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ULM

UL Monroe 45 at Coastal Carolina 20

CCU
2018 · Week 7 · Oct 13, 2018 · Brooks Stadium (SC)
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Win probability · CCU
modelCCU aheadULM aheadconfidence bandkey playCCU scoreULM score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGTDTDFGFGTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 4:07 · Cj Marable run for 6 yds to the CCaro 40 for a 1ST down
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+56.0+28.00−28.0−56.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 156Home team on offense−38.6Pregame prior+1.0Score differential−22.5Garbage-time factor−15.4Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−5.8Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−9.8
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 7:38: Caleb Evans pass complete to Marcus Green for 37 yds for a TD, (Craig Ford KICK) — ULM win probability +9.4 pts (now 54%) (top driver: ULM has the ball).
  2. FG · Q2 0:50: Craig Ford 20 yd FG GOOD — ULM win probability +9.2 pts (now 68%) (top driver: ULM has the ball).
  3. FG · Q2 0:02: Massimo Biscardi 40 yd FG GOOD — CCU win probability +6.7 pts (now 43%) (top driver: CCU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 6:56: Marcus Outlow run for 6 yds for a TD, (Massimo Biscardi KICK) — CCU win probability +17.0 pts (now 56%) (top driver: Game still competitive relative to time left).
  5. TD · Q3 3:45: Caleb Evans run for 1 yd for a TD (Craig Ford KICK) — ULM win probability +16.9 pts (now 74%) (top driver: ULM has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
CCU made the numbers' call on 7 of 7ULM made the numbers' call on 2 of 4
  1. Q1 8:30CCU 4th & 15 at CCU 41, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 63.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    63.4%−0.8
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    64.2%
    average punt
  2. Q1 6:14ULM 4th & 7 at ULM 6, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 38.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.9%−0.6
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    38.5%
    average punt
  3. Q1 1:07CCU 4th & 11 at ULM 11, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 57.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.5%−0.8
    22% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    57.3%
    87% to make
    Punt
    53.5%−3.8
    average punt
  4. Q1 1:01ULM 4th & 8 at ULM 23, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 39.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.2%−0.8
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    40.0%
    average punt
  5. Q2 15:00CCU 4th & 3 at CCU 41, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 58.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    58.7%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    58.7%−0.1
    average punt
  6. Q2 6:19CCU 4th & 19 at CCU 26, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 47.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.8%−2.1
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    47.9%
    average punt
  7. Q2 0:50ULM 4th & 3 at CCU 3, up 11
    Close callKicked a field goal · 57.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    57.7%
    44% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    57.1%−0.6
    93% to make
    Punt
    51.8%−5.9
    average punt
  8. Q3 15:00CCU 4th & 4 at ULM 37, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 43.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    44.4%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    42.9%−1.6
    40% to make
    Punt
    43.1%−1.3
    average punt
  9. Q4 15:00CCU 4th & 14 at CCU 48, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 24.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.1%−2.0
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    25.0%
    average punt
  10. Q4 12:58ULM 4th & 3 at ULM 36, up 11
    Close callPunted · 77.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    78.0%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    77.7%−0.3
    average punt
  11. Q4 4:07CCU 4th & 1 at CCU 34, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 2.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.6%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    2.3%−0.3
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
CCU made the numbers' call on 2 of 2ULM made the numbers' call on 6 of 6
  1. Q1 12:48ULM Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    31.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    31.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 8:35ULM Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    35.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    35.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 9:10CCU Touchdown, down 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    61.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    61.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 7:38ULM Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    49.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    49.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 6:56CCU Touchdown, down 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    48.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    48.2%−0.2
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 3:45ULM Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    70.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    70.4%−0.2
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 4:07ULM Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.1%−0.3
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 0:31ULM Touchdown, up 24 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.6%−0.2
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
ULMDrive 1TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 2:1235% → 36%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+13
64.8%
Derrick Gore run for 13 yds to the LaMon 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+15
64.8%
Evans, Caleb pass incomplete to Turner, R.J., PENALTY CCU pass interference (Claybourne, Mallory) 15 yards to the CCU47, 1ST DOWN ULM, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+11
64.8%
Derrick Gore run for 11 yds to the CCaro 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+4
64.8%
Derrick Gore run for 4 yds to the CCaro 32Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 32
+17
64.8%
Caleb Evans pass complete to Markis McCray for 17 yds to the CCaro 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+11
64.8%
Marcus Green run for 11 yds to the CCaro 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:48
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
63.6%
Austin Vaughn run for 4 yds for a TD, (Craig Ford KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 2FUMBLE
7 plays · 26 yds · 0:0064% → 64%
Q1 12:44
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+2
63.8%
Cj Marable run for 2 yds to the CCaro 18Similar
Q1 12:44
2ND & 8
OWN 18
+21
63.8%
Bryce Carpenter pass complete to Jaivon Heiligh for 21 yds to the CCaro 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:44
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+3
63.9%
Marcus Outlow run for 3 yds to the CCaro 42Similar
Q1 12:44
2ND & 7
OWN 42
+3
64.0%
Marcus Outlow run for 3 yds to the CCaro 45Similar
Q1 12:44
3RD & 4
OWN 45
-8
64.0%
Outlow, Marcus rush for 13 yards to the ULM42 (Ingram, Nick;Gillespie, D'Marius), PENALTY CCU holding 8 yards to the CCU37, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 12:44
3RD & 12
OWN 37
+4
63.7%
Bryce Carpenter pass complete to Jeremiah Miller for 4 yds Jeremiah Miller fumbled, recovered by LaMon Marcus HubbardSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 3TD
4 plays · 42 yds · 1:2938% → 42%
Q1 10:04
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+19
62.2%
Caleb Evans pass complete to R.J. Turner for 19 yds to the CCaro 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:04
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+12
62.1%
Derrick Gore run for 12 yds to the CCaro 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:04
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+1
62.1%
Derrick Gore run for 1 yd to the CCaro 10Similar
Q1 8:35
2ND & 9
OPP 10
+10
58.0%
Derrick Gore run for 10 yds for a TD, (Craig Ford KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 4PUNT
8 plays · 16 yds · 0:0060% → 60%
Q1 8:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
59.5%
Cj Marable run for 3 yds to the CCaro 28Similar
Q1 8:30
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+18
59.6%
Bryce Carpenter pass complete to Malcolm Williams for 18 yds to the CCaro 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:30
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
60.0%
Marcus Outlow run for no gain to the CCaro 46Similar
Q1 8:30
2ND & 10
OWN 46
-5
60.0%
COASTL CAROLINA Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the CCaro 41Similar
Q1 8:30
2ND & 15
OWN 41
0
59.7%
Bryce Carpenter pass incomplete to Jaivon HeilighSimilar
Q1 8:30
3RD & 15
OWN 41
0
59.6%
Bryce Carpenter pass incomplete to Malcolm WilliamsSimilar
Q1 8:30
4TH & 15
OWN 41
0
59.5%
Charles Ouverson punt for 56 yds, downed at the LaMon 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 5PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:0043% → 43%
Q1 6:14
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+4
57.0%
Austin Vaughn run for 4 yds to the LaMon 7Similar
Q1 6:14
2ND & 6
OWN 7
-1
57.0%
Caleb Evans run for a loss of 1 yard to the LaMon 6Similar
Q1 6:14
3RD & 7
OWN 6
0
57.2%
Caleb Evans pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:14
4TH & 7
OWN 6
+2
57.4%
Jared Porter punt for 43 yds , Marcus Outlow returns for 2 yds to the LaMon 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 6FG
10 plays · 36 yds · 3:5358% → 56%
Q1 5:00
1ST & 10
OPP 47
-1
57.7%
Bryce Carpenter run for a loss of 1 yard to the LaMon 48Similar
Q1 5:00
2ND & 11
OPP 48
+10
57.7%
Bryce Carpenter run for 10 yds to the LaMon 38Similar
Q1 5:00
3RD & 1
OPP 38
+21
57.7%
Marcus Outlow run for 21 yds to the LaMon 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:00
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+13
58.0%
Bryce Carpenter run for 13 yds to the LaMon 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+1
58.0%
Bryce Carpenter run for 1 yd to the LaMon 3Similar
Q1 5:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
-3
58.0%
Bryce Carpenter run for a loss of 3 yards to the LaMon 6Similar
Q1 1:17
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
-5
53.4%
COASTL CAROLINA Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the LaMon 11Similar
Q1 1:17
3RD & GOAL
OPP 11
0
53.3%
Bryce Carpenter pass incomplete to Jaivon Heiligh, broken up by Cortez Sisco Jr.Similar
Q1 1:07
4TH & GOAL
OPP 11
+29
55.5%
Massimo Biscardi 29 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:0044% → 44%
Q1 1:01
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
55.6%
Caleb Evans pass incomplete, broken up by Jeffrey GunterSimilar
Q1 1:01
2ND & 10
OWN 21
+2
55.7%
Derrick Gore run for 2 yds to the LaMon 23Similar
Q1 1:01
3RD & 8
OWN 23
0
55.9%
Caleb Evans pass incomplete to Marcus Green, broken up by Anthony ChesleySimilar
Q1 1:01
4TH & 8
OWN 23
0
56.3%
Jared Porter punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Marcus Outlow at the CCaro 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 8TD
13 plays · 64 yds · 5:5855% → 61%
Q1 0:08
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-1
54.9%
Alex James run for a loss of 1 yard to the CCaro 35Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 11
OWN 35
+7
54.5%
Alex James run for 7 yds to the CCaro 42Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 4
OWN 42
-8
55.0%
Bryce Carpenter pass complete to Malcolm Williams for 6 yds to the CCaro 48 COASTL CAROLINA Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Malcolm Williams) to the CCaro 34Similar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+5
54.6%
Alex James run for 5 yds to the CCaro 39Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 39
+3
55.3%
Alex James run for 3 yds to the CCaro 42Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 2
OWN 42
-1
55.1%
Alex James run for a loss of 1 yard to the CCaro 41Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 3
OWN 41
+33
54.5%
E.J. Porter run for 33 yds to the LaMon 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+2
56.5%
Marcus Outlow run for 2 yds to the LaMon 24Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 24
0
56.5%
Bryce Carpenter pass incomplete to Jaivon HeilighSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 8
OPP 24
+16
55.8%
Bryce Carpenter run for 16 yds to the LaMon 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+4
56.5%
Bryce Carpenter run for 4 yds to the LaMon 4Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
0
56.5%
Bryce Carpenter pass incomplete to Malcolm Williams, broken up by Floyd ConnellSimilar
Q2 9:10
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
60.5%
Malcolm Williams run for 4 yds for a TD, (Massimo Biscardi KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 9TD
5 plays · 75 yds · 1:3243% → 54%
Q2 9:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+33
57.4%
Caleb Evans pass complete to Marcus Green for 33 yds to the CCaro 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:10
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
55.4%
Caleb Evans pass complete to Markis McCray for no gain to the CCaro 42Similar
Q2 9:10
2ND & 10
OPP 42
+5
55.5%
Caleb Evans run for 5 yds to the CCaro 37Similar
Q2 7:38
3RD & 5
OPP 37
+37
46.1%
Caleb Evans pass complete to Marcus Green for 37 yds for a TD, (Craig Ford KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 10PUNT
7 plays · 1 yds · 1:1946% → 44%
Q2 7:38
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
46.3%
Cj Marable run for 10 yds to the CCaro 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:38
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
46.8%
Bryce Carpenter pass incomplete to Malcolm Williams, broken up by Cortez Sisco Jr.Similar
Q2 7:38
2ND & 10
OWN 35
0
46.6%
Bryce Carpenter pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:38
3RD & 10
OWN 35
-9
45.7%
Bryce Carpenter sacked by David Griffith for a loss of 9 yards to the CCaro 26Similar
Q2 6:19
4TH & 19
OWN 26
+17
44.4%
Charles Ouverson punt for 36 yds , Marcus Green returns for 17 yds to the LaMon 43 UL MONROE Penalty, illegal block (10 Yards) to the LaMon 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 11FG
11 plays · 52 yds · 5:1755% → 68%
Q2 6:07
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+4
45.3%
Caleb Evans pass complete to Jonathan Hodoh for 4 yds to the LaMon 49Similar
Q2 6:07
2ND & 6
OWN 49
+5
45.4%
Markis McCray run for 5 yds to the CCaro 46Similar
Q2 6:07
3RD & 1
OPP 46
+14
45.3%
Kayin White run for 14 yds to the CCaro 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:07
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+4
45.0%
Caleb Evans pass complete to Marcus Green for 4 yds to the CCaro 28Similar
Q2 6:07
2ND & 6
OPP 28
0
44.9%
Kayin White run for no gain to the CCaro 28Similar
Q2 3:24
3RD & 6
OPP 28
+21
41.6%
Derrick Gore run for 21 yds to the CCaro 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:24
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+3
41.2%
Derrick Gore run for 3 yds to the CCaro 4Similar
Q2 3:24
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+3
41.2%
Caleb Evans pass complete to Josh Pederson for 3 yds to the CCaro 1Similar
Q2 3:24
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
-2
41.6%
Austin Vaughn run for a loss of 2 yards to the CCaro 3Similar
Q2 0:50
4TH & GOAL
OPP 3
+20
32.4%
Craig Ford 20 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 12FG
9 plays · 57 yds · 0:4835% → 43%
Q2 0:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+25
35.0%
Marcus Outlow run for 25 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:50
1ST & 10
50
+5
37.3%
Bryce Carpenter run for 5 yds to the LaMon 45Similar
Q2 0:27
2ND & 5
OPP 45
0
35.1%
Bryce Carpenter pass incomplete to Ky'Jon TylerSimilar
Q2 0:27
3RD & 5
OPP 45
+5
34.8%
Marcus Outlow run for 5 yds to the LaMon 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:27
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+22
35.2%
Bryce Carpenter pass complete to Malcolm Williams for 22 yds to the LaMon 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:27
1ST & 10
OPP 18
0
36.1%
TEAM pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:02
2ND & 10
OPP 18
+40
42.7%
Massimo Biscardi 40 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 13DOWNS
7 plays · 29 yds · 0:0040% → 41%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
40.0%
Bryce Carpenter run for 5 yds to the CCaro 30Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+27
40.6%
Bryce Carpenter run for 27 yds to the LaMon 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+3
42.8%
Marcus Outlow run for 3 yds to the LaMon 40Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 40
-7
42.7%
Bryce Carpenter sacked by Donald Louis Jr. and David Griffith for a loss of 7 yards to the LaMon 47Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 14
OPP 47
+8
40.4%
Bryce Carpenter pass complete to Marcus Outlow for 8 yds Marcus Outlow fumbled, recovered by CCaro Isaiah Likely , return for 2 yds to the LaMon 37Similar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 4
OPP 37
-9
40.9%
Bryce Carpenter sacked by Jaylen Veasley for a loss of 9 yards to the LaMon 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 14FUMBLE
4 plays · 20 yds · 0:0065% → 65%
Q3 11:32
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
35.1%
Caleb Evans pass incomplete to R.J. TurnerSimilar
Q3 11:32
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+5
35.1%
Markis McCray run for 5 yds to the CCaro 49Similar
Q3 11:32
3RD & 5
OPP 49
+11
35.4%
Caleb Evans pass complete to R.J. Turner for 11 yds to the CCaro 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:32
1ST & 10
OPP 38
-2
35.1%
Marcus Green run for a loss of 2 yards to the CCaro 34 Marcus Green fumbled, recovered by CCaro Mallory ClaybourneSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 15TD
6 plays · 66 yds · 3:1535% → 56%
Q3 10:11
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+5
34.9%
Cj Marable run for 5 yds to the CCaro 39Similar
Q3 10:11
2ND & 5
OWN 39
+1
36.2%
Marcus Outlow run for 1 yd to the CCaro 40Similar
Q3 10:11
3RD & 4
OWN 40
+41
35.1%
Bryce Carpenter pass complete to Malcolm Williams for 41 yds to the LaMon 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:11
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+4
38.9%
Bryce Carpenter run for 4 yds to the LaMon 15Similar
Q3 10:11
2ND & 6
OPP 15
+9
38.9%
Marcus Outlow run for 9 yds to the LaMon 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:56
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
55.9%
Marcus Outlow run for 6 yds for a TD, (Massimo Biscardi KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 16TD
9 plays · 57 yds · 3:0255% → 74%
Q3 6:47
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+6
44.8%
Derrick Gore run for 6 yds to the LaMon 49Similar
Q3 6:47
2ND & 4
OWN 49
+2
44.3%
Derrick Gore run for 2 yds to the CCaro 49Similar
Q3 6:47
3RD & 2
OPP 49
+4
44.6%
Caleb Evans run for 4 yds to the CCaro 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:47
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+5
44.1%
Derrick Gore run for 5 yds to the CCaro 40Similar
Q3 6:47
2ND & 5
OPP 40
+33
43.6%
Caleb Evans pass complete to Marcus Green for 33 yds to the CCaro 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:47
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
0
42.4%
Caleb Evans pass incomplete to R.J. TurnerSimilar
Q3 6:47
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+6
42.4%
Derrick Gore run for 6 yds to the CCaro 1Similar
Q3 3:45
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
25.6%
Caleb Evans run for 1 yd for a TD (Craig Ford KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 17PUNT
11 plays · 24 yds · 3:3628% → 23%
Q3 3:36
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+5
27.9%
Marcus Outlow run for 5 yds to the CCaro 29Similar
Q3 3:36
2ND & 5
OWN 29
+4
28.6%
Cj Marable run for 4 yds to the CCaro 33Similar
Q3 3:36
3RD & 1
OWN 33
+8
28.0%
Marcus Outlow run for 8 yds to the CCaro 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:36
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-2
29.7%
Bryce Carpenter sacked by Collin Turner and Rashaad Harding for a loss of 2 yards to the CCaro 39Similar
Q3 3:36
2ND & 12
OWN 39
+7
28.8%
Malcolm Williams run for 7 yds to the CCaro 46Similar
Q3 3:36
3RD & 5
OWN 46
+6
29.0%
Bryce Carpenter pass complete to Ky'Jon Tyler for 6 yds to the LaMon 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 48
-1
27.5%
Cj Marable run for a loss of 1 yard to the LaMon 49Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 11
OPP 49
-10
26.6%
Bryce Carpenter sacked by Larance Shaw for a loss of 10 yards to the CCaro 41Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 21
OWN 41
+7
23.4%
Marcus Outlow run for 7 yds to the CCaro 48Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 14
OWN 48
0
22.7%
Charles Ouverson punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Marcus Green at the LaMon 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 18PUNT
6 plays · 22 yds · 0:0079% → 79%
Q4 12:58
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+5
20.8%
Caleb Evans pass complete to R.J. Turner for 5 yds to the LaMon 19Similar
Q4 12:58
2ND & 5
OWN 19
+10
20.6%
Caleb Evans pass complete to Brandius Batiste for 10 yds to the LaMon 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:58
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+4
20.3%
Caleb Evans pass complete to Markis McCray for 4 yds to the LaMon 33Similar
Q4 12:58
2ND & 6
OWN 33
+3
20.1%
Caleb Evans run for 3 yds to the LaMon 36Similar
Q4 12:58
3RD & 3
OWN 36
0
20.2%
Caleb Evans pass incomplete to Markis McCraySimilar
Q4 12:58
4TH & 3
OWN 36
0
21.0%
Jared Porter punt for 30 yds, fair catch by Marcus Outlow at the CCaro 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 19INT
8 plays · 54 yds · 0:0017% → 22%
Q4 10:38
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+4
17.1%
Bryce Carpenter pass complete to Cj Marable for 4 yds to the CCaro 38Similar
Q4 10:38
2ND & 6
OWN 38
0
17.9%
Bryce Carpenter pass incomplete to Malcolm WilliamsSimilar
Q4 10:38
3RD & 6
OWN 38
+17
16.9%
Cj Marable run for 17 yds to the LaMon 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:38
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+11
19.7%
Cj Marable run for 11 yds to the LaMon 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:38
1ST & 10
OPP 34
-10
21.1%
Carpenter, Bryce rush for 6 yards to the ULM28 (Sisco Jr., Cortez), PENALTY CCU holding 10 yards to the ULM44, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 10:38
1ST & 20
OPP 44
+12
18.6%
Bryce Carpenter run for 12 yds to the LaMon 32 Bryce Carpenter fumbled, recovered by CCaro Malcolm WilliamsSimilar
Q4 10:38
2ND & 8
OPP 32
+20
21.2%
Carpenter, Bryce pass incomplete to Collins Jr., Larry, PENALTY ULM pass interference (Hubbard, Marcus) 20 yards to the ULM12, 1ST DOWN CCU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 10:38
1ST & 10
OPP 12
0
21.5%
Bryce Carpenter pass intercepted, touchback. Jabari Johnson return for no gainSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 20TD
9 plays · 80 yds · 3:5887% → 98%
Q4 8:05
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
12.9%
Austin Vaughn run for 3 yds to the LaMon 23Similar
Q4 8:05
2ND & 7
OWN 23
+4
13.0%
Caleb Evans pass complete to Marcus Green for 4 yds to the LaMon 27Similar
Q4 8:05
3RD & 3
OWN 27
+8
13.6%
Austin Vaughn run for 8 yds to the LaMon 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:05
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+7
12.8%
Austin Vaughn run for 7 yds to the LaMon 42Similar
Q4 8:05
2ND & 3
OWN 42
-2
12.0%
Derrick Gore run for a loss of 2 yards to the LaMon 40Similar
Q4 5:17
3RD & 5
OWN 40
+35
8.8%
Caleb Evans pass complete to Markis McCray for 35 yds to the CCaro 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:17
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+5
8.2%
Caleb Evans pass complete to R.J. Turner for 5 yds to the CCaro 20Similar
Q4 4:07
2ND & 5
OPP 20
+20
1.7%
Caleb Evans run for 20 yds for a TD (Craig Ford KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 21FUMBLE
9 plays · 28 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q4 4:07
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
2.5%
Cj Marable run for 1 yd to the CCaro 26Similar
Q4 4:07
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+6
2.4%
Fred Payton pass complete to Jeremiah Miller for 6 yds to the CCaro 32Similar
Q4 4:07
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+2
2.4%
Cj Marable run for 2 yds to the CCaro 34Similar
Q4 4:07
4TH & 1
OWN 34
+6
2.4%
Cj Marable run for 6 yds to the CCaro 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:07
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-10
2.4%
Fred Payton run for 11 yds to the COASTALCAR 49 COASTL CAROLINA Penalty, Offensive holding (Ethan Howard) to the CCaro 30Similar
Q4 4:07
1ST & 20
OWN 30
+11
2.5%
Fred Payton pass complete to Jaivon Heiligh for 11 yds to the CCaro 41Similar
Q4 4:07
2ND & 9
OWN 41
+17
2.4%
Fred Payton pass complete to Jeremiah Miller for 17 yds to the LaMon 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:07
1ST & 10
OPP 42
-4
2.6%
Fred Payton run for a loss of 4 yards to the LaMon 47 Fred Payton fumbled, recovered by LaMon Sam MillerSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 22TD
2 plays · 53 yds · 0:5699% → 100%
Q4 1:27
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+7
1.0%
Derrick Gore run for 7 yds to the CCaro 46Similar
Q4 0:31
2ND & 3
OPP 46
+46
0.1%
Derrick Gore run for 46 yds for a TD (Craig Ford KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 23Uncategorized
2 plays · 6 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 0:27
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+6
0.1%
Marcus Outlow run for 6 yds to the CCaro 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 6:56
Marcus Outlow run for 6 yds for a TD, (Massimo Biscardi KICK)
+17
TD · Q3 3:45
Caleb Evans run for 1 yd for a TD (Craig Ford KICK)
-16.9
TD · Q2 7:38
Caleb Evans pass complete to Marcus Green for 37 yds for a TD, (Craig Ford KICK)
-9.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com