monteo Garrett run for 1 yd to the AppSt 30Similar
Q4 4:40
3RD & 7
OPP 30
+9
99.3%
Wesley Fields run for 9 yds to the AppSt 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:13
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+3
99.4%
Wesley Fields run for 3 yds to the AppSt 18Similar
Q4 3:28
2ND & 7
OPP 18
+18
100.0%
Wesley Fields run for 18 yds for a TD (Tyler Bass KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 25TD
15 plays · 75 yds · 3:000% → 1%
Q4 3:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
100.0%
Darrynton Evans run for 6 yds to the AppSt 31Similar
Q4 2:29
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+13
100.0%
Jacob Huesman pass complete to Jalen Virgil for 13 yds to the AppSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:14
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+17
100.0%
Darrynton Evans run for 17 yds to the GeoSo 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:44
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+7
100.0%
Marcus Williams Jr. run for 7 yds to the GeoSo 32Similar
Q4 1:29
2ND & 3
OPP 32
0
99.9%
Jacob Huesman pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:23
3RD & 3
OPP 32
+7
99.9%
Jacob Huesman pass complete to Brad Absher for 7 yds to the GeoSo 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:54
1ST & 10
OPP 25
-1
99.9%
Darrynton Evans run for a loss of 1 yard to the GeoSo 26Similar
Q4 0:49
2ND & 11
OPP 26
0
100.0%
Jacob Huesman pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:38
3RD & 11
OPP 26
+18
100.0%
Jacob Huesman pass complete to Thomas Hennigan for 18 yds to the GeoSo 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:31
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
0
100.0%
Jacob Huesman pass incomplete to Thomas HenniganSimilar
Q4 0:19
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+4
100.0%
Jacob Huesman run for 4 yds to the GeoSo 4Similar
Q4 0:15
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
0
100.0%
Jacob Huesman pass incomplete to Corey SuttonSimilar
Q4 0:10
4TH & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
99.5%
Jacob Huesman pass complete to Malik Williams for 4 yds for a TD (Chandler Staton KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 26Uncategorized
2 plays · -1 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 49
-1
99.7%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 10:05
Shai Werts run for 47 yds for a TD (Tyler Bass KICK)
+16
TD · Q2 9:53
Wesley Fields run for 10 yds for a TD (Tyler Bass KICK)
+10.3
TD · Q2 14:37
Shai Werts pass complete to Darion Anderson for 57 yds for a TD (Tyler Bass KICK)
+7.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com