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NIU

Northern Illinois 21 at Western Michigan 28

WMU
2018 · Week 13 · Nov 20, 2018 · Waldo Stadium
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Win probability · WMU
modelWMU aheadNIU aheadconfidence bandkey playWMU scoreNIU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGFGTDTDFUMBLETDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 15:00 · Marcus Childers pass incomplete
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+26.5+13.30−13.3−26.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 46Pregame prior−10.2Home team on offense−1.6Garbage-time factor+0.1Score differential−1.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.7Blowout margin+0.2
This game in five plays
  1. FG · Q2 4:52: Gavin Peddie 42 yd FG GOOD — WMU win probability +7.6 pts (now 56%) (top driver: WMU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 9:44: Marcus Childers run for 1 yd for a TD (Andrew Gantz KICK) — NIU win probability +12.2 pts (now 61%) (top driver: NIU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 1:28: Kaleb Eleby run for 2 yds for a TD (Kaleb Eleby pass to Jayden Reed for Two-Point Conversion) — WMU win probability +24.2 pts (now 77%) (top driver: WMU has the ball).
  4. FUMBLE · Q3 0:28: LeVante Bellamy run for a loss of 1 yard LeVante Bellamy fumbled, recovered by NoIll Sutton Smith , return for 85 yds (Andrew Gantz KICK) — NIU win probability +21.5 pts (now 41%) (top driver: WMU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 1:36: Jamauri Bogan run for 1 yd for a TD (Gavin Peddie KICK) — WMU win probability +30.6 pts (now 96%) (top driver: WMU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
WMU made the numbers' call on 8 of 9NIU made the numbers' call on 6 of 7
  1. Q1 7:20WMU 4th & 10 at NIU 19, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 40.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.5%−0.3
    27% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    40.7%
    77% to make
    Punt
    39.4%−1.4
    average punt
  2. Q1 5:05WMU 4th & 8 at WMU 44, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 38.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.3%−0.2
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    38.5%
    average punt
  3. Q2 15:00NIU 4th & 3 at WMU 28, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 60.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    60.8%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    60.5%−0.3
    60% to make
    Punt
    58.4%−2.4
    average punt
  4. Q2 10:16WMU 4th & 8 at NIU 28, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 43.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.9%−0.2
    34% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    43.0%
    60% to make
    Punt
    40.8%−2.2
    average punt
  5. Q2 10:09NIU 4th & 9 at NIU 16, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 53.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.5%−1.0
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    53.5%
    average punt
  6. Q2 4:52WMU 4th & 6 at NIU 24, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 48.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    48.0%−0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    48.0%
    68% to make
    Punt
    43.0%−5.1
    average punt
  7. Q2 4:52NIU 4th & 16 at NIU 19, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 46.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.7%−2.4
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    46.2%
    average punt
  8. Q2 2:46WMU 4th & 6 at NIU 48, up 6
    Close callPunted · 55.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.5%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    55.1%−0.4
    average punt
  9. Q2 1:00NIU 4th & 2 at NIU 23, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 44.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.7%−0.7
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    43.3%
    average punt
  10. Q3 9:44WMU 4th & 8 at WMU 37, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 42.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.0%−1.3
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    43.4%
    average punt
  11. Q3 8:44NIU 4th & 6 at WMU 48, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 57.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.2%−0.3
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    58.5%
    average punt
  12. Q4 15:00WMU 4th & 9 at NIU 43, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 51.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.0%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    50.5%−1.6
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    52.1%
    average punt
  13. Q4 14:03NIU 4th & 4 at NIU 19, tied
    Close callPunted · 48.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    48.6%
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    48.6%−<0.1
    average punt
  14. Q4 12:01WMU 4th & 14 at WMU 25, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 49.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.6%−6.7
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    51.4%
    average punt
  15. Q4 9:10NIU 4th & 10 at NIU 48, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 48.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.2%−2.9
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    48.1%
    average punt
  16. Q4 7:32WMU 4th & 1 at NIU 37, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 57.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    57.2%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    47.9%−9.4
    40% to make
    Punt
    47.0%−10.3
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
WMU made the numbers' call on 2 of 3NIU made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 12:01WMU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    36.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    36.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 5:05NIU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    60.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    60.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 9:44NIU Touchdown, tied before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    53.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    53.5%−0.2
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 1:28WMU Touchdown, up 5 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    64.9%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    64.6%−0.3
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 1:36WMU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    88.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    86.3%−1.7
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
WMUDrive 1TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 2:5937% → 39%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
36.7%
Kaleb Eleby pass complete to Jayden Reed for 15 yds to the WMich 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+5
36.7%
LeVante Bellamy run for 5 yds to the WMich 45Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 45
+5
36.7%
LeVante Bellamy run for 5 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
50
+1
36.7%
LeVante Bellamy run for 1 yd to the NoIll 49Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 49
0
36.7%
Kaleb Eleby pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 9
OPP 49
+5
36.7%
NORTHERNIL Penalty, offside defense (5 Yards) to the NoIll 44Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 4
OPP 44
+39
36.7%
Kaleb Eleby pass complete to Jayden Reed for 39 yds to the NoIll 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+3
36.7%
Jamauri Bogan run for 3 yds to the NoIll 2Similar
Q1 12:01
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
39.2%
Jamauri Bogan run for 2 yds for a TD (Gavin Peddie KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 2FUMBLE
7 plays · -4 yds · 0:0061% → 61%
Q1 12:01
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+2
38.8%
Tre Harbison run for 2 yds to the NoIll 25Similar
Q1 12:01
2ND & 8
OWN 25
+2
38.8%
Tre Harbison run for 2 yds to the NoIll 27Similar
Q1 12:01
3RD & 6
OWN 27
+9
38.9%
Marcus Childers pass complete to D.J. Brown for 9 yds to the NoIll 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:01
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+3
38.7%
D.J. Brown run for 3 yds to the NoIll 39Similar
Q1 12:01
2ND & 7
OWN 39
-7
38.7%
Marcus Childers sacked by Ralph Holley for a loss of 7 yards to the NoIll 32Similar
Q1 12:01
3RD & 14
OWN 32
-13
38.9%
Marcus Childers sacked by Eric Assoua for a loss of 13 yards to the NoIll 19 Marcus Childers fumbled, recovered by WMich Ken Finley , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 3MISSED FG
4 plays · 0 yds · 1:5542% → 43%
Q1 9:15
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+7
41.7%
LeVante Bellamy run for 7 yds to the NoIll 12Similar
Q1 9:15
2ND & 3
OPP 12
+1
41.7%
LeVante Bellamy run for 1 yd to the NoIll 11Similar
Q1 9:15
3RD & 2
OPP 11
-8
41.5%
Kaleb Eleby sacked by Sutton Smith for a loss of 8 yards to the NoIll 19Similar
Q1 7:20
4TH & 10
OPP 19
+36
42.5%
Gavin Peddie 36 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 4TD
6 plays · 80 yds · 2:1558% → 60%
Q1 7:20
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
42.3%
Tre Harbison run for 4 yds to the NoIll 24Similar
Q1 7:20
2ND & 6
OWN 24
+7
42.2%
Marcus Childers pass complete to Spencer Tears for 7 yds to the NoIll 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:20
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+12
42.2%
Marcus Childers pass complete to Jauan Wesley for 12 yds to the NoIll 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:20
1ST & 10
OWN 43
-4
41.9%
Marcus Childers pass complete to D.J. Brown for a loss of 4 yards to the NoIll 39Similar
Q1 7:20
2ND & 14
OWN 39
+3
42.3%
Tre Harbison run for 3 yds to the NoIll 42Similar
Q1 5:05
3RD & 11
OWN 42
+58
40.0%
Marcus Childers pass complete to Spencer Tears for 58 yds for a TD (Andrew Gantz KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 5PUNT
8 plays · 19 yds · 0:0040% → 40%
Q1 5:05
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
40.2%
LeVante Bellamy run for no gain to the WMich 25Similar
Q1 5:05
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+2
40.2%
LeVante Bellamy run for 2 yds to the WMich 27Similar
Q1 5:05
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+15
39.7%
LeVante Bellamy run for 15 yds to the WMich 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:05
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+2
41.0%
Jamauri Bogan run for 2 yds to the WMich 44Similar
Q1 5:05
2ND & 8
OWN 44
0
41.1%
Kaleb Eleby pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:05
3RD & 8
OWN 44
0
40.5%
Kaleb Eleby pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:05
4TH & 8
OWN 44
+34
40.0%
Nick Mihalic punt for 34 yds , Cole Tucker returns for a loss of 1 yard to the NoIll 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 6DOWNS
11 plays · 51 yds · 2:1759% → 60%
Q1 2:17
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+12
40.6%
Marcus Childers run for 12 yds to the NoIll 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:17
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
40.3%
Tre Harbison run for no gain to the NoIll 33Similar
Q1 2:17
2ND & 10
OWN 33
-2
40.5%
Marcus Childers sacked by Ralph Holley for a loss of 2 yards to the NoIll 31Similar
Q1 2:17
3RD & 12
OWN 31
+19
41.1%
Marcus Childers pass complete to D.J. Brown for 19 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:50
1ST & 10
50
+7
39.2%
Marcus Childers run for 7 yds to the WMich 43Similar
Q1 0:50
2ND & 3
OPP 43
+8
39.0%
Marcus Childers run for 8 yds to the WMich 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:50
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+8
38.7%
Tre Harbison run for 8 yds to the WMich 27Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 2
OPP 27
-3
38.7%
Tre Harbison run for a loss of 3 yards to the WMich 30Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 5
OPP 30
+2
39.3%
Marcus Childers run for 2 yds to the WMich 28Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 3
OPP 28
0
40.2%
Marcus Childers pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 7FG
10 plays · 44 yds · 3:5643% → 46%
Q2 14:12
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+16
42.5%
Kaleb Eleby pass complete to D'Wayne Eskridge for 16 yds to the WMich 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:12
1ST & 10
OWN 44
-3
43.8%
Kaleb Eleby sacked by Jack Heflin for a loss of 3 yards to the WMich 41Similar
Q2 14:12
2ND & 13
OWN 41
+14
42.8%
Kaleb Eleby pass complete to Keishawn Watson for 14 yds to the NoIll 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:12
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+2
44.2%
Chase Brown run for 2 yds to the NoIll 43Similar
Q2 14:12
2ND & 8
OPP 43
+3
44.2%
Chase Brown run for 3 yds to the NoIll 40Similar
Q2 14:12
3RD & 5
OPP 40
+10
43.8%
ELEBY, KALEB pass incomplete to WATSON, K, PENALTY NIU holding (EMBRY, Jalen) 10 yards to the NIU30, 1ST DOWN WMU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 14:12
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+2
44.6%
Jamauri Bogan run for 2 yds to the NoIll 28Similar
Q2 14:12
2ND & 8
OPP 28
0
44.6%
Kaleb Eleby pass incomplete to Keishawn WatsonSimilar
Q2 14:12
3RD & 8
OPP 28
0
43.9%
Kaleb Eleby pass incomplete to LeVante BellamySimilar
Q2 10:16
4TH & 8
OPP 28
+45
45.5%
Gavin Peddie 45 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:0054% → 53%
Q2 10:09
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+3
45.7%
Marcus Jones run for 3 yds to the NoIll 18Similar
Q2 10:09
2ND & 7
OWN 18
-2
45.7%
Marcus Childers run for a loss of 2 yards to the NoIll 16Similar
Q2 10:09
3RD & 9
OWN 16
0
46.6%
Marcus Childers pass incomplete to Spencer TearsSimilar
Q2 10:09
4TH & 9
OWN 16
0
47.3%
Matt Ference punt for 36 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the WMich 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 9FG
10 plays · 28 yds · 4:0648% → 56%
Q2 8:58
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+2
47.9%
LeVante Bellamy run for 2 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 8:58
2ND & 8
OWN 0
0
45.4%
BELLAMY, L rush for 1 yard to the NIU49 (COLE, Jordan), PENALTY NIU E off-setting, PENALTY WMU E off-setting, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 8:58
2ND & 8
50
+9
48.0%
Kaleb Eleby pass complete to Jayden Reed for 9 yds to the NoIll 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:58
1ST & 10
OPP 41
-9
48.3%
Jayden Reed run for a loss of 9 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 8:58
2ND & 19
50
+10
46.6%
Chase Brown run for 10 yds to the NoIll 40Similar
Q2 8:58
3RD & 9
OPP 40
+12
47.4%
Kaleb Eleby pass complete to Giovanni Ricci for 12 yds to the NoIll 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:58
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+4
48.7%
Kaleb Eleby pass complete to Jayden Reed for 4 yds to the NoIll 24Similar
Q2 8:58
2ND & 6
OPP 24
0
48.7%
Kaleb Eleby pass incomplete to Jayden ReedSimilar
Q2 8:58
3RD & 6
OPP 24
0
47.9%
Kaleb Eleby pass incomplete to Giovanni RicciSimilar
Q2 4:52
4TH & 6
OPP 24
+42
55.6%
Gavin Peddie 42 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 10PUNT
5 plays · -6 yds · 0:0048% → 46%
Q2 4:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
52.2%
Marcus Jones run for 3 yds to the NoIll 28Similar
Q2 4:52
2ND & 7
OWN 28
-2
51.7%
Marcus Jones run for a loss of 2 yards to the NoIll 26Similar
Q2 4:52
3RD & 9
OWN 26
-7
53.2%
Marcus Childers sacked by Ali Fayad for a loss of 7 yards to the NoIll 19Similar
Q2 4:52
4TH & 16
OWN 19
0
54.2%
Matt Ference punt for 33 yds, downed at the WMich 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 11PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:0059% → 56%
Q2 2:46
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+3
58.7%
LeVante Bellamy run for 3 yds to the NoIll 49Similar
Q2 2:46
2ND & 7
OPP 49
0
58.8%
Kaleb Eleby pass incomplete to D'Wayne EskridgeSimilar
Q2 2:46
3RD & 7
OPP 49
+6
57.7%
LeVante Bellamy run for 6 yds to the NoIll 43Similar
Q2 2:46
4TH & 1
OPP 43
-5
56.9%
WESTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, false start (Giovanni Ricci) to the NoIll 48Similar
Q2 2:46
4TH & 6
OPP 48
0
56.4%
Nick Mihalic punt for 33 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 12PUNT
6 plays · 8 yds · 0:3846% → 44%
Q2 1:38
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+6
54.2%
Marcus Childers pass complete to D.J. Brown for 6 yds to the NoIll 21Similar
Q2 1:38
2ND & 4
OWN 21
-3
53.6%
Marcus Childers run for a loss of 3 yards to the NoIll 16 Marcus Childers fumbled, forced by Ali Fayad,Similar
Q2 1:09
3RD & 9
OWN 16
+7
56.0%
Marcus Childers run for 7 yds to the NoIll 23Similar
Q2 1:00
4TH & 2
OWN 23
0
56.0%
Matt Ference punt for 30 yds, fair catch by Jayden Reed at the WMich 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 13END OF HALF
4 plays · 27 yds · 0:0057% → 57%
Q2 0:53
1ST & 10
OWN 47
-4
56.5%
Kaleb Eleby sacked by Sutton Smith for a loss of 4 yards to the WMich 43Similar
Q2 0:53
2ND & 14
OWN 43
+13
54.9%
Kaleb Eleby pass complete to LeVante Bellamy for 13 yds to the NoIll 44Similar
Q2 0:53
3RD & 1
OPP 44
+5
55.9%
LeVante Bellamy run for 5 yds to the NoIll 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:53
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+13
57.1%
Kaleb Eleby pass complete to D'Wayne Eskridge for 13 yds to the NoIll 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 14TD
17 plays · 82 yds · 5:1644% → 61%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 18
0
55.8%
Marcus Childers pass incomplete to Spencer TearsSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 18
+5
56.1%
Tre Harbison run for 5 yds to the NoIll 23Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 5
OWN 23
+10
56.8%
Marcus Childers run for 10 yds to the NoIll 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+5
55.1%
Tre Harbison run for 5 yds to the NoIll 38Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 38
+3
53.3%
Marcus Childers run for 3 yds to the NoIll 41Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 2
OWN 41
+2
53.5%
Marcus Childers run for 2 yds to the NoIll 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+10
54.1%
Marcus Childers pass complete to Dennis Robinson for 10 yds to the WMich 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+3
52.5%
D.J. Brown run for 3 yds to the WMich 44Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 44
+4
52.5%
Marcus Childers pass complete to Spencer Tears for 4 yds to the WMich 40Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 3
OPP 40
+4
52.5%
Marcus Childers run for 4 yds to the WMich 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+5
52.5%
Marcus Childers run for 5 yds to the WMich 31Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 31
+4
50.9%
Tre Harbison run for 4 yds to the WMich 27Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 27
+3
52.3%
Tre Harbison run for 3 yds to the WMich 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+20
50.9%
Marcus Childers pass complete to Jauan Wesley for 20 yds to the WMich 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+3
50.9%
Tre Harbison run for 3 yds to the WMich 1Similar
Q3 9:44
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
38.7%
Marcus Childers run for 1 yd for a TD (Andrew Gantz KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 15PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:0046% → 43%
Q3 9:44
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
45.5%
LeVante Bellamy run for 2 yds to the WMich 37Similar
Q3 9:44
2ND & 8
OWN 37
0
46.2%
Kaleb Eleby pass incomplete to Jayden ReedSimilar
Q3 9:44
3RD & 8
OWN 37
0
44.7%
Kaleb Eleby pass incomplete to D'Wayne EskridgeSimilar
Q3 9:44
4TH & 8
OWN 37
0
43.2%
Nick Mihalic punt for 55 yds, downed at the NoIll 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 16PUNT
10 plays · 44 yds · 0:0056% → 57%
Q3 8:44
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+8
44.2%
Marcus Childers pass complete to Spencer Tears for 8 yds to the NoIll 16Similar
Q3 8:44
2ND & 2
OWN 16
+4
43.6%
Marcus Childers pass complete to Spencer Tears for 4 yds to the NoIll 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:44
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
43.6%
Tre Harbison run for 3 yds to the NoIll 23Similar
Q3 8:44
2ND & 7
OWN 23
+12
43.6%
Marcus Childers run for 12 yds to the NoIll 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:44
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
42.7%
Marcus Childers pass incomplete to Spencer Tears, broken up by Stefan ClaiborneSimilar
Q3 8:44
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+13
43.2%
Marcus Childers run for 13 yds to the NoIll 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:44
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+1
40.6%
Tre Harbison run for 1 yd to the NoIll 49Similar
Q3 8:44
2ND & 9
OWN 49
+3
40.8%
Marcus Childers run for 3 yds to the WMich 48Similar
Q3 8:44
3RD & 6
OPP 48
0
40.7%
Marcus Childers pass incomplete to Dennis RobinsonSimilar
Q3 8:44
4TH & 6
OPP 48
0
43.1%
Matt Ference punt for 35 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the WMich 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 17TD
9 plays · 87 yds · 3:5346% → 77%
Q3 5:21
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+15
45.7%
Kaleb Eleby pass complete to D'Wayne Eskridge for 15 yds to the WMich 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:21
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+39
46.4%
Kaleb Eleby pass complete to D'Wayne Eskridge for 39 yds to the NoIll 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:21
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
52.5%
Kaleb Eleby pass incomplete to D'Wayne EskridgeSimilar
Q3 5:21
2ND & 10
OPP 33
+1
52.4%
LeVante Bellamy run for 1 yd to the NoIll 32Similar
Q3 5:21
3RD & 9
OPP 32
+12
50.1%
Kaleb Eleby pass complete to Giovanni Ricci for 12 yds to the NoIll 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:21
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+11
52.5%
Kaleb Eleby pass complete to Jayden Reed for 11 yds to the NoIll 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:21
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
0
52.5%
Jamauri Bogan run for no gain to the NoIll 9Similar
Q3 5:21
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+7
52.5%
Kaleb Eleby pass complete to Chase Brown for 7 yds to the NoIll 2Similar
Q3 1:28
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
76.7%
Kaleb Eleby run for 2 yds for a TD (Kaleb Eleby pass to Jayden Reed for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 18INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:0029% → 29%
Q3 1:28
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
70.7%
Marcus Childers pass intercepted Drake Spears return for 6 yds to the NoIll 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 19FUMBLE TD
3 plays · 9 yds · 0:5280% → 59%
Q3 1:20
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+12
80.1%
Kaleb Eleby run for 12 yds to the NoIll 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:20
1ST & 10
OPP 12
0
80.1%
Kaleb Eleby pass incomplete to Drake HarrisSimilar
Q3 0:28
2ND & 10
OPP 12
+85
58.6%
LeVante Bellamy run for a loss of 1 yard LeVante Bellamy fumbled, recovered by NoIll Sutton Smith , return for 85 yds (Andrew Gantz KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 20PUNT
6 plays · 32 yds · 0:2852% → 52%
Q3 0:28
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+31
52.2%
Kaleb Eleby pass complete to D'Wayne Eskridge for 31 yds to the NoIll 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:28
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+9
57.3%
Kaleb Eleby pass complete to D'Wayne Eskridge for 9 yds to the NoIll 35Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 1
OPP 35
-8
58.8%
Kaleb Eleby sacked by Matt Lorbeck for a loss of 8 yards to the NoIll 43Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 9
OPP 43
0
55.7%
Kaleb Eleby pass incomplete to Keishawn Watson, broken up by Mykelti WilliamsSimilar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 9
OPP 43
0
51.7%
Nick Mihalic punt for 30 yds, fair catch by Cole Tucker at the NoIll 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 21PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:0051% → 48%
Q4 14:03
1ST & 10
OWN 13
0
48.7%
Tre Harbison run for no gain to the NoIll 13Similar
Q4 14:03
2ND & 10
OWN 13
+3
49.1%
Marcus Childers pass complete to Spencer Tears for 3 yds to the NoIll 16Similar
Q4 14:03
3RD & 7
OWN 16
+3
50.6%
Tre Harbison run for 3 yds to the NoIll 19Similar
Q4 14:03
4TH & 4
OWN 19
0
51.8%
Matt Ference punt for 62 yds, downed at the WMich 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 22PUNT
6 plays · 6 yds · 0:0053% → 50%
Q4 12:01
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+3
53.3%
Jamauri Bogan run for 3 yds to the WMich 22Similar
Q4 12:01
2ND & 7
OWN 22
+7
53.2%
Kaleb Eleby pass complete to Jayden Reed for 7 yds to the WMich 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:01
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+4
53.8%
Jamauri Bogan run for 4 yds to the WMich 33Similar
Q4 12:01
2ND & 6
OWN 33
0
54.5%
Kaleb Eleby pass incomplete to D'Wayne EskridgeSimilar
Q4 12:01
3RD & 6
OWN 33
-8
52.5%
Kaleb Eleby sacked by Sutton Smith for a loss of 8 yards to the WMich 25Similar
Q4 12:01
4TH & 14
OWN 25
0
49.6%
Nick Mihalic punt for 27 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the NoIll 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 23PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:0055% → 49%
Q4 9:10
1ST & 10
OWN 48
-1
44.7%
Marcus Childers run for a loss of 1 yard to the NoIll 47Similar
Q4 9:10
2ND & 11
OWN 47
+1
46.6%
Marcus Childers run for 1 yd to the NoIll 48Similar
Q4 9:10
3RD & 10
OWN 48
0
47.5%
Marcus Childers pass complete to D.J. Brown for no gain to the NoIll 48Similar
Q4 9:10
4TH & 10
OWN 48
0
51.1%
Matt Ference punt for 35 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the WMich 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 24TD
18 plays · 83 yds · 5:5655% → 96%
Q4 7:32
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+2
54.5%
Jamauri Bogan run for 2 yds to the WMich 19Similar
Q4 7:32
2ND & 8
OWN 19
+5
54.3%
NORTHERNIL Penalty, offside defense (5 Yards) to the WMich 24Similar
Q4 7:32
2ND & 3
OWN 24
+21
55.3%
Jamauri Bogan run for 21 yds to the WMich 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:32
1ST & 10
OWN 45
-6
59.0%
Kaleb Eleby sacked by Sutton Smith for a loss of 6 yards to the WMich 39Similar
Q4 7:32
2ND & 16
OWN 39
+15
55.4%
ELEBY, KALEB sacked for loss of 8 yards to the WMU31 (CORCORAN, Josh), PENALTY NIU personal foul (CORCORAN, Josh) 15 yards to the NIU46, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 7:32
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+1
60.6%
Chase Brown run for 1 yd to the NoIll 45Similar
Q4 7:32
2ND & 9
OPP 45
0
60.4%
Kaleb Eleby pass incomplete to Keishawn WatsonSimilar
Q4 7:32
3RD & 9
OPP 45
+8
58.5%
Kaleb Eleby pass complete to Keishawn Watson for 8 yds to the NoIll 37Similar
Q4 7:32
4TH & 1
OPP 37
+2
57.0%
Chase Brown run for 2 yds to the NoIll 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:32
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+5
62.0%
Jamauri Bogan run for 5 yds to the NoIll 30Similar
Q4 7:32
2ND & 5
OPP 30
0
62.1%
Kaleb Eleby pass incomplete to D'Wayne Eskridge, broken up by Jalen EmbrySimilar
Q4 7:32
3RD & 5
OPP 30
+11
60.0%
Kaleb Eleby pass complete to Giovanni Ricci for 11 yds to the NoIll 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:32
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+2
62.1%
Jamauri Bogan run for 2 yds to the NoIll 17Similar
Q4 2:23
2ND & 8
OPP 17
+1
66.6%
Jamauri Bogan run for 1 yd to the NoIll 16Similar
Q4 2:18
3RD & 7
OPP 16
+15
65.6%
Jamauri Bogan run for 15 yds to the NoIll 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:36
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
96.2%
Jamauri Bogan run for 1 yd for a TD (Gavin Peddie KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 25INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:008% → 8%
Q4 1:36
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
91.8%
Marcus Childers pass intercepted Keishawn Watson return for no gain to the NoIll 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 26END OF GAME
5 plays · -7 yds · 0:0197% → 96%
Q4 1:21
1ST & 10
OPP 42
-5
96.7%
WESTERN MICHIGAN drive start at 01:21, PENALTY WMU unsportsmanlike conduct 5 yards to the NIU47, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 1:21
1ST & 10
OPP 47
-3
96.7%
TEAM run for a loss of 3 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 1:20
2ND & 13
50
-2
96.6%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the WMich 48Similar
Q4 1:20
3RD & 15
OWN 48
-2
96.3%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the WMich 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 1:36
Jamauri Bogan run for 1 yd for a TD (Gavin Peddie KICK)
+30.6
TD · Q3 1:28
Kaleb Eleby run for 2 yds for a TD (Kaleb Eleby pass to Jayden Reed for Two-Point Conversion)
+24.2
FUMBLE · Q3 0:28
LeVante Bellamy run for a loss of 1 yard LeVante Bellamy fumbled, recovered by NoIll Sutton Smith , return for 85 yds (Andrew Gantz KICK)
-21.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com