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TOL

Toledo 56 at Kent State 34

KENT
2018 · Week 12 · Nov 15, 2018 · Dix Stadium
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Win probability · KENT
modelKENT aheadTOL aheadconfidence bandkey playKENT scoreTOL score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 12:49 · Bailey Flint punt for 43 yds
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialPregame priorGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+52.5+26.30−26.3−52.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 158Home team on offense−49.1Score differential−32.4Pregame prior−5.9Garbage-time factor−17.6Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−6.9Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−5.7
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 13:03: Bryant Koback run for 44 yds for a TD (Jameson Vest KICK) — TOL win probability +3.6 pts (now 78%) (top driver: TOL has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 7:30: Woody Barrett pass complete to Isaiah McKoy for 19 yds for a TD (Matthew Trickett KICK) — KENT win probability +8.8 pts (now 36%) (top driver: KENT +3 timeouts on the defense).
  3. TD · Q3 12:28: Bryant Koback run for 15 yds for a TD (Jameson Vest KICK) — TOL win probability +10.7 pts (now 90%) (top driver: TOL has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 12:13: Woody Barrett pass intercepted for a TD Tyler Taafe return for 31 yds for a TD (Jameson Vest KICK) — TOL win probability +8.7 pts (now 97%) (top driver: KENT has the ball).
  5. FG · Q3 3:44: Matthew Trickett 38 yd FG GOOD — KENT win probability +2.8 pts (now 4%) (top driver: KENT has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
KENT made the numbers' call on 7 of 9TOL made the numbers' call on 3 of 6
  1. Q1 10:08KENT 4th & 4 at KENT 31, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 26.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.0%−0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    26.1%
    average punt
  2. Q1 4:28KENT 4th & 11 at TOL 44, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 25.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.6%−0.2
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    25.5%−0.3
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    25.8%
    average punt
  3. Q2 11:09KENT 4th & 6 at TOL 10, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 21.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.3%−0.1
    35% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    21.4%
    88% to make
    Punt
    17.9%−3.5
    average punt
  4. Q2 11:02TOL 4th & 5 at KENT 40, up 11
    Close callPunted · 76.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    76.6%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    76.0%−0.7
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    76.2%−0.4
    average punt
  5. Q2 7:25TOL 4th & 4 at KENT 27, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 69.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    69.8%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    69.4%−0.4
    62% to make
    Punt
    66.0%−3.8
    average punt
  6. Q2 3:01KENT 4th & 4 at KENT 30, down 4
    Close callPunted · 30.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.7%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    30.5%−0.2
    average punt
  7. Q2 1:34KENT 4th & 3 at KENT 49, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 22.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    22.3%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    21.8%−0.5
    average punt
  8. Q3 12:05KENT 4th & 11 at KENT 25, down 25
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.8%−1.5
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.4%
    average punt
  9. Q3 9:11TOL 4th & 7 at TOL 38, up 25
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 97.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.6%−0.2
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.8%
    average punt
  10. Q3 3:44KENT 4th & 21 at TOL 21, down 25
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 1.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.6%−0.9
    8% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    1.5%
    74% to make
    Punt
    -0.5%−2.0
    average punt
  11. Q4 14:56KENT 4th & 11 at KENT 40, down 29
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.8%−0.1
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.9%
    average punt
  12. Q4 12:49TOL 4th & 7 at TOL 41, up 29
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.3%−0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.4%
    average punt
  13. Q4 6:02TOL 4th & 5 at KENT 41, up 22
    Close callPunted · 99.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.0%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    98.8%−0.2
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    98.8%−0.1
    average punt
  14. Q4 3:29KENT 4th & 3 at KENT 22, down 22
    Close callPunted · 0.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.8%
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.8%−<0.1
    average punt
  15. Q4 3:19TOL 4th & 6 at KENT 19, up 22
    Close callWent for it · 99.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.1%−<0.1
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    99.1%
    77% to make
    Punt
    98.5%−0.6
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
KENT made the numbers' call on 3 of 4TOL made the numbers' call on 7 of 7
  1. Q1 13:36KENT Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    24.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    24.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 10:08TOL Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    73.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    73.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 4:39TOL Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    73.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    73.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 13:03TOL Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    77.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    77.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 7:30KENT Touchdown, down 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    30.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    30.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 12:28TOL Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    86.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    86.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 12:13TOL Touchdown, up 24 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 10:06TOL Touchdown, up 31 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q3 9:12KENT Touchdown, down 26 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    2.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    2.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 14:56TOL Touchdown, up 28 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  11. Q4 6:03KENT Touchdown, down 23 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    1.1%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    1.1%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
KENTDrive 1TD
5 plays · 52 yds · 1:2424% → 26%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+9
24.4%
Woody Barrett pass complete to Mike Carrigan for 9 yds to the Toled 43Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 1
OPP 43
+1
24.4%
Jo-El Shaw run for 1 yd to the Toled 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+35
24.4%
Woody Barrett pass complete to Mike Carrigan for 35 yds to the Toled 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:36
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
25.6%
Woody Barrett run for 7 yds for a TD (Matthew Trickett KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TOLDrive 2TD
11 plays · 62 yds · 3:2375% → 74%
Q1 13:31
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
25.4%
Art Thompkins run for no gain to the Toled 38Similar
Q1 13:31
2ND & 10
OWN 38
0
25.4%
Eli Peters pass incomplete to Reggie GilliamSimilar
Q1 13:31
3RD & 10
OWN 38
+11
25.4%
Eli Peters pass complete to Art Thompkins for 11 yds to the Toled 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:31
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+15
25.3%
Art Thompkins run for 15 yds to the KntSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:31
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+3
25.3%
Art Thompkins run for 3 yds to the KntSt 33Similar
Q1 13:31
2ND & 7
OPP 33
+4
25.3%
Art Thompkins run for 4 yds to the KntSt 29Similar
Q1 13:31
3RD & 3
OPP 29
+8
25.3%
Eli Peters pass complete to Desmond Phillips for 8 yds to the KntSt 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:31
1ST & 10
OPP 21
-10
25.3%
THOMPKINS, Art rush for 18 yards to the KENT3 (PARKER, JAMAL), PENALTY TOLEDO holding (ATARIWA, Yazeed) 10 yards to the KENT31, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 10:08
1ST & 20
OPP 31
+31
26.4%
Art Thompkins run for 31 yds for a TD (Jameson Vest KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:0027% → 27%
Q1 10:08
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
27.0%
Woody Barrett pass complete to Jo-El Shaw for 2 yds to the KntSt 27Similar
Q1 10:08
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+4
27.0%
Woody Barrett run for 4 yds to the KntSt 31Similar
Q1 10:08
3RD & 4
OWN 31
0
26.9%
Woody Barrett pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:08
4TH & 4
OWN 31
+1
26.8%
Derek Adams punt for 45 yds , Diontae Johnson returns for 1 yd to the Toled 32 TOLEDO Penalty, illegal block (10 Yards) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TOLDrive 4TD
10 plays · 85 yds · 4:1273% → 74%
Q1 8:51
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+5
27.5%
Bryant Koback run for 5 yds to the Toled 20Similar
Q1 8:51
2ND & 5
OWN 20
+51
27.5%
Bryant Koback run for 51 yds to the KntSt 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:51
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
26.8%
Bryant Koback run for no gain to the KntSt 29Similar
Q1 8:51
2ND & 10
OPP 29
+5
26.8%
Eli Peters run for 5 yds to the KntSt 24Similar
Q1 8:51
3RD & 5
OPP 24
+11
27.0%
Bryant Koback run for 11 yds to the KntSt 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:51
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+9
26.8%
Bryant Koback run for 9 yds to the KntSt 4Similar
Q1 8:51
2ND & 1
OPP 4
+3
26.8%
Bryant Koback run for 3 yds to the KntSt 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:51
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
-2
26.8%
Bryant Koback run for a loss of 2 yards to the KntSt 3Similar
Q1 4:39
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
25.5%
Eli Peters pass complete to Reggie Gilliam for 3 yds for a TD VEST, Jameson kick attempt good, PENALTY TOLEDO holding (BOCZAR, Andrew) 10 yards to the KENT13, NO PLAY. (Jameson Vest KICK)Similar
Q1 4:39
1ST & GOAL
OWN 35
-5
26.4%
VEST, Jameson kickoff 63 yards to the KENT2, PARKER, JAMAL return to the KENT18 (ANDERSON, Tycen), PENALTY TOLEDO offside (TAAFE, Tyler) 5 yards to the TOLEDO30, NO PLAY.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 5PUNT
8 plays · 26 yds · 0:0027% → 27%
Q1 4:28
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
26.7%
Woody Barrett pass incomplete to Mike CarriganSimilar
Q1 4:28
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+1
26.6%
Jo-El Shaw run for 1 yd to the KntSt 31Similar
Q1 4:28
3RD & 9
OWN 31
+26
26.3%
Woody Barrett run for 26 yds to the Toled 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:28
1ST & 10
OPP 43
-1
27.6%
Jo-El Shaw run for a loss of 1 yard to the Toled 44Similar
Q1 4:28
2ND & 11
OPP 44
0
27.4%
Woody Barrett pass incomplete to Mike CarriganSimilar
Q1 4:28
3RD & 11
OPP 44
0
27.0%
Woody Barrett pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:28
4TH & 11
OPP 44
0
26.6%
Woody Barrett punt for 27 yds, downed at the Toled 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TOLDrive 6TD
9 plays · 83 yds · 4:0273% → 78%
Q1 2:05
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+5
26.8%
Shakif Seymour run for 5 yds to the Toled 22Similar
Q1 2:05
2ND & 5
OWN 22
-2
26.6%
Shakif Seymour run for a loss of 2 yards to the Toled 20Similar
Q1 0:52
3RD & 7
OWN 20
+13
27.0%
Eli Peters pass complete to Cody Thompson for 13 yds to the Toled 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:52
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+3
26.3%
Shakif Seymour run for 3 yds to the Toled 36Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 36
+16
26.2%
Eli Peters pass complete to Diontae Johnson for 16 yds to the KntSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+3
25.6%
Shakif Seymour run for 3 yds to the KntSt 45Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 45
+1
25.5%
Bryant Koback run for 1 yd to the KntSt 44Similar
Q2 13:03
3RD & 6
OPP 44
+44
21.9%
Bryant Koback run for 44 yds for a TD (Jameson Vest KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 7FG
9 plays · 32 yds · 1:4324% → 26%
Q2 12:52
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+6
24.3%
Woody Barrett pass complete to Isaiah McKoy for 6 yds to the Toled 36Similar
Q2 12:52
2ND & 4
OPP 36
0
24.4%
Woody Barrett run for no gain to the Toled 36Similar
Q2 12:52
3RD & 4
OPP 36
+7
24.2%
Jo-El Shaw run for 7 yds to the Toled 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:52
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+15
24.8%
BARRETT, WOODY pass intercepted by CLARK, Justin at the TOLEDO0, CLARK, Justin return to the TOLEDO0, PENALTY TOLEDO pass interference (CLARK, Justin) 15 yards to the TOLEDO14, 1ST DOWN KENT, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 12:52
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+4
24.8%
Trey Harrell run for 4 yds to the Toled 10Similar
Q2 12:52
2ND & 6
OPP 10
0
24.8%
Woody Barrett pass incomplete to Isaiah McKoy, broken up by Sam WomackSimilar
Q2 12:52
3RD & 6
OPP 10
0
24.3%
Woody Barrett pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:09
4TH & 6
OPP 10
+27
25.8%
Matthew Trickett 27 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TOLDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:0076% → 75%
Q2 11:02
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+5
24.0%
Art Thompkins run for 5 yds to the KntSt 40Similar
Q2 11:02
2ND & 5
OPP 40
0
24.0%
Eli Peters pass incomplete to Diontae JohnsonSimilar
Q2 11:02
3RD & 5
OPP 40
0
24.2%
Art Thompkins run for no gain to the KntSt 40Similar
Q2 11:02
4TH & 5
OPP 40
0
24.7%
Bailey Flint punt for 30 yds, downed at the KntSt 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 9TD
9 plays · 90 yds · 2:0725% → 36%
Q2 9:37
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+6
25.0%
Woody Barrett pass complete to Kavious Price for 6 yds to the KntSt 16Similar
Q2 9:37
2ND & 4
OWN 16
+20
25.1%
Woody Barrett pass complete to Antwan Dixon for 20 yds to the KntSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:37
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+37
25.6%
Woody Barrett pass complete to Mike Carrigan for 37 yds to the Toled 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:37
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+6
27.6%
Jo-El Shaw run for 6 yds to the Toled 21Similar
Q2 9:37
2ND & 4
OPP 21
+4
27.6%
Woody Barrett pass complete to Kavious Price for 4 yds to the Toled 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:03
1ST & 10
OPP 17
0
26.9%
Woody Barrett pass incomplete to Adam Dulka, broken up by Jordan FisherSimilar
Q2 8:03
2ND & 10
OPP 17
-2
26.9%
Woody Barrett run for 8 yds to the Toled 9 KENT ST Penalty, Offensive holding (Isaiah McKoy) to the Toled 19Similar
Q2 7:30
2ND & 12
OPP 19
+19
35.7%
Woody Barrett pass complete to Isaiah McKoy for 19 yds for a TD (Matthew Trickett KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TOLDrive 10DOWNS
7 plays · 38 yds · 0:0070% → 70%
Q2 7:25
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+5
29.8%
Bryant Koback run for 5 yds to the Toled 43Similar
Q2 7:25
2ND & 5
OWN 43
+24
29.5%
Bryant Koback run for 24 yds to the KntSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:25
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+6
28.8%
Bryant Koback run for 6 yds to the KntSt 27Similar
Q2 7:25
2ND & 4
OPP 27
0
28.8%
Art Thompkins run for no gain to the KntSt 27Similar
Q2 7:25
3RD & 4
OPP 27
0
29.1%
Eli Peters pass complete to Diontae Johnson for no gain to the KntSt 27Similar
Q2 7:25
4TH & 4
OPP 27
+3
30.3%
Eli Peters pass complete to Desmond Phillips for 3 yds to the KntSt 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 11PUNT RETURN TD
6 plays · 6 yds · 1:0034% → 24%
Q2 4:01
1ST & 10
OWN 24
-12
33.6%
KENT ST Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (-12 Yards) to the KntSt 12Similar
Q2 4:01
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+12
33.4%
Woody Barrett pass complete to Antwan Dixon for 12 yds to the KntSt 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:01
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
33.6%
Woody Barrett pass incomplete to Kavious PriceSimilar
Q2 4:01
2ND & 10
OWN 24
+6
33.4%
Woody Barrett pass complete to Kavious Price for 6 yds to the KntSt 30Similar
Q2 4:01
3RD & 4
OWN 30
0
33.3%
Woody Barrett pass incomplete to Kavious PriceSimilar
Q2 3:01
4TH & 4
OWN 30
+83
23.5%
Derek Adams punt for 53 yds , Diontae Johnson returns for 83 yds for a TD (Jameson Vest KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 12DOWNS
11 plays · 30 yds · 1:2224% → 24%
Q2 2:56
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
23.9%
Woody Barrett pass incomplete to Jo-El ShawSimilar
Q2 2:56
2ND & 10
OWN 21
-5
23.9%
BARRETT, WOODY pass complete to CARRIGAN, MIKE for 30 yards to the TOLEDO49, PENALTY KENT ineligible downfield on pass (WARNOCK, NATE) 5 yards to the KENT16, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 2:56
2ND & 15
OWN 16
+12
23.8%
Woody Barrett pass complete to Mike Carrigan for 12 yds to the KntSt 28Similar
Q2 2:56
3RD & 3
OWN 28
+4
23.9%
Jo-El Shaw run for 4 yds to the KntSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:56
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+10
24.3%
Woody Barrett pass complete to Antwan Dixon for 10 yds to the KntSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:56
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+3
24.9%
Woody Barrett run for 3 yds to the KntSt 45Similar
Q2 2:56
2ND & 7
OWN 45
+4
25.2%
Woody Barrett pass complete to Kavious Price for 4 yds to the KntSt 49Similar
Q2 2:56
3RD & 3
OWN 49
0
25.2%
Woody Barrett pass incomplete to Kavious Price, broken up by DeDarallo BlueSimilar
Q2 1:34
4TH & 3
OWN 49
+2
23.6%
Jo-El Shaw run for 2 yds to the Toled 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TOLDrive 13END OF HALF
4 plays · 16 yds · 0:0079% → 80%
Q2 1:27
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+17
21.1%
Shakif Seymour run for 17 yds to the KntSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:27
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
20.0%
Eli Peters pass incomplete to Diontae JohnsonSimilar
Q2 1:27
2ND & 10
OPP 34
+1
20.1%
Shakif Seymour run for 1 yd to the KntSt 33Similar
Q2 1:27
3RD & 9
OPP 33
-2
20.5%
Eli Peters pass complete to Shakif Seymour for a loss of 2 yards to the KntSt 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TOLDrive 14TD
8 plays · 70 yds · 2:2979% → 90%
Q3 14:57
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+18
21.5%
Eli Peters pass complete to Cody Thompson for 18 yds to the KntSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:57
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+6
21.0%
Eli Peters pass complete to Desmond Phillips for 6 yds to the KntSt 40Similar
Q3 14:57
2ND & 4
OPP 40
+3
20.8%
Art Thompkins run for 3 yds to the KntSt 37Similar
Q3 14:57
3RD & 1
OPP 37
+7
21.1%
Bryant Koback run for 7 yds to the KntSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:57
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+10
20.9%
PETERS, Eli pass incomplete to JOHNSON, Di., PENALTY KENT pass interference (HINES, ELVIS) 10 yards to the KENT20, 1ST DOWN TOLEDO, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 14:57
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+5
20.8%
Bryant Koback run for 5 yds to the KntSt 15Similar
Q3 12:28
2ND & 5
OPP 15
+15
10.1%
Bryant Koback run for 15 yds for a TD (Jameson Vest KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 15INT TD
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q3 12:13
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+31
2.8%
Woody Barrett pass intercepted for a TD Tyler Taafe return for 31 yds for a TD (Jameson Vest KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 16PUNT
6 plays · -1 yds · 0:003% → 2%
Q3 12:05
1ST & 10
OWN 26
-5
2.7%
BARRETT, WOODY pass complete to DIXON, ANTWAN for 9 yards to the KENT35 (TEACHEY, Josh), PENALTY KENT ineligible downfield on pass (WARNOCK, NATE) 5 yards to the KENT21, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 12:05
1ST & 15
OWN 21
0
2.2%
Woody Barrett pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 12:05
2ND & 15
OWN 21
0
2.1%
Woody Barrett run for no gain to the KntSt 21Similar
Q3 12:05
3RD & 15
OWN 21
+4
2.1%
Woody Barrett pass complete to Isaiah McKoy for 4 yds to the KntSt 25Similar
Q3 12:05
4TH & 11
OWN 25
+5
2.4%
Derek Adams punt for 35 yds , Diontae Johnson returns for 5 yds to the Toled 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TOLDrive 17TD
1 play · 55 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q3 10:06
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+55
2.0%
Eli Peters pass complete to Jon'Vea Johnson for 55 yds for a TD (Jameson Vest KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 18TD
4 plays · 81 yds · 0:494% → 2%
Q3 10:01
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+5
3.9%
Jo-El Shaw run for 5 yds to the KntSt 24Similar
Q3 10:01
2ND & 5
OWN 24
0
4.3%
Woody Barrett pass incomplete to Antwan DixonSimilar
Q3 9:12
3RD & 5
OWN 24
+76
1.9%
Jo-El Shaw run for 76 yds for a TD (Matthew Trickett KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TOLDrive 19PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q3 9:11
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
2.4%
Shakif Seymour run for 4 yds to the Toled 39Similar
Q3 9:11
2ND & 6
OWN 39
0
2.3%
Carter Bradley pass incomplete to Diontae JohnsonSimilar
Q3 9:11
3RD & 6
OWN 39
-1
2.3%
Carter Bradley run for a loss of 1 yard to the Toled 38Similar
Q3 9:11
4TH & 7
OWN 38
0
2.4%
Bailey Flint punt for 28 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the KntSt 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 20FG
13 plays · 45 yds · 4:062% → 4%
Q3 7:50
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+4
1.7%
Jo-El Shaw run for 4 yds to the KntSt 38Similar
Q3 7:50
2ND & 6
OWN 38
+25
1.7%
Woody Barrett pass complete to Mike Carrigan for 10 yds to the Toled 48 for a 1ST down TOLEDO Penalty, personal foul (Reggie Howard) to the Toled 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:50
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+8
1.8%
Jo-El Shaw run for 8 yds to the Toled 29Similar
Q3 7:50
2ND & 2
OPP 29
-5
2.0%
KENT ST Penalty, false start (Nathan Monnin) to the Toled 34Similar
Q3 7:50
2ND & 7
OPP 34
+2
2.0%
Jo-El Shaw run for 2 yds to the Toled 32Similar
Q3 7:50
3RD & 5
OPP 32
-1
1.9%
Jo-El Shaw run for a loss of 1 yard to the Toled 33Similar
Q3 7:50
4TH & 6
OPP 33
+16
1.8%
BARRETT, WOODY pass incomplete to PRICE, KAVIOUS, PENALTY TOLEDO pass interference (TEACHEY, Josh) 16 yards to the TOLEDO17, 1ST DOWN KENT, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 7:50
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+3
2.0%
Woody Barrett run for 3 yds to the Toled 14Similar
Q3 7:50
2ND & 7
OPP 14
+10
2.0%
Jo-El Shaw run for 6 yds to the Toled 8 for a 1ST down TOLEDO Penalty, personal foul (4 Yards) to the Toled 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:50
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
-12
2.0%
Woody Barrett sacked by Shakif Seymour for a loss of 12 yards to the Toled 16Similar
Q3 7:50
2ND & GOAL
OPP 16
0
1.7%
Woody Barrett pass incomplete to Kavious PriceSimilar
Q3 7:50
3RD & GOAL
OPP 16
-5
1.6%
Jo-El Shaw run for a loss of 5 yards to the Toled 21Similar
Q3 3:44
4TH & GOAL
OPP 21
+38
4.4%
Matthew Trickett 38 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TOLDrive 21TD
9 plays · 59 yds · 3:4697% → 99%
Q3 3:42
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+6
3.0%
Bryant Koback run for 6 yds to the Toled 47Similar
Q3 3:42
2ND & 4
OWN 47
+2
2.9%
Bryant Koback run for 2 yds to the Toled 49Similar
Q3 3:42
3RD & 2
OWN 49
+9
2.9%
Art Thompkins run for 9 yds to the KntSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:42
1ST & 10
OPP 42
-10
2.9%
THOMPKINS, Art rush for 4 yards to the KENT38, out-of-bounds (HICKS, DALTON), PENALTY TOLEDO holding (TURNER, Jamal) 10 yards to the TOLEDO48, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 3:42
1ST & 20
OWN 48
+43
2.9%
Art Thompkins run for 43 yds to the KntSt 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:42
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+8
2.8%
Art Thompkins run for 8 yds to the KntSt 1Similar
Q3 3:42
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
2.8%
Art Thompkins run for no gain to the KntSt 1Similar
Q4 14:56
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
0.6%
Art Thompkins run for 1 yd for a TD (Jameson Vest KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 22PUNT
7 plays · 15 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q4 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
1.4%
Jo-El Shaw run for 1 yd to the KntSt 26Similar
Q4 14:56
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+15
1.3%
BARRETT, WOODY pass incomplete to MCFADDEN, L., PENALTY TOLEDO pass interference (HOLLMAN, Kadar) 15 yards to the KENT41, 1ST DOWN KENT, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-3
1.5%
Woody Barrett sacked by Jamal Hines for a loss of 3 yards to the KntSt 38Similar
Q4 14:56
2ND & 13
OWN 38
+2
1.3%
Woody Barrett pass complete to Raekwon James for 2 yds to the KntSt 40Similar
Q4 14:56
3RD & 11
OWN 40
0
1.3%
Woody Barrett pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:56
4TH & 11
OWN 40
+17
1.3%
Derek Adams punt for 39 yds , Diontae Johnson returns for 17 yds to the Toled 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TOLDrive 23PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q4 12:49
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+1
0.6%
Shakif Seymour run for 1 yd to the Toled 39Similar
Q4 12:49
2ND & 9
OWN 39
+2
0.6%
Carter Bradley pass complete to Shakif Seymour for 2 yds to the Toled 41Similar
Q4 12:49
3RD & 7
OWN 41
0
0.6%
Carter Bradley pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:49
4TH & 7
OWN 41
0
0.7%
Bailey Flint punt for 43 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 24TD
14 plays · 84 yds · 5:160% → 2%
Q4 11:19
1ST & 10
OWN 16
-7
0.4%
RANKIN, JUSTIN rush for 9 yards to the KENT25 (WOMACK, Samuel), PENALTY KENT holding (WARNOCK, NATE) 7 yards to the KENT9, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 11:19
1ST & 17
OWN 9
+5
0.4%
Dustin Crum pass complete to Mike Carrigan for 5 yds to the KntSt 14Similar
Q4 11:19
2ND & 12
OWN 14
+2
0.3%
Justin Rankin run for 2 yds to the KntSt 16Similar
Q4 11:19
3RD & 10
OWN 16
+19
0.3%
Dustin Crum run for 19 yds to the KntSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:19
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
0.4%
Justin Rankin run for 4 yds to the KntSt 39Similar
Q4 11:19
2ND & 6
OWN 39
+14
0.4%
Dustin Crum pass complete to Antwan Dixon for 14 yds to the Toled 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:19
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+3
0.4%
Justin Rankin run for 3 yds to the Toled 44Similar
Q4 11:19
2ND & 7
OPP 44
+4
0.4%
Dustin Crum pass complete to Antwan Dixon for 4 yds to the Toled 40Similar
Q4 11:19
3RD & 3
OPP 40
+1
0.4%
Dustin Crum run for 1 yd to the Toled 39Similar
Q4 11:19
4TH & 2
OPP 39
+15
0.4%
CRUM, Dustin pass incomplete to DIXON, ANTWAN, QB hurry by TAYLOR,Terrance, PENALTY TOLEDO roughing passer (TAYLOR,Terrance) 15 yards to the TOLEDO24, 1ST DOWN KENT, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 11:19
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+21
0.4%
Dustin Crum pass complete to Lon'kevious McFadden for 21 yds to the Toled 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:19
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
0
0.4%
Dustin Crum run for no gain to the Toled 3Similar
Q4 11:19
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+1
0.4%
Adam Dulka run for 1 yd to the Toled 2Similar
Q4 6:03
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
1.5%
Dustin Crum pass complete to Mike Carrigan for 2 yds for a TD (Matthew Trickett KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TOLDrive 25PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q4 6:02
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+5
0.8%
Ronnie Jones run for 5 yds to the KntSt 41Similar
Q4 6:02
2ND & 5
OPP 41
0
0.8%
Ronnie Jones run for no gain to the KntSt 41Similar
Q4 6:02
3RD & 5
OPP 41
0
0.9%
Carter Bradley pass incomplete to Desmond PhillipsSimilar
Q4 6:02
4TH & 5
OPP 41
0
0.9%
Bailey Flint punt for 26 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 26PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:551% → 1%
Q4 4:24
1ST & 10
OWN 15
-3
1.0%
Dustin Crum sacked by Nate Givhan for a loss of 3 yards to the KntSt 12Similar
Q4 4:24
2ND & 13
OWN 12
+10
1.0%
Dustin Crum pass complete to Trey Harrell for 10 yds to the KntSt 22Similar
Q4 4:24
3RD & 3
OWN 22
0
1.0%
Dustin Crum pass incomplete to Isaiah McKoySimilar
Q4 3:29
4TH & 3
OWN 22
-3
0.9%
Derek Adams punt for 37 yds , Desmond Phillips returns for a loss of 3 yards to the Toled 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TOLDrive 27DOWNS
6 plays · 44 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q4 3:19
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+21
0.6%
Nevone McCrimmon run for 6 yds to the KntSt 44 for a 1ST down KENT ST Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (Cepeda Phillips) to the KntSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:19
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+18
0.6%
Nevone McCrimmon run for 18 yds to the KntSt 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:19
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+4
0.5%
Nevone McCrimmon run for 4 yds to the KntSt 19Similar
Q4 3:19
2ND & 6
OPP 19
-4
0.5%
Nevone McCrimmon run for a loss of 4 yards to the KntSt 23Similar
Q4 3:19
3RD & 10
OPP 23
+4
0.6%
Nevone McCrimmon run for 4 yds to the KntSt 19Similar
Q4 3:19
4TH & 6
OPP 19
+1
0.7%
Nevone McCrimmon run for 1 yd to the KntSt 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 28END OF GAME
1 play · 60 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q4 0:05
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+60
0.7%
Dustin Crum pass complete to Lon'kevious McFadden for 60 yds to the Toled 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 12:28
Bryant Koback run for 15 yds for a TD (Jameson Vest KICK)
-10.7
TD · Q2 7:30
Woody Barrett pass complete to Isaiah McKoy for 19 yds for a TD (Matthew Trickett KICK)
+8.8
TD · Q3 12:13
Woody Barrett pass intercepted for a TD Tyler Taafe return for 31 yds for a TD (Jameson Vest KICK)
-8.7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com