Try the model
EMU

Eastern Michigan 28 at Kent State 20

KENT
2018 · Week 13 · Nov 23, 2018 · Dix Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · KENT
modelKENT aheadEMU aheadconfidence bandkey playKENT scoreEMU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGFUMBLETDTDTDTDTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 9:20 · Jake Julien punt for 31 yds, fair catch by Zaquon Tyson at the KntSt 4
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+39.5+19.80−19.8−39.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 66Pregame prior−19.4Home team on offense−2.6Score differential−1.3Garbage-time factor−0.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.7Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.8
This game in five plays
  1. FG · Q1 11:37: Matthew Trickett 23 yd FG GOOD — KENT win probability +2.1 pts (now 25%) (top driver: KENT has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 13:00: Isaac Stiebeling run for 1 yd for a TD (Chad Ryland KICK) — EMU win probability +2.9 pts (now 72%) (top driver: EMU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 4:55: Ian Eriksen run for 1 yd for a TD (Chad Ryland KICK) — EMU win probability +6.2 pts (now 79%) (top driver: EMU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 11:03: Ian Eriksen run for 32 yds for a TD (Chad Ryland KICK) — EMU win probability +9.4 pts (now 89%) (top driver: EMU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 4:36: Jo-El Shaw run for 1 yd for a TD (Matthew Trickett KICK) — KENT win probability +6.9 pts (now 19%) (top driver: KENT has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
KENT made the numbers' call on 9 of 11EMU made the numbers' call on 7 of 11
  1. Q1 11:37KENT 4th & 3 at EMU 6, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 22.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.0%
    46% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    21.9%−0.1
    91% to make
    Punt
    21.5%−0.5
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:03KENT 4th & 7 at EMU 11, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 25.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.8%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    24.9%
    87% to make
    Punt
    23.6%−1.3
    average punt
  3. Q1 7:03EMU 4th & 11 at EMU 19, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 74.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    74.4%−0.3
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    74.7%
    average punt
  4. Q1 6:10KENT 4th & 11 at EMU 47, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 25.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.0%−0.2
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    25.3%
    average punt
  5. Q2 13:00EMU 4th & 1 at KENT 1, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 70.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    69.8%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    68.6%−1.2
    94% to make
    Punt
    65.5%−4.3
    average punt
  6. Q2 12:43EMU 4th & 12 at EMU 43, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 72.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    72.4%−0.8
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    73.3%
    average punt
  7. Q2 9:20EMU 4th & 16 at KENT 35, up 4
    Close callPunted · 71.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    71.2%−0.7
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    71.9%
    45% to make
    PuntTheir call
    71.5%−0.4
    average punt
  8. Q2 8:30KENT 4th & 4 at KENT 10, down 4
    Close callPunted · 26.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.8%
    46% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    26.6%−0.2
    average punt
  9. Q2 4:47KENT 4th & 1 at EMU 46, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 20.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    20.7%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    18.9%−1.8
    23% to make
    Punt
    19.4%−1.3
    average punt
  10. Q2 1:59EMU 4th & 6 at midfield, up 11
    Close callPunted · 79.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    79.5%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    79.2%−0.2
    average punt
  11. Q2 1:14KENT 4th & 13 at KENT 28, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 18.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.4%−1.0
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    18.4%
    average punt
  12. Q3 15:00EMU 4th & 4 at EMU 31, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 79.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    79.5%−0.6
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    80.0%
    average punt
  13. Q3 13:47KENT 4th & 3 at KENT 44, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 20.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    20.4%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    20.1%−0.3
    average punt
  14. Q3 11:03EMU 4th & 3 at KENT 32, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 80.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    80.2%
    53% to convert
    Field goal
    79.3%−0.9
    51% to make
    Punt
    78.5%−1.7
    average punt
  15. Q3 10:56KENT 4th & 2 at KENT 23, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 11.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.0%−0.1
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    11.1%
    average punt
  16. Q3 9:51EMU 4th & 2 at KENT 39, up 18
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.3 ptsPunted · 90.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.6%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    89.2%−1.5
    36% to make
    PuntTheir call
    89.3%−1.3
    average punt
  17. Q3 4:36KENT 4th & 1 at EMU 1, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 11.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    10.4%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    8.3%−2.2
    94% to make
    Punt
    2.3%−8.1
    average punt
  18. Q3 4:36EMU 4th & 8 at EMU 39, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 81.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    81.5%−0.8
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    82.2%
    average punt
  19. Q3 3:15KENT 4th & 6 at KENT 38, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 17.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.0%−0.2
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    17.3%
    average punt
  20. Q4 12:14EMU 4th & 3 at KENT 17, up 11
    Close callKicked a field goal · 85.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.1%
    51% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    84.5%−0.6
    80% to make
    Punt
    79.0%−6.2
    average punt
  21. Q4 8:18KENT 4th & 9 at EMU 17, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 12.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.7%−0.6
    29% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    12.2%
    80% to make
    Punt
    6.8%−5.4
    average punt
  22. Q4 8:18EMU 4th & 7 at EMU 28, up 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 83.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    82.8%−1.5
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    84.3%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
KENT made the numbers' call on 1 of 1EMU made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 9:12EMU Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    76.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    76.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 13:00EMU Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    73.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    73.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 4:55EMU Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    79.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    79.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 11:03EMU Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    88.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    88.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 4:36KENT Touchdown, down 12 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    16.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    16.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
KENTDrive 1FG
11 plays · 65 yds · 3:2323% → 25%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
22.9%
Woody Barrett pass incomplete to Antwan Dixon, broken up by Vince CalhounSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 29
+6
22.9%
Woody Barrett pass complete to Antwan Dixon for 6 yds to the KntSt 35Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 4
OWN 35
+4
22.9%
Woody Barrett pass complete to Kavious Price for 4 yds to the KntSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+2
22.9%
Jo-El Shaw run for 2 yds to the KntSt 41Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 41
+5
22.9%
Woody Barrett run for 5 yds to the KntSt 46Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 3
OWN 46
+41
22.9%
Woody Barrett pass complete to Mike Carrigan for 41 yds to the EMich 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 13
0
22.9%
Woody Barrett pass complete to Kavious Price for no gain Kavious Price fumbled, forced by Justin Moody,Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 13
+7
22.9%
Jo-El Shaw run for 7 yds to the EMich 6Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 3
OPP 6
0
22.9%
Woody Barrett pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:37
4TH & 3
OPP 6
+23
24.9%
Matthew Trickett 23 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 2FUMBLE TD
2 plays · 6 yds · 0:0074% → 74%
Q1 11:19
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+16
25.6%
Tyler Wiegers pass complete to Arthur Jackson III for 6 yds for a TD Arthur Jackson III fumbled, forced by Cepeda Phillips, recovered by KntSt Jamal Parker , return for 16 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 3TD
6 plays · 69 yds · 2:0174% → 74%
Q1 11:13
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+4
25.7%
Ian Eriksen run for 4 yds to the EMich 35Similar
Q1 11:13
2ND & 6
OWN 35
+18
25.6%
Tyler Wiegers pass complete to Mathew Sexton for 18 yds to the KntSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:13
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
25.5%
Ian Eriksen run for no gain to the KntSt 47Similar
Q1 11:13
2ND & 10
OPP 47
+46
25.5%
Tyler Wiegers pass complete to Mathew Sexton for 46 yds to the KntSt 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:12
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
25.7%
Ian Eriksen run for 1 yd for a TD (Chad Ryland KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 4MISSED FG
9 plays · 64 yds · 2:0926% → 28%
Q1 9:12
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
26.3%
Jo-El Shaw run for 9 yds to the KntSt 34Similar
Q1 9:12
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+5
26.5%
Woody Barrett pass complete to Antwan Dixon for 5 yds to the KntSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:12
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
26.4%
Woody Barrett pass incomplete to Antwan Dixon, broken up by Justin MoodySimilar
Q1 9:12
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+47
26.4%
Woody Barrett pass complete to Antwan Dixon for 47 yds to the EMich 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:12
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+1
26.9%
Jo-El Shaw run for 1 yd to the EMich 13Similar
Q1 9:12
2ND & 9
OPP 13
+2
26.9%
Woody Barrett run for 2 yds to the EMich 11Similar
Q1 9:12
3RD & 7
OPP 11
0
26.7%
Woody Barrett pass incomplete to Antwan Dixon, broken up by Kyle RachwalSimilar
Q1 7:03
4TH & 7
OPP 11
+29
27.7%
Matthew Trickett 29 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 5PUNT
4 plays · -1 yds · 0:0072% → 72%
Q1 7:03
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
27.7%
Tyler Wiegers pass incomplete to Jeff HubbardSimilar
Q1 7:03
2ND & 10
OWN 20
-1
27.8%
Ian Eriksen run for a loss of 1 yard to the EMich 19Similar
Q1 7:03
3RD & 11
OWN 19
0
28.1%
Tyler Wiegers pass incomplete to Mathew Sexton, broken up by Matt BahrSimilar
Q1 7:03
4TH & 11
OWN 19
0
28.3%
Jake Julien punt for 53 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 6PUNT
9 plays · 25 yds · 0:0028% → 28%
Q1 6:10
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+8
28.1%
Woody Barrett pass complete to Myles Washington for 8 yds to the KntSt 36Similar
Q1 6:10
2ND & 2
OWN 36
+8
28.5%
Jo-El Shaw run for 8 yds to the KntSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:10
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+4
28.6%
Woody Barrett pass complete to Myles Washington for 4 yds to the KntSt 48Similar
Q1 6:10
2ND & 6
OWN 48
0
28.7%
Woody Barrett pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:10
3RD & 6
OWN 48
+6
28.4%
Jo-El Shaw run for 6 yds to the EMich 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:10
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+1
28.8%
Woody Barrett run for 1 yd to the EMich 45Similar
Q1 6:10
2ND & 9
OPP 45
0
28.8%
Woody Barrett pass incomplete to Antwan DixonSimilar
Q1 6:10
3RD & 9
OPP 45
-2
28.5%
Woody Barrett sacked by Brody Hoying for a loss of 2 yards to the EMich 47Similar
Q1 6:10
4TH & 11
OPP 47
0
27.8%
Matthew Trickett punt for 29 yds, downed at the EMich 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 7TD
12 plays · 82 yds · 4:5170% → 72%
Q1 2:51
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+4
30.3%
Breck Turner run for 4 yds to the EMich 22Similar
Q1 2:51
2ND & 6
OWN 22
+8
30.3%
Tyler Wiegers pass complete to Dylan Drummond for 8 yds to the EMich 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:51
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+31
30.2%
Breck Turner run for 31 yds to the KntSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:51
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+10
29.2%
Breck Turner run for 10 yds to the KntSt 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:51
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+3
28.8%
Breck Turner run for 3 yds to the KntSt 26Similar
Q1 2:51
2ND & 7
OPP 26
0
28.8%
Tyler Wiegers pass incomplete to Blake BanhamSimilar
Q1 2:51
3RD & 7
OPP 26
+16
29.3%
Tyler Wiegers pass complete to Isaac Holder for 16 yds to the KntSt 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+1
30.0%
Breck Turner run for 1 yd to the KntSt 9Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+8
30.0%
Tyler Wiegers pass complete to Breck Turner for 8 yds to the KntSt 1Similar
Q2 13:47
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
0
30.6%
Breck Turner run for no gain to the KntSt 1Similar
Q2 13:00
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
27.7%
Isaac Stiebeling run for 1 yd for a TD (Chad Ryland KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 8FUMBLE
2 plays · -1 yds · 0:0031% → 31%
Q2 12:47
1ST & 10
OPP 33
-3
31.1%
Woody Barrett run for a loss of 3 yards to the EMich 34 Woody Barrett fumbled, recovered by EMich Maxx CrosbySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 9PUNT
6 plays · 9 yds · 0:0072% → 71%
Q2 12:43
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+9
27.7%
Tyler Wiegers pass complete to Arthur Jackson III for 9 yds to the EMich 43Similar
Q2 12:43
2ND & 1
OWN 43
+2
27.1%
Breck Turner run for 2 yds to the EMich 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:43
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
27.1%
Tyler Wiegers pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:43
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+5
27.3%
Tyler Wiegers pass complete to Blake Banham for 5 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 12:43
3RD & 5
50
-7
27.1%
Tyler Wiegers sacked by Matt Bahr for a loss of 7 yards to the EMich 43Similar
Q2 12:43
4TH & 12
OWN 43
0
29.0%
Jake Julien punt for 28 yds , Zaquon Tyson returns for no gain to the KntSt 29 Zaquon Tyson fumbled, recovered by EMich Blake BanhamSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 10PUNT
5 plays · -6 yds · 0:4873% → 70%
Q2 10:08
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+1
26.7%
Isaac Holder run for 1 yd to the KntSt 28Similar
Q2 10:08
2ND & 9
OPP 28
0
26.9%
Tyler Wiegers pass incomplete to Mathew Sexton, broken up by Montre MillerSimilar
Q2 9:20
3RD & 9
OPP 28
-7
28.2%
Tyler Wiegers sacked by KJ Sherald for a loss of 7 yards to the KntSt 35Similar
Q2 9:20
4TH & 16
OPP 35
0
30.3%
Jake Julien punt for 31 yds, fair catch by Zaquon Tyson at the KntSt 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 11PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:0030% → 29%
Q2 8:30
1ST & 10
OWN 4
-2
29.8%
Woody Barrett run for a loss of 2 yards to the KntSt 1 Woody Barrett fumbled, recovered by KntSt Woody BarrettSimilar
Q2 8:30
2ND & 13
OWN 1
+1
29.7%
Jo-El Shaw run for 1 yd to the KntSt 2Similar
Q2 8:30
3RD & 12
OWN 2
+8
29.0%
Woody Barrett pass complete to Mike Carrigan for 8 yds to the KntSt 10Similar
Q2 8:30
4TH & 4
OWN 10
+6
28.8%
Matthew Trickett punt for 48 yds , Blake Banham returns for 6 yds to the EMich 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 12TD
4 plays · 52 yds · 1:2372% → 79%
Q2 6:18
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+5
28.2%
Ian Eriksen run for 5 yds to the KntSt 47Similar
Q2 6:18
2ND & 5
OPP 47
+45
27.9%
Ian Eriksen run for 45 yds to the KntSt 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:18
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
27.4%
Ian Eriksen run for 1 yd to the KntSt 1Similar
Q2 4:55
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
21.3%
Ian Eriksen run for 1 yd for a TD (Chad Ryland KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 13DOWNS
8 plays · 26 yds · 0:0022% → 22%
Q2 4:47
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+8
21.6%
Jo-El Shaw run for 8 yds to the KntSt 36Similar
Q2 4:47
2ND & 2
OWN 36
+1
22.3%
Woody Barrett pass complete to Antwan Dixon for 1 yd to the KntSt 37Similar
Q2 4:47
3RD & 1
OWN 37
+8
22.0%
Jo-El Shaw run for 8 yds to the KntSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:47
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+1
22.4%
Woody Barrett pass complete to Johnny Woods for 1 yd to the KntSt 46Similar
Q2 4:47
2ND & 9
OWN 46
+1
22.3%
Woody Barrett pass complete to Kavious Price for 1 yd to the KntSt 47Similar
Q2 4:47
3RD & 8
OWN 47
+7
22.0%
Woody Barrett pass complete to Jo-El Shaw for 7 yds to the EMich 46Similar
Q2 4:47
4TH & 1
OPP 46
0
22.3%
Justin Rankin run for no gain to the EMich 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 14PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:5379% → 79%
Q2 2:52
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
20.9%
Tyler Wiegers pass incomplete to Mathew Sexton, broken up by Darryl MarshallSimilar
Q2 2:52
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+1
21.0%
Willie Parker run for 1 yd to the EMich 47Similar
Q2 2:52
3RD & 9
OWN 47
+3
21.3%
Tyler Wiegers pass complete to Dylan Drummond for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 1:59
4TH & 6
50
0
21.3%
Jake Julien punt for 34 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the KntSt 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 15PUNT
7 plays · 12 yds · 0:3921% → 21%
Q2 1:53
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+15
20.8%
BARRETT, WOODY pass incomplete to WOODS, JOHNNY, PENALTY EMU pass interference (McGILL, Kevin) 15 yards to the KENT31, 1ST DOWN KENT, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 1:53
1ST & 10
OWN 31
-5
21.0%
KENT ST Penalty, false start (Nate Warnock) to the KntSt 26Similar
Q2 1:53
1ST & 15
OWN 26
-5
20.8%
Woody Barrett sacked by Jeremiah Harris for a loss of 5 yards to the KntSt 21Similar
Q2 1:53
2ND & 20
OWN 21
0
20.4%
Woody Barrett pass incomplete to Mike CarriganSimilar
Q2 1:14
3RD & 20
OWN 21
+7
20.8%
Jo-El Shaw run for 7 yds to the KntSt 28Similar
Q2 1:14
4TH & 13
OWN 28
0
20.6%
Matthew Trickett punt for 21 yds, downed at the KntSt 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 16INT
3 plays · 9 yds · 0:0781% → 83%
Q2 0:15
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+9
18.6%
Tyler Wiegers pass complete to Breck Turner for 9 yds to the KntSt 40Similar
Q2 0:08
2ND & 1
OPP 40
+13
17.3%
Tyler Wiegers pass intercepted Matt Bahr return for 13 yds to the KntSt 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 17END OF HALF
2 plays · 21 yds · 0:0022% → 23%
Q2 0:01
1ST & 10
OWN 31
-15
21.7%
BARRETT, WOODY pass intercepted by McGILL, Kevin at the 50 yardline, McGILL, Kevin return to the 50 yardline, PENALTY KENT roughing passer (MAJETTE, THEO) 15 yards to the KENT46, 1ST DOWN KENT, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 0:01
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+6
22.6%
Woody Barrett run for 6 yds to the EMich 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 18PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:0079% → 78%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
21.3%
Tyler Wiegers pass complete to Ian Eriksen for a loss of 1 yard to the EMich 24Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+7
21.5%
Ian Eriksen run for 7 yds to the EMich 31Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 4
OWN 31
0
21.4%
Tyler Wiegers pass incomplete to Line LatuSimilar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 4
OWN 31
0
21.9%
Jake Julien punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Zaquon Tyson at the KntSt 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 19DOWNS
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:0022% → 21%
Q3 13:47
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
21.8%
Woody Barrett pass incomplete to Mike CarriganSimilar
Q3 13:47
2ND & 10
OWN 37
0
21.6%
Woody Barrett pass incomplete to Mike Carrigan, broken up by Justin MoodySimilar
Q3 13:47
3RD & 10
OWN 37
+7
20.6%
Woody Barrett pass complete to Antwan Dixon for 7 yds to the KntSt 44Similar
Q3 13:47
4TH & 3
OWN 44
-5
21.2%
Dustin Crum sacked by Jeremiah Harris for a loss of 5 yards to the KntSt 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 20TD
4 plays · 39 yds · 1:4480% → 89%
Q3 12:47
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+8
19.8%
Ian Eriksen run for 8 yds to the KntSt 31Similar
Q3 12:47
2ND & 2
OPP 31
-1
19.6%
Tyler Wiegers pass complete to Dylan Drummond for a loss of 1 yard to the KntSt 32Similar
Q3 12:47
3RD & 3
OPP 32
0
20.1%
Tyler Wiegers pass incomplete to Gunnar Oakes, broken up by Akeam PetersSimilar
Q3 11:03
4TH & 3
OPP 32
+32
10.6%
Ian Eriksen run for 32 yds for a TD (Chad Ryland KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 21PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 0:0012% → 12%
Q3 10:56
1ST & 10
OWN 15
0
11.5%
Jo-El Shaw run for no gain to the KntSt 15Similar
Q3 10:56
2ND & 10
OWN 15
+8
11.5%
Woody Barrett pass complete to Mike Carrigan for 8 yds to the KntSt 23Similar
Q3 10:56
3RD & 2
OWN 23
0
11.7%
Woody Barrett pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 10:56
4TH & 2
OWN 23
+20
11.5%
Matthew Trickett punt for 44 yds , Blake Banham returns for 20 yds to the KntSt 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 22PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 0:0091% → 90%
Q3 9:51
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+5
9.2%
Karmi Mackey run for 5 yds to the KntSt 42Similar
Q3 9:51
2ND & 5
OPP 42
+3
8.9%
Karmi Mackey run for 3 yds to the KntSt 39Similar
Q3 9:51
3RD & 2
OPP 39
0
9.0%
Karmi Mackey run for no gain to the KntSt 39Similar
Q3 9:51
4TH & 2
OPP 39
0
10.0%
Jake Julien punt for 34 yds, downed at the KntSt 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 23TD
11 plays · 95 yds · 3:0910% → 19%
Q3 7:45
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+2
10.4%
Jo-El Shaw run for 2 yds to the KntSt 7Similar
Q3 7:45
2ND & 8
OWN 7
+43
10.3%
Woody Barrett pass complete to Johnny Woods for 43 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:45
1ST & 10
50
+13
11.8%
Jo-El Shaw run for 13 yds to the EMich 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:45
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+4
12.1%
Jo-El Shaw run for 4 yds to the EMich 33Similar
Q3 7:45
2ND & 6
OPP 33
+8
12.6%
Jo-El Shaw run for 8 yds to the EMich 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:45
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+9
12.6%
Woody Barrett pass complete to Johnny Woods for 9 yds to the EMich 16Similar
Q3 7:45
2ND & 1
OPP 16
+6
12.6%
Jo-El Shaw run for 6 yds to the EMich 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:45
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+8
12.6%
Woody Barrett run for 8 yds to the EMich 2Similar
Q3 7:45
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
12.6%
Jo-El Shaw run for 1 yd to the EMich 1Similar
Q3 7:45
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
0
12.3%
Woody Barrett pass incomplete to Mike CarriganSimilar
Q3 4:36
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
19.2%
Jo-El Shaw run for 1 yd for a TD (Matthew Trickett KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 24PUNT
6 plays · 14 yds · 0:0082% → 81%
Q3 4:36
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
18.3%
Tyler Wiegers run for 12 yds to the EMich 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:36
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+2
17.6%
Ian Eriksen run for 2 yds to the EMich 39Similar
Q3 4:36
2ND & 8
OWN 39
0
16.9%
Tyler Wiegers pass incomplete to Mathew SextonSimilar
Q3 4:36
3RD & 8
OWN 39
0
17.4%
Tyler Wiegers pass incomplete to Arthur Jackson IIISimilar
Q3 4:36
4TH & 8
OWN 39
0
18.6%
Jake Julien punt for 40 yds , Zaquon Tyson returns for no gain to the KntSt 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 25PUNT
6 plays · 17 yds · 0:0018% → 17%
Q3 3:15
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
17.9%
Woody Barrett pass incomplete to Mike CarriganSimilar
Q3 3:15
2ND & 10
OWN 21
+13
17.9%
Jo-El Shaw run for 13 yds to the KntSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:15
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
18.4%
Jo-El Shaw run for no gain to the KntSt 34Similar
Q3 3:15
2ND & 10
OWN 34
+5
18.2%
Jo-El Shaw run for 5 yds to the KntSt 39Similar
Q3 3:15
3RD & 5
OWN 39
-1
18.4%
Woody Barrett pass complete to Lon'kevious McFadden for a loss of 1 yard to the KntSt 38Similar
Q3 3:15
4TH & 6
OWN 38
0
17.3%
Matthew Trickett punt for 52 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the EMich 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 26MISSED FG
8 plays · 73 yds · 3:5582% → 85%
Q3 1:09
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+6
17.9%
Willie Parker run for 6 yds to the EMich 16Similar
Q3 1:09
2ND & 4
OWN 16
+46
17.8%
Willie Parker run for 46 yds to the KntSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+1
14.4%
Willie Parker run for 1 yd to the KntSt 37Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 37
+13
14.4%
Tyler Wiegers pass complete to Willie Parker for 13 yds to the KntSt 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+5
14.0%
Willie Parker run for 5 yds to the KntSt 19Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 19
+2
14.0%
Willie Parker run for 2 yds to the KntSt 17Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 3
OPP 17
0
14.4%
Breck Turner run for no gain to the KntSt 17Similar
Q4 12:14
4TH & 3
OPP 17
+35
14.6%
Chad Ryland 35 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 27FG
12 plays · 63 yds · 3:5615% → 19%
Q4 12:14
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
14.8%
Jo-El Shaw run for 2 yds to the KntSt 22Similar
Q4 12:14
2ND & 8
OWN 22
+15
14.6%
BARRETT, WOODY pass incomplete to CARRIGAN, MIKE, PENALTY EMU pass interference (McGEE, Freddie) 15 yards to the KENT37, 1ST DOWN KENT, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 12:14
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-1
15.7%
Jo-El Shaw run for a loss of 1 yard to the KntSt 36Similar
Q4 12:14
2ND & 11
OWN 36
+20
15.0%
Jo-El Shaw run for 5 yds to the EMich 41 for a 1ST down EASTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (Jaylen Pickett) to the EMich 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:14
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+13
17.7%
Jo-El Shaw run for 13 yds to the EMich 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:14
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+2
19.0%
Jo-El Shaw run for 2 yds to the EMich 29Similar
Q4 12:14
2ND & 8
OPP 29
+7
19.2%
Woody Barrett run for 7 yds to the EMich 22Similar
Q4 12:14
3RD & 1
OPP 22
+4
18.1%
Jo-El Shaw run for 4 yds to the EMich 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:14
1ST & 10
OPP 18
-5
19.2%
Woody Barrett sacked by Jeremiah Harris for a loss of 5 yards to the EMich 23Similar
Q4 12:14
2ND & 15
OPP 23
+6
17.7%
Jo-El Shaw run for 6 yds to the EMich 17Similar
Q4 12:14
3RD & 9
OPP 17
0
17.5%
Woody Barrett pass incomplete to Jo-El ShawSimilar
Q4 8:18
4TH & 9
OPP 17
+35
19.2%
Matthew Trickett 35 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 28PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:0085% → 84%
Q4 8:18
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
14.9%
Tyler Wiegers pass incomplete to Mathew SextonSimilar
Q4 8:18
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+3
15.2%
Tyler Wiegers run for 3 yds to the EMich 28Similar
Q4 8:18
3RD & 7
OWN 28
0
15.5%
Tyler Wiegers pass incomplete to Mathew Sexton, broken up by Montre MillerSimilar
Q4 8:18
4TH & 7
OWN 28
0
16.5%
Jake Julien punt for 47 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the KntSt 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 29INT
9 plays · 40 yds · 2:4217% → 10%
Q4 7:26
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
16.5%
Woody Barrett pass complete to Lon'kevious McFadden for 10 yds to the KntSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:26
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+9
17.1%
Jo-El Shaw run for 9 yds to the KntSt 44Similar
Q4 7:26
2ND & 1
OWN 44
+5
20.2%
Jo-El Shaw run for 5 yds to the KntSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:26
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+12
19.3%
Woody Barrett run for 12 yds to the EMich 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:26
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
20.8%
Woody Barrett pass incomplete to Mike Carrigan, broken up by Kevin McGillSimilar
Q4 7:26
2ND & 10
OPP 39
+4
20.2%
Jo-El Shaw run for 4 yds to the EMich 35Similar
Q4 7:26
3RD & 6
OPP 35
0
20.5%
Woody Barrett pass incomplete to Mike CarriganSimilar
Q4 4:44
4TH & 6
OWN 0
+46
9.9%
Kavious Price pass intercepted Vince Calhoun return for 46 yds to the KntSt 0 KENT ST Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct off-setting ( Yards) to the KntSt 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 30END OF GAME
12 plays · 24 yds · 2:5093% → 97%
Q4 4:28
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+6
6.9%
Ian Eriksen run for 6 yds to the KntSt 38Similar
Q4 4:28
2ND & 4
OPP 38
+2
6.7%
Ian Eriksen run for 2 yds to the KntSt 36Similar
Q4 4:28
3RD & 2
OPP 36
+2
6.9%
Isaac Stiebeling run for 2 yds to the KntSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:28
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+3
6.7%
Ian Eriksen run for 3 yds to the KntSt 31Similar
Q4 4:28
2ND & 7
OPP 31
+3
6.5%
Ian Eriksen run for 3 yds to the KntSt 28Similar
Q4 1:41
3RD & 4
OPP 28
-1
3.1%
Ian Eriksen run for a loss of 1 yard to the KntSt 29Similar
Q4 1:38
4TH & 5
OPP 29
+15
3.8%
RYLAND, Chad field goal attempt from 47 GOOD, clock 01:38, PENALTY KENT personal foul (MORRIS, KALIL) 15 yards to the KENT14, 1ST DOWN EMU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 1:38
1ST & 10
OPP 14
-2
2.9%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the KntSt 16Similar
Q4 1:38
2ND & 12
OPP 16
-2
3.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the KntSt 18Similar
Q4 1:38
3RD & 14
OPP 18
-2
3.2%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the KntSt 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 11:03
Ian Eriksen run for 32 yds for a TD (Chad Ryland KICK)
-9.4
TD · Q3 4:36
Jo-El Shaw run for 1 yd for a TD (Matthew Trickett KICK)
+6.9
TD · Q2 4:55
Ian Eriksen run for 1 yd for a TD (Chad Ryland KICK)
-6.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com