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M-OH

Miami (OH) 41 at Akron 17

AKR
2018 · Week 6 · Oct 6, 2018 · InfoCision Stadium
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Win probability · AKR
modelAKR aheadM-OH aheadconfidence bandkey playAKR scoreM-OH score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDFGTDFGTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 8:53 · Nick Gasser punt for 38 yds, downed at the MiaOh 33
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialPregame priorGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+52.0+26.00−26.0−52.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 109Home team on offense−5.3Score differential−1.1Pregame prior+4.0Garbage-time factor−1.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.9Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 4:57: Gus Ragland pass complete to Kenny Young for 7 yds for a TD (Samuel Sloman KICK) — M-OH win probability +12.3 pts (now 65%) (top driver: M-OH has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 1:44: Kato Nelson pass complete to Nate Stewart for 17 yds for a TD (Nick Gasser KICK) — AKR win probability +10.4 pts (now 51%) (top driver: AKR has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 8:53: Kenny Young run for 3 yds for a TD (Samuel Sloman KICK) — M-OH win probability +15.1 pts (now 59%) (top driver: M-OH has the ball).
  4. FG · Q3 3:14: Samuel Sloman 27 yd FG GOOD — M-OH win probability +8.8 pts (now 69%) (top driver: M-OH has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 13:25: Kenny Young run for 74 yds for a TD (Samuel Sloman KICK) — M-OH win probability +18.5 pts (now 89%) (top driver: M-OH has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
AKR made the numbers' call on 6 of 6M-OH made the numbers' call on 7 of 9
  1. Q1 13:18M-OH 4th & 6 at AKR 45, tied
    Close callPunted · 35.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.6%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    35.5%−0.1
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    35.6%−<0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:39M-OH 4th & 5 at M-OH 26, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 35.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.6%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    35.6%
    average punt
  3. Q1 8:23AKR 4th & 11 at AKR 43, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 63.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    63.6%−0.2
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    63.9%
    average punt
  4. Q2 10:00M-OH 4th & 1 at AKR 3, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 39.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    39.1%
    63% to convert
    Field goal
    37.6%−1.5
    93% to make
    Punt
    33.9%−5.2
    average punt
  5. Q2 10:00AKR 4th & 10 at AKR 35, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 53.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.8%−1.2
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    54.0%
    average punt
  6. Q2 0:47AKR 4th & 2 at M-OH 23, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 49.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.1%−0.1
    57% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    49.2%
    70% to make
    Punt
    42.3%−6.9
    average punt
  7. Q3 14:53M-OH 4th & 5 at M-OH 33, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 46.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.9%−1.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    47.0%
    average punt
  8. Q3 11:06AKR 4th & 6 at AKR 16, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 49.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    48.9%−1.3
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    50.2%
    average punt
  9. Q3 8:53AKR 4th & 6 at AKR 29, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 49.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.5%−1.0
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    50.6%
    average punt
  10. Q3 5:09M-OH 4th & 2 at AKR 30, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 53.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    54.4%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    51.7%−2.6
    56% to make
    Punt
    49.0%−5.4
    average punt
  11. Q3 3:14M-OH 4th & 9 at AKR 9, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 57.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.4%−2.2
    25% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    56.7%
    89% to make
    Punt
    42.4%−14.2
    average punt
  12. Q4 15:00AKR 4th & 20 at AKR 42, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 32.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.1%−5.4
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    34.5%
    average punt
  13. Q4 10:53M-OH 4th & 7 at AKR 18, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 89.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    88.8%−0.7
    35% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    89.5%
    79% to make
    Punt
    82.7%−6.8
    average punt
  14. Q4 10:47M-OH 4th & 1 at AKR 29, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 92.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    92.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    90.6%−1.8
    58% to make
    Punt
    87.2%−5.1
    average punt
  15. Q4 4:08M-OH 4th & 3 at AKR 49, up 24
    Close callPunted · 99.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.0%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.9%−0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
AKR made the numbers' call on 1 of 1M-OH made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q2 10:00M-OH Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    45.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    45.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 4:57M-OH Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    58.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    57.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 1:44AKR Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    45.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    45.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 8:53M-OH Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    49.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    49.3%−0.2
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 13:25M-OH Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    81.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    81.0%−0.3
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
AKRDrive 1FUMBLE
5 plays · 14 yds · 0:0060% → 60%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
60.3%
Kwadarrius Smith run for 3 yds to the Akron 38Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 38
+9
60.3%
Kato Nelson pass complete to Van Edwards Jr. for 9 yds to the Akron 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+4
60.3%
Kato Nelson pass complete to Andre Williams for 4 yds to the MiaOh 49Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 49
-4
60.3%
Kwadarrius Smith run for a loss of 4 yards to the Akron 49 Kwadarrius Smith fumbled, recovered by MiaOh Dean LemonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:0040% → 40%
Q1 13:18
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
60.1%
Gus Ragland pass complete to Jaylon Bester for no gain to the Akron 49Similar
Q1 13:18
2ND & 10
OPP 49
+2
60.1%
Alonzo Smith run for 2 yds to the Akron 47Similar
Q1 13:18
3RD & 8
OPP 47
+2
60.1%
Alonzo Smith run for 2 yds to the Akron 45Similar
Q1 13:18
4TH & 6
OPP 45
0
60.2%
Kyle Kramer punt for 45 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · 19 yds · 0:0060% → 60%
Q1 11:27
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+6
60.3%
Kato Nelson pass complete to Andre Williams for 6 yds to the Akron 26Similar
Q1 11:27
2ND & 4
OWN 26
+9
60.3%
Kato Nelson pass complete to Van Edwards Jr. for 9 yds to the Akron 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:27
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
60.4%
Kato Nelson pass complete to Andre Williams for 4 yds to the Akron 39Similar
Q1 11:27
2ND & 6
OWN 39
0
60.6%
Kato Nelson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:27
3RD & 6
OWN 39
+2
60.3%
Kato Nelson pass incomplete to Andre Williams Nick Gasser punt for 42 yds , Joshua Allen returns for 2 yds to the MiaOh 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:0040% → 40%
Q1 9:39
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
60.2%
Gus Ragland run for no gain to the MiaOh 21Similar
Q1 9:39
2ND & 10
OWN 21
0
60.2%
Gus Ragland pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:39
3RD & 10
OWN 21
+5
60.5%
Gus Ragland pass complete to Kenny Young for 5 yds to the MiaOh 26Similar
Q1 9:39
4TH & 5
OWN 26
0
60.5%
Kyle Kramer punt for 60 yds, fair catch by Andre Williams at the Akron 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 5PUNT
11 plays · 29 yds · 0:0060% → 60%
Q1 8:23
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+8
60.1%
Kato Nelson run for 8 yds to the Akron 22Similar
Q1 8:23
2ND & 2
OWN 22
+1
60.3%
Van Edwards Jr. run for 1 yd to the Akron 23Similar
Q1 8:23
3RD & 1
OWN 23
+8
60.0%
Van Edwards Jr. run for 8 yds to the Akron 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:23
1ST & 10
OWN 31
-10
60.3%
Kato Nelson run for no gain to the Akron 31 AKRON Penalty, Offensive holding (-10 Yards) to the Akron 21Similar
Q1 8:23
1ST & 20
OWN 21
+2
60.1%
Kato Nelson run for 2 yds to the Akron 23Similar
Q1 8:23
2ND & 18
OWN 23
+1
60.1%
Kato Nelson run for 1 yd to the Akron 24Similar
Q1 8:23
3RD & 17
OWN 24
+20
59.8%
Kato Nelson pass complete to Andre Williams for 20 yds to the Akron 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:23
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
60.8%
Kato Nelson pass complete to Jemarulin Suggs for no gain to the Akron 44Similar
Q1 8:23
2ND & 10
OWN 44
+2
60.6%
Jemarulin Suggs run for 2 yds to the Akron 46Similar
Q1 8:23
3RD & 8
OWN 46
-3
60.3%
Kato Nelson sacked by Pasquale Calcagno and Doug Costin for a loss of 3 yards to the Akron 43Similar
Q1 8:23
4TH & 11
OWN 43
+28
59.9%
Nick Gasser punt for 33 yds, downed at the AKRON 24 AKRON Penalty, illegal formation (-5 Yards) to the MiaOh 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 6TD
17 plays · 71 yds · 7:0241% → 50%
Q1 2:02
1ST & 10
OWN 29
-6
59.2%
Gus Ragland pass complete to Kenny Young for a loss of 6 yards to the MiaOh 23Similar
Q1 2:02
2ND & 16
OWN 23
+8
59.5%
Alonzo Smith run for 8 yds to the MiaOh 31Similar
Q1 2:02
3RD & 8
OWN 31
+9
59.7%
Gus Ragland pass complete to Kenny Young for 9 yds to the MiaOh 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:02
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
58.5%
Gus Ragland pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:02
2ND & 10
OWN 40
-1
58.8%
Maurice Thomas run for a loss of 1 yard to the MiaOh 39Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 11
OWN 39
+14
59.2%
Gus Ragland pass complete to Luke Mayock for 14 yds to the Akron 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+4
57.6%
Alonzo Smith run for 4 yds to the Akron 43Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 43
+2
57.6%
Alonzo Smith run for 2 yds to the Akron 41Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 4
OPP 41
+6
57.9%
Jaylon Bester run for 6 yds to the Akron 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+3
57.2%
Gus Ragland pass complete to Kenny Young for 3 yds to the Akron 32Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 32
+1
57.1%
Davion Johnson run for 1 yd to the Akron 31Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 6
OPP 31
+7
57.8%
Alonzo Smith run for 7 yds to the Akron 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+12
57.1%
Gus Ragland pass complete to Alonzo Smith for 12 yds to the Akron 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+3
57.1%
Alonzo Smith run for 3 yds to the Akron 9Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 9
+3
57.1%
Gus Ragland pass complete to Davion Johnson for 3 yds to the Akron 6Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 4
OPP 6
+3
57.6%
Gus Ragland run for 3 yds to the Akron 3Similar
Q2 10:00
4TH & 1
OPP 3
+3
50.3%
Alonzo Smith run for 3 yds for a TD (Samuel Sloman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 7PUNT
6 plays · 10 yds · 0:0052% → 51%
Q2 10:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
51.6%
Kato Nelson pass complete to Kwadarrius Smith for 10 yds to the Akron 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
52.0%
Kato Nelson pass incomplete to Van Edwards Jr.Similar
Q2 10:00
2ND & 10
OWN 35
0
51.8%
Van Edwards Jr. run for no gain to the Akron 35Similar
Q2 10:00
3RD & 10
OWN 35
0
51.0%
Kato Nelson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:00
4TH & 10
OWN 35
+2
50.5%
Nick Gasser punt for 45 yds , Joshua Allen returns for 2 yds to the MiaOh 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 8TD
10 plays · 78 yds · 3:3250% → 65%
Q2 8:29
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+4
50.2%
Gus Ragland pass complete to Dominique Robinson for 4 yds to the MiaOh 26Similar
Q2 8:29
2ND & 6
OWN 26
0
49.8%
Davion Johnson run for no gain to the MiaOh 26Similar
Q2 8:29
3RD & 6
OWN 26
+28
50.5%
Gus Ragland pass complete to Luke Mayock for 28 yds to the Akron 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:29
1ST & 10
OPP 46
-10
48.1%
THOMAS, Maurice rush for no gain to the AKRON46 (WARD, Josh), PENALTY MIAMI holding 10 yards to the MIAMI44, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 8:29
1ST & 20
OWN 44
+14
49.3%
Gus Ragland pass complete to Alonzo Smith for 14 yds to the Akron 42Similar
Q2 8:29
2ND & 6
OPP 42
+8
48.1%
Gus Ragland pass complete to Alonzo Smith for 8 yds to the Akron 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:29
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+1
48.0%
Gus Ragland pass complete to Maurice Thomas for 1 yd to the Akron 33Similar
Q2 8:29
2ND & 9
OPP 33
+23
48.0%
Gus Ragland pass complete to Dominique Robinson for 23 yds to the Akron 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:29
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+3
47.8%
Gus Ragland pass complete to Maurice Thomas for 3 yds to the Akron 7Similar
Q2 4:57
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
35.5%
Gus Ragland pass complete to Kenny Young for 7 yds for a TD (Samuel Sloman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 9TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 3:1337% → 51%
Q2 4:57
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
37.4%
Van Edwards Jr. run for a loss of 2 yards to the Akron 23Similar
Q2 4:57
2ND & 12
OWN 23
+13
37.3%
Kato Nelson pass complete to Kwadarrius Smith for 13 yds to the Akron 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:57
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+27
38.3%
Kato Nelson pass complete to Kwadarrius Smith for 27 yds to the MiaOh 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:57
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
39.7%
Kato Nelson pass incomplete to Kwadarrius Smith, broken up by Mike BrownSimilar
Q2 4:57
2ND & 10
OPP 37
+10
39.7%
Kato Nelson pass complete to Andre Williams for 10 yds to the MiaOh 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:57
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+10
40.3%
Kato Nelson run for 10 yds to the MiaOh 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:57
1ST & 10
OPP 17
0
40.3%
Kato Nelson run for no gain to the MiaOh 17Similar
Q2 1:44
2ND & 10
OPP 17
+17
50.7%
Kato Nelson pass complete to Nate Stewart for 17 yds for a TD (Nick Gasser KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 10INT
3 plays · -5 yds · 0:0057% → 56%
Q2 1:44
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
43.3%
MIAMI OH Penalty, illegal participation (-5 Yards) to the MiaOh 20Similar
Q2 1:44
1ST & 15
OWN 20
0
43.8%
Gus Ragland pass intercepted Alvin Davis return for no gain to the Akron 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 11FG
9 plays · 33 yds · 0:5048% → 51%
Q2 1:37
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
47.7%
Kato Nelson pass incomplete to Kwadarrius SmithSimilar
Q2 1:37
2ND & 10
OWN 44
+10
46.8%
NELSON, Kato sacked for loss of 4 yards to the AKRON40 (TURNER, Cam), PENALTY MIAMI holding 10 yards to the MIAMI46, 1ST DOWN AKRON, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 1:37
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+15
49.1%
NELSON, Kato pass incomplete to SMITH, Kwad., PENALTY MIAMI pass interference 15 yards to the MIAMI31, 1ST DOWN AKRON, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 1:37
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
50.6%
Kato Nelson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:09
2ND & 10
OPP 31
0
49.4%
Kato Nelson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:09
3RD & 10
OPP 31
+8
47.0%
Kato Nelson pass complete to Andre Williams for 8 yds to the MiaOh 23Similar
Q2 0:47
4TH & 2
OPP 23
+40
51.4%
Nick Gasser 40 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 12END OF HALF
3 plays · -7 yds · 0:0051% → 51%
Q2 0:47
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-10
49.1%
YOUNG, Kenny rush for loss of 4 yards to the MIAMI21 (BUTLER, Denzel;BRADY, Walter), PENALTY MIAMI illegal block 10 yards to the MIAMI15, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 0:47
1ST & 20
OWN 15
+3
49.5%
Alonzo Smith run for 3 yds to the MiaOh 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 13PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:0050% → 49%
Q3 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+5
49.7%
Gus Ragland pass complete to Maurice Thomas for 5 yds to the MiaOh 33Similar
Q3 14:53
2ND & 5
OWN 33
0
48.7%
Maurice Thomas run for no gain to the MiaOh 33Similar
Q3 14:53
3RD & 5
OWN 33
0
50.1%
Gus Ragland pass incomplete to Luke MayockSimilar
Q3 14:53
4TH & 5
OWN 33
+2
51.5%
Kyle Kramer punt for 45 yds , Andre Williams returns for 2 yds to the Akron 35 AKRON Penalty, personal foul (12 Yards) to the Akron 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 14PUNT
6 plays · 4 yds · 2:2651% → 60%
Q3 13:32
1ST & 10
OWN 12
-3
51.0%
Kato Nelson run for a loss of 3 yards to the Akron 9Similar
Q3 13:32
2ND & 13
OWN 9
+9
50.5%
Kato Nelson pass complete to Nate Stewart for 9 yds to the Akron 18Similar
Q3 12:26
3RD & 4
OWN 18
-9
48.2%
NELSON, Kato pass complete to SMITH, Kwad. for 14 yards to the AKRON32 (MONTGOMERY, D.), PENALTY AKRON personal foul 9 yards to the AKRON9, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 12:26
3RD & 13
OWN 9
+7
47.1%
Van Edwards Jr. run for 7 yds to the Akron 16Similar
Q3 11:06
4TH & 6
OWN 16
+46
59.7%
Nick Gasser punt for 40 yds , Joshua Allen returns for 2 yds for a TD Joshua Allen fumbled, forced by Devon Jones, recovered by Akron Ulysees Gilbert III , return for 46 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 15TD
7 plays · 57 yds · 2:0741% → 59%
Q3 11:00
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+4
59.2%
Davion Johnson run for 4 yds to the MiaOh 47Similar
Q3 11:00
2ND & 6
OWN 47
+6
58.9%
Gus Ragland pass complete to Davion Johnson for 6 yds to the Akron 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:00
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+2
58.3%
Alonzo Smith run for 2 yds to the Akron 45Similar
Q3 11:00
2ND & 8
OPP 45
+25
58.5%
Gus Ragland pass complete to Dominique Robinson for 25 yds to the Akron 20 for a 1ST down AKRON Penalty, Defensive pass interference ( Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:00
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+17
56.6%
Gus Ragland pass complete to Jack Sorenson for 17 yds to the Akron 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:53
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
41.5%
Kenny Young run for 3 yds for a TD (Samuel Sloman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 16PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:0049% → 46%
Q3 8:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
48.7%
Kato Nelson pass incomplete to Mykel Traylor-BennettSimilar
Q3 8:53
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+4
48.3%
Kato Nelson run for 4 yds to the Akron 29Similar
Q3 8:53
3RD & 6
OWN 29
0
47.9%
Kato Nelson pass incomplete to Andre WilliamsSimilar
Q3 8:53
4TH & 6
OWN 29
0
46.3%
Nick Gasser punt for 38 yds, downed at the MiaOh 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 17FG
16 plays · 58 yds · 4:4655% → 69%
Q3 8:00
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+18
45.3%
Gus Ragland pass complete to Dominique Robinson for 18 yds to the Akron 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:00
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+1
42.9%
Kenny Young run for 1 yd to the Akron 48Similar
Q3 8:00
2ND & 9
OPP 48
+7
43.1%
Gus Ragland pass complete to Dominique Robinson for 7 yds to the Akron 41Similar
Q3 8:00
3RD & 2
OPP 41
+3
42.7%
Gus Ragland run for 3 yds to the Akron 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:00
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+4
42.9%
Gus Ragland pass complete to Maurice Thomas for 4 yds to the Akron 34Similar
Q3 8:00
2ND & 6
OPP 34
0
41.0%
Gus Ragland pass incomplete to Dominique RobinsonSimilar
Q3 8:00
3RD & 6
OPP 34
+4
43.4%
Gus Ragland pass complete to Andrew Homer for 4 yds to the Akron 30Similar
Q3 5:09
4TH & 2
OPP 30
+3
41.7%
Gus Ragland run for 3 yds to the Akron 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:09
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+5
37.3%
YOUNG, Kenny rush for no gain to the AKRON27 (DAVIS, Jamal), PENALTY AKRON illegal participation 5 yards to the AKRON22, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 5:09
1ST & 5
OPP 22
0
37.3%
Gus Ragland pass incomplete to Andrew Homer, broken up by Jordan GeorgeSimilar
Q3 5:09
2ND & 5
OPP 22
+13
37.3%
Gus Ragland run for 13 yds to the Akron 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:09
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
0
37.3%
Gus Ragland run for no gain to the Akron 9Similar
Q3 5:09
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
0
37.3%
Gus Ragland pass incomplete to Dominique RobinsonSimilar
Q3 5:09
3RD & GOAL
OPP 9
0
39.5%
Gus Ragland pass incomplete to Dominique RobinsonSimilar
Q3 3:14
4TH & GOAL
OPP 9
+27
30.7%
Samuel Sloman 27 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 18PUNT
11 plays · 17 yds · 3:1435% → 30%
Q3 3:14
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+14
35.4%
Kato Nelson pass complete to Andre Williams for 14 yds to the Akron 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:14
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+7
37.4%
Kato Nelson run for 7 yds to the Akron 46Similar
Q3 3:14
2ND & 3
OWN 46
-15
39.2%
NELSON, Kato pass incomplete to SMITH, Kwad., PENALTY AKRON pass interference 15 yards to the AKRON31, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 3:14
2ND & 18
OWN 31
+17
35.1%
Kato Nelson pass complete to Nate Stewart for 17 yds to the Akron 48Similar
Q3 3:14
3RD & 1
OWN 48
+4
39.0%
Mykel Traylor-Bennett run for 4 yds to the MiaOh 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:14
1ST & 10
OPP 48
-15
40.3%
NELSON, Kato pass complete to MORRIS, Jonah for 15 yards to the MIAMI33, PENALTY AKRON pass interference 15 yards to the AKRON37, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 3:14
1ST & 25
OWN 37
0
35.6%
Kato Nelson pass incomplete to Andre WilliamsSimilar
Q3 3:14
2ND & 25
OWN 37
+5
35.4%
Kato Nelson pass complete to Kwadarrius Smith for 5 yds to the Akron 42Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 20
OWN 42
0
30.8%
Kato Nelson pass incomplete to Andre WilliamsSimilar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 20
OWN 42
0
29.8%
Nick Gasser punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Jack Sorenson at the MiaOh 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 19TD
3 plays · 88 yds · 1:2270% → 89%
Q4 14:47
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+11
29.7%
Alonzo Smith run for 11 yds to the MiaOh 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:47
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+3
29.5%
Davion Johnson run for 3 yds to the MiaOh 26Similar
Q4 13:25
2ND & 7
OWN 26
+74
11.0%
Kenny Young run for 74 yds for a TD (Samuel Sloman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 20INT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:0015% → 15%
Q4 13:25
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-10
15.1%
Van Edwards Jr. run for a loss of 10 yards to the Akron 15Similar
Q4 13:25
2ND & 20
OWN 15
+14
14.8%
Kato Nelson pass complete to Mykel Traylor-Bennett for 14 yds to the Akron 29Similar
Q4 13:25
3RD & 6
OWN 29
0
15.0%
Kato Nelson pass intercepted Bart Baratti return for no gain to the Akron 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 21FG
4 plays · 3 yds · 1:2592% → 93%
Q4 12:18
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+2
8.4%
Alonzo Smith run for 2 yds to the Akron 19Similar
Q4 12:18
2ND & 8
OPP 19
+1
8.4%
Maurice Thomas run for 1 yd to the Akron 18Similar
Q4 12:18
3RD & 7
OPP 18
0
8.5%
Gus Ragland pass incomplete to Jack SorensonSimilar
Q4 10:53
4TH & 7
OPP 18
+36
6.8%
Samuel Sloman 36 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 22INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:006% → 6%
Q4 10:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
6.2%
Kato Nelson pass intercepted Brad Koenig return for no gain to the Akron 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 23DOWNS
4 plays · 8 yds · 0:0094% → 94%
Q4 10:47
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+7
5.9%
Maurice Thomas run for 7 yds to the Akron 31Similar
Q4 10:47
2ND & 3
OPP 31
+1
5.6%
Alonzo Smith run for 1 yd to the Akron 30Similar
Q4 10:47
3RD & 2
OPP 30
+1
5.8%
Davion Johnson run for 1 yd to the Akron 29Similar
Q4 10:47
4TH & 1
OPP 29
-1
6.5%
Davion Johnson run for a loss of 1 yard to the Akron 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 24FUMBLE
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:005% → 5%
Q4 8:21
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-7
5.3%
Kato Nelson sacked by Doug Costin for a loss of 7 yards to the Akron 23Similar
Q4 8:21
2ND & 17
OWN 23
+7
5.2%
Kato Nelson pass complete to Nate Stewart for 7 yds Nate Stewart fumbled, forced by Jordan Rigg, recovered by MiaOh Brad KoenigSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 25TD
2 plays · 30 yds · 1:0396% → 99%
Q4 7:37
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+29
4.4%
Davion Johnson run for 29 yds to the Akron 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:34
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
1.0%
Davion Johnson run for a loss of 1 yard Davion Johnson fumbled, forced by Josh Ward, recovered by MiaOh Jordan Rigg for a TD (Samuel Sloman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 26INT
7 plays · 15 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q4 6:34
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
1.0%
Keyondre White run for 4 yds to the Akron 29Similar
Q4 6:34
2ND & 6
OWN 29
0
1.0%
Kato Nelson pass incomplete to Mykel Traylor-BennettSimilar
Q4 6:34
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+8
1.0%
Kato Nelson run for 8 yds to the Akron 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:34
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-10
1.1%
Kato Nelson sacked by Jordan Rigg for a loss of 10 yards to the Akron 27Similar
Q4 6:34
2ND & 20
OWN 27
+13
1.0%
Kato Nelson run for 13 yds to the Akron 40Similar
Q4 6:34
3RD & 7
OWN 40
+17
1.1%
Kato Nelson pass intercepted Brad Koenig return for 7 yds to the MiaOh 47 MIAMI OH Penalty, personal foul (10 Yards) to the MiaOh 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 27PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q4 4:08
1ST & 10
OWN 44
-3
0.7%
Zach Kahn run for a loss of 3 yards to the MiaOh 41Similar
Q4 4:08
2ND & 13
OWN 41
+9
0.8%
Zach Kahn run for 9 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 4:08
3RD & 4
50
+1
0.7%
Zach Kahn run for 1 yd to the Akron 49Similar
Q4 4:08
4TH & 3
OPP 49
0
0.8%
Kyle Kramer punt for 38 yds, downed at the Akron 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 28END OF GAME
3 plays · 11 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q4 1:42
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+1
0.6%
Alex Ramart run for 1 yd to the Akron 16 Alex Ramart fumbled, recovered by Akron Alex RamartSimilar
Q4 1:42
2ND & 5
OWN 16
+3
0.6%
Keyondre White run for 3 yds to the Akron 19Similar
Q4 1:42
3RD & 2
OWN 19
+3
0.6%
Keyondre White run for 3 yds to the Akron 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 13:25
Kenny Young run for 74 yds for a TD (Samuel Sloman KICK)
-18.5
TD · Q3 8:53
Kenny Young run for 3 yds for a TD (Samuel Sloman KICK)
-15.1
TD · Q2 4:57
Gus Ragland pass complete to Kenny Young for 7 yds for a TD (Samuel Sloman KICK)
-12.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com