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TXSO

Texas Southern 20 at Texas State 36

TXST
2018 · Week 2 · Sep 8, 2018 · Bobcat Stadium (TX)
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Win probability · TXST
modelTXST aheadTXSO aheadconfidence bandkey playTXST scoreTXSO score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGFGTDFGFGFUMBLETDTDTDTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 5:26 · Clayton Stewart punt for 25 yds
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+48.0+24.00−24.0−48.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 70Pregame prior+37.5Home team on offense+11.0Score differential+5.5Garbage-time factor+2.9Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+1.5Blowout margin−0.5
This game in five plays
  1. FUMBLE · Q3 8:02: Jay Christophe pass complete to Brad Woodard for 8 yds for a TD Brad Woodard fumbled, forced by Bryan Londonii, recovered by TexSt A.J. Krawczyk , return for 82 yds — TXST win probability +2.3 pts (now 99%) (top driver: TXSO has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 7:03: Jay Christophe pass complete to Tren'Davian Dickson for 75 yds for a TD (Aaron Cuevas KICK) — TXSO win probability +2.2 pts (now 3%) (top driver: TXSO has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 13:33: Jay Christophe pass complete to Tren'Davian Dickson for 11 yds for a TD (Aaron Cuevas KICK) — TXSO win probability +5.7 pts (now 9%) (top driver: TXSO has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 11:18: Anthonyd Taylor run for 1 yd for a TD (James Sherman KICK) — TXST win probability +4.0 pts (now 99%) (top driver: TXST has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 9:00: Jay Christophe pass complete to Chris Long for 16 yds for a TD (Aaron Cuevas PAT MISSED) — TXSO win probability +1.8 pts (now 4%) (top driver: TXSO has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
TXST made the numbers' call on 6 of 9TXSO made the numbers' call on 5 of 9
  1. Q1 15:00TXSO 4th & 8 at TXSO 27, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.4%−0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.5%
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:28TXST 4th & 5 at TXSO 19, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 97.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.9%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    97.0%
    77% to make
    Punt
    96.5%−0.4
    average punt
  3. Q1 10:28TXSO 4th & 9 at TXSO 26, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.9%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.0%
    average punt
  4. Q1 8:16TXST 4th & 11 at TXSO 28, up 3
    Close callPunted · 96.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.5%−0.1
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    96.6%
    60% to make
    PuntTheir call
    96.3%−0.3
    average punt
  5. Q2 12:38TXST 4th & 6 at TXSO 17, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 94.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.2%−0.1
    38% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    94.3%
    80% to make
    Punt
    93.6%−0.7
    average punt
  6. Q2 10:42TXSO 4th & 6 at TXST 36, down 6
    Close callPunted · 5.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.8%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    5.7%−0.1
    42% to make
    PuntTheir call
    5.6%−0.2
    average punt
  7. Q2 6:21TXSO 4th & 10 at TXSO 13, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.9%−0.3
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.2%
    average punt
  8. Q2 5:26TXST 4th & 6 at TXSO 36, up 13
    Close callPunted · 96.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.9%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    95.7%−0.2
    42% to make
    PuntTheir call
    95.6%−0.3
    average punt
  9. Q2 0:55TXSO 4th & 5 at TXSO 26, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.2%−0.3
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.5%
    average punt
  10. Q2 0:16TXST 4th & 15 at TXSO 24, up 13
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 95.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.1%−0.6
    16% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    95.6%
    68% to make
    Punt
    94.5%−1.2
    average punt
  11. Q3 10:10TXST 4th & 5 at TXSO 24, up 16
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 96.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.9%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    95.9%
    68% to make
    Punt
    94.1%−1.8
    average punt
  12. Q3 5:49TXST 4th & 7 at TXST 13, up 19
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 97.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.6%−0.3
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.8%
    average punt
  13. Q3 5:05TXSO 4th & 6 at midfield, down 19
    Close callPunted · 3.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.1%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.1%−<0.1
    average punt
  14. Q3 0:13TXST 4th & 6 at TXSO 33, up 19
    Close callKicked a field goal · 98.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.4%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    98.3%−0.1
    49% to make
    Punt
    98.0%−0.4
    average punt
  15. Q4 9:00TXSO 4th & 1 at TXST 16, down 19
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 2.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    2.0%−0.4
    81% to make
    Punt
    0.1%−2.2
    average punt
  16. Q4 6:35TXSO 4th & 7 at TXSO 35, down 13
    Close callPunted · 4.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.1%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.9%−0.2
    average punt
  17. Q4 2:57TXST 4th & 6 at TXSO 6, up 13
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 97.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.8%−0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    96.9%
    91% to make
    Punt
    94.7%−2.3
    average punt
  18. Q4 2:52TXSO 4th & 6 at TXSO 21, down 16
    Close callPunted · 2.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.1%
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.0%−0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
TXST made the numbers' call on 1 of 2TXSO made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q2 6:33TXST Touchdown, up 12 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q3 7:03TXSO Touchdown, down 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    1.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    1.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q4 13:33TXSO Touchdown, down 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    4.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    4.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 11:18TXST Touchdown, up 18 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.3%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.4%
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 9:00TXSO Touchdown, down 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    4.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    4.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
TXSODrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
98.0%
Brad Woodard run for 2 yds to the TexSo 27Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
98.0%
Brad Woodard run for no gain to the TexSo 27Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 8
OWN 27
0
98.0%
Jay Christophe pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 8
OWN 27
+14
98.0%
Donald Halstead punt for 37 yds , Hutch White returns for 14 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TXSTDrive 2FG
8 plays · 31 yds · 3:0298% → 98%
Q1 13:30
1ST & 10
50
+13
97.8%
Willie Jonesiii pass complete to Keenen Brown for 13 yds to the TexSo 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:30
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+5
97.8%
Willie Jonesiii pass complete to Keenen Brown for 5 yds to the TexSo 32Similar
Q1 13:30
2ND & 5
OPP 32
+8
97.8%
Jaylen Gipson pass complete to Tyler Watts for 8 yds to the TexSo 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:30
1ST & 10
OPP 24
-10
97.8%
Taylor,AnthonyD rush over left end for 3 yards to the TSU21 (White,Jimmy;Murray,Joshua), PENALTY TXST holding (Heitmeirer,Tate) 10 yards to the TSU34, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 13:30
1ST & 20
OPP 34
+3
97.8%
Willie Jonesiii run for 3 yds to the TexSo 31Similar
Q1 13:30
2ND & 17
OPP 31
+8
97.8%
Willie Jonesiii pass complete to Keenen Brown for 8 yds to the TexSo 23Similar
Q1 13:30
3RD & 9
OPP 23
+4
97.8%
Willie Jonesiii run for 4 yds to the TexSo 19Similar
Q1 10:28
4TH & 5
OPP 19
+36
97.5%
James Sherman 36 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TXSODrive 3PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q1 10:28
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
97.5%
Brad Woodard run for 4 yds to the TexSo 29Similar
Q1 10:28
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+2
97.4%
Brad Woodard run for 2 yds to the TexSo 31Similar
Q1 10:28
3RD & 4
OWN 31
-5
97.5%
Jay Christophe sacked by Kingsley Onyirioha for a loss of 5 yards to the TexSo 26Similar
Q1 10:28
4TH & 9
OWN 26
+23
97.5%
Donald Halstead punt for 40 yds , Hutch White returns for 23 yds to the TexSo 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TXSTDrive 4PUNT
7 plays · 15 yds · 0:0097% → 97%
Q1 8:16
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+3
97.2%
Willie Jonesiii pass complete to T.J. Bedford for 3 yds to the TexSo 40Similar
Q1 8:16
2ND & 7
OPP 40
-2
97.2%
Willie Jonesiii run for a loss of 2 yards to the TexSo 42Similar
Q1 8:16
3RD & 9
OPP 42
+15
97.2%
JonesIII,Willie PA pass incomplete to Haydel,Jeremiah (Stevenson,Matth), PENALTY TSU pass interference (Murray,Joshua) 15 yards to the TSU27, 1ST DOWN TXST, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 8:16
1ST & 10
OPP 27
-2
97.2%
Jah'Marae Sheread run for a loss of 2 yards to the TexSo 29Similar
Q1 8:16
2ND & 12
OPP 29
+1
97.2%
Caleb Twyford run for 1 yd to the TexSo 28Similar
Q1 8:16
3RD & 11
OPP 28
0
97.2%
Willie Jonesiii run for no gain to the TexSo 28Similar
Q1 8:16
4TH & 11
OPP 28
0
97.1%
Clayton Stewart punt for 18 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TXSODrive 5PUNT
7 plays · 32 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q1 5:20
1ST & 10
OWN 10
0
96.7%
Terio Brown run for no gain to the TexSo 10Similar
Q1 5:20
2ND & 10
OWN 10
+9
96.7%
Jay Christophe run for 9 yds to the TexSo 19Similar
Q1 5:20
3RD & 1
OWN 19
+15
96.7%
Anton Faaeteete run for 15 yds to the TexSo 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:20
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+1
96.7%
Jay Christophe run for 1 yd to the TexSo 35Similar
Q1 5:20
2ND & 9
OWN 35
-3
96.7%
Jay Christophe pass complete to Terio Brown for a loss of 3 yards Terio Brown fumbled, forced by Bryan Londonii, for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:20
1ST & 10
OPP 47
-11
96.6%
Jay Christophe pass complete to Tariq Buchanan for a loss of 11 yards to the TexSo 42Similar
Q1 5:20
2ND & 21
OWN 42
0
96.7%
Tony Upchurch punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Hutch White at the TexSt 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TXSTDrive 6FG
11 plays · 57 yds · 3:4096% → 96%
Q1 1:18
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
95.8%
Willie Jonesiii pass complete to Tyler Watts for no gain to the TexSt 26Similar
Q1 1:18
2ND & 10
OWN 26
0
95.8%
Willie Jonesiii pass incomplete to Jeremiah HaydelSimilar
Q1 1:18
3RD & 10
OWN 26
+20
95.7%
Willie Jonesiii pass complete to Tyler Watts for 20 yds to the TexSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:18
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+5
96.0%
Willie Jonesiii pass complete to Tyler Watts for 5 yds to the TexSo 49Similar
Q1 1:18
2ND & 5
OPP 49
+18
96.0%
Willie Jonesiii run for 18 yds to the TexSo 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 31
-4
95.8%
Willie Jonesiii run for a loss of 4 yards to the TexSo 35Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 14
OPP 35
+14
95.7%
Willie Jonesiii run for 14 yds to the TexSo 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+1
95.8%
Robert Brownjr run for 1 yd to the TexSo 20Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 20
+3
95.8%
Javen Banks run for 3 yds to the TexSo 17Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 6
OPP 17
0
95.7%
Willie Jonesiii pass incomplete to T.J. BedfordSimilar
Q2 12:38
4TH & 6
OPP 17
+35
95.7%
James Sherman 35 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TXSODrive 7PUNT
11 plays · 29 yds · 1:565% → 5%
Q2 12:38
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+7
95.3%
Jay Christophe pass complete to Tariq Buchanan for 7 yds to the TexSo 42Similar
Q2 12:38
2ND & 3
OWN 42
+4
95.1%
Brad Woodard run for 4 yds to the TexSo 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:38
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+3
95.1%
Brad Woodard run for 3 yds to the TexSo 49Similar
Q2 12:38
2ND & 7
OWN 49
0
95.1%
Jay Christophe pass incomplete to Tariq Buchanan, broken up by Kordell RodgersSimilar
Q2 10:42
3RD & 7
OWN 49
+11
95.2%
Christophe,Jay sideline pass incomplete to Dickson,Trendav (Rodgers,Kordell), PENALTY TXST pass interference (Rodgers,Kordell) 11 yards to the TXST40, 1ST DOWN TSU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 10:42
1ST & 10
OPP 40
-1
95.0%
Kevin Dove run for a loss of 1 yard to the TexSt 41Similar
Q2 10:42
2ND & 11
OPP 41
+5
95.1%
Jay Christophe pass complete to Tren'Davian Dickson for 5 yds to the TexSt 36Similar
Q2 10:42
3RD & 6
OPP 36
0
95.1%
Jay Christophe pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:42
4TH & 6
OPP 36
0
95.2%
Tony Upchurch punt for 24 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the TexSt 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TXSTDrive 8TD
6 plays · 88 yds · 2:2995% → 97%
Q2 9:02
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+5
95.2%
Anthonyd Taylor run for 5 yds to the TexSt 17Similar
Q2 9:02
2ND & 5
OWN 17
+9
95.2%
Willie Jonesiii pass complete to Keenen Brown for 9 yds to the TexSt 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:02
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+18
95.3%
Anthonyd Taylor run for 18 yds to the TexSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:02
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+3
95.5%
Anthonyd Taylor run for 3 yds to the TexSt 47Similar
Q2 9:02
2ND & 7
OWN 47
+7
95.5%
Willie Jonesiii run for 7 yds to the TexSo 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:33
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+46
96.9%
Willie Jonesiii pass complete to Keenen Brown for 46 yds for a TD Sherman,James kick attempt failed, PENALTY TSU roughing the kicker (Jones,Sean) 2 yards to the TSU1, NO PLAY. (James Sherman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TXSODrive 9PUNT
6 plays · 0 yds · 0:044% → 3%
Q2 6:25
1ST & 10
OWN 13
0
96.5%
Jay Christophe pass incomplete to Tren'Davian DicksonSimilar
Q2 6:21
2ND & 10
OWN 13
0
96.5%
Brad Woodard run for no gain to the TexSo 13Similar
Q2 6:21
3RD & 10
OWN 13
0
96.6%
Jay Christophe pass incomplete to Brad WoodardSimilar
Q2 6:21
4TH & 10
OWN 13
0
96.6%
Tony Upchurch punt for 27 yds, fair catch by Hutch White at the TexSo 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TXSTDrive 10PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:0097% → 97%
Q2 5:26
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+3
96.9%
Willie Jonesiii run for 3 yds to the TexSo 37Similar
Q2 5:26
2ND & 7
OPP 37
+1
96.9%
Caleb Twyford run for 1 yd to the TexSo 36Similar
Q2 5:26
3RD & 6
OPP 36
0
96.8%
Willie Jonesiii pass incomplete to Jah'Marae ShereadSimilar
Q2 5:26
4TH & 6
OPP 36
0
96.7%
Clayton Stewart punt for 25 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TXSODrive 11PUNT
9 plays · 15 yds · 3:254% → 4%
Q2 4:20
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+4
96.4%
Tylor Cook run for 4 yds to the TexSo 15Similar
Q2 3:35
2ND & 6
OWN 15
-3
96.1%
Kevin Dove run for a loss of 3 yards to the TexSo 12Similar
Q2 3:35
3RD & 9
OWN 12
+9
96.2%
Jay Christophe pass complete to Tariq Buchanan for 9 yds to the TexSo 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:35
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+4
96.1%
Jay Christophe pass complete to Tariq Buchanan for 4 yds to the TexSo 25Similar
Q2 3:35
2ND & 6
OWN 25
+1
96.0%
Tylor Cook run for 1 yd to the TexSo 26Similar
Q2 0:55
3RD & 5
OWN 26
0
95.8%
Jay Christophe pass incomplete to Tren'Davian DicksonSimilar
Q2 0:55
4TH & 5
OWN 26
+42
95.9%
Tony Upchurch punt for 32 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the TEXSTATE 42 TEXAS STATE Penalty, Offensive holding (10 Yards) to the TexSt 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TXSTDrive 12FG
6 plays · 44 yds · 0:2897% → 97%
Q2 0:44
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+49
96.5%
Willie Jonesiii pass complete to Jeremiah Haydel for 49 yds to the TexSo 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:44
1ST & 10
OPP 19
-16
96.9%
Willie Jonesiii sacked by Sean Jones for a loss of 16 yards to the TexSo 35Similar
Q2 0:30
2ND & 26
OPP 35
+11
96.5%
Willie Jonesiii pass complete to Caleb Twyford for 11 yds to the TexSo 24Similar
Q2 0:30
3RD & 15
OPP 24
0
96.4%
Willie Jonesiii pass incomplete to Caleb TwyfordSimilar
Q2 0:16
4TH & 15
OPP 24
+41
97.0%
James Sherman 41 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TXSODrive 13END OF HALF
2 plays · -2 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q2 0:16
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
96.8%
Team run for a loss of 2 yards to the TexSo 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TXSTDrive 14FG
13 plays · 46 yds · 4:4497% → 98%
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+7
96.5%
Anthonyd Taylor run for 7 yds to the TexSt 37Similar
Q3 14:54
2ND & 3
OWN 37
-5
96.6%
TEXAS STATE Penalty, false start (Tate Heitmeier) to the TexSt 32Similar
Q3 14:54
2ND & 8
OWN 32
+6
96.5%
Willie Jonesiii run for 6 yds to the TexSt 38Similar
Q3 14:54
3RD & 2
OWN 38
+3
96.5%
Anthonyd Taylor run for 3 yds to the TexSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+4
96.6%
Anthonyd Taylor run for 4 yds to the TexSt 45Similar
Q3 14:54
2ND & 6
OWN 45
+5
96.6%
Willie Jonesiii pass complete to Elijah Rogers for 5 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 14:54
3RD & 1
50
+10
96.5%
Willie Jonesiii run for 10 yds to the TexSo 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+11
96.6%
Willie Jonesiii run for 11 yds to the TexSo 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+2
96.7%
Anthonyd Taylor run for 2 yds to the TexSo 27Similar
Q3 14:54
2ND & 8
OPP 27
+3
96.7%
Willie Jonesiii pass complete to Hutch White for 3 yds to the TexSo 24Similar
Q3 14:54
3RD & 5
OPP 24
0
96.5%
Willie Jonesiii pass incomplete to Jeremiah Haydel, broken up by Joshua MurraySimilar
Q3 10:10
4TH & 5
OPP 24
+41
98.1%
James Sherman 41 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TXSODrive 15FUMBLE TD
7 plays · 57 yds · 2:083% → 1%
Q3 10:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
97.3%
Jay Christophe pass complete to Tariq Buchanan for 8 yds to the TexSo 33Similar
Q3 10:10
2ND & 2
OWN 33
0
97.0%
Brad Woodard run for no gain to the TexSo 33Similar
Q3 10:10
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+41
97.1%
Jay Christophe pass complete to Roylain Oliver for 41 yds to the TexSt 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:10
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
96.6%
Jay Christophe pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 10:10
2ND & 10
OPP 26
0
96.7%
Jay Christophe pass incomplete to Roylain Oliver, broken up by Josh NewmanSimilar
Q3 8:02
3RD & 10
OPP 26
+82
99.0%
Jay Christophe pass complete to Brad Woodard for 8 yds for a TD Brad Woodard fumbled, forced by Bryan Londonii, recovered by TexSt A.J. Krawczyk , return for 82 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TXSODrive 16TD
4 plays · 75 yds · 0:590% → 3%
Q3 8:02
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.6%
Jay Christophe pass incomplete to Tren'Davian DicksonSimilar
Q3 8:02
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
99.6%
Terio Brown run for no gain to the TexSo 25Similar
Q3 7:03
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+75
97.4%
Jay Christophe pass complete to Tren'Davian Dickson for 75 yds for a TD (Aaron Cuevas KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TXSTDrive 17PUNT
6 plays · 3 yds · 1:0598% → 97%
Q3 6:54
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+6
98.2%
Anthonyd Taylor run for 6 yds to the TexSt 16Similar
Q3 6:54
2ND & 4
OWN 16
+1
98.2%
Anthonyd Taylor run for 1 yd to the TexSt 17Similar
Q3 5:49
3RD & 3
OWN 17
-4
97.8%
Willie Jonesiii run for a loss of 4 yards to the TexSt 13Similar
Q3 5:49
4TH & 7
OWN 13
0
97.3%
Clayton Stewart punt for 41 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the TexSo 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TXSODrive 18PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q3 5:05
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+4
96.7%
Jay Christophe pass complete to Tylor Cook for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 5:05
2ND & 6
50
0
96.6%
Jay Christophe pass incomplete to Tariq Buchanan, broken up by Kingsley OnyiriohaSimilar
Q3 5:05
3RD & 6
50
0
96.7%
Jay Christophe pass incomplete to Tren'Davian DicksonSimilar
Q3 5:05
4TH & 6
50
0
96.7%
Tony Upchurch punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Hutch White at the TexSt 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TXSTDrive 19MISSED FG
13 plays · 56 yds · 4:0398% → 98%
Q3 4:16
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+12
97.8%
Caleb Twyford run for 12 yds to the TexSt 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:16
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+6
97.9%
Caleb Twyford run for 6 yds to the TexSt 29Similar
Q3 4:16
2ND & 4
OWN 29
+2
97.9%
Willie Jonesiii pass complete to Keenen Brown for 2 yds to the TexSt 31Similar
Q3 4:16
3RD & 2
OWN 31
+4
97.9%
Anthonyd Taylor run for 4 yds to the TexSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:16
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
97.9%
Willie Jonesiii pass incomplete to T.J. Bedford, broken up by Matth StevensonSimilar
Q3 4:16
2ND & 10
OWN 35
0
97.9%
Willie Jonesiii pass incomplete to Keenen BrownSimilar
Q3 4:16
3RD & 10
OWN 35
+25
97.9%
Willie Jonesiii run for 25 yds to the TexSo 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:16
1ST & 10
OPP 40
-10
98.1%
Willie Jonesiii run for no gain to the TexSt 40 TEXAS STATE Penalty, illegal block (-10 Yards) to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 4:16
1ST & 10
50
+13
98.1%
Caleb Twyford run for 23 yds to the TEXSTATE 27 for a 1ST down TEXAS STATE Penalty, illegal block (T.J. Bedford) to the TexSo 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:16
1ST & 10
OWN 0
+4
97.5%
Caleb Twyford run for 4 yds to the TexSo 33 TEXAS SOUTHERN Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct off-setting ( Yards) to the TexSo 33Similar
Q3 4:16
2ND & 6
OPP 33
0
98.1%
Willie Jonesiii pass complete to Javen Banks for no gain to the TexSo 33Similar
Q3 4:16
3RD & 6
OPP 33
0
98.0%
Willie Jonesiii pass incomplete to Caleb TwyfordSimilar
Q3 0:13
4TH & 6
OPP 33
+50
98.3%
James Sherman 50 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TXSODrive 20TD
8 plays · 67 yds · 1:403% → 9%
Q3 0:13
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+31
97.1%
Jay Christophe pass complete to Tariq Buchanan for 31 yds to the TexSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
97.0%
Jay Christophe pass complete to Tren'Davian Dickson for no gain to the TexSt 36Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 36
0
97.0%
Jay Christophe pass incomplete to Tren'Davian Dickson, broken up by Kordell RodgersSimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 10
OPP 36
+14
97.1%
Christophe,Jay CU pass incomplete to Dickson,Trendav, PENALTY TXST pass interference (Krawczyk,AJ) 14 yards to the TXST22, 1ST DOWN TSU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
96.5%
Jay Christophe pass incomplete to Roylain OliverSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 22
+9
96.7%
Jay Christophe pass complete to Tren'Davian Dickson for 9 yds to the TexSt 13Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 13
+2
96.8%
Kevin Dove run for 2 yds to the TexSt 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:33
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+11
91.1%
Jay Christophe pass complete to Tren'Davian Dickson for 11 yds for a TD (Aaron Cuevas KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TXSTDrive 21TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 2:1594% → 99%
Q4 13:33
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
94.3%
Robert Brownjr run for 8 yds to the TexSt 33Similar
Q4 13:33
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+10
94.5%
Robert Brownjr run for 10 yds to the TexSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:33
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+25
94.9%
Willie Jonesiii pass complete to Keenen Brown for 25 yds to the TexSo 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:33
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
95.0%
Robert Brownjr run for no gain to the TexSo 32Similar
Q4 13:33
2ND & 10
OPP 32
0
95.0%
Willie Jonesiii pass incomplete to Jeremiah HaydelSimilar
Q4 13:33
3RD & 10
OPP 32
+31
94.8%
Willie Jonesiii pass complete to T.J. Graham for 31 yds to the TexSo 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:18
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
98.8%
Anthonyd Taylor run for 1 yd for a TD (James Sherman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TXSODrive 22TD
8 plays · 84 yds · 2:132% → 4%
Q4 11:13
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+10
97.7%
Jay Christophe pass complete to Tren'Davian Dickson for 10 yds to the TexSo 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:13
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+49
97.7%
Jay Christophe pass complete to Tren'Davian Dickson for 49 yds to the TexSt 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:13
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
97.0%
Jay Christophe pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:13
2ND & 10
OPP 25
0
97.1%
Jay Christophe pass incomplete to Tariq BuchananSimilar
Q4 11:13
3RD & 10
OPP 25
+9
97.4%
Jay Christophe pass complete to Brad Woodard for 9 yds to the TexSt 16Similar
Q4 9:00
4TH & 1
OPP 16
+16
95.7%
Jay Christophe pass complete to Chris Long for 16 yds for a TD (Aaron Cuevas PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TXSTDrive 23FUMBLE
5 plays · 33 yds · 0:0097% → 98%
Q4 9:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+23
97.2%
Willie Jonesiii run for 23 yds to the TexSo 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:00
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+7
97.5%
Anthonyd Taylor run for 7 yds to the TexSo 35Similar
Q4 9:00
2ND & 3
OPP 35
+3
97.5%
Anthonyd Taylor run for 3 yds to the TexSo 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:00
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
97.5%
Anthonyd Taylor run for no gain to the TexSo 32 Anthonyd Taylor fumbled, recovered by TexSo Demontario AndersonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TXSODrive 24PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:494% → 3%
Q4 7:24
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
96.3%
Jay Christophe pass incomplete to Tariq BuchananSimilar
Q4 7:24
2ND & 10
OWN 32
+3
96.6%
Jay Christophe pass complete to Roylain Oliver for 3 yds to the TexSo 35Similar
Q4 6:35
3RD & 7
OWN 35
0
96.6%
Jay Christophe pass incomplete to Tren'Davian DicksonSimilar
Q4 6:35
4TH & 7
OWN 35
0
97.0%
Tony Upchurch punt for 28 yds, fair catch by Hutch White at the TexSt 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TXSTDrive 25FG
10 plays · 57 yds · 3:2598% → 99%
Q4 6:22
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+9
98.0%
Robert Brownjr run for 9 yds to the TexSt 46Similar
Q4 6:22
2ND & 1
OWN 46
+5
98.2%
Robert Brownjr run for 5 yds to the TexSo 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:22
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+2
98.1%
Robert Brownjr run for 2 yds to the TexSo 47Similar
Q4 6:22
2ND & 8
OPP 47
+9
98.1%
Willie Jonesiii run for 9 yds to the TexSo 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:22
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+12
98.2%
Robert Brownjr run for 12 yds to the TexSo 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:22
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+19
98.2%
Robert Brownjr run for 19 yds to the TexSo 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:22
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+1
98.2%
Robert Brownjr run for 1 yd to the TexSo 6Similar
Q4 6:22
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
0
98.2%
Willie Jonesiii pass incomplete to Hutch WhiteSimilar
Q4 6:22
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
0
98.2%
Willie Jonesiii pass incomplete to Hutch WhiteSimilar
Q4 2:57
4TH & GOAL
OPP 6
+23
98.7%
James Sherman 23 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TXSODrive 26PUNT
6 plays · 4 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q4 2:52
1ST & 10
OWN 17
-5
98.1%
Christophe,Jay CU pass complete to Oliver,Roylain for 15 yards to the TSU32 (Rodgers,Kordell), PENALTY TSU illegal motion 5 yards to the TSU12, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 2:52
1ST & 15
OWN 12
0
98.2%
Jay Christophe pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:52
2ND & 15
OWN 12
+9
98.2%
Jay Christophe pass complete to Tariq Buchanan for 9 yds to the TexSo 21Similar
Q4 2:52
3RD & 6
OWN 21
0
98.2%
Jay Christophe pass incomplete to Chris Long, broken up by Anthonyj TaylorSimilar
Q4 2:52
4TH & 6
OWN 21
-8
98.2%
Tony Upchurch punt for 29 yds , Hutch White returns for a loss of 8 yards to the TexSt 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TXSTDrive 27END OF GAME
2 plays · 18 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q4 1:29
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+6
98.9%
Robert Brownjr run for 6 yds to the TexSt 48Similar
Q4 1:29
2ND & 4
OWN 48
+12
98.9%
Robert Brownjr run for 12 yds to the TexSo 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 13:33
Jay Christophe pass complete to Tren'Davian Dickson for 11 yds for a TD (Aaron Cuevas KICK)
-5.7
TD · Q4 11:18
Anthonyd Taylor run for 1 yd for a TD (James Sherman KICK)
+4
FUMBLE · Q3 8:02
Jay Christophe pass complete to Brad Woodard for 8 yds for a TD Brad Woodard fumbled, forced by Bryan Londonii, recovered by TexSt A.J. Krawczyk , return for 82 yds
+2.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com