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GWEB

Gardner-Webb 7 at App State 72

APP
2018 · Week 4 · Sep 22, 2018 · Kidd Brewer Stadium
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Win probability · APP
modelAPP aheadGWEB aheadconfidence bandkey playAPP scoreGWEB score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDFGTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 1:43 · Camerun Peoples run for 6 yds to the AppSt 44
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsGarbage-time factor
+49.5+24.80−24.8−49.5Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 7:55: Jordan Smith pass complete to Jonathan Blackmon for 14 yds for a TD (Tre' Jackson KICK) — GWEB win probability +0.3 pts (now 1%) (top driver: GWEB has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 2:32: Jalin Moore run for 1 yd for a TD (Chandler Staton KICK) — GWEB win probability +0.1 pts (now 1%) (top driver: APP has the ball).
  3. TD · Q1 0:08: Jalin Moore run for 81 yds for a TD (Chandler Staton KICK) — APP win probability +0.3 pts (now 99%) (top driver: APP has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 14:06: Darrynton Evans run for 9 yds for a TD (Chandler Staton KICK) — APP win probability +0.4 pts (now 100%) (top driver: APP has the ball).
  5. TD · Q2 9:50: Zac Thomas run for 12 yds for a TD (Chandler Staton KICK) — APP win probability +0.2 pts (now 100%) (top driver: APP has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
APP made the numbers' call on 3 of 4GWEB made the numbers' call on 9 of 11
  1. Q1 11:53GWEB 4th & 14 at GWEB 3, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.7%−0.2
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.0%
    average punt
  2. Q1 2:32GWEB 4th & 5 at APP 42, down 14
    Close callPunted · 1.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.4%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    1.3%−0.1
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    1.3%−<0.1
    average punt
  3. Q2 15:00GWEB 4th & 11 at GWEB 24, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.9%−0.1
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.0%
    average punt
  4. Q2 12:42GWEB 4th & 13 at GWEB 22, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.4%−0.2
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.5%
    average punt
  5. Q2 9:50GWEB 4th & 7 at GWEB 28, down 42
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.3%−0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.3%
    average punt
  6. Q2 8:07APP 4th & 6 at GWEB 36, up 42
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.7%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    99.6%−0.1
    42% to make
    Punt
    99.6%−0.1
    average punt
  7. Q2 5:15GWEB 4th & 15 at GWEB 38, down 42
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−0.1
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  8. Q2 0:00APP 4th & 15 at GWEB 15, up 42
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.7%−0.1
    15% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.8%
    83% to make
    Punt
    99.4%−0.4
    average punt
  9. Q3 15:00GWEB 4th & 13 at GWEB 35, down 45
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−0.1
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.3%
    average punt
  10. Q3 7:18GWEB 4th & 11 at GWEB 24, down 52
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−0.1
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  11. Q3 6:16APP 4th & 9 at APP 41, up 52
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    100.0%
    average punt
  12. Q3 4:55GWEB 4th & 1 at GWEB 19, down 52
    Close callPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.0%−0.1
    average punt
  13. Q4 13:43APP 4th & 11 at GWEB 30, up 59
    Close callWent for it · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.9%−0.1
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    99.9%
    56% to make
    Punt
    99.8%−0.1
    average punt
  14. Q4 9:14GWEB 4th & 5 at APP 47, down 59
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.0%
    average punt
  15. Q4 3:13GWEB 4th & 2 at GWEB 33, down 65
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.0%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
APP made the numbers' call on 8 of 8GWEB made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 14:00APP Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 7:55GWEB Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    1.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    1.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 2:32APP Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q1 0:08APP Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 14:06APP Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 9:50APP Touchdown, up 41 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 7:18APP Touchdown, up 51 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 0:42APP Touchdown, up 58 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 3:13APP Touchdown, up 65 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
APPDrive 1TD
4 plays · 75 yds · 1:0099% → 99%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
99.3%
Jalin Moore run for 2 yds to the AppSt 27Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+9
99.3%
Jalin Moore run for 9 yds to the AppSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+64
99.3%
Zac Thomas pass complete to Dominique Heath for 64 yds for a TD (Chandler Staton KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GWEBDrive 2PUNT TD
6 plays · -4 yds · 2:001% → 1%
Q1 13:53
1ST & 10
OWN 7
-4
99.3%
GARDNER-WEBB Penalty, delay of game (-4 Yards) to the GrdWb 3Similar
Q1 13:53
1ST & 14
OWN 3
+2
99.3%
Jordan Smith pass complete to Kyle Horton for 2 yds to the GrdWb 5Similar
Q1 13:53
2ND & 12
OWN 5
-4
99.3%
Jayln Cagle run for a loss of 4 yards to the GrdWb 1Similar
Q1 13:53
3RD & 16
OWN 1
+2
99.3%
Jordan Smith pass complete to Jonathan Blackmon for 2 yds to the GrdWb 3Similar
Q1 11:53
4TH & 14
OWN 3
0
99.2%
Crimmins Hankinson punt blocked by Steven Jones blocked by Steven Jones Steven Jones return for no gain for a TD (Chandler Staton KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GWEBDrive 3TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 3:581% → 1%
Q1 11:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
99.2%
Jordan Smith pass complete to Jonathan Blackmon for 10 yds to the GrdWb 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:53
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+6
99.2%
Jayln Cagle run for 6 yds to the GrdWb 41Similar
Q1 11:53
2ND & 4
OWN 41
+3
99.2%
Jordan Smith pass complete to Jonathan Blackmon for 3 yds to the GrdWb 44Similar
Q1 11:53
3RD & 1
OWN 44
+3
99.2%
Jayln Cagle run for 3 yds to the GrdWb 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:53
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
99.2%
Jordan Smith pass incomplete, broken up by D'Marco JacksonSimilar
Q1 11:53
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+15
99.2%
Jordan Smith pass complete to Adonus Lee for 15 yds to the AppSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:53
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+1
99.2%
Jordan Smith run for 1 yd to the AppSt 37Similar
Q1 11:53
2ND & 9
OPP 37
+23
99.2%
Jordan Smith pass complete to Jonathan Blackmon for 9 yds to the AppSt 28 for a 1ST down APPALACHIAN ST Penalty, face mask (14 yards) (14 Yards) to the AppSt 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:53
1ST & 10
OPP 14
0
99.2%
Jayln Cagle run for no gain to the AppSt 14Similar
Q1 11:53
2ND & 10
OPP 14
0
99.2%
Jordan Smith pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:55
3RD & 10
OPP 14
+14
99.0%
Jordan Smith pass complete to Jonathan Blackmon for 14 yds for a TD (Tre' Jackson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 4TD
16 plays · 72 yds · 5:1499% → 99%
Q1 7:46
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+14
99.0%
Jalin Moore run for 14 yds to the AppSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:46
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+9
99.0%
Zac Thomas pass complete to Corey Sutton for 9 yds to the GrdWb 49Similar
Q1 7:46
2ND & 1
OPP 49
+4
99.0%
Zac Thomas pass complete to Jalen Virgil for 4 yds to the GrdWb 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:46
1ST & 10
OPP 45
-15
99.0%
Thomas, Zac pass complete to Heath, D. for 35 yards to the GWU10 (GRANT, J.), PENALTY APP face mask (Neuzil, Ryan) 15 yards to the APP40, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 7:46
1ST & 25
OWN 40
+6
99.0%
Zac Thomas pass complete to Corey Sutton for 6 yds to the AppSt 46Similar
Q1 7:46
2ND & 19
OWN 46
+5
99.0%
Thomas, Zac rush for 3 yards to the APP49 (THOMAS, S.), PENALTY GWU offside defense (SINGLETON, J.) 5 yards to the GWU49, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 7:46
2ND & 14
OPP 49
0
99.0%
Zac Thomas pass incomplete to Corey SuttonSimilar
Q1 7:46
3RD & 14
OPP 49
+5
99.0%
GARDNER-WEBB Penalty, offside defense (5 Yards) to the GrdWb 44Similar
Q1 7:46
3RD & 9
OPP 44
+11
99.0%
Zac Thomas pass complete to Collin Reed for 11 yds to the GrdWb 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:46
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+7
99.0%
Darrynton Evans run for 7 yds to the GrdWb 26Similar
Q1 7:46
2ND & 3
OPP 26
+15
99.0%
Darrynton Evans run for 15 yds to the GrdWb 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:46
1ST & 10
OPP 11
-1
99.0%
Jalin Moore run for a loss of 1 yard to the GrdWb 12Similar
Q1 7:46
2ND & 11
OPP 12
+9
99.0%
Zac Thomas pass complete to Corey Sutton for 9 yds to the GrdWb 3Similar
Q1 7:46
3RD & 2
OPP 3
+2
99.0%
Jalin Moore run for 2 yds to the GrdWb 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:32
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
98.9%
Jalin Moore run for 1 yd for a TD (Chandler Staton KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GWEBDrive 5PUNT
8 plays · 33 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q1 2:32
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
98.8%
Jordan Smith pass incomplete, broken up by E.J. ScottSimilar
Q1 2:32
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+1
98.8%
Jayln Cagle run for 1 yd to the GrdWb 26Similar
Q1 2:32
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+27
98.8%
Jordan Smith pass complete to Kyle Horton for 27 yds to the AppSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:32
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+5
98.8%
A.J. Moses run for 5 yds to the AppSt 42Similar
Q1 2:32
2ND & 5
OPP 42
0
98.8%
Jordan Smith pass incomplete to Jonathan Blackmon, broken up by Akeem Davis-GaitherSimilar
Q1 2:32
3RD & 5
OPP 42
0
98.8%
Jordan Smith pass incomplete to Braylin CollinsSimilar
Q1 2:32
4TH & 5
OPP 42
0
98.8%
Crimmins Hankinson punt for 34 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the AppSt 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 6TD
2 plays · 92 yds · 0:2599% → 99%
Q1 0:33
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+11
98.8%
Jalin Moore run for 11 yds to the AppSt 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:08
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+81
99.1%
Jalin Moore run for 81 yds for a TD (Chandler Staton KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GWEBDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 0:081% → 1%
Q1 0:08
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-9
99.1%
Jordan Smith sacked by Jermaine McDaniel Jr. for a loss of 9 yards to the GrdWb 16Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 19
OWN 16
+8
99.2%
Jordan Smith pass complete to Kyle Horton for 8 yds to the GrdWb 24Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 11
OWN 24
0
99.2%
Jordan Smith pass incomplete, broken up by Jordan FehrSimilar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 11
OWN 24
0
99.2%
Crimmins Hankinson punt blocked by Steven Jones blocked by Steven JonesSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 8TD
1 play · 9 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q2 14:06
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
99.6%
Darrynton Evans run for 9 yds for a TD (Chandler Staton KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GWEBDrive 9PUNT RETURN TD
5 plays · -3 yds · 1:241% → 0%
Q2 14:06
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
99.5%
Jayln Cagle run for 3 yds to the GrdWb 28Similar
Q2 14:06
2ND & 7
OWN 28
-6
99.5%
Jayln Cagle run for a loss of 6 yards to the GrdWb 22Similar
Q2 14:06
3RD & 13
OWN 22
0
99.6%
Jaylen Myers pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:42
4TH & 13
OWN 22
+62
99.6%
Crimmins Hankinson punt for 40 yds , Clifton Duck returns for 62 yds for a TD (Chandler Staton KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GWEBDrive 10INT
4 plays · -4 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q2 12:42
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
99.6%
SMITH, J. pass complete to COLLINS, B. for 10 yards to the GWU35, out-of-bounds (Hayes, Tae), PENALTY GWU personal foul (ELLIS II, J.) 5 yards to the GWU20, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 12:42
1ST & 15
OWN 20
+1
99.6%
Jayln Cagle run for 1 yd to the GrdWb 21Similar
Q2 12:42
2ND & 14
OWN 21
+2
99.6%
Jordan Smith pass intercepted Desmond Franklin return for 2 yds to the AppSt 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 11TD
6 plays · 59 yds · 1:5299% → 100%
Q2 11:42
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+8
99.4%
Marcus Williams Jr. run for 8 yds to the AppSt 49Similar
Q2 11:42
2ND & 2
OWN 49
+4
99.4%
Marcus Williams Jr. run for 4 yds to the GrdWb 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:42
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+15
99.5%
Marcus Williams Jr. run for 15 yds to the GrdWb 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:42
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+15
99.5%
Zac Thomas pass complete to Corey Sutton for 15 yds to the GrdWb 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:42
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+5
99.5%
Williams, Marc. rush for 1 yard to the GWU16 (MINES, D.), PENALTY GWU offside defense (EDWARDS, A.) 5 yards to the GWU12, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 9:50
1ST & 5
OPP 12
+12
99.6%
Zac Thomas run for 12 yds for a TD (Chandler Staton KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GWEBDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q2 9:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
99.7%
Jordan Smith pass complete to Braylin Collins for 6 yds to the GrdWb 31Similar
Q2 9:50
2ND & 4
OWN 31
-2
99.7%
Jayln Cagle run for a loss of 2 yards to the GrdWb 29Similar
Q2 9:50
3RD & 6
OWN 29
-1
99.7%
Jordan Smith run for a loss of 1 yard to the GrdWb 28Similar
Q2 9:50
4TH & 7
OWN 28
0
99.7%
Crimmins Hankinson punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Dominique Heath at the AppSt 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 13DOWNS
8 plays · 22 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q2 8:07
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+7
99.7%
Marcus Williams Jr. run for 7 yds to the AppSt 42Similar
Q2 8:07
2ND & 3
OWN 42
+4
99.7%
Marcus Williams Jr. run for 4 yds to the AppSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:07
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+14
99.7%
Zac Thomas pass complete to Malik Williams for 14 yds to the GrdWb 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:07
1ST & 10
OPP 40
-10
99.7%
Thomas, Zac pass complete to Virgil, Jalen for 13 yards to the GWU27 (KEENE, A.J.), PENALTY APP holding (Absher, Brad) 10 yards to the 50 yardline, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 8:07
1ST & 20
50
0
99.7%
Zac Thomas pass incomplete to Corey Sutton, broken up by A.J. KeeneSimilar
Q2 8:07
2ND & 20
50
+14
99.7%
Zac Thomas run for 14 yds to the GrdWb 36Similar
Q2 8:07
3RD & 6
OPP 36
0
99.7%
Zac Thomas pass incomplete to Thomas HenniganSimilar
Q2 8:07
4TH & 6
OPP 36
-7
99.7%
Zac Thomas sacked by Darien Reynolds for a loss of 7 yards to the GrdWb 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GWEBDrive 14PUNT
4 plays · -5 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q2 5:15
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+2
99.7%
Jayln Cagle run for 2 yds to the GrdWb 45Similar
Q2 5:15
2ND & 8
OWN 45
-10
99.8%
Jaylen Myers sacked by Jermaine McDaniel Jr. for a loss of 10 yards to the GrdWb 35Similar
Q2 5:15
3RD & 18
OWN 35
+3
99.8%
Jaylen Myers run for 3 yds to the GrdWb 38Similar
Q2 5:15
4TH & 15
OWN 38
0
99.8%
Crimmins Hankinson punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Dominique Heath at the AppSt 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 15FG
12 plays · 57 yds · 3:41100% → 100%
Q2 3:41
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+2
99.8%
Darrynton Evans run for 2 yds to the AppSt 30Similar
Q2 3:41
2ND & 8
OWN 30
+8
99.8%
Zac Thomas pass complete to Thomas Hennigan for 8 yds to the AppSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:41
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+7
99.8%
Dominique Heath run for 7 yds to the AppSt 45Similar
Q2 3:41
2ND & 3
OWN 45
+31
99.8%
Zac Thomas pass complete to Thomas Hennigan for 31 yds to the GrdWb 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:41
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+7
99.8%
Marcus Williams Jr. run for 7 yds to the GrdWb 17Similar
Q2 3:41
2ND & 3
OPP 17
+14
99.8%
Zac Thomas pass complete to Dominique Heath for 14 yds to the GrdWb 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:41
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
0
99.8%
Zac Thomas pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:41
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
-5
99.8%
APPALACHIAN ST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the GrdWb 8Similar
Q2 3:41
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+4
99.8%
Marcus Williams Jr. run for 4 yds to the GrdWb 4Similar
Q2 3:41
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
-11
99.8%
Zac Thomas sacked by John Singleton for a loss of 11 yards to the GrdWb 15Similar
Q2 0:00
4TH & GOAL
OPP 15
+33
99.8%
Chandler Staton 33 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GWEBDrive 16PUNT
7 plays · 10 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
99.8%
Jordan Smith pass complete to Jonathan Blackmon for 9 yds to the GrdWb 34Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+4
99.8%
Jayln Cagle run for 4 yds to the GrdWb 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
99.8%
Jordan Smith pass incomplete to Jonathan BlackmonSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 38
-3
99.8%
Jayln Cagle run for a loss of 3 yards to the GrdWb 35Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 13
OWN 35
0
99.8%
Jordan Smith pass incomplete to Jonathan BlackmonSimilar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 13
OWN 35
+3
99.8%
Crimmins Hankinson punt for 45 yds , Dominique Heath returns for 3 yds to the AppSt 38 APPALACHIAN ST Penalty, illegal block (11 Yards) to the AppSt 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 17TD
11 plays · 88 yds · 5:42100% → 100%
Q3 13:00
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+4
99.8%
D'Andre Hicks run for 4 yds to the AppSt 16Similar
Q3 13:00
2ND & 6
OWN 16
+8
99.8%
Peyton Derrick pass complete to Malik Williams for 8 yds to the AppSt 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:00
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+5
99.8%
D'Andre Hicks run for 5 yds to the AppSt 29Similar
Q3 13:00
2ND & 5
OWN 29
+4
99.8%
D'Andre Hicks run for 4 yds to the AppSt 33Similar
Q3 13:00
3RD & 1
OWN 33
+3
99.8%
D'Andre Hicks run for 3 yds to the AppSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+10
99.8%
Camerun Peoples run for 10 yds to the AppSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:00
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+5
99.8%
Peyton Derrick pass complete to A'Darius Purifoy for 5 yds to the GrdWb 49Similar
Q3 13:00
2ND & 5
OPP 49
+14
99.8%
Peyton Derrick pass complete to Dominique Heath for 14 yds to the GrdWb 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:00
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+4
99.9%
Peyton Derrick pass complete to Malik Williams for 4 yds to the GrdWb 31Similar
Q3 13:00
2ND & 6
OPP 31
+12
99.9%
Peyton Derrick pass complete to Malik Williams for 12 yds to the GrdWb 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:18
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+19
99.9%
Peyton Derrick pass complete to Dominique Heath for 19 yds for a TD (Michael Rubino KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GWEBDrive 18PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 7:18
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
99.9%
Jordan Smith run for a loss of 1 yard to the GrdWb 24Similar
Q3 7:18
2ND & 11
OWN 24
0
99.9%
Jordan Smith pass incomplete to Kyle HortonSimilar
Q3 7:18
3RD & 11
OWN 24
0
99.9%
Jordan Smith pass incomplete to Elijah PerrySimilar
Q3 7:18
4TH & 11
OWN 24
+4
99.9%
Crimmins Hankinson punt for 40 yds , Brad Absher returns for 4 yds to the AppSt 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 19PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q3 6:16
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-2
99.9%
Jacob Huesman pass complete to Brad Absher for a loss of 2 yards to the AppSt 38Similar
Q3 6:16
2ND & 12
OWN 38
+3
99.9%
Camerun Peoples run for 3 yds to the AppSt 41Similar
Q3 6:16
3RD & 9
OWN 41
0
99.9%
Jacob Huesman pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 6:16
4TH & 9
OWN 41
0
99.9%
Clayton Howell punt for 49 yds , Kyle Horton returns for no gain to the GrdWb 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GWEBDrive 20PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 4:55
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+3
99.9%
Jordan Smith pass complete to Jonathan Blackmon for 3 yds to the GrdWb 13Similar
Q3 4:55
2ND & 7
OWN 13
0
99.9%
Jordan Smith pass incomplete to Adonus Lee, broken up by Shemar Jean-CharlesSimilar
Q3 4:55
3RD & 7
OWN 13
+6
99.9%
Jordan Smith run for 6 yds to the GrdWb 19Similar
Q3 4:55
4TH & 1
OWN 19
0
99.9%
Crimmins Hankinson punt for 54 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the AppSt 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 21TD
6 plays · 73 yds · 2:43100% → 100%
Q3 3:25
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+6
99.9%
Peyton Derrick pass complete to Brad Absher for 6 yds to the AppSt 33Similar
Q3 3:25
2ND & 4
OWN 33
+28
99.9%
D'Andre Hicks run for 28 yds to the GrdWb 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:25
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+16
99.9%
D'Andre Hicks run for 16 yds to the GrdWb 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:25
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+13
99.9%
Camerun Peoples run for 13 yds to the GrdWb 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:25
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+7
99.9%
Camerun Peoples run for 7 yds to the GrdWb 3Similar
Q3 0:42
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
99.9%
Peyton Derrick run for 3 yds for a TD (Michael Rubino KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GWEBDrive 22INT
6 plays · 22 yds · 0:420% → 0%
Q3 0:42
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
100.0%
Jordan Smith run for 10 yds to the GrdWb 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+9
100.0%
Jordan Smith pass complete to Jonathan Blackmon for 9 yds to the GrdWb 44Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 1
OWN 44
+3
100.0%
Jordan Smith run for 3 yds to the GrdWb 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
100.0%
Jordan Smith pass incomplete to Jonathan BlackmonSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 47
0
100.0%
Jordan Smith pass intercepted Kaiden Smith return for no gain to the AppSt 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 23DOWNS
10 plays · 24 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 13:43
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+2
99.9%
Camerun Peoples run for 2 yds to the AppSt 48Similar
Q4 13:43
2ND & 8
OWN 48
+9
99.9%
Zeb Speir pass complete to Brad Absher for 9 yds to the GrdWb 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:43
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+3
99.9%
Camerun Peoples run for 3 yds to the GrdWb 40Similar
Q4 13:43
2ND & 7
OPP 40
+5
99.9%
Camerun Peoples run for 5 yds to the GrdWb 35Similar
Q4 13:43
3RD & 2
OPP 35
+6
99.9%
DeMarcus Harper run for 6 yds to the GrdWb 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:43
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+1
99.9%
DeMarcus Harper run for 1 yd to the GrdWb 28Similar
Q4 13:43
2ND & 9
OPP 28
+3
99.9%
DeMarcus Harper run for 3 yds to the GrdWb 25Similar
Q4 13:43
3RD & 6
OPP 25
0
99.9%
Zeb Speir pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 13:43
4TH & 6
OPP 25
-5
99.9%
APPALACHIAN ST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the GrdWb 30Similar
Q4 13:43
4TH & 11
OPP 30
0
99.9%
Zeb Speir pass incomplete to A'Darius PurifoySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GWEBDrive 24PUNT
7 plays · 23 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 9:14
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-1
100.0%
Jaylen Myers run for a loss of 1 yard to the GrdWb 29Similar
Q4 9:14
2ND & 11
OWN 29
+7
100.0%
Jaylen Myers pass complete to Izaiah Gathings for 7 yds to the GrdWb 36Similar
Q4 9:14
3RD & 4
OWN 36
+12
100.0%
Jaylen Myers run for 12 yds to the GrdWb 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:14
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+4
100.0%
Jaylen Myers pass complete to Dexter Brown for 4 yds to the AppSt 48Similar
Q4 9:14
2ND & 6
OPP 48
+3
100.0%
Jaylen Myers run for 3 yds to the AppSt 45Similar
Q4 9:14
3RD & 3
OPP 45
-2
100.0%
Jaylen Myers pass complete to Jonathan Blackmon for a loss of 2 yards to the AppSt 47Similar
Q4 9:14
4TH & 5
OPP 47
0
100.0%
Crimmins Hankinson punt for 37 yds, fair catch by A'Darius Purifoy at the AppSt 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 25TD
5 plays · 90 yds · 2:34100% → 100%
Q4 5:47
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+9
100.0%
D'Andre Hicks run for 9 yds to the AppSt 19Similar
Q4 5:47
2ND & 1
OWN 19
+8
100.0%
D'Andre Hicks run for 8 yds to the AppSt 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:47
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
100.0%
D'Andre Hicks run for no gain to the AppSt 27Similar
Q4 5:47
2ND & 10
OWN 27
0
100.0%
D'Andre Hicks run for no gain to the AppSt 27Similar
Q4 3:13
3RD & 10
OWN 27
+73
100.0%
D'Andre Hicks run for 73 yds for a TD APPALACHIAN ST Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Zac Thomas) to the GrdWb 18 (Michael Rubino PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GWEBDrive 26PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 3:13
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
100.0%
Jaylen Myers run for 7 yds to the GrdWb 32Similar
Q4 3:13
2ND & 3
OWN 32
0
100.0%
Jaylen Myers pass incomplete to Jonathan BlackmonSimilar
Q4 3:13
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+1
100.0%
Jaylen Myers run for 1 yd to the GrdWb 33Similar
Q4 3:13
4TH & 2
OWN 33
0
100.0%
Crimmins Hankinson punt for 23 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the AppSt 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 27END OF GAME
3 plays · 0 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 1:43
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+4
100.0%
Camerun Peoples run for 4 yds to the AppSt 48Similar
Q4 1:43
2ND & 6
OWN 48
-10
100.0%
Peoples, C. rush for 4 yards to the GWU48 (JONES, Q.), PENALTY APP holding (Gillespie, W.) 10 yards to the APP38, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 1:43
2ND & 16
OWN 38
+6
100.0%
Camerun Peoples run for 6 yds to the AppSt 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 14:06
Darrynton Evans run for 9 yds for a TD (Chandler Staton KICK)
+0.4
TD · Q1 7:55
Jordan Smith pass complete to Jonathan Blackmon for 14 yds for a TD (Tre' Jackson KICK)
-0.3
TD · Q1 0:08
Jalin Moore run for 81 yds for a TD (Chandler Staton KICK)
+0.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com