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USA

South Alabama 13 at Georgia Southern 48

GASO
2018 · Week 6 · Oct 6, 2018 · Allen E. Paulson Stadium
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Win probability · GASO
modelGASO aheadUSA aheadconfidence bandkey playGASO scoreUSA score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGFGFGTDFGTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 4:29 · Corliss Waitman punt for 41 yds , Wesley Kennedy III returns for 10 yds to the GeoSo 46
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+37.0+18.50−18.5−37.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 32Pregame prior+26.2Home team on offense+1.9Score differential+0.4Garbage-time factor−0.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.5Blowout margin+0.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 4:29: Shai Werts run for 1 yd for a TD, (Tyler Bass KICK) — GASO win probability +2.3 pts (now 81%) (top driver: GASO has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 11:21: Shai Werts pass complete to Darion Anderson for 58 yds for a TD, (Tyler Bass KICK) — GASO win probability +5.0 pts (now 86%) (top driver: GASO has the ball).
  3. FG · Q2 2:15: Tyler Bass 31 yd FG GOOD — GASO win probability +3.0 pts (now 87%) (top driver: GASO has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 10:31: Wesley Fields run for 27 yds for a TD, (Tyler Bass KICK) — GASO win probability +8.2 pts (now 94%) (top driver: GASO has the ball).
  5. FG · Q3 2:22: Tyler Bass 20 yd FG GOOD — GASO win probability +2.4 pts (now 98%) (top driver: GASO has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
GASO made the numbers' call on 5 of 6USA made the numbers' call on 7 of 8
  1. Q1 15:00USA 4th & 12 at USA 38, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 19.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.7%−0.1
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    19.8%
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:31GASO 4th & 6 at USA 49, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 79.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    79.3%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    79.3%
    average punt
  3. Q1 8:12GASO 4th & 1 at USA 22, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 78.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    78.6%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    78.4%−0.2
    72% to make
    Punt
    77.8%−0.8
    average punt
  4. Q1 4:29USA 4th & 12 at USA 23, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 19.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.4%−0.4
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    19.8%
    average punt
  5. Q2 15:00GASO 4th & 15 at USA 40, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 79.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    79.0%−0.3
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    79.2%−0.1
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    79.3%
    average punt
  6. Q2 14:53USA 4th & 15 at USA 16, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 19.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.1%−0.9
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    20.0%
    average punt
  7. Q2 7:00USA 4th & 10 at GASO 23, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 15.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.4%−0.5
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    14.9%
    70% to make
    Punt
    11.8%−3.1
    average punt
  8. Q2 2:15GASO 4th & 6 at USA 15, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 84.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    83.7%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    83.7%
    83% to make
    Punt
    81.1%−2.6
    average punt
  9. Q2 1:05USA 4th & 3 at GASO 16, down 14
    Close callWent for it · 14.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    14.6%−<0.1
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    14.6%
    81% to make
    Punt
    11.8%−2.7
    average punt
  10. Q2 0:00USA 4th & 9 at GASO 11, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 13.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.2%−0.4
    27% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    13.7%
    87% to make
    Punt
    10.2%−3.5
    average punt
  11. Q3 5:17USA 4th & 4 at GASO 39, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 6.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    6.5%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    5.4%−1.1
    36% to make
    Punt
    5.5%−1.0
    average punt
  12. Q3 2:22GASO 4th & 3 at USA 3, up 18
    Close callKicked a field goal · 95.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.6%
    44% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    95.1%−0.5
    93% to make
    Punt
    92.3%−3.3
    average punt
  13. Q4 5:40USA 4th & 4 at USA 31, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−<0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  14. Q4 5:28GASO 4th & 6 at GASO 36, up 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
GASO made the numbers' call on 6 of 6USA made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 4:29GASO Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    79.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    79.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 11:21GASO Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    84.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    84.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 10:31GASO Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 11:44GASO Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 8:59USA Touchdown, down 22 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    1.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    1.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 7:10GASO Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 1:06GASO Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
USADrive 1PUNT
9 plays · 13 yds · 0:0019% → 19%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
81.0%
Tra Minter run for 5 yds to the SAlab 30Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+3
81.0%
Tra Minter run for 3 yds to the SAlab 33Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+7
81.0%
Deonta Moore run for 7 yds to the SAlab 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
81.0%
Evan Orth pass complete to Deonta Moore for no gain to the SAlab 40Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 40
-5
81.0%
Minter, Tra rush for 3 yards to the USA43 (C. Harris Jr.), PENALTY USA false start 5 yards to the USA35, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 15
OWN 35
+3
81.0%
Kawaan Baker run for 3 yds to the SAlab 38Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 12
OWN 38
0
81.0%
Evan Orth pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 12
OWN 38
0
81.0%
Corliss Waitman punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Wesley Kennedy III at the GeoSo 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 2PUNT
5 plays · 27 yds · 0:0080% → 80%
Q1 11:31
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+23
80.1%
Shai Werts pass complete to Wesley Fields for 23 yds to the GeoSo 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:31
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+1
80.3%
Monteo Garrett run for 1 yd to the GeoSo 48Similar
Q1 11:31
2ND & 9
OWN 48
+3
80.3%
Shai Werts run for 3 yds to the SAlab 49Similar
Q1 11:31
3RD & 6
OPP 49
0
80.3%
Shai Werts pass complete to Wesley Kennedy III for no gain to the SAlab 49Similar
Q1 11:31
4TH & 6
OPP 49
0
80.1%
Magill Bauerle punt for 49 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 3FUMBLE
2 plays · 26 yds · 0:0021% → 21%
Q1 8:52
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
79.2%
Tra Minter run for 3 yds to the SAlab 23Similar
Q1 8:52
2ND & 7
OWN 23
+20
79.2%
Evan Orth pass complete to Kawaan Baker for 20 yds Kawaan Baker fumbled, forced by Sean Freeman, recovered by GeoSo Lane EctonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 4DOWNS
5 plays · 24 yds · 0:0080% → 79%
Q1 8:12
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+15
79.6%
Wesley Fields run for no gain to the SAlab 46 for a 1ST down SOUTH ALABAMA Penalty, personal foul (15 Yards) to the SAlab 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:12
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+4
79.7%
Wesley Kennedy III run for 4 yds to the SAlab 27Similar
Q1 8:12
2ND & 6
OPP 27
+4
79.8%
Wesley Fields run for 4 yds to the SAlab 23Similar
Q1 8:12
3RD & 2
OPP 23
+1
79.6%
Wesley Fields run for 1 yd to the SAlab 22Similar
Q1 8:12
4TH & 1
OPP 22
0
79.4%
Wesley Fields run for no gain to the SAlab 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 5INT
2 plays · 11 yds · 0:0022% → 22%
Q1 5:49
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+11
78.2%
Tra Minter run for 11 yds to the SAlab 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:49
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+30
78.1%
Evan Orth pass intercepted Monquavion Brinson return for 30 yds to the SAlab 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 6TD
2 plays · 5 yds · 0:5379% → 81%
Q1 5:22
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+4
79.1%
Shai Werts run for 4 yds to the SAlab 1Similar
Q1 4:29
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
81.4%
Shai Werts run for 1 yd for a TD, (Tyler Bass KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 7PUNT
7 plays · -2 yds · 0:0019% → 19%
Q1 4:29
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
80.6%
Deonta Moore run for 6 yds to the SAlab 31Similar
Q1 4:29
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+2
80.3%
Deonta Moore run for 2 yds to the SAlab 33Similar
Q1 4:29
3RD & 2
OWN 33
-5
80.5%
SOUTH ALABAMA Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the SAlab 28Similar
Q1 4:29
3RD & 7
OWN 28
0
80.8%
Malik Stanley run for no gain to the SAlab 28Similar
Q1 4:29
4TH & 7
OWN 28
-5
81.0%
SOUTH ALABAMA Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the SAlab 23Similar
Q1 4:29
4TH & 12
OWN 23
+10
81.1%
Corliss Waitman punt for 41 yds , Wesley Kennedy III returns for 10 yds to the GeoSo 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 8PUNT
7 plays · 14 yds · 2:0481% → 80%
Q1 2:04
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+19
81.1%
Monteo Garrett run for 19 yds to the SAlab 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:04
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
81.3%
Shai Werts run for 10 yds to the SAlab 25 GA SOUTHERN Penalty, Offensive holding (-10 Yards) to the SAlab 35Similar
Q1 2:04
1ST & 10
OPP 35
-10
81.3%
S. Werts rush for no gain to the USA35 (Fisher, Strrlng), PENALTY GS holding (51) 10 yards to the USA45, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 2:04
1ST & 20
OPP 45
+5
80.9%
Matt LaRoche run for 5 yds to the SAlab 40Similar
Q1 2:04
2ND & 15
OPP 40
0
80.8%
Shai Werts pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:04
3RD & 15
OPP 40
0
80.5%
Matt LaRoche run for no gain to the SAlab 40Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 15
OPP 40
0
79.8%
Magill Bauerle punt for 31 yds, downed at the SAlab 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 9PUNT
8 plays · 7 yds · 0:0020% → 19%
Q2 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+1
80.2%
Tra Minter run for 1 yd to the SAlab 10Similar
Q2 14:53
2ND & 9
OWN 10
0
80.2%
Evan Orth pass incomplete to Kawaan BakerSimilar
Q2 14:53
3RD & 9
OWN 10
+11
80.6%
Evan Orth pass complete to Collier Smith for 11 yds to the SAlab 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 21
-8
80.0%
Tra Minter run for 2 yds to the SAlab 23 SOUTH ALABAMA Penalty, illegal block (Collier Smith) to the SAlab 13Similar
Q2 14:53
1ST & 18
OWN 13
0
80.1%
Tra Minter run for no gain to the SAlab 13Similar
Q2 14:53
2ND & 18
OWN 13
+7
80.2%
Evan Orth pass complete to Deonta Moore for 7 yds to the SAlab 20Similar
Q2 14:53
3RD & 11
OWN 20
-4
80.6%
Evan Orth sacked by Randy Wade Jr. and Raymond Johnson III for a loss of 4 yards to the SAlab 16Similar
Q2 14:53
4TH & 15
OWN 16
+11
80.8%
Corliss Waitman punt for 53 yds , Wesley Kennedy III returns for 11 yds to the GeoSo 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 10TD
1 play · 58 yds · 0:0086% → 86%
Q2 11:21
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+58
85.8%
Shai Werts pass complete to Darion Anderson for 58 yds for a TD, (Tyler Bass KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 11FG
12 plays · 48 yds · 4:1216% → 18%
Q2 11:12
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+2
83.9%
Kawaan Baker run for 2 yds to the SAlab 31Similar
Q2 11:12
2ND & 8
OWN 31
+1
83.9%
Tra Minter run for 1 yd to the SAlab 32Similar
Q2 11:12
3RD & 7
OWN 32
+5
84.1%
GA SOUTHERN Penalty, Defensive offside (5 Yards) to the SAlab 37Similar
Q2 11:12
3RD & 2
OWN 37
+7
83.8%
Evan Orth run for 7 yds to the SAlab 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:12
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+14
83.7%
Evan Orth pass complete to Deonta Moore for 14 yds to the GeoSo 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:12
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+5
83.4%
Evan Orth pass complete to Khameron Taylor for 5 yds to the GeoSo 37Similar
Q2 11:12
2ND & 5
OPP 37
+14
83.2%
Deonta Moore run for 14 yds to the GeoSo 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:12
1ST & 10
OPP 23
0
82.7%
Deonta Moore run for no gain to the GeoSo 23Similar
Q2 11:12
2ND & 10
OPP 23
0
83.0%
Evan Orth pass incomplete to Collier SmithSimilar
Q2 11:12
3RD & 10
OPP 23
0
83.4%
Evan Orth pass incomplete to Kawaan Baker, broken up by Kenderick Duncan Jr.Similar
Q2 7:00
4TH & 10
OPP 23
+40
82.5%
Gavin Patterson 40 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 12FG
11 plays · 60 yds · 4:4583% → 87%
Q2 7:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
83.2%
Shai Werts pass complete to Wesley Kennedy III for 12 yds to the GeoSo 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+9
83.5%
Monteo Garrett run for 9 yds to the GeoSo 46Similar
Q2 7:00
2ND & 1
OWN 46
+1
83.9%
Monteo Garrett run for 1 yd to the GeoSo 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:00
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
83.9%
Shai Werts pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:00
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+12
83.8%
Wesley Kennedy III run for 12 yds to the SAlab 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:00
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+22
84.0%
Monteo Garrett run for 7 yds to the SAlab 34 for a 1ST down SOUTH ALABAMA Penalty, personal foul (Malcolm Buggs) to the SAlab 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:00
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+2
84.0%
Wesley Fields run for 2 yds to the SAlab 17Similar
Q2 7:00
2ND & 8
OPP 17
+4
84.0%
Wesley Fields run for 4 yds to the SAlab 13Similar
Q2 7:00
3RD & 4
OPP 13
-2
83.5%
Wesley Fields run for a loss of 2 yards to the SAlab 15Similar
Q2 2:15
4TH & 6
OPP 15
+31
86.6%
Tyler Bass 31 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 13FG
13 plays · 64 yds · 2:1514% → 15%
Q2 2:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+26
86.2%
Evan Orth pass complete to Malik Stanley for 26 yds to the GeoSo 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:15
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+26
85.2%
Evan Orth pass complete to Kawaan Baker for 26 yds to the GeoSo 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:15
1ST & 10
OPP 23
-5
84.3%
Evan Orth pass complete to Jordan McCray for a loss of 5 yards to the GeoSo 28Similar
Q2 1:25
2ND & 15
OPP 28
+6
86.1%
Evan Orth pass complete to Tra Minter for 6 yds to the GeoSo 22Similar
Q2 1:25
3RD & 9
OPP 22
+6
85.9%
Evan Orth pass complete to Malik Stanley for 6 yds to the GeoSo 16Similar
Q2 1:05
4TH & 3
OPP 16
+4
86.0%
Evan Orth pass complete to Jamarius Way for 4 yds to the GeoSo 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:05
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+1
85.0%
Evan Orth run for 1 yd to the GeoSo 11Similar
Q2 1:05
2ND & 9
OPP 11
0
85.0%
Evan Orth pass incomplete to Malik StanleySimilar
Q2 1:05
3RD & 9
OPP 11
0
85.9%
Evan Orth pass incomplete to Jamarius Way, broken up by Monquavion BrinsonSimilar
Q2 0:00
4TH & 9
OPP 11
+28
85.0%
Gavin Patterson 28 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 14TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 4:2985% → 94%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+14
84.8%
Monteo Garrett run for 14 yds to the GeoSo 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+6
85.5%
Shai Werts pass complete to Davarius Bargnare for 6 yds to the GeoSo 45Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 45
+10
85.6%
Wesley Fields run for 10 yds to the SAlab 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+8
85.7%
Wesley Kennedy III run for 8 yds to the SAlab 37Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 2
OPP 37
+4
85.7%
Wesley Fields run for 4 yds to the SAlab 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+4
85.8%
Monteo Garrett run for 4 yds to the SAlab 29Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 29
+2
85.8%
Matt LaRoche run for 2 yds to the SAlab 27Similar
Q3 10:31
3RD & 4
OPP 27
+27
94.0%
Wesley Fields run for 27 yds for a TD, (Tyler Bass KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 15DOWNS
14 plays · 36 yds · 5:149% → 6%
Q3 10:31
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
91.4%
Tra Minter run for 1 yd to the SAlab 26Similar
Q3 10:31
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+1
91.5%
Tra Minter run for 1 yd to the SAlab 27Similar
Q3 10:31
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+5
91.6%
GA SOUTHERN Penalty, Defensive offside (Logan Hunt) to the SAlab 32Similar
Q3 10:31
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+5
91.0%
GA SOUTHERN Penalty, Defensive offside (Quan Griffin) to the SAlab 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:31
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-5
90.9%
SOUTH ALABAMA Penalty, false start (Troy Thingstad) to the SAlab 32Similar
Q3 10:31
1ST & 15
OWN 32
+12
91.4%
Kawaan Baker run for 12 yds to the SAlab 44Similar
Q3 10:31
2ND & 3
OWN 44
+2
90.6%
Tra Minter run for 2 yds to the SAlab 46Similar
Q3 10:31
3RD & 1
OWN 46
+9
90.7%
Evan Orth run for 9 yds to the GeoSo 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:31
1ST & 10
OPP 45
-2
90.3%
Malik Stanley run for a loss of 2 yards to the GeoSo 49 Malik Stanley fumbled, forced by Randy Wade Jr., recovered by SAlab Malik Stanley , return for a loss of 2 yards to the GeoSo 49Similar
Q3 10:31
2ND & 14
OPP 49
+9
91.4%
Evan Orth pass complete to Deonta Moore for 9 yds to the GeoSo 40Similar
Q3 10:31
3RD & 5
OPP 40
+1
90.6%
Tra Minter run for 1 yd to the GeoSo 39Similar
Q3 5:17
4TH & 4
OPP 39
0
94.0%
Evan Orth pass incomplete to Malik Stanley, broken up by Sean FreemanSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 16FG
7 plays · 58 yds · 2:4996% → 98%
Q3 5:11
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+25
95.8%
Monteo Garrett run for 25 yds to the SAlab 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:11
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+35
95.8%
Shai Werts run for 35 yds to the SAlab 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:11
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
-2
95.9%
Shai Werts run for a loss of 2 yards to the SAlab 3Similar
Q3 5:11
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
0
95.9%
Monteo Garrett run for no gain to the SAlab 3Similar
Q3 2:32
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
0
95.9%
Shai Werts pass incomplete to Ellis Richardson, broken up by Malcolm BuggsSimilar
Q3 2:22
4TH & GOAL
OPP 3
+20
98.3%
Tyler Bass 20 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 17FUMBLE
8 plays · 14 yds · 2:223% → 2%
Q3 2:22
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
97.5%
Evan Orth pass complete to Jordan McCray for 5 yds to the SAlab 30Similar
Q3 2:22
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+2
97.3%
Tra Minter run for 2 yds to the SAlab 32Similar
Q3 2:22
3RD & 3
OWN 32
-10
97.4%
Orth, Evan pass complete to McCray, Jordan for 2 yards to the USA34 (C. Harris Jr.), PENALTY USA holding (Ankerson, Brian) 10 yards to the USA22, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 2:22
3RD & 13
OWN 22
+16
97.6%
Evan Orth pass complete to Malik Stanley for 16 yds to the SAlab 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:22
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-5
97.3%
SOUTH ALABAMA Penalty, false start (Ryan Alexander) to the SAlab 33Similar
Q3 2:22
1ST & 15
OWN 33
+2
97.5%
Evan Orth run for 2 yds to the SAlab 35Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 13
OWN 35
-1
98.4%
Deonta Moore run for a loss of 1 yard to the SAlab 39 Deonta Moore fumbled, forced by C.J. Wright, recovered by GeoSo Tomarcio ReeseSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 18TD
6 plays · 39 yds · 3:0899% → 100%
Q4 14:52
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+3
99.1%
Wesley Fields run for 3 yds to the SAlab 36Similar
Q4 14:52
2ND & 7
OPP 36
+21
99.1%
Shai Werts run for 21 yds to the SAlab 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:52
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+8
99.1%
Shai Werts run for 8 yds to the SAlab 7Similar
Q4 14:52
2ND & 2
OPP 7
0
99.1%
Logan Wright run for no gain to the SAlab 7Similar
Q4 14:52
3RD & 2
OPP 7
+3
99.0%
Wesley Fields run for 3 yds to the SAlab 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:44
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
99.9%
Shai Werts run for 4 yds for a TD, (Tyler Bass KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 19TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 2:450% → 1%
Q4 11:44
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
99.9%
Evan Orth pass complete to Tra Minter for 3 yds to the SAlab 28Similar
Q4 11:44
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+2
99.9%
Tra Minter run for 2 yds to the SAlab 30Similar
Q4 11:44
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+45
99.9%
Evan Orth pass complete to Kawaan Baker for 30 yds to the GASOUTHERN 40 for a 1ST down GA SOUTHERN Penalty, personal foul (Logan Hunt) to the GeoSo 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:44
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+13
99.8%
Evan Orth pass incomplete for a 1ST down GA SOUTHERN Penalty, personal foul (Chris Harris Jr.) to the GeoSo 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:44
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+9
99.8%
Evan Orth pass complete to Jalen Tolbert for 9 yds to the GeoSo 3Similar
Q4 11:44
2ND & 1
OPP 3
0
99.8%
Evan Orth pass incomplete to Jamarius WaySimilar
Q4 11:44
3RD & 1
OPP 3
+2
99.8%
Tra Minter run for 2 yds to the GeoSo 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:59
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
98.6%
Tra Minter run for 1 yd for a TD, (Gavin Patterson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 20TD
4 plays · 35 yds · 1:3599% → 100%
Q4 8:45
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+1
99.4%
Shai Werts run for 1 yd to the SAlab 34Similar
Q4 8:45
2ND & 9
OPP 34
+9
99.4%
Monteo Garrett run for 9 yds to the SAlab 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:10
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+25
99.9%
Wesley Fields run for 25 yds for a TD, (Tyler Bass KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 21PUNT
6 plays · 6 yds · 1:300% → 0%
Q4 7:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
99.9%
Kawaan Baker run for 4 yds to the SAlab 29Similar
Q4 7:10
2ND & 6
OWN 29
0
99.9%
Evan Orth pass incomplete to Malik Stanley, broken up by Kenderick Duncan Jr.Similar
Q4 7:10
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+2
99.9%
Evan Orth pass complete to Tra Minter for 2 yds to the SAlab 31Similar
Q4 5:40
4TH & 4
OWN 31
0
100.0%
Corliss Waitman punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Wesley Kennedy III at the GeoSo 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 22PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 5:28
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+2
99.9%
Monteo Garrett run for 2 yds to the GeoSo 34Similar
Q4 5:28
2ND & 8
OWN 34
+3
99.9%
Matt LaRoche run for 3 yds to the GeoSo 37Similar
Q4 5:28
3RD & 5
OWN 37
+4
99.9%
Matt LaRoche run for 4 yds to the GeoSo 41Similar
Q4 5:28
4TH & 1
OWN 41
-5
99.9%
GA SOUTHERN Penalty, delay of game (Magill Bauerle) to the GeoSo 36Similar
Q4 5:28
4TH & 6
OWN 36
0
99.9%
Magill Bauerle punt for 33 yds, downed at the SAlab 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 23INT TD
4 plays · -7 yds · 2:090% → 0%
Q4 3:15
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-11
100.0%
Maurice Mayo run for 4 yds to the SAlab 42 SOUTH ALABAMA Penalty, Offensive holding (Jamarius Way) to the SAlab 27Similar
Q4 3:15
1ST & 21
OWN 27
+1
100.0%
Maurice Mayo run for 1 yd to the SAlab 28Similar
Q4 3:15
2ND & 20
OWN 28
+3
100.0%
Tywun Walters run for 3 yds to the SAlab 31Similar
Q4 1:06
3RD & 17
OWN 31
+28
100.0%
Cephus Johnson pass intercepted for a TD Alvin Ward Jr. return for 28 yds for a TD, (Tyler Bass KICK) SOUTH ALABAMA Penalty, Defensive offside ( Yards) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 24END OF GAME
4 plays · 18 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 0:53
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+11
100.0%
Cephus Johnson run for 11 yds to the GeoSo 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:53
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+2
100.0%
Maurice Mayo run for 2 yds to the GeoSo 42Similar
Q4 0:53
2ND & 8
OPP 42
+5
100.0%
Maurice Mayo run for 5 yds to the GeoSo 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 10:31
Wesley Fields run for 27 yds for a TD, (Tyler Bass KICK)
+8.2
TD · Q2 11:21
Shai Werts pass complete to Darion Anderson for 58 yds for a TD, (Tyler Bass KICK)
+5
FG · Q2 2:15
Tyler Bass 31 yd FG GOOD
+3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com