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BGSU

Bowling Green 21 at Akron 6

AKR
2018 · Week 12 · Nov 17, 2018 · InfoCision Stadium
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Win probability · AKR
modelAKR aheadBGSU aheadconfidence bandkey playAKR scoreBGSU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGFGTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 15:00 · Matt Naranjo punt for 50 yds , Jeremiah Knight returns for 2 yds to the Akron 20
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+44.5+22.30−22.3−44.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 108Home team on offense−2.4Pregame prior+6.0Score differential−2.3Garbage-time factor−0.2Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−1.0
This game in five plays
  1. KEY PLAY · Q2 8:42: Kato Nelson pass incomplete to Kwadarrius Smith — AKR win probability +5.7 pts (now 65%) (top driver: AKR has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 0:10: Jarret Doege pass complete to Dorian Hendrix for 7 yds for a TD (Nate Needham KICK) — BGSU win probability +15.8 pts (now 52%) (top driver: BGSU has the ball).
  3. KEY PLAY · Q2 0:10: Nate Needham kickoff for 54 yds, downed at the Akron 11 — AKR win probability +5.4 pts (now 54%) (top driver: BGSU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 1:13: Rico Frye run for 5 yds for a TD (Nate Needham KICK) — BGSU win probability +25.2 pts (now 76%) (top driver: BGSU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 6:47: Jarret Doege pass complete to Quintin Morris for 8 yds for a TD (Nate Needham KICK) — BGSU win probability +18.8 pts (now 95%) (top driver: BGSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
AKR made the numbers' call on 9 of 12BGSU made the numbers' call on 4 of 6
  1. Q1 15:00AKR 4th & 7 at midfield, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 68.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    68.1%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    68.2%
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:52BGSU 4th & 3 at BGSU 35, tied
    Close callPunted · 32.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.2%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    32.2%−<0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 7:01AKR 4th & 3 at BGSU 21, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 67.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.3%
    51% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    67.2%−0.1
    74% to make
    Punt
    66.3%−1.1
    average punt
  4. Q1 6:57BGSU 4th & 17 at AKR 49, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 31.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.5%−0.5
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    32.0%
    average punt
  5. Q1 4:37AKR 4th & 5 at AKR 14, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 66.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.7%−0.3
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    67.0%
    average punt
  6. Q1 3:47BGSU 4th & 14 at AKR 43, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 31.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.6%−0.4
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    31.7%−0.3
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    32.0%
    average punt
  7. Q2 15:00AKR 4th & 2 at AKR 22, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 66.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.2%−<0.1
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    66.2%
    average punt
  8. Q2 14:16BGSU 4th & 3 at BGSU 42, down 3
    Close callPunted · 32.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.0%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    32.9%−0.1
    average punt
  9. Q2 11:30AKR 4th & 17 at AKR 34, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 65.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    64.6%−1.6
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    66.2%
    average punt
  10. Q2 8:42AKR 4th & 10 at BGSU 44, up 3
    Close callWent for it · 66.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    65.7%−0.3
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    65.3%−0.8
    27% to make
    Punt
    66.1%
    average punt
  11. Q2 5:59AKR 4th & 11 at BGSU 15, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 67.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.2%−1.0
    24% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    67.2%
    83% to make
    Punt
    62.3%−4.9
    average punt
  12. Q2 4:53AKR 4th & 20 at BGSU 46, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 71.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    70.2%−1.4
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    70.7%−0.9
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    71.6%
    average punt
  13. Q2 2:45BGSU 4th & 1 at BGSU 29, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 28.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    29.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    27.7%−1.6
    average punt
  14. Q3 15:00BGSU 4th & 16 at BGSU 32, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 39.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.9%−3.9
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    41.8%
    average punt
  15. Q3 11:09AKR 4th & 20 at midfield, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 57.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.2%−3.2
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    58.4%
    average punt
  16. Q4 15:00AKR 4th & 5 at AKR 6, down 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 27.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.4%−1.6
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    28.1%
    average punt
  17. Q4 4:37AKR 4th & 3 at AKR 44, down 15
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 4.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    4.6%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    4.5%−<0.1
    average punt
  18. Q4 3:31AKR 4th & 18 at BGSU 41, down 15
    Close callWent for it · 4.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.4%−0.4
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    3.8%
    32% to make
    Punt
    3.5%−0.3
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
BGSU made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q2 0:10BGSU Touchdown, tied before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    37.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    37.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q3 1:13BGSU Touchdown, up 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    64.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    63.9%−0.2
    45% to convert
  3. Q4 6:47BGSU Touchdown, up 14 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
AKRDrive 1PUNT
9 plays · 25 yds · 0:0062% → 62%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
62.2%
Van Edwards Jr. run for 11 yds to the Akron 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+6
62.2%
Kato Nelson pass complete to Andre Williams for 6 yds to the Akron 42Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 42
-5
62.2%
AKRON Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Akron 37Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 37
+10
62.2%
Kato Nelson pass complete to Jonah Morris for 10 yds to the Akron 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+2
62.2%
Van Edwards Jr. run for 2 yds to the Akron 49Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 49
+1
62.2%
Van Edwards Jr. run for 1 yd to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 7
50
0
62.2%
Kato Nelson pass incomplete to Andre WilliamsSimilar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 7
50
0
62.2%
Nick Gasser punt for 47 yds, downed at the BwGrn 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 2PUNT
8 plays · 32 yds · 0:0038% → 38%
Q1 11:52
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+3
62.2%
Rico Frye run for 3 yds to the BwGrn 6Similar
Q1 11:52
2ND & 7
OWN 6
+6
62.2%
Grant Loy run for 6 yds to the BwGrn 12Similar
Q1 11:52
3RD & 1
OWN 12
+2
62.2%
Jarret Doege run for 2 yds to the BwGrn 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:52
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+14
62.1%
Andrew Clair run for 14 yds to the BwGrn 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:52
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
62.1%
Jarret Doege pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:52
2ND & 10
OWN 28
+7
62.1%
Andrew Clair run for 7 yds to the BwGrn 35Similar
Q1 11:52
3RD & 3
OWN 35
0
62.0%
Jarret Doege pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:52
4TH & 3
OWN 35
0
62.2%
Matt Naranjo punt for 27 yds, downed at the Akron 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 3FG
5 plays · 41 yds · 2:0562% → 63%
Q1 9:06
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+34
62.3%
Kato Nelson pass complete to Mykel Traylor-Bennett for 34 yds to the BwGrn 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:06
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+1
62.9%
Van Edwards Jr. run for 1 yd to the BwGrn 27Similar
Q1 9:06
2ND & 9
OPP 27
+6
62.9%
Kato Nelson pass complete to Newman Williams for 6 yds to the BwGrn 21Similar
Q1 9:06
3RD & 3
OPP 21
0
62.7%
Kato Nelson pass incomplete to Van Edwards Jr., broken up by Jonah HarperSimilar
Q1 7:01
4TH & 3
OPP 21
+38
62.9%
Nick Gasser 38 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 4PUNT
6 plays · 27 yds · 0:0037% → 37%
Q1 6:57
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+34
62.9%
Andrew Clair run for 34 yds to the Akron 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:57
1ST & 10
OPP 42
-1
62.1%
Andrew Clair run for a loss of 1 yard to the Akron 43Similar
Q1 6:57
2ND & 11
OPP 43
+2
62.2%
Rico Frye run for 2 yds to the Akron 41Similar
Q1 6:57
3RD & 9
OPP 41
-8
62.3%
Jarret Doege sacked by Brennan Williams and Justin Sampson for a loss of 8 yards to the Akron 49Similar
Q1 6:57
4TH & 17
OPP 49
0
63.2%
Matt Naranjo punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Jeremiah Knight at the Akron 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 5PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:0063% → 62%
Q1 4:37
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+5
62.6%
Van Edwards Jr. run for 5 yds to the Akron 14Similar
Q1 4:37
2ND & 5
OWN 14
0
62.6%
Kato Nelson pass incomplete to Andre WilliamsSimilar
Q1 4:37
3RD & 5
OWN 14
0
62.2%
Kato Nelson pass incomplete to Andre WilliamsSimilar
Q1 4:37
4TH & 5
OWN 14
0
61.9%
Nick Gasser punt for 39 yds, downed at the BwGrn 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 6PUNT
7 plays · 10 yds · 0:0038% → 37%
Q1 3:47
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+14
62.1%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Scott Miller for 14 yds to the Akron 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:47
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
62.0%
Jarret Doege pass incomplete to Rico FryeSimilar
Q1 3:47
2ND & 10
OPP 39
+1
62.0%
Rico Frye run for 1 yd to the Akron 38Similar
Q1 3:47
3RD & 9
OPP 38
0
62.1%
DENLEY, Bryson rush for 10 yards to the AKRON28 (BELL, Brian), PENALTY BGSU holding 0 yards to the AKRON38, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 3:47
3RD & 9
OPP 38
0
62.1%
Jarret Doege pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:47
4TH & 9
OPP 38
-5
63.1%
BOWLING GREEN Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Akron 43Similar
Q1 3:47
4TH & 14
OPP 43
0
63.4%
Matt Naranjo punt for 42 yds, downed at the Akron 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 7PUNT
6 plays · 21 yds · 2:0562% → 62%
Q1 2:05
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+5
62.4%
Van Edwards Jr. run for 5 yds to the Akron 6Similar
Q1 2:05
2ND & 5
OWN 6
+8
62.3%
Van Edwards Jr. run for 8 yds to the Akron 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:05
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+5
62.5%
Van Edwards Jr. run for 5 yds to the Akron 19Similar
Q1 2:05
2ND & 5
OWN 19
-10
62.5%
Van Edwards Jr. run for a loss of 10 yards to the Akron 9Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 15
OWN 9
+13
61.8%
Van Edwards Jr. run for 13 yds to the Akron 22Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 2
OWN 22
0
61.5%
Nick Gasser punt for 43 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the BwGrn 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 8PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:0037% → 37%
Q2 14:16
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+5
62.6%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Scott Miller for 5 yds to the BwGrn 40Similar
Q2 14:16
2ND & 5
OWN 40
+2
61.8%
Bryson Denley run for 2 yds to the BwGrn 42Similar
Q2 14:16
3RD & 3
OWN 42
0
61.8%
Jarret Doege pass incomplete to Scott MillerSimilar
Q2 14:16
4TH & 3
OWN 42
0
62.8%
Matt Naranjo punt for 38 yds, downed at the Akron 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 9PUNT
7 plays · 14 yds · 1:2963% → 62%
Q2 12:59
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+21
62.7%
Kato Nelson pass complete to Kwadarrius Smith for 21 yds to the Akron 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:59
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-1
63.7%
Van Edwards Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the Akron 40Similar
Q2 12:59
2ND & 11
OWN 40
-6
63.1%
Kato Nelson sacked by Kyle Junior for a loss of 6 yards to the Akron 34 AKRON Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q2 11:34
3RD & 17
OWN 34
0
61.4%
Kato Nelson pass incomplete to Jonah Morris, broken up by Jonah HarperSimilar
Q2 11:30
4TH & 17
OWN 34
0
61.5%
Nick Gasser punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Marcus Milton at the BwGrn 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 10INT
6 plays · 38 yds · 0:0038% → 40%
Q2 11:24
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+25
62.0%
Andrew Clair run for 25 yds to the Akron 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:24
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
60.3%
Jarret Doege pass incomplete to Andrew ClairSimilar
Q2 11:24
2ND & 10
OPP 43
+4
60.4%
Bryson Denley run for 4 yds to the Akron 39Similar
Q2 11:24
3RD & 6
OPP 39
+8
60.6%
Grant Loy run for 8 yds to the Akron 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:24
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+1
59.6%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Bryson Denley for 1 yd to the Akron 30Similar
Q2 11:24
2ND & 9
OPP 30
+53
59.7%
Jarret Doege pass intercepted Jordan George return for 53 yds to the BwGrn 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 11FG
10 plays · 29 yds · 2:4365% → 67%
Q2 8:42
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
65.4%
Kato Nelson pass incomplete to Kwadarrius SmithSimilar
Q2 8:42
2ND & 10
OPP 44
0
65.2%
Van Edwards Jr. run for no gain to the BwGrn 44Similar
Q2 8:42
3RD & 10
OPP 44
0
63.8%
Kato Nelson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:42
4TH & 10
OPP 44
+30
62.6%
Dylan Meeks run for 30 yds to the BwGrn 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:42
1ST & 10
OPP 14
0
65.5%
Van Edwards Jr. run for no gain to the BwGrn 14Similar
Q2 6:52
2ND & 10
OPP 14
-1
67.6%
Van Edwards Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the BwGrn 15Similar
Q2 6:08
3RD & 11
OPP 15
0
66.1%
Kato Nelson pass incomplete to Andre WilliamsSimilar
Q2 5:59
4TH & 11
OPP 15
+32
66.5%
Nick Gasser 32 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 12FUMBLE
4 plays · 30 yds · 0:0032% → 33%
Q2 5:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
68.4%
Andrew Clair run for 6 yds to the BwGrn 31Similar
Q2 5:59
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+13
67.4%
Grant Loy run for 13 yds to the BwGrn 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:59
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+11
66.7%
Grant Loy run for 11 yds to the Akron 45 Grant Loy fumbled, forced by Jordan George, recovered by Akron Alvin DavisSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 13PUNT
7 plays · 9 yds · 0:0068% → 65%
Q2 4:53
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+1
68.1%
Kato Nelson pass complete to Kwadarrius Smith for 1 yd to the Akron 46Similar
Q2 4:53
2ND & 9
OWN 46
+18
67.9%
Kato Nelson pass complete to Andre Williams for 18 yds to the BwGrn 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:53
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
68.6%
Kato Nelson run for no gain to the BwGrn 36Similar
Q2 4:53
2ND & 10
OPP 36
-10
68.4%
NELSON, Kato pass incomplete to SMITH, Kwad., PENALTY AKRON holding 10 yards to the BGSU46, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 4:53
2ND & 20
OPP 46
0
67.5%
Kato Nelson pass incomplete to Mykel Traylor-BennettSimilar
Q2 4:53
3RD & 20
OPP 46
0
66.4%
Kato Nelson pass incomplete to Mykel Traylor-BennettSimilar
Q2 4:53
4TH & 20
OPP 46
0
65.4%
Nick Gasser punt for 46 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 14TD
14 plays · 80 yds · 2:3531% → 52%
Q2 2:45
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+8
69.0%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Quintin Morris for 8 yds to the BwGrn 28Similar
Q2 2:45
2ND & 2
OWN 28
0
67.9%
Andrew Clair run for no gain to the BwGrn 28Similar
Q2 2:45
3RD & 2
OWN 28
+1
68.9%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Bryson Denley for 1 yd to the BwGrn 29Similar
Q2 2:45
4TH & 1
OWN 29
+4
69.7%
Rico Frye run for 4 yds to the BwGrn 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:45
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+9
68.2%
Andrew Clair run for 9 yds to the BwGrn 42Similar
Q2 2:45
2ND & 1
OWN 42
+2
66.7%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Scott Miller for 19 yds to the AKRON 39 for a 1ST down BOWLING GREEN Penalty, personal foul (-17 Yards) to the BwGrn 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:45
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+15
67.1%
DOEGE, Jarret sacked for loss of 6 yards to the BGSU38 (SAMPSON, Justin), PENALTY AKRON personal foul 15 yards to the AKRON41, 1ST DOWN BGSU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 2:45
1ST & 10
OPP 41
-10
66.0%
DOEGE, Jarret pass incomplete, QB hurry by JEST, Davon'te, PENALTY BGSU holding 10 yards to the BGSU49, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 2:45
1ST & 20
OWN 49
+14
67.9%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Quintin Morris for 14 yds to the Akron 37Similar
Q2 0:42
2ND & 6
OPP 37
+13
65.5%
Rico Frye run for 13 yds to the Akron 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:42
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+5
64.2%
DOEGE, Jarret pass incomplete to SAWMILLER, J., PENALTY AKRON offside 5 yards to the AKRON19, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 0:42
1ST & 5
OPP 19
+12
64.2%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Scott Miller for 12 yds to the Akron 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:10
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
48.4%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Dorian Hendrix for 7 yds for a TD (Nate Needham KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 15END OF HALF
2 plays · 14 yds · 0:0053% → 53%
Q2 0:08
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+14
53.3%
Van Edwards Jr. run for 14 yds to the Akron 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 16PUNT
9 plays · 7 yds · 0:0045% → 43%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
54.7%
Jarret Doege run for 4 yds to the BwGrn 29Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+3
54.1%
Rico Frye run for 3 yds to the BwGrn 32Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+6
54.7%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Justin Sawmiller for 6 yds to the BwGrn 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-5
53.1%
BOWLING GREEN Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the BwGrn 33Similar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 15
OWN 33
+1
54.7%
Rico Frye run for 1 yd to the BwGrn 34Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 14
OWN 34
+8
55.0%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Scott Miller for 8 yds to the BwGrn 42Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 42
-10
53.3%
Jarret Doege sacked by Brennan Williams for a loss of 10 yards to the BwGrn 32Similar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 16
OWN 32
+2
57.0%
Matt Naranjo punt for 50 yds , Jeremiah Knight returns for 2 yds to the Akron 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 17PUNT
12 plays · 30 yds · 0:0056% → 54%
Q3 11:09
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-10
55.8%
EDWARDS, Van rush for 19 yards to the AKRON39 (STEPHENS, Clint), PENALTY AKRON holding 10 yards to the AKRON10, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 11:09
1ST & 20
OWN 10
+15
55.6%
NELSON, Kato rush for no gain to the AKRON10, PENALTY BGSU personal foul 15 yards to the AKRON25, 1ST DOWN AKRON, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 11:09
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
55.9%
Kato Nelson pass complete to Maverick Wolfley for 10 yds to the Akron 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:09
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
56.4%
Deltron Sands run for no gain to the Akron 35Similar
Q3 11:09
2ND & 10
OWN 35
0
56.2%
Kato Nelson pass incomplete to Andre Williams, broken up by Ty ReddingSimilar
Q3 11:09
3RD & 10
OWN 35
+11
54.6%
Van Edwards Jr. run for 11 yds to the Akron 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:09
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+14
59.2%
Kato Nelson pass complete to Jeremiah Knight for 14 yds to the BwGrn 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:09
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
60.0%
Kato Nelson run for no gain to the BwGrn 44 Kato Nelson fumbled, recovered by Akron Kato NelsonSimilar
Q3 11:09
2ND & 14
OPP 44
+3
57.6%
Deltron Sands run for 3 yds to the BwGrn 41Similar
Q3 11:09
3RD & 11
OPP 41
-5
57.3%
AKRON Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the BwGrn 46Similar
Q3 11:09
3RD & 16
OPP 46
-4
55.9%
Kato Nelson sacked by Nico Lautanen for a loss of 4 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 11:09
4TH & 20
50
0
54.3%
Nick Gasser punt for 27 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the BwGrn 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 18TD
8 plays · 77 yds · 4:0047% → 76%
Q3 5:13
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+9
53.0%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Andrew Clair for 9 yds to the BwGrn 32Similar
Q3 5:13
2ND & 1
OWN 32
+6
51.0%
LOY, Grant pass intercepted by BUTLER, Denzel at the AKRON30, GEORGE, Jordan return to the AKRON30, PENALTY AKRON offside 6 yards to the BGSU38, 1ST DOWN BGSU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 5:13
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-3
50.9%
Grant Loy run for a loss of 3 yards to the BwGrn 35Similar
Q3 5:13
2ND & 13
OWN 35
+9
53.3%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Justin Sawmiller for 9 yds to the BwGrn 44Similar
Q3 5:13
3RD & 4
OWN 44
+5
50.4%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Jordan Wayne-Prather for 5 yds to the BwGrn 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:13
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+4
49.5%
Grant Loy run for 4 yds to the Akron 47Similar
Q3 5:13
2ND & 6
OPP 47
+42
49.3%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Scott Miller for 42 yds to the Akron 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:13
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
24.1%
Rico Frye run for 5 yds for a TD (Nate Needham KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 19PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 1:1029% → 26%
Q3 1:10
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+1
28.9%
Van Edwards Jr. run for 1 yd to the Akron 2Similar
Q3 1:10
2ND & 9
OWN 2
0
28.8%
Kato Nelson pass incomplete to Kwadarrius SmithSimilar
Q3 1:10
3RD & 9
OWN 2
+4
27.5%
Van Edwards Jr. run for 4 yds to the Akron 6Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 5
OWN 6
0
25.9%
Nick Gasser punt for 46 yds , Marcus Milton returns for no gain to the BwGrn 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 20TD
15 plays · 52 yds · 8:0376% → 95%
Q4 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+9
24.5%
Andrew Clair run for 9 yds to the Akron 43Similar
Q4 14:50
2ND & 1
OPP 43
+5
23.7%
Andrew Clair run for 5 yds to the Akron 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:50
1ST & 10
OPP 38
-1
23.9%
Andrew Clair run for a loss of 1 yard to the Akron 39Similar
Q4 14:50
2ND & 11
OPP 39
-1
23.9%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Dorian Hendrix for a loss of 1 yard to the Akron 40Similar
Q4 14:50
3RD & 12
OPP 40
+17
24.7%
Bryson Denley run for 17 yds to the Akron 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:50
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+5
22.9%
Grant Loy run for 5 yds to the Akron 18Similar
Q4 14:50
2ND & 5
OPP 18
-5
22.9%
Grant Loy run for a loss of 5 yards to the Akron 23Similar
Q4 14:50
3RD & 10
OPP 23
+13
24.0%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Jordan Wayne-Prather for 13 yds to the Akron 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:50
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+5
22.9%
Andrew Clair run for 5 yds to the Akron 5Similar
Q4 14:50
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
-2
22.9%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Bryson Denley for a loss of 2 yards to the Akron 7Similar
Q4 14:50
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
+5
23.7%
DOEGE, Jarret pass incomplete to SAWMILLER, J., PENALTY AKRON pass interference 5 yards to the AKRON2, 1ST DOWN BGSU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 14:50
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
0
22.7%
Jarret Doege pass incomplete to Quintin MorrisSimilar
Q4 14:50
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
-1
22.9%
Rico Frye run for a loss of 1 yard to the Akron 3Similar
Q4 14:50
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
-5
24.0%
BOWLING GREEN Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Akron 8Similar
Q4 6:47
3RD & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
5.2%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Quintin Morris for 8 yds for a TD (Nate Needham KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 21DOWNS
14 plays · 34 yds · 3:117% → 3%
Q4 6:42
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
6.9%
Kato Nelson pass complete to Jeremiah Knight for 5 yds to the Akron 30Similar
Q4 6:42
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+7
7.1%
Kato Nelson run for 7 yds to the Akron 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:42
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
7.2%
Kato Nelson pass incomplete to Andre WilliamsSimilar
Q4 6:42
2ND & 10
OWN 37
-8
7.1%
Kato Nelson sacked by Karl Brooks for a loss of 8 yards to the Akron 29Similar
Q4 6:42
3RD & 18
OWN 29
+15
6.5%
Kato Nelson pass complete to Kwadarrius Smith for 15 yds to the Akron 44Similar
Q4 4:37
4TH & 3
OWN 44
+8
4.3%
Kato Nelson pass complete to Mykel Traylor-Bennett for 8 yds to the BwGrn 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:37
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+15
4.5%
NELSON, Kato pass incomplete to SMITH, Kwad., PENALTY BGSU pass interference 15 yards to the BGSU33, 1ST DOWN AKRON, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 4:37
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
5.2%
Kato Nelson pass incomplete to Mykel Traylor-BennettSimilar
Q4 4:37
2ND & 10
OPP 33
-8
5.1%
Kato Nelson sacked by Karl Brooks and Nico Lautanen for a loss of 8 yards to the BwGrn 41Similar
Q4 4:37
3RD & 18
OPP 41
0
4.5%
Kato Nelson pass incomplete to Mykel Traylor-Bennett, broken up by Ty ReddingSimilar
Q4 3:31
4TH & 18
OPP 41
0
3.4%
Kato Nelson pass incomplete to Deltron SandsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 22END OF GAME
5 plays · 28 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q4 3:26
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+9
2.3%
Rico Frye run for 9 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 3:26
2ND & 1
50
+9
2.1%
Rico Frye run for 9 yds to the Akron 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:26
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+7
2.2%
Rico Frye run for 7 yds to the Akron 34Similar
Q4 3:26
2ND & 3
OPP 34
+1
2.1%
Rico Frye run for 1 yd to the Akron 33Similar
Q4 3:26
3RD & 2
OPP 33
+2
2.2%
Rico Frye run for 2 yds to the Akron 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 1:13
Rico Frye run for 5 yds for a TD (Nate Needham KICK)
-25.2
TD · Q4 6:47
Jarret Doege pass complete to Quintin Morris for 8 yds for a TD (Nate Needham KICK)
-18.8
TD · Q2 0:10
Jarret Doege pass complete to Dorian Hendrix for 7 yds for a TD (Nate Needham KICK)
-15.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com