Try the model
FAMU

Florida A&M 7 at Troy 59

TROY
2018 · Week 2 · Sep 8, 2018 · Veterans Memorial Stadium (AL)
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · TROY
modelTROY aheadFAMU aheadconfidence bandkey playTROY scoreFAMU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDFGTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 6:27 · Tyler Sumpter punt for 48 yds, downed at the FlaAM 14
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+48.5+24.30−24.3−48.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 139Pregame prior+27.0Home team on offense+30.0Score differential+26.3Blowout margin+13.4Garbage-time factor+9.9Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+9.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 2:47: Kaleb Barker pass complete to Damion Willis for 2 yds for a TD (Tyler Sumpter KICK) — TROY win probability +0.5 pts (now 98%) (top driver: TROY has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 0:55: Kaleb Barker pass complete to Damion Willis for 13 yds for a TD (Tyler Sumpter KICK) — TROY win probability +0.7 pts (now 98%) (top driver: TROY has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 10:59: Bishop Bonnett run for 1 yd for a TD (Yahia Aly KICK) — FAMU win probability +1.5 pts (now 4%) (top driver: FAMU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 6:55: Kaleb Barker pass complete to Deondre Douglas for 3 yds for a TD (Tyler Sumpter KICK) — TROY win probability +1.4 pts (now 99%) (top driver: TROY has the ball).
  5. TD · Q2 4:02: B.J. Smith run for 3 yds for a TD (Tyler Sumpter KICK) — TROY win probability +0.8 pts (now 99%) (top driver: TROY has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
TROY made the numbers' call on 8 of 9FAMU made the numbers' call on 6 of 8
  1. Q1 10:35FAMU 4th & 8 at TROY 8, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 2.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.8%−<0.1
    26% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    2.9%
    90% to make
    Punt
    2.4%−0.5
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:35TROY 4th & 4 at TROY 26, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 97.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.1%−<0.1
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.1%
    average punt
  3. Q2 15:00FAMU 4th & 2 at FAMU 33, down 21
    Close callPunted · 2.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.2%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.2%−<0.1
    average punt
  4. Q2 14:00TROY 4th & 10 at TROY 3, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 97.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.5%−0.3
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.9%
    average punt
  5. Q2 10:59TROY 4th & 12 at TROY 31, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 96.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.1%−0.4
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    96.6%
    average punt
  6. Q2 6:55FAMU 4th & 6 at FAMU 46, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.1%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.1%
    average punt
  7. Q2 2:10FAMU 4th & 3 at TROY 44, down 28
    Close callPunted · 0.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.7%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    0.3%−0.4
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    0.4%−0.3
    average punt
  8. Q2 0:00TROY 4th & 3 at FAMU 3, up 28
    Close callKicked a field goal · 99.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.6%
    44% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.5%−0.1
    93% to make
    Punt
    99.0%−0.6
    average punt
  9. Q3 15:00TROY 4th & 7 at FAMU 32, up 31
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.5%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    99.5%−<0.1
    51% to make
    Punt
    99.4%−<0.1
    average punt
  10. Q3 6:27FAMU 4th & 13 at TROY 31, down 45
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−0.1
    21% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    0.2%
    54% to make
    Punt
    0.1%−0.1
    average punt
  11. Q3 6:27TROY 4th & 14 at TROY 38, up 45
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.7%−0.1
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
  12. Q3 3:20FAMU 4th & 18 at FAMU 6, down 45
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    -0.1%−0.2
    11% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  13. Q3 2:18TROY 4th & 1 at FAMU 38, up 45
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.9%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    99.7%−0.2
    38% to make
    Punt
    99.6%−0.2
    average punt
  14. Q4 13:32FAMU 4th & 18 at FAMU 37, down 52
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    -0.1%−0.2
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  15. Q4 11:02TROY 4th & 6 at FAMU 34, up 52
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.9%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    99.9%−<0.1
    47% to make
    Punt
    99.8%−0.1
    average punt
  16. Q4 5:00FAMU 4th & 5 at FAMU 39, down 52
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.0%
    average punt
  17. Q4 3:47TROY 4th & 17 at TROY 38, up 52
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 100.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%−0.1
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    100.0%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
TROY made the numbers' call on 8 of 8FAMU made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 5:23TROY Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 2:47TROY Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 0:55TROY Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 10:59FAMU Touchdown, down 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    3.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    3.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 6:55TROY Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 4:02TROY Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 10:42TROY Touchdown, up 37 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 9:05TROY Touchdown, up 44 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 13:32TROY Touchdown, up 51 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
FAMUDrive 1MISSED FG
13 plays · 67 yds · 4:252% → 3%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
98.1%
Ryan Stanley pass complete to Marcus Williams for 8 yds to the FlaAM 33Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 2
OWN 33
-2
98.1%
Ricky Henrilus run for a loss of 2 yards to the FlaAM 31Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+18
98.1%
Ryan Stanley pass complete to Marcus Williams for 18 yds to the FlaAM 49 for a 1ST down TROY Penalty, offside defense ( Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+16
98.1%
HENRILUS,Ricky rush left for loss of 3 yards to the FAMU46 (Reese, Hunter), PENALTY TROY face mask (Reese, Hunter) 16 yards to the TROY35, 1ST DOWN FAMU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
98.1%
Ryan Stanley pass incomplete to Marcus WilliamsSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 35
+6
98.1%
Ryan Stanley pass complete to Marcus Williams for 6 yds to the Troy 29Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 4
OPP 29
+19
98.1%
Ryan Stanley pass complete to Marcus Williams for 19 yds to the Troy 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
-1
98.1%
Devin Bowers run for a loss of 1 yard to the Troy 11Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 11
-2
98.1%
Xavier Smith run for a loss of 2 yards to the Troy 13Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 13
+5
98.1%
TROY Penalty, offside defense (5 Yards) to the Troy 8Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 8
0
98.1%
Ryan Stanley pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:35
4TH & GOAL
OPP 8
+25
97.5%
Yahia Aly 25 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TROYDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q1 10:35
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-5
97.5%
TROY Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Troy 15Similar
Q1 10:35
1ST & 15
OWN 15
+9
97.5%
Kaleb Barker pass complete to Jabir Daughtry-Frye for 9 yds to the Troy 24Similar
Q1 10:35
2ND & 6
OWN 24
+2
97.5%
Jabir Daughtry-Frye run for 2 yds to the Troy 26Similar
Q1 10:35
3RD & 4
OWN 26
0
97.5%
Kaleb Barker pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:35
4TH & 4
OWN 26
-4
97.5%
Tyler Sumpter punt for 46 yds , Chad Hunter returns for a loss of 4 yards to the FlaAM 22 TROY Penalty, personal foul (-15 Yards) to the FlaAM 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAMUDrive 3PUNT
8 plays · -10 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q1 9:12
1ST & 10
OWN 39
-4
97.2%
Bishop Bonnett run for a loss of 4 yards to the FlaAM 35Similar
Q1 9:12
2ND & 14
OWN 35
+13
97.3%
Ryan Stanley pass complete to Xavier Smith for 13 yds to the FlaAM 48Similar
Q1 9:12
3RD & 1
OWN 48
+2
97.2%
Ryan Stanley run for 2 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:12
1ST & 10
50
-3
97.2%
Deshawn Smith run for a loss of 3 yards to the FlaAM 47Similar
Q1 9:12
2ND & 13
OWN 47
-4
97.3%
Ryan Stanley pass complete to Xavier Smith for a loss of 4 yards to the FlaAM 43Similar
Q1 9:12
3RD & 17
OWN 43
-15
97.3%
STANLEY,Ryan deep pass complete to SMITH,Xavier for 36 yards to the TROY21, PENALTY FAMU pass interference (SMITH,Xavier) 15 yards to the FAMU28, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 9:12
3RD & 32
OWN 28
+1
97.3%
Ricky Henrilus run for 1 yd to the FlaAM 29 FLORIDA A&M Penalty, illegal block ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q1 9:12
4TH & 31
OWN 29
+14
97.3%
Chris Faddoul punt blocked by blocked by Shon Spralling return for 14 yds to the FlaAM 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TROYDrive 4TD
1 play · 2 yds · 0:0097% → 97%
Q1 5:23
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
97.2%
Kaleb Barker run for 2 yds for a TD (Tyler Sumpter KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAMUDrive 5FUMBLE
5 plays · 28 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q1 5:23
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
97.1%
Ricky Henrilus run for 11 yds to the FlaAM 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:23
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+21
97.0%
Ryan Stanley pass complete to Chad Hunter for 21 yds to the Troy 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:23
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+4
96.9%
Ricky Henrilus run for 4 yds to the Troy 39Similar
Q1 5:23
2ND & 6
OPP 39
-6
96.9%
Ryan Stanley sacked for a loss of 6 yards to the Troy 47 Ryan Stanley fumbled, recovered by Troy Rasool Clemons , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TROYDrive 6TD
6 plays · 53 yds · 1:2597% → 98%
Q1 4:12
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+26
97.0%
B.J. Smith run for 26 yds to the FlaAM 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:12
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+10
97.1%
B.J. Smith run for 10 yds to the FlaAM 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:12
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+13
97.1%
B.J. Smith run for 13 yds to the FlaAM 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:20
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+2
97.0%
B.J. Smith run for 2 yds to the FlaAM 2Similar
Q1 2:47
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
97.6%
Kaleb Barker pass complete to Damion Willis for 2 yds for a TD (Tyler Sumpter KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAMUDrive 7INT
4 plays · -2 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q1 2:47
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
97.4%
Xavier Smith run for 8 yds to the FlaAM 33Similar
Q1 2:47
2ND & 2
OWN 33
-10
97.3%
BOWERS,Devin rush left for 7 yards to the FAMU40 (Tyus, Melvin;Whisenhunt, J.), PENALTY FAMU holding (DALTON,Patrick) 10 yards to the FAMU23, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 2:47
2ND & 12
OWN 23
0
97.4%
Ryan Stanley pass intercepted Tron Folsom return for no gain to the FlaAM 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TROYDrive 8TD
3 plays · 33 yds · 0:4698% → 98%
Q1 1:41
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+15
97.5%
Deondre Douglas run for 15 yds to the FlaAM 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:41
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+5
97.5%
Kaleb Barker pass complete to Sidney Davis for 5 yds to the FlaAM 13Similar
Q1 0:55
2ND & 5
OPP 13
+13
98.2%
Kaleb Barker pass complete to Damion Willis for 13 yds for a TD (Tyler Sumpter KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAMUDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 0:552% → 2%
Q1 0:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
98.1%
Deshawn Smith run for no gain to the FlaAM 25Similar
Q1 0:55
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+8
98.1%
Ryan Stanley pass complete to Deshawn Smith for 8 yds to the FlaAM 33Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 2
OWN 33
0
98.1%
Deshawn Smith run for no gain to the FlaAM 33Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 2
OWN 33
0
98.1%
Chris Faddoul punt for 64 yds, downed at the Troy 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TROYDrive 10PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q2 14:00
1ST & 10
OWN 3
0
98.3%
Sawyer Smith pass incomplete to Bret ClarkSimilar
Q2 14:00
2ND & 10
OWN 3
0
98.3%
B.J. Smith run for no gain to the Troy 3Similar
Q2 14:00
3RD & 10
OWN 3
0
98.2%
Sawyer Smith pass incomplete to Deondre Douglas, broken up by Terry JeffersonSimilar
Q2 14:00
4TH & 10
OWN 3
0
98.2%
Tyler Sumpter punt for 50 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAMUDrive 11TD
6 plays · 53 yds · 1:572% → 4%
Q2 12:56
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+4
98.1%
Ryan Stanley pass complete to Chad Hunter for 4 yds to the Troy 49Similar
Q2 12:56
2ND & 6
OPP 49
+17
98.1%
Bishop Bonnett run for 17 yds to the Troy 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:56
1ST & 10
OPP 32
-5
98.0%
STANLEY,Ryan deep pass incomplete to SMITH,Xavier, PENALTY FAMU false start (SMITH,Xavier) 5 yards to the TROY37, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 12:56
1ST & 15
OPP 37
+12
98.2%
Ryan Stanley pass complete to Chad Hunter for 12 yds to the Troy 25Similar
Q2 12:56
2ND & 3
OPP 25
+24
98.0%
Ryan Stanley pass complete to Xavier Smith for 24 yds to the Troy 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:59
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
96.5%
Bishop Bonnett run for 1 yd for a TD (Yahia Aly KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TROYDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · -2 yds · 0:0097% → 97%
Q2 10:59
1ST & 10
OWN 33
-1
97.1%
Jabir Daughtry-Frye run for a loss of 1 yard to the Troy 32Similar
Q2 10:59
2ND & 11
OWN 32
0
97.1%
Kaleb Barker pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:59
3RD & 11
OWN 32
-1
97.0%
Kaleb Barker run for a loss of 1 yard to the Troy 31Similar
Q2 10:59
4TH & 12
OWN 31
0
96.9%
Tyler Sumpter punt for 33 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the FlaAM 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAMUDrive 13FUMBLE
2 plays · -6 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q2 9:18
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-1
96.7%
Ricky Henrilus run for a loss of 1 yard to the FlaAM 35Similar
Q2 9:18
2ND & 11
OWN 35
-2
96.7%
Ricky Henrilus run for a loss of 2 yards to the FlaAM 30 Ricky Henrilus fumbled, forced by Kevin Nixon, recovered by Troy Marcus WebbSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TROYDrive 14TD
4 plays · 30 yds · 1:5097% → 99%
Q2 8:45
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+22
97.1%
Jabir Daughtry-Frye run for 22 yds to the FlaAM 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:45
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+4
97.1%
Jabir Daughtry-Frye run for 4 yds to the FlaAM 4Similar
Q2 8:45
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+1
97.1%
Jabir Daughtry-Frye run for 1 yd to the FlaAM 3Similar
Q2 6:55
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
98.5%
Kaleb Barker pass complete to Deondre Douglas for 3 yds for a TD (Tyler Sumpter KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAMUDrive 15PUNT
7 plays · 21 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q2 6:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+17
98.2%
Ryan Stanley pass complete to Azende Rey for 17 yds to the FlaAM 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:55
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+3
98.1%
Bishop Bonnett run for 3 yds to the FlaAM 45Similar
Q2 6:55
2ND & 7
OWN 45
+1
98.1%
Bishop Bonnett run for 1 yd to the FlaAM 46Similar
Q2 6:55
3RD & 6
OWN 46
0
98.1%
Ryan Stanley pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:55
4TH & 6
OWN 46
+24
98.2%
Chris Faddoul punt for 29 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the TROY 25 FLORIDA A&M Penalty, illegal formation (-5 Yards) to the Troy 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TROYDrive 16TD
5 plays · 70 yds · 1:2299% → 99%
Q2 5:24
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+7
98.6%
Deondre Douglas run for 7 yds to the Troy 37Similar
Q2 5:24
2ND & 3
OWN 37
+5
98.6%
B.J. Smith run for 5 yds to the Troy 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:24
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+55
98.6%
Kaleb Barker run for 55 yds to the FlaAM 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:24
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
0
98.6%
Kaleb Barker pass incomplete to Deondre Douglas, broken up by Blake SimpsonSimilar
Q2 4:02
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
99.4%
B.J. Smith run for 3 yds for a TD (Tyler Sumpter KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAMUDrive 17PUNT
8 plays · 31 yds · 1:520% → 0%
Q2 4:02
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.7%
Ryan Stanley pass incomplete to Kevin NewmanSimilar
Q2 4:02
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+24
99.7%
Devin Bowers run for 24 yds to the FlaAM 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:02
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
99.7%
Ryan Stanley pass complete to Veryl White for no gain to the FlaAM 49Similar
Q2 4:02
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+9
99.7%
Ryan Stanley pass complete to Veryl White for 9 yds to the Troy 42Similar
Q2 4:02
3RD & 1
OPP 42
-2
99.6%
Xavier Smith run for a loss of 2 yards to the Troy 44Similar
Q2 2:10
4TH & 3
OPP 44
0
99.6%
Ryan Stanley punt for 31 yds, downed at the Troy 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TROYDrive 18FG
18 plays · 84 yds · 2:0299% → 100%
Q2 2:02
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+10
99.4%
Kaleb Barker pass complete to Deondre Douglas for 10 yds to the Troy 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:02
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+4
99.4%
Kaleb Barker pass complete to Damion Willis for 4 yds to the Troy 27Similar
Q2 2:02
2ND & 6
OWN 27
0
99.4%
Kaleb Barker pass incomplete to Damion WillisSimilar
Q2 2:02
3RD & 6
OWN 27
+9
99.4%
Kaleb Barker pass complete to Sidney Davis for 9 yds to the Troy 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:02
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
99.5%
Kaleb Barker pass incomplete to Deondre DouglasSimilar
Q2 2:02
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+15
99.4%
Kaleb Barker pass complete to Jabir Daughtry-Frye for 15 yds to the FlaAM 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:49
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+25
99.6%
Kaleb Barker pass complete to Sam Letton for 25 yds to the FlaAM 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:49
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+11
99.6%
Kaleb Barker pass complete to Damion Willis for 11 yds to the FlaAM 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:49
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+2
99.6%
Kaleb Barker pass complete to Damion Willis for 2 yds to the FlaAM 11Similar
Q2 0:27
2ND & 8
OPP 11
-7
99.6%
Kaleb Barker sacked by Terry Jefferson for a loss of 7 yards to the FlaAM 18Similar
Q2 0:23
3RD & 15
OPP 18
+15
99.6%
Barker, Kaleb deep pass incomplete to Douglas, D., PENALTY FAMU pass interference (McKINLEY,Orland) 15 yards to the FAMU3, 1ST DOWN TROY, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 0:23
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
0
99.6%
Kaleb Barker pass incomplete to Damion WillisSimilar
Q2 0:23
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
0
99.6%
Kaleb Barker pass incomplete to Sidney DavisSimilar
Q2 0:23
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
0
99.6%
Kaleb Barker pass incomplete to Damion Willis, broken up by Herman JacksonSimilar
Q2 0:00
4TH & GOAL
OPP 3
+20
99.6%
Tyler Sumpter 20 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TROYDrive 19TD
10 plays · 83 yds · 4:18100% → 100%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+5
99.6%
Kaleb Barker run for 5 yds to the Troy 22Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 22
+7
99.6%
Jabir Daughtry-Frye run for 7 yds to the Troy 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
99.6%
Kaleb Barker pass incomplete to Deondre Douglas, broken up by Jalene DouseSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 29
+36
99.6%
Jabir Daughtry-Frye run for 36 yds to the FlaAM 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+2
99.6%
B.J. Smith run for 2 yds to the FlaAM 33Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 33
+2
99.6%
B.J. Smith run for 2 yds to the FlaAM 31Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 6
OPP 31
-1
99.6%
B.J. Smith run for a loss of 1 yard to the FlaAM 32Similar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 7
OPP 32
+13
99.6%
Kaleb Barker pass complete to Deondre Douglas for 13 yds to the FlaAM 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:42
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+19
99.8%
Kaleb Barker pass complete to Sidney Davis for 19 yds for a TD (Tyler Sumpter KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAMUDrive 20INT TD
6 plays · 13 yds · 1:370% → 0%
Q3 10:42
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.7%
Ryan Stanley pass incomplete to Xavier SmithSimilar
Q3 10:42
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+12
99.8%
Ricky Henrilus run for 12 yds to the FlaAM 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:42
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
99.7%
Ryan Stanley pass incomplete to Marcus WilliamsSimilar
Q3 10:42
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+1
99.7%
Devin Bowers run for 1 yd to the FlaAM 38Similar
Q3 9:05
3RD & 9
OWN 38
+53
99.8%
Ryan Stanley pass intercepted for a TD Tron Folsom return for 53 yds for a TD (Tyler Sumpter KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAMUDrive 21MISSED FG
7 plays · 50 yds · 2:380% → 0%
Q3 9:05
1ST & 10
OWN 19
0
99.8%
Ryan Stanley pass incomplete to Chad HunterSimilar
Q3 9:05
2ND & 10
OWN 19
+53
99.8%
Ryan Stanley pass complete to Marcus Williams for 53 yds to the Troy 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:05
1ST & 10
OPP 28
-2
99.8%
Deshawn Smith run for a loss of 2 yards to the Troy 30Similar
Q3 9:05
2ND & 12
OPP 30
0
99.8%
Ryan Stanley pass incomplete to Deshawn SmithSimilar
Q3 9:05
3RD & 12
OPP 30
-1
99.8%
Deshawn Smith run for a loss of 1 yard to the Troy 31Similar
Q3 6:27
4TH & 13
OPP 31
+48
99.8%
Yahia Aly 48 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TROYDrive 22PUNT
7 plays · 7 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q3 6:27
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
99.8%
Sawyer Smith pass incomplete to Sam Letton, broken up by Blake SimpsonSimilar
Q3 6:27
2ND & 10
OWN 31
+8
99.8%
B.J. Smith run for 8 yds to the Troy 39Similar
Q3 6:27
3RD & 2
OWN 39
+3
99.8%
Sawyer Smith run for 3 yds to the Troy 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:27
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-5
99.8%
Sawyer Smith sacked by Azende Rey and Joshua Curry for a loss of 5 yards to the Troy 37Similar
Q3 6:27
2ND & 15
OWN 37
+1
99.8%
B.J. Smith run for 1 yd to the Troy 38Similar
Q3 6:27
3RD & 14
OWN 38
0
99.8%
Sawyer Smith pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 6:27
4TH & 14
OWN 38
0
99.8%
Tyler Sumpter punt for 48 yds, downed at the FlaAM 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAMUDrive 23PUNT
6 plays · -8 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 3:20
1ST & 10
OWN 14
-5
99.9%
FLORIDA A&M Penalty, substitution infraction (-5 Yards) to the FlaAM 9Similar
Q3 3:20
1ST & 15
OWN 9
+2
99.9%
Bishop Bonnett run for 2 yds to the FlaAM 11Similar
Q3 3:20
2ND & 13
OWN 11
-5
99.9%
STANLEY,Ryan sideline pass complete to VEARGIS,Blake for 12 yards to the FAMU23, PENALTY FAMU ineligible downfield on pass 5 yards to the FAMU6, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 3:20
2ND & 18
OWN 6
0
99.9%
Ryan Stanley pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:20
3RD & 18
OWN 6
0
99.9%
Ryan Stanley pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:20
4TH & 18
OWN 6
0
99.9%
Chris Faddoul punt for 41 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the FlaAM 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TROYDrive 24TD
8 plays · 47 yds · 3:46100% → 100%
Q3 2:18
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+2
99.9%
Dk Billingsly run for 2 yds to the FlaAM 45Similar
Q3 2:18
2ND & 8
OPP 45
+6
99.9%
Sawyer Smith pass complete to Tray Eafford for 6 yds to the FlaAM 39Similar
Q3 2:18
3RD & 2
OPP 39
+1
99.9%
Dk Billingsly run for 1 yd to the FlaAM 38Similar
Q3 2:18
4TH & 1
OPP 38
+5
99.9%
Dk Billingsly run for 5 yds to the FlaAM 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:18
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+3
99.9%
Sawyer Smith pass complete to Richard Hallman for 3 yds to the FlaAM 30Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 30
+1
99.9%
Sawyer Smith run for 1 yd to the FlaAM 29Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 6
OPP 29
+13
99.9%
Sawyer Smith run for 13 yds to the FlaAM 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:32
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+16
99.9%
Sawyer Smith pass complete to Tray Eafford for 16 yds for a TD (Tyler Sumpter KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAMUDrive 25PUNT
8 plays · 12 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 13:32
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
100.0%
Rasean Mckay pass complete to Blake Veargis for 4 yds to the FlaAM 29Similar
Q4 13:32
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+16
99.9%
Deshawn Smith run for 16 yds to the FlaAM 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:32
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+3
99.9%
Ricky Henrilus run for 3 yds to the FlaAM 48Similar
Q4 13:32
2ND & 7
OWN 48
-6
100.0%
Rasean Mckay sacked by Antonio Showers for a loss of 6 yards to the FlaAM 42 Rasean Mckay fumbled, recovered by FlaAM Rasean Mckay , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q4 13:32
3RD & 13
OWN 42
0
100.0%
Rasean Mckay pass incomplete to Ricky HenrilusSimilar
Q4 13:32
4TH & 13
OWN 42
-5
100.0%
FLORIDA A&M Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the FlaAM 37Similar
Q4 13:32
4TH & 18
OWN 37
0
100.0%
Chris Faddoul punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Marcus Jones at the Troy 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TROYDrive 26DOWNS
11 plays · 40 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 11:02
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+8
99.9%
Gunnar Watson pass complete to Luke Whittemore for 8 yds to the Troy 34Similar
Q4 11:02
2ND & 2
OWN 34
0
99.9%
Gunnar Watson pass complete to Luke Whittemore for no gain to the Troy 34Similar
Q4 11:02
3RD & 2
OWN 34
+3
99.9%
Dk Billingsly run for 3 yds to the Troy 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:02
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+3
99.9%
Dk Billingsly run for 3 yds to the Troy 40Similar
Q4 11:02
2ND & 7
OWN 40
+11
99.9%
Dk Billingsly run for 11 yds to the FlaAM 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:02
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+5
99.9%
Gunnar Watson pass complete to Dk Billingsly for 5 yds to the FlaAM 44Similar
Q4 11:02
2ND & 5
OPP 44
+6
99.9%
Gunnar Watson pass complete to Richard Hallman for 6 yds to the FlaAM 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:02
1ST & 10
OPP 38
-2
99.9%
Gunnar Watson sacked by - 59 for a loss of 2 yards to the FlaAM 40Similar
Q4 11:02
2ND & 12
OPP 40
+6
99.9%
Dk Billingsly run for 6 yds to the FlaAM 34Similar
Q4 11:02
3RD & 6
OPP 34
0
99.9%
Dk Billingsly run for no gain to the FlaAM 34Similar
Q4 11:02
4TH & 6
OPP 34
0
99.9%
Gunnar Watson pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAMUDrive 27PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 5:00
1ST & 10
OWN 34
-2
100.0%
Eddie Tillman run for a loss of 2 yards to the FlaAM 32Similar
Q4 5:00
2ND & 12
OWN 32
+7
100.0%
Rasean Mckay pass complete to Andrew Davis for 7 yds to the FlaAM 39Similar
Q4 5:00
3RD & 5
OWN 39
0
100.0%
Rasean Mckay pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 5:00
4TH & 5
OWN 39
0
100.0%
Chris Faddoul punt for 47 yds, downed at the Troy 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TROYDrive 28PUNT
7 plays · 24 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 3:47
1ST & 10
OWN 14
0
100.0%
Gunnar Watson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 3:47
2ND & 10
OWN 14
+31
100.0%
Dk Billingsly run for 31 yds to the Troy 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:47
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+1
100.0%
Gunnar Watson pass complete to Terence Dunlap for 1 yd to the Troy 46Similar
Q4 3:47
2ND & 9
OWN 46
+2
100.0%
Dk Billingsly run for 2 yds to the Troy 48Similar
Q4 3:47
3RD & 7
OWN 48
-10
100.0%
Billingsly, DK rush left for 5 yards to the FAMU47 (DOUSE,Jalene), PENALTY TROY holding (Hudson, Bubba) 10 yards to the TROY38, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 3:47
3RD & 17
OWN 38
0
100.0%
Gunnar Watson pass incomplete to Dk BillingslySimilar
Q4 3:47
4TH & 17
OWN 38
0
100.0%
Evan Legassey punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Orlando McKinley at the FlaAM 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAMUDrive 29END OF GAME
2 plays · 1 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 0:50
1ST & 10
OWN 26
-2
100.0%
Rasean Mckay sacked by Antonio Showers for a loss of 2 yards to the FlaAM 24Similar
Q4 0:50
2ND & 12
OWN 24
+3
100.0%
Eddie Tillman run for 3 yds to the FlaAM 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 10:59
Bishop Bonnett run for 1 yd for a TD (Yahia Aly KICK)
-1.5
TD · Q2 6:55
Kaleb Barker pass complete to Deondre Douglas for 3 yds for a TD (Tyler Sumpter KICK)
+1.4
TD · Q2 4:02
B.J. Smith run for 3 yds for a TD (Tyler Sumpter KICK)
+0.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com