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AKR

Akron 28 at Ohio 49

OHIO
2018 · Week 13 · Nov 23, 2018 · Peden Stadium
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Win probability · OHIO
modelOHIO aheadAKR aheadconfidence bandkey playOHIO scoreAKR score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of GameTD+1.4OHIO 99.7%Nathan Rourke run for 3 yds for a TD(Louie Zervos KICK)AWAY 28 - HOME 49 · Q4 0:05
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:05 · Nathan Rourke run for 3 yds for a TD (Louie Zervos KICK)
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+45.0+22.50−22.5−45.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 162Pregame prior+0.1Home team on offense+33.7Score differential+24.5Garbage-time factor+13.8Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+7.0Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+8.3
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 5:33: A.J. Ouellette run for 16 yds for a TD (Louie Zervos KICK) — OHIO win probability +3.4 pts (now 98%) (top driver: OHIO has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 5:25: Kato Nelson pass complete to Andre Williams for 17 yds for a TD (Nick Gasser KICK) — AKR win probability +6.1 pts (now 9%) (top driver: AKR has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 3:09: Nathan Rourke run for 1 yd for a TD (Louie Zervos KICK) — OHIO win probability +3.8 pts (now 99%) (top driver: OHIO has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 14:19: Kato Nelson pass complete to Brian Reinke for 6 yds for a TD (Nick Gasser KICK) — AKR win probability +6.1 pts (now 7%) (top driver: AKR has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 6:45: Kato Nelson pass complete to Mykel Traylor-Bennett for 12 yds for a TD OHIO Penalty, personal foul ( Yards) declined (Nick Gasser KICK) — AKR win probability +5.7 pts (now 7%) (top driver: AKR has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
OHIO made the numbers' call on 4 of 5AKR made the numbers' call on 4 of 6
  1. Q1 15:00AKR 4th & 2 at AKR 33, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.8%−<0.1
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.8%
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:56AKR 4th & 14 at AKR 11, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.1%−0.2
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.3%
    average punt
  3. Q1 8:48OHIO 4th & 9 at OHIO 41, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 92.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.3%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    92.4%
    average punt
  4. Q1 4:26OHIO 4th & 1 at AKR 1, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 91.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    91.7%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    91.4%−0.3
    94% to make
    Punt
    90.6%−1.1
    average punt
  5. Q1 2:38AKR 4th & 17 at AKR 1, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.6%−0.7
    11% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.3%
    average punt
  6. Q2 14:48OHIO 4th & 5 at OHIO 40, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 92.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.9%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    92.9%
    average punt
  7. Q2 9:18AKR 4th & 4 at OHIO 30, down 14
    Close callKicked a field goal · 7.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.0%
    48% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    7.7%−0.3
    56% to make
    Punt
    7.3%−0.7
    average punt
  8. Q2 5:33AKR 4th & 20 at AKR 49, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.4%−0.5
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.9%
    average punt
  9. Q2 2:23OHIO 4th & 5 at AKR 46, up 21
    Close callPunted · 96.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.7%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    96.3%−0.4
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    96.5%−0.2
    average punt
  10. Q3 14:54OHIO 4th & 9 at OHIO 28, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 96.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.8%−0.4
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.2%
    average punt
  11. Q3 13:25AKR 4th & 2 at OHIO 48, down 21
    Close callPunted · 3.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.5%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.1%−0.3
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
OHIO made the numbers' call on 4 of 6AKR made the numbers' call on 3 of 4
  1. Q1 11:02OHIO Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 4:26OHIO Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 14:48AKR Touchdown, down 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    7.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    7.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 5:33OHIO Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 5:25AKR Touchdown, down 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    5.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    5.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 3:09OHIO Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 14:19AKR Touchdown, down 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    4.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    4.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 8:21OHIO Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.3%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.3%
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 6:45AKR Touchdown, down 15 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    3.3%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    3.3%
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 0:05OHIO Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.5%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.5%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
AKRDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 0:005% → 5%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
94.6%
Kato Nelson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+9
94.6%
Kato Nelson pass complete to Jeremiah Knight for 9 yds to the Akron 34Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 1
OWN 34
-1
94.6%
Van Edwards Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the Akron 33Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 2
OWN 33
0
94.6%
Nick Gasser punt for 37 yds , Kylan Nelson returns for no gain to the Ohio 33 OHIO Penalty, Offensive holding (10 Yards) to the Ohio 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 2TD
5 plays · 80 yds · 2:2694% → 94%
Q1 13:28
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+35
94.2%
Nathan Rourke pass complete to Papi White for 35 yds to the Akron 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:28
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+11
94.3%
Nathan Rourke pass complete to Papi White for 11 yds to the Akron 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:28
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+18
94.3%
Nathan Rourke run for 18 yds to the Akron 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:28
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+10
94.3%
A.J. Ouellette run for 10 yds to the Akron 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:02
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
94.1%
A.J. Ouellette run for 6 yds for a TD (Louie Zervos KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 3PUNT
6 plays · -4 yds · 0:006% → 6%
Q1 10:56
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+3
94.0%
Van Edwards Jr. run for 3 yds to the Akron 18Similar
Q1 10:56
2ND & 7
OWN 18
+3
94.0%
Kato Nelson run for 3 yds to the Akron 21Similar
Q1 10:56
3RD & 4
OWN 21
-5
94.0%
AKRON Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Akron 16Similar
Q1 10:56
3RD & 9
OWN 16
-5
94.0%
Kato Nelson sacked by Amos Ogun-Semore for a loss of 5 yards to the Akron 11Similar
Q1 10:56
4TH & 14
OWN 11
0
94.0%
Nick Gasser punt for 49 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Ohio 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 4PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:0094% → 94%
Q1 8:48
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+1
93.8%
A.J. Ouellette run for 1 yd to the Ohio 41Similar
Q1 8:48
2ND & 9
OWN 41
0
93.8%
Nathan Rourke pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:48
3RD & 9
OWN 41
0
93.7%
Nathan Rourke pass incomplete to Papi WhiteSimilar
Q1 8:48
4TH & 9
OWN 41
0
93.6%
Michael Farkas punt for 49 yds, fair catch by Jeremiah Knight at the Akron 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 5INT
3 plays · 2 yds · 0:007% → 7%
Q1 7:54
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+15
93.5%
Kato Nelson pass complete to Kwadarrius Smith for 15 yds to the Akron 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-13
93.5%
EDWARDS, Van rush for no gain to the AKRON25 (NELSON, K.), PENALTY AKRON personal foul 13 yards to the AKRON12, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 7:54
1ST & 23
OWN 12
0
93.5%
Kato Nelson pass intercepted Austin Conrad return for no gain to the Akron 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 6TD
7 plays · 20 yds · 2:1994% → 94%
Q1 6:45
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
93.6%
Nathan Rourke pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:45
2ND & 10
OPP 20
+11
93.6%
Maleek Irons run for 11 yds to the Akron 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:45
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
0
93.6%
Nathan Rourke pass incomplete to Papi White, broken up by Denzel ButlerSimilar
Q1 6:45
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
-7
93.6%
Nathan Rourke run for a loss of 7 yards to the Akron 16Similar
Q1 6:45
3RD & GOAL
OPP 16
+15
93.4%
Nathan Rourke run for 15 yds to the Akron 1Similar
Q1 4:26
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
94.2%
Nathan Rourke run for 1 yd for a TD (Louie Zervos KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 7PUNT RETURN TD
5 plays · -7 yds · 1:396% → 4%
Q1 4:17
1ST & 10
OWN 8
-5
93.9%
Van Edwards Jr. run for a loss of 5 yards to the Akron 3Similar
Q1 4:17
2ND & 15
OWN 3
-2
94.0%
Keyondre White run for a loss of 2 yards to the Akron 1Similar
Q1 4:17
3RD & 17
OWN 1
0
94.0%
Kato Nelson pass incomplete to Kwadarrius SmithSimilar
Q1 2:38
4TH & 17
OWN 1
+37
95.6%
Nick Gasser punt for 36 yds , Kylan Nelson returns for 37 yds for a TD (Louie Zervos KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 8TD
9 plays · 69 yds · 2:435% → 7%
Q1 2:31
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+4
95.4%
Kato Nelson pass complete to Jonah Morris for 4 yds to the Akron 35Similar
Q1 2:31
2ND & 6
OWN 35
+6
95.4%
Kato Nelson run for 6 yds to the Akron 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:31
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
95.4%
Kato Nelson pass incomplete to Jonah MorrisSimilar
Q1 2:31
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+23
95.4%
Kato Nelson pass complete to Jonah Morris for 8 yds to the Ohio 49 for a 1ST down OHIO Penalty, personal foul (15 Yards) to the Ohio 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:31
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+1
95.2%
Kato Nelson run for 1 yd to the Ohio 35Similar
Q1 2:31
2ND & 9
OPP 35
+25
95.2%
Kato Nelson pass complete to Jonah Morris for 25 yds to the Ohio 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
0
95.2%
Kato Nelson pass incomplete to Kwadarrius SmithSimilar
Q2 14:48
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
+10
92.7%
Kato Nelson pass complete to Van Edwards Jr. for 10 yds for a TD (Nick Gasser KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 9PUNT
6 plays · 15 yds · 0:0094% → 94%
Q2 14:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
93.7%
Maleek Irons run for 10 yds to the Ohio 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:48
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+6
93.7%
Maleek Irons run for 6 yds to the Ohio 41Similar
Q2 14:48
2ND & 4
OWN 41
-7
93.9%
Nathan Rourke sacked by Justin Sampson for a loss of 7 yards to the Ohio 34Similar
Q2 14:48
3RD & 11
OWN 34
+6
93.5%
Maleek Irons run for 6 yds to the Ohio 40Similar
Q2 14:48
4TH & 5
OWN 40
0
93.6%
Michael Farkas punt for 23 yds, downed at the Akron 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 10MISSED FG
12 plays · 33 yds · 2:437% → 7%
Q2 12:01
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
92.8%
Kato Nelson pass incomplete to Kwadarrius SmithSimilar
Q2 12:01
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+15
92.9%
Kato Nelson pass incomplete for a 1ST down OHIO Penalty, personal foul (15 Yards) to the Ohio 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:01
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+1
92.6%
Van Edwards Jr. run for 1 yd to the Ohio 47Similar
Q2 12:01
2ND & 9
OPP 47
-1
92.6%
Van Edwards Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the Ohio 48Similar
Q2 12:01
3RD & 10
OPP 48
+12
92.8%
Kato Nelson pass complete to Jeremiah Knight for 12 yds to the Ohio 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:01
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
92.5%
Kato Nelson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:01
2ND & 10
OPP 36
-5
92.6%
AKRON Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Ohio 41Similar
Q2 12:01
2ND & 15
OPP 41
-5
92.8%
AKRON Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Ohio 46Similar
Q2 12:01
2ND & 20
OPP 46
+16
92.8%
Kato Nelson pass complete to Kwadarrius Smith for 16 yds to the Ohio 30Similar
Q2 9:26
3RD & 4
OPP 30
0
93.0%
Kato Nelson pass incomplete to Jeremiah Knight, broken up by Andrew PayneSimilar
Q2 9:18
4TH & 4
OPP 30
+47
93.2%
Nick Gasser 47 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 11TD
7 plays · 70 yds · 3:4594% → 98%
Q2 9:18
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+17
93.7%
Nathan Rourke pass complete to Papi White for 17 yds to the Ohio 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:18
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+13
94.0%
A.J. Ouellette run for 13 yds to the Akron 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:18
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+5
94.1%
Nathan Rourke run for 5 yds to the Akron 35Similar
Q2 9:18
2ND & 5
OPP 35
-3
94.1%
Nathan Rourke run for a loss of 3 yards to the Akron 38Similar
Q2 9:18
3RD & 8
OPP 38
+18
93.9%
A.J. Ouellette run for 18 yds to the Akron 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:18
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+4
94.1%
A.J. Ouellette run for 4 yds to the Akron 16Similar
Q2 5:33
2ND & 6
OPP 16
+16
97.5%
A.J. Ouellette run for 16 yds for a TD (Louie Zervos KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 12PUNT
12 plays · 24 yds · 0:004% → 3%
Q2 5:33
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
96.5%
Kato Nelson pass complete to Andre Williams for 11 yds to the Akron 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:33
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-5
96.3%
AKRON Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Akron 31Similar
Q2 5:33
1ST & 15
OWN 31
+14
96.5%
Kato Nelson pass complete to Jonah Morris for 14 yds to the Akron 45Similar
Q2 5:33
2ND & 1
OWN 45
+1
96.1%
Van Edwards Jr. run for 1 yd to the Akron 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:33
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+3
96.3%
Kato Nelson run for 3 yds to the Akron 49Similar
Q2 5:33
2ND & 7
OWN 49
+10
96.2%
Kato Nelson pass complete to Jonah Morris for 10 yds to the Ohio 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:33
1ST & 10
OPP 41
-10
96.1%
NELSON, Kato pass incomplete to MORRIS, Jonah, QB hurry by OGUN-SEMORE, A., PENALTY AKRON holding 10 yards to the AKRON49, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 5:33
1ST & 20
OWN 49
0
96.4%
Kato Nelson pass incomplete to Kwadarrius SmithSimilar
Q2 5:33
2ND & 20
OWN 49
0
96.5%
Kato Nelson pass incomplete to Jonah MorrisSimilar
Q2 5:33
3RD & 20
OWN 49
0
96.6%
Kato Nelson pass incomplete to Jonah MorrisSimilar
Q2 5:33
4TH & 20
OWN 49
0
96.6%
Nick Gasser punt for 39 yds, downed at the Ohio 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 13PUNT
7 plays · 42 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q2 2:23
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+5
97.6%
A.J. Ouellette run for 5 yds to the Ohio 17Similar
Q2 2:23
2ND & 5
OWN 17
+15
97.6%
OUELLETTE, A. pass incomplete to ODOM, C., PENALTY AKRON pass interference 15 yards to the OHIO32, 1ST DOWN OHIO, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 2:23
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+17
97.6%
Nathan Rourke pass complete to A.J. Ouellette for 17 yds to the Ohio 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:23
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+5
97.8%
A.J. Ouellette run for 5 yds to the Akron 46Similar
Q2 2:23
2ND & 5
OPP 46
0
97.7%
Nathan Rourke pass incomplete to A.J. OuelletteSimilar
Q2 2:23
3RD & 5
OPP 46
0
97.7%
Nathan Rourke pass incomplete to Papi White, broken up by Denzel ButlerSimilar
Q2 2:23
4TH & 5
OPP 46
0
97.5%
Michael Farkas punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Jeremiah Knight at the Akron 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 14END OF HALF
2 plays · 6 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q2 1:02
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+1
97.0%
Van Edwards Jr. run for 1 yd to the Akron 15Similar
Q2 1:02
2ND & 9
OWN 15
+5
97.0%
Van Edwards Jr. run for 5 yds to the Akron 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 15PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:0098% → 97%
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 27
-6
97.6%
Nathan Rourke sacked by Kyron Brown for a loss of 6 yards to the Ohio 21Similar
Q3 14:54
2ND & 16
OWN 21
0
97.5%
Nathan Rourke pass incomplete to Maleek IronsSimilar
Q3 14:54
3RD & 16
OWN 21
+7
97.4%
Nathan Rourke pass complete to Maleek Irons for 7 yds to the Ohio 28Similar
Q3 14:54
4TH & 9
OWN 28
0
97.3%
Michael Farkas punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Jeremiah Knight at the Akron 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 16PUNT
5 plays · 23 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q3 13:25
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+15
97.1%
NELSON, Kato pass complete to WILLIAMS, Andre for loss of 1 yard to the AKRON28 (DORSA, J.), PENALTY OHIO personal foul 15 yards to the AKRON44, 1ST DOWN AKRON, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 13:25
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+5
97.0%
Van Edwards Jr. run for 5 yds to the Akron 49Similar
Q3 13:25
2ND & 5
OWN 49
+3
96.9%
Kato Nelson pass complete to Andre Williams for 3 yds to the Ohio 48Similar
Q3 13:25
3RD & 2
OPP 48
0
96.9%
Kato Nelson pass incomplete to Andre Williams, broken up by Jamal HudsonSimilar
Q3 13:25
4TH & 2
OPP 48
0
96.9%
Nick Gasser punt for 24 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Ohio 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 17INT
5 plays · 24 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q3 11:38
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+10
97.8%
Maleek Irons run for 10 yds to the Ohio 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:38
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+10
97.8%
Maleek Irons run for 10 yds to the Ohio 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:38
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+8
97.9%
Maleek Irons run for 8 yds to the Akron 48Similar
Q3 11:38
2ND & 2
OPP 48
-4
97.9%
Nathan Rourke run for a loss of 4 yards to the Ohio 48Similar
Q3 11:38
3RD & 6
OWN 48
0
97.9%
Nathan Rourke pass intercepted Darian Dailey return for no gain to the Akron 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 18TD
8 plays · 84 yds · 3:262% → 9%
Q3 8:51
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+6
97.7%
Kato Nelson run for 6 yds to the Akron 22Similar
Q3 8:51
2ND & 4
OWN 22
+20
97.6%
Kato Nelson pass complete to Andre Williams for 5 yds to the Akron 27 for a 1ST down OHIO Penalty, personal foul (15 Yards) to the Akron 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:51
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+2
97.5%
Van Edwards Jr. run for 2 yds to the Akron 44Similar
Q3 8:51
2ND & 8
OWN 44
+12
97.5%
Kato Nelson pass complete to Andre Williams for 12 yds to the Ohio 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:51
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+5
97.5%
NELSON, Kato pass complete to BENNETT, Mykel for 6 yards to the OHIO38, PENALTY OHIO offside 5 yards to the OHIO39, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 8:51
1ST & 5
OPP 39
+7
97.4%
Kato Nelson run for 7 yds to the Ohio 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:51
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+15
97.3%
Kato Nelson pass complete to Van Edwards Jr. for 15 yds to the Ohio 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:25
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+17
91.2%
Kato Nelson pass complete to Andre Williams for 17 yds for a TD (Nick Gasser KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 19TD
6 plays · 75 yds · 2:1694% → 99%
Q3 5:25
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+25
94.3%
A.J. Ouellette run for 25 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:25
1ST & 10
50
+44
94.7%
A.J. Ouellette run for 44 yds to the Akron 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:25
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
0
94.7%
Nathan Rourke pass incomplete to Connor BrownSimilar
Q3 5:25
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+5
94.7%
A.J. Ouellette run for 5 yds to the Akron 1Similar
Q3 3:09
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
98.5%
Nathan Rourke run for 1 yd for a TD (Louie Zervos KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 20TD
11 plays · 79 yds · 3:442% → 7%
Q3 3:03
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
98.2%
Kato Nelson pass incomplete to Jonah Morris, broken up by Jamal HudsonSimilar
Q3 3:03
2ND & 10
OWN 21
+33
98.2%
Kato Nelson pass complete to Kwadarrius Smith for 33 yds to the Ohio 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:03
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
98.1%
Kato Nelson pass incomplete to Kwadarrius Smith, broken up by Ilyaas MotleySimilar
Q3 3:03
2ND & 10
OPP 46
-9
98.1%
Kato Nelson sacked by Evan Croutch for a loss of 9 yards to the Akron 45Similar
Q3 3:03
3RD & 19
OWN 45
+23
98.3%
Kato Nelson pass complete to Andre Williams for 23 yds to the Ohio 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:03
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+13
97.9%
Kato Nelson pass complete to Van Edwards Jr. for 13 yds to the Ohio 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:03
1ST & 10
OPP 19
0
97.9%
Kato Nelson pass incomplete to Andre WilliamsSimilar
Q3 3:03
2ND & 10
OPP 19
+3
97.9%
Kato Nelson run for 3 yds to the Ohio 16Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 7
OPP 16
+10
98.7%
Kato Nelson pass complete to Andre Williams for 10 yds to the Ohio 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:19
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
92.6%
Kato Nelson pass complete to Brian Reinke for 6 yds for a TD (Nick Gasser KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 21TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 5:5896% → 99%
Q4 14:19
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
95.7%
A.J. Ouellette run for a loss of 2 yards to the Ohio 23Similar
Q4 14:19
2ND & 12
OWN 23
+18
95.7%
Nathan Rourke run for 18 yds to the Ohio 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:19
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-5
96.0%
ROURKE, N. pass incomplete to MEYER, A., PENALTY OHIO ineligible downfield on pass 5 yards to the OHIO36, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 14:19
1ST & 15
OWN 36
+15
95.8%
A.J. Ouellette run for 15 yds to the Akron 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:19
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+8
96.1%
Nathan Rourke run for 8 yds to the Akron 41Similar
Q4 14:19
2ND & 2
OPP 41
+4
96.1%
A.J. Ouellette run for 4 yds to the Akron 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:19
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+8
96.1%
Nathan Rourke run for 8 yds to the Akron 29Similar
Q4 14:19
2ND & 2
OPP 29
+17
96.1%
Nathan Rourke run for 17 yds to the Akron 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:19
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+5
96.1%
Nathan Rourke run for 5 yds to the Akron 7Similar
Q4 14:19
2ND & 5
OPP 7
+2
96.1%
Maleek Irons run for 2 yds to the Akron 5Similar
Q4 8:21
3RD & 3
OPP 5
+5
99.2%
Nathan Rourke run for 5 yds for a TD (Louie Zervos KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 22TD
6 plays · 93 yds · 1:301% → 7%
Q4 8:15
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+8
99.2%
Van Edwards Jr. run for 8 yds to the Akron 15Similar
Q4 8:15
2ND & 2
OWN 15
+23
99.2%
Kato Nelson pass complete to Jeremiah Knight for 23 yds to the Akron 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:15
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
99.1%
Kato Nelson pass incomplete to Van Edwards Jr.Similar
Q4 8:15
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+50
99.1%
Kato Nelson pass complete to Jeremiah Knight for 50 yds to the Ohio 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:45
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+12
93.4%
Kato Nelson pass complete to Mykel Traylor-Bennett for 12 yds for a TD OHIO Penalty, personal foul ( Yards) declined (Nick Gasser KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 23TD
14 plays · 75 yds · 6:4097% → 100%
Q4 6:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
96.6%
Nathan Rourke run for 9 yds to the Ohio 34Similar
Q4 6:45
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+8
96.7%
Maleek Irons run for 8 yds to the Ohio 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:45
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+3
96.9%
Maleek Irons run for 3 yds to the Ohio 45Similar
Q4 6:45
2ND & 7
OWN 45
+6
96.9%
Maleek Irons run for 6 yds to the Akron 49Similar
Q4 6:45
3RD & 1
OPP 49
+5
96.9%
Maleek Irons run for 5 yds to the Akron 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:45
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+7
96.9%
Maleek Irons run for 7 yds to the Akron 37Similar
Q4 3:08
2ND & 3
OPP 37
+3
98.3%
Maleek Irons run for 3 yds to the Akron 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:08
1ST & 10
OPP 34
-3
98.3%
Maleek Irons run for a loss of 3 yards to the Akron 37Similar
Q4 3:08
2ND & 13
OPP 37
+34
98.2%
Maleek Irons run for 34 yds to the Akron 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:08
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
0
98.2%
Maleek Irons run for no gain to the Akron 3Similar
Q4 3:08
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
0
98.3%
Maleek Irons run for no gain to the Akron 3Similar
Q4 0:05
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
99.7%
Nathan Rourke run for 3 yds for a TD (Louie Zervos KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 5:25
Kato Nelson pass complete to Andre Williams for 17 yds for a TD (Nick Gasser KICK)
-6.1
TD · Q4 14:19
Kato Nelson pass complete to Brian Reinke for 6 yds for a TD (Nick Gasser KICK)
-6.1
TD · Q4 6:45
Kato Nelson pass complete to Mykel Traylor-Bennett for 12 yds for a TD OHIO Penalty, personal foul ( Yards) declined (Nick Gasser KICK)
-5.7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com